Iran is getting closer!

28
Iran is getting closer!


December 10 to the Islamic Republic of Iran on an official visit arrived Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. The agenda of the visit includes issues of resolving the Iranian nuclear program in the context of the agreements reached recently in Geneva and the preparation of the Geneva-2 conference on Syria. Also, during the visit, the topic of interaction between Russia and Iran in the Caspian Sea will be touched upon. This is especially true before the next, fourth, Caspian summit in the fall of 2014 in Astrakhan. It is likely that at the meeting with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, which is also planned during the visit of Sergei Lavrov, the issue of organizing the visit of Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Islamic Republic of Iran will be raised. As you know, Hassan Rouhani at the summit in Bishkek conveyed to Vladimir Putin an invitation to pay an official visit to Tehran, to which the Russian president agreed. Now the whole question is only about dates.

Before Sergey Lavrov's visit to Iran, the head of the Latvian society of friends of Iran "Baradaran-name" Vladimir Galochkin shared with me an interesting material called "On the visit of Sergei Lavrov to Tehran"... I advise everyone to read this article - it's really interesting. Well, now I will express some of my thoughts.

Fortunately, the development of relations between Russia and Iran is gaining momentum. Lavrov's visit to Tehran is another confirmation of this. It is worth noting that the same success at the Geneva talks on the Iranian nuclear program is largely due to Russia. As a result, Iran pledged to stop uranium enrichment over 5%, to suspend the production of plutonium and centrifuges and to admit IAEA inspectors to its nuclear facilities, and Russia going to build another nuclear power plant in Bushehr. If cooperation continues at such a pace, then the complete lifting of sanctions on Iran is not far off. Basically, if all these nuclear misunderstandings (I personally believe that Iran's military nuclear program does not exist at all) are settled, then there will be nothing to find fault with Iran. Something, but democracy in the Islamic Republic is at the highest level. The United States with its bipartisan system and "electors" in the presidential campaigns would be worth learning from Iran.



The geopolitical problems associated with Iran, which Sergei Lavrov went to resolve, are, of course, very important. But first of all I would like to touch upon economic issues. The fact is that the Iranian market, where there are practically no serious foreign economic players due to ten-year sanctions, is extremely attractive for Russia. As well as the Russian market is attractive for Iran. The profit from establishing cooperation only in economic terms for Russia and Iran can amount to trillions of rubles and radically change the entire balance of power in the Middle East. It is very important that Russia does not miss this chance and be the first to extend its hand to Iran.

Let's analyze what the main areas of cooperation between Russia and Iran would be relevant now ?! First of all, this is cooperation in the field of armaments. Iran is interested in modernizing its air defense systems. Russia is a supplier of the most advanced air defense systems in the world market. In addition to air defense, Iran is also interested in many other modern weapons systems. Cooperation in this regard can bring Russia hundreds of billions of rubles in profit, and Iran's security. Iran, in turn, needs to sell its agricultural products - first of all, of course, pistachios. It may also be interesting to cooperate in the field of trade in hydrocarbons, which Iran is extremely rich in, but which, due to the sanctions, are now difficult to implement on the foreign market.

It is also possible to start cooperation in the field of high technologies. Technoparks are being actively created in Iran. Iranian is already well known in Russia technopark "Pardis", which in our country was presented at the international industrial exhibition "Innoprom". There are many other projects in this area. For example, the Kakhkeshan aerospace technology park. The construction of technoparks is also developing in Russia, and the state allocates quite large resources for this. But it often faces all sorts of problems associated with difficult Russian realities. SEZ "Murmansk" can be considered as a negative experience. There are many questions to the Moglino special economic zone being created in the Pskov region. Even the work of the main technopark of Russia, Skolkovo, raises questions. The Iranians simply do not have such problems.

The idea is that the Iranian experience could be used to develop our technology parks. To begin with, one could take any Russian SEZ as a basis and start creating a joint Iranian-Russian project of a modern technopark from scratch. Of course, having previously protected this SEZ from Russian realities (in the form of tightly corrupt local authorities on the ground), as well as any other bureaucratic idiocy and self-interest. As a result, Russia would be able to receive Iranian investments and unique Iranian experience in this direction, while Iran would have the opportunity to create its own enterprises in a zone free from any sanctions.

In conclusion of the material, I would like to note one thing. Politics is politics, but it is economic interaction that binds countries most tightly. The solution of geopolitical issues related to Iran is, of course, important for our country as well. But at the same time, even now Russia should make the maximum possible efforts to develop mutually beneficial strategic cooperation with Iran in the economic sphere. This will allow Russia to gain a foothold in the Middle East, and Iran - to gain access to the European market, which will finally remove all external obstacles to the development of the Islamic Republic.
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  1. Volkhov
    -2
    11 December 2013 07: 29
    Iran is closer, and the armament and reorganization of the Southern Military District is not against Iran? Or will they build an air bridge for transit to Antarctica?
    1. +2
      11 December 2013 09: 16
      Do not worry. All of this is also being done. And they have not forgotten about Antarctica (after all, did you mean about the North Pole?) And they are doing this very closely. The fact that all pipes are not blown is even good - they will pay less attention to it.
      As for "reorganizations" of various kinds, all this is already fed up. As one friend told me: "If they stopped going to the bardel, then change the whores, and not rearrange the beds." And the entire army must be armed and re-equipped. The main thing is to have a competent approach to personnel of all categories.
    2. tinchlik336
      0
      11 December 2013 10: 23
      Did you hear about Turkey, a NATO member, demagogue?
    3. David_Arius
      0
      11 December 2013 11: 02
      This is more about the situation in Central Asia. With Iran, we now border only on the Caspian Sea. Russia in the north of the Caspian Sea, and Iran in the south ...
      1. 0
        11 December 2013 11: 45
        Well, yes - well, yes, and Iran needs submarines in the Caspian solely to repel Western aggression! fellow
        1. David_Arius
          +2
          11 December 2013 12: 47
          Russia and Iran are quite far from each other in the Caspian. They simply have nothing to share there. But with Azerbaijan, Iran has "graters". For this, apparently, Iran has a couple of submarines there, as a deterrent.
        2. The comment was deleted.
    4. The comment was deleted.
  2. makarov
    +1
    11 December 2013 07: 42
    God grant that, of course ... but whatever happened, as early friendship with China ...
    1. -1
      11 December 2013 07: 53
      Iran agreed to suspend the enrichment of plutonium (in fact - the construction of a heavy water reactor - designed to produce plutonium), but why does Iran need plutonium?
      1. 0
        11 December 2013 08: 21
        The heavy water reactor is "technically capable of producing" weapons-grade plutonium. This does not mean that it is designed for this.
        1. faraon
          -1
          11 December 2013 12: 25
          Well, what for ??? in order to have fuel for its reactors, the question is not nuclear reactors and the construction of nuclear power plants, but that Iran can acquire nuclear weapons. And the issue of the Caspian Sea has not been resolved between Russia and Iran, and how will Azerbaijan look at it?
          1. +2
            11 December 2013 19: 24
            Quote: faraon
            And the Caspian issue has not been resolved between Russia and Iran, and how will Azerbaijan see it?

            In the Caspian problem, Azerbaijan, along with Russia and Kazakhstan, have a common position. There, only Iran and Turkmenistan do not agree with the Russian proposals on the division of the Caspian.
            1. faraon
              0
              12 December 2013 03: 18
              Lonely, I meant the creation of nuclear weapons by Iran, and does Azerbaijan need such a neighbor?
      2. +1
        11 December 2013 10: 07
        Quote: atalef
        Why does Iran need plutonium?

        To carry out experiments to track changes in the gene pool of the Drosophila fly in the environment of hard gamma radiation, i.e. purely for scientific purposes wassat
      3. The comment was deleted.
    2. tinchlik336
      +1
      11 December 2013 10: 26
      Putin doesn't seem to be Khrushchev
  3. +6
    11 December 2013 08: 02
    It is foolish to live in constant expectation of a war with a neighbor, all the same, you can never get away from your neighbor, you have to trade, and so that there are no temptations to throw you, you must have strength in the form of an army and eyes in the form of intelligence. So the development of positive relations with Iran is an urgent need, as is the development of relations with any of the neighbors. If Iran wants to wipe someone off the face of the earth, it’s not a fact that we need to rule it out in the forefront, in the end it’s bravado and rhetoric.
    1. -1
      11 December 2013 11: 27
      Quote: Kyrgyz
      It is foolish to live in constant expectation of a war with a neighbor

      So it is. But .... at the heart of Iran's policy is Khomeini's concept of "creating a great global Islamic society under the auspices of Iran by exporting the Islamic revolution." This is enshrined in the Iranian Constitution, Article 1979 "In accordance with the verse from the Holy Quran, Muslims are considered a single people, the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran should pursue its general policy based on the unity and solidarity of Islamic peoples, as well as strives to implement the political, economic and cultural union in the Islamic world. "And another quote by Khomeini" We must make every effort to export the principles of our revolution to the whole world and discard the idea that we will not export our revolution .... "
      Such friends must be kept at a certain distance. A fanatical ayatollah with an atomic bomb is much worse than a monkey with a grenade in a crowded tram.
      1. faraon
        0
        11 December 2013 12: 33
        Such friends must be kept at a certain distance. Fanatical Ayatollah with an atomic bomb is much worse than a monkey with a grenade in a crowded tram.

        Russia already has a sad experience of exporting the revolution, and what consequences followed after these exports. (Cuba, Vietnam, China, etc.) and the negative experience of exporting the revolution and will make much fewer mistakes than Soviet Russia, and this is already worth paying attention to.
        1. David_Arius
          +2
          11 December 2013 12: 50
          Only from Israel, recognized by the UN as racist, which, moreover, is armed with a couple of hundred warheads with nuclear weapons, and to discuss Iran, which has no nuclear weapons and is not recognized by anyone as discriminating against anyone's rights.
          1. faraon
            0
            12 December 2013 03: 25
            Iran, which has no nuclear weapons and is not recognized as discriminating against anyone's rights

            You dear, rummage through the archives during the reign of President Ahmedeninjad, where he declared to the whole world who first of all should be wiped off the face of the earth. And such statements and a threat to another state by the first person of the state in general in the entire civilized world are taken seriously. but as for the rights, then you can argue but that's another topic.
        2. +1
          11 December 2013 18: 05
          Quote: faraon
          Iran is not stupid people and they took into account all the positive and negative experience of exporting the revolution and will make much fewer mistakes than Soviet Russia, and this is already worth paying attention to.

          Absolutely nothing says about it. they survive in an unpleasant environment for themselves, like you, judging by the flag. There is no money, no idea - how will they kindle the fire in foreign activists?
          1. faraon
            0
            12 December 2013 03: 30
            Well, it's not so simple there is oil there is gas, in half a year, if they behave well, the sanctions will be lifted and cheap oil will pour on the mountain of the Russian Federation to world markets. That’s where money will appear for the world Islamic revolution. and the whole world will remember sanctions and humiliations.
      2. +1
        11 December 2013 18: 02
        Quote: baltika-18
        So it is. But .... at the heart of Iran's policy is Khomeini's concept of "creating a great global Islamic society under the auspices of Iran by exporting the Islamic revolution."

        This is not important, since it is nonsense for internal use, like the exclusivity of the United States, Zionism with its goyim, etc. more-less
      3. SV
        SV
        0
        11 December 2013 21: 53
        So far, they have not exported anywhere, unlike the Salafis.
        ". This is enshrined in the Iranian Constitution, Article 11"
        The Constitution of the Russian Federation also contains a lot of things ...
        In any case, in the entire history of the existence of our states, Iran has never given us any special problems, rather the opposite. Despite all the bravado of the Iranian leadership, this country is currently the least dangerous for the Russian Federation in comparison with neighboring countries (take Turkey as an example). Moreover, if the current situation is used wisely, this country can become a reliable buffer against aggression against our country (including Sunni terrorism) and a good economic partner.
  4. +2
    11 December 2013 08: 10
    It seems that Zhirinovsky was right when he initially proposed economic cooperation in the southern direction, but only then the EBN did not obey him.
  5. +4
    11 December 2013 08: 15
    A state with an independent policy is always worthy of respect, even if you don't like everything. Iran even Griboyedov "fought" and Tehran-43 did not appear from scratch. It is better to have, albeit a wayward, but predictable partner than some "political" prostitute.
  6. -1
    11 December 2013 10: 43
    Is Iran getting closer? In light of his intentions to increase oil sales so much that they will not be stopped by the price of $ 20 per barrel, such "close" are no better than enemies
    1. David_Arius
      +1
      11 December 2013 11: 04
      What other intentions can Iran have on the sale of oil under the sanctions ?! They would have sold for $ 10. Who would buy ... Unjustified sanctions against Iran are to blame.
      1. 0
        11 December 2013 12: 18
        So it would be sold like that and for 10 cu. e. But the fact is that when the sanctions are lifted, they will be able to sell much more expensive !. And why should they sell for 10-20 cu. e when they lived without selling at all.
        1. faraon
          -1
          11 December 2013 12: 48
          why should they sell for 10-20 cu that is, when they lived without selling at all

          Remember 1985 when the Saudis put oil on the market at dumping prices, and what followed in particular in Russia. The Saudis did not do it at their whim, but at the suggestion of the United States for which they received their preferences in the oil trading market. Iran. Moreover, in the current economic situation, it has no choice but to replenish its budget with the help of its carbon.
      2. faraon
        -1
        11 December 2013 12: 42
        ... Unjustified sanctions against Iran are to blame

        If the sanctions are lifted, this will hit the Russian budget hard, imagine for a moment that a lot of oil will be splashed onto the market at bargain prices, and remember the period from 1985 to 2005, so this will be a repetition only at greater damage to the Russian economy.
        All the gaining momentum of social programs of assistance to the population will immediately be covered with a copper basin, this is education, medicine, pensions, benefits, etc.), in my opinion it is necessary to modernize the country from a raw material appendage of Europe to a high-tech state that will trade with other countries their technologies, and not depend on oil and gas. Then you can advocate for the lifting of sanctions.
        1. David_Arius
          +1
          11 December 2013 12: 56
          The fact is that just after the sanctions are lifted, Iran will trade oil at world prices (it is now Iran who is dumping so that at least someone buys their oil). Iranian oil exports are focused on China. Whereas the strategic market for Russia is the European Union. So the Russian Federation and Iran are not competitors in oil issues. The only competitors are gas. But Iran has supplied gas to Turkey and Armenia and will continue to supply it there. It seems like it didn’t really hurt Russia before.
        2. The comment was deleted.
    2. +1
      11 December 2013 12: 52
      Publish lists of idiots trading oil for $ 20 a barrel. I want to look at them, taking into account that the consumer basket is growing in price.
  7. 0
    11 December 2013 11: 12
    Quote: David_Arius
    What other intentions can Iran have on the sale of oil under the sanctions ?!

    After 6 months, these sanctions can be lifted, then they will have the opportunity
    1. David_Arius
      +2
      11 December 2013 11: 33
      After the sanctions are lifted, Iran will trade oil at world prices. There is no other way.
  8. tnship2
    +1
    11 December 2013 13: 09
    Of course, you need to be friends and trade. Persians are Persians, what kind of policy do not lead, they will remain on their minds. Here on the forum there were sound thoughts that all the fuss in the south is sharpened mainly against China. the West is growing hemorrhoids. Creeping European integration. Practically for free, they are trying to absorb the still not completely dead economy of our brother country. The West of Ukraine is not all of Ukraine. By the way, does western Ukraine produce anything that money can buy?
  9. 0
    11 December 2013 13: 14
    It is necessary to trade with Iran, any expansion of sales markets is for the good. That would just be what. The author of the article is rather weak in this matter. Except for weapons and pistachios, nothing worthwhile.
    1. David_Arius
      +1
      11 December 2013 14: 45
      Why weak? Weapons from Russia. Pistachios and other agricultural products from Iran. + joint development of technoparks and the Iranian fuel and energy complex. This is the most relevant now. The profit from this alone will amount to hundreds of billions of rubles. Moreover, you can start even tomorrow.

      And no sarcasm about Iranian pistachios and agriculture. This is a multi-billion dollar market that has not yet been mastered by anyone outside of Iran. The fact is that, for example, Iranian pistachios are very different from what is now sold in stores for crazy money in our country and is also called pistachios.
      1. 0
        11 December 2013 19: 30
        Quote: David_Arius
        And no sarcasm about Iranian pistachios and agriculture. This is a multi-billion dollar market that has not yet been mastered by anyone outside of Iran. The fact is that, for example, Iranian pistachios are very different from what is now sold in stores for crazy money in our country and is also called pistachios.


        Have you been to Iran? Have you seen in what state people live there.
        some big city begins darkness and obscurantism. and do not worry about the Iranian market. While the powers that be in Russia were following the West, the entire Iranian market was seized by the Chinese, who buy huge quantities of Iranian oil for yuan. so an attempt to enter the Iranian market is gnaw seeds.
        1. tinchlik336
          0
          12 December 2013 00: 36
          You are making a mistake, dear one. I have been to Iran. Both in cities and in rural areas: http://sajjadi.livejournal.com/205170.html
          Self-assured yap!
  10. 0
    11 December 2013 14: 25
    Quote: David_Arius
    After the lifting of sanctions, Iran will trade oil at world prices

    yeah, but with an increase in supply, the price of the product begins to fall
    1. David_Arius
      +1
      11 December 2013 14: 40
      China and India, the main buyers of Iranian oil, are growing in demand every year. At the same time, Iran is already selling them oil, but at dumping prices. After the lifting of sanctions, Iran will stop dumping. At the same time, an increase in oil supplies to the world market, Iran is unlikely to be able to increase more than 2 times - now Iran's resources are not so hot in reality (thirty years of sanctions, after all) + domestic demand for oil products in Iran is also great and nowhere from there is no getting around it. As a result, Iran will still receive a significant increase in budget revenues. But this will not affect world oil prices, since even a 2-fold (but already without dumping) share of Iran in the world oil trade will still be small for this. And the increase in Iran's share will be slow after the renewal of fixed assets in Iranian oil production and the development of new fields.
      1. faraon
        0
        12 December 2013 03: 39
        So I just can't figure out where does Russia need it? If Iran has money, the funds will be renewed at lightning speed, the development of new deposits will start on the march. China is already starting to cross the line of what is allowed by the United States, now a new site is being prepared in Vietnam for a world consumer goods factory. draw conclusions dear