Three countries - India, Australia and Qatar - account for more than a third of the total value of the expected potential contracts for the import of weapons and military equipment, which are planned to be concluded in the short term.
The total volume of “transferring” potential contracts for the near future for the import of arms (the value of intentions) as of the end of 2013, TSAMTO estimates at $ 469 billion dollars.
In the calculation for each importing country are taken into account:
- completed tenders for the purchase of military hardware, contracts with the winners of which are not signed in the 2013 calendar year;
- Tenders announced in 2013 year (decisions on the choice of winners have not yet been made);
- Tenders announced earlier and held during 2013 (decisions on the choice of winners have not yet been made);
- stated intentions for tenders in the future;
- stated intentions for the direct purchase of weapons;
- joint programs for the development of military hardware of exporting countries with importing countries, taking into account the announced volume of purchases by importers of relevant types of weapons.
The calculation takes into account promising procurement programs on the basis of data available to TSAMTO at the end of December 2013.
Of course, the dynamics of the volume of newly concluded arms import contracts will depend on the situation in the global economy. This issue was discussed in detail in a material published by TSAMTO in the public domain 27 December and dedicated to the global volume of "transferring" potential contracts for the near future for the export of weapons.
In general, at the moment in the rating TSAMTO by intentions for the purchase of weapons includes 81 country.
The first place in the ranking in terms of the value of intentions for arms procurement is occupied by India (with a large margin from other countries) - 94,083 billion dollars (20,06%).
The second place in terms of the value volume of "transferring" potential arms procurement contracts is Australia - 44,58 billion dollars (9,51%). Closes the top three Qatar - 36,777 billion dollars (7,84%).
These three countries account for 37,41% of the total volume of potential arms import contracts in the near future.
Places with 4 to 10 in the rating on the “rolling” potential contracts for the near future for the import of weapons occupy Saudi Arabia - 32,373 billion dollars (6,9%), Turkey - 27,115 billion dollars (5,78%), Canada - 24,298 billion dollars (5,18%) , USA - 17,5 billion dollars (3,73%), UAE - 16,858 billion dollars (3,59%), South Korea - 14,528 billion dollars (3,1%) and the United Kingdom - 14,42 billion dollars (3,07%).
The top ten have accumulated the value volume of “transferring” potential arms import contracts in the short term for the amount of 322,532 billion dollars (68,78%).
In terms of value, the “transferring” potential contracts for the purchase of weapons for the future in the second ten were as follows: Poland — 10,584 billion dollars (2,26%), Italy — 10 billion dollars (2,13%), Brazil — 8,787 billion dollars (1,87%) , Japan - 8,76 billion dollars (1,86%), Norway - 8,6 billion dollars (1,83%), Taiwan - 6,987 billion dollars (1,49%), Algeria - 6,9 billion dollars (1,47%), Netherlands - 6,135 billion dollars (1,31%) , Israel - 6,064 billion dollars (1,29%) and Denmark - 5,72 billion dollars (1,22%).
The second dozen accumulated the value of the “transferring” potential arms import contracts in the short term to the amount of 78,537 billion dollars (16,75%).
The third ten are Belgium (5,1 billion dollars), Venezuela (5,03 billion dollars), Singapore (4,979 billion dollars), Pakistan (4,1 billion dollars), Iraq (3,728 billion dollars), Switzerland (3,502 billion dollars), Colombia (3,34 billion dollars), Malaysia (3,2 billion dollars), Germany (2,73 billion dollars) and the Philippines (2,32 billion dollars).
For reference: China with a volume of about 2 billion dollars takes only 31 place.
The third dozen have accumulated the value volume of “carry-over” potential arms import contracts in the short term for the amount of 38,029 billion dollars (8,11%).
The remaining 50 countries plus the category “unknown” account for 29,87 billion dollars (6,37%).