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Why did the Asia-Pacific region become number one? 1 part

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Why did the Asia-Pacific region become number one? 1 part



Reading the next article on the APR prompted me to write this answer.

Article "Australian bridgehead USA" again it is told about strengthening the cooperation of the USA with its allies in the region. I would like to consider all the events taking place in this region from a slightly different angle than is customary in recent times. I also want to move away from the ATP a bit to understand why everything will concentrate precisely here in the 21st century. And for this you will need to dive a bit history main players. But first things first.

Australia, New Zealand, Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States - this is one process of the British crown of the "Nugal Saxons." So to discuss this topic is not particularly worth it. The only important thing is that this is another confirmation that the APR is the number one priority for the United States. Moreover, for Chinese scholars and supporters of the Chinese threat, APR is a top priority for Russia and for China. And Australia is the main prize of China in the fight for the APR. The two continents with untagged resources are Australia and Africa.

However, with the beginning of the article, I do not agree. The union indicated in the article does not exist. What are the strategic prospects for South Korea and Japan? The same Japan and the Philippines? Or Australia outside the British top five - what is it like? This is a patchwork alliance that has no future.

Moreover, I am surprised at the blindness and one-sidedness of all authors and analysts who write and reason about the APR. The thinking of the absolute majority at the level of the cold war 80-x, unfortunately, and our compatriots with them in the same row.

My opinion is. The ATP is a new “Big Game” of the twenty-first century. And the players in it will not be two. There will be no US-China confrontation there. There are too many opportunities and interests. At a minimum, there will be separate independent players in this game, such as China, Japan (after the end of the US occupation), South and North Korea (after unification), the USA and crown shards, a certain presence of India and Russia is possible through an alliance with Vietnam, Indonesia Islamic factor, South American Union. At least seven forces with different visions of the future and their own interests will influence the fate of this region.

Of course, at different stages of history there will be some combination of these forces. At the beginning of the “Big Game” the most important and uncertain factor is, of course, the rapid development of China. It was this factor that began to change the balance of power in the region. Not less significant event is the weakening of the United States. Fire and fuel met, and the reaction went.

In the classical assessment of the dispositions of the parties, a “typical opinion” arises about the struggle for the Asia-Pacific Region as a confrontation between China and the USA and Co. In such a formula, everything is quite predictable. China is growing due to the power of its economy and the demand for its goods in the international market. He spends part of his income on the development of his army and fleet. A strong army and economy give China opportunities to influence its neighbors and solve not only economic issues, but also political and territorial ones. The development function of China is linear here - more economy, stronger China.

On the other hand, there are the USA, which, due to their consumption culture, have driven themselves into a debt trap. As long as the United States was the number one superpower and the world's gendarme with the biggest stick, no one could resist this state of affairs. The period of monopoly on power lasted all 90-s and the beginning of 2000-x. However, during this time, the EU appeared, Russia came to its senses and began to pursue a sovereign policy and restore its strength and influence, and China made its economic breakthrough. As a result, the United States ceased to be the only center of power on the planet and turned out to be completely unprepared for new challenges.

The first bell of the new world order was the collapse of the dot-com in 2001 year. Then, in practice, the failure of the “new economy” - the so-called “post-industrial” - was shown. The virtual economy was not accepted by the entire world, although it was very demandingly imposed by institutions controlled by the United States.

The leadership of the Western powers did not appreciate the full significance of this event and did not draw conclusions. To extinguish the fire, the virtual money of the “new economy” was simply transferred to the US mortgage market. Someone at the top thought that real estate in the capital of the “new world” is a true eternal value that will never lose value. And because it is the US real estate, or rather, derivatives based on mortgage securities, will be infinite real security for the dimensionless emission of the dollar as the only virtual currency of the "new economy".

The consciousness of the leaders of the “Western project” could not accept the idea that the world is not static, and their domination, gained in the 1991 year, would not last forever. The New World Order of which they were dreaming came into this world, but not at all the way they had planned it.

By this time, the US economic leadership had already been lost, many productions had already been transferred to the Asia-Pacific Region and, in particular, to China. However, the loss of one “economic hand” of such a giant as the “Western world” did not mean its collapse. Since there remained other levers of influence, such as "the world of finance, divorced from the real economy," political influence and, of course, the armed forces.

The next period the US administration decided to spend in a cowboy style. The failure of the imposition of a virtual economy and virtual values ​​has forced the United States to return to the old methods of imperial policy. Few people pay attention to this, but as soon as the dot-com collapse in the United States ended, only a few months later, the “virtual terrorists”, which hadn’t been before, captured real planes and crashed into the twin towers in New York. Immediately switching the attention of the whole world from the US fraud in the "virtual economy" to the great US mission to combat terrorism. Isn't that a beautiful metaphor? Terrorists destroy the World Trade Center in the capital of the planet’s finances - as a symbol of the US virtual economy imposed on the whole world during the 90's period?

The trial ball in the “cowboy style” of the United States was driven back in 99 year, bombing and tearing Yugoslavia. However, then it was in the interests of political consolidation in Europe and the creation of a hotbed of instability for the future, if the Europeans suddenly decide to turn "not there." Since the 2001 year, the United States acted exclusively in the imperial style (divide and conquer), putting economic resources under control. Stop at this stage is not worth it, because we all know what happened at that time and what it led to. The US got involved in several costly wars, wasting its resources not on restraining its competitors in world politics, but on destroying savages. In Afghanistan, they implemented a drug project against Russia and Europe, in the Middle East laid the prerequisites for the development of long-standing hostility between Sunnis and Shiites in the active phase of the conflict. However, for the United States themselves, the price was too high.

Having lost the real economy and industry, the United States increased the costs of the war. Grown and appetites gunsmiths. Such a phenomenon is normal for capitalism. The price of oil has increased several times, including due to the fact that Russia at this time withdrew from contracts for the allocation of resources or changed the terms of these contracts. There was a shortage of cheap or gratuitous petroleum products on the market, which led to an increase in prices. China continued to grow at an enormous pace and increasingly began to declare itself as a new geopolitical player. The EU, having consolidated the economic power of several states under one roof, also grew bolder and began to show the beginnings of independence from the United States. Serious changes occurred in the spaces of the former USSR. Russia has ceased to be a permanent borrower and is out of control of the United States.

The “Western project” under the leadership of the United States began to lose its second hand - “political influence”. For a long time no one could challenge the influence of the United States in world politics. However, 10 February 2007, this situation has changed. In Munich, the President of the Russian Federation made his speech on the current world order and introduced the term “multipolarity” into world politics. This event prompted other world leaders to rethink their place and think about whether to serve the United States as loyal vassals or to start an independent policy for the benefit of their people.

And this time the rulers of the United States did not feel the changes in the world around them and began to act according to their imperial program. We decided to punish Russia in the weakest place - in the Caucasus. Over the next year, a military operation was being prepared against Russia using Georgia and terrorists in the North Caucasus. The rally was held in August 2008, but the US failed this operation and showed its real weakness.

This led to a final reassessment of the values ​​of the “virtual economy”. Someone is trying to give a similar course of events for coincidence. But only two months after the war of 888 and the attempt to punish Russia, having collapsed its financial system, the response crisis came to the USA and all other countries.

There was a loss of dominant political influence in the world: one “vassal” said that was enough, and the empire stumbled. This led to the fact that other vassals thought about their freedom. It undermined the faith in the United States as the only superpower on the planet. And as a result of such a reassessment, faith in the “virtual economy of the United States” disappeared, and as a result, real estate in the United States ceased to be “the only reliable value”.

The collapse of the US mortgage system, which led to the collapse of the global financial system. The consequences of these events are manifested today, and will continue by inertia for some time, until the US dollar ceases to be the world currency №1.

The “Western project” has now lost its “financial hand”. This does not mean that the United States has ceased to control world finances, or that no one needs the dollar anymore. But 100% US control lost. Many countries began to raise the issue of a different reserve currency, began to form trade unions with mutual settlements in national currencies. ” Many other events have occurred that will have to be left outside the scope of the issue under consideration.

However, the West still has resources to control the world, and the most significant of these are the “information space” and military force.
Sensing a threat from Russia, the West has begun informational swinging of the country from the inside. China, however, it was decided to weaken in the same way, adding to this also the blockade in the struggle for raw materials. To destroy the Russian economy, it was decided to get away from Europe’s energy dependence on the supply of Russian raw materials. And to stop the supply of resources to China, it was decided to destabilize the partner countries of China in the Middle East and Africa. The result of such decisions was the cycle of "Arab revolutions", swept through many countries of the Middle East and North Africa.

Europeans were supposed to get cheap oil and gas from North Africa - like Algeria and Libya. Also, after overthrowing the authorities in Syria, stretching gas pipelines from SA and Qatar to Europe. And the formation of states such as South Sudan and Islamist speeches in other countries were designed to reduce the influence of China and limit its access to resources in these countries.

However, these plans were poorly thought out. Information dominance of the West no longer had the same strength as in 2004 or in 2008. It was then that the authority of all Western media was destroyed in the eyes of many nations of the world. When Fox News presenters silence a little girl who tells the truth, this is a clear failure and loss of control over the minds of people around the world.

Finally, the Western media lost prestige after the events in Libya. Such failures have deprived the “Western giant” of information dominance in the world, perhaps the main weapons West history.

Recent events related to Snowden's revelations have led the whole world to start thinking about how to remove US control over the Internet. So the US information dominance is also ending.

However, another side of the power of the West (and the United States in particular) manifested itself in Libya. The myth of the invincibility of their armed forces was dispelled. For almost half a year, Colonel Gaddafi resisted both Islamists of all stripes and the whole power of NATO. The events in Syria only confirmed this trend. It was during this period before the leadership of the United States still begins to reach that the world has changed and that their forces are not immense. So far, the US is still economy No. 1, and dollars are printing at a rate of about 30 billion per month. But this will soon come to an end. Because you need to take real steps to change the situation. There are several steps, one of which we are interested in is the reduction of government spending, including for the armed forces. Moreover, there comes a reassessment of priorities in foreign policy. The US already understands that it cannot control the whole world at once. Then the program "The role of the United States in the international economic relations of the countries of the Asia-Pacific Region" appears, as well as the well-known program "Ensuring global leadership of the United States: priorities in the field of defense of the 21st century."

The essence of these programs, everyone can understand from the title, and if you wish, and read more carefully. It is important that the very theme of the role of the APR in the 21st century originates from here.

Continued in the second part.
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Articles from this series:
Why did the Asia-Pacific region become number one? 1 part
Why did the Asia-Pacific region become number one? 2 part
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  1. Sirs
    Sirs 25 November 2013 06: 44
    11
    For us, the Far East is the key to successful development. In general, taxation for Far Eastern enterprises and small entrepreneurs must be reduced; giant construction projects in the Far East are an incentive for the economy and the development of the Far East. And there is something to build there !!!
    1. Civil
      Civil 25 November 2013 06: 51
      +1
      It’s very interesting, which country in the Asia-Pacific region will the US shake, where will the democratic bombs and human rights fly on cruise missiles? It is clear that at the borders of China, probably the DPRK! there is Russia nearby ...
      1. alone
        alone 25 November 2013 19: 04
        0
        Quote: Civil
        It’s very interesting, which country in the Asia-Pacific region will the US shake, where will the democratic bombs and human rights fly on cruise missiles? It is clear that at the borders of China, probably the DPRK! there is Russia nearby ...


        whatAnd didn’t you ever think that, how to say, the presence of the DPRK in the region plays into the hands of the USA? because of Kndr, the South Caucasus and Japan are forced to dance to the tune of the Americans and do whatever the Americans want. And maybe the color revolution will spread to Vietnam, which with its strategic location is a tidbit. And which again turned its eyes to Russia.
    2. ivshubarin
      ivshubarin 25 November 2013 07: 10
      +7
      Giant construction projects in the Far East are excellent, but whoever works will run away from here people
      1. Sirocco
        Sirocco 25 November 2013 07: 28
        10
        The question is why are they running? This is despite the fact that the authorities, so far in words, are attracting all sorts of gingerbread to the country's population in this region, but in fact zilch. Siberia and the Far East are the pantry of our country, due to which some subjects of the Russian Federation live on, it is time to change the capital, since it is impossible to attract people to these regions differently.
        1. Far East
          Far East 25 November 2013 12: 07
          0
          Quote: Sirocco
          Siberia and the Far East are the pantry of our country, due to which some subjects of the Russian Federation live on, it is time to change the capital, since it is impossible to attract people to these regions differently.

          + + + good good good drinks
      2. Gluxar_
        25 November 2013 09: 37
        +4
        Quote: ivshubarin
        Giant construction projects in the Far East are excellent, but whoever works will run away from here people

        Who is running? People flee from ruin and desolation. Where construction and development of new industries is always full of people.
        1. ivshubarin
          ivshubarin 25 November 2013 09: 46
          +2
          When they built to APEC, I didn’t observe the influx of people
    3. mirag2
      mirag2 10 December 2013 06: 29
      0
      Very competent, interesting article, and I agree with almost everything in it.
  2. Same lech
    Same lech 25 November 2013 06: 45
    10
    There was a shortage of CHEAP or free petroleum products on the market, which led to higher prices.


    These products are not renewable and cannot be cheap by definition.
    Now the United States is trying to crank up shale gas scams, however, geologists are clear from the start this way to a dead end and gives only a short-term effect.

    Further, with all the tricks of the US army with technical innovations, it is not able to cope with the partisan movement supported by the people of the occupied country.

    In general, the power of the USA and the WEST in particular ends where the people do not want to accept the rules of geytolerance imposed on them.

    When the Fox News anchors shut their mouths to a little girl who is telling the truth, this is a clear failure and loss of control over the minds of people around the world.
    This girl, by her truth, harmed the United States more than the full-blooded division of JAPANESE KAMIKADZE.
    1. StolzSS
      StolzSS 25 November 2013 07: 07
      +1
      Yes, they’ll get the hell out))) Miller said that all this is crap and you’ll get it all, sign it against the BOSS of Gazprom)
    2. Gluxar_
      25 November 2013 09: 48
      +1
      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      These products are not renewable and cannot be cheap by definition. Now the United States is trying to crank up shale gas scams, but geologists are clear from the start this way is deadlocked and gives only a short-term effect.

      However, in the 90s, the United States was able to take control of Russian resources and sold them at its price, which they themselves determined.
      Today the situation is somewhat different. The United States is interested in expensive oil and gas, since they themselves began to produce a lot of shale oil products. However, the prime cost of shale oil is at the level of current world oil prices, and if they decrease, the production of "shale" will become unprofitable.

      Quote: The same LYOKHA
      Further, with all the tricks of the US army with technical innovations, it is not able to cope with the partisan movement supported by the people of the occupied country.

      The real goals of the United States are not always obvious. In Iraq, partisan movements are doing very well on their own. The number of victims of terrorist attacks already exceeds one million people, the number of crippled and disabled people is already more than two million. Modern genocide by the hands of the people themselves.
    3. Lesnik
      Lesnik 26 November 2013 01: 32
      0
      How they came and they will leave laughing
  3. mr_Doom
    mr_Doom 25 November 2013 06: 57
    +4
    Korea to unite? Who will win?
    1. ivshubarin
      ivshubarin 25 November 2013 07: 12
      +3
      In the near future will not unite and the Americans from Japan will not leave
    2. Vasek
      Vasek 25 November 2013 21: 01
      0
      Ask Krabe - it was he who promised to reconcile them!
  4. Sirocco
    Sirocco 25 November 2013 07: 20
    +6
    The USA, although it looks like an old toothless wolf, has deadly cold lips when kissing. But seriously, this whole GOP Stop team, represented by the Anglo-Saxons and the EU, are like mad dogs who, in anticipation of death, in agony, are trying to drag as many powers as possible to the "next world". What have we been seeing lately? there is no unity in NATO and the EU. Pan Ataman has run out of gold reserves, so the gang is scattering in all four directions.
  5. Sunjar
    Sunjar 25 November 2013 07: 29
    +8
    All this fuss in the Asia-Pacific region is intended to impose on Russia from all sides. As the "Naglo-Saxons" say: "Whoever owns the Heartlandand owns the World. For centuries they have been trying to destroy Russia as a state, and over and over again break off.
    1. ivshubarin
      ivshubarin 25 November 2013 08: 15
      +3
      Break off once more, they are not in the first
  6. Valery Neonov
    Valery Neonov 25 November 2013 08: 21
    +3
    What are the strategic prospects for South Korea and Japan? The same Japan and the Philippines? Or Australia outside the British Five - what is it? This is a patchwork alliance that has no future.- there is one connecting link, it is the United States and the Americans will never let Japan go, nor will they allow the reunification of both Koreas. Amers like air needs a serious mess and they will try to find a reason to start it. Of course not with your own hands.
    And as for the players, there are three main ones (the rest are figures on the field).
  7. maksim
    maksim 25 November 2013 08: 27
    0
    very interesting and open article, it remains only to stop the Chinese expansion in the Far East
  8. vitantin
    vitantin 25 November 2013 08: 59
    +2
    Until the world has come up with a 100% counteraction to nuclear weapons, nobody will take anything from Russia, or there will be no one left on the planet to have something from someone. And let them share there, redistribute these islands and destroy their entire fleet, and themselves too. But Russia has enough of its territory, but there is still half the Arctic for oil and gas. So you can dial aside a strong one.
  9. svskor80
    svskor80 25 November 2013 09: 00
    +3
    By this time, US economic leadership had already been lost, many industries had already been transferred to the Asia-Pacific region, and, in particular, to China. However, the loss of one “economic arm” of such a giant as the “Western world” did not mean its collapse

    In general, this looks like a trap for China, now deploy the West to produce consumer goods and create Amero instead of the dollar, China will be left with nothing. Or more correctly, with a billion hungry peasants.
    1. Gluxar_
      25 November 2013 09: 53
      +2
      Quote: svskor80
      In general, this looks like a trap for China, now deploy the West to produce consumer goods and create Amero instead of the dollar, China will be left with nothing. Or more correctly, with a billion hungry peasants.

      It was originally meant for China. However, the role of the United States has changed slightly and China wants to take advantage of the changes and take a more "noble place" than the world's garbage can and assembly production. It has chances for this, but China itself will have to change.
  10. andrejwz
    andrejwz 25 November 2013 09: 55
    +1
    Moreover, I am surprised at the blindness and one-sidedness of all authors and analysts who write and reason about the APR. The thinking of the absolute majority at the level of the cold war 80-x, unfortunately, and our compatriots with them in the same row.

    Well, gentlemen, you are absolutely blind. He told you that there was a rake in front of you. See, we modified the hilt. This is now a completely different design.
  11. mountain
    mountain 25 November 2013 10: 01
    +2
    The only and reliable ally of the United States is England. Here is a country, pros.t.t.tka and sewed in the ass of an old woman of Europe. And to call an ally, Japan ??? I do not think that the Japanese have forgotten the horrors that America has provided them, and when they share, they will play their part. States with their policies were in the priest and the priest is black. And China, they pulled on their ass, pulled so that the doctor will no longer help them.
  12. Ivan Pomidorov
    Ivan Pomidorov 25 November 2013 11: 08
    +1
    Quote: svskor80
    In general, this looks like a trap for China, now deploy the West production of consumer goods at home

    How do you imagine that??? Who will work? How much should I pay? What will be the price of these products?
    To make it easier to understand the essence of the problem:

    Let's return to Moscow the production of cars and trucks,
    will we restore the production of machine tools at the "Red Proletarian"?
    Is it possible? No. There are no people, equipment was handed over to Chermet, land and buildings were sold ..
    Will Muscovites work for a Chinese salary?
    What about the Americans?
    So, it will also be necessary to bring in Chinese workers.
    But they will not survive in the USA and in Moscow with a Chinese salary, because the cost of living there is higher than in the Middle Kingdom. smile
  13. Vasek
    Vasek 25 November 2013 21: 05
    0
    Excuse me, what event is meant by the "collapse of the dot-com"?
  14. elguapo
    elguapo 26 November 2013 01: 38
    0
    Russia needs a new industrialization, a new comrade Stalin ...