Military Review

"Trapped"

39
"Trapped"The kingdom is trying to transfer the confrontation outside its territory and use a third force, which will fight for its interests. However, this makes him vulnerable to sponsorship of terrorism.


Russia Today, citing the British Guardian, reports that Saudi Arabia intends to increase its efforts to form new squads of Syrian militants and is ready to spend any amounts it needs.

The fact that the Kingdom is ready to go all-in to the end became clear even during the August crisis after provocation using chemical weapons.

The rapidly decaying security system of the Arabian Peninsula, which relied on the unconditional support of the United States in its confrontation with Iran, does not leave Saudi Arabia a choice - it does not have any tools in confronting Iran if it and the United States agree and ease tensions.

In this case, the Kingdom quite reasonably tries to transfer the confrontation outside its territory and use the third force, which will fight for its interests, not bringing the matter to a direct clash between Saudi Arabia and its opponents.

However, this also makes it vulnerable to charges of sponsoring terrorism - it is impossible to carry out support for terrorists on such a scale secretly and secretly.

Such accusations can provide a legitimate opportunity for the United States to take a neutral stance in any conflict against Saudi Arabia, if it is motivated by the fight against the spread of terrorism in the region.

Nevertheless, the choice of al-Saud virtually none. The defeat in Syria will inevitably lead to a shake-up inside the dynasty and will be used in the inter-clan struggle in a situation where the process of succession and the transfer of power from one generation to another is not settled.

This will automatically lead to centrifugal processes in the Kingdom itself, assembled over the rags and kept assembled solely and thanks to the unity of the dynasty.

There are no compelling reasons for the collapse of Saudi Arabia after the defeat in the Syrian war. Some experts consider Syria for Saudi Arabia as Afghanistan for the USSR - despite the fact that there is no direct connection between the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan and the collapse of the USSR after three years, but certain analogies in the current case are, of course, viewed.

It was precisely those “Afghans” who had combat experience that formed the backbone of the separatist movements that organized insurrections and conflicts on the outskirts of the USSR, which finally undermined the stability of the state.

Tens of thousands of militants fighting in Syria can in a short time — much faster than it did in the late USSR — shake the stability of the entire Arabian Peninsula, especially in a situation when different political groups will use them in the clan struggle (and they will).

There are practically no options for Saudi Arabia - it fell into the trap of its own policy. Despite the fact that at the beginning of the Arab Spring, this policy seemed logical and thought out, it was she who led to today's situation.

Al-Saud failed to cope with the growing chaos in the region - for this they do not have the capabilities and capabilities of the regional superpower.

Her elite was unprepared for the role assumed. Now she will have to go with the flow, making the steps very predictable and driving even deeper into a dead end.
Author:
Originator:
http://el-murid.livejournal.com/
39 comments
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  1. Stiletto
    Stiletto 13 November 2013 15: 44 New
    15
    How already got this hotbed of terrorism! It’s time to already stir up the revolution in this kingdom, otherwise we’re used to, reptiles, carrying chestnuts out of the fire with the wrong hands ...
    1. Tersky
      Tersky 13 November 2013 16: 01 New
      +8
      Quote: Stiletto
      It’s time to already stir up the revolution in this kingdom, otherwise we’re used to, reptiles, carrying chestnuts out of the fire with the wrong hands ...

      Colored. And as flowers - "Carnations", "Tulips", "Hyacinths", or plant a couple of "Topols" In February 1945, after the end of the Yalta conference, Roosevelt met with the Saudi King Abdul Aziz ibn Saud. The talks took place aboard the USS Quincy in the Suez Canal. The so-called. the Quincy Pact, an agreement that gave the United States monopoly rights to Saudi Arabia's oil. American companies obtained a monopoly on exploration, development and purchase of oil. As a payment, the Saudis were promised a guarantee of security against any external threat. Here is what Sergey Nikitin writes about the US attitude to the KSA in recent periods."The main sponsor of terrorism around the world is Saudi Arabia.
      This thesis is confirmed by the main "friends" of the kingdom - the Americans. Back in 2008, US Deputy Treasury Secretary Steward Levy announced in an address to one of the Senate committees that Saudi Arabia is the main source of money for Al-Qaeda, as well as for a number of other extremist organizations. It is noteworthy that, despite the demands of the United States, the KSA with enviable persistence refrained from cutting off the financial flow that followed from the treasury of the kingdom to terrorist groups. Already in 2011, Levy's conclusions were confirmed by a much more significant politician - US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who declared that it was in Saudi Arabia that the main sources of financing of world terrorism are located. "
      Fully read here As we see from the moment of the signing of the Queens Pact, the US priorities, judging by the statements of high-ranking officials of America, have changed radically. Question, did they see the light or is this another move by the knight?
    2. APES
      APES 13 November 2013 16: 17 New
      +1
      Quote: Stiletto
      How did I get this


      interesting article - to the author +

      Question: who is trapped and for what purpose?

      I see one answer - they need to make the lowest (I emphasize) request for help, to the one who sets the price - for example, lower oil prices.
      Maybe in this way, "THEM" is put in place, and then "zazhralis"

      Instability on the Arabian Peninsula and, accordingly, interruptions and problems with oil are few people need.

      Simply, I would not rush to conclusions ....
    3. Migari
      Migari 13 November 2013 16: 45 New
      +2
      That's right, don’t dig a hole for another, so the Saudis sailed, let's see what happens next.
    4. yurii p
      yurii p 13 November 2013 18: 35 New
      +2
      you are wrong the hotbed of terror is overseas, al-Qaeda alone explains everything, I'm not saying that the Saudis are white and fluffy, but do not support such a policy Washington, would the Saudis have such influence in the Arab world?
    5. knn54
      knn54 13 November 2013 18: 44 New
      0
      -Stiletto: it’s time to already stir up a revolution in this kingdom ...
      I remembered the slogan of the Second World War: "If the Nazis won't take their feet - I will finish off the enemy in his den"!
    6. alone
      alone 13 November 2013 21: 34 New
      0
      Quote: Stiletto
      How already got this hotbed of terrorism! It’s time to already stir up the revolution in this kingdom, otherwise we’re used to, reptiles, carrying chestnuts out of the fire with the wrong hands ...


      it won’t work there. Migrants work everywhere, and they get big money and booze. Yes and
      Revolution suits their patron, the Saudis still need them.
      1. Siberian
        Siberian 13 November 2013 21: 51 New
        0
        lobster hayyam
        it won’t work there. Migrants work everywhere, and they get big money and booze. Yes and
        Revolution suits their patron, the Saudis still need them.
        In what you are right. But no matter how much you feed the wolf, he still looks into the forest.
  2. KCC
    KCC 13 November 2013 15: 45 New
    +1
    What they sow and reap
  3. wasjasibirjac
    wasjasibirjac 13 November 2013 15: 53 New
    +1
    got it - for sure. only a fig revolution - a palace coup is enough, but it is several times cheaper. maybe upside down?
  4. vlad0
    vlad0 13 November 2013 15: 54 New
    0
    Ehhhhh! There would be a couple of towels, and carpet bombings according to the methodology of their friend, D. Dudaev. And they would forget about Saud. Arabia, terrorism and Wahhabis forever ..... laughing
    1. Igor39
      Igor39 13 November 2013 16: 08 New
      +5
      Why such costs? It is necessary to scatter the whole territory with finely chopped pork skins by planes, they themselves will leave laughing
  5. shinobi
    shinobi 13 November 2013 16: 03 New
    0
    The Scribe goes to visit al-Saud. How quickly he comes to them now does not depend on them. The Syrians are sorry.
  6. major071
    major071 13 November 2013 16: 13 New
    +5
    Not everything is calm in the kingdom. Migrants are being sent out in droves, 1 million people have already been sent, they want more 4. In politics, some kind of mess, the United States is no longer a friend, with whom to be friends FIG knows. Big ambitions, a lot of money, but the cat wept. It was not necessary to sponsor terrorists and wars. As far as it has come back, it will respond.
    1. timer
      timer 13 November 2013 19: 33 New
      +3
      I support koment. Only add-the main hotbed of global terrorism-the United States. And how the "roof" (the USA) behaves, so the roofed (Saudis) behave.
  7. Committee
    Committee 13 November 2013 16: 15 New
    +1
    Yes, it’s strange that they are not yet in development, tired of it.
  8. Andrew 447
    Andrew 447 13 November 2013 16: 17 New
    0
    Saudi Arabia-WELCOME TO THE HELL OF "COLOR REVOLUTIONS" and democracy around the world !!!
  9. Strezhevchanin
    Strezhevchanin 13 November 2013 16: 18 New
    +1
    In vain the workers began to drive out, soon they will have so much work !!!
  10. bubla5
    bubla5 13 November 2013 16: 21 New
    +2
    Moreover, there is an analogy of Afghanistan and the collapse of the USSR, the top of the Communists crashed the country, and the army quietly peacefully forgetting the oath surrendered the super power to the wino from the Urals
    1. hrych
      hrych 13 November 2013 18: 18 New
      +3
      It was precisely those “Afghans” who had combat experience that formed the backbone of the separatist movements that organized insurrections and conflicts on the outskirts of the USSR, which finally undermined the stability of the state.

      A strange thesis, before the border was not the same as the present, was locked, there a Chinese with a volume of Mao will not slip.
    2. vlad0
      vlad0 13 November 2013 20: 16 New
      +1
      Why is everyone blaming on the army, and not on the Ministry of Internal Affairs or the KGB. Learn the tasks of these structures.
      And in order to exclude the army from all processes, discrediting topics in the form of events in Tbilisi in 89th, Baku in 88th, in the Baltic States in 91st, etc. were thrown into it in advance. By that time, the army could not make any independent decision, it was completely paralyzed. Our entire people, represented by many of those present here, blamed officers and generals for their alleged desire to preserve the "communist dictatorship."
      By the time it was required to make a decision, most senior officers simply pulled away from political fuss. I absolutely agree with them. His honor is undoubtedly more expensive.
  11. sxn278619
    sxn278619 13 November 2013 16: 28 New
    0
    We support Syria. So, you and sisters, if they snuggle in there, sail away from there in zinc coffins. This is true, because it seems to me.
    1. edge
      edge 14 November 2013 10: 27 New
      0
      Quote: sxn278619
      It’s true, because it seems so to me

      but I haven’t tried to be baptized or it seems Europe is already doing prayers
  12. Bezarius
    Bezarius 13 November 2013 16: 33 New
    0
    I don’t understand, that's what this half of the support is rocking, do I know that the USA is not in the right condition at the moment? They’ll rake it.
  13. novobranets
    novobranets 13 November 2013 16: 38 New
    +4
    One of the leaders of the kingdom, Prince Bandar bin Sultan, announced that he was curtailing cooperation with the United States in protest against their policies in the Middle East. The main discontent, according to Kommersant, was caused by President Obama's refusal to operate in Syria and a reset of relations with Iran.
    Kapets crept unnoticed, even though he was visible from afar. The fact that the United States is not going to bomb Syria in the near future could be understood a month ago. What was the royal family counting on? Obama is the worst president in the history of the United States, but he is not complete go, so as to aggravate already strained relations with some allies. Now the situevina has developed such that either x ... in half, or p ... to smithereens. One detail is depressing, a scandal broke out in the family, the relatives spit out and everyone holds a fig behind his back. If the ruling dynasty is defeated, this could lead to a change in the throne seatholder. Candidates like a fool. Ka wrappers. Therefore, the king will give the last drachma, but will try to overthrow Assad. May God or Allah stand it.
  14. Forest
    Forest 13 November 2013 16: 56 New
    +5
    The United States also helped Hitler at first, then, after his defeats, enlisted in fighters against Nazism. Here it’s the same, it's all for the time being, and then they shoot films as they fought terror and the biomass will gobble up this together with hamburgers.
    1. mountain
      mountain 13 November 2013 18: 49 New
      +1
      Totally agree with you. America is to blame for everything, she and the Saudis fed terrorism, and now "amy" -hams are giving up their girlfriend, so it is profitable for them to substitute the Saudis and they are clean and white. They also surrendered Israel on copper.
      But the Saudis do not mind them a complete scribe. Let them order gold coffins.
      1. edge
        edge 14 November 2013 10: 31 New
        +1
        Quote: mountain
        But the Saudis do not mind them a complete scribe. Let them order gold coffins

        they won’t be able to, ames will turn out gold for greed and take them out ... it’s better as in centuries, they will remain in sand and hydrocarbons for future generations drinks
  15. Stinger
    Stinger 13 November 2013 16: 58 New
    +1
    In my opinion, the analogy with Afghanistan is that if the country does not raise its paws in front of internal unrest or external intervention, then it is very difficult to break it. And if you engage in bravura chatter or appeals to the UN, then a collapse is inevitable. About Afghanistan, everyone broke their teeth. Let's hope that Syria will cope
  16. andrei332809
    andrei332809 13 November 2013 17: 13 New
    +3
    Yes, just snickering. and yet they are sure that the Yankees will not give offense to their gas station. True, there are still Jews fussing around, and from these sons of Judas all sorts of Kaki can be expected
  17. voliador
    voliador 13 November 2013 17: 27 New
    0
    Qatar backed up on time, but the Saudis blundered. Now they are torturing this porridge to rake.
  18. kmike
    kmike 13 November 2013 17: 50 New
    +3
    In the US vassal camp, there is complete confusion and reeling. From Europe to Saudi Arabia. Let's see how to end.
  19. Ivan Petrovich
    Ivan Petrovich 13 November 2013 17: 58 New
    +1
    Americans will take everything under their control. In general, let's see what happens.
    at home you would not miss in the country, otherwise Gorby promised "perestroika-2"
    1. edge
      edge 14 November 2013 10: 34 New
      0
      Quote: Ivan Petrovich
      otherwise Gorby promised "perestroika-2"

      and what, the labeled cattle has not died yet?
  20. The comment was deleted.
    1. yurii p
      yurii p 13 November 2013 18: 30 New
      0
      do not rely on America as a state for its policy, this policy is "who pays the most."
      1. edge
        edge 14 November 2013 10: 37 New
        0
        Quote: yurii p
        do not rely on America as a state for its policy, this policy of "who pays the most"

        Yes, you don’t have to run into Amers, there are 20 Jewish uncles, who need 320 million only as meat for use ....... it’s enough to simply analyze the power pyramid they’ve built
  21. yurii p
    yurii p 13 November 2013 18: 27 New
    +1
    one-sided article dumping everything on Saudi Arabia the author apparently forgot that there is Israel in this region, and think who benefits from destabilization in the Arab world, "divide and rule" this principle is still relevant in our time, the countries of the Arab world will collapse and who will remain? the answer is one and it is obvious.
  22. Goldmitro
    Goldmitro 13 November 2013 18: 28 New
    0
    <<< Saudi Arabia has practically no options - it fell into the trap of its own policy. >>>
    Let's hope that through the efforts of the Syrian army, with our support, this trap will be slammed and the Al-Saud will themselves get the "brains" that they have long deserved as the main sponsors of Islamic terrorism in the world! It will be a good lesson for other megalomaniacs and puppeteers!
    1. edge
      edge 14 November 2013 10: 42 New
      0
      Quote: Goldmitro
      Al-Saud will get "in the brain" themselves

      the difference between the Sunni and Shiite branches of Islam is only in terms of implementation, and the goals are the same ..... and it is still unknown who will need to be beaten harder
  23. Arkan
    Arkan 13 November 2013 18: 32 New
    0
    Saudis flop face in g ...., spray will fly all over the Middle East. This abscess for a very long time will exude stench and a quick recovery is not worth the wait.
  24. Arkan
    Arkan 13 November 2013 18: 32 New
    0
    Saudis flop face in g ...., spray will fly all over the Middle East. This abscess for a very long time will exude stench and a quick recovery is not worth the wait.
  25. uzer 13
    uzer 13 13 November 2013 18: 33 New
    0
    It's time to deal with these monkeys and apply real measures of influence, rather than rely on the natural course of events.
  26. borisjdin1957
    borisjdin1957 13 November 2013 18: 34 New
    0
    from the Don.
    There they and the road !!!
  27. borisjdin1957
    borisjdin1957 13 November 2013 18: 34 New
    0
    from the Don.
    There they and the road !!!
  28. starhina01
    starhina01 13 November 2013 18: 49 New
    0
    an interesting article on how the hz will end, so for now I'll observe hi
  29. morpogr
    morpogr 13 November 2013 19: 41 New
    0
    For that fought for it and ran.
  30. Maksmith
    Maksmith 13 November 2013 20: 40 New
    0
    Law of physics:
    force of action is equal to reaction force
    Law of life:
    do not dig a hole for another, you yourself will fall into it. PROVEN BY THE HISTORY OF MANKIND.
  31. chunga-changa
    chunga-changa 13 November 2013 22: 12 New
    0
    Anyway, American ears stick out. Robbed almost everyone, and the crisis is deeper. Now they will take over the Arabian Peninsula. Until now, everything suited America, there were other victims, now they will take the sheikhs for aiding terrorism and in the absence of other prey, and there is something to take away. In general, the Moor welcome to democracy.
  32. UmaR
    UmaR 14 November 2013 00: 54 New
    0
    Not what will happen to Saudi Arabia, I think so.
  33. crasever
    crasever 14 November 2013 03: 25 New
    0
    Fattened descendants of warlike Bedouins do haraam, selling themselves on green foreign papers and silicone charm. And they, who launched armed infidels into the land next to the sacred Mecca and Medina, dare to claim leadership in the Islamic world ?!
  34. Sterlya
    Sterlya 14 November 2013 06: 14 New
    +1
    Yes, what are the Saudi Muslims? they hide behind Islam.
  35. So_o_tozh
    So_o_tozh 14 November 2013 19: 03 New
    0
    Quote: hrych
    It was precisely those “Afghans” who had combat experience that formed the backbone of the separatist movements that organized insurrections and conflicts on the outskirts of the USSR, which finally undermined the stability of the state.

    A strange thesis, before the border was not the same as the present, was locked, there a Chinese with a volume of Mao will not slip.

    But from this place it is more detailed, it turns out that the bulk of the oath was not only "forgotten", but there are specific culprits ?????