Military Review

In the upcoming 4-year period, sales of new MBTs will be more than 1,5 thousand units. worth 9 billion dollars

53

By the IX International Exhibition of Armament, Military Equipment and Ammunition RAE-2013, which will be held from 25 to 28 in September in Nizhny Tagil, TSAMTO publishes statistics on the global export of new MBT to 2009-2012. and forecast for the period 2013-2016.


To the groupTanks"Includes all currently manufactured armored vehicles of this class. The division into "medium" and "heavy" tanks TSAMTO considers inappropriate, since weight and size characteristics are currently not decisive in assessing their combat capabilities.

According to TSAMTO, in the upcoming 4-year period (2013-2016) the sales of new main battle tanks (MBT) will be 1552 units. in the amount of 8,98 billion dollars in the case of meeting delivery schedules for current contracts, stated intentions and tenders.

In the past 4-year period (2009-2012) in the world was exported or manufactured under license at least 1527 new tanks in the amount of 8,32 billion dollars.

In percentage terms, the growth in the supply of new MBTs in 2013-2016. compared to 2009-2012. amount to 1,64% in quantitative terms and 7,95% - in value.

In 2009-2012 The average demand for MBTs on the international market was 382 units. in year. In 2013-2016 annual demand is currently estimated at 388 units.

According to TSAMTO, the “new” category includes deliveries of new tanks worth at least 2 million dollars, licensed programs, as well as deliveries of MBTs from the Armed Forces of exporting countries upgraded to practically new cars with an extended service life, the price of which at the time of delivery is more than 50% of the cost of a new tank of the same type for the same period of time.

In the rating below, exporting countries are ranked by the number of delivered and planned for delivery of MBT. A number of countries have orders with a deadline outside the period under review (2017 year and beyond). This analysis takes into account only those shipments (including those under long-term contracts) that are planned for the period up to and including 2016.

Top in the ranking of suppliers of new MBT by quantity, with a large margin from the competitors, Russia is ranked.

Russia's share in the global market for new MBTs over the past 4-year period (2009-2012) amounted to 52,78% by quantity (806 units) and 31,01% by value of supplies (2,58 billion dollars).

In the upcoming 4-year period (2013-2016), Russia's share in the global market MBT TSAMTO predicts 48,84% by quantity (758 units) and 32,52% by value supply (2,92 billion dollars).

The calculation for the period up to 2016 was made with the condition that the program with India on licensed production of MBT T-90С after completion of the assembly of the first batch to 300 machines (from 1000 MBT T-90С, provided for by the license agreement) in 2013 and then will be continued ( it is possible that this program will be modified in connection with the proposal of India for a modernized version of MBT T-90MS).

For reference: The Indian Ministry of Defense 13 September approved several weapons procurement programs, the total cost of which is about 150 billion rupees (2,37 billion dollars). In addition, the purchase of 236 MBT T-90 was approved.

It is assumed that X-NUMX T-236 tanks costing about 90 billion rupees (60 million dollars) will be built in India at the heavy engineering factory HVF (Heavy Vehicle Factory) in the city of Avadi under a license agreement. In 948 and 2001 Russia and India have signed contracts for the supply of 2007 MBT T-657 with a total value of 90 billion rupees. The HVF plant subsequently began producing these tanks under license. The license agreement provided for the production of a total of 85,25 MBT T-1000. So far, under the license agreement, the production of the first batch of 90 machines has been approved. This number is now increased to 300 units. The type 536 of the new MBT T-236, which will be produced at the plant in Avadi, is not reported. Earlier, Russia offered India as one of the options for continuing the implementation of the license agreement of the upgraded T-90MS MBT.

To date, NE of India have received about 780 of the 1657 scheduled for delivery of the T-90 MBT.

Overall, in 2009-2016. Russia's share in the global market for new MBTs TSAMTO estimates in 50,79% by quantitative parameter (1564 units) and 31,79% by value supply (5,5 billion dollars).

Second place in terms of quantity, they occupy the United States (868 machines worth 5,998 billion dollars). In the first four-year period, an 403 tank worth 3,274 billion was exported. Order portfolio for 2013-2016 while it is 465 new tanks in the amount of 2,724 billion dollars.

Third Place Germany takes (394 machines worth 4,777 billion dollars). In 2009-2012 179 MBT worth 1,905 billion were exported. For the period 2013-2016. The order book is 215 new machines worth 2,873 billion dollars.

Fourth place in the ranking is China (112 tanks in the amount of 354,4 million dollars). Beijing entered the global MBT market through a joint MBT-2000 tank project with Pakistan, which was also supplied to Bangladesh, Morocco and Myanmar. The exact number of MBT that Pakistan will purchase in the near future is unknown (it was previously reported that it intends to manufacture 300 tanks under a license). In 2009-2012 China exported 112 tanks worth 354,4 million. On 2013-2016 China has no orders yet (due to the lack of official data, the licensing program with Pakistan to continue the production of MBT MBT-2000 has not yet been credited to China for the period 2013-2016).

Fifth place with planned deliveries tentatively in 2013-2014. Thailand 49 MBT T-84 "Oplot" in the amount of 240 million dollars is Ukraine.

Sixth place with the delivery of Malaysia MBT PT-91M "Tvardy" takes Poland (27 units in the amount of 207 million dollars).

Seventh place with the start of serial production in 2016, the license for the new main battle tank K-2 in Turkey is occupied by the Republic of Korea (about 15 vehicles with a license share of about 24 million dollars for this batch).

In the category of "tender", the results of which have not yet been summarized, in the period under review (2013-2016) the volume of deliveries, in case of compliance with the stated schedules, is expected in the amount of 50 units. worth about 200 million dollars, which will not affect the position in the ranking of the world's leading exporters of MBT.

More detailed material is published in open access on the TSAMTO website in the “Arms Exhibition” section.

Fully material on world exports of MBT in 2009-2016. published in the World Trade weapons»No. 8.
Originator:
http://armstrade.org/
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  1. svp67
    svp67 24 September 2013 11: 29 New
    +7
    In the upcoming 4-year period, sales of new MBTs will be more than 1,5 thousand units. worth 9 billion dollars
    Well, it’s necessary to realize this volume, it’s time to reanimate Omsk and St. Petersburg plants ...
    1. Kars
      Kars 24 September 2013 11: 34 New
      +4
      I hope the trends will change.
      1. Vorkot cat
        Vorkot cat 24 September 2013 13: 25 New
        +4
        This trend will continue, as there is a complete unification of military equipment, it will be assembled like cubes. This is economically correct.
        1. Vadivak
          Vadivak 24 September 2013 14: 39 New
          +2
          Quote: .....
          Beijing entered the global market for new MBTs through a joint project with Pakistan tank project MBT-2000

          Al Khalid is a good old T-72 with a Ukrainian 6TD-2 engine, a Russian 2A46M cannon with an automatic loader and an average price of $ 2,373,711.
      2. abrakadabre
        abrakadabre 24 September 2013 14: 58 New
        0
        Clarifying question: on the graph is the number of samples (i.e. the number of models) or the total quantity in pieces? The title seems to be the first, and the ordinate seems to be the second.

        hi
        1. Kars
          Kars 24 September 2013 15: 50 New
          +3
          Quote: abrakadabre
          or total quantity in pieces?

          In pieces
          Quote: abrakadabre
          and on the y-axis it’s like the second.

          There are years.
          1. abrakadabre
            abrakadabre 25 September 2013 09: 16 New
            0
            Years we have along the abscissa. This is which is horizontal. If I haven’t squeezed out the math by marasmus from under the scalp.
            smile
            Well, since the ordinate (vertical axis) is in pieces, then the title of the graph is a little incorrect. The total total quantity should be indicated, not the number of samples. Signature to the vertical axis: the same thing - bring in line with the meaning of the values. I do not think that in the 1990s, 200 samples were produced in the world, that is, 000 different models of armored vehicles.
            wink
            1. Kars
              Kars 25 September 2013 13: 31 New
              +1
              Quote: abrakadabre
              It is necessary to indicate the total total quantity, not the number of samples

              And what is there any difference?
              What is not clear to you in the phrase
              The total number of issued samples of armored vehicles
              Quote: abrakadabre
              . I don’t think that in 1990 years the world produced 200 000 samples,

              and you don’t think correctly, but this does not deny the presence of 200 000 samples of the released models of armored vehicles.
              Quote: abrakadabre
              that is, 200 000 of various models of armored vehicles.
              Where did you get the different models? 200 T-72 tanks are identical to 200 armored vehicles.
      3. clidon
        clidon 24 September 2013 17: 11 New
        +1
        While tanks are becoming more expensive and more complicated, their number in the armies of the world will decrease.
    2. Armata
      Armata 24 September 2013 11: 37 New
      +14
      Quote: svp67
      Well, it’s necessary to realize this volume, it’s time to reanimate Omsk and St. Petersburg plants ...
      Greetings to all. Omsk Zavot is now part of the UVZ Corporation. Today in Tagil panic. Preparing to receive guests. Tomorrow at the opening I’ll try to take pictures and post them later.
      1. svp67
        svp67 24 September 2013 12: 00 New
        +2
        Quote: Mechanic
        Greetings to all.
        Salute. You there the main thing is not to succumb to this panic. and the fact that Medvedev is traveling only lazy does not speak about this. In Burg in all corners, either caps or steel helmets stick out - a sure sign of the arrival of BIG guests.
        And yet, what are you doing for the "cardboard" tanks along the highway, at night ordinary people get scared ... belay
        1. Armata
          Armata 24 September 2013 12: 04 New
          +4
          Quote: svp67
          A burgundy in all corners, either caps or steel helmets hanging around is a sure sign of the arrival of BIG guests.
          And yet, what are you doing for the "cardboard" tanks along the highway, at night ordinary people get scared ...
          I am also from Burg. I go to Tagil purely for work. I’m hanging out at the office today.
          1. svp67
            svp67 24 September 2013 12: 08 New
            +1
            Quote: Mechanic
            I am also from Burg. I go to Tagil purely for work. I’m hanging out at the office today.

            Well then, what to tell. Photos, take it as a BATTLE task, otherwise, I won’t talk for a month, I’ll also be minus, that's what I am "... apparently" laughing . And if you can DETAILED, well, as far as possible, without violating the regime, there is no need for troubles either ...
        2. Armata
          Armata 24 September 2013 12: 56 New
          +4
          Quote: svp67
          and the fact that Medvedev is traveling only lazy does not speak about this.

          Plush will not come to the exhibition. There will be only Rogozin.
          1. cherkas.oe
            cherkas.oe 24 September 2013 17: 14 New
            0
            Quote: Mechanic
            There will be only Rogozin.

            Nuuu, radish horseradish is not sweeter, so no one will be upset if both ("tank specialists") do not come.
          2. svp67
            svp67 24 September 2013 21: 54 New
            0
            Quote: Mechanic
            Quote: svp67
            and the fact that Medvedev is traveling only lazy does not speak about this.

            Plush will not come to the exhibition. There will be only Rogozin.

            Come, come. The chain is like that. Rogozin - Shoigu - Medvedev ...
        3. Pilat2009
          Pilat2009 24 September 2013 20: 16 New
          0
          Quote: svp67
          In Burg, from all angles, then caps, then steel helmets stick around

          The President of Finland has visited us
      2. svp67
        svp67 24 September 2013 12: 03 New
        +3
        Quote: Mechanic
        Tomorrow at the opening I’ll try to take pictures and post them later.

        I’m not trying, but I will DO it the only way. Since WAITING, WAITING, WAITING ... Good luck
      3. Alexander Romanov
        Alexander Romanov 24 September 2013 12: 10 New
        +3
        Quote: Mechanic
        Tomorrow at the opening I’ll try to take pictures and post them later.

        Eugene, trying, just did not sleep pancake, otherwise they will damn crying
        Hi hi
    3. Edward72
      Edward72 24 September 2013 11: 47 New
      +4
      I don’t know how the Omsk plant, but the Kirov plant in full ... e. Do everything from dumplings to windows, but not on defense
      1. Semen Semyonitch
        Semen Semyonitch 24 September 2013 12: 56 New
        0
        Quote: Edward72
        I don’t know how the Omsk plant, but the Kirov plant in full ... e. Do everything from dumplings to windows, but not on defense


        And without dumplings you won’t get much))) And we will throw excesses)
    4. seller trucks
      seller trucks 24 September 2013 12: 04 New
      +1
      Fifth place with planned deliveries tentatively in 2013-2014. Thailand 49 MBT T-84 "Hold" in the amount of 240 million dollars is Ukraine.


      laughing Ukraine signed a contract in September of the 2011 of the year; today, an 2 tank is being tested, another 3 in production, 49 units. physically Ukraine is not capable of producing for 1-2 a year, according to the most optimistic forecasts of 5 tanks for 2 of the year, in general fines and forfeits will devour all profit and lead to a large contract (-)
      1. queen
        queen 24 September 2013 13: 55 New
        +1
        no profit? .... and the country and the state of war ???? and ours ...
        1. seller trucks
          seller trucks 24 September 2013 14: 36 New
          0
          Quote: regin
          no profit? .... and the country and the state of war ????


          What does the "state of war" have to do with it? you ordered a car for yourself, signed a contract, and then it is forced out that it will be in 5-10 years, your actions?
          1. queen
            queen 24 September 2013 17: 22 New
            0
            Do you have a weapon at home, but no ammo ... your actions?
      2. uwzek
        uwzek 24 September 2013 17: 08 New
        +1
        You shouldn’t be so. I make tanks myself. Ukraine is able to assemble 6-8 cars a month. Especially if there is iron in Kharkov for the production of five dozen tanks. Then the problems are only in the updated electronics (to be honest, after nine years of working with airplanes, for almost fifteen years in tanks they have been known to call these boxes electronics electronics with a known difficulty). Plant personnel need to learn how to debug and find the causes of imminent failures (this is the equipment of the tank, and not a fancy kitchen or even an average car, who worked - he understands). Problems with the reliability of purchased equipment are simply inevitable. They tested the super-duper system on the host machine, all the tenders got stuck, in all kinds of forums the fans who needed (and did not) shut up, and at this time the last cleaner quit the manufacturer of this device, the volume of fifty sets will not revive the company (in plan will not return the runaway specialists). As a result, the company management confirms the fulfillment of the contract, hires Moldovans, Tajiks, Vietnamese on the black exchange, who produce a product that is natural for their skill level. (The latter is not a mockery, in Yekaterinburg, the standard of living is quite high, therefore, the natives ran from military factories, including the nine - the manufacturer of tank guns and not only. As a result, the acceptance of tanks was suspended at UVZ - Tajiks built such guns - this it was necessary to see, salaries were raised - guns were shot right there).
        Worse, if Kharkov does not have a supply of iron, that is, tank armor. Then they will find that either the current armor is not the same as it was before, or the modern wire (welding) does not meet the expectations placed on it. Six months or a year will go to debug technical processes.
        But, anyway, Kharkov will fulfill the order, the process is feasible completely (from my own experience).
    5. clidon
      clidon 24 September 2013 17: 10 New
      0
      Firstly, not all orders will go to us. Secondly, Nizhny Tagil can easily cope with so many tanks.
  2. Gur
    Gur 24 September 2013 11: 34 New
    +4
    Well, wherever shouts and articles like the T-90 are outdated here, the numbers speak for themselves where ..
    1. alexng
      alexng 24 September 2013 12: 31 New
      +2
      Yes, let them shout to themselves - they have such a fate.
      Whining is the refuge of people, and apparently karma, which can do nothing better.
    2. clidon
      clidon 24 September 2013 17: 14 New
      0
      The T-90 is certainly out of date - all the same, conceptually this is a car of the 60s. Let it be a revolution then, but the revolution is already 50 years old ... It helps that stagnation reigns in the tank industry for the last 20 years - only Asians move their paws and stubbornly catch up with leaders. And the leaders are slowly rushing through the options for new cars by upgrading old ones.
      1. Vadivak
        Vadivak 24 September 2013 21: 37 New
        +1
        Quote: clidon
        only Asians move their paws and strenuously catch up with leaders


        Maybe hard copy as possible?

        Who could surprise the international community of creators of the main tanks is South Korea. An OT was created, tested and adopted in this country, which received the designation K2 Black Panther (“Black Panther”) worth more than 8,5 million USD per unit, and the taxpayers of Hellas paid 10 million euros per car
        A little taken from the leaders
        The basis for the gun for OT K2 was taken by the German 120-mm gun Rheinmetall L55
        The German MTU-890 engine was taken as a prototype for creating a Korean diesel.
        the design of the K2 Black Panther OT autoloader was borrowed from the autoloader of the Leclerc main tank.
        1. clidon
          clidon 24 September 2013 21: 50 New
          0
          They copy (buy) only nodes and blocks. No one will say that Japanese, Chinese or Korean cars are clones.
  3. MIKHAN
    MIKHAN 24 September 2013 11: 38 New
    +1
    It pleases of course that our weapons are valued in the world .. Well, if only we couldn’t get these exports ourselves with a “trough” .. (And then again with the Mosin rifles we will have to attack the tanks like in the 41st) God forbid of course..
  4. Sergeant
    Sergeant 24 September 2013 11: 39 New
    +2
    With the fall of the Union, many "NATO stepsons" have finally scored for service: the US will protect everyone!
    Nah .. splurge on "guns" ....
    Now, it seems, really the trends are changing ...
  5. denson06
    denson06 24 September 2013 11: 54 New
    +2
    Our weapons are appreciated, here the numbers speak for themselves. Let us hope that the good intentions of our Motherland and its people will be "understood" and appreciated. This is already a matter of foreign and domestic policy, as well as non-biased media inside and out .. hi
  6. New Russia
    New Russia 24 September 2013 13: 16 New
    -1
    It is surprising that T 90 C is still being bought apparently because it is cheap and cheerful. It’s time to have something equal to Leopard and Merkava4 type MSCs in a series
  7. Alexey M
    Alexey M 24 September 2013 13: 20 New
    +1
    So I’m telling my dumbass, “Learn to read and write, my son, you’ll go to the defense industry. There will always be work.” And our weapons are the best in the world.
    Since the ratio of ease of maintenance, quality, price and much more that is not “unparalleled”, we have the highest.
    1. Armata
      Armata 24 September 2013 13: 28 New
      +4
      Quote: Alexey M
      So I’m telling my dumbass, “Learn to read and write, my son, you’ll go to the defense industry to work. There will always be work.”
      The work of the defense industry is that is, it is not. Learns need to be a design engineer. We always sit with work.
      1. Alexey M
        Alexey M 24 September 2013 13: 33 New
        +2
        So I’m matching him with a CNC. And there we can and go to the engineer, after all, it seems not lazy only.
        1. Armata
          Armata 24 September 2013 13: 38 New
          +3
          Quote: Alexey M
          So I’m making him a CNC
          Right. Now everything is done on proportional control with numerical program inputs.
        2. Zhenya
          Zhenya 24 September 2013 13: 38 New
          0
          I’ll insert my 5 kopecks as well, the banking sector will always be with work, but engineers are certainly a much more respected profession, but not so paid.
          1. d1m1drol
            d1m1drol 24 September 2013 14: 57 New
            +1
            I agree with you about the payment for the work of engineers. I chose the same principle that work will always be, but no .. The crisis of 2009 showed that work is a wolf ... what a long time it is possible to chase it through the forests. A year and a half the construction was on, small firms painted something, repaired .. but in the end they threw hard workers. Okay, I'm not talking about that. Our tanks are not only cheap, but also repaired in the field so to speak on the knee. What is also important for a practical buyer.
            1. uwzek
              uwzek 24 September 2013 18: 28 New
              0
              Our tanks are not cheap, but one and a half times cheaper, along with the cost of maintenance are comparable in price (possibly). Tank-mounted tanks on knees now don't exist in nature. Get any Tagil tank hole in the left gas tank, to seal it (lumine tank) you have to take off the tower on your knee, dismantle the automatic loader, a bunch of left blocks, the tank itself. Subsequently, restore everything in the reverse order. If the sealing process fails, repeat the above. I described to you a very ordinary combat damage - are your knees tired? On the same “armature” more than one motor really did not start - a normal creative process. These copies may have been lying in the warehouse for about ten years, from them three times they handed over all the pollen for one and a half bottles of vodka (I personally warned about this, Kharkov, these are the realities of post-Soviet tank construction).
  8. Zhenya
    Zhenya 24 September 2013 13: 36 New
    +3
    In the upcoming 4-year period, sales of new MBTs will be more than 1,5 thousand units. worth 9 billion dollars
    Forgot to add, in the upcoming 4-year period, the troops will not receive a single new tank, maybe a couple of prototype tanks "Armata".
    1. January
      January 24 September 2013 15: 13 New
      +1
      I also probably forgot to add that hundreds of tanks are being modernized to the modern state, and that from these tanks all warehouses are breaking down
      1. Zhenya
        Zhenya 24 September 2013 16: 48 New
        0
        Are you talking about a slingshot ?? Oh, I'm sorry, I didn’t think that it was modernization, it was faster another plunder of money.
      2. clidon
        clidon 24 September 2013 17: 15 New
        +1
        The truth is still worth adding that they are modernizing according to the most inexpensive options.
  9. Maks-80
    Maks-80 24 September 2013 14: 15 New
    0
    Of course, I would like most of the new tanks to go to our needs, and not to export.
  10. tank64rus
    tank64rus 24 September 2013 17: 47 New
    +1
    We need a strong state will to bring these projects to life. Otherwise, our bureaucratic mafia will plunder and cut everything. Indeed, now even an obvious corrupt official and a traitor does not bear any responsibility. and they are enough.
  11. shurup
    shurup 24 September 2013 18: 53 New
    0
    As I understand it, in order to buy a new tank for the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, you need to sell two or three obsolete ones for the cordon, and buy back cars with a total weight equal to the weight of the new tank. If all the balances converge, then we can talk about the success of trade in this market segment.
  12. slacker
    slacker 24 September 2013 19: 12 New
    0
    The same experts in tank building and tank production. The dude especially pins, claiming that he trades in some slipways for tanks and on this basis he considers himself equal to the Chief Designer. Well clean м freak laughing
  13. ars_pro
    ars_pro 24 September 2013 19: 18 New
    +2
    No comments =)
    1. alone
      alone 24 September 2013 20: 17 New
      0
      what what else can you shove into this monster? between the caterpillars can install a package from the tornado 6-barrel?))))
      1. abrakadabre
        abrakadabre 25 September 2013 09: 28 New
        0
        You forgot about the bomb load. There them on the bottom.
    2. largus886
      largus886 25 September 2013 10: 55 New
      0
      And where is the water cannon for planing?
  14. ars_pro
    ars_pro 24 September 2013 19: 34 New
    0
    Well, tell me why the minus?
    1. KG_patriot_last
      KG_patriot_last 24 September 2013 19: 43 New
      +1
      good concept, put a plus drinks and minus probably for the lack of a large-caliber gun
  15. ars_pro
    ars_pro 24 September 2013 19: 55 New
    0
    Quote: KG_patriot_last
    good concept, put a plus drinks and minus probably for the lack of a large-caliber gun


    So there are two of them =) Unfortunately, the concept is not mine, I saw and could not help sharing
  16. Golosey
    Golosey 25 September 2013 07: 27 New
    +1
    From the article "On the Russian tank put in the word - T-72" (http://topwar.ru/5719-o-tanke-rossiyskom-zamolvite-slovo-t-72.html):
    According to the rating of tanks of the world prepared by the American agency Forecast International, the best tank is currently the American МХNUMXА1 SEP "Abrams" of the corporation General Dynamics, which perfectly proved itself during the war in Iraq. In second place is the Israeli Merkava tank Mk IV from Israel Ordnance Corps. He also showed excellent performance during the fighting. In third place - the Japanese "Type 2" from Mitsubishi Heavy Industries. It was created on the basis of the German Leopard-90, but due to numerous innovations, the 2 Type can be considered technologically the most advanced tank in the world. However, there is no experience of its combat use.


    And then what are our tanks most buying?