Kuril problem: what to do?

In recent years, the issue of the 4s of the Kuril Islands has sharply escalated. Members of the Japanese government, up to its head, regularly raise this issue.

And the statements are sharper and sharper. So, in November 2009 of the year, the Japanese government approved a document stating that the Southern Kuriles "are illegally occupied by the Russian Federation."

At the end of 2010, Tokyo reacted sharply to the trip of the President of the Russian Federation to the Kuril Islands, calling them unacceptable.

In early February, 2011, the Japanese authorities expressed a categorical protest against Dmitry Medvedev's new trips to the Kuril Islands. According to RIA NewsThe corresponding statement was made by the spokesman for the head of the Japanese Foreign Ministry, Satoru Sato: "We strongly protest such a visit if it takes place, since it is in fact offensive to Japan."

Tokyo expressed dissatisfaction with the visit of the islands to the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, who promised the Kuril Islands garrisons (18 machine-gun artillery division) to begin rearming the division.

7 February, when Japan celebrates the Day of the Northern Territories, to which the country refers part of the Kurils - Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan called the visit of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev to the disputed islands of the Kuril ridge "an unforgivable insult." Also, which is very symbolic, Russia sent a kind of “black mark” - unknown sent an envelope with a bullet to the Russian Embassy in Japan.

In response, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov acknowledged that it is unpromising to negotiate with Tokyo about signing a peace treaty at the present time. Moscow declared Tokyo an official protest. As the presidential aide Sergei Prikhodko noted, the head of the Russian state will make working trips to the Kuril Islands regardless of the reaction of Tokyo.

Why does Russia smoke?

A simple man in the street will say, but why quarrel with rich Japan - 4 small islands do not have diamonds with gold under their feet. It is easier to change them for Japan’s investments in the development of Sakhalin and Primorye.

The Kuril Islands are of strategic importance for Russia. They are a symbol of our Victory in the Great Patriotic War, having given them, we subscribe to the revision of territorial issues. Then it is necessary to give the Kaliningrad region, significant plots of land in Finland with Vyborg. But you never know the pretenders of the Russian landowner.

This is not counting the fact that having given up the Kuriles, we will officially allow the Japanese into the Sea of ​​Okhotsk, which is currently almost our inland sea.

It is impossible not to take into account the psychological factor, giving the Kuriles, we will show the weakness of the Spirit, and the weak beat and select all the valuable.

Will there be a third Russian-Japanese war?

Despite 20 years of continuous degradation of the Armed Forces of Russia, the superiority of the Japanese self-defense forces over our USC Vostok, both in quantitative terms and in qualitative, The war scenario is currently unlikely. But not excluded.

In Japan, the liberal party rules, it will not go to war. And in the international arena, so far everything is relatively stable. But things can change in a few years, everyone knows that war has a habit of breaking out suddenly. The Japanese masterfully prepare to prepare sudden blows.

If nationalists come to power, then with a powerful Japanese economy, prepare the army of invasion for the 2-3 matter for years.

Can modern Japan conduct a successful operation "Northern Territories"

According to military expert Viktor Murakhovsky: "For Japan, the most obvious option for a military solution to the problem, if Tokyo makes such a decision, will be carrying out an amphibious assault, which will be accompanied by massive air strikes ... After the military infrastructure is destroyed, the Japanese can try to implement the scenario of landing troops and establishing control over the Kuriles" .

“On the neighboring island of Hokkaido, Japan has the main land grouping. This is where the latest Tanks, Infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers. But it should be noted that Japan does not have enough amphibious assault forces, so the confrontation between Japanese tanks and the Russian machine gun and artillery division in the Kuril Islands is rather virtual. ”

What can Russia do?

The best cure for war and rudeness in foreign policy is a well-armed and trained army, with fleet. This is a guarantee of peace.

In words, the Russian leadership began to take steps in the right direction. Serdyukov, and then confirmed his words, Medvedev, promised to rearm the 18 th machine gun and artillery division.

The Russian General Staff expressed more concrete plans for the modernization of the defense structure in the South Kuriles. According to the Chief of the General Staff, Army General Nikolai Makarov, a military garrison will be formed there, equipped with modern weapons and military equipment.

What is planned to do

- To equip 18 military units deployed on the islands with modern armored vehicles, artillery and small arms.

- It is planned to deploy an air base at the military airfield of the island of Iturup, where attack and transport helicopters will be deployed.

- To strengthen the Pacific Fleet 2 with Mistrals, the contract for their construction was signed with France.

What to do

The announced plans to re-equip and strengthen the defense capability of the Russian armed forces in the Vostok direction are clearly not sufficient. To guarantee the protection of Russia's territorial integrity, it is necessary:

- to deploy an integral air defense / missile defense system in the Kuril Islands: at least 2 of the Triumph C-400 air defense missile divisions and for their cover melee complexes - Pantsir-C1 anti-aircraft missile systems;

- deploy a coastal missile system "Bastion" with anti-ship missiles "Yakhont", can be strengthened with a mobile coastal missile system with an anti-ship missile X-35 "Bal-E" to cover the near zone;

- install several modern radar control airspace to ensure a solid radar field;

- to carry out a large-scale reconstruction of existing airfields and airfield infrastructure facilities and deploy not only helicopters, but also put on duty a regiment equipped with new Su-35 multi-role fighters, anti-submarine aircraft are also needed;

- two Mistrals, this is of course good (“for bezrybe and cancer fish”), but clearly not enough: you need to create a separate naval base in the Kuril Islands, where a squad will be stationed as part of the Lightning-type and 4 type 6-2 -3 corvette type "guarding";

- it is necessary to overhaul the ships of the Pacific Fleet and begin its strengthening with new ships and submarines;

- According to military expert Konstantin Sivkov: "It is necessary to make a political statement that when the Japanese attempt to land on the Kuril Islands and the impossibility of the Russian Armed Forces to keep the islands at the aggressor, a nuclear strike will be launched from a tactical nuclear weapons. Then we can be sure that there will be no attempt to land on the Kuriles ”.

Economic component

The authorities should create a large-scale program for the development and renewal of the already existing “Far East”. It is necessary to build new airfields, bridges, highways, railways, to create enterprises, to develop the fishing industry. To stop deforestation, create your deep woodworking. To restore the already existing dilapidated infrastructure. Build a spaceport - "East".

It is necessary to show the world to the whole world that Russia is alive and it needs the Far East.

Comments

[Max]

Good article. Actual. I think that if the militarization that the author pointed out before the tactical nuclear weapons is realized, it will completely restrain the aspirations of the narrow-eyed ones back home :) And you need to do it now, because Japs know how to unexpectedly declare to visit on holidays, as it was in Port Arthur ...

[dixi]

In my opinion, it was long necessary to declare that the Kuril Islands will never be a subject of negotiations. And this is the first thing to do.

[Boris Gerasimov]

A constructive solution to the problem of the Kuril Islands


The South Kuril Islands were inhabited mainly by Ainu (and NOT JAPANESE), which are more like us than the Japanese, and historically HARMFUL JAPANESE.
The problem of the South Kurils is easy to solve politically and economically, by ALLOWING the Ainu (deported by Stalin to Japan) RETURN from Japan TO THE LAND OF THE ANCESTORS (including their entire primordial area - the Amur Region, Kamchatka, Sakhalin and all the Kurils) and creating, following the example of the Japanese, the Russian dispersed autonomy of an "independent national minority "with the participation of the indigenous Ainu of Russia).
Japan will be out of work, because there the displaced Ainu will disappear (the displaced Japanese are negligible), and here they will settle not only in the southern part of the Kuril Islands, but throughout their original range, our Far East (eliminating the emphasis on the South Kuril Islands).
Many Ainu deported to Japan were our citizens. We can use the Ainu as ALLIES against the Japanese, restoring the dying Ainu language. We have neither people nor means for the development of Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands, but the Ainu have. The Ainu returned from Japan will give an impetus to the economy of our Far East.

See www.utro.ru/articles/2005/11/15/495246.shtml;
"The Ainu are preparing to return to YOURSELF (and NOT JAPAN! - BG) the South Kurils and intend to form national autonomy on these islands (it should be wider than on these islands, and within the framework of Russia! - BG)."
Ains are NOT ALLIES of Japan and never will be, but they can become ALLIES of Russia! The Japanese understood this danger more quickly and act by creating autonomy for the Ainu "independent national minority".
"In the Foreign Ministry, the Land of the Rising Sun did not attach much importance to the claims made by the small people (No matter how! - BG)." We received this request, but we cannot (DO NOT WANT! - BG) somehow specialize about the Ainu, highlighting them from the rest of the population (And Russia should distinguish them from the Japanese !!! - BG) ", - said the representative of the Japanese Foreign Ministry. REACTION OF RUSSIAN DIPLOMATS IS UNKNOWN YET."

“... Ainu sought protection from Russia from the Japanese. Perhaps the bearded big-eyed Ainu saw in the people who came to them natural allies, so very different from those living around the Mongoloid tribes and peoples. After all, the outward resemblance of our explorers and Ainu was simply amazing. It deceived even the Japanese. In their first messages, the Russians are referred to as “red Ainu” ... "
See gidepark.ru/community/8/article/262013
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ayns