Military Review

Reverse aileron. The West is showing clear signs of a systemic crisis.

47



A couple of weeks ago, when the decision on a referendum in the Crimea was only made, I spoke out rather skeptically about this. After all, the speed of organizing this referendum did not leave time for a serious discussion of all the pros and cons, and the very formulation of the referendum - without an alternative to “leave the current state” - also gives grounds for complaints. Unfortunately, I still think: these suspensions in the design will give our opponents opportunities for a variety of legal and diplomatic accusations against the Crimea, and the Russian Federation, and the whole of Russia.

But, on the other hand, I have to admit: the clearly provocative shooting in Simferopol, which occurred on the night of 18 on 19 in March, proves that there really were very good reasons for speeding up the procedure. In that publication, I assumed the existence of some extraordinary circumstances that could dramatically destabilize the situation and thus make it difficult to hold a referendum, and maybe even cause serious damage to the inhabitants of the Crimea. Now I must admit: the actions of these criminals proved that Crimea had very good reasons to hurry to the Russian Federation. And I can join the many commentators expressing gratitude to the "pravosekam", "svobodovtsam", the figures of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the United States of America and other fighters for the maximum removal of Ukraine from the rest of Russia. Thanks for the fact that their actions bring the result opposite to their desires.

Here I must note: this is how complex systems behave, whose stability is seriously impaired. In such circumstances, the usual and seemingly well-predictable control actions give the opposite result.

В aviationfor example, the most famous picture of this kind: aileron reverse, when, due to the high speed and low stiffness of the wings, the deviation of the ailerons (control surfaces at the ends of the wings) bends the wings themselves to such an extent that a change in the lift of the wing, opposite the change in the lift of the aileron , surpasses it - and then any action of the pilot, designed to straighten the roll, on the contrary, increases the roll. A well-trained pilot can recognize an exit to such a flight mode and change the sign of his control actions to the opposite. But not everyone is able to do this fast enough.

Now, it seems, the West has reached a state close to the aileron reverse in aviation. The load on the system is so great, and its rigidity is so small that any actions in opposition to some undesirable phenomenon for Western leaders will only reinforce this phenomenon.

In aviation, to combat the ailerons reverse and other similar phenomena, it is necessary to radically reconstruct the apparatus itself in accordance with the new loads in the new conditions. But in aviation it is easier. There you can put the plane on the joke for repair; You can limit the allowable range of flight regimes; You can even build a new plane, and write off the old one. I am afraid that in the foreseeable future it is hardly possible to build a new United States of America and write off the old ones. And to reset the flight mode to reduce the load on the system also does not work out - the expectations of the managers and the obligations of the managers are too high.

Obviously, we will have more than one year of pleasure in observing the classic crisis of controllability of a complex system. The same crisis occurred a century ago. In the First World War, all the great powers willingly went into the calculation, as one of the German propagandists put it, “to return home before the leaves fall.” But it dragged on 4 of the year, led to the collapse of four empires (Austrian, German, Russian, Turkish) and a serious crisis in two more (British, French), why these empires, in fact, did not survive the Second World War, which was a continuation of the First World War. .

The only thing that comforts is: among the leaders of both the Russian Federation and all of Russia, at least three people have repeatedly and variously proved their ability to act competently in such circumstances. I mean, naturally, Alexander Grigorievich Lukashenko, Nursultan Abishevich Nazarbayev and Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin. So one can hope: our ailerons are not reversed, and we will safely bring the Russian plane to its intended goal - and, if necessary, we will set a new goal.
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47 comments
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  1. Keeper
    Keeper 22 March 2014 15: 32
    +12
    Probably it's time to start using the ruble as a currency on a global scale! Enough to feed crooks at the expense of currency transactions !!!
    1. Turik
      Turik 22 March 2014 15: 42
      0
      Again I hear that capitalism is rotting.

      Did the FAQ not rot then?
      1. W1950
        W1950 22 March 2014 15: 57
        +9
        He does not rot, he eats himself.
        1. Stalevar
          Stalevar 22 March 2014 16: 11
          +6
          and eats publicly and with special cynicism, but in their opinion it looks like a triumph of democracy)))
          1. Ataman
            Ataman 22 March 2014 17: 48
            0
            Obama scares, but no one is scared, Obama introduces sanctions everyone laughs. This is not the end of America, but the pathetic finale of the hegemon for sure.
      2. Egoza
        Egoza 22 March 2014 16: 55
        +4
        Quote: Turik
        Did the FAQ not rot then?

        shaw, shaw new shit all the time throw up! until the new decays ...
      3. gfs84
        gfs84 22 March 2014 18: 22
        +1
        Turik

        Again I hear that capitalism is rotting.


        Arthur? (Sorry if I made a mistake) Have you ever passed through a cancer of a close-loving-loving person on your life path?
        The question is rhetorical, judging by your phrase
        Did the FAQ not rot then?
        No, of course, and I wish you never to go through this !!!
        I went through ... And cried when I made the first injection of morphine (I really hoped that it would not come to this, that deliverance would come sooner) ...
        So, relying on my own experience, I make a statement: the West is sick, it is near death, it has rotted and breathes only because it has been sitting on "morphine" for a "third week" (that legend and financial influences) that without it everything will collapse ...
    2. buzuke
      buzuke 22 March 2014 15: 49
      +2
      For this, the size of our economy should be many times larger. there are shifts, with China, for example, in rubles and yuan, settlements are carried out, but the scale is still small. so far there is no weightiness in our financial arguments. sorry but not yet
    3. slthew
      slthew 22 March 2014 17: 09
      +5
      Quote: Keeper
      Probably it's time to start using the ruble as a currency on a global scale! Enough to feed crooks at the expense of currency transactions !!!


      Unfortunately, until we nationalize the ruble, this cannot be done. The fact is that the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is not at all subordinate to the state, this is a consequence of the defeat in the Cold War, it is directly subordinate to the US Federal Reserve System, and for each barrel of oil sold, Russia pays a percentage for using the dollar, it is interesting that the US government also cannot influence the Fed USA. The Federal Reserve was created by eleven private banks in America in 1913, and accordingly is a private company with its own owner, and guess who is the owner of these banks? The Rockefeller dynasty and its "fellow helpers." This is called the loss of economic sovereignty. Until we finally drive the dollars out of the country, we will be slaves of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, that is, the US Federal Reserve, that is, Rockefeller. We just need by law to subordinate the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to the state, print new rubles, on which not a ticket of the Bank of Russia, but a banknote of the Russian Federation will be written, and sell oil, gas and minerals for rubles to the same China, the West, and send the US Federal Reserve System to you Rockefeller into one a place. Then anyone who wants to buy oil or gas from us must first buy rubles from us, which is an incredible profit, and then pay us with them for gas or oil. But something tells me that the owner of the dollar will not like the nationalization of the ruble and there will be either a war or other tough measures. Let's remember Kennedy, guys - he tried to do the same - he printed new dollars - the dollars of the state and not the Federal Reserve, he tried to free the United States from the slavery of the Federal Reserve, but what happened next, you yourself know - a 12-centimeter bullet hit the president's head, and all the new dollars were destroyed on the same day. This is what the Russian government is afraid of. But maybe today's sanctions will induce Russia to abandon the dollar and become a free country, this will deal a strong blow to the Western economy. Thus, we will send Rockefeller to one place.
      1. s1н7т
        s1н7т 22 March 2014 17: 27
        +2
        Quote: slthew
        12 centimeter bullet hit the president’s head

        Aren't you getting excited? laughing
        1. pensioner
          pensioner 22 March 2014 17: 50
          +1
          Quote: c1n7
          Quote: slthew
          12 cm bullet (belay) hit the president’s head
          Aren't you getting excited?

          laughing good
      2. The comment was deleted.
      3. Vadim12
        Vadim12 22 March 2014 17: 29
        0
        Why won't Vladimir Putin find an alternative to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation? He is definitely not afraid of the fate of Kennedy, it does not threaten him. Send the "torpedo" to the Rockefellers. am
      4. Alekseev
        Alekseev 22 March 2014 17: 40
        +2
        Quote: slthew
        A 12-centimeter bullet hit the president’s head, and all new dollars were destroyed on the same day.

        I will not argue about dollars, but the mention of such bullets leaves doubts about the adequacy of the author and the economy. yes
        1. slthew
          slthew 22 March 2014 19: 50
          -1
          Only a Russian person can be rude in a comment and then put a smile. You yourself would have expressed at least one adequate thought. I can criticize too. Really it’s not clear, the expression about the bullet was figuratively (I’m certainly not a specialist in military affairs, but I know for sure that the bullet for a sniper rifle is more than 7,7 centimeters, and the expression 12 cm is a linguistic device with the name hyperbole used to exaggerate)
          1. s1н7т
            s1н7т 23 March 2014 11: 22
            0
            Quote: slthew
            I know for sure that the bullet for a sniper rifle is more than 7,7 centimeters

            I assure you - there are no such bullets in nature. Even the 12,7 mm caliber rifle. the whole cartridge is about 10 cm. drinks
          2. s1н7т
            s1н7т 23 March 2014 11: 22
            0
            Quote: slthew
            I know for sure that the bullet for a sniper rifle is more than 7,7 centimeters

            I assure you - there are no such bullets in nature. Even the 12,7 mm caliber rifle. the whole cartridge is about 10 cm. drinks
      5. sv68
        sv68 22 March 2014 17: 50
        0
        about the 12-inch bullet is apparently a joke or something like
        1. slthew
          slthew 22 March 2014 19: 57
          0
          Quote: sv68
          about the 12-inch bullet is apparently a joke or something like

          Well, of course
      6. buzuke
        buzuke 22 March 2014 17: 52
        0
        We just need the law to subordinate the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to the state, print new rubles, on which not a Bank of Russia ticket will be written, but a banknote of the Russian Federation, and sell oil gas and minerals for rubles

        oh damn it! and men don’t even know how easily all our problems are solved! just in case, almost all central banks are not subordinate to the government. it is a precautionary measure to protect national economies and widespread international practice. and no conspiracy theories. Alas
        1. slthew
          slthew 22 March 2014 19: 53
          0
          Quote: buzuke
          We just need the law to subordinate the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to the state, print new rubles, on which not a Bank of Russia ticket will be written, but a banknote of the Russian Federation, and sell oil gas and minerals for rubles

          oh damn it! and men don’t even know how easily all our problems are solved! just in case, almost all central banks are not subordinate to the government. it is a precautionary measure to protect national economies and widespread international practice. and no conspiracy theories. Alas


          But I just took it and came up with it myself. I forgot what kind of economic experts are sitting here. And where does the conspiracy theory - what I said - are the realities of life.
    4. maks-101
      maks-101 22 March 2014 18: 56
      0
      Russia and China are building up their gold reserves and soon we will see the ruble as a solid and stable world currency.
      1. slthew
        slthew 22 March 2014 19: 54
        -1
        Quote: maks-xnumx
        Russia and China are building up their gold reserves and soon we will see the ruble as a solid and stable world currency.


        As for the yuan, I agree. As for the ruble, 99% doubt. (For comparison, China has 4000 tons of gold with us - 900 tons, moreover, it is controlled by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, and therefore the US Federal Reserve)
  2. SRC P-15
    SRC P-15 22 March 2014 15: 33
    +6
    What is the reverse of the ailerons, if America fell into a tailspin.
  3. homosum20
    homosum20 22 March 2014 15: 34
    +3
    "Obviously, we will have the pleasure of observing the classic crisis of manageability of a complex system for many years to come. ..."
    Personally, I hope that the crisis of these complex systems (the SSS and the geyser will end soon - along with them. I’m ready to invest my two pennies).
  4. Avdy
    Avdy 22 March 2014 15: 35
    +6
    we can hope: our ailerons are not reversed, and we will safely bring the Russian plane to its intended target - and if necessary, we will outline a new target
    - a new goal - the union of Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and other fraternal peoples!
    1. slthew
      slthew 22 March 2014 19: 56
      0
      Quote: Avdy
      we can hope: our ailerons are not reversed, and we will safely bring the Russian plane to its intended target - and if necessary, we will outline a new target
      - a new goal - the union of Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and other fraternal peoples!

      i.e. Eurasian Union
  5. fleks
    fleks 22 March 2014 15: 35
    +8
    the name of the topic really smiled at me as a professional
  6. sscha
    sscha 22 March 2014 15: 36
    +7
    "In aviation, for example, ..........
    .... But not everyone can do it fast enough. "
    The pilots are not the same !!! Poor at school (primary) studied. USE (like Amerovsky) - does not lead to good !!! laughing hi
  7. Keeper
    Keeper 22 March 2014 15: 36
    0
    OMERICA hasn't fallen yet! They don't give her! And why - it's not clear .... Drop and immediately give them a "helping hand" - let them "flow around"))
  8. serega.fedotov
    serega.fedotov 22 March 2014 15: 37
    +2
    We had a crisis in 91 - it is he who fears the "victory" of the West, thank God it seems like a proshol! And today's processes are the end of the RUSSIAN crisis
  9. delfinN
    delfinN 22 March 2014 15: 41
    +5
    The pendulum accelerated back
  10. kocclissi
    kocclissi 22 March 2014 15: 43
    +1
    This is not quite the correct opinion: To thank some stupid politicians for the Crimea. This is just the beginning! It will be more correct when at least most of the territory of Ukraine will be under the Russian Tricolor! It should be so!
    1. s1н7т
      s1н7т 22 March 2014 17: 35
      -1
      Quote: kocclissi
      under the Russian Tricolor

      Yes, with a capital letter fool And I do not like the Vlasov flag - it was the banner of the war with my Motherland.
  11. Egoza
    Egoza 22 March 2014 15: 43
    +5
    Obviously, we will have more than one year to enjoy the classic crisis of controllability of a complex system.

    There is no need for "more than one year"! Corkscrew so corkscrew! Although they are already trying to catch on and again be saved at the expense of Russia!
    Putin and Obama will jointly stabilize the situation in Ukraine
    "The heads of state noted that, despite the existing differences in assessments, it is necessary to jointly look for ways to help stabilize the situation in Ukraine"

    We can do without Obama!
  12. andrei332809
    andrei332809 22 March 2014 15: 45
    +2
    something of Wasserman was drawn to comparison-reflection. but reading, as always, is interesting
  13. tokin1959
    tokin1959 22 March 2014 15: 54
    +2
    article - minus.
    when the Soviet Union collapsed-no one foresaw such a development of the situation.
    everything happened one second, despite the voice of the people in the referendum - to be the Union
    They decided - they took it away, I was most afraid that there would be a tedious negotiation process for decades.
    our leadership acted according to the situation - when delay - death is similar.
    1. mpa945
      mpa945 22 March 2014 16: 14
      0
      How is your comment related to the article of Onatolia?
      In my opinion, everything is very true.
      1. tokin1959
        tokin1959 22 March 2014 16: 22
        +2
        but on mine - idle talk.
        The article is written for the sake of the article.
        1. Native grandfather
          Native grandfather 22 March 2014 16: 44
          0
          Quote: tokin1959
          but on mine - idle talk.
          The article is written for the sake of the article.

          I agree. Article minus.
  14. Denis Ro
    Denis Ro 22 March 2014 16: 02
    0
    Crisis or not crisis, the main thing we get from this
    benefit, they did the same when we all
    was bad.
  15. Monk
    Monk 22 March 2014 16: 13
    +3
    Quote: Turik
    Again I hear that capitalism is rotting.

    Did the FAQ not rot then?



    It already smells bad, can't it be seen, it’s just that the geyrop is crammed with chemistry, and it decomposes for a long time, but it's already over.
  16. upasika1918
    upasika1918 22 March 2014 16: 17
    +4
    Anatole Hammer.
    1. Angry reader
      Angry reader 22 March 2014 16: 22
      +8
      A Jew is more Russian than some ethnic Russians ... Why Wasserman
  17. konvalval
    konvalval 22 March 2014 16: 20
    +2
    Eh, Tolik, Tolik, you would still remember the gas rudders.
    1. s1н7т
      s1н7т 23 March 2014 00: 05
      0
      Quote: konvalval
      would you still remember the gas rudders

      Then let's start with jet nozzle theory laughing Wasserman is a mouthpiece today, isn't it clear? "Nothing personal," as they say.
  18. Native grandfather
    Native grandfather 22 March 2014 16: 39
    0
    But she dragged on for 4 years, led to the collapse of four empires (Austrian, German, Russian, Turkish) and a serious crisis in two more (British, French), why are these empires, in fact, did not survive the Second World War, which was a continuation of the First.

    what the hell?!!
    1. tokin1959
      tokin1959 22 March 2014 16: 46
      0
      the whole article is nonsense.

      "After all, the speed of the organization of this referendum did not leave time for a serious discussion of all the pros and cons, and the very wording of the referendum - without the alternative" leave the current state "- also gives rise to criticism. Unfortunately, I still think that these suspensions in the design will give our opponents have the opportunity for many legal and diplomatic accusations against Crimea, the Russian Federation, and all of Russia. " ----- probably it was necessary to speculate about heels years? so what?
    2. andrewvlg
      andrewvlg 22 March 2014 17: 32
      +1
      Quote: Grandfather Native
      what the hell?!!

      This is not nonsense, but a historical fact - regarding the Russian, Austrian, German and Turkish - these empires were destroyed, did not survive the First World War. The British and French did not survive World War II, which, in many respects, was the result of an unfair (according to Germany and most historians) redistribution of Europe (an attempt to take revenge by Germany). What is wrong here?
      Although, I agree, the article contains a lot "on the verge" of abstruse.
    3. Angry reader
      Angry reader 22 March 2014 18: 18
      -1
      This is grandfather, analysis ...))
  19. w2000
    w2000 22 March 2014 17: 12
    0
    Wasserman gives wishful thinking. For how many years, Russian patriots have been burying America, and it is more alive than all living things. I understand that any Russian, especially if he was born in the USSR, has absorbed hostility towards the USA and the West as a whole with his mother’s milk, but he doesn’t need hatred. The United States has not lost anything yet; moreover, they play on the side of the opponent’s board, always on the attack. Countries such as Yugoslavia, Libya, Syria, Ukraine, etc. - for them a bargaining chip. It turned out to plant his puppet and suck the juices from the country - well, it didn’t work - then they wreak havoc, which also suits them. Only Ukraine loses in this situation. As for the economic condition of the United States, and its prediction of collapse, it is far from reality, they are still the first economy in the world, and possess the most powerful armed forces, which is no less important. Well, they will have a technical default, they will write off most of the debt to them through the Paris Club, and they will swallow everything. They already had defaults 10 times in the 20th century, especially epic in 1972, and then everyone predicted the United States would end - but got out of nothing.
    1. Angry reader
      Angry reader 22 March 2014 18: 21
      -1
      So you don’t need the collapse of America ... Read Byzantine diplomacy, or rather its theses ... Everything will become clear to you ... What you need is not collapse ... And the longest agony with a wide recharge of the opponent, to a state of living in a coma
  20. slthew
    slthew 22 March 2014 17: 20
    0
    Quote: Turik
    Again I hear that capitalism is rotting.

    Did the FAQ not rot then?


    wait a bit
  21. Lumumba
    Lumumba 22 March 2014 17: 42
    0
    Quote: Turik
    Did the FAQ not rot then?


    Quote: Egoza
    shaw, shaw new shit all the time throw up! until the new decays ...


    Quote: Avdy
    a new goal - the union of Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and other fraternal peoples!


    That's just the Baltic states are not our brothers or friends. And not even the Slavs. They surrounded the Kaliningrad region as a raven. They are conducting anti-Russian politics. Down with the jackals!
    1. gunter_laux
      gunter_laux 22 March 2014 18: 07
      0
      Africa closer, Lumumba? Where does this infa come from? Very not beautiful! Visit Lithuania - opinion will change on the first day. You need to be kinder, kinder fellow
      1. Angry reader
        Angry reader 22 March 2014 18: 22
        -1
        You know sometimes no closer than the farthest ..- it's not me who came up)
  22. sv68
    sv68 22 March 2014 17: 55
    -1
    Anatoly honestly tell me, how many years will the Ukrainian empire fall apart negative
  23. Ulairy
    Ulairy 22 March 2014 17: 56
    0
    Quote: slthew
    But maybe today's sanctions will prompt Russia to abandon the dollar and become a free country, this will cause a severe blow to the economy of the West. Thus, we will send Rockefeller to one place.

    Ways? Solutions? The world is ruled by green papers, like the body of a heroin addict! A sharp refusal can cause constipation ... No one will buy barrels and cubic meters for the ghostly rubles, which they finally became after the "devaluation". The Fed is hammering at ordinary Americans, and in a way that we, who do not live in trailer boxes and do not suffer from total illiteracy and unemployment, have never dreamed of! It is high time to cool down and to introduce its assets with cold calculation, subordinating the dollar to its economy, to tailor its "course" ourselves, taking it out of circulation according to the "Stalin / Khrushchev version", when the dollar was equated to the ruble. America then suffered severely from the financial crisis, but it did not go beyond its borders, as happened in 2008 ... In short, work on creating a new bipolar world - a sea where the horse did not lie!
    Thanks for the clever comment, sorry for the verbose sentimentality ... I'm just drunk, gee-gee laughing
    And by the way, capitalism does not rot. It just smells like that.
  24. loginovich
    loginovich 22 March 2014 17: 57
    0
    Quote: w2000
    As for the economic condition of the United States, and its prediction of collapse, it is far from reality, they are still the first economy in the world, and possess the most powerful armed forces, which is no less important. Well, they will have a technical default, they will write off most of the debt to them through the Paris Club, and they will swallow everything. They already had defaults 10 times in the 20th century, especially epic in 1972, and then everyone predicted the United States would end - but got out of nothing.


    But it’s not enough to host the Black Sea. They don’t even touch Korea. Cool, but not everywhere.
  25. The comment was deleted.
  26. Igarr
    Igarr 22 March 2014 18: 25
    0
    I agree with the criticism.
    Onotole, it seems like he decided to unsubscribe.
    General some theses.
    "So my friend, also a professor, has four classes of education - in half an hour he can draw a ducat like that, you can't tell the real thing," - the character of Kosoy in the film "Gentlemen of Fortune".
    Here is something like such a piece of gold.
    Intriguing.
  27. pOpolzen
    pOpolzen 22 March 2014 20: 32
    0
    The title of the article is to the point.
    But with amerikosy and with theirs dollyar not everything is so simple. My opinion is that VVP, "would have abandoned the network on this matter long ago," and we already knew about the prospects. Yes, the Fed will not give up such a piece without a fight.
  28. ty-min
    ty-min 22 March 2014 20: 52
    0
    he’s a hut, a hut, a wooden building with huge drafts .... everything about him ... how tired he is already
  29. old rocket man
    old rocket man 22 March 2014 21: 03
    +2
    The only consolation is that among the leaders of both the Russian Federation and the whole of Russia, at least three people have repeatedly and variedly proven their ability to competently act in such circumstances. Naturally, I mean Alexander Grigoryevich Lukashenko, Nursultan Abishevich Nazarbayev and Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin

    "..and the whole of Russia .." - I would like to hope that this is not a reservation.
    Already a plus, a man admitted that there were doubts, again a plus.
    I was not afraid to say this publicly, again a plus.
  30. Skifo
    Skifo 23 March 2014 02: 30
    0
    Quote: old rocket
    The only consolation is that among the leaders of both the Russian Federation and the whole of Russia, at least three people have repeatedly and variedly proven their ability to competently act in such circumstances. Naturally, I mean Alexander Grigoryevich Lukashenko, Nursultan Abishevich Nazarbayev and Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin

    "..and the whole of Russia .." - I would like to hope that this is not a reservation.
    Already a plus, a man admitted that there were doubts, again a plus.
    I was not afraid to say this publicly, again a plus.

    I also want it to be not a reservation ... I remember and the elders said: we’ve been living in Karaganda for the 91st year, I’m in reanimation (5 years old) and I don’t accept Russians in one hospital ... I survived, but the sediment remained .. .I’m not to quarrel our people with the Kazakhs, but I just remembered the note ... But I think the family has its black sheep and everything will work out! For United Russia!
    1. Avdy
      Avdy 24 March 2014 20: 01
      0
      The strongest anti-Russian propaganda in those years! Perhaps, since the Hunchback-labeled one introduced the congresses of people's deputies, every Nazi trash climbed into it ... or maybe it all started earlier ...