Military Review

Stratfor: 2014 year will be critical for Russia

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Stratfor: 2014 year will be critical for RussiaRussia and others


In the forecast of the American non-state analytical center Stratfor, Russia appears to be a global power, striving to retain the old and build new positions in the world, flexible in foreign economic strategy and capable of diplomatic policy compromises.

Europe will prefer confrontational concessions to Russia in all areas, Germany will become a mediator in solving the most difficult issues. Russia's positions will improve in the Middle East and in relations with China and Japan.

Moscow will be able to prevent the rapprochement of Georgia and Moldova with the European Union, maintain and strengthen its influence in Azerbaijan and Armenia, have a significant impact on the presidential elections in Ukraine at the beginning of 2015, and the Eurasian Partnership project will be strengthened and expanded at the expense of the countries of Central Asia. For all of this, Russia has one year — 2014 — as long as the United States is absorbed in negotiations with Iran.

“Russia has a limited amount of time before the US takes advantage of detente with Iran (which will ease their burden in the Middle East) and pay attention to other regions of the world, including those neighboring Russia. Although Russia will continue to try to control the levers in the Middle East in order to secretly complicate US plans in the region, it will not be able to interfere with the treaty between Washington and Tehran, ”the document says.

Paul Goble (CIA), an analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency, is skeptical about the geopolitical role of Russia. In his opinion, Stratfor traditionally exaggerates the scale of Russia's influence in the world.

“As usual, Stratfor suffers from a fundamental misunderstanding of the situation, representing Russia's efforts inevitably doomed to success. They tend to confuse flatulence with real influence. As a result, in their analyzes, Moscow looks stronger than it actually is, and the West looks weaker. I do not think that Moscow will be more successful in the “near abroad” this year than it has ever been before, ”Dr. Goble told Voice of America.

Instability in the Kremlin and on the streets

At the same time, analysts at Stratfor say, inside the country, the leadership of Russia faces equally serious challenges: disagreements within the Kremlin, economic instability and growing “autocracy” of Vladimir Putin will serve as a bad tool for sustainable stability.

Russia, according to the authors of the document, is moving towards a more authoritarian regime. The concentration of power in the hands of one leader in the long run will play against stability in Russia.

“The tools used by Russian President Vladimir Putin to resurrect the Russian state are worn out. An unhealthy economy will contribute to social unrest in Russia, while state mechanisms traditionally used to control these unrest lose their influence. Putin will be able to cope with growing instability in the Kremlin and on the streets, but in the process, he will make the state more dependent on himself and thus more vulnerable in the long run, ”Stratfor analysis says.

According to Stratfor experts, stagnation in the economy will force Russia to look for an alternative to vulnerable energy-oriented economic policies. Russia's energy sector will continue to move away from the monolithic state block, which is almost entirely focused on Europe, to more competitive forms, although the state influence will remain strong. There will be more players in the industry, such as Novatek, able to compete with Gazprom and sell raw materials to a more diversified client base.

The Kremlin will have to make political reforms in 2014 to support non-energy sectors of the economy, in particular, the mining, metallurgy, construction, food and automotive industries. This initiative, Stratfor predicts, will lead to limited progress in the short term, but for this, the authorities will be forced to loosen limits on investment policy in order to make these sectors more attractive to potential investors.

“The restructuring of the economy,” the report's authors write, “will invariably lead to even greater competition between the Kremlin clans and, possibly, major government shifts, while Putin is trying to combine the management of various factions within the Kremlin with attempts to tame a disillusioned population.”

However, according to the expert of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Janusz Bugajski (CSIS), the Stratfor analysis does not mention many of Russia's internal problems.

“The Stratfor forecast ignores a number of important components of the growing domestic crisis in Russia, including the escalation of regional unrest, the wave of ethnic revival, religious polarization of society and the growth of separatist sentiments. While the North Caucasus remains a powder keg of Russia, the futsal conflict cord stretched across the entire Russian Federation - from Kaliningrad and the Middle Volga region to Siberia and the Far East, ”Bugayski told Voice of America.

Foreign maneuvering

In foreign policy, as noted above, Stratfor predicts the strengthening of Russia's position on virtually "all fronts." Although there will be unpleasant moments for the Kremlin, for example, Washington’s rapprochement with Tehran is a political move that will affect the alignment of forces not only in the Middle East region, but also on the entire planet, experts of Stratfor believe.

“Russia is nervous,” the document says, “because it understands that this rapprochement is not in its favor, it will try to quietly interfere with US plans, but it will not succeed in stopping the process. Russia will try to extract the greatest benefit from this unsuccessful combination - to force Washington to abandon European missile defense under the pretext that Iran’s military threat no longer exists. In this maneuver, Moscow will try to use relations with Berlin to create a coalition of opponents of the deployment of NATO ballistic missiles in Europe. The United States will try to avoid confrontation with Russia, but Washington will not compromise on the European missile defense plan, since such concessions are not for the good of the US allies in Eastern Europe. ”

Relations with Berlin will take a leading role for Russia’s positions in Europe, but both countries will pursue their own policies both in terms of energy strategy and in their policy towards the countries of the former USSR, mostly Ukraine, the analytical center predicts.

Gazprom will most likely have to give up in prices to European consumers, in order, first, to break through the antitrust probe of the Eurozone, and, second, to achieve the legitimation of South Stream.

Ukraine, Caucasus, Baltic

Russia will try to consolidate the successes achieved in the past year in the countries of the former USSR. This year for Ukraine will be unstable with variable activity of political protests. However, Kiev will remain under the economic and political influence of Russia until the presidential elections scheduled for the beginning of the 2015 year. The West will support opposition leaders, such as Vitali Klitschko, but Russia will be able to maintain its dominant influence in Ukraine.

Moldova and Georgia will be key points of confrontation between Russia and the West. These countries can expect the same political and economic pressure faced by Ukraine from Russia, which will make maximum efforts to prevent their further rapprochement with the European Union, experts at Stratfor say.

Russia will be too busy with Ukraine to take such a tough stance on Georgia and Moldova, objected by the President of the Jamestown Foundation in Washington, Glen Howard, The Jamestown Foundation. In his opinion, Vladimir Putin’s attempts to retain influence in the post-Soviet states threaten the security of his own positions in the Kremlin.

“In the short term, Moscow will adhere to the tactics chosen for Ukraine until Putin consolidates his position on the absorption of Ukraine and the reincarnation of the Customs Union,” said an expert in commentary for Voice of America.

However, as Howard notes, there are two trends that were observed at the end of 2013: first, Belarus and Kazakhstan publicly showed that they do not value membership in the Customs Union too much; secondly, criticism of the last agreement on the allocation of financial assistance to Ukraine signed by Putin appeared in Russia.

“The call of Navalny,“ enough to feed the Caucasus, ”has now begun to be crowded out with another appeal -“ enough to feed Ukraine, ”says Howard. “If the Russians wake up and feel that their country is buying back Ukraine, just like Germany bought Greece, then Putin may start having serious problems at home, especially during the economic downturn in Russia.”

According to Howard, Georgia’s admission to the European Union is much more powerful than in Ukraine, and even if “Vladimir Putin makes an attempt to use the same pressure as in Ukraine, his efforts will end in failure.”

Russia's western neighbors - the Baltic countries - will make progress in striving for energy independence from Moscow with the introduction of a terminal for the import of liquefied natural gas in Lithuania at the end of 2014, Stratfor predicts. At the same time, the Baltic countries will continue to struggle to obtain security commitments, which they expect from NATO and the US in the face of more “aggressive military posturing” of Russia in the region.

Russia will maintain strong positions in all three Caucasian states this year, although the US-Iran negotiations will open the door for the gradual revitalization of Iran and Turkey in the region. Iran will seek to increase social and political influence in Azerbaijan, while Turkey will try to mediate in the negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan on Nagorno-Karabakh in an attempt to resume relations with Armenia. Nevertheless, both Turkey and Iran should solve too serious tasks in other areas this year in order to achieve significant progress in the Caucasus, which will allow Russia to retain a dominant role in the region.

Asia

In an effort to expand its energy clientele beyond Europe, Moscow will deepen its relations in the Asia-Pacific region. Russian oil deals with Asian customers are already taking place, and this year Moscow will begin building infrastructure for the supply of natural gas to Asia.

China’s growing interest in Central Asia will “irritate” Moscow, Stratfor experts believe, but Russia will avoid confrontation in order to secure major energy deals with China. At the same time, Russia will gradually try to create a counterbalance to China through the warming of relations with Japan and South Korea.

Russian-Japanese relations will be particularly important in the 2014 year, when both states take concrete steps to reach a peace treaty in a territorial dispute. This will open the way for major transactions, including security cooperation, the export of Russian energy to Japan and Japanese investment in Russia.

The withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan will lead to a gradual outflow of militants, which will exacerbate the already tense security situation in Central Asia. Deterioration of security in Central Asia will be phased, not sudden and significant destabilization. Border tensions and violence in Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan will continue to pose a threat in the region.
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  1. Refund_SSSR
    Refund_SSSR 13 January 2014 09: 07
    +28
    fellow every year the same thing:
    Stratfor: 2010 will be for Russia ...
    Stratfor: 2011 will be for Russia ...
    Stratfor: 2012 will be for Russia ...
    Stratfor: 2013 will be for Russia ...
    Now we got to 2014 ... We’d have watched
    1. Vadivak
      Vadivak 13 January 2014 09: 17
      +11
      Quote: We refund_SSSR
      Stratfor: 2010 will be for Russia


      Let's still be more objective

      Stratfor analysts believe that 2010 will be a year of consolidation for Russia, which "will be the culmination of efforts undertaken over the years" by its leadership. "In the coming year, Russia will liquidate the bulk of what remains of the influence of the West and Turkey in Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Belarus, Armenia and Azerbaijan, and will try to lay the foundations for re-creating a political union in a large part of the post-Soviet space,"

      STRATFOR 2011 The Russian economy will continue to grow by inertia, relying on favorable export conditions. The political situation in the country preparing for the parliamentary and presidential elections will remain unchanged.

      Well and further if it is interesting
      http://stockinfocus.ru/2011/01/25/prognozy-amerikanskix-strategov-iz-stratfor/
      1. Ingvar 72
        Ingvar 72 13 January 2014 09: 26
        +3
        Moscow will be able to prevent the rapprochement of Georgia and Moldova with the European Union
        Have they not already signed an association agreement with the EU?
        1. sledgehammer102
          sledgehammer102 13 January 2014 10: 50
          +2
          Quote: Ingvar 72
          Have they not already signed an association agreement with the EU?

          There are two stages, in short, they signed an agreement in which they promise to sign an association agreement, something like that, although I could be wrong. In my opinion, nothing was signed with Georgia at all ...


          In general, all this analytics is interesting only in the prologue, for some reason the same Stratford does not undertake to analyze his analyzes. Probably, to avoid the situation when you voluntarily step on your own product of vital activity.
        2. silver_roman
          silver_roman 13 January 2014 17: 57
          +1
          it is the association agreement that has not yet been signed. a certain "road map" for accession has been worked out.
      2. Refund_SSSR
        Refund_SSSR 13 January 2014 09: 34
        +2
        Quote: Vadivak
        Let's still be more objective

        Yes, I mean that the United States itself has problems above the roof.
        So many mistakes in the economy and in foreign policy. It would be better if their analysts worked for the good of their homeland, and did not dig into our dirty shorts.
        1. Vadivak
          Vadivak 13 January 2014 09: 48
          +4
          Quote: We refund_SSSR
          Yes, I mean that the United States itself has problems above the roof.



          And they do solve them. S. Fisher prematurely resigned as head of the Central Bank of Israel. He is nominated by Obama to serve as vice chairman of the board of governors of the US Federal Reserve.
    2. Alexander Romanov
      Alexander Romanov 13 January 2014 09: 23
      +7
      Quote: We refund_SSSR
      Now we got to 2014 ... We’d have watched

      Well, at the beginning of the article on foreign policy, we have successes, but then with the transition to social riots, another senility begins.
      1. Refund_SSSR
        Refund_SSSR 13 January 2014 09: 36
        +4
        Quote: Alexander Romanov
        but then with the transition to social riots, another senility begins.

        But how to say, maybe on insanity. It's just that the guys once again apparently decided to activate the "marsh" and "pusek" of some sort, so they warned the bullying laughing
        Otherwise, we all did not understand where the legs grow from these "social riots"
      2. Sid.74
        Sid.74 13 January 2014 09: 41
        +1
        Fitch Muddis and others every year say that Russia is finished. And the US is doing well? Comrade experts, not that China has bypassed China. The US has nothing in common with the national debt!
        How much gloating from foreign comrades and of what age the Anglo-Saxons end. Putin's Cameron asks for help with Scotland. Neither Obama nor the Republican senators, but Putin fellow
        1. alone
          alone 13 January 2014 20: 36
          0
          Russia will maintain a strong position in all three Caucasian states this year, although US-Iranian negotiations will open the door for gradual activation in the Iranian region and Turkey. Iran will seek to increase social and political influence in Azerbaijan, while Turkey will try to mediate the negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan on Nagorno-Karabakh in an attempt to resume relations with Armenia. Nevertheless, both Turkey and Iran must solve too serious tasks in other areas this year to achieve significant progress in the Caucasus, which will allow Russia to maintain a dominant role in the region.


          Russia has resolved the issue only with Armenia. Nothing is clear with Georgia yet, but the integration processes with Azerbaijan will depend on what will be Russia's position in resolving the Karabakh problem.
  2. makarov
    makarov 13 January 2014 09: 12
    +1
    No, here the "forecast" is worse, they shoved the previous "forecast" into the ass, and then picked it out from the nose, they say they updated it ..
    1. Норд
      Норд 13 January 2014 18: 26
      0
      "If the Russians wake up and feel" ... Killed on the spot. If they have all the analytical materials of this level, then you can sleep peacefully - the collapse of the stars and stripes around the next corner.
      It looks like prokhvesoroff is given there for knowing the multiplication tables and the ability to write your last name without errors.
  3. Christian
    Christian 13 January 2014 09: 15
    0
    getting ready !!!
  4. Orik
    Orik 13 January 2014 09: 20
    +1
    Of course, 2014 will not become critical, but the critical mass is accumulating. If the slide turns into a fall, then the majority shouting hosanna yesterday will vote differently with regard to power. And our government, this is one ... Putin, the stool is on one leg. recourse
  5. The comment was deleted.
  6. Valery Neonov
    Valery Neonov 13 January 2014 09: 26
    0
    Well, the article indicates the main priorities for Russia for 2014, therefore, the Baltic states will "get" their own, and Georgia and Moldova will find time. It's too early to rejoice amers with Iran until Geneva-2 has passed. And Russia has plenty of time, unlike the USA.
  7. jjj
    jjj 13 January 2014 09: 40
    +9
    They cannot correctly predict for Russia, because the Russian situation does not fit into the existing mathematical models. There is no matrix. The actions of our authorities are a dark forest for them, and the reaction of society is not predictable at all
    1. Dmitry 2246
      Dmitry 2246 13 January 2014 11: 00
      +5
      The critical year for Russia was 1998. We can handle the rest.
      1. ATATA
        ATATA 13 January 2014 19: 32
        +2
        Quote: Dmitry 2246
        The critical year for Russia was 1998. We can handle the rest.

        I understand you, but I think that all 90s were critical.
        Even worse in the great war was not.
      2. alone
        alone 13 January 2014 20: 37
        +1
        Quote: Dmitry 2246
        The critical year for Russia was 1998. We can handle the rest.


        But was the financial crisis less critical?
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. The comment was deleted.
  8. vasiliysxx
    vasiliysxx 13 January 2014 09: 45
    +1
    How did you get these fucking balts, three pugs pancake. angry
  9. Barakuda
    Barakuda 13 January 2014 09: 46
    0
    Quote: Orik
    Putin, the stool is on one leg

    I doubt very much that his stool has 5, or even 7. If he is on one, all the rest just soar in the air and depend on the wind.
  10. Ivanovich47
    Ivanovich47 13 January 2014 09: 47
    +3
    The Americans want to prove in their arguments: Russia will accept the conditions of America's game and you will become a "prosperous" democratic state. If you do not do this, everything will be bad for you ... Gentlemen, naive sirs, do not dream. And print your reviews with a carbon copy and only change the years ... Nobody needs them.
  11. shinobi
    shinobi 13 January 2014 09: 49
    +5
    I stopped trusting the stratforum, like the rest of their analysts, for a long time. It’s enough to recall the eighth year, at least. As a chorus everyone shouted that Putin’s end, and the Russian Federation deep ... Or marsh events. Yes, a lot of things can be remembered. In general, already 30 years the end is foreshadowed to us.
  12. Barakuda
    Barakuda 13 January 2014 09: 59
    +1
    I would like to recall M. Zadornova - Well, stupid! Nobody managed to predict Russia yet. Everyone is trying to drive into the grave, and Russia’s affairs are getting better every year, albeit with a slip.
  13. Jurkovs
    Jurkovs 13 January 2014 10: 02
    +3
    It is strange that money is also paid for such articles. About Iran. He really needs a detente from the USA. But the strategic rapprochement of Iran with the United States does not fit in my head. After all, the Ayatollahs did not bring up their youth in hatred of the United States. More likely is the economic, military-technical and strategic rapprochement between Iran and Russia. But only after discharge with America, there will be a wick for them.
  14. Barakuda
    Barakuda 13 January 2014 10: 09
    0
    Quote: Jurkovs
    It is strange that money is also paid for such articles. About Iran. He really needs a detente from the USA. But the strategic rapprochement of Iran with the United States does not fit in my head. After all, the Ayatollahs did not bring up their youth in hatred of the United States. More likely is the economic, military-technical and strategic rapprochement between Iran and Russia. But only after discharge with America, there will be a wick for them.

    That is the truth. Iran is much closer and cheaper to be friends with Russia and more profitable. And then God forbid, the turbine will be covered in Bushehr, who will repair it?
  15. Barakuda
    Barakuda 13 January 2014 10: 14
    0
    Quote: vasiliysxx
    How did you get these fucking balts, three pugs pancake. angry

    Yes, do not pay attention to them. They themselves are bent. But the flies are small, they get it, and you can’t slam it, and why.
    1. SRC P-15
      SRC P-15 13 January 2014 17: 38
      +1
      Quote: Barracuda
      Yes, do not pay attention to them. They themselves are bent.

      It's right. As they write on the website "War and Peace", residents of Estonia's half-empty houses were offered to come together under one roof, in their village. For this they were offered compensation. The problem of half-empty or abandoned houses has existed for a long time and it is more acute where there is unemployment, or people have left in search of work (apparently to Europe). So, "all is well beautiful marquise", comrades are going the right way!
    2. The comment was deleted.
  16. HollyGremlin
    HollyGremlin 13 January 2014 10: 18
    +1
    1. The withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan will lead to a gradual outflow of militants - an outflow, I heard right, that is It is recognized that there were more of them during the military, probably to the contingent of the United States what
  17. Vedmed_23
    Vedmed_23 13 January 2014 10: 23
    0
    Another yelp of Americans, it would be surprising if we do not pour mud, not like an ovsk somehow.
  18. jjj
    jjj 13 January 2014 10: 41
    +1
    By the way, the very fact of resolving the Iranian problem is undoubtedly also the success of Russian diplomacy.
  19. da113
    da113 13 January 2014 10: 41
    +1
    Americanists being in full .ope) have time to scribble forecasts ...
  20. kot11180
    kot11180 13 January 2014 10: 55
    0
    Such forecasts are only part of the information war, and they are addressed to us (we need to maintain hysteria), so I think the situation is completely different
  21. Oleg Sobol
    Oleg Sobol 13 January 2014 11: 00
    0
    Quote: Jurkovs
    It is strange that money is also paid for such articles.

    This is just not strange. It is for such articles that they pay. If the article expressed the Real component, no one would have seen it for only one reason: Not paid.
  22. rodiy2007
    rodiy2007 13 January 2014 12: 28
    +1
    These are just assumptions, forecasts! What cannot be avoided. And who, whatever would be planned, may fundamentally not correspond to his plan. Time will put everything in its place.
  23. Yuri Y.
    Yuri Y. 13 January 2014 12: 53
    +1
    However, according to the expert of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Janusz Bugajski (CSIS), the Stratfor analysis does not mention many of Russia's internal problems.

    Who said that there will be no problems. They have always been. And if they didn’t even decide, they were worried for sure, the main thing is not to have hysteria.
    If the Russians wake up and feel that their country is buying Ukraine, just as Germany bought Greece, Putin can have serious problems at home, especially in the context of the economic downturn in Russia. ”

    And I’m generally glad of this, the main thing is without a fight. Moreover, the funds are not from the budget.
  24. Corsair5912
    Corsair5912 13 January 2014 15: 54
    0
    Delusional article.
    The economic situation in the West is no better than the situation in Russia, and perhaps even worse.
    NATO soldiers return home, and every second of them Rambo with cockroaches in their heads, they will raise the level of crime no worse than terrorists. Militants from Afghanistan will follow them.
    The people in the former republics of the USSR have already understood that capitalism is not paradise and does not expect that "the West will help us," so that integration with Russia will continue.
  25. saha471
    saha471 13 January 2014 16: 53
    0
    Quote: vasiliysxx
    How did you get these fucking balts, three pugs pancake. angry

    That's for sure. It is necessary to press them without ceasing and not really noticing them, as before. Emotionless. And then ask how Taras Bulba "Well, son, did you help your lyakhi? (C)
  26. polkovnik manuch
    polkovnik manuch 13 January 2014 16: 58
    0
    All their forecasts are nonsense! Russia was, is and will be! It’s time to ask for Russia, they’ll turn in a queue. Although no one is planning to redraw the world map, let the especially zealous think over, the patrons are far away, and Russia is close and tanks and paratroopers have already been on the outskirts of Tbilisi and Poti ! But South Ossetia and Abkhazia, it’s time to decide so that to stop harassing them ... all sorts ..
  27. dmitrij.blyuz
    dmitrij.blyuz 13 January 2014 17: 10
    -1
    Afghanistan and Russia are comparable in one thing. No one has ever conquered these two countries. And Westerners do not understand the mentality of Russia. They think too "right", but we are "wrong"!
    1. 11111mail.ru
      11111mail.ru 13 January 2014 17: 57
      0
      Quote: dmitrij.blyuz
      And Westerners do not understand the mentality of Russia. They think too "right", but we are "wrong"!

      Engineers of human souls (according to A.M. Gorky, after visiting the Belomorkanal) still cannot overcome the passive resistance of the bulk of the Russian population to the imposition of ideological stereotypes (simply saying "wounds" the brain). Guys, I am proud of you: "You cannot understand Russia with your mind , a common yardstick cannot be measured. She has a special become! You can only believe in Russia. "FI Tyutchev.
  28. Stinger
    Stinger 13 January 2014 17: 50
    0
    Stratfor if only Pavel Globe invited, perhaps. And then the analysis is obtained on the basis of urination of the media.
  29. Orakyl
    Orakyl 13 January 2014 21: 13
    0
    They worry so much that the impression is being chipped, as if the United States is already geographically located somewhere between Russia, Belarus, Ukraine and Kazakhstan. Ignorant Georgia (Georgia) again confused with their city !?
    But in general, the article is useful (if you read the other way around, that it is good, it’s good), you can immediately see all their fears about the Central Bank, the nationalization of the subsoil, handed over with bulk Navalny, they are afraid of China as a devil, washed with Ukraine, etc.
    Any sane person perfectly understands their goals and methods, evaluating the consequences of democratization in Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Syria.
  30. shoemaker
    shoemaker 13 January 2014 21: 17
    0
    These analysts are a crowd of under-educated intellectuals. They sit in their offices and sculpt a hunchback for their citizens. Business in everything, with such articles, specifically discourages investing in Russia. It’s rude, but apparently it works, since they print it.
  31. Sergey_K
    Sergey_K 13 January 2014 21: 43
    0
    Quote: dmitrij.blyuz
    Afghanistan and Russia are comparable in one thing. No one has ever conquered these two countries. And Westerners do not understand the mentality of Russia. They think too "right", but we are "wrong"!

    Let's not compare Afghanistan and Russia. Avganistan on ... all were spinning. This is nothing, the arena where superpowers compete.
  32. cherkas.oe
    cherkas.oe 13 January 2014 22: 31
    -1
    I read to the end an article - "Wishlist" with elements of hysteria, and when I saw the name and "gender" of aFtor, I immediately calmed down. Damn well, how do they all want, that would be "truncated so it was." And in fact "Brad of a gray mare," as my dad used to say.
  33. de bouillon
    de bouillon 13 January 2014 22: 42
    +1
    Well, actually, there is grain

    for example, prices for everything and rent increases, debts and non-repayments on loans grow. Unemployment among youth. Salaries generally stopped growing.

    many dicky managers sitting FIG understand, as in high posts. So the Olympics will end, let's see who then will pay for 50 yards of green
  34. Krokodilych
    Krokodilych 14 January 2014 04: 02
    0
    STRATFOR analytics is used by many VERY large companies and banks. I have a suspicion that this is a two-layer cake - for serious uncles they write quite sane reports, for newspaper men and fans of smart things, they have a staff of such ANALYTICS.