How much is the invasion today?
As promised to the readers, a meeting with the analyst took place. It lasted more than planned, almost five hours, and it was agreed on just a whole series of articles. However, the format allows only one article, but everything that does not enter the article, of course, also will not be lost. It is on this information that I will now rely on in my analyzes, if I have to write them.The main topic of conversation this time was not the situation in Ukraine. It is clear in principle, but what is happening around this situation, around this country. What they say behind dusty curtains and what American politicians dream of. This was our conversation, and we hasten to share our analytical with our readers the news. This is mostly good news.
As a matter of fact, so far only one problem existed for Putin: How to fight with the state in which the brothers live. Putin once said that it was scary to even imagine that we would have to fight with Ukraine and send our missiles there. Exactly this kept him from a more advanced answer. However, as time went on, the emotions subsided, and the exit became apparent. After the overthrow of Yanukovych and his escape, Putin had a golden chance to solve all the problems in his hands — the legitimate president, whom politicians around the world have to admit. The United States and Europe were afraid of this and kept saying all the time that Yanukovych needed to be found, saying that he had some kind of secret information. In fact, they were afraid of exactly what happened. Putin simply read their minds and realized what the cry "hold the thief" about. If Yanukovych fell into the hands of Americans, they would be much calmer. Not a single word of Yanukovych would fall into the Internet. Yanukovych, in turn, is a coward and a thief, but not a fool at all, to be captured by the Americans, then in a prison cell at the trial, and then simply failing to turn into a stuffed villain. On the whole, everything is clear with Yanukovych, he will publicly sing the right arias, especially since no one in Russia suffers and at any moment he can “let go of Russia, even without his desire.”
Now it was the turn to rush west late. Western "Journalists" (as the editorial office calls journalists writing analytics) immediately began to analyze the situation and drive the picture, the problem is that the picture was not correct. Only one is not the biggest example: a journalist writing for one of the Canadian publications Matt Kwong, speaking about the release of Tymoshenko, which allegedly became for Putin the need for further cooperation: “Putin should have swallowed his pride and say:“ I know the least measure of this devil ” ". We knew about Putin’s activity in this area and supported his development scenario. We can say that Tymoshenko’s release from prison “did not play”, but we can say that Tymoshenko’s exit and her appearance on Maidan clearly separated the “wild protesters” and the lured opposition. So it turned out to be two unequal parts. Therefore, Tymoshenko realized that her access to the political scene is so far inappropriate. But Putin will not have to “swallow his pride.” In a possible play called “Tymoshenko’s Entry into the Political Scene,” Putin is not just an actor, but also a director. Who can say that "Putin will have to do what Putin has already done and will gladly do it again." For Putin, Tymoshenko is still the debtor for the short delivery of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. Tymoshenko's arrival is just one of the prepared scenarios. And there are probably at least five of them like Putin, as they say, knowledgeable people. The stork did not speak hurriedly, he clearly knew more. I chewed and listened, probably in amazement, sometimes forgetting to close my mouth.
Now there is talk of a boycott of the eight in Sochi. This is an unlikely event, but not even an important one. As they say the blow is weak, but not accurate. After the triumphant Olympic Games and the impressive victory of Russia, one can say that everything else is no longer important. An interesting note. Sometimes they say that Russia bought players and gave them citizenship, so she succeeded a lot. It really is. But the conclusion from this is quite different. Putin, as the president of his country, is taking the right steps in order to lead his country to the leaders, if Russian athletes cannot yet do this. This is the Olympic Games of Putin, he achieved it in Sochi, he built it in Sochi, and he won it in Sochi. Of course, not himself, but with his active and decisive participation. And notice, while everyone is celebrating, he modestly stands aside. This man will lead the country to greater prosperity, and the West to lingering despondency.
The US president says that Russia will have to pay for actions in the Crimea. This is a fantastic scenario. Putin may say that everyone has to pay for everything. The USA also had to pay for its militaristic policy in Georgia. Israel has been paying for it for several years. Cooperation with Israel is minimized and the "warriors in hats" were left without money. Russia, after having taught Saakashvili, seriously showed that she did not intend to joke around her borders, besides, in the case of Ukraine, much greater interest was shown, in fact, in blood. Recently, a specialist planning the collapse of the USSR, and now Russia - Mr. Brzezinski, said in a private conversation that Putin would lose this battle. He does not have the courage to throw the glove to the West. Looks like he was wrong again. He also spoke about Georgia in 2008. Putin makes Brzezinski mistaken over and over again, this is becoming a system error. The matrix has become worthless, and there is nothing else.
Our authors in articles have long said that the United States has a catastrophic crisis with staff. There are no trained high class diplomats. This is obvious in stories with the appointment of a new ambassador to Moscow, to the place of “Yanukovically” escaped McFaul. For a diplomat to curtail matters for a month, this is just a stampede. It usually takes up to six months. Who are they planning to nominate now? All the same old Rosianants of Don Quixote, on which horseshoes no longer hold. Obama himself is also unfit for service. So it is not necessary to rely on any serious answer. Well, yes, there will be some attempts, but they are to Putin - that the elephant is a grain.
Especially interesting is the part where we talked about forecasts. I am always fascinated by its numbers and unique ability to sort everything out. We touched on several comparative opportunities. The probability of a boycott of the Summit in Sochi is 5: 8. This is explained by the fact that the West has an opportunity in Sochi to “rinse” Russia for Ukraine and try to humiliate Russia where Russia recently celebrated the Olympic triumph. This is a kind of magic obsession of the West, a fad. They will try to smudge the Russian victory in the same way as they are now struggling with defeat in 1945. However, neither of them will succeed.
The forecast for the separation of Crimea is exactly positive in the ratio of 8: 5 with the trend on 9: 4. There are some opportunities that are still poorly used now, but may be used more aggressively already this week. Russia is obliged to increase the information pressure on Ukraine, Europe and the United States. The pressure should be different, point for each. For example, Ukraine should use information about the hidden actions of the United States in Ukraine that led to massacres and the requirement to investigate the actions of the American ambassador. The fact is that the American ambassador to the United States is for nobody. He can be openly criticized and talked about his real role in the murder of Ukrainian citizens.
Europe needs to talk about Ukraine’s debts and Russia's determination to get them at any cost. Europe is very indecisive now. And such information will certainly force the West to retreat. Everything needs to be more widely publish what is happening. Thus, in Europe, there is a request for rebellion and struggle with its own authorities. In such cases, the West will be vitally interested in curtailing the concert and come to terms with what happened, so that the flames would not spread to the EU, and today it is easy.
For the US, it is necessary to show the activity of China in Ukraine, which sent a delegation to deal with the missing 3 billions of dollars allocated to Ukraine. This information does not please the United States. They love to count the money that can be obtained from the eared aborigines. But it seems there is no such possibility. If Ukraine is throwing Chinese, then this is a real indicator of what will happen to American money too.
It must be said that the levers of influence on Ukraine are Putin’s car and a small truck. Here the Russian president, just do not be lazy to choose. Here and export to Russia, which in the case of overlap necessarily bring to the streets of hundreds of thousands of citizens. These citizens will sweep away any government. The same gas and everything else. There are of course not only sticks, but also gingerbread. All the same under-received loan, which was ordered not to take exactly the western "advisers". Ukraine should be a debtor of the West, not the Russians. Now extremely important information roll. Do not keep silent, widely and extensively cover events. The stork said that, according to his information, Ukrainian activists were already at the gunpoint of the GRU. At one point, they may simply not be. All at once. If this happens, then the Ukrainian gangsters will do very badly.
The threats of the USA and other countries are rather hypothetical. Of course, Putin will not conquer Ukraine, he simply does not need it. Putin needs a pro-Russian independent Ukraine. As for the Crimea, it was Russian and will be Russian, this nonsense that lasted 60 for years, when the Crimea belonged to Ukraine was already over. NATO looks very interesting right now. Of course, they are going to decide something there, but in reality they themselves are afraid that they will have to deal with Russia. If Putin will only hint at the Strategic Missile Forces and lead them to increased combat readiness. All at once are blown away, instantly.
Nevertheless, all these questions are not the main ones. The eternal question of all times and peoples - where to get money, is more relevant for Ukraine than ever. The existing model of unprofitable economy seriously strains the world community. Public demands for money annoy the head of the IMF, Christine Lagarde. She believes that Ukraine does not need to demand some transcendental sums. That nothing supernatural happens. The other politicians consider the same. Now they are trying to sell Ukraine from European hands to American ones. In fact, the Americans are all arranged. So the customer received the goods. Today, American politicians are talking about the possible support of the Ukrainian economy and even its financing, up to and including recovery from the crisis. However, these guys do not know what to get involved. No matter how much money you give, everything will be stolen. Such Ukraine is a state. So who will help? Well, of course, the same EU will participate without the United States, but the amounts will be an order of magnitude lower. And of course it won't be 35 billion. The price of gas is still critical here and a discount is very important which allows you to pay 268 dollars instead of 400. If Ukraine cannot receive gas at a low price, then getting a bride with such a “dowry” is not a great pleasure. With such a gas price, Putin is able to overturn any economy in Ukraine. Even now, when relations between countries are not brilliant, Ukraine still sits on the neck of Russia. The debt is more than $ 1,5 billion. In such circumstances, the US, having signed up to help Ukraine, is actually paying Putin. The problem is that the USA has no money. So again have to turn on the machine. This is a very expensive pleasure and the president of the United States risks unbalancing his own economy. All statements of exit from the crisis are not true. The crisis has not gone anywhere. The whole song ends exactly there. Now they are increasingly talking about expelling Russia from G8, who will remain there? Eight without Russia is nonsense. In fact, she has outlived herself. Nothing happens there. As for the next meeting scheduled for early June, the likelihood of a boycott of the summit in Sochi is still 5: 8. By that time, it is possible to forget about the Crimea, about the Russian Crimea.
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