Military Review

Do not dig another pit

119



The West, which has provoked a crisis in Ukraine, is preparing to come to grips with Russia: the Kremlin is being accused ... of supporting the legitimate Ukrainian authorities and of trying to stabilize the situation in Ukraine. Such an unexpected and, frankly, contrived excuse can be used to impose sanctions against Russian officials, businessmen and ordinary citizens. However, contrary to expectations, only the European states will suffer from the economic blockade: the fact is that the anti-Russian sanctions are unprofitable to them.

Intentions of John Kerry and the American Press

US Secretary of State John Kerry 2 March promised to freeze the assets of Russian enterprises and impose a ban on the issuance of visas to some Russian citizens. However, foreign journalists, known for their love of sensations, not only quoted Kerry, but also voiced their versions and assumptions. Now a brief list of possible actions of the West looks like this:

• freezing of Russian assets;
• introduction of visa restrictions;
• obstruction in foreign trade;
• official condemnation of the Russian position in the UN;
• the refusal of Western leaders to participate in the Sochi G8 summit, as well as the exclusion of Russia from this club;
• mobilization of troops in NATO countries bordering Ukraine;
• sending the US Navy to the Black Sea.

However, most American experts agree that it is better to stay on the usual economic sanctions and abandon bellicose rhetoric. Bringing NATO troops into full combat readiness, according to analysts, will provoke Russia to more decisive actions, since the Kremlin will not leave without attention the growing threat to the country's national security.

Ignoring Russia in the political arena and its exclusion from the G8 are meaningless measures. The fact is that the West is interested in cooperation with Moscow, and G8 is an ideal international platform for face-to-face conversations. The exclusion of Russia from this club will lead to the fact that Western leaders will not be able to discuss with the Russian representatives Iranian and Syrian problems in a private setting - and Russia, as is known, is one of the most important players in the Middle East. According to American observers, disregard for the interests of Moscow will be one of the reasons for the escalation of violence in this region.

In addition, Russia will in any case remain a part of the G-20, a club of large regional states, opening up broader opportunities for cooperation than the G-8. According to Senator John McCain, Kerry and Obama have done a lot of stupidity when they refused to participate in the US at the G8 Sochi summit, because American diplomacy has lost a great place for discussion.

The most realistic scenario today is the introduction of visa restrictions. States will not lose anything if some Russian officials, not necessarily high-ranking ones, are barred from entering their territory. Europe may act in a similar way, but one should not expect a total refusal to accept Russians: for example, Turkey, concerned about the situation of the Crimean Tatars, is unlikely to open confrontation with Russia on the eve of the opening of the tourist season.

But economic sanctions for the West will become suicidal. Why?

Boomerang effect

The West has too close ties with Russia, so it will not be cut to the quick. Any economic blockade of the Russian Federation will result in irreparable losses for Europe: Russia is the main partner of many European countries and supplies its products and raw materials, including oil and gas. Western companies are interested in the development of fields in the Far North and equipment sales to Russian mining companies.

Russia as of 2012 year was the sixth power in the world in terms of GDP and only slightly inferior to Germany - by the way, one of our most important partners. Russia has overtaken Britain and France - the very ones who are now threatening us with sanctions together with the States.

The European Union is afraid of losing the Russian market: 45% of cars and 18% of chemical products produced in the EU go on sale in Russia. If this market closes in the face of European companies, many factories will cease their operations for a long time due to the loss of customers.

In addition, the supply of natural resources to the European Union will cease. In addition to oil and gas, Russia will leave Europe without palladium, titanium and platinum, which are needed for high-tech manufacturing processes. This will lead to even greater degradation of European industry and, ultimately, to the transformation of Europe into the periphery of the world - if, of course, the sanctions regime is in place for several years.

Japan, South Korea, and Russia's other neighbors in Asia can take advantage of the European embargo, and will begin to buy resources for the development of their own economies, and even for resale to stubborn Europe. Practice shows that as soon as a product becomes scarce, “well-wishers” immediately appear, ready to get it at any price.

China will extract the maximum benefit from the sanctions: it will immediately activate trade contacts with Russia and will replace many of its Western partners. Already, trade between our countries is about 100 billion dollars, and in the near future this figure will only increase. Beijing will also buy Russian oil: China, like no one else, needs to “feed” its national economy with cheap energy.

Any unilateral actions of the European Union will result in irreparable losses for it. The cost of products manufactured in Europe will increase, and markets will close. In the event of a trade embargo, European economies are guaranteed to be in a state of long-term recession.

European politicians understand all the possible consequences of the imposition of sanctions, and therefore are not in a hurry to go for confrontation. German Chancellor Angela Merkel took an especially soft stand: German enterprises cooperate with Russian ones and will suffer more than others. In addition, Germany wants to ensure its energy security: in Berlin, they fear that in the worst case Russia will stop selling gas. Germany has no alternative sources of supply of “blue fuel”, and is not foreseen in the foreseeable future.

In the dry residue

In short: The West turned out to be impotent. Plans for complete economic isolation of Russia cannot be brought to life, because in the modern world, where all states are closely interconnected with each other, it is impossible to blockade the country, especially as huge and strong as Russia.

In the 2008 year after the war in Georgia, the West tried to impose sanctions against Moscow, but these measures have come to naught: the effect is zero. Europe and the United States must take this experience into account.

Visa sanctions and freezing the accounts of individual officials is the maximum for which the United States and the European Union are ready. But now foreign leaders in verbal battles have gone so far that, in the event of non-fulfillment of promises, they can lose face, and therefore they will pull to make concrete decisions, and in response to Russia's small concession, they will abandon their Napoleonic plans. Say, we have achieved our goal - when in fact the refusal of the West from sanctions will be dictated only by the desire to quickly leave the economic battlefield with minimal image and financial losses.

Most likely, visa and economic restrictions will follow only from those countries that are weakly connected with Russia. The main Russian partners will make some loud statements, and after a few months, for pragmatic reasons, they will completely “forget” about their promises.
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  2. super-vitek
    super-vitek 5 March 2014 08: 25
    +25
    The situation is developing very well! As described above, fear US sanctions not to spread rot! Russia will find partners not only in business, but I think there are no fools against our state! Although ... My opinion coincides with the opinion of the author of the article, they will like heifers and they will burn out. And the task of our stick is not to go too far so that there is nothing to complain about!
    1. rozowik
      rozowik 5 March 2014 08: 59
      +5
      What will they do to us? Let them hysteria, and we'll see))) .... We can only deal with us by grabbing, and we have a magic wand for this :-D if we slap anything)
      1. elmi
        elmi 5 March 2014 09: 46
        +8
        It was they who lit such a hysteria from powerlessness, and that’s putting pressure on all fronts, hinting that they would not even think of joining the territories into Russia. That is a preemptive information strike along with sanctions. What is there to fear if China is on our side and it threatened the United States that if they impose sanctions against us, they will demand that the bonds be returned in gold - if that is the case then the United States will go bankrupt, they will throw dust in their eyes and they will be afraid that they will be able to do nothing but it’s obvious to hope that we will believe and drive out.
      2. AVV
        AVV 5 March 2014 14: 22
        +2
        Found something to scare the hedgehog with barbed wire ??? !!!
      3. Duke
        Duke 5 March 2014 20: 59
        +1
        We can only deal with us by capturing, but we have a magic wand for this
        And not even one.
    2. olegkrava
      olegkrava 5 March 2014 09: 49
      +17
      Notice those as soon as something starts to strain our country, our brains begin to work and an amorphous state instantly passes. No wonder it is said that until the thunder strikes the peasant will not cross himself.
      • freezing Russian assets; - the loss is not great, and then for a while
      • introduction of visa restrictions; - I do not go abroad for legs
      • obstruction in foreign trade - they trade, and we produce
      • official condemnation of the Russian position in the UN; - this is a swamp and not an organization, and even more so pro-Amerian
      • the refusal of Western leaders to participate in the Sochi G8 summit, as well as the exclusion of Russia from this club; - we will have three of us pull up China, India, Syria, Mongolia, Vietnam and it will be the same, but with more positive success
      • mobilization of troops in NATO countries bordering Ukraine; -so they are mobilized from 1945 year
      • sending the US Navy to the Black Sea. - but this is h.r.e. all over your face, but you can try, we are not the first to crush your pelvis with our boats.
      1. Sakmagon
        Sakmagon 5 March 2014 11: 10
        +51
        Do not trust, do not fear, do not ask!
        In short, Kerry ... from suck !!!
        1. lelikas
          lelikas 5 March 2014 12: 46
          +11
          Quote: Sacmagon
          Do not trust, do not fear, do not ask!
          In short, Kerry ... from suck !!!

          Loud applause turning into a standing ovation !!!!!
      2. bif
        bif 5 March 2014 14: 34
        +8
        Quote: olegkrava
        Notice those as soon as something starts to strain our country, our brains begin to work and an amorphous state instantly passes. No wonder it is said that until the thunder strikes the peasant will not cross himself.
        • freezing Russian assets; - the loss is not great, and then for a while
        • introduction of visa restrictions; - I do not go abroad for legs
        • obstruction in foreign trade - they trade, and we produce
        • official condemnation of the Russian position in the UN; - this is a swamp and not an organization, and even more so pro-Amerian
        • the refusal of Western leaders to participate in the Sochi G8 summit, as well as the exclusion of Russia from this club; - we will have three of us pull up China, India, Syria, Mongolia, Vietnam and it will be the same, but with more positive success
        • mobilization of troops in NATO countries bordering Ukraine; -so they are mobilized from 1945 year
        • sending the US Navy to the Black Sea. - but this is h.r.e. all over your face, but you can try, we are not the first to crush your pelvis with our boats.

        I agree with every word!
        I’ll add from myself - words and deeds are often not the same thing. They can threaten as much as they like, but they can’t do anything.
        Ours do not say so much, but just do it:
        1. A restriction on the import of pork from the United States.
        2. The Federation Council is developing a bill that, if sanctions are applied against Russia, will allow the confiscation of property, assets and accounts of European and American companies, including private ones !!!
        3. China and Iran are ready to multiply their turnover in order to compensate for trade restrictions with the EU.
        4. Oil and gas companies have already howled, so the well-known BP has already calculated its losses - about 1bn greens per month.
        Etc. , in short, maybe I want to say "gentlemen, fans of sanctions - Good luck!"
      3. Egor-dis
        Egor-dis 7 March 2014 01: 47
        0
        The most interesting thing is that, although not all, but much, could be used against the West.
        - They threaten the embargo? To suspend purchases of the same cars from the west, for a month to start, see how they will react, and at the same time hold negotiations with Japan, China, Korea, Iran.
        - Visa restrictions? Enter them to all, without exception, officials of the European Union and America convicted of supporting maydaunov and other fascists. Plus, send their embassies at 24 hours. Again, for a month.
        - Amers' fleet is going to enter the Black Sea? To flood a couple of old barges at the entrance to the Bosphorus, or "forget" there, during the exercise, a couple of mines.
        - And do not block the gas, no, no. Just dilute it with nitrogen to the maximum.
        And see how the rhetoric of these europods changes.
    3. VAF
      VAF 5 March 2014 11: 49
      +8
      Quote: super-vitek
      .And the task of our stick is not to go too far so that there is nothing to complain about!


      Nobody bends the stick. and even further pick up .. not to mention that. to raise .. just going!
      I went down all the comments .. again, patriotism ... no sober thoughts .. so a couple of comments .. basically .. the level of kindergarten.

      The fact that Keri and the whole pack in ... well ... is clear and transparent.

      1. Freeze invest projects with us belay Ale ... it's not in Russia ... there BUSINESS ... they will come and say ... well, they froze ... next ... who will cover the losses? And Keri will fly with Banana .... like plywood.

      2. They did well with the suspension of the purchase of Amerov’s pigs ... Congress will howl so that (I already wrote what will happen above).
      Well, the production freeze .. this ... for a long time unemployment in the United States has not risen.

      3. Refusal to buy a buck .. generally shine ... still would declare for six months or a year .... such a hole for amers will be that .. they will not be selected.
      There are also "brothers" - the Chinese will bring 400 thousand tons of green paper in cash and "throw" amerovsky on the market .... wassat

      Who said that the Amer land carrier is not ... sinking? wink

      I don’t understand one thing, honestly, why don’t we block the gas pipe or at least do not make official statements, such as in connection with possible sanctions against Russia, etc., we stop the gas supply to Europe! request
      Why ... are we trying to "rub shoulders" with the "rulers" -fascists? What kind of consultations and negotiations?
      Why Putin openly said that NO, and DAM we are considering help, etc. together with Miller and specifically names the amounts?
      Today Yatsenyuk blurted out the same thing ... will Russia give us more?
      How is this? request
      1. mpa945
        mpa945 5 March 2014 12: 16
        +6
        And we also recognize the disputed islands as Chinese, the countries of the Customs Union, Abkhazia and South Ossetia will sign.
        Recognize the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus. (recall the theft of the Cypriot brothers)
        And we can declare the independence of Crimea (after the referendum) within the borders of the left Dnieper + Odessa, Nikolaev, Kherson and Transnistria. The support of the Turks and Chinese will be ours.
        1. poccinin
          poccinin 5 March 2014 15: 10
          +3
          with CYPRUS it is necessary to be careful, it seems like now the point of replenishment of supplies for the fleet and the airfield for the Air Force.
          1. lewerlin53rus
            lewerlin53rus 5 March 2014 22: 00
            +2
            Quote: poccinin
            with CYPRUS be careful

            Turks still have Kurds winked
      2. Fin
        Fin 5 March 2014 14: 53
        +5
        Quote: vaf
        I went down all the comments .. again, patriotism ... no sober thoughts .. so a couple of comments .. basically .. the level of kindergarten.

        Quote: vaf
        I don’t understand one thing, but honestly, why don’t we block the gas pipe or at least do not make official statements

        Do you think blocking (declaring) gas is a higher level? Blackmail never led to the desired result, but only to local successes. The EU, taking into account the possible risks, will find alternative sources in 3-5 years. And then Sev. flow and other gas pipelines down the drain? And from what to fill the budget? China will not buy gas at European prices, and new pipelines need to be built.
        1. poccinin
          poccinin 5 March 2014 15: 22
          +6
          why blackmail? "technical work on the gas pipeline" here on YouTube the video was about PUTIN with the Europeans. V.V. PUTIN. "DON'T WANT NUCLEAR PLANTS. GAS DON'T WANT. just rolled with laughter. besides the USA and Europe there are other countries for trade if you look at we have a lot of things besides oil and gas. minerals. We build nuclear power plants, gas turbines, airplanes, and much more.
        2. VAF
          VAF 5 March 2014 16: 49
          +3
          Quote: Fin

          Do you think blocking (declaring) gas is a higher level? Blackmail never led to the desired result, but only to local successes.


          I do not like to "butt" with " fellow "-kami and" loyal subjects lol "as a waste of time .. but .. for the last time I answer:

          1. Do you call the requirement to fulfill contractual obligations blackmail?
          So then openly admit. That a loan to pay off gas debts at the expense of state funds is a state offshore !!! wassat
          do not continue further, indicating the names of "ardent fighters against offshores" lol

          2. 3-5 years you still have to live somehow, and if you close the krantik (or just threaten, as our people like to do, threaten, but .. don’t do it), all this pack will subside in an instant!

          3. The EU is still wiping its feet about Lavrov (look at the results of the meeting in Spain, only without "adjusting" the domestic media).

          4. Both North and South. the streams have already paid off a long time ago. for them .. for you .. and this does not concern you, oh yes .. "national heritage."

          4. To replenish the budget? Yes, China will "eat" everything that is offered.

          5. Maybe now it will come to the rulers that "man is not fed up with gas alone", but will develop agriculture and light industry?

          well, and a lot of things .. that goes against the "right path, where the tovarizchi lead us" wassat
          1. Fin
            Fin 5 March 2014 17: 22
            +2
            I also don’t like to "butt", because it’s a waste of time .. but .. last time I answer:
            Quote: vaf
            1. Do you call the requirement to fulfill contractual obligations blackmail?

            Check out your post: Block gas to Europe You mean what kind of dog. obligations and with whom ??? I'm talking about Europe.
            Quote: vaf
            and if you close the krantik (or just threaten, as our people like to do, threaten, but ..not done), all this pack will subside instantly!

            Um ... Grounds for shutting off a crane? If it doesn’t work, will we show the nuclear suitcase?
            Quote: vaf
            And North and South. the streams have already paid off a long time ago. for them .. for you .. and it doesn’t concern you, oh yeah .. "national heritage".

            According to a statement made by Matthias Warnig, Managing Director of Nord Stream AG (the operator of this project) during an interview with the Russia Today television channel. He focused on the fact that the company received long-term financing for a period of approximately 14-15 years. It is after this period that it is planned to switch to obtaining net profit from the operation of the gas pipeline. Type: when it pays off .... and read.
            You get better with airplanes.
      3. Manul
        Manul 5 March 2014 15: 25
        +4
        Quote: vaf
        I went down all the comments .. again, patriotism ... no sober thoughts .. so a couple of comments .. basically .. the level of kindergarten.


        Quote: vaf
        I don’t understand one thing, honestly, why don’t we block the gas pipe or at least do not make official statements, such as in connection with possible sanctions against Russia, etc., we stop the gas supply to Europe!


        Of course I understand everything, comrade Marshal soldier but the counteractions should be adequate. If we start to drive someone into a corner, then they will fall upon us until they are completely destroyed. We must always leave a reason to say that we are good, we are honest (and this is really so). when there will no longer be any options and meaning. I’m sure it won’t come to that.
        1. VAF
          VAF 5 March 2014 16: 56
          +1
          Quote: Manul
          but counteractions must be adequate


          Absolutely agree! But the actions on their part .. here they are, we are exposed, to put it mildly, in an "unsightly light"!

          Quote: Manul
          .If we begin to drive someone into a corner, then we will be piled on until complete destruction


          That is precisely what we are now, or rather, our government is doing!
          1. Hasty statements.
          2. Practical inaction.

          Yes, what can I say. I just watched TV. The Ministry of Finance reports to the President about helping the Crimea ... he interrupts him ... do not divide Ukraine and Crimea ... everyone needs help. belay
          Questions? wink I personally have no more left soldier
    4. Arhj
      Arhj 5 March 2014 12: 25
      +9
      States as always in their repertoire. Of all the GXNUMX countries, they and Canada are least tied to our economy. But what a chic opportunity to spit in the direction of Russia, and at the same time put on the brink of economic survival of the main competitors - the EU and Japan. And if it has disappeared somewhere, it will certainly arrive somewhere, and most likely it will arrive in such a situation in the States. And all this under the slogan of the struggle for democracy.
      1. CAMS
        CAMS 5 March 2014 12: 58
        +3
        The United States’s capabilities are already not so wide, external debt weighs on them like a sword of Damocles, and the position of Russia as a center of stability is already growing at times so that we put a monument to Volodya near Peter, I hope that I will survive until these years
      2. Penzyac
        Penzyac 6 March 2014 02: 05
        +5
        You are mistaken that the United States is little dependent on us, in total dollar terms it looks like that, but there are positions in which we are an almost monopoly supplier for the United States, for example, titanium and titanium products (hello Boeing and NASA). There are other positions for which the volumes seem to be not large (hello to the same NASA), and the dependence is critical (as trace elements for the body). Well, while Canada, with only 15 million population, is completely dependent on its southern neighbor, as the United States says, so it will sing along, it is not clear what it does in the G8 at all, probably the United States cannot even do without servants there.
    5. Geisenberg
      Geisenberg 5 March 2014 13: 37
      +2
      Quote: super-vitek
      The situation is developing very well! As described above, fear US sanctions


      I think it’s necessary all the same in Lviv to bomb once ... by chance, so to speak, by oversight. Then the West simply will have no choice but to add these evil sanctions to the network ...
      1. Penzyac
        Penzyac 6 March 2014 02: 20
        +1
        What a bloodthirsty you are, in Lviv, not only our Russophobian enemies live, most of them are decent people, you don’t have to be like Americans.
      2. abrakadabre
        abrakadabre 6 March 2014 11: 25
        0
        I think it’s necessary all the same in Lviv to bomb once ... by chance, so to speak, by oversight.
        I would have preferred a random shot from a Stinger on a passing plane with a team of observers + sponsors from the EU and the State Department. And so that a video with "Sashko Bilym" was posted on YouTube with a launch tube from Stinger and something like yelling: "Traitors! They promised help with troops and threw it!" Even if for this it will be necessary to put the entire Mosfilm under a nondisclosure agreement.
        1. Manul
          Manul 6 March 2014 11: 30
          0
          He burst into a voice! Brilliant comment! good
  3. ed65b
    ed65b 5 March 2014 08: 27
    +9
    The coalition that the United States is trying to put together is falling apart before it has gathered. Maybe they will unilaterally stir something up, but infa went yesterday that our Boeing is sitting tightly on the hook and that there are plans to block his access to our titanium.
    1. Danafxnumx
      Danafxnumx 5 March 2014 16: 51
      +2
      I’ll tell you more, not only Boeing ...
      We supply titanium to Europe in industrial quantities ...
    2. Penzyac
      Penzyac 6 March 2014 02: 21
      0
      That's what I'm talking about.
  4. Semenov
    Semenov 5 March 2014 08: 30
    +27
    You read articles, watch TV, dig on the Internet - and indeed, we rise from our knees! Such a powerful, huge, historical country. Or is the Olympics working?
    1. Alex toll
      Alex toll 5 March 2014 10: 52
      +6
      Energy does not disappear - Enemies are losing ground, and Russia is gaining strength !!!
      1. tolyasik0577
        tolyasik0577 5 March 2014 13: 07
        +3
        yes, huge RESPECT to Lomonosov
    2. afdjhbn67
      afdjhbn67 5 March 2014 11: 07
      +3
      like any process he went undercover, but after receiving a series of shocks, he went avalanche-like and went outside. the quantity invariably passes into the quality of Faith in the country, in its national leader, and here you are
  5. shinobi
    shinobi 5 March 2014 08: 33
    +8
    The whole situation reminds me of an anecdote about a kitchen boxer: "Hold me seven, otherwise God forbid you won't. They'll kill you!"
  6. borisjdin1957
    borisjdin1957 5 March 2014 08: 34
    +1
    from the Don.
    Insanity grows stronger!
    1. Kite
      Kite 5 March 2014 13: 33
      +4
      Only one useful thought slipped through them! I would support a visa restriction for officials. Neh to our officials (small and medium level) to do there! And businessmen are already being given a second reason to think: do we need to export our capital from Russia?
  7. Vladimirets
    Vladimirets 5 March 2014 08: 34
    +4
    "China will derive the maximum benefit from the sanctions: it will immediately intensify trade contacts with Russia and replace many Western partners. Already, trade between our countries is about $ 100 million."

    A mistake in the sum, don’t you?
    1. Letun
      Letun 5 March 2014 09: 47
      0
      Yeah, also 100 million seemed suspiciously small. For what period though? Or rather confused at the zeros.
      1. bif
        bif 5 March 2014 14: 42
        +3
        Quote: Letun
        Yeah, also 100 million seemed suspiciously small. For what period though? Or rather confused at the zeros.

        The error is not in numbers, but in letters - not MILLION, but BILLION ... but everything else is correct, well, they forgot about Iran in vain ... the bug is small, but ... a lot of "dirty tricks" can be made to our "partners".
        1. mamba
          mamba 5 March 2014 16: 17
          0
          Quote: bif
          The error is not in the numbers, but in the letters - not MLN, but MLRD ... and so everything else is true

          Indeed, the error came from the author. Russia and China planned to reach the sum of 100 billion dollars a year in trade turnover in 2015. A new challenge is 200 billion by 2020. In 2012, trade between our countries amounted to $ 90 billion. According to the results of 2013 - 88 billion.
        2. Danafxnumx
          Danafxnumx 5 March 2014 16: 54
          0
          Quote: bif
          Well, they forgot about Iran in vain ... the bug is small, but ... a lot of "dirty tricks" on our "partners" can.

          Of Iran’s dirty tricks, only the overlapping of the Strait of Hormuz remained ...
          1. bif
            bif 5 March 2014 19: 41
            0
            Quote: DanaF1
            Quote: bif
            Well, they forgot about Iran in vain ... the bug is small, but ... a lot of "dirty tricks" on our "partners" can.

            Of Iran’s dirty tricks, only the overlapping of the Strait of Hormuz remained ...

            Do not forget about oil barter and Iran’s powerful regional ally ... Bedouins with Jews will be so happy.
  8. shibi
    shibi 5 March 2014 08: 40
    +24
    Yes, agree!
    1. Boris55
      Boris55 5 March 2014 08: 51
      +6
      Quote: sibi
      Yes, agree!

      And where will they go? Putin put them tightly on the pipe ... soon we will fail another.

      1. Manul
        Manul 5 March 2014 15: 30
        +3
        Quote: Boris55
        where will they go. Putin put them tightly on the pipe ... soon we will fail another.

        And everyone shouted that we were sitting on an oil needle ... That's how it is ..
        1. Danafxnumx
          Danafxnumx 5 March 2014 16: 57
          +5
          Quote: Manul
          And everyone shouted that we were sitting on an oil needle ... That's how it is ..

          well, it’s just usually the one who consumes, not the one who sells, sits on the needle ...

          but how can one not justify power?
        2. Penzyac
          Penzyac 6 March 2014 02: 25
          0
          So the pipe has two ends.
    2. bif
      bif 5 March 2014 14: 48
      +4
      Quote: sibi
      Yes, agree!

      The season of discounts is declared closed! Ukraine has already lost for bad behavior, on the turn of 3-ka lovers of sprats and Mine camph ... But Cyprus receives a well-deserved discount - the air base and port are needed by the Russian Federation
      1. SkiF_RnD
        SkiF_RnD 6 March 2014 03: 20
        +1
        Only we will have a shortage of currency, and they will go around the world next winter.

        So the pipe has two ends.
  9. Wiruz
    Wiruz 5 March 2014 08: 41
    +6
    Gentlemen, it seems to me, or is this Kerry ... well of that ... well, in relation to whom you need to be tolerant? I just watched his press conference yesterday ... a normal man wouldn’t say that.
    1. Terrible ensign
      Terrible ensign 5 March 2014 08: 45
      +2
      Apparently, a very ... that ...
      1. mamba
        mamba 5 March 2014 16: 44
        +2
        Quote: Scary ensign
        Apparently, a very ... that ...

        Here are quotes from his speech when he signed the UN declaration on non-discrimination of gay people: “Defending equal rights for the LGBT community is not just right. This is fundamental in the struggle for democracy and human rights ... Together today, we send an unequivocal and convincing signal, not only in support of gays and lesbians around the world, but also in support of the fundamental values ​​of this institution. ” According to him, the adoption and signing of such documents becomes a condition of partnership in the international arena.
      2. Penzyac
        Penzyac 6 March 2014 02: 31
        0
        Oh, how "nasty"!
    2. Orik
      Orik 5 March 2014 09: 59
      +2
      Quote: Wiruz
      Gentlemen, it seems to me, or is this Kerry ... well of that ... well, in relation to whom you need to be tolerant? I just watched his press conference yesterday ... a normal man wouldn’t say that.

      They are all there pi ............
    3. And Us Rat
      And Us Rat 5 March 2014 11: 30
      +7
      Quote: Wiruz
      Gentlemen, it seems to me, or is this Kerry ... well of that ... well, in relation to whom you need to be tolerant? I just watched his press conference yesterday ... a normal man wouldn’t say that.

      He is just an old infantile senile idealist, he is not friends with reality. laughing
  10. Wiruz
    Wiruz 5 March 2014 08: 42
    +8
    Sending US Navy to the Black Sea

    Well, right, it’s relatively not deep there, it will be easier to get it later laughing
    1. abrakadabre
      abrakadabre 5 March 2014 11: 46
      +3
      Well, right, it’s relatively not deep there, it will be easier to get it later
      It depends on where. If already in the territorial waters of Independent Crimea, then yes. And if closer to the middle or the Bosphorus and the Turkish coast, then it is very deep, over 1 km, and in a considerable part, over 2 km.
      1. Danafxnumx
        Danafxnumx 5 March 2014 17: 01
        +2
        Quote: abrakadabre
        And if it is closer to the middle or the Bosphorus and the Turkish coast, then it is very deep, beyond 1 km, and in a considerable part beyond 2 km.

        may they be drowned right in the Bosphorus ... violation of the convention of 1936 of the year ...
        we have the right not only to sink the enemy, but also to attach the Bosphorus, since the Turks can not cope ...
  11. major071
    major071 5 March 2014 08: 43
    +12
    In short: The West turned out to be impotent.

    And by 200%. It's like in a joke: "- Doctor, my husband is 200% impotent. - I don't understand how it is? I know 100%. - Do you understand the doctor, except that his organ is not working, so he fell down yesterday, bit his tongue and broke all my fingers! " One to one! laughing
  12. Orakyl
    Orakyl 5 March 2014 08: 49
    +25
    I suggest using the situation for my own purposes.
    <br>• freezing Russian assets;
    In addition to money, assets are land, factories, equipment, in Russia, if there is something abroad, it is several times less than in our territory their assets (in the form of our privatized enterprises) and this is an excellent reason to return them back
    • introduction of visa restrictions;
    it’s very interesting to look at those countries that will not let our tourists go, at least let me name one! Greece? Spain? Italy? Germany?
    • obstruction in foreign trade;
    as always blurted did not think, i.e. gas oil does not deliver to Europe? By this they encroach on the energy security of the EU, do they know something?
    • official condemnation of the Russian position at the UN;
    everything is short, the veto of China, with whom we are becoming more friends against ....
    • the refusal of Western leaders to participate in the Sochi G8 summit, as well as the exclusion of Russia from this club;
    zero multiply by zero will be zero, so you can express yourself about this organization, which organization can be called as long as Russia is in it!
    • mobilization of troops in NATO countries bordering Ukraine;
    I'm interested in which countries of NATO, the EU are ready to receive coffins from Ukraine in thousands? ask Germany, she is in the know.
    • sending the US Navy to the Black Sea.
    Wellcome! and what will you do there? one went and he ran aground, still can not take off!
    The Russians have a saying: for one beaten, they give two not beaten! so, now we are grated executioners and the rebuff will be, as they say: mother do not grieve!
    1. Fin
      Fin 5 March 2014 15: 05
      +3
      Quote: Orakyl
      • sending the US Navy to the Black Sea.
      Wellcome! and what will you do there? one went and he ran aground, still can not take off!

      These are targets in a closed lake for aviation, coastal complexes, and the navy.
    2. Manul
      Manul 5 March 2014 15: 33
      +1
      Quote: Orakyl
      • mobilization of troops in NATO countries bordering Ukraine;
      I'm interested in which countries of NATO, the EU are ready to receive coffins from Ukraine in thousands?

      But I’m wondering which country can really fight with us, is there any rating of NATO units, which is cooler? I don’t mention America.
    3. Danafxnumx
      Danafxnumx 5 March 2014 17: 04
      +2
      Quote: Orakyl
      official condemnation of the Russian position at the UN;
      everything is short, the veto of China, with whom we are becoming more friends against ....

      I’ll tell you more, there and our veto is quite enough wink
  13. nemec55
    nemec55 5 March 2014 08: 50
    +12
    Thank you for the article, the analysis. God forbid that this is how it was. And for the Crimea, Vladimir Vladimirovich bow low and a huge THANKS.
  14. igordok
    igordok 5 March 2014 08: 52
    +10
    A friend of mine works at a plant (OJSC with US financial participation) for the production of multifunctional CNC machines. And he was pinned when a nameplate with the inscription "Made in USA" was put on these machines. I wonder if the sanctions will come out more sideways, us or striped.
  15. parusnik
    parusnik 5 March 2014 08: 57
    +4
    And there will be sanctions .. turn off the gas ... And so cool .. EU from the USA like laboratory rats rushing back and forth in a glass aquarium, the walls of which are a treat ..
  16. Yaromir
    Yaromir 5 March 2014 09: 00
    +5
    The behavior of the United States now resembles an agony, accompanied by the collapse of hegemony in the world. European countries are slowly, but with an eye, begin to try to independently assess the situation and make decisions that are beneficial for it - this is good. At most one more provocation by the United States and this country will order "live long" - that's great. I hope to live to see the collapse of the "hegemon of the world" and dance on the bones of American cheap diplomacy. "Where is the strength of a brother - strength is a brother in truth."
  17. Known who
    Known who 5 March 2014 09: 00
    +4
    Whatever they say, but the presence of the dollar as the main reserve currency is the strongest, but also the weakest spot in the entire US-Western economy. To restore order in the world, it is necessary to abandon the dollar and switch to other types of currency, for example, in barrels, bitcoins, or you need to create your own (together with several countries) - then everything will fall into place.
  18. from punk
    from punk 5 March 2014 09: 04
    +1
    a pitiful sight meeting of the "leaders" of ukraine and kerry
    1. Penzyac
      Penzyac 6 March 2014 02: 44
      0
      "Leaders" only with the letter "P", the fisherman sees the fisherman from afar or with whom you lead - that and the "partner".
  19. both s69
    both s69 5 March 2014 09: 05
    +9
    Well, gentlemen, comrades, have we really survived, finally, to the time when Russia can truly and equally snarl the West? I am sure GDP knows what it is doing. good
    As for some respected members of the forum, who expressed bewilderment at the statement of the GDP that the RF Armed Forces are not on the territory of Ukraine. I will make my humble assumption. Surely many of those who heard the press conference of the first person of the state drew attention to the phrase he casually and jokingly threw at the reporter of the Reuters agency, its meaning is approximately the following: "The language was given to the diplomat in order to HIDE his thoughts." Is the President of the country a diplomat? Sure! Further. Pay attention to HOW the Russian mass media call the armed formations - SELF-DEFENSE UNITS. In Sevastopol - a Russian naval base; IT IS UNDERSTANDING that these armed formations are de facto one of the subdivisions of the RF Armed Forces. Therefore, I somehow do not quite understand the skepticism of some forum participants that Putin did not directly call the self-defense forces of the ARC Russian troops. The same should be read "between the lines". Hello everyone! hi
    1. Danafxnumx
      Danafxnumx 5 March 2014 17: 08
      0
      Quote: both-with 69
      Therefore, I somehow do not quite understand the skepticism of some forum participants that Putin did not directly call the self-defense forces of the ARC Russian troops. The same should be read "between the lines". Hello everyone!

      but don’t call it, from the very beginning it was clear that it was ours ...

      and the form, and body kit, and collimators ...
  20. both s69
    both s69 5 March 2014 09: 10
    +6
    It's just that Mr. Putin is an intelligence officer, and therefore he can (and often does) present an OBVIOUS FACT to EVERYONE in such a way that the listener, in addition to the basic information, would be tormented by its latent meaning. This is how they bring up "Stirlitz", nothing can be done with these ... lol
  21. Fess
    Fess 5 March 2014 09: 16
    +4
    I do not think that there will be real economic sanctions from the West. America and Europe are not Russia, where Putin's opinion is decisive. The threat of losing money will force American and European businesses to seek leverage in parliaments and governments. Deciding on sanctions will not be easy. I think we can really be proud of our foreign policy - we really beat all external situations in our favor. The West has spent energy on overthrowing power in Ukraine, trying to put pressure on us, but there is a good chance that in the end Ukraine will return to us again. Economic problems without us in Ukraine cannot be resolved. We will be able to annihilate any infusion of funds from the West by gas prices and the overlapping of our market. As a result, you have to negotiate with Moscow.
  22. Auralski
    Auralski 5 March 2014 09: 17
    +9
    In my opinion, there is a strain in the States with good diplomats. Apparently used to, having threatened with a big club and buying local banderlogs, you can solve your problems. And it did. Here are the brains and soured. Against the backdrop of our President, they look like clowns, only evil. I'm actually not very impressionable, but listening to Putin’s interview, I was struck by his ability to think clearly and state clearly. And for some reason, a feeling of pride began to arise that I, too, am Russian.
  23. vasiliy2310
    vasiliy2310 5 March 2014 09: 21
    +3
    We have bears walking in the streets and drinking vodka with men)
    1. Alex 241
      Alex 241 5 March 2014 09: 24
      +8
      Turn on the brain charging and get started!
    2. Alex 241
      Alex 241 5 March 2014 09: 50
      +19
      Quote: vasiliy2310
      We have bears walking in the streets and drinking vodka with men)

      Yes easily laughing
  24. albert
    albert 5 March 2014 09: 33
    +24
    Here is a good demotivator too
  25. Gagarin
    Gagarin 5 March 2014 09: 35
    +5
    Article on EXCELLENT!
    God grant that everything will turn out like that!
  26. from punk
    from punk 5 March 2014 09: 51
    +1
    just like a character from a second-rate Hollywood movie
  27. 1Andrei
    1Andrei 5 March 2014 09: 51
    +6
    Yesterday I listened to "this" with the permission of John Kerry, Mr. ..., you know, it already looks like insanity. I wanted to spit in the direction of the TV, but my body did not give out saliva (flu) ... I thought at first, and then I remembered how we in the late 80s and 90s, they expected handouts from these citizens ... It became so embarrassing for Russia (USSR), and for ourselves ... Still, what a long-suffering and Great people WE are and we are quietly establishing and helping others .And WE WILL HELP THEM to part with the idea of ​​enslaving all peoples. After all, the Communists were right about them.
  28. asergu
    asergu 5 March 2014 09: 51
    +13
    And I liked Putin's phrase:
    “I sometimes get the impression that there, behind a big puddle, some employees of a laboratory are sitting and, like on rats, some are conducting experiments, not understanding the consequences of what they are doing,” Putin said. I had to do this? Who can explain? "
    http://izvestia.ru/news/566953
  29. from punk
    from punk 5 March 2014 09: 52
    +1
    and did you bring the buns to us? belay
  30. from punk
    from punk 5 March 2014 09: 53
    +2
    belay and did you bring the buns to us?
    1. Orik
      Orik 5 March 2014 10: 00
      +3
      Quote: punk
      belay and did you bring the buns to us?

      Yes, I also did not see the cookies, the campaign is a crisis.
    2. 1Andrei
      1Andrei 5 March 2014 10: 04
      0
      on another loaf, do not open your mouth
      1. from punk
        from punk 5 March 2014 14: 14
        +1
        fed promises. calmed down his exchanges and left
  31. Tihonoff
    Tihonoff 5 March 2014 10: 42
    +3
    I heard in the news - Finland has released a new concept car. It is assembled exclusively from plywood and other lumber and runs on fuel from sawdust and wood bark. Probably the Finns are thus insured against the sanctions promised by the United States and partners in relation to Russia. And what really their cars will be in demand in Europe;)
    1. abrakadabre
      abrakadabre 5 March 2014 11: 51
      +4
      I heard in the news - Finland has released a new concept car. It is assembled exclusively from plywood and other lumber and runs on fuel from sawdust and wood bark. Probably the Finns are thus insured against the sanctions promised by the United States and partners in relation to Russia. And what really their cars will be in demand in Europe;)
      Will not work. Sawdust and lumber are also supplied. There are not even enough coffins in Europe. And you want them to drown with firewood.
      There is best practice here - Bakiyev at one time suggested that citizens of Kyrgyzstan use dung to heat. Well, let Europe take over under sanctions.
  32. sprut
    sprut 5 March 2014 10: 46
    +2
    Yes, even if there will be a blockade, some sanctions, we are only better off from this - we will develop our production. At heart, I want Eastern Ukraine (Little Russia or New Russia) to join Russia, and sanctions - yes, do not care for them!
  33. Dan Slav
    Dan Slav 5 March 2014 11: 00
    +1
    Well, they discussed the analytics and Kerry. In the bottom line, they are supposedly in flight. I was glad.
    Only the price tags in banks, and soon in stores, at gas stations, at cash desks, will tell you something completely different.
    Russia has never had any allies. And the country has not learned how to find, educate, feed and support the country. This is because, like N years ago, everything depends on the imperious shout from above.
    There is no normal system of governance in the country, there are no values ​​that would be promoted and presented to the world, there is no real economy that works stably and according to a clear plan. Yes, and the people have no income. And this is indicative of the rest of the world and for our people.
    You can shout arbitrarily about apartments and cars, but this is in a few cities. And then 20 km from them and pi..dets. There is nothing. And there is no prospect that the worst.
    That is, the ostentatious picture of the state was created, but they were not puzzled by the content. Alas!
    Rallying society under the pretext of war with Ukraine, Georgia, USA, ... fig. The first in power will quiver. This shows the experience of Yanukovych. These tear so that the heels sparkle. Yes, and they are all already there. Families, real estate, wealth - all this has long been in the West and the United States.
    But ordinary people will again swell. IMHO!
    Before crowing about Crimea, it would be worth thinking.
    Or is it the surrender of the country under the dressing of the latest economic collapse.
    Or another launch of the economy with the cheapening of the cost of labor and the cheapening of the ruble. Duc, maybe it could have been done somehow nicely.
    1. Viktor.N.Aleksandrov.
      Viktor.N.Aleksandrov. 5 March 2014 15: 02
      0
      We have always had enough pessimists. But to start with something you have to! The fact that some of them "shriek" somewhere, so it's good. It would be optimal if we would get rid of most of our oligarchs, nationalize the oil and other extractive industries, through which the main outflow of our capital goes abroad. Then we could bring prices back to normal and make some plans.
    2. Fin
      Fin 5 March 2014 15: 14
      0
      You calm down please, and try without suicide.
      Is it really that bad?
    3. Spare
      Spare 5 March 2014 16: 39
      +1
      Your name is not Andrei Kozyrev? He also lamented how destitute when Primakov turned over the Atlantic.
    4. viach
      viach 11 March 2014 10: 17
      0
      Well, of course! How can it be without the speeches of the members of the 5th column of Russia! I visit Russia and, far from large cities. Therefore, I can safely say "further 20 km" is not at all as bad as this enemy is trying to imagine! My son lives in Russia and he says - those who want to live normally, they work, but they don't pay money for talking with their tongues!
  34. Not served
    Not served 5 March 2014 11: 27
    +3
    Asset arrest smiled laughing In response, the arrest of the assets of Shlyumov, Halov, Shel, ConocoPhillips. repeat
    45% percent of a / m to Russia is strong. How many people will fall under dismissal, and they and the business will come for compensation. Of course, you can do geo-politics, but what ??? Nothing personal just business.
    Everything else is not serious.
    If they take care of our officials, then we are only "for". Help in the fight against corruption. By the way, the source of corruption in business initially (and taught by the way) were precisely Western companies. I once came across the fact that in Germany, a businessman in the event of exporting products to Russia could receive up to 10% of the contract amount in cash from the bank.
    Worse is another, as I already wrote. They will try to translate everything into the legal plane, and international arbitration is their product. A precedent may arise for assets in Ukraine, which will now begin to give loans. Then there will be arrests of accounts in fulfillment of a debt, and so on. And we have nothing to oppose, we only need to create something of our own ...
    1. Viktor.N.Aleksandrov.
      Viktor.N.Aleksandrov. 5 March 2014 15: 05
      +1
      Well, we ourselves have enough lawyers, even in abundance. And under the loans, we could long ago take away the entire industry of Ukraine and undress their oligarchs to the bottom.
  35. Robert Nevsky
    Robert Nevsky 5 March 2014 11: 38
    +16
    We are Russians - that's why we will win!
  36. Free Island
    Free Island 5 March 2014 11: 45
    +2
    An interesting article, but I just don’t see the point in procrastinating this topic. In 2008, after compelling Saakashvili to a low-calorie tie diet, the United States (and NATO), because of their military helplessness, did they also impose sanctions on something to do with Russia .... the result? The United States itself lost a bunch of dough, Geyropa nearly froze, plunging for a couple of days in the Middle Ages (when Gazporm type plannedly shut the gas valve for geyropeytsami :)))))) .... oh yes ... I remember the buck then from 24 rubles to 30 jumped up ... almost 6 years have passed since then and Russia continued to develop, rise, arm and become the leading player in the international arena ..... so this is all self-satisfaction of the American administration and nothing more. We put on their sanctions
  37. dFG
    dFG 5 March 2014 12: 11
    +4
    article plus ... but the truth is now not the 91st year, and there’s no reason to scare anyone by threatening to deprive consumer goods of the country
  38. Earnest
    Earnest 5 March 2014 12: 41
    +2
    Already, trade between our countries is about 100 million dollars.
    I'm sorry, but ...
    The Federal Customs Service of the Russian Federation notes that in the 2013 year, from the beginning of the year, the trade turnover between Russia and the People's Republic of China [China] grew by 3% compared to the figures of the previous [2012] year, and in absolute terms in January of this year Reached $ 6,1 Billion. Source - http://finliga.com/news/tovarooborot_rossii_rf_s_kitaem_vyiros_na_3.html
  39. Stinger
    Stinger 5 March 2014 13: 05
    +1
    In the photo, well, just like Jesus Christ at the fork between hell and paradise.
  40. both s69
    both s69 5 March 2014 13: 32
    +1
    Quote: Stinger
    In the photo, well, just like Jesus Christ at the fork between hell and paradise.

    Now is the time of Great Lent for Orthodox Christians, and you have given a very incorrect comparison. Do not do (say) stupidity, even if there is nothing to do. You are minus. Excuse me. negative
  41. operator35
    operator35 5 March 2014 13: 35
    +1
    and look at the photo of Carrie, if you pull off the skin, is he not a senator by accident from Jupiter ??? spilled alien)))
  42. miland
    miland 5 March 2014 13: 55
    0
    Putin explained everything perfectly to reporters yesterday. He said as it is. Well done. We must reckon with Russia.
  43. medvedleopard
    medvedleopard 5 March 2014 14: 19
    +2
    wassat angry soldierKerry has a grade 3 Mammadov Schmeisel syndrome
  44. iConst
    iConst 5 March 2014 14: 36
    0
    Quote: mpa945
    ... within the borders of the left Dnieper + Odessa, Nikolaev, Kherson and Transnistria. The support of the Turks and Chinese will be ours.
    Yeah, the Turks and the Chinese ... And who asked the local population? Here I have good friends from the Donetsk region - so they watched our TV and were very surprised.
    According to them, there are people against Bender, but no one is calling Russia. And they certainly don’t want to separate.
    I won’t say for Crimea - maybe. Yes, he was never Ukrainian.

    So not the whole truth about Ukraine seems to us.
    1. Viktor.N.Aleksandrov.
      Viktor.N.Aleksandrov. 5 March 2014 15: 08
      0
      Well, about the southeast, no one is particularly deceived. There is no leader there.
    2. Zhiharka
      Zhiharka 5 March 2014 17: 52
      0
      There is no truth yet, now the commotion is on.
      Nobody is pulling Ukraine into Russia! They are only told that they will fall into bondage.
      There were pirates of the 20th century, and now pirates of the 21st century - the Cold War against the USSR and Russia, and all the former republics continues, and no matter how all the Westerners smiled at us, they only have one thing to wipe us off the face of the earth. The game is a game of politicians and money wallets.
  45. jack1
    jack1 5 March 2014 15: 11
    +2
    The crisis of 2008 was also said to not affect Russia. And what is the result? For ordinary people and small entrepreneurs, there is no winning side. Still suffer losses.
    Well, about a strong Russia, the author soon gives out what is desired for the reality. A little respite after the 90s, one ambitious, successful politician and all. We are still very, very far from restoring and becoming a serious and competitively capable country.
    I am a citizen of the Russian Federation and sincerely want everything to be fine with us, but for this you need to work a lot, make up for lost time!
  46. Strashila
    Strashila 5 March 2014 15: 20
    0
    "The Federation Council is preparing amendments on the confiscation of assets of US and EU companies in response to sanctions against Russia" ... and what does this mean ... and this means a lot that in one fell swoop the state can take control over all offshore or non-transparent participants, where there is no specific Russian participation, companies in strategic areas and the defense industry ...
    As there Comedy Club ... Wellcome that rush, instructions for survival.
    So who else will benefit from sanctions.
  47. Alekseir162
    Alekseir162 5 March 2014 15: 34
    +1
    Now, a brief list of possible actions by the West looks like this:

    • freezing Russian assets;
    • introduction of visa restrictions;
    • obstruction in foreign trade;
    • official condemnation of the Russian position at the UN;
    • the refusal of Western leaders to participate in the Sochi G8 summit, as well as the exclusion of Russia from this club;
    • mobilization of troops in NATO countries bordering Ukraine;
    • sending the US Navy to the Black Sea.

    1. Zhiharka
      Zhiharka 5 March 2014 17: 53
      0
      Smiled, it is necessary to review the film))
  48. Arkan
    Arkan 5 March 2014 16: 49
    0
    Kerya and Obamko scared ....... Everything is interconnected. As it comes around, it will respond. Maybe the sanctions and the increase in other colored paper will push us to develop our own industry, otherwise Madein is tired of it.
  49. Snoop
    Snoop 5 March 2014 17: 19
    0
    Let the accounts freeze ... especially our officials)))) I only for!))
  50. Zhiharka
    Zhiharka 5 March 2014 17: 45
    0
    For me, let all these leeches be unfastened from us!
    We will feed ourselves, only raise collective farms! Their GMO pork has already been blasted.
    So no. they like that louse clung tightly to us, than they just did not drive)))