For more than two decades Russia has been in a state of demographic catastrophe, from which many other problems flow. True last news from the “demographic front” it would seem that they should inspire hope. Since 2010, there has been an increase in population. The birth rate has increased from 10,4 in 2006 to 13,3 in 2012. Accordingly, the mortality rate has decreased from 15,2 to 13,3 over the same time period. Growing and life expectancy. With a creak, state pressure on alcohol and tobacco "mafias" increased.
20 November 2013, the news appeared that, according to Rosstat, the population of the Russian Federation in nine months increased by 5,1 thousand people. Also, compared with the previous year, an increase in the birth rate and a decrease in mortality by 3-5%. Compared to 2012, 2013 thousand children were born in 1411,2 year, which is almost 2 thousand more, and the number of deaths has decreased by almost 12,5 thousand.
However, two facts are alarming. Firstly, the increase is insignificant, that is, the negative trend is not broken, it is only slightly smoothed. In addition, experts talk about the approaching time of entry into the active period of reproduction of generations of 1990-s, small, mentally and physically weak. Demographers also talk about the transition of new generations to Western standards of living, which leads to a tendency to reduce the need for children. So, to 2015 — 2025. predict a drop in the total fertility rate to 1,0 (for a small increase, the 2,1-2,2 coefficient of the child per family is required). Secondly, most of the growth in recent years is provided by migration. So, of the total population growth in ten months 2013 of the year in 219,1 thousand people, 97,7% is a migration increase. A similar picture can be seen in previous years. In 2007, the migration increase was 258,1 thousand people, that is, by 54,9% compensated for the numerical loss of the population from natural loss. In total, compared to the previous year, the migration increase in the population of the Russian Federation increased by 103,7 thousand people, or by 67,1%. In 2008, the migration increase was 257,1 thousand people and by 71% compensated for the numerical loss of the population of Russia from a natural decline. In 2009, the migration increase fully compensated for the decline in population.
Thus, we see what patriotic leaders have long warned about: migrants compensate for the decline in population and replace the indigenous population of Russia. First of all, under the blow of the Slavs, the Finno-Ugrians and Turks, who form the core of Russian civilization. At the same time with the gradual replacement of the indigenous population, other negative trends related to this factor are becoming increasingly apparent:
- strengthening of the Islamic factor. The network structures of the “Islamic project” have sharply strengthened their positions in the open spaces of Russia, the country now has a serious social base of international terrorism. The problem region is now not only the North Caucasus, but also the Moscow region and the Middle Volga region. There are Islamist cells in almost all regions of the Russian Federation;
- the replacement of the indigenous population and the strengthening of the Islamists cause a nationalist reaction. There is a split along the line of "aliens - indigenous", "Muslims - Christians";
- the presence of a powerful migration community and new citizens of the Russian Federation, which, to a significant extent, as was the case in the Russian Empire and the USSR, are not assimilated into the Russian environment, but create large families, clans and ghettos, which leads to an increased possibility of implementing the “Syrian” (“ Yugoslav scenario) in the medium or long term. Alien communities are a kind of “antibodies” that break the Russian civilizational fabric. They are detrimental in several fundamental areas at once: a criminal situation, a drop in the level of education (teachers in classes are equal to lagging students, which leads to a fall in the general level), an increase in domestic and interethnic conflicts, an increase in the potential of a revolutionary situation, etc.
Statistics is relentless. If by the year 2035 in Russia, half of the families will not be 3-4-detailed, then by the middle of the XXI century the “Russian question”, which Hitler's Third Reich tried to solve by force, can be resolved “naturally”. The indigenous population of the Russian Federation will decrease at least one and a half times. Even if this decline is compensated by a migratory influx, it will not be Russian civilization. The Russians will be just one of the communities of the huge “Babylon”.
In addition, the trend continues for the desertion of villages, towns, small towns and the growth of megacities. Liberals have repeatedly voiced plans to concentrate the remaining population around several megacities.
So Russians are struck out stories. Those Russian communities that will continue to exist in Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, the Baltic States and other regions will no longer be the subject of history that influences the development of humanity. For the survival of Russia, a real mobilization program is required, since currently large families have only about 7% of the total number of all Russian families. Demography and large families are a matter of the survival of the entire civilization; therefore, they should become the focus of attention of the authorities, political parties, movements and public structures. All policies of the Russian state and society should be focused and focused on demography. It is not clear for people who are involved in urgent problems and do not see national and even civilizational tasks, but if we really want to save Russia and Russia and take a worthy place in the future world, rather than become the object of exploitation, parasitism, we will have to solve this problem.
A bit of history and current situation
Over the 20th century, Russia has turned from a state with an annual population growth of more than 1 million people per year at the beginning of the century to an endangered region of the planet. Thus, according to the calculations of the Office of the Chief Medical Inspector of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the population of the Russian Empire (without Finland) in the middle of the year was: 1909, 156 million, 1910, 158,3 million, 1911, 160,8 million, 1912 g - 164 million, 1913 g. - 166,7 million people. At the beginning of the 20th century, Russia was the third most populated region in the world: according to the 1897 census, 128,2 million lived in it. We were inferior only to China (approximately 400 million people) and India (about 280 million people). Considering the then demographic trends, the great Russian scientist Dmitri Ivanovich Mendeleev gave a forecast: the population of the Russian Empire would reach 282,7 million by the middle of the century, and by the beginning of the XXI century - about 600 million.
It is quite possible to believe Mendeleev, since China and India both occupied the first and second lines in the demographic rating, and retained these places. Why did Russia slide into a 9 place? .. Mendeleev's forecast for the United States came true: he considered that by the middle of the XX century, the US population would reach the bar in 180 million people; in 1959, 179 million lived in the United States. The Mendeleev demographic model was based on the census 1897 of the year, the annual population growth equal to 15 people per 1000 inhabitants (1,5% per year). He projected this gain into the future. In Stalin’s USSR, population growth was even higher in 1951-1952 — on average, 17 people per 1000 inhabitants. Therefore, the urbanization argument of the USSR cannot refute the Mendeleev model. However, the population of the USSR in 1959 was 208,8 million, not 282 million, as Mendeleev assumed.
The natural course of things that was supposed to give Russian civilization with the scientific, military and economic component of the demographic potential to be superpower number XXUMX, which will lead humanity to the stars, was interrupted. The masters of the western project were able to provoke the 1-1905 and 1907 revolutions, the Russian-Japanese war 1917-1904, the civil war, the First and Second World Wars. Russia was set against its natural allies: in the west by Germany, and in the east by Japan. And they could become our strategic partners for keeping the world order alternative to the Anglo-Saxon project on the planet. As a result, by the middle of the 20th century, the scale of the demographic catastrophe amounted to more than 1905 million people in Russia.
Protected by two oceans, the United States, on whose territory there were no revolutions, wars and civil conflicts in the twentieth century, maintained population growth rates. India also did not become the scene of fierce battles and retained the second position. Although China became a victim of external aggression and internal catastrophic shocks in the first half of the 20th century, thanks to the huge “demographic reserve”, when the losses of tens of millions of people did not become a catastrophe for the country, it retained the first position.
At the beginning of the XXI century, the demographic situation approached a critical level. Thus, in 2010, the deputy head of the Ministry of Regional Development, Sergey Yurpalov, said that in two decades Russia had lost about 23 thousand settlements, of which about 20 thousand were rural settlements. The population of Russia and Ukraine has decreased by several million people. Desertion of Siberia and the Far East took such a scale that it is already possible to foresee a time when Russia simply will not be able to keep these huge regions within a single state. What does this mean for a state with a population of more than two times less than the United States (320 million), and located on almost twice the size of the States, the territory? The answer is obvious.
Possessing such a vast territory rich in water, land, forest resources, vast areas that are almost not affected by human activities, imposes on the indigenous peoples of Russia, and first of all, Russian superethnos (as part of the Great Russians, Little Russians, Belarusians and small ethnic groups), a huge responsibility. A holy place is never empty! The people, turning into biomass, occupied only by personal consumption, who is even too lazy to reproduce themselves, will be “asked” to exit.
The world is beginning to overwhelm the wave of the new "Great Migration". The development of communications, transparency of borders allows millions of people to seek happiness in other regions. Few of the Russian consumers, whining about the bad fate, life, the insecurity of life, know that simple fact that they are actually in the “golden billion” by the level of consumption. Just do not compare yourself with the privileged groups of Western countries. The inheritance of the USSR is so huge that it allows us to get more or less satisfactory education, medical services, find a job, live in relative safety, when the builders of the “Islamic Caliphate” or ordinary bandits do not cut off your head, and the militants of the neighboring tribe do not cut out for "living space". Russia has access to land, water, electricity, gas and central heating in the houses. The level of wages and consumption is much higher than the average level in Latin America, Africa and Asia (we are not talking about elite circles, but ordinary people). Therefore, Russia has become the second center of migration in the world, second only to the United States and overtaking Europe.
Therefore, Russia is extremely attractive for citizens who have passed the first stage in restoring tribal relations and neo-feudalism of the republics of Central Asia, and for those without prospects outside of Russia: Georgia and Armenia, Moldova and Ukraine. As the world crisis develops, which will throw Russia’s southern borders into the past by several centuries - constant interethnic, internecine conflicts, local genocides, waves of refugees, famine, epidemics, lack of basic products - Russia will become even more attractive to migrants.
Of course, part of the ruling “elite” in Russia may think that it is possible to build a regime following the example of the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf - “energy powers”, where there is an “elite” bathed in luxury, and all the work is done by guest workers: from highly qualified engineers to the janitors. They say that we will replace the endangered Aborigines with migrants, there will be enough people for the service of the “pipe economy”. However, it is clear to sensible people that such power will be swept away during a new wave of global crisis.
Only one model of government is stable in Russia — one that works in the interests of the whole people, and not of its individual groups and classes. Therefore, Ivan the Terrible and Stalin are so popular in society. Despite the "thunderstorm" - and without it it is impossible to fight thieves and traitors, - they acted in the interests of the majority.
Soon the moment will come when the authorities simply cannot control the entire territory of Russia. Then the scenarios of separation of the Caucasus, the Far East, Siberia and the Urals can become a cruel fact. But nothing can be done. Such a threat is real. Hunters get Russian territory is more than enough. They speak openly about plans to divide Russia without embarrassment. In particular, in the USA there are circles that want to make the American Russian Far East, the Russian North and Siberia. The main competitor of the United States in the fight for these territories is China. Japan also wants to get your piece.
The Russian authorities tirelessly repeat the spells about “modernization”, “optimization” and “stability”, understanding of the situation, expressing concern, even talking about “successes”, but in fact these are only words. But in reality, the demographic policy is extremely wretched (“maternity capital” should be part of a whole system of measures, and not the most advertised event, which is already threatened to be curtailed), and the migration policy in general is criminal. The migration policy of Moscow makes it possible to form in Russia almost a slave-owning system, and in Central Asia to support artificial regimes of local bais and khans who “channelize” protest energy together with young men in the Russian Federation. It must be honestly said that with the current structure - “Russian capitalism”, where the “golden calf” won, this problem is completely unsolvable. The only solution is Russian socialism, the construction of the Russian Union (USSR-2), taking into account the positive and negative experience of the Russian and Red empires.
To be continued ...