Military Review

Russia-2040 by Ilan Berman: the loss of the Far East and the war with Ukraine

166
Mr. Berman has long been known for his grim predictions regarding some countries - those that are developing somehow not in the way that the White House would like, for example. Or those countries whose interests on the foreign policy arena often overlap with the US. For example, in 2010, this analyst predicted the collapse of Saudi Arabia - and for that interesting reason that there is not much oil there. More Saudis go to the sad finale due to the personal extravagance of the rulers, throwing money at the very time when the people are rapidly becoming poorer. About this Mr. Berman told in the article "Saudi Arabia will collapse like a house of cards", published in the journal "Forbes". True, the expert took for some reason a stale date from the start of the 1980-s to the 2001 of the year. Today, Berman, who, by the way, is the vice-president of the American Council on Foreign Policy, has taken on Russia. According to him, by the year 2040 Russia will be in a catastrophic situation. Giving back to the Chinese of the Far East, Siberia, the war with Ukraine is still flowers, berries ahead.




Ilan Berman wrote a book, on the pages of which he outlined the scenario for the development of Russia. Warning: not a forecast, not a prediction of collapse, but a scenario. This is an important clarification, because scripts, unlike predictions: 1) are written for someone; 2) implies staging.

Mr. Berman’s study is entitled “Internal Explosion. The end of Russia: what does it mean for America. ” The analyst shares with the world public his vision of what will be done with Russia by 2040. Recently reporter "Voices of America" Alex Grigoriev, specializing in international relations, defense, security, intelligence, etc., interviewed Mr. Berman. It turned out very exciting. So, what did the vice president of the American Council on Foreign Policy say to a journalist?

The interview is preceded by a quote from Berman's book:

“Decades of population decline and social problems have destroyed the once mighty Russian state, which has become its own shadow. On the domestic arena, the country is facing massive social shifts. Slavs, whose numbers are decreasing and nationalism is increasing, are waging a Cold War with a growing and radicalizing Muslim population. In the republics, the majority of whose population are Muslims, separatist sentiments are gaining strength. <…> In desperate attempts to restore order, the Russian government has resorted to constant and massive repression not seen since Soviet times. These repressions, however, only radicalize the opponents of the government and isolate Russia from the West. "


Everything, in general, familiar, typical. They remembered the Soviet times, repressions, the former Soviet republics, isolation from the West ...

According to the scenario of Mr. Berman, notes A. Grigoriev, in 2040, China will actually manage the Russian Far East. Cowering Russia will try to restore power on the post-Soviet territory, “absorbing” Belarus and starting a war with Ukraine - and not only with it.

The collapse of Russia, according to Berman, voiced in an interview, will be caused by three main reasons, three “trends”:

1. Demographic problem. The decrease in the population of Russia.

2. The increase in the number of Russian Muslims and their radicalization.

3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.

All three processes occur simultaneously. Their roots are in the present tense, not in the future. That is, all this is already going on and on. The mentioned simultaneity allowed the analyst to make sad conclusions about the Russian future. In order to strengthen himself in his own scenario, the expert highlighted a “crucial moment”: the current government is not ready to deal with the problems described.

The analyst believes that the government created by Putin is responsible "solely for himself." At the same time, it “inadequately” responds to the challenges the country faces. It is so “inadequate” that in other cases the government “does not even suspect” of the existence of threats.

A. Grigoriev asked the interviewee a legitimate question: “However, public opinion polls demonstrate that President Putin enjoys high popularity among Russians, and the government allocates substantial funds to the same Far East and North Caucasus. Why is Russian power ineffective? ”

It turns out, Berman noted, that one should distinguish between "tactical satisfaction" and "long-term approval" of the actions of the Russian authorities.

In fact, Berman does not believe in the first or the second.

He cites data from the March poll of the Levada Center, according to which Putin’s popularity was about 34%. This is disastrous in a democracy, says the analyst. And here is about the “long-term approval”, that is, disapproval:

“What is happening today? A popular idea is that Russia dominates the international arena thanks to actions on the Syrian and Iranian tracks. In politics, always love winners. However, in the long run, the promises of the Russian authorities about investments in infrastructure projects and the development of the Far East are one thing, but the practical implementation of these promises is completely different. There have been a lot of promises, but very little strategic investment. To succeed, Russia needs serious investments in infrastructure, health care, social services and other areas that would allow to stop the demographic crisis. ”


As for external threats, the expert highlighted “jihadism”, noting that this is also an internal problem of the country. Many foreign organizations like Al-Qaeda and Hizb-ut-Tahrir, he noted, are represented in Russia. The expert points out that “very little time is left before the Olympics in Sochi”.

And here about the Chinese:

“At the other end of the country is the Chinese problem. This problem is not only political, but also territorial. Russia and China have been competing for these lands for hundreds of years. The boundary was finally established only in 2001. But this is only a temporary agreement, since it expires in 2021. Why did this happen? Because at the time of the signing of this treaty, China knew that in 20-30 years the demographic situation in the region would change significantly, and it would be able to reconsider the terms of the agreement. And China is right, because now the number of the Russian population of the Far East is minimal and continues to decline. As a result, the colossal and richest region capable of securing the future of Russia is increasingly suffering from a lack of labor. China is increasingly providing labor. ”


Further, the author of the book gives Russia, as they say, a chance.

“... There is nothing definite in the future. It is quite possible that Russia will not only be able to reverse these negative processes, but will also be in a relatively good position. ”


And then Berman relies on structural problems in Russia. He lists what Russia is spending money on today: strategic nuclear weapons and army rearmament. But what does she do to counter the "silent catastrophes" inside the country? Virtually nothing, says the author of the study.

What will Russia do when implementing a negative scenario?

It is quite possible, the analyst answers, that the crisis will spill out of the country. As Russia loses its position in the Far East, it may try to gain a foothold in the West. It will intensify efforts to restore the former empire, because it was “personally Vladimir Putin called the goal of his government.”

Andrey Ivanov ("Free press") talked on the theme of the script Berman with experts.

According to the director of the Center for Geopolitical Studies, Valery Korovin, the book of the American aims not only to predict the future, how to form it:

“The forecast of the AFPC Vice-President fully fits into the post-positivist approach of the Americans. Previous decades, after the conference in Yalta, foreign policy was built in the framework of positivist schools, the main directions of which were realism and liberalism. With the entrance to the general use of postmodernist movements, post-positivism became more widespread. This is when the idea or model of the situation is in priority over the events that have a place to be in reality. Realism is based on objective data. Post-positivism puts the idea at the forefront, then a reorganization project appears, and then reality is adapted to the project. ”


The forecast of Berman, the expert notes, is made on the basis of the fact that Russia should cease to exist as a geopolitical entity. Based on this thesis, scenarios are developed on how the idea should be implemented. Scenarios are built on existing premises. And this is how the production takes place:

“Initially, a report is issued, then it becomes the property of political structures around the world, which detail it, taking into account the specifics of the regions. At the next level, detailed models should pick up the media as a given, in order to accustom the public, including political elites, to the fact that these scenarios are inevitable. As a result, the developed models form the basis of state decision making ... "


V. Korovin also notes that postpositivistic models work in environments that are significantly immersed in the postmodern - into networked societies of atomized citizens. Americans did not succeed in Iran or Belarus, because there is a modern society, there is no suitable environment, but post-positivism has shown good results in archaeomodern countries - where society is half archaic, and half integrated into the global context. Russia considers the director of the Center for Geopolitical Studies to be just such a country. Scripts written in the USA work well in Russia. They, the analyst says, can be carried away by the elites oriented toward the West, and then the models will be broadcast through the liberal media. And government officials will make decisions according to these scenarios.

Regarding Russia, the situation is aggravated by the fact that "today there is no answer at all to the question of why we need a state at all." And the West has an idea, the expert believes. The West is implementing a postmodern project to build a global networked control system based on the individual as a measure of all things, reducing everything to the material. The result: Russia, which has no project of its own, is actually built into the western project.

Andrei Savelyev, a doctor of political sciences, however, finds his own project from Russia. He describes the current Russian situation as follows:

“The ruling group in Russia, uneducated, not understanding what a big style and big project is, look to the future only for the period of its physical existence. Therefore, nothing can be expected from them. But in Russian literature, in Russian philosophy there is a big project. He continues the previous one, just at the present stage. Russia in general can be the savior of European civilization if the big project is in the hands of the ruling elite. Of course, not the present, but the future. ”


What is this Russian project?

“Everything has long been formulated. Take the "New Middle Ages" by Nikolai Berdyaev - this is already a finished project. There are a number of modern writings. I personally wrote the "Manifesto of the revival of Russia." A thick volume called Russian Doctrine was released. Everything is written down to the smallest details. There is no only political force that embodies all this. ”


Portal Browser KM.ru Victor Martyniuk talked with the Secretary of the Central Council of the Party "Motherland: Common Sense" Maxim Kalashnikov. It turned out that what the American analyst is talking about has been spoken in Russia for a long time.

“... In fact, he did not say anything new or unexpected. The fact is that Russia is no longer there: it collapsed in the 1991 year. The Soviet Union was Russia. Now there is a fading and declining Russian Federation. Both demographically and infrastructurally we are going to the end ... "


And the government realizes that it is a matter of seams:

“And the power itself sometimes speaks out, showing that it has an understanding of the real situation. They tell us about the birth rate growth, but I don’t see three children in each Russian family. Meanwhile, demographers calculated that in order to correct the situation with the current demographic failure, it is necessary that for every woman there would be no less than 2,65 children in general, and even then a positive effect can be observed only after more than twenty years. Meanwhile, even according to official data, the birth rate is 1,7 or 1,8 per child per woman, and this includes the non-Russian population, migrants ... "


The Eurasian Union is an imitation, says the publicist.

“But are we building the Eurasian Union ?! Where did you see it? So far, I personally see that with Belarus we have not been able to establish a full-fledged integration, Ukraine at this stage and completely lost. What kind of union is it? About the one that is “created” by imitation of vigorous activity? At a minimum, it is necessary to unite the three union republics - the Russian Federation, Ukraine and Belarus; next in line is Kazakhstan. And what we see now is just an attempt to create something amorphous, and with the Central Asian republics. But all this will not save Russia from a demographic collapse. ”


So, it should be noted: if Soviet Russia had an ideological basis that set certain guidelines for development, then the authorities at the helm of the last decades have no ideology other than privatization-capitalist (that is, the very western one, which has been irreversible destruction of the entire Soviet), and there can not be. In the absence of their own ideology, it remains to borrow from the West and imitate the West, copying everything from it: from the form of parliament to plastic tableware. There are two outcomes: either continue to sail in the fairway of the West, solving their problems using completely Western methods and not being ashamed of their secondary nature and subordination, or find and stake out their place in stories - This is where Western scenarios seem really ridiculous and unrealistic, and the forecasts are ridiculous-fantastic. But the current political elite is not able to make such a sharp turn. It remains to hope for the elite from the beautiful far away ...

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
166 comments
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  1. Igor39
    Igor39 16 October 2013 08: 43 New
    +9
    The author has a sick imagination
    1. Refund_SSSR
      Refund_SSSR 16 October 2013 09: 16 New
      18
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination

      Yes, how many of them were already .. And where are they all? But Russia is still standing and not staggering.
      And Napoleon and Hitler survived. And revolution with putsch. And a few fake Dmitrys. And two centuries Iga of the Mongol-Tatar ... Privatization with defaults ... Everything was, but Russia stands firmly on the world stage.

      In general, of course, there is no place for similar pearls on topvar ... no place ... There is a lot of similar r ... on the Internet, but why should it be searched and not just searched but also dumped? I do not understand...
      1. LaGlobal
        LaGlobal 16 October 2013 09: 20 New
        +7
        Quote: We refund_SSSR
        The author has a sick imagination


        I agree! But the article I put a plus, purely due to the fact that this sick author cheered me up lol

        And so, the author Lukashenko is not enough! Would have shot him angry
        1. Vadivak
          Vadivak 16 October 2013 09: 29 New
          40
          Quote: ...
          Mr. Berman has long been known for his gloomy forecasts, ... the war with Ukraine


          Also me a Newton binom

          Otto von Bismarck:
          “The power of Russia can only be undermined by the separation of Ukraine from it ... it is necessary not only to tear off, but also to oppose Ukraine to Russia, to pit two parts of a single people and watch how a brother will kill his brother ...

          ... For this, you only need to find and nurture traitors among the national elite and, with their help, change the self-awareness of one part of the great people to such an extent that they will hate everything Russian, hate their kind, without realizing it. Everything else is a matter of time. ”

          Traitors found, nurtured and change cattle self-consciousness
          1. VasiliyK651
            VasiliyK651 16 October 2013 21: 19 New
            +6
            Poor Bismarck. He was the creator of so many aphorisms that he probably would have subscribed to those that he didn’t pronounce ....
            1. Setrac
              Setrac 16 October 2013 22: 12 New
              +4
              Quote: VasiliyK651
              Poor Bismarck. He was the creator of so many aphorisms that he probably would have subscribed to those that he didn’t pronounce ....

              At a terrible trial, Bismarck will knock on the tower to everyone who spoke any garbage on his behalf.
      2. Igor39
        Igor39 16 October 2013 09: 20 New
        23
        I think that the site should be renamed to "Military-political obscenity" laughing
        1. Vadivak
          Vadivak 16 October 2013 09: 41 New
          10
          Quote: Igor39
          I read that the site should be renamed to "Military-political obstruction


          War child of politics
          1. Ascetic
            Ascetic 16 October 2013 10: 05 New
            14
            Quote: Vadivak
            War child of politics


            “There is war continuation of politics other "(namely: violent)" means "
            ..
            Prussian military theorist Karl Clausewitz "On War",
      3. Albert1988
        Albert1988 16 October 2013 10: 31 New
        +7
        Quote: We refund_SSSR
        Yes, how many of them were already .. And where are they all? But Russia is still standing and not staggering.

        That's it, golden words! And the fact that demographics are bad now and many territories that are essentially Russian primordially disconnected are bad, of course, but remember, for example, the period of fragmentation into specific principalities was then conjoined, and now it is controversial.
        PS The author of the article complains that Russia is spending money on rearmament? So, therefore, we spend it so that China has not risen so near)))
        1. Walker1975
          Walker1975 16 October 2013 15: 03 New
          10
          Praising yourself is certainly good. Here are 3 points:

          1. Demographic problem. The decrease in the population of Russia.

          2. The increase in the number of Russian Muslims and their radicalization.

          3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.

          You say that these problems are absent? Do you see how to solve these problems in the foreseeable future?
          1. Don
            Don 16 October 2013 18: 15 New
            +5
            Quote: Walker1975
            1. Demographic problem. The decrease in the population of Russia.

            The population of the Russian Federation over the past 3 years has been growing. It affects the growth of well-being and the fact that a new generation is growing up. In the conditions of the economic recession of the 90s, the birth rate fell, in the 2000s it began to grow.
            Quote: Walker1975
            2. The increase in the number of Russian Muslims and their radicalization.

            Well, if this author also drew a ratio. Now 20% of the population are Muslims, most of them are Tatars, whose Bashkirs have very weak separatist sentiments. What does he want to say that by 2040 there will be 50% of them? As for radicalization, complete nonsense, which seems to be the author’s dream. There have always been radicals, but for increased radicalization, targeted propaganda of radical Islam is needed. And the leaders of the Caucasian republics and the mufti, on the contrary, pursue a moderate policy of the center, because they are their henchmen. Moreover, a radical economic situation is necessary for radicalization.
            Quote: Walker1975
            3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.

            What does this mean? What does it mean to dominate? Yes, on the border of the Russian Federation in the Far East there is a strong economically and politically state, and so what? And near Estonia there is the Russian Federation, and near Bangladesh, India. What now, what does it change? At the moment, China does not make territorial claims against the Russian Federation. Of course, everything can change in 1 year, or maybe in 100 years.
            1. Walker1975
              Walker1975 16 October 2013 18: 46 New
              0
              What does China dominate? Well, Russian television shows from the 21st minute
              1. Don
                Don 17 October 2013 13: 53 New
                0
                Quote: Walker1975
                What does China dominate? Well, Russian television shows from the 21st minute

                Something doesn’t turn on for me. Maybe throw off the link to it or in a nutshell tell about it.
                1. Walker1975
                  Walker1975 17 October 2013 19: 35 New
                  +1
                  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rW_zP-MGvs - ссылка. А в двух словах - лучше посмотрите. Если и прямая ссылка не откроется - перескажу.
                  1. Don
                    Don 21 October 2013 18: 36 New
                    0
                    Quote: Walker1975
                    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rW_zP-MGvs - ссылка. А в двух словах - лучше посмотрите. Если и прямая ссылка не откроется - перескажу.

                    I looked through it. Well, I never wrote anywhere that they have a weak army, although as it was correctly noted by one expert in the program, it does not have combat experience. And about 400 million mobilization, this is generally ridiculous. They strengthened, strengthen and will strengthen the army. Unfortunately, the Russian Federation has taken up this recently. Just do not say that in the military sense they completely dominate all other states in the region. You can even compare by numbers. But the question is:
                    Quote: Walker1975
                    3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.

                    What is the problem? The fact that they are building up military power? Well, everyone is building up. You can’t keep up with everyone.
            2. Gecko
              Gecko 16 October 2013 19: 27 New
              +3
              Where did you get 20% of Muslims in Russia?
              The number of traditionally Muslim peoples in Russia is about 14,5 million people. - About 10% of the country's population and not all of them are believers.
            3. Setrac
              Setrac 16 October 2013 22: 15 New
              0
              Quote: Don
              What does this mean? What does it mean to dominate?

              HOW do you not know what it means to dominate? Well, there are lashes, whips, chains - Western perverts in ecstasy.
          2. Arti
            Arti 17 October 2013 00: 25 New
            -1
            Ukraine, do not teach me how to live - I beg, otherwise the stomach is torn from laughter.
        2. mikkado31
          mikkado31 16 October 2013 22: 02 New
          -4
          Did you get it? For 300 years they were under the Mongols.
          1. Arti
            Arti 17 October 2013 00: 31 New
            +1
            Well, where are these Mongols now ???
      4. Xroft
        Xroft 16 October 2013 11: 33 New
        +8
        But where does it not stagger? Today the situation of the Russian Federation is the worst since the time of the Mongol-Tatar yoke ..... Dude correctly writes that modern elites do not want to do anything to improve the position of the country / people, but pursue only their own selfish goals. Moreover, all the elites, there is not a single politician who would like to pursue an independent course and develop the state. 20 years of democracy, and what is our growth over this time? look at any state that is trying to engage in politics building up its independence. What could be done in our country during this time? With such resources ... and they work for 150 people of high society, and the people are bent from a bunch of unresolved problems
        1. Albert1988
          Albert1988 16 October 2013 13: 32 New
          +7
          Quote: Xroft
          Today the situation of the Russian Federation is the worst since the time of the Tatar-Mongol yoke ..

          But what about the notorious dashing 90s? Then was it better? Compared to that period, Russia now stands like the Egyptian pyramids - the cladding has suffered, and a lot has been raised inside, but the main and main structure is still intact, it’s not going to fall! Yes, there are problems and problems are not small, but still, now our situation is immeasurably better than in the 90s. So just looking back you can clearly see - we went through a much more dangerous period and did not fall apart, and therefore there is every reason to hope that we will continue to stand))
          1. Xroft
            Xroft 16 October 2013 13: 48 New
            +7
            Yes, there’s a debatable question which is worse ... now when people are amusing themselves with the illusion of stability and success? (They wrote in an article about the phantom of the current system) or when everything was obviously worthless and tried to break the situation (and broke) and right now the authorities are sitting and pretending to ok, swelling funds in absolutely (in today's circumstances it is ABSOLUTELY) unnecessary projects of the Olympiad and the World Cup.
            It’s better to upgrade the housing system in the whole country, build schools, repair roads, make a transport artery from China to Europe with which you can get huge amounts of money .... and a lot of things. (Again, an impetus to the development of the Eurasian Union, the development of the Far East to attract investors there just people)
            1. Albert1988
              Albert1988 16 October 2013 15: 26 New
              +4
              Well, how many world championships and olympiads are "unnecessary" is, let's say, a debatable question, but in my personal opinion - a period of stability is still better than a period of complete failure, then, by the way, no one was going to break the situation - default as a result, and some made a fortune like Kiriyenko's companions, for example. Of course now is not the time to fall into rosy dreams about how good everything is, no one talks about this. They say that Russia had faced similar problems before, and while the West was burying it and tearing accordion accordions, Russia was constantly struggling to get out)
              1. Xroft
                Xroft 16 October 2013 16: 20 New
                -1
                Russia scrambled out, due to huge social upheavals and human casualties (both the empire and the USSR could afford) that period of the Time of Troubles, that the Northern War, that the First World War, that the Second World War, etc. And now the Russian Federation is not able to allow it .... 142mln for a country of our size is already a disaster, with actively developing neighboring large players such as China (about which it had never been heard before (times of the Russian Empire), but it is worth remembering the Mongols .. ...) And again, you see that figure that is able to raise the Russian Federation on the right course? let's not make a guess, but she’ll vryatli appear before 2040. Again, until it reaches a critical point (it is critical when the system collapses) and society as immunity does not create a * rescuer * of the country, and it will restore only what has been lost by generations of modern power but will not increase the country's potential .... all this recalls history The Byzantine Empire (we are its direct followers by faith and culture), and after all, there used to be a Roman .......
                1. Albert1988
                  Albert1988 16 October 2013 20: 17 New
                  +4
                  Let me disagree with you on a number of points: the first is a period of troubled times, just like the first and second world ones are the most serious disasters that covered our country, and the price we paid for it was all too high for the Empire and the USSR . The Northern War is not a little topic, the scale is still a bit wrong.
                  Secondly, Russia, this is not Byzantium, and especially not Rome - they were completely different civilizations, although we took a lot from Byzantium, but still we have a different type of thinking, the processes in society are somewhat different, so the laws of our development also differ from the Byzantine.
                  I agree with one thing - there is no figure that can lift Russia yet, but the fact that it does not appear is not sure, you can talk a lot about Putin, but in the late 90s no one expected that there would be a person who would stop the country's fall in tartarara, but he appeared.
                  And until 2040 is still far away, so anything is possible, both bad and good))) And practice says that "radical" forecasts do not come true, but moderate ones come true, and the author of the article gives a typical radical negative forecast)
                2. both s69
                  both s69 17 October 2013 02: 36 New
                  +2
                  Quote: Xroft
                  all this recalls the history of the Byzantine Empire (we are its direct followers by faith and culture), and after all, there used to be a Roman .......

                  I read your few comments above - I agree completely. The domestic policy of the current leadership of Russia (assuming the standards of the Soviet Union) is 2 with a small plus! You are a big plus! Thank.
                  hi By the way, why not really connect Russia and China with a modern highway? After all, these are colossal profits for transit! A kind of "land Bosphorus"; It would also not hurt to connect Japan with Russia by a transport artery through a tunnel from Hokkaido to Sakhalin and from there through a narrow strait (5 km in total!) to tie traffic flows from South East Asia to Russia into a single knot. Our "privatizers" do not need any of this - they least of all think about goyim, cattle (emphasize the necessary). How to stir up this pack of bureaucrats who have become snuffed up and have lost all moral and other guidelines? I personally do not yet have an answer to my own question ... request
                  1. Setrac
                    Setrac 17 October 2013 17: 25 New
                    0
                    Quote: both-with 69
                    By the way, why not really connect Russia and China with the modern highway?

                    And you go and work on the railway, preferably in the BAM region, before talking about what you do not know.
                    Quote: both-with 69
                    How to stir up this pack of snickering bureaucrats who have lost all manner of moral and other guidelines?

                    Rest assured, the bureaucrats would not have missed their income from such a project.
            2. nov_tech.vrn
              nov_tech.vrn 16 October 2013 15: 48 New
              +7
              let us recall the 80-90 liberoids - why does the USSR need such an army, why do we need to feed the CMEA, we need such a democracy when everything would be possible, factories spoil the environment, why do we need space and the defense industry to produce pots and sausages, whoever wants to continue, needs Western investors, everyone ideas are repeated only, in other words, but with the same goals, by the way, after the damned Olympiad, the infrastructure remains, he would have shot the bribe-takers, but last year I had to ride towards the south, where the roads were of 2 types, normal routes are being built, straightened, wide and with the interchanges in "Big Sochi", the changes are just as striking, thieves in the nail, but the country should have development projects, problems need to be opened and dealt with, but if you whine that everything is g-but, then it will be everywhere ...
      5. v.lyamkin
        v.lyamkin 16 October 2013 12: 57 New
        +2
        Perhaps one can only agree with one of the conclusions of the article: in modern Russia there is no ideology. And that's bad.
        1. Walker1975
          Walker1975 16 October 2013 15: 11 New
          +5
          Also missing:
          - migration policy (hi Biryulyovo)
          - economic policy, industrial policy, tax policy (read the memo why tractors are better to build in Canada)
          - infrastructure policy (we’re eating up what was from the USSR), and with the money spent on the summit, it was possible to build a network of hospitals throughout Russia, the money spent on the Olympics, it was possible to build housing for all waiting lists)
          - science policy (the reform of the Russian Academy of Sciences was suddenly born overnight in the middle of nowhere)
          well, etc.
          1. nov_tech.vrn
            nov_tech.vrn 16 October 2013 15: 53 New
            +6
            you better tell us about hydraulic fracturing and gas production from shale, and also about the biological laboratories of the USA in Ukraine, about rapid economic growth under the auspices of the EU, soon there will be more Ukrainians in Canada than at home
            1. Walker1975
              Walker1975 16 October 2013 17: 22 New
              +2
              Let geologists tell you about shale mining, and economists about economic growth. As for Canada - a pretty country, he worked on one project with several Canadians. Polite, cultured people.

              But you, apparently a great specialist in all these matters. Therefore, you can talk about the economic growth of the Russian Federation - I will listen.
        2. Setrac
          Setrac 16 October 2013 22: 29 New
          -2
          Quote: v.lyamkin
          Perhaps one can only agree with one of the conclusions of the article: in modern Russia there is no ideology. And that's bad.

          Idealogy is a crutch; such crutches are not needed for a normal nation.
          1. kotvov
            kotvov 17 October 2013 09: 49 New
            0
            I think such crutches would be useful to you in the absence of ideology, there is no sense in the existence of the country.
            1. Setrac
              Setrac 17 October 2013 17: 21 New
              0
              Quote: kotvov
              I think such crutches would be useful to you in the absence of ideology, there is no sense in the existence of the country.

              Ha, what a naivety. Common sense does not need crutches. The meaning of the country's existence is to provide protection to its citizens; ideology has nothing to do with it. Ideology is only a tool, but not a goal, and this tool has replaced another tool - religion. A country in which 80% of the population is the titular nation does not need such unifying instruments as ideology or religion. Crutches of this kind are needed to unite heterogeneous territories.
      6. Blackgrifon
        Blackgrifon 16 October 2013 19: 26 New
        +5
        Quote: We refund_SSSR
        And Napoleon and Hitler survived. And revolution with putsch. And a few fake Dmitrys. And two centuries Iga of the Mongol-Tatar ... Privatization with defaults ... Everything was, but Russia stands firmly on the world stage.


        From your examples, only the Tatar-Mongol invasion and yoke can be compared in terms of the damage done to our country at the end of the XNUMXth century. Nevertheless, the vitality of the state-forming people can not be put as the only reason for his victories over external and internal enemies. There was always an idea that directed all the energy of the people to the goal. And now?
      7. Firstvanguard
        Firstvanguard 17 October 2013 06: 14 New
        0
        In general, of course, there is no place for similar pearls on topvar ... no place ... There is a lot of similar r ... on the Internet, but why should it be searched and not just searched but also dumped? I do not understand...

        The enemy must be known in person. And his methods too. If the vast majority will understand that this is not just a figment of the inflamed imagination of a certain figure, but an attempt to inform the future, then this attempt will become a fruitless creep and nothing more.
      8. Vasyan1971
        Vasyan1971 21 October 2013 00: 03 New
        0
        It is believed that God is watching Russia. Personally. Because there is no other explanation for why it still exists. And if God is with us, then who is against us?
    2. Natalia
      Natalia 16 October 2013 09: 19 New
      26
      Russia-2040 by Ilan Berman: the loss of the Far East and the war with Ukraine

      America-2030 by Natalia Loginova: secession of the southern states, dollar devaluation, hurricanes Eleanor and Elizabeth connected on the east coast of the United States, as a result of which the explosion at a nuclear power plant in eastern Virginia, Canada withdrew from NATO, Mexico applied to join the CSTO to become its 32nd participant.

      PS ... winked at first they thought in short Russia would fall apart already by 2000, then it was numb by 2010 for sure .... now even for 2020 they’re not sure, they moved the apocalypse to 2040 already .... well, well lol As the saying goes "... I do not listen to you, I will ambassador and eat" smile
      1. Orel
        Orel 16 October 2013 09: 32 New
        13
        The Slavs, whose number is decreasing and nationalism is increasing, are waging a cold war with a growing and radicalizing Muslim population. In the republics, the majority of whose Muslims are Muslims, separatist sentiments are gaining strength.


        It’s hard to argue with this and this is a real threat to Russia, and threat No. 1. Not the USA, not the West, no one else is as dangerous to us as separatism. No one could ever break Russia, it itself was falling apart, this should not be allowed again ...
        1. vladimirZ
          vladimirZ 16 October 2013 10: 54 New
          +7
          There is a threat of collapse of modern Russia, it must be taken into account, and it is not pointless to discard it.
          And first of all, I agree with you separatism, which continues to flourish in individual national republics (states - under the Constitution) of Russia. To give examples, I think they are not worth everyone’s ears.
          The external enemy poses no less threat, which the top leadership of Russia finally remembered about, starting to restore those who had been destroyed by them, i.e. "reformed" armed forces.
          So, the scenario of the collapse of Russia is relevant, and so that it does not become a reality, certain efforts are needed to confront not the forecast author, but the real enemies of Russia - separatism and the external enemy - the United States, Western Europe, united in a NATO military bloc and yet a friendly, but potential enemy To China.
          1. Orel
            Orel 16 October 2013 11: 54 New
            +2
            and so far a friendly but potential adversary to China.


            I disagree here. China can be viewed as an adversary only if it unites with the United States, which I cannot imagine yet. Until this happens, China will be with us in the same boat. He has no reason for war, we are not going to attack China, China receives all the necessary resources from us, and even if China starts to "look wrong" at us, we will unite with the United States against China, and this is worse for him everything in the world ...
          2. Walker1975
            Walker1975 16 October 2013 15: 15 New
            +5
            And in my opinion, the threat to the existence of the Russian Federation No. 1 is a social stratification, when 110 Russians own 35% of the assets. This gives rise to corruption, the collapse of the economy, social tension ...
            And these people send their children to study abroad, accounts abroad, cottages there ...
            1. Don
              Don 17 October 2013 15: 19 New
              -1
              Quote: Walker1975
              And in my opinion, the threat to the existence of the Russian Federation No. 1 is a social stratification, when 110 Russians own 35% of the assets.

              Not the first time I come across these numbers, but I don’t understand where they got them from. I wonder how many assets in the US or the EU belong to private owners 80% or 90% ?!
              Quote: Walker1975
              This gives rise to corruption, the collapse of the economy, social tension

              That is, if Russian aluminum belongs to Deripaska, then precisely because of this, an official from the Moscow Region takes a bribe for road works? Something I do not see in this logic. And about the collapse of the economy, this is all nonsense. In the United States and China, large corporations also own most of the industry, and what is their economic collapse? And what about the collapse of the economy in the Russian Federation? As for social tension, I agree. But it can appear in any state where most of the population lives below the poverty line. It is not a matter of the number of oligarchs, but the percentage of the middle class. And in Russia, the percentage of the middle class is increasing.
              1. Walker1975
                Walker1975 17 October 2013 19: 41 New
                +3
                You see. Social stratification is the tip of the iceberg. This is a diagnosis of the existing system. That is, roughly speaking, in order for 1 megabandit to exist, it is necessary that there are 1000 smaller bandits, there is no system that catches a bandit and many other factors. If an official became a billionaire (on his salary), then it means corruption in the entire department subordinate to him ... well, etc. There are many linear and non linear dependencies. So, even smaller numbers create an explosive atmosphere in society.
                1. Don
                  Don 21 October 2013 18: 48 New
                  0
                  Quote: Walker1975
                  You see. Social stratification is the tip of the iceberg

                  Social stratification was, is and will be. Oligarchs are everywhere, especially in advanced economies. You write:
                  Quote: Walker1975
                  If an official became a billionaire (on his salary), then it means corruption in the entire department subordinate to him ... well, etc. There are many linear and non linear dependencies.

                  So this is not a matter of stratification, but a matter of corruption. This, of course, is not right, and because of this, of course, social tension is created, but in fact it always exists, because there will always be rich and poor. Be it the United States, China or the Russian Federation.
                  The main thing in this whole situation is the golden mean. The more people in the middle class, the less social tension. Unfortunately, both in the Russian Federation and we have problems with this, although in the Russian Federation the situation is much better and the percentage ratio too.
          3. kotvov
            kotvov 17 October 2013 09: 54 New
            0
            and yet the most terrible threat, in my opinion, is the betrayal of the leadership. that we observed in 90. although I still have doubts about the current one.
        2. Starfish
          Starfish 16 October 2013 13: 37 New
          0
          I can only agree about the Far East, there are really a lot of problems, but everything else is just an action plan for our "partners".
          about "partners" - I personally don't consider them as such, but this is the official name of our enemies by our authorities
          1. Walker1975
            Walker1975 16 October 2013 15: 17 New
            +2
            Are paragraphs 1 and 2 missing?

            1. Demographic problem. The decrease in the population of Russia.

            2. The increase in the number of Russian Muslims and their radicalization.

            3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.
        3. Governor
          Governor 16 October 2013 16: 28 New
          +5
          Not certainly in that way. If we take into account the fact that the rapid spread of radical Islam across the planet in recent decades is the "merit" of the United States and Europe, then the N1 threat represented by these filthy states is quite obvious.
          Well, the fact that Muslims do not behave culturally ... You need to start with yourself!
          Indeed, you must admit that it is strange when a Russian drunk expresses his dissatisfaction with the inhabitants of the Caucasus, many of whom do not drink alcohol at all. But there are many such drunks ...
          So, gentlemen, it's time to turn on the head.
        4. Firstvanguard
          Firstvanguard 17 October 2013 06: 24 New
          0
          It’s hard to argue with this and this is a real threat to Russia, and threat No. 1. Not the USA, not the West, no one else is as dangerous to us as separatism. No one could ever break Russia, it itself was falling apart, this should not be allowed again ...

          USA and West are major puppeteers of separatism around the world hi
          See the root (s)
      2. Alexander Romanov
        Alexander Romanov 16 October 2013 09: 36 New
        12
        Quote: Natalia
        America-2030 by Natalia Loginova: secession of the southern states, dollar devaluation, hurricanes "Eleanor" and "Elizabeth" united on the east coast of the United States, as a result of which the explosion at a nuclear power plant in eastern Virginia, Canada withdrew from NATO, Mexico applied to join the CSTO to become the 32nd participant.

        Hi Natasha! Go to the USA urgently and bring your plan to life. We will support you wink
        PS In place of the Pentagon, there should be a lake winked
        1. Natalia
          Natalia 16 October 2013 09: 46 New
          +8
          Quote: Alexander Romanov
          Hi Natasha! Go to the USA urgently and bring your plan to life. We will support you
          PS In place of the Pentagon, there should be a lake

          Hi!
          .... yeah, thank you kind man, if I start there to talk like that to the NSA, I’ll quickly: at best, deport, or immediately multiply by zero, and at worst some Guantanamo ....
          They have "freedom of speech", so they solve such problems quickly ... in Russia, "totalitarian" Putin lets Navalny open his mouth at every swamp ...
          1. Alexander Romanov
            Alexander Romanov 16 October 2013 09: 55 New
            +9
            Quote: Natalia
            if I start there to start pushing similar speeches to me the NSA quickly

            Your task at the initial stage, to lead the NSA. And then cram in Guantanomo McCain and his ilk wink
            Quote: Natalia
            ..there in Russia, "totalitarian" Putin lets Navalny open his mouth at every swamp ....

            It’s good that I recalled that Navalny and the entire human rights harem are on the cameras, let them write memoirs. Well, we read ....... maybe wink
            1. Natalia
              Natalia 16 October 2013 10: 05 New
              +2
              Quote: Alexander Romanov
              Your task at the initial stage, to lead the NSA. And then cram in Guantanomo McCain and his ilk

              This grandpa lol what for in Guantanamo .... in Butyrka he would be better laughing
              1. Alexander Romanov
                Alexander Romanov 16 October 2013 10: 18 New
                +3
                Quote: Natalia
                what for in Guantanamo .... in Butyrka he would be better

                Natasha, for me it’s been a long time since he was in the morgue. He was held in this world laughing
                1. Natalia
                  Natalia 16 October 2013 10: 34 New
                  +1
                  Quote: Alexander Romanov
                  Natasha, for me it’s been a long time since he was in the morgue. He was held in this world

                  ..... lol laughing
                  ....Yes winked , let it work so far in the morgue of the Venevsky district of the Tula region ... lol
                  1. ATATA
                    ATATA 16 October 2013 11: 01 New
                    +1
                    Quote: Natalia
                    ..yes, let it work part time in the morgue of Venevsky district of the Tula region

                    How exactly did you specify the coordinates.
                    Why exactly there?
                    1. Natalia
                      Natalia 16 October 2013 12: 08 New
                      0
                      Quote: ATATA
                      How exactly did you specify the coordinates.
                      Why exactly there?

                      I poked my finger on a map of the European part of Russia, hit the Venev Tula region ... wink
                      But you can offer your options ... winked
              2. INVESTOR
                INVESTOR 16 October 2013 11: 45 New
                +3
                Better to the Vietnamese who were caught for deportation to the cell ...
                1. Natalia
                  Natalia 16 October 2013 12: 15 New
                  0
                  Quote: INVESTOR
                  Better to the Vietnamese who were caught for deportation to the cell ...

                  By the way, yes, they will be glad to see the "old" "good" "friend", they will mmmm, I don't know, I'm going to wash, boil the laundry with HANDLES ...
      3. v.lyamkin
        v.lyamkin 16 October 2013 13: 00 New
        +2
        To you ++. I wanted to invite Berman to write a forecast for the United States. But I agree - he will not cope.
    3. baltika-18
      baltika-18 16 October 2013 09: 57 New
      +7
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination

      Which author, Berman or Chuvakin? It’s not clear, but it’s a joke.
      But seriously. Regarding the 2040 year of the Jewish-American dreamer, I naturally disagree, because he considers the distant future, taking into account only one circumstance. And this circumstance is the following: Putin has been in power all this time or his successors and their economic, domestic and foreign policy is unchanged.
      In this case, the Berman forecast may come true, albeit with a small probability. And here I ask myself: what am I worse than Berman? I will make my own forecast about the development of the situation in the country and the geopolitical space surrounding it. :
      2014-2015-small unrest in the country, the emergence of new personalities in the political Olympus.
      2016-2017-a change of power, Putin’s departure, the imposition of a state of emergency, the formation of an emergency committee (Cheka), the dispersal of the State Duma, the Federation Council, and the Supreme State Council has all power.
      2018-2019-nationalization, new constitution, the beginning of the construction of a new type of economy.
      2020-rapid economic growth, the accession of Belarus, the formation of a power called the Great Russian Union.
      2021-2022-new technologies in the production of electricity, the accession of Ukraine.
      2023-2025-entry into the Union of Kazakhstan.
      2025-2030-collapse of Turkey, accession to the Union of Moldova, Bulgaria, Greece.
      We will stop at this for now, so as not to lose the intrigue, because when you know that tomorrow it will be somehow uninteresting to live. wink
      1. Egoza
        Egoza 16 October 2013 10: 25 New
        +7
        Quote: baltika-18
        2021-2022-new technologies in the production of electricity, the accession of Ukraine.

        Wait a minute! Ukraine has big plans!
        "Europe has given Ukraine a grant for the development of space programs! A grant of 1,45 million euros will allow domestic scientists to buy new pants and boots to build a small spacecraft and drop it from an airplane directly into the stratosphere. If the spacecraft holds in the stratosphere, a new era in space exploration our country can be considered open. Hurray, comrades! In fact, not everything is so optimistic, because Ukrainians will manage their money under the strict guidance of another highly developed country in terms of space, Spain. And do something on their own (including a tiny device for ejection from the plane) they are unlikely to succeed.
        The Ambassador of Spain to Ukraine, Jose Rodriguez Moyano, noted that the advantages of our country are that “Ukrainian specialists in the field of space exploration do not need to be trained, but you can provide them with access to new equipment and new opportunities.” Nobody is going to teach anyone, but “access to new opportunities” is, apparently, an opportunity to touch the equipment with your hands and look at the telescopes with your eyes. Already a lot, in principle ... laughing "http://polemika.com.ua/news-128985.html

        And so, when Ukrainian spaceships will plow the expanses of the Bolshoi Theater ....
        1. Valery Neonov
          Valery Neonov 16 October 2013 11: 14 New
          0
          Well ... you know ... Oh ... hi
      2. T80UM1
        T80UM1 16 October 2013 12: 45 New
        +3
        2 options:
        1) 2014-2017 the country stagnates periodically shaking from nationalist riots and corruption scandals.
        2018-2025 under pressure from the majority of the population and with the hidden funding of the world behind the scenes, the Nazi party comes to power in the Russian Federation with the slogan "Russia for the Russians" "Migrants to concentration camps" "Stop feeding the Caucasus"
        2026-2029 3 Caucasian war takes place with the genocide of the entire Muslim population of the North Caucasus
        2030 Russia is in a political and economic blockade for human rights violations.
        2031 Anschluss of Belarus is taking place
        2033 St. Petersburg conspiracy annexed eastern Ukraine
        2034 Occupied Western Ukraine
        2035 after the invasion of the Baltic states, NATO declares war on Russia.
        2036 the Baltic states and Poland are occupied, in the West there is a temporary lull
        2037 Russia invades Central Asia but collides with China
        2041 After the Great Patriotic War of China, the war ends in Moscow with the unconditional surrender of Nazi Russia
        Further on the thumb ...
        Option 2
        2014-2017, the country stagnates periodically shaking from nationalist riots and corruption scandals.
        2018 is symbolized by a popular revolution (military coup) supported by the army
        2018 end, in the basement of one of the houses of Petrograd, all participants of the Lake cooperative were shot, in Moscow 215 alligarchs were shot and all property was confiscated.
        2019 beginning of repression against 5 columns
        2021 begins the second industrialization of the country
        2022 under the pressure of the majority and general referendum, a single state of Russia and Belarus is formed
        2025 all eastern Ukraine passes into a union state, after half a year de facto Western does the same
        2026 provoked war between the United States and China, the Baltic states annexed with the guise of repression and genocide of Nazi elements
        2029 Aid to China program is announced
        2030 Central Asia is part of the Union
        2035 The war ends with the fall of Washington and London. China is weakened.
        2041 New World Order
        1. Walker1975
          Walker1975 16 October 2013 15: 25 New
          +1
          In the second scenario, the big questions are:
          ------------------------------------
          2018 is symbolized by a popular revolution (military coup) supported by the army
          2018 end, in the basement of one of the houses of Petrograd, all participants of the Lake cooperative were shot, in Moscow 215 alligarchs were shot and all property was confiscated.
          2019 beginning of repression against 5 columns
          ------------------------------------
          And why do you think that a progressive government will come to replace it? Where does it come from?

          ------------------------------------
          2021 begins the second industrialization of the country
          ------------------------------------
          Are you sure that this will help and Russia will catch up with other countries with ruined science and education, lagging behind in all high-tech industries?

          ------------------------------------
          2025 all eastern Ukraine passes into a union state, after half a year de facto Western does the same
          ------------------------------------
          Blessed is he who believes

          ------------------------------------
          2026 provoked war between the United States and China, the Baltic states annexed with the guise of repression and genocide of Nazi elements
          2029 Aid to China program is announced
          2030 Central Asia is part of the Union
          2035 The war ends with the fall of Washington and London. China is weakened.
          ------------------------------------
          Fiction on the 2nd floor (Russia succeeds, it catches up with and overtakes everyone, distances itself from conflicts, and neighbors beat each other)
          1. T80UM1
            T80UM1 16 October 2013 18: 05 New
            +1
            1917 there was a revolution, then a progressive government came
            1931 industrialization began as a result many advanced countries were left behind

            What does not suit you the alliance of Russia Belarus and Ukraine? It seems you are one people ...

            The United States in the first and second world wars did the same thing, which prevents them from repeating their experience ??
            I’m not inventing anything new ...
      3. True
        True 20 October 2013 09: 31 New
        +1
        TALENT !!!
    4. alone
      alone 16 October 2013 10: 24 New
      -3
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination


      the author is sick and the imagination is not necessary here)))
    5. Klibanophoros
      Klibanophoros 16 October 2013 10: 25 New
      +1
      But why? Take the trouble to read Berman's interview in full, here's a b-nasty link: http://www.golos-ameriki.ru/content/ag-ilan-berman-interview/1767090.html
      I remember this passage:
      "At the other end of the country is the Chinese problem. This problem is not only political, but also territorial. Russia and China have been competing for these lands for hundreds of years. The border was finally established only in 2001. But this is only a temporary agreement, since the term it expires in 2021. Why did this happen? Because at the time of signing this agreement, China knew that in 20-30 years the demographic situation in the region would change significantly and it would be able to renegotiate the terms of the agreement. And China is right, because now The Russian population in the Far East is minimal and continues to decline. As a result, a colossal and richest region capable of securing Russia's future is increasingly suffering from a lack of labor. The labor force is increasingly provided by China. "
      Where to go to Russia, you can find out that all the agreements under which Puteng gave the Chinese the waters of the Amur River (along the fairway is the border!) And a bunch of islands in addition, there is a TEMPORARY AGREEMENT, which will end in 10 years ?????
      But the Yankees know everything about it.
      1. alebor
        alebor 16 October 2013 12: 18 New
        0
        I remember when an agreement was signed with China, according to which Russia made territorial concessions, Lavrov talked about the fact that now all territorial problems with China have been resolved and how everything has become wonderful. What does the agreement come only for 10 years, and after its expiration will begin new territorial concessions on the part of Russia in favor of rapidly growing China?
        1. old rocket man
          old rocket man 16 October 2013 13: 53 New
          +1
          Quote: alebor
          What does the agreement come out was only for 10 years, and upon its expiration will begin new territorial concessions on the part of Russia in favor of rapidly growing China?


          I hasten to reassure the skeptics.
          The Amur fairway is constantly changing, therefore a time limit of 10 years has been chosen, after 10 years the border is demarcated along the new fairway and the whole business, the approach is logical and fair, now is not the 1900th year and twisting China's arms is not a very grateful occupation
    6. Col.
      Col. 16 October 2013 10: 26 New
      +6
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination


      ... But a sober unbiased objective analytical approach. And at present, the trends are just such that analyzing them, you come to conclusions similar to Berman (although in many respects he is too dramatized and "exaggerated"). God grant that these trends change. And, unfortunately, one cannot hope for this, while the current "team" is in power.
      1. ATATA
        ATATA 16 October 2013 11: 04 New
        0
        Quote: Colonel
        And, unfortunately, one cannot hope for this, as long as the current "team" is in power.

        And where is there not a biased look?
    7. air wolf
      air wolf 16 October 2013 10: 37 New
      +5
      And he is in many respects right, Islamization is lost by the state, the Far East is neglected. If we create full conditions for the development of the population of Russia, social programs, the construction of infrastructure roads, the re-equipment of the army, the Air Force and the Navy, the increase in the prestige of the military. And most importantly, this is the creation of a mobilization reserve, i.e. arm all healthy people of Russia and to keep weapons and munitions at home, as is customary in some countries, and once a year for a couple of days they go to training. And all this needs to be stimulated.
      And then perhaps this forecast does not come true. What a pity that I personally can’t resolve all this. Gentlemen must work!
      1. Vadivak
        Vadivak 16 October 2013 11: 01 New
        +4
        Quote: air wolf
        If we create full-fledged conditions for the development of the population of Russia, social programs, the construction of infrastructure roads, the re-equipment of the army, the Air Force and the Navy


        To begin with, stop transferring Merc officials to BMW, buy FSB aircraft at 3 yards apiece

        The Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation announced a tender for the purchase of 60 luxury BMW 7-series in the amount of more than 300 million rubles. Cars are purchased as part of a planned fleet upgrade. Until the end of the year, officials also plan to purchase no less large parties of the BMW 5 Series and Ford Mondeo.
        The Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation officially informed that it intends to purchase special purpose aircraft for its needs by the end of 2013, but it was not so much the fact of the purchase of the aircraft, but its cost, that aroused more interest. According to information posted on a special public procurement website, the transaction value is declared in the region of 2,7 billion rubles and will actually be used to transport the leadership of the FSB of Russia
        1. Alexander Romanov
          Alexander Romanov 16 October 2013 11: 06 New
          +3
          Quote: Vadivak
          The Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation has announced a tender for the purchase of 60 luxury BMW 7-series in the amount of more than 300 million rubles

          Quote: Vadivak
          . Until the end of the year, officials also plan to purchase no less large parties of the BMW 5 Series and Ford Mondeo.

          In the Lada Kalina, which Putin advertised so much, you see our patriots riding up the hill.
          Quote: Vadivak
          b. According to information posted on a special public procurement website, the transaction value is declared in the region of 2,7 billion rubles and will actually be used to transport the leadership of the FSB of Russia

          Probably decided to measure with Abramovich’s pussy.
        2. air wolf
          air wolf 16 October 2013 12: 18 New
          0
          I agree, officials are rowing for themselves. All their purchases are under the control of the people. And in the Duma, deputy seats are enough to sell. And in general, the country should be ruled by business executives, scientists, military, cultural figures, etc., and not all sorts of politicians ...
          And I forgot to finish it earlier, so now it would be rational to allow men to be healthy and full-bodied, having sufficient income, to have two or three wives, regardless of faith and belief. And short-barreled weapons and Kalash from warehouses were also on sale for people who served and lived according to the laws, and not customs. And the compulsory employment of everyone. Tunnadtsev, drug addicts, drunkards in Siberia to remove the snow, there are many!
    8. avt
      avt 16 October 2013 11: 04 New
      +4
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination

      request And nevertheless this scenario is PRESCRIBED by them to us and they will seek its execution. Just as soon as they implemented the scenario written by Hauser, an adviser to President Wilson, after the First World War. Our western borders completely coincide with this scenario, including the rejection of Crimea and the creation of a `` cordon sanitaire '' from sea to sea. Here is such a geopolitics, however ...
    9. atalef
      atalef 16 October 2013 11: 21 New
      +5
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination

      how all analysts got (probably from the word anal), presidents of academies named after themselves, directors of institutes, etc. I like these analysts from Bergman to Israil Shamir (writing about Israel, having never been there for the last 40 years) or Ivashov (the president of the academy named after himself and established various awards (identical by state name) and who awarded them all (for grandmas, of course) in a week to release two articles (discussed on the forum) which in content simply contradicted each other.
      Of course, they have someone to learn from, yet Hodja Nasreddin promised to teach a donkey to speak in 20 years, said a very clever thing, in 20 years either a donkey will die or a shah.
      1. Don
        Don 17 October 2013 15: 24 New
        0
        Quote: atalef
        how did all the analysts get

        I completely agree with you, Alexander. The article is not about anything. To draw any conclusions for 20-30 years in the economy, and even more so in politics, not one real expert will not.
    10. Alekseir162
      Alekseir162 16 October 2013 11: 21 New
      +1
      The author has a sick imagination

      Exactly, the picture lacks, perhaps, a drunken bear in a cap with earflaps and a balalaika. But actually, that's why I want to quote from one well-known joke - "... DO NOT WAIT!"
    11. busido
      busido 16 October 2013 12: 23 New
      0
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination


      Hitler also suffered with a highly developed imagination. Napoleon was small, of course, a sprout, but not faintly imagined in the 19th century. Especially all "imaginers" are very often drawn to us to Russia. To see our open spaces really give flight to the sick fantasies ... But these fantasies very often become real pain for everyone living in reality. So you don't need to bring it to - "while the thunder, then man ....", you need to think about it always. Next to you, around you, change and change Because these are the statements:
      Quote: We refund_SSSR
      Yes, how many of them were already .. And where are they all? But Russia is still standing and not staggering.
      And Napoleon and Hitler survived. And revolution with putsch. And a few fake Dmitrys. And two centuries Iga of the Mongol-Tatar ... Privatization with defaults ... Everything was, but Russia stands firmly on the world stage.

      In general, of course, there is no place for similar pearls on topvar ... no place ... There is a lot of similar r ... on the Internet, but why should it be searched and not just searched but also dumped? I do not understand...

      Obviously, with a hat, and hypertrophied, they give it away. Everything ever breaks down and collapses if the structure is not maintained in order. As it was said during my childhood - "Be ready! Always ready!" A direct war, brothers, is not far off. What it will be, time will tell. But what will be, and everything will be according to completely different rules, unfortunately, for sure. Asia! It's not about nationalism, but that it's just a fact. If the visa regime (for a start) will not be with the former republics of Central Asia (Kazakhstan is an exception), the fact is that our intellectual potential, erudition of citizens, will finally and irrevocably sink into oblivion.

      And here it is, one of the main accurate diagnoses. We don’t have strategists, there are no lovers of the day after tomorrow. More often (and not only in power) all around, I want only here and now.
      “The ruling group in Russia, uneducated, not understanding what a big style and big project is, look to the future only for the period of its physical existence. Therefore, nothing can be expected from them. But in Russian literature, in Russian philosophy there is a big project. He continues the previous one, just at the present stage. Russia in general can be the savior of European civilization if the big project is in the hands of the ruling elite. Of course, not the present, but the future. ”

      Something like this, men .....
      1. Firstvanguard
        Firstvanguard 17 October 2013 06: 35 New
        0
        The war’s direct brothers are not far off. What it will be, time will tell. But what will happen and everything will be by completely different rules is unfortunately, for sure.

        The war is going on here and now, and now it is going according to the same rules as 100 years ago, the same songs about democratic transformations, the change of the totalitarian regime, etc. War in the form of armed confrontation is only one form of war, far from the only one.
    12. Ribwort
      Ribwort 16 October 2013 12: 24 New
      +8
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination

      Imagination may be sick, but he identified the problems correctly:
      Quote: 1. The demographic problem. The decrease in the population of Russia.
      2. The increase in the number of Russian Muslims and their radicalization.
      3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.
      4. If Soviet Russia had an ideological basis that set certain guidelines for development, then the power that has been at the helm of recent decades has no ideology other than privatization-capitalist
      There are problems! And ignoring these problems does not mean solving them.
    13. yurii p
      yurii p 16 October 2013 14: 10 New
      0
      "American Foreign Policy Council," .... this is in my psychiatric clinic and the author is a patient of this clinic
    14. Ezhaak
      Ezhaak 16 October 2013 15: 40 New
      0
      Quote: Igor39
      The author has a sick imagination

      And as it does not seem strange, he does not write a script for what will happen to the states. Maybe these mentally ill people have already been discarded?
    15. Siberian German
      Siberian German 17 October 2013 02: 19 New
      0
      the patient is sick, but I did not understand - we have an agreement with China on the state border of which the truth is signed up to 21, or is it a run of a mad pig. If it’s true, then I think that our controllers will straighten the border again, but there have already been precedents for us
  2. stalker
    stalker 16 October 2013 08: 48 New
    +8
    Another homegrown analyst writing material for his star-striped owners, only by 2040 maybe they themselves will not, and Russia has been and always will be!
    1. LaGlobal
      LaGlobal 16 October 2013 10: 25 New
      +2
      Quote: stalker
      Russia has been and will always be!


      - HOORAY! - HOORAY! - URRRAAA !!!! soldier
  3. major071
    major071 16 October 2013 08: 50 New
    10
    This script is custom-made. They say correctly, don’t go to the fortuneteller, she will tell you something and you will secretly think about it, and thoughts determine the action. So what the fortuneteller said will happen. So is this scenario. fool
    I laid on the opinion of Berman parted. Let them figure it out first, or soon there will be no states like the USA on the map. bully
    1. Igor39
      Igor39 16 October 2013 08: 57 New
      +5
      See the collapse of America and then you can die quietly laughing
      1. major071
        major071 16 October 2013 09: 10 New
        11
        I hope that I will see the collapse of the United States and after that I’ll live another 50 years. laughing
    2. v.lyamkin
      v.lyamkin 16 October 2013 13: 11 New
      +1
      I'll try to say: neuro-linguistic programming however.
  4. UVB
    UVB 16 October 2013 08: 56 New
    +3
    Berman needs to order the script "Former US 2040"
    1. v.lyamkin
      v.lyamkin 16 October 2013 13: 13 New
      0
      Hardly pull. Read for reassurance America-2030 by Natalia Loginova
  5. Standard Oil
    Standard Oil 16 October 2013 09: 03 New
    +4
    What kind of fortune-telling on the coffee grounds? All these "analysts", both economic and political, can perform at the "Battle of the Psychics", how can you predict the future? The CIA experts in the late 80s were sure of the inviolability of the USSR, they themselves admit, that for them it was a complete surprise, now they are engaged in Russia, I agree that Russia has problems above the roof, but you can't sculpt everything in one heap and give out a negative scenario in 100% of cases, making the truth of the reservation like "but maybe to another ", why the heck to me such forecasts? Today it will rain, but it may be sunny. As wisely said in one film:" Everything that is said before the word "but" does not matter. How many such "experts" are paid for their work? I'll go over and come up with a bunch of scripts and become an "expert".
  6. svskor80
    svskor80 16 October 2013 09: 06 New
    +2
    It would be better to write fantastic literature, it would be more useful.
    1. Egoza
      Egoza 16 October 2013 10: 28 New
      +3
      Quote: svskor80
      It would be better to write fantastic literature,

      In no case! A lot of science fiction writers come true! let him remain an "analyst"
  7. Stiletto
    Stiletto 16 October 2013 09: 06 New
    +8
    Scenario - g.no, author - m..k.
    1. Luga
      Luga 16 October 2013 14: 34 New
      +3
      Brevity is the soul of wit. hi
  8. bistrov.
    bistrov. 16 October 2013 09: 06 New
    +7
    If Russia has time until 2040, it will see ... both the States, and China, and even more so, some kind of "Ukraine." Here, the war was literally on the verge and did not occur solely thanks to the decisive actions of Russian diplomacy and the Russian president. I'm talking about Syria.
  9. kostik1301
    kostik1301 16 October 2013 09: 08 New
    +1
    Let them dream, they won’t wait ..................................
  10. ed65b
    ed65b 16 October 2013 09: 09 New
    +5
    Already it was like discussing this opus. He is a Jew and a Jew in Africa.
    1. Ingvar 72
      Ingvar 72 16 October 2013 09: 34 New
      +5
      Jews will answer not only to the Jewish, but also to other nations. They sin before the national structure of a foreign cultural whole, falsify its historical authenticity, its national soul through falsified Jewish apostasy. They are doubly counterfeiters. They erase the borders, because in their souls all borders are erased ... therefore the holy duty of all nations is to guard the borders of their national identity.

      YAKOV KLATTSKIN / 1882 - 1948 / Jewish writer, philosopher and Zionist. From the book "Problems of Modern Jewry", Berlin, 1930.
  11. crambol
    crambol 16 October 2013 09: 09 New
    +2
    Fiction is fascinating enough only for internal use. Dream, it may come true! And for us, this is another empty horror story of a small-swimming homegrown politician. How many have already been, and where are they now!
  12. Denga
    Denga 16 October 2013 09: 15 New
    +5
    At the beginning of 2000, I read in a magazine about the report of the CIA that Russia would fall apart by 2020. The article then caused a very unpleasant sensation, and because of this, it was remembered because the memories of the collapse of the USSR and local wars on the territory of the former USSR and already Russia were still very fresh. I think that the Americans simply published a forecast of the alleged consequences of their special operations, and it’s probably clear where the money will flow from the US budget. Judging by the report, they will continue to sponsor radical Islamism in the Middle East, as well as separatism and radical Islamism in the Russian Federation (the North Caucasus, Volga region, Siberia and the Far East), nationalists in Ukraine, there will certainly be an attempt to push Russia against China and Japan. In general, either the miracle or the war will save the US economy. Anglo-Saxons so simply will not leave the world pedestal. In Russia, it is necessary to take more stringent measures with the so-called fifth column and still take an example from Belarus. I think the problems in the country will be significantly reduced.
  13. Valery Neonov
    Valery Neonov 16 October 2013 09: 24 New
    +3
    WHAT IS SUCH FOR US Ilan Berman... Oh .. the ordinary (the person is morally omitted) .. What he says ... is
    - Winter. Estonian first graders rush to their first call. . .
    - The guys are late. . . But do not worry, the call is also late!
    - in Russia already knew what he would say ... laughing
  14. 31231
    31231 16 October 2013 09: 25 New
    +4
    Fools of seers are everywhere full. What now to listen to everyone ?! There are orderlies for this.
  15. major071
    major071 16 October 2013 09: 26 New
    +4
    Judging by the report, they will continue to sponsor radical Islamism in the Middle East, as well as separatism and radical Islamism in the Russian Federation (the North Caucasus, Volga region, Siberia and the Far East), nationalists in Ukraine, there will certainly be an attempt to push Russia against China and Japan.

    Yes, break them finally the printing press. Yes, so that they could not restore at all. Neither the machine nor the country. angry
  16. morpogr
    morpogr 16 October 2013 09: 33 New
    +1
    Another American end of the world for Russia. It is better to make a forecast for the United States where whites are already a minority, a war with Mexico for the southern states, disconnecting Alaska so as not to pay for debts, buying up entire states by China to pay off the debt for securities. This is the near future until 2040.
    1. v.lyamkin
      v.lyamkin 16 October 2013 13: 16 New
      0
      Alaska to sell to Russia for $ 5 million
  17. soldier's grandson
    soldier's grandson 16 October 2013 09: 35 New
    +3
    the author described the real state of our country, and not the future. The question is whether Russia will die? I do not believe. I do not understand why we disagree with it
  18. IRBIS
    IRBIS 16 October 2013 09: 36 New
    14
    And here we are all, driven by patriotism, stigmatizing the author, remind him that he is a Jew and twist the fig in his direction. However, gentlemen, comrades, I suggest we look around and slightly cool the hooves.
    Crowds of migrants flooded our open spaces and no changes are expected in this matter, the President of Valdai said. Already, there are areas in cities where the Slavs are better off not entering. All diasporas keep under their control entire directions in trade and industry. Migrants send the money they earn to their republics and they drop out of our economy, they don’t work for us, but these are very decent amounts and they will only grow.
    Serdyukov and dozens of others like him are not in prison for corruption and theft, many continue to work. That's right, we are "not 37th year".
    Far East? The Chinese are our "friends" and we shouldn't be afraid of them? Well, well ... Blessed are those who believe ... It is enough to see with what persistence they climb there and how the PRC government encourages and sponsors these inclinations. And what a wonderful army there is, at our borders.
    So, dear members of the forum, the script is not so crazy. To live like this for another twenty years and the processes will begin to take on irreversibility. All Uzbeks, Tajiks and other "comrades in the Union" will move to Russia, with all the ensuing consequences. Those Russians who have stolen enough will move elsewhere, and the rest will have little choice.
    Not patriotic? I know. Realistic.
    1. 3935333
      3935333 16 October 2013 10: 00 New
      +7
      more than realistic
    2. bodriy
      bodriy 16 October 2013 10: 31 New
      +4
      I read the above comments, I understand a lot of nonsense and stuff like that ...! but damn it, after reading the article, I think that if we move in the same direction as now, it’s not so fantastic! It might be lying about demography " bastard "but hooked recourse
  19. 3935333
    3935333 16 October 2013 09: 48 New
    +1
    We worked and are working, writing and writing, and will always try to fragment Russia into parts, expand our culture and divide us according to nationality ...
  20. aszzz888
    aszzz888 16 October 2013 09: 49 New
    +1
    Today, Berman, who, incidentally, holds the position of vice president of the American Council on Foreign Policy, has taken up Russia. In his opinion, by the 2040 year Russia will be in a catastrophic situation. Return to the Chinese in the Far East, Siberia, the war with Ukraine - these are still flowers, berries in front.


    Let him bite himself for an ass, with his predictions, and let his America predict something darker.
    A lot of them, predictors of all kinds, all listen, you will be touched by the mind.
  21. slavik_gross
    slavik_gross 16 October 2013 09: 50 New
    +1
    Yeah, it’s not bad to dream ... Until 2020, the world will change, only everything will be on the turn ... It is waiting for Europe and America ...
  22. 6 sunrise 9
    6 sunrise 9 16 October 2013 09: 51 New
    0
    Well, as always, the Russian Federation will come f * n * I did not hear anything new from the Americans.

    1. Demographic problem. The decrease in the population of Russia.

    2. The increase in the number of Russian Muslims and their radicalization.

    3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.


    1) the population of the Russian Federation has been growing for 3 years already and has now exceeded 143 million.
    2) Muslims do not attack !!! Only of. statistics. 1991 - 8% of Russian citizens profess Islam, 2002 - 7%, 2010 -5% according to VTsIOM
    3) Why does everyone forget that there is a visa regime with China? Why does no one look at the map of the population of China? Do people in general know that some border areas of the Russian Federation are even denser settled than Chinese? Migration to the PRC goes from west to east and from north to south. The bulk of the population of China is located on the east coast.
    1. HollyGremlin
      HollyGremlin 16 October 2013 10: 48 New
      0
      1. The demographic problem is now much where (by the way, in China it will also be worse than ours, despite their number. Politics 1 family - 1 child reduces the population by 2 times in one generation!).
      2. I can’t say anything (I don’t have reliable data, as I think the author of the article and forecasts)
      3. When an African moves to France, his children are already Europeans, and his grandchildren are French to the bone. Maybe you don’t like it, but you cannot distinguish a migrant in the 3rd generation in spirit and character from the 10th generation.

      Now we are getting an interesting situation: 1. China 2. USA 3. Russia. Everyone benefits from a war between 2 others and everyone understands this.
      1. 6 sunrise 9
        6 sunrise 9 16 October 2013 12: 31 New
        +5
        Quote: HollyGremlin
        3. When an African moves to France, his children are already Europeans, and his grandchildren are French to the bone. Maybe you don’t like it, but you cannot distinguish a migrant in the 3rd generation in spirit and character from the 10th generation.


        And here you are mistaken at least for 10-15 years. The multiculturalism policy has paid off, now people come to the EU who don’t know the language, without education and naturally they can’t integrate into European society. The crisis in the EU raised the unemployment rate, and young people in this regard have very strong problems throughout the EU, from England and Spain to Bulgaria and Greece. So it turns out that these people live in the social. allowances give birth to 8 children and for each child they still pay money. Well, crime among them taxis, in Europe now the main mafia is Africans and Arabs. In the 2nd generation, they already demand more rights for themselves, but they also do not work anywhere, spit on the laws of the country and constantly bring the indigenous population to the pen. In conjunction with Islam this leads to real robberies and robberies of entire cities. As we recall, several days undermining migrants staged pogroms in London, Berlin, Stockholm, Paris. All this will result in 2050. in the massacre and genocide of the indigenous population, jihad and the establishment of a caliphate in the EU, and these are not my words, so many who speak in Europe itself.
  23. kartalovkolya
    kartalovkolya 16 October 2013 09: 52 New
    +1
    It's just some kind of sheer insanity! Amerovsky political scientist who has gone out of his mind writes another project for the destruction of Russia to order, believing that it will be immediately picked up by all the corrupt media, but at the same time without even looking out the window behind which a default and collapse of states is brewing. political scientists, but as a result of the insane policies of the White House. Well, at least I looked into the results of public opinion polls in individual states of my country, and there are not only stormy waves, but a hurricane of popular anger with the existing orders in the USA! And you can already hear not individual voices, but statements emanating from the leadership of individual states such as Texas, etc. about secession and secession from the United States. And in California, in general, there are more Chinese than whites and other Americans. The watchdog has forgotten the old English proverb: "If you live in a glass house, then don't throw stones at your neighbor!" And the whole article only confirms the impending collapse the entire amerovsky world order!
    1. IRBIS
      IRBIS 16 October 2013 10: 31 New
      +1
      Quote: kartalovkolya
      Well, at least glanced at the results of public opinion polls in individual states of his country, and there are already not only violent waves, but a hurricane of popular anger by the existing orders in the USA!

      Well, why do we fade our statistical polls when we are not satisfied with their results, but admire the polls in America and the West that warm our souls?
      1. kartalovkolya
        kartalovkolya 17 October 2013 11: 52 New
        +1
        So they are "the most democratic country in the world", and who we are! So it turns out that they don't see the logs in their own eyes, but they saw a speck in our own eyes. These pro-Amerian jackals don't like my comments very much. eyes prick, and you lick the anus of your owners even deeper, maybe this occupation will calm you down!
  24. shark
    shark 16 October 2013 09: 57 New
    +2
    Of course, the fifth column has long been working on this scenario. Well, then the state then? Why doesn’t it respond to threats? The main directions are well known! They started to play democracy. It’s all business to introduce a direct presidential rule in the Far East with a temporary defeat in the rights of private capital. (Because he generally doesn’t care much about Russia. If only there was a profit) All taxes should be left in It’s worth considering the option of building a through trans-Russian motorway. This will greatly revive the East Siberian territories. Many times strengthen the work of the FSB in the Muslim republics, as in Terry the most vulnerable to the penetration and strengthening of Islamic radicalism. In addition to operational work, create deeply conspiracy flying groups endowed with legal powers. All complex problems have always been solved only by emergency powers. All these courts, lawyers, evidence only produce criminals who believe in their impunity. Amnesty of capital, but after it, for the artificial withdrawal of money abroad should be punished by a huge period and the rejection of all property in favor of the state. be it is not based on the property of a particular person, and of wealth throughout his semi.Usilit funding pro Russian forces in the former SSSR.vozmozhno to the creation of a global network rezidentov.Provotsirovat and incite the full word. It seems to me that such measures would help us a lot. Just our power has softened. He wants to please everyone. But this does not happen.
  25. ysychyov
    ysychyov 16 October 2013 10: 08 New
    0
    the dogs bark, and the caravan goes on.
  26. Russ69
    Russ69 16 October 2013 10: 11 New
    0
    I sometimes get the feeling that these "analysts" write their articles based on Hollywood films.
    1. Gato
      Gato 16 October 2013 11: 00 New
      +1
      Quote: Russ69
      I sometimes get the feeling that these "analysts" write their articles based on Hollywood films.

      And films are made on the basis of articles by "analysts". Such is the mutual pollination laughing
  27. Peaceful military
    Peaceful military 16 October 2013 10: 15 New
    +7
    I wish this Berman and others like him prophesied about the West in general and the United States in particular ... And there are no less, if not more, reasons for pessimism. Moreover, the prophecies of MOST JESUS ​​CHRIST (see the Gospel of Matthew chap. 24) and the Revelation of John (Apocalypse) do not leave room for optimism at all.
    So for speculation on this subject, there is plenty of space.
    I naively believe that the passionarity of the Russian people (and not just the ethnic group) will overcome all the accumulated negativity and we will still live. GOD BLESS RUSSIA!
  28. Yura
    Yura 16 October 2013 10: 16 New
    +4
    Oleg, you’re absolutely right in making sure that they are illuminated by these seemingly empty horror stories, we must not forget what they are sleeping and seeing, they did everything, they are doing it and they will do it in order for this and similar scenario to happen to Russia. Relations with them should always be built taking into account the fact that they, that is, specifically the United States, are our ill-wishers.
  29. soldier's grandson
    soldier's grandson 16 October 2013 10: 21 New
    +4
    those who live in Biryulev sure will agree with the author that this is going
  30. saag
    saag 16 October 2013 10: 22 New
    +1
    Separation of the southern states, devaluation of the dollar, Mexico in the CSTO, no, it's not that, nothing can happen, but when Yellowstone begins its eruption, then yes, no separation of states with devaluation will be needed, and this is such a thing unlike the latter, which cannot be prevented or somehow counteracted by it, gets banged so that little will not seem to everyone, this is the most real scenario
  31. AnpeL
    AnpeL 16 October 2013 10: 23 New
    0
    Well what can I say, one more iBlan. This time by the name of Bergman. And after all, everyone writes notes from the same toilet
  32. Ddhal
    Ddhal 16 October 2013 10: 27 New
    +5
    Objectively - possibly, Subjectively - unacceptable.
    You will have to fight for your Motherland and you need to start with the scum selling their people and country for money to black, terry, fluffy and "partners".
    When the riot police, existing on our tax money, beats its own people, protecting the Caucasians, it crosses all sorts of borders.
  33. Dejavu
    Dejavu 16 October 2013 10: 27 New
    +1
    Russians themselves cannot understand Russia, and what’s modern, and this stubborn Yankee decided to look ahead 25 years ahead. What a cretinism.
  34. foreman SA
    foreman SA 16 October 2013 10: 29 New
    0
    And when is the third time an article will be published about the same thing, with his same opinion on the same thing? Do not tell me?
  35. rugor
    rugor 16 October 2013 10: 35 New
    0
    But .... oops !!!
  36. Blondin nikonov
    Blondin nikonov 16 October 2013 10: 37 New
    0
    the scarcity of ovskiy intelligence does not allow a broader look at the realities and even more so the prospects for our world. I would advise dear Ilan
    Berman will turn to a psychiatrist for help ....
  37. AndTchernomor82
    AndTchernomor82 16 October 2013 10: 45 New
    +1
    RUSSIA Was There Will Be And Not That It Will Not Break It.
  38. major071
    major071 16 October 2013 10: 52 New
    +5
    Why are such articles written? It’s clear that it’s custom-made, but the question arises: why are they (i.e., such articles) launched into the masses? I see only one option - this is the intimidation of the Russian people (in the opinion of the stupid cattle Americans, who do not need to eat anything other than vodka) and create tension in the vertical people-government (president). And since everything is not normal in this area, the seeds fall into the fertile soil. And you cannot explain to a simple layman that this is all Western propaganda. This is what the dermo of Western civilization is pushing for. It is a pity that it (der.mo) does not sink. There would be an opportunity - he would have held it at the bottom with his hands so that it would not come up. IMHO. hi
  39. 17085
    17085 16 October 2013 10: 55 New
    +4
    Article plus. There is something to think about. Although I personally think the problem with China is far-fetched. Of course, there are plenty of them (Chinese) in the Far East. BUT, they are trying to "join" the system. Problems abound, but I haven't heard of Chinese-made rape. And they do not end up in the Russian zones for offenses against the Russians, they cook in their own "juice". There will be less opportunity to earn with us - they will quietly dump.
    Demography Duc working ... It seems that the trends are normal. The main thing is not to distort the social policy in the planing of "poverty".
    Islamization, what kind of bird is this ??? There are Wahhabis - b *** and dangerous ...
    A bunch of other really serious problems. If miracle analysts do not raise them, you need to think for yourself ... Biryulyovo - for example, raised the issue of illegal immigrants to a sufficiently high height. The interaction of law enforcement agencies, not the pulling of blankets. Corruption.
  40. Gato
    Gato 16 October 2013 10: 58 New
    +4
    Internal explosion. The end of Russia: what does it mean for America

    But it will not mean anything to America. Due to the absence of this America. And the Russians will still be button accordion to tear at her wake.
  41. Averias
    Averias 16 October 2013 11: 00 New
    -1
    Excerpt from the article:
    1. Demographic problem. The decrease in the population of Russia.

    2. The increase in the number of Russian Muslims and their radicalization.

    3. Problems in the Far East, where China begins to dominate.

    Counterquestion:

    1. And who is this Ilan Berman (without statuses and regalia)? That's right, it's just a man. And for any person, it is a tendency to make mistakes. And here, and here we observe pathological lies, signs of mental ill health, unhealthy ambitions and just a desire to cut a free dough on the release of our book (or whatever). These subchikami can also include Kerry and McCain. The question is backfill, but has he ever been to Russia (USSR)?

    2. Let them look at their blacks, Latinos. And also the Chinese, Indians and ...... Well, if we degenerate, then I generally will not say anything about the USA.

    3. Well, yes, well, yes, of course, and certainly. And the fact that they, many states decided to secede, about this, this cheerful gentleman is silent. And why is that?

    Such opuses remind me of articles from the "yellow press". Like: "The cow ate the wolf", "In India they found a yogi who has been hanging in the air for 100 years (with a nail to the wall laughing ) ".
    Generally insanity grows stronger.
  42. bddrus
    bddrus 16 October 2013 11: 00 New
    +2
    "Everything will be bad in Russia, ..........., but in principle it can turn out so that everything will be fine" - this is the forecast from an expert. As with horoscopes - "something will happen to you, but if you are careful, it will not happen", and then if it happened, then "I told you", and if it did not happen, then again "I told you, then you were attentive this day. " And for the forecast, then the money was paid with zero specifics
  43. AndTchernomor82
    AndTchernomor82 16 October 2013 11: 01 New
    0
    <br>•
    The latest decoding of Nostradamus:


    A word from God to the earth has been given, It will say everything to the Great Slavs

    For 400 years now, the name of Nostradamus has been one of the most popular in the world. Such a phenomenal interest in the person of Michel Nostradamus is caused by his famous prophecies, many of which, according to some scientists, are still being realized.

    The latest decryptions of Nostradamus’s predictions indicate that in 2014 Russia’s rapid entry into the Golden Age will begin.

    What does Nostradamus expect Russia in the coming years?

    In Russia, it will come: “what will be has never been so beautiful ... the second century of Saturn is the Golden Age. The Creator will see the torment of his people and peace will be made between God and people.

    Ahead is the beginning of the New Era. There will be great troubles before this, but after that Justice and Goodness will reign on the Earth. ”

    Nostradamus speaks of the beginning of the Age of Aquarius, under the sign of which Russia exists, which the Bible says “The Kingdom of God on Earth”.

    Nostradamus gives the key: the prerequisites for the onset of the Golden Age, which will ripen exactly 33 years - the time between the Birth of Christ and the Resurrection.

    The prerequisites for the Golden Age arose in Russia at the turn of 2002 and 2003. They will mature exactly 33 years - the age of Christ), and finally the Golden Age in Russia will come in 2035:

    From the PAST the Living Line breaks,

    But the whole atmosphere of the Earth is not light,

    The whole course saddens the events,

    But the happiness of the Covenant will come this year.

    Slavs get better and know the results,

    And many life claim as gods,

    But there are still those who cannot comprehend

    That they who take the sword will perish by the sword.

    A word from God to the earth is given,

    It will tell the Great Slavs everything.

    What is hidden - will be put on trial,

    Two Ladies - allies will bring peace.

    The devastation lived only until the announcement of the confession,

    To the Slavs, almost half of the Message.

    In his predictions, Nostradamus sang and Russia:

    Another dynasty will be in Russia,

    The country rises for its freedom,

    The people, having become one Messiah with grief,

    The kingdom leads to prosperity and glory.

    I foresee reform and honest friendship

    A sword sheathed is not self-deception.

    Fields and gardens will serve the cause of peace,

    The law will become a friend of wounds.

    (Nostradamus, c. 9, k. 26: 66).
    1. zub46
      zub46 16 October 2013 16: 43 New
      -1
      "Golden Age" since 14 - who is it for?
  44. USNik
    USNik 16 October 2013 11: 02 New
    +1
    And then Berman rests on structural problems in Russia. He lists what Russia spends money today: strategic nuclear weapons and rearmament of the army. But what does she do to counter “silent disasters” inside the country?
    "Tgovagisch" is an analyst with a sonorous name Begman, looking for a speck in someone else's eye, not noticing the log in his own. In the states, which the author is equal to, in addition to the decline in strategic nuclear forces and cuts in rearmament costs in general, there are many prerequisites for "hot disasters." What can I say, if in a country with the "leading economy of the world" tens of thousands of state and municipal employees have not received their salaries for the second week already, relatives of killed and crippled soldiers do not see benefits, the issue of medical reform is not clear, plus an increase in crime, plus elections soon ...
  45. Diviz
    Diviz 16 October 2013 11: 23 New
    -1
    Who is the Bergman Slovenian? Here with these people react tough
  46. Vasilenko Vladimir
    Vasilenko Vladimir 16 October 2013 11: 24 New
    +1
    how tired these horror stories are, how many centuries Russia has existed, so many predict its death.
    DO NOT WAIT !!!!
  47. major071
    major071 16 October 2013 12: 26 New
    +4
    People, do not worry. Let us not, but our children, maybe grandchildren, will live in Great Russia and sometimes ask us old people (I hope we will survive) - but it’s true that the grandfather said that once there was a country like the USA, or teachers lie to us at school, because that I didn’t find her on the globe. And it seems like there was a war somewhere in the Persian Gulf? Yes, grandfather, where the Syrian Russian Autonomous Republic and the Iranian Territory are now, where oil and gas are extracted in the Iraqi region ...
    I believe in it. hi How do you - I do not know ...
    1. baltika-18
      baltika-18 16 October 2013 13: 50 New
      +1
      Quote: major071
      Syrian Russian Autonomous Republic

      Originally. smile
  48. stroporez
    stroporez 16 October 2013 12: 32 New
    +1
    we can over any -------, because it’s different ------- no way ..........
  49. Polovec
    Polovec 16 October 2013 13: 04 New
    +2
    Russia is a rather illogical country. Located at the crossroads of continents, cultures and civilizations, it has repeatedly demonstrated actions incomprehensible to Western communities in solving problems in its history. I would not like to be misunderstood, but even the events of 1917, after which the death of the country was predicted, ended the formation of the strongest superpower. The reverse story in 1991 was also unexpected. The Russian proverb "What is good for a Russian is death for a German" was not born yesterday.
    I don’t know how, but I think we’ll break through.
    PS Although clicking with a beak and relying only on God, probably also not worth it.
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