Military Review

Syria. Pianos in the bushes

92



Surprisingly, for the first time since the collapse of the USSR, the interests of the United States and their Western allies and the interests of Russia collided so sharply. So, what are the interests of Russia, which it does not want to sacrifice?

This is the desire to preserve the naval base in Tartus on any conditions. The Russian leadership is well aware that the position of the naval base in Sevastopol is extremely precarious. Despite the agreements concluded, Ukraine, when it moves away to Europe under pressure from European partners, will inevitably find a reason to liquidate this base. The planned base in Novorossiysk is inconvenient in that it is poorly protected from the vagaries of the weather. And no matter what Russian engineers come up with, the bora will always be an unpredictable sword of Damocles over the parking lot fleet. That is, when a bora occurs, the ships will be forced to go into the open parking lot. In this situation, the Tartu base is the only real base in the Mediterranean.

The United States and its Western partners stubbornly refuse to hear the statements of Putin and Lavrov, that Russia does not want to take the side of Assad, but stands on the position of a peace settlement. What does it mean? With a peaceful settlement, Russia hopes that it will be possible to reach an agreement either with Assad or with the new government on maintaining the base in Tartus for a long time. Such deafness leads to the inevitable conclusion that the main task of the United States is to liquidate the base in Tartus and close Russia’s access to the Mediterranean.

Thus, we approach the interests of the United States, which they do not want to sacrifice.

The main interest is the establishment of control over Syria. In addition to the task of eliminating the Russian base, the main task is to ensure the security of Israel. The longstanding sluggish confrontation between Syria and Israel resulted in destabilization in Syria. Iran was actively pushing Syria towards a conflict with Israel, but the rulers of Syria were well aware that this conflict would end in the collapse of the Syrian state and the loss of their power, reacted sluggishly to Iran’s initiatives. At the same time, as a result of this half-hearted position, two Islamist groups were formed on the territory of Syria. On the one hand, Hezbollah actively penetrated into Syria, and on the other, al-Qaeda dug in. Both irreconcilably sought to take control of the Islamist movements in the Middle East and, accordingly, to control the cash flows entering the region.

It should be noted that for the United States, both groups are equally unacceptable. Therefore, when Hezbollah and Al-Qaeda staged a showdown on Syrian territory, Obama was faced with a choice of which of the implacable enemies of the United States and Israel to help. It turned out that wherever you throw, everywhere is a wedge.

It is this situation that caused such a long non-interference in the events in Syria. However, when it became clear that the anti-Assad forces were not able to provide any real change through military action and the Asadiv forces became a real victory, which meant Hezbollah’s victory, everyone understood that such a victory would inevitably lead to Hezbollah’s multiple enhancement Israel, with whom Hezbollah has long-standing scores.

In this situation, it became simply unsafe to remain inactive. Al-Qaeda screamed at the whole world - we were beaten and arrogantly demanded support from the West. I will not talk about the moral side of such a quirk, Islamists did not have a moral, and no. Having declared an implacable war against Western countries at the time, al Qaeda now demands their help. In short, the United States and leading Western countries are in the position of Buridan's ass. I had to choose from two piles of shit. That is why it is so divided, in most cases, a single, Western community.

By the way, the overwhelming majority of the population of Western countries, intuitively understanding that they want to be drawn into a fight between two idiots, are so actively protesting against interference in Syrian affairs.

Obama is also well aware that there is nothing to catch now in Syria. Any decision will fail.

And then a piano appeared in the bushes. Chemical attack in Syria, and even during the presence of UN observers. Need to respond. And the reaction went. With virtually no support, both from allies and from his own Congress, Obama decides to take a preemptive strike to intimidate Assad. It is clear that such a blow will not bring a turning point in the war, it is in fact a civil one, between two Islamist groups. However, Assad can get scared and retreat.

It is clear that the planned strike will bring nothing good. There is not enough money anyway, but there is also military spending. And then a new piano in the bushes. The countries of the League of Arab States are ready to pay for military operations, only they require that a ground operation be carried out together with the air strikes.

A ground operation for Obama is the complete collapse of his policy. In this scenario, the upcoming Democrats will inevitably lose to the Republicans, and members of the same party will strongly ask for such a perdiocle with Obama.

And here again the piano. Putin agrees with Assad that he is ready to control chemical weapon, send it for destruction and sign the Convention on the Non-use of Chemical Weapons.

If the world community agrees with this option, then Putin has a real opportunity to bring Syria under control.

The technology is simple. UN experts travel to the locations of chemical weapons warehouses and are there preparing for their destruction. But war is all around and they need to be guarded. So, we need UN forces to ensure the safety of experts. And now we recall how Putin proposed to send the Russian military to the border of Syria and Israel to the composition of the UN troops. Surely he expects that none of the Western states will want to send their soldiers to protect UN experts in the boiling pot of Syria. And here Russia, with its readiness to send its military. And now, under the UN mandate in Syria, in the 50 areas where chemical weapons depots are stationed, the Russian military appear in blue helmets.

As you understand, this will not be for 20-30 soldiers, they simply will not be enough, and 50 battalions of paratroopers, well armed with armored vehicles, which in two or three days will be unloaded from Russian ships, and under the cover of naval artillery. Unload is where - in Tartus. Moreover, the Russian group is equipped with cruise missiles and no one can say that the C-300 complexes are absent on the territory of the Russian base.

So this may be the development of events. Now imagine that the Russian soldiers in the UN helmets are suddenly attacked. No matter who, Hezbollah or al-Qaeda.

Who in the UN Security Council will oppose the UN forces to repel attacks on chemical weapons storage facilities threatening its capture. No one. Otherwise there will be a complete loss of face. You wanted to bomb Assad, and now, when under the blow of UN power, you refuse to protect the international contingent?

That is, the Russian military will completely untie their hands in delivering rocket attacks on the locations of the terrorists who attacked them and in carrying out ground operations to eliminate the attacking terrorists.

Do you think the Islamists from Hezbollah and al-Qaida will be able to hold out for a long time? By my count, ten days. Will be swept away and dumped into the sea. And the UN contingent will remain to ensure order and the safe destruction of chemical weapons.

Who will be good from such a development of events? First of all, Russia. All tasks are completed. The base in Tartus will be expanded and its long-term operation will be ensured.

Secondarily to Israel. If there is a Russian military contingent on Syrian territory, all provocations on the Syrian-Israeli border will be stopped. Suppressing any attempts to violate the peaceful borders of Israel will be the main task of the Russian contingent. Having received all that was needed, Putin categorically does not want to enter into any confrontation with the United States and the West. That is, he will become the guarantor of peaceful borders.

The United States eliminates the danger center for Israel with the help of others, while remaining the chief controller of the region. Obama will save face and the opportunity, if necessary, in case of any troubles to blame everything on Russia.

Now who will lose. First of all, Hezbollah and al-Qaeda. Hezbollah will have to shut up in Lebanon, and Al Qaeda will retreat to Pakistan.

That is, now there is a real opportunity to cut the tangle that lasted in Syria, and to the general pleasure. And all thanks to the piano in the bushes.
Author:
Originator:
http://www.peremeny.ru/books/osminog/8171#more-8171
92 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must to register.

I have an account? Sign in

  1. Lockbase170
    Lockbase170 16 September 2013 06: 58 New
    12
    Competent alignment in the article ...
    1. Yegorchik
      Yegorchik 16 September 2013 08: 00 New
      15
      She is literate, but who told you that Hezbollah will suffer from Assad’s ally, and therefore her Syria will not oppress her, so we are waiting for Hezbollah’s gain in this scenario.
      1. Vadivak
        Vadivak 16 September 2013 09: 03 New
        +9
        Quote: Author Sergey Yastrzhembsky
        If there is a Russian military contingent in Syrian territory, all provocations on the Syrian-Israeli border will be stopped.


        I think that not everyone in Israel will like it. I do not take into account ordinary citizens, but the "hawks" for sure.
        1. Natalia
          Natalia 16 September 2013 10: 18 New
          +2
          The diplomatic achievements of Russia will allow it to get close enough to Syria, and above all ideological, and this time must be used to include Syria in strategic important alliances: such as the CSTO, SCO, etc., which will serve as even more justification for further development integration relations (as a result, the deployment of various military bases in Syria).
          Also, in the Middle East, it is necessary to use the potential of such an anti-Saudi triangle as RUSSIA, IRAN, SYRIA. This will hold back not only the military but also the economic ambitions of hostile countries.
        2. gunnerminer
          gunnerminer 16 September 2013 12: 17 New
          +3
          I think that not everyone in Israel will like it. I do not take into account ordinary citizens, but the "hawks" for sure



          When the Politburo of the Central Committee of the CPSU decided to introduce a limited contingent to Afghanistan, in December 1978, the political bureaucratic seniors also expected that the civil war in Afghanistan would cease from the presence of Soviet garrisons. The tasks of bringing and withdrawing Soviet troops to Afghanistan and vice versa were facilitated by the existence of a common state border. The Russian Federation does not have a common border with Syria. Only maritime transport. Air delivery of troops and subsequent logistics and evacuation of the wounded will finally finish the budget of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. And without that cut by leaps and bounds by the almighty Ministry of Finance. The Russian Navy It is worthwhile to send at least one hospital ship to the Syrian shores. There will be a Russian contingent in Syria, and there will be Russian soldiers wounded and killed.
          1. slacker
            slacker 16 September 2013 19: 00 New
            +4
            Who is the author of the article? Seryoga "Yastrebzhensky"? Yeltsin's glamorous spokesman and loyal knight of the "Family"?
            Then to hell with him and his advice. You have to be a complete idiot to discourage Americans from pulling into the Syrian conflict themselves to voluntarily step on this rake.
            We already rescued the Serbs in 1914 and eventually lost the Russian Empire.
            In the 79th they climbed to help the brothers in Afghanistan and lost the USSR.
            Now we want to lose Russia?
            Let Mr. Yastrzhembsky, as one of the most active trophy hunters in Russia, set a personal example and personally go to Syria to fight on the side of Assad as part of the Syrian army. Will return alive in a year - we will listen to him again. Will not return, then not fate.
            As for Sevastopol, Novorossiysk, Tartus and the Black Sea Fleet, it is easier to regain Crimea by legal or extreme military means than to fight for the distant lands for the sake of the floating pier in Tartus and the tranquility of Israel.
        3. wax
          wax 16 September 2013 12: 37 New
          +1
          I think that not everyone in Israel will like it.

          Clearly, Israel will not like it. He needs territories, and in this case, the Golan, which is now more than ever in their teeth, it remains only to close its mouth, again go into the unknown future with a Syrian taste. And Russia at hand is very unpleasant for Israeli dreams.
        4. Gregazov
          Gregazov 16 September 2013 13: 46 New
          +1
          Especially do not like the sweep of the territory of Syria in the Golan Heights.
      2. eplewke
        eplewke 16 September 2013 09: 19 New
        +6
        In any case, the Russian airborne troops will restore order there. And before the rest of the group, such as Hezbollah will somehow suck. When it comes to large-scale geopolitical changes, the interests of such dwarfs are not taken into account. It is a fact.
        1. Hudo
          Hudo 16 September 2013 09: 29 New
          10
          Quote: eplewke
          In any case, the Russian airborne troops will restore order there


          It’s clear that they will lead, and they will not feed the jihadists with almonds in sugar. It would only be desirable to take into account the Afghan experience (both your own and imported) and if you have to climb into Syria, certainly not by yourself, but as part of the coalition forces under the UN mandate. So that it doesn’t turn out that the Russian guys will perform difficult, risky work, and different shushval will screech like monkeys swaying on the vines and gloating to give advice and criticize.
          1. true love
            true love 16 September 2013 10: 06 New
            +4
            It is better that the Russians fought in Syria than they are but in Russia against the same forces.
            1. AVV
              AVV 16 September 2013 12: 53 New
              +3
              The jamming base, and the radar should be in Tartus, it will be necessary to create such a radar field that America could not send its tomahawks anywhere to hand !!! And help the Syrian air defense to bring down these missiles! Neither America and Israel dare to attack the Russian base!
        2. Ejik_026
          Ejik_026 16 September 2013 11: 46 New
          +1
          The main thing is that the experience is earned, and the Airborne Forces will be there or motorized rifles, not so important.
          1. Hudo
            Hudo 16 September 2013 12: 34 New
            +2
            Quote: Ejik_026
            The main thing is that the experience is earned, and the Airborne Forces will be there or motorized rifles, not so important.

            The main thing is that according to the results of the Syrian crisis, Russia will come out stronger than it was before. And experience, of course, is necessary, but if the problem can be resolved in its favor without the direct participation of the RF Armed Forces in hostilities, then nothing better can be thought of.
      3. Silkway0026
        Silkway0026 16 September 2013 09: 34 New
        +2
        we have normal relations with these guys. if the pianos line up exactly as the author suggested, then they have already talked to them
      4. a52333
        a52333 16 September 2013 11: 08 New
        0
        Hezbollah she is an ally of Assad, and therefore her Syria
        Well, yes, I agree, at this stage, Hisball can still be considered as an ally.
      5. carbofo
        carbofo 16 September 2013 13: 07 New
        +1
        Quote: Egorchik
        She is literate, but who told you that Hezbollah will suffer from Assad’s ally, and therefore her Syria will not oppress her, so we are waiting for Hezbollah’s gain in this scenario.

        I would say that Hezbollah will not carry out any friction with Russia, let alone attacking our troops under the UN flag, this is not in their interests. Moreover, they don’t need chemical weapons, because this will untie the Jews’s hands on any actions, therefore, Hezbollah will not provoke or attempt to do anything against our contingent, the sheepskin is not worth the cost.
        But another organization, animals for which for $ 20 are ready to kill anyone, I think I will try to exert troops and put everything on Hezbollah.
        Especially for the guarantees of minke whales, which cost nothing but in which everyone believes, although history has repeatedly shown what the promises of minke whales are worth. Russia did not do this, and if there were cases, then there were good reasons to do so. And the price did not matter.
    2. Hudo
      Hudo 16 September 2013 08: 49 New
      +3
      Quote: Lockbase170
      Competent alignment in the article ...



      What is the literacy of the alignment? No, I am “FOR” with both hands, about how to massage the corns with a tarpaulin boot the corns of amers and EvZhopeytsy. But after reading the article, and especially the conclusions made in it, one gets the impression that Russia's opponents will not oppose, or even just play giveaway. No, author Sergei Yastrzhembsky, they won't! The enemy is cunning and cunning (ts), and the time has not yet come to blow the trumpet in victorious fanfare, the time has come for well-thought-out verified measures in order to develop the outlined success in the Syrian issue and to firmly hold the initiative.
      1. true love
        true love 16 September 2013 10: 09 New
        +1
        In war, as in war. Everything can happen ... And the apparent gain - will be a defeat, and defeat - a victory.
    3. baltika-18
      baltika-18 16 September 2013 09: 21 New
      +2
      Quote: Lockbase170
      Competent alignment in the article ...

      Article minus: Either the author tries himself in the genre of science fiction, or, and this is closer to the truth, given his personality, powders the brain of the reader.
      1. optimist
        optimist 16 September 2013 12: 22 New
        +3
        Quote: baltika-18
        Article minus: Either the author tries himself in the genre of science fiction, or, and this is closer to the truth, given his personality, powders the brain of the reader.

        I completely agree with you. Apparently, the stocks of rakes in Russia are endless. As well as stocks of d.rakov. 34 years ago, the Americans jumped to the ceiling when they pulled the USSR into Afghanistan. Interestingly, among the members of the forum rejoicing in the described plans, there is at least one who wants to join these "50 battalions"?
        1. stalkerwalker
          stalkerwalker 16 September 2013 12: 43 New
          +5
          Quote: optimist
          Interestingly, among the members of the forum who rejoice at the described plans, there is at least one who wants to get into these "50 battalions"?

          And what, we have few of those who "cut"?
          "... the vyunos shouted hurray, and the bras threw air ...". fool
    4. stalkerwalker
      stalkerwalker 16 September 2013 12: 40 New
      +4
      Quote: Lockbase170
      Competent alignment in the article ...


      The article is a provocation of pure water.
      It seems to me that Kolya Zlobin (the last name is just worth something!), After filming "Sunday evening", where he was reminded that he is nobody, and his place is nowhere, rang out old memory to his acquaintances from the former "licking" administration, and ordered an innocent provokashka for the agreed amount ... fool
    5. Nitup
      Nitup 16 September 2013 12: 57 New
      +3
      Put a minus article. Yastrzhembsky does not understand something or intentionally distorts reality.
      So, what are the interests of Russia, which it does not want to give up? This is the desire to preserve the naval base in Tartus on any conditions.

      Of course, the PMTO in Tartus is important for Russia, but still this is not the main goal of Russia. The main goal is to prevent the establishment of anarchy and chaos in another country on the approaches to Russia, which will certainly happen if the United States succeeds. An example of this is Libya, Iraq is the same.
      The planned base in Novorossiysk is inconvenient in that it is poorly protected from the vagaries of the weather. And no matter what Russian engineers come up with, a bora will always be an unpredictable sword of Damocles over the fleet's parking lot. That is, when a bora occurs, the ships will be forced to go into the open parking lot

      Again not true. In Novorossiysk, the naval base is being built taking into account the possible consequences of the storm, and the ships will not have to go to sea to wait out. I give the video below.
      In this situation, the Tartu base is the only real base in the Mediterranean.

      And that Sevastopol and Novorossiysk are bases in the Mediterranean?
      The author claims that the US is concerned about the security of Israel in this matter. Then it is unclear why the USA even started this chaos in Syria, why they supply weapons to the militants? Probably Israel is the least that can be sacrificed when it comes to the existence of the Anglo-Saxon empire.
      Do you think that Islamists from Hezbollah and Al Qaeda will be able to hold out for a long time?

      For some reason, the author "forgot" that Hezbollah is on the side of Syria and Assad.
  2. serge-68-68
    serge-68-68 16 September 2013 07: 02 New
    18
    Another fantasy.
    Firstly, 50 battalions of paratroopers with equipment must be assembled, secondly, they must be delivered, thirdly in "2-3 days" you will not be able to disembark, fourthly - to place and equip positions. Terrorist attacks will be unambiguous. But no one will allow missile strikes on their bases, which are located in populated areas (all the more so - a UN mandate). How long will the Islamists hold out? Yes, until they get bored - they have external help, and the rest will follow. Those. for them it will be something like Afghanistan, but for Russian "blue helmets" it will be a very limited war.
    And in general: maintaining the base in Tartus is a secondary goal. The main one was to demonstrate that the West in its attack on Russian foreign policy interests came close to the line (as in the case of Georgia). When the Yankees "messed up", a new, far-reaching goal emerged - to withdraw and consolidate the Russian Federation on the world stage as a real center of power.
    By the way! There is no indication that the author of this article is actually known to everyone S. Yastrzhembsky.
    1. Orel
      Orel 16 September 2013 07: 18 New
      10
      One thing in the article is indisputable. Experts in chemical weapons will really have to be protected and this someone will be forced to cut out the "beards" who will obviously try to put the experts to work. If it is our military, it will be like a "red rag" for many, so if we do intend to get in there, then we must do it very carefully, otherwise for us it may end up with a "new Afghanistan". True, if there is broad support the local population and the authorities (and this is worth counting on), that is, there are favorable chances of winning this war, since no money can help if the "beards" do not have a rear and support on the territory of Syria itself, among the local population ...
    2. dark_65
      dark_65 16 September 2013 08: 13 New
      +4
      IL-76 takes on board 115 man-company, with her at least 10 BMD (in the plane-3 pieces).
      The battalion has three companies, plus supplies, service companies.
      Further, half of the Arab world will fight against it.
      I am silent about the countries and Europe, right up to the breaking of contracts.
      The conclusion is that the author of the article either does not understand anything (Manilov), or a Cossack mishandled.
    3. Rus2012
      16 September 2013 09: 20 New
      +7
      Quote: serge-68-68
      And in general: maintaining the base in Tartus is a secondary goal. The main one was to demonstrate that the West in its attack on Russian foreign policy interests came close to the line (as in the case of Georgia). When the Yankees "messed up", a new, far-reaching goal emerged - to withdraw and consolidate the Russian Federation on the world stage as a real center of power. By the way! There is no indication that the author of this article is actually the well-known S. Yastrzhembsky.


      As for authorship, most likely - OH! First posted on a remarkable source. And the participants, goals, tasks, a series of moves are painted too grammatically and in a Midian way ...
      With their inherent disadvantages - work on a "plane", although taking into account almost all participants in the struggle and the forces of application at the point of attraction. There is not enough "resistance" and "volume", so to speak, interaction in 3D ...

      I am much closer to the opinions of the following comrades, participants in the exchange of views on the source:
      - Why fence the garden (play minuscule) because of Tartus? Even from Google it is clear that there is no infrastructure there.
      A worthy goal is the “straits” and, in general, all the ports of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ports_in_Turkey.
      To do this, you need to "save money" and wait until Greece leaves the EU, and Turkey leaves NATO. And the crisis is only blooming.
      It is only necessary
      1) to set a goal,
      2) to learn to wait as Taiwanese Chinese,
      3) do not succumb to provocations (a la oppressed Slavs in the Balkans and the war with the Ottoman Empire).

      Actually, this is why Erdogan-Islamists are excited in Turkey.
      Objectively, at the first losses in Syria by the Turks, Russia can forget about the straits for 50 years.
      Why then did Orthodoxy borrow from Byzantium if we cannot agree on the straits for 1000 years?

      - Let me remind you of the story with blue helmets in Korea. Americans dragged into the war in Korea and how did it end for them?
      The involvement of Russia in any status in military operations in Syria will end sadly. For the guerrilla war of the Sunnis (Al Qaeda) cannot be stopped by either the US aerospace operation or the airborne operation of the Russian Federation. The long rear and technical support of peacekeepers around chemical weapons objects due to the remoteness of the theater of war will not be possible to organize. But no one in the Russian Federation will help. Analysis, as always, does not see the whole. Reason with chemistry - this is not the cause of the ongoing processes.

      THE WHOLE ARTICLE IS ENLARGED, so the Anglo-Saxon Westerners can look at the situation ...
    4. stalkerwalker
      stalkerwalker 16 September 2013 12: 15 New
      +5
      Quote: serge-68-68
      Firstly, 50 battalions of paratroopers with equipment must be assembled, secondly, they must be delivered, thirdly in "2-3 days" you will not be able to disembark, fourthly - to place and equip positions. Terrorist attacks will definitely

      And whether it is necessary?
      How many people lost in Afghanistan?
      Chechnya has not been forgotten ...
      And again we will tumble into such a mess?
      There is Indonesia, which has an army, and a population exceeding ours by more than 2 times. Let Muslims divorce Muslims on different sides.
      Russia today is strictly prohibited from taking part in military operations other than defending its borders. Otherwise, the entire peace-loving policy of recent days, pursued in line with the "game in the legal field", will be completely disavowed. Macaque Kane will hang himself with happiness.
  3. StolzSS
    StolzSS 16 September 2013 07: 04 New
    0
    It is naive to believe that the author’s plan will work. Yes, the idea is good, but we will have to increase 2-3 Muslim divisions from Caucasians to support Syria, but if everything is done correctly, we can get substantial benefits, as well as an impressive fiasco in case of mistakes ...
    1. Revolver
      Revolver 16 September 2013 07: 32 New
      +5
      Quote: StolzSS
      will have to increase 2-3 divisions of Caucasians Muslims to maintain Syria
      Are you suggesting this in your mind? It's already full there "Caucasians Muslims", and mind you, not on the side of Assad.
    2. Yegorchik
      Yegorchik 16 September 2013 08: 06 New
      +3
      And these two divisions will replenish al-Qaeda’s army in orderly rows. To trust the Caucasians to Muslims to protect Russia's interests is like trusting a goat with cabbage, nothing good will come of it.
      1. Rus2012
        16 September 2013 09: 34 New
        10
        Quote: Egorchik
        Trust Caucasians Muslims to protect Russia's interests

        Guys, wait! You are not right!
        Let us recall the "Wild Divisions" at all times and in all Russian wars! Let's remember the Heroes of the Caucasus who fought for the Fatherland !!! Recent examples are "Muslim troops" in Afghanistan and beyond.
        It is not a matter of nations, but ideologies of muddying the mind ...
        1. Hudo
          Hudo 16 September 2013 09: 42 New
          +4
          Quote: Rus2012
          Quote: Egorchik
          Trust Caucasians Muslims to protect Russia's interests

          Guys, wait! You are not right!
          Let us recall the "Wild Divisions" at all times and in all Russian wars! Let's remember the Heroes of the Caucasus who fought for the Fatherland !!! Recent examples are "Muslim troops" in Afghanistan and beyond.
          It is not a matter of nations, but ideologies of muddying the mind ...


          It’s really stupid to be like a snotty little boy who kicks the bike from which he fell, shouting through tears that the wrong bike is to blame for his fall, and not his own inability to drive this vehicle.
          1. Yegorchik
            Yegorchik 16 September 2013 11: 27 New
            +2
            That's just at this stage the steering wheel of this bike is absent and trying to ride it is just stupid, especially if you have at hand a great motorcycle in the person of Russian soldiers.
            1. Hudo
              Hudo 16 September 2013 11: 40 New
              0
              Quote: Egorchik
              That's just at this stage the wheel of this bike is missing

              Once the steering wheel has been unscrewed, it is necessary to eliminate this defect and put this part in its regular place, and the sooner the better.

              Quote: Egorchik
              trying to ride it is just stupid


              I will draw an analogy, for clarity. If there is a problem serviceman in the unit, and the unit commander pursues an ostrich policy in relation to him, such as I do not touch you, and you do not create problems for me (a bread slicer or some other way to rummage from the hardships and deprivations of military service) - wait for the big trouble! On the contrary, if the commander constantly works with such a warrior, sets him various tasks, tightly controls their execution, does not give a descent, then in the end he gets himself one more support in the military team.


              Quote: Egorchik
              especially if at hand a great motorcycle in the face of Russian soldiers.


              And who will bring down the "diamonds"? Another Russian soldier? It doesn't look good somehow! One, it turns out, plows, and ten dances around.
              Sorry, but I think your position is fundamentally wrong!
              Sincerely. soldier
        2. Yegorchik
          Yegorchik 16 September 2013 11: 37 New
          +1
          The ideology in our forty-first was general and quite good, which nevertheless did not prevent the Chechens and Ingush from betraying the interests of Russia, or do you think that the current ideology, or rather its complete absence, has made them soldiers you can rely on? Personally, I would prefer not to have behind itself not any unit than a formation that can betray at any moment.
        3. Sandov
          Sandov 16 September 2013 14: 23 New
          +1
          Rus2012
          It was your truth, you cannot indiscriminately rank all Muslims as Islamic fascists. A vivid example on our site there are representatives of Islam - Yarbey, what is bad. A real man.
        4. Nitup
          Nitup 16 September 2013 14: 45 New
          +2
          The wild division is, in my opinion, almost the only ones who remained faithful to Nicholas 2 in 1917
      2. smersh70
        smersh70 16 September 2013 10: 06 New
        +4
        Quote: Egorchik
        Trusting Caucasians to Muslims in protecting the interests of Russia is like trusting a goat with cabbage, nothing good will come of it.


        remember at least August 08 ...... and the Caucasus battalion ..... not to mention the Great Patriotic War of 1941-1945. hi
        1. Yegorchik
          Yegorchik 16 September 2013 11: 46 New
          +2
          Remember better the collapse of the union and one hundred thousand Russians carved into the Caucasus. Peaceful residents of women and children were slaughtered by entire families, so God forbid such allies. And on August 08, well, they fought with the Georgians before that without the Russian army as part of the KGNK that there betrayal was simply ruled out.
          1. smersh70
            smersh70 16 September 2013 13: 09 New
            +1
            Quote: Egorchik
            one hundred thousand Russians carved in the Caucasus


            less go to rallies of the Russian march .. and don’t listen to this belaberd .. come to us in Azerbaijan and you will see 150000 Russian diasporas .....
            Quote: Egorchik
            Well, they fought with the Georgians before and without the Russian army completely voluntarily as part of the KGNK


            ... the FSB sent them against the Georgians ..... and generally where the local FSB units looked, if whole KGNK units openly armed themselves, sponsored. hi ..if you do not believe ... read on the site milkavkaz.net the testimonies and memories of direct participants in those events ..
  4. svp67
    svp67 16 September 2013 07: 04 New
    +7
    Who will benefit from such a development? First of all, Russia.
    Will be drawn into a civil conflict ... is that really good? I don’t know, it’s worth calculating everything several times, on the map the lives of our soldiers ...
    1. Tartary
      Tartary 16 September 2013 08: 26 New
      +8
      Quote: svp67
      Who will benefit from such a development? First of all, Russia.
      Will be drawn into a civil conflict ... is that really good? I don’t know, it’s worth calculating everything several times, on the map the lives of our soldiers ...


      That's it ... And there is no difference between Caucasians by nationality, Russian or Tatars, etc.

      The sons of my fellow soldiers - Karachais, Circassians, Avars, Kabardians, Balkars, Tatars, Russians, etc., can senselessly suffer in the event of intrigues and provocations of our Western "friends" ...

      Another thing is if the peacekeepers are not only from post-Soviet countries, but also from Europe, and America ...
      And the PLA fighters would not be superfluous ... At the same time, see what they are actually made of ...
      1. svp67
        svp67 16 September 2013 09: 01 New
        +7
        Quote: Tartary
        And the PLA fighters would not be superfluous ...
        I would have identified them closer to Israel ... you look, in thirty years most of the inhabitants will be in Israel - the Chinese ...
        1. carbofo
          carbofo 16 September 2013 13: 11 New
          +3
          Don’t be afraid, already there you can count the Jews on the fingers, the rest only think that they are Jews.
  5. ImPerts
    ImPerts 16 September 2013 07: 05 New
    0
    Let us hope that the goals outlined in the article will be achieved.
  6. Valery Neonov
    Valery Neonov 16 September 2013 07: 05 New
    +3
    Yes, this is not a piano in the bushes, in the bushes "symphony orchestra" in full force, but I am glad that the role of the first violin at this time belongs to Russia, and everyone played according to our score. hi
    There is time and it’s a sin not to use it to place a full-fledged Navy base in Tartus. good
    1. Black Colonel
      Black Colonel 16 September 2013 08: 41 New
      +3
      "the role of the first violin currently belongs to Russia"
      The role of the first violin is controversial, but the fact that Russia is a conductor is undeniable!
  7. Scandinavian
    Scandinavian 16 September 2013 07: 20 New
    +2
    Only the main thing is that everyone is missing, the blood of a Russian soldier can spill again ...
  8. Asgard
    Asgard 16 September 2013 07: 23 New
    +9
    Former Putin aide Hawk Female drew a "blessed" picture for the solution of the Syrian War .....
    (but He is not a military man and does not represent the deployment of battalions in practice)))
    Then She (war)) is by no means "civil", he doesn’t take it into account ...and not for this it began !!!
    Therefore, you can forget about the "pianos" in the bushes, not in Syria - no bushes, no "pianos"))))
    Near Israel ??? in a bow with the Arabs and Erdogan (striking unanimity))
    + USA- turns out to be a purchased "instrument", for money, and these "violins" in the form of two aircraft carrier formations and Bases around Syria will play "Swan Song" to all mankind ...
    In the View ||| World War ...

    And apparently it will be .... Syria will not be left behind, the chemical weapons used by the militants are a "trial balloon", ahead of "PROVOCATION" is more abrupt ...
  9. Revolver
    Revolver 16 September 2013 07: 27 New
    +6
    And now, under the UN mandate in Syria, in 50 districts where the chemical weapons depots are stationed, the Russian military in blue helmets appears.
    Helmets will just be camouflaged, so as not to shine with gangster snipers. And berets will be blue in a non-combat setting. But is there only in Russia free half a hundred airborne battalions ready for redeployment? After all, something must be left for the Caucasus, and for the southern and eastern borders. So, probably, someone else's troops will have to be attracted - well, as they say, the UN to help.
    And further. The analysis is not bad, although it seems to be greatly simplified. And the forecast would come true well, it would not be bad for everyone except Islamists of all stripes, well, they’re root filtered.
  10. explorer
    explorer 16 September 2013 07: 28 New
    +8
    Quote: serge-68-68
    50 battalions of paratroopers, well armed with armored vehicles, which will be unloaded from Russian ships in two to three days,

    Maybe I didn’t understand something, but the author offers practically ALL the existing airborne forces to be transferred to Syria? lol
    1. carbofo
      carbofo 16 September 2013 15: 38 New
      0
      It's okay, let them practice.
      In the end, paratroopers were created for this, in order to defend our interests, including abroad.
      Let them learn and gain experience, perhaps in the future we will need not 50 but 500 battalions.
  11. borisjdin1957
    borisjdin1957 16 September 2013 07: 40 New
    +2
    from the Don.
    We’ll wait and see! The situation around Syria is controlled by the GDP. And no one knows what moves he is capable of perfectly demonstrating! It’s possible to fantasize, but what will really happen .... The USA will not lag behind Syria so easily. reputation: glavnyuk: planets. It’s not easy to put up with a fall from the throne. So we are waiting for the development of events!
  12. Sergeant
    Sergeant 16 September 2013 07: 44 New
    +4
    Why mix Hezbollah and Al Qaeda together - these are actually different groups with different goals, moreover, warring ... Hezbollah is a Lebanese Shiite organization and political party. It enjoys the financial and military support of Iran and Syria. Recognized by a terrorist organization in Canada, USA, Israel ... the author are you from where?
    And what is it, interestingly, Hezbollah will "lose" if Hezbollah is supplied through Syria from Iran.
    1. Sergh
      Sergh 16 September 2013 08: 36 New
      0
      Quote: Sergeant
      the author are you from where?

      Oh, but don’t you know Sergei Yastrzhembsky?



      Sergey Vladimir Yastrzhembsky (born December 4, 1953, Moscow) is a Russian statesman, diplomat, former aide to the President of the Russian Federation. Candidate of Historical Sciences.
      1. The comment was deleted.
      2. a52333
        a52333 16 September 2013 11: 35 New
        +1
        By the way, for five years he left politics, filmed programs about the nature of Africa. I would give him + just for this, I did not cling to the "feeding trough".
      3. 10kAzAk01
        10kAzAk01 16 September 2013 12: 43 New
        +1
        he is also the chief hunter of the country! bully
    2. Ulysses
      Ulysses 16 September 2013 11: 56 New
      0
      Uh-huh.
      The author does not distinguish Hezbollah from al-Qaeda.
      I have no faith in such "experts" on the Syrian topic. sad
  13. mirag2
    mirag2 16 September 2013 07: 52 New
    0
    The situation is described correctly, I think so too. But I don’t agree on this - no one in the Middle East who represents the main force, both financial and political, will not allow Syria and, moreover, Iran to strengthen its positions! They will do everything for this, they will not stop in front of provocations or direct military intervention!
  14. Des10
    Des10 16 September 2013 08: 25 New
    0
    Wow, the author was distracted from travel and he was allowed a political forecast.
    It is written all right, logically and simply.
    "That is, the Russian military will have a completely free hand in launching missile strikes at the locations of the terrorists who attacked them and in carrying out ground operations to eliminate the attacking terrorists."
    there is a guerrilla war, civilian casualties from strikes are inevitable ... And ground operations - do we need it?
    I am against drawing Russia into rash military operations in such a complex region.
    But the article is a plus: for the "phenomenon"), for the analysis of the possible development of the conflict.
    1. FireFly
      FireFly 16 September 2013 10: 56 New
      0
      Quote: Des10
      I am against drawing Russia into rash military operations in such a complex region.

      Exactly. And if we take into account in this situation the bitterness of the radical bearded men, plus the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, it would be as if you would not get another war in the Caucasus.
      1. a52333
        a52333 16 September 2013 11: 44 New
        +1
        With the bearded men the war was, is and will be. our choice so far is worth fighting in Syrian territory or in the Caucasus.
  15. Bigriver
    Bigriver 16 September 2013 08: 44 New
    +6
    A very cursory look at the Syrian Tangle. Both on the goals of the parties, and on their capabilities.
    Tartus is a tactical, close target, and far from the most important for Russia.
    About the Russian contingent of the UN in the amount of as many as 50 battalions - this is finally beyond reality.
    And it’s not just a matter of strength.
    The line that Russia leads will require an international contingent from several countries. Only such a decision will minimize provocative risks and remove the possibility of anti-Russian rhetoric: they say that we only serve our selfish interests there.
    Yes and no so far, one hundred percent possibilities with one volitional effort to chop this tangle :(
    "now there is a real opportunity to cut the tangle that has been dragging on in Syria, and to the general delight"
    We won only the first round on points. The main customers of the war have not gone anywhere and have not abandoned their plans.
    Minus to the author.
  16. Sirs
    Sirs 16 September 2013 08: 58 New
    0
    Something like that is not right.
  17. gorsten79
    gorsten79 16 September 2013 09: 12 New
    +1
    50 battalions? -Where will we take so much? Yes, and why so much. But in general, why the Syrian government troops cannot guard experts. Not 50 battalions but 50 companies of peacekeepers. And it’s not necessarily exclusively Russian. It would be interesting to see joint Russian-American units. Maybe there will be less provocations. If Saudi Arabia and the like are controlled by the militants. Although Americans are probably a decent target for al-Qaeda too. But I wouldn’t want a second Afghanistan receive. How to destroy chemical weapons on the spot? There are no such centers. As soon as possible count and take out. Question how long will it take?
    1. Bigriver
      Bigriver 16 September 2013 09: 34 New
      +2
      Quote: gorsten79
      ... How to destroy chemical weapons on the spot? There are no such centers. As soon as possible count and take out. The question is how long will it take?

      Assad promised in a week to provide the UN with a list of available chemical weapons.
      Some former general staff officer yesterday at Solovyov's ("Sunday evening") said that there were at least 1000 tons.
      The American intelligence agency believes that the destruction will take several years.
  18. erased
    erased 16 September 2013 09: 38 New
    +3
    50 battalions of paratroopers - this is more than five divisions. There are only 4 divisions and one brigade in the Airborne Forces. Where will the others be recruited? But the main thing is to risk the lives of Russian guys again, to get a funeral again?
    Personally, the life of a Russian soldier is more precious to me than all of Syria!
    With all the great ideas and some fantastic ideas, it’s hardly worth substituting like that.
    1. creak
      creak 16 September 2013 11: 36 New
      +1
      The author simply mixed up a little safari on elephants in Africa, in which he participated, being dismissed from state affairs with military operations ... Judging by how easy it is for him to transfer such a lot of people and equipment to the Middle East, he simply does not imagine
      the calculation of forces and means in order to transfer at least one division ... Even in the USSR it was a very difficult task, I had to participate in a similar one at the time ... Tired of these amateurish arguments by the strategists who fancy themselves ... And the lives of Russian soldiers are for the author , it seems, no more than the life of the elephants he hunted ..
      1. gunnerminer
        gunnerminer 16 September 2013 12: 25 New
        0
        Even in the USSR this was a very difficult task, I had to participate in something like this ... Tired of these amateurish arguments by the strategists who imagine themselves ... And the life of Russian soldiers for the author, it seems, is no more expensive than the life of the elephants he hunted ..



        The author never heard such words — the transfer of the division! How did these divisions return to their homeland, and in what form to transfer, the author did not write.
  19. Silkway0026
    Silkway0026 16 September 2013 09: 47 New
    +1
    50 battalions - not 50 battalions ... why are you hooked on that number? the main thing is that we are leading this party in the direction we need.
  20. Yuri Y.
    Yuri Y. 16 September 2013 09: 51 New
    0
    Chimera, ours will not climb. We are not talking about the United States at low economic costs, especially for us now (although not to fight). Will pull up other UN countries.
    1. Apollo
      Apollo 16 September 2013 10: 06 New
      +2
      quote - Not only that Russian group equipped with cruise missiles and no one can argue that the S-300 complexes are absent on the territory of the Russian base.
  21. Dimon-chik-79
    Dimon-chik-79 16 September 2013 10: 11 New
    +1
    I wonder how bad it will be to Russia if Qatar, investing in terrorists, builds its own gas pipeline through Syria?
  22. albanech
    albanech 16 September 2013 10: 28 New
    0
    Properly said! Very reminiscent of an article from KP! Thanks to the author!
  23. chunga-changa
    chunga-changa 16 September 2013 10: 28 New
    +3
    It is unlikely that the author is the one for whom he is mistaken. The intensity of idiocy in the article makes us assume a kid of about 20 years old, not a citizen with experience and knowledge. Neither the UN Charter nor the countries concerned will allow the delirium that is described in the article to happen. As a pretext for the direct introduction of troops, the defense of the base is suitable, they will understand this and agree to this, but everything will have to be limited to protection. If this is the real citizen, then the "successes" of the Yeltsin administration with such assistants become clear.
    1. gunnerminer
      gunnerminer 16 September 2013 12: 09 New
      +1
      It is unlikely that the author is the one for whom he is mistaken. The intensity of idiocy in the article makes us assume a kid of about 20 years old, not a citizen with experience and knowledge. Neither the UN Charter nor the countries concerned will allow the delirium that is described in the article to happen. As a pretext for the direct introduction of troops, the defense of the base is suitable, they will understand this and agree to this, but everything will have to be limited to protection. If this is the real citizen, then the "successes" of the Yeltsin administration with such assistants become clear.


      That's right, what are the 50 battalions of paratroopers? Even if motorized rifle units are sent as a landing force, you won’t get so many combat-ready, manned units. For a long time the author was hunting elephants in Africa, he didn’t appear in his historical homeland for about 10 years.
  24. nov_tech.vrn
    nov_tech.vrn 16 September 2013 10: 33 New
    +2
    it’s written beautifully, for the efforts of a plus sign, but somehow everything is clear, 50 battalions of paratroopers (from where ?!), and a regular army trained at the level of the landing, equipped at the modern level, will sweep away the bandits, but at the same time the settlements controlled by them and here they are the real enemies of Russia, and whoever is responsible for our dead children will not do without blood there.
  25. Goldmitro
    Goldmitro 16 September 2013 10: 58 New
    +2
    <<< Surely he expects that none of the Western states will want to send their soldiers to guard UN experts in the boiling cauldron of Syria. >>>
    It is very doubtful that the West, which was already ready to directly enter Syria without any UN Security Council resolutions, would refuse the opportunity to legally send its soldiers to "guard" UN experts, leaving this right exclusively to Russia!

    <<< That is, the Russian military will be completely untied in launching missile strikes at the locations of the terrorists who attacked them and in carrying out ground operations to eliminate the attacking terrorists.
    Do you think the Islamists from Hezbollah and Al-Qaeda can hold out for a long time. According to my calculations, ten days. >>>
    How dashing and simple it is! But in reality, the places of deployment of terrorists are residential neighborhoods with civilians! So the world community is unlikely to accept rocket attacks! They will have to participate in a guerrilla war, and such wars do not end in ten days, as the experience of Afghanistan and Chechnya speaks of, especially since the plans of the West and the Arab monarchies to change the regime in Syria and oust Russia from there are not canceled!
  26. pklimov
    pklimov 16 September 2013 11: 03 New
    0
    And it seems to me that N. Starikov was right in his predictions:

    http://nstarikov.ru/blog/30284

    Only a hasty curtailment, practically, the crumpling of a strike on Syria is evidence that the parties concerned have "agreed" - Russia and China do not announce, at least for now, a new monetary union, and the United States does not touch Syria (also "for now" ). I could be wrong, but I ask you to indicate with a reason.
  27. 1536
    1536 16 September 2013 11: 04 New
    +2
    Here are the berries! As the Russian writer L. Tolstoy wrote, "It is written cleanly in paper, but they forgot about the ravines, how to walk on them." (This is about the times of the Crimean War in the middle of the 800th century, and specifically about the defense of Sevastopol.) "Fifty battalions of paratroopers", this is 1991 people each, and with armored vehicles, a limited contingent of troops turns out. After ten years of betrayal and embezzlement, we will again receive a "withdrawal of troops", now from Tartus, from Syria. And after three or four years, the collapse of our country, as in XNUMX? Great script! And most importantly, who needs it? It seems that they do not wash, they want Russia to get into the Middle East conflict up to its ears.
    1. gunnerminer
      gunnerminer 16 September 2013 12: 21 New
      0
      It doesn’t seem to be done by washing, so they want Russia to get into the Middle East conflict to its very ears.



      I agree with you.
  28. Gl00mDaem0n
    Gl00mDaem0n 16 September 2013 11: 06 New
    0
    Hmm in 10-15 days no one will be swept away at sea ... and this will be 3rd Afghanistan (2nd for Russia).
  29. Alex-z84
    Alex-z84 16 September 2013 11: 12 New
    +3
    In general, Hezbollah is fighting on the side of the government, and it has absolutely nothing to do with Sunni al-Qaeda.
    1. Apollo
      Apollo 16 September 2013 11: 29 New
      +2
      Russia decided to send the 11 battle ship to the Mediterranean
      The command of the Russian Navy has decided to send another warship, the Yamal, to the Mediterranean Sea, it will leave the port of Sevastopol in late September, said Captain First Rank Vyacheslav Trukhachev, head of the information support department of the Black Sea Fleet.
      http://www.vz.ru/news/2013/9/16/650515.html
  30. Egor.nic
    Egor.nic 16 September 2013 11: 29 New
    0
    Another Jewish tales with a mean sense: - to carry baked potatoes from coals with the wrong hands.
    How and what to do to Russia, it will figure it out without smart advisers.
  31. repytw
    repytw 16 September 2013 11: 49 New
    +1
    Why do we need a second Afghanistan, and the fact that it will be in Syria, don’t go to your grandmother, the United States and Israel will only rub their hands and help. If the Novorossiysk base does not suit us, then we really need to look at Sevastopol.
    In connection with such a policy of Ukraine and Russia, in two or three years Ukraine will become bankrupt, if not worse, it will be possible to buy or protect Russians from the Crimean Tatars, freeing the city of Russian sailors and holding a referendum on joining Russia, to give Russian citizenship en masse. The pretenders are Turkish Cyprus and the world community is silent.
    1. wax
      wax 16 September 2013 12: 44 New
      +1
      I think that we will never give up Sevastopol to NATO. Surely, the fundamental Treaty, which asked Primakov to ratify in due time in the presence of our reasonable claims to the Crimea, contains a fad that allows him to denounce. It's just that no one is pedaling and doing the right thing.
  32. Peaceful military
    Peaceful military 16 September 2013 11: 55 New
    0
    Oh, how dashing, just like in the movies. Ours, all won, having come to terms with our geopolitical "partners" on this. I even pushed up and out of pride for the power stuck out my chest and sucked in my stomach.
    BUT!
    As always, things are not so simple. At least, because the Arab League wants to fight and, most importantly, to finance it. In the states of this war and without the Arab $ hundreds of billions, if not $ trillion, there is a colossal lobby, and here also a lot of money.
    With the idea of ​​the battalions of our guards under Israel's noses, it is also not at all the same. Let us recall the reaction of Israel and geopolitical "partners" to Russia's initiative to replace our peacekeeping contingent in the Golan.
    Etc.
    Have a good week and all the best! smile hi
  33. gunnerminer
    gunnerminer 16 September 2013 12: 04 New
    +1
    The author did not work through the article and counted on dunno. There was never a base in Tartus. There was a logistics point for ships. The arrow shows the pier to which the workshops moored. The floating warehouse of the Union of Artists, made of concrete and dilapidated hangars sheds, stood at the root the berth, to the right of the arrow. A diving boat and a tow boat were docked there. This ПМТ does not pull out to the base, the base has a completely different legal status, respectively, the annual fee, the composition of the facilities, and the conditions for the permanent composition.
  34. NOMAD
    NOMAD 16 September 2013 12: 47 New
    +1
    Large assets of Russia are located in US banks and in the US jurisdiction, that is, partners in NATO! Including the assets of influential Russian officials! And in this situation, go against the Washington godfather! Something with the author is not in order with logic! In my opinion, Syria must be defended by diplomatic methods! At the UN level! Any armed intervention by Russia will lead to a freeze, and possibly to loss of the state’s assets listed above! That is, to economic sanctions and embargoes! Russia is not the USSR! And times are completely different! Now the world is fucked up by the USA! And even the Arabs behave in a cunning way they’re clinging badly to Russia when they’re good, and they don’t remember !!! From the experience of the USSR, we must remember how Egypt threw the Soviet Union! This is about their leaders NASERA — who later on the USSR was NASER! Then Anwar SADAT!
  35. wax
    wax 16 September 2013 12: 54 New
    +1
    One thing is clear that the recognition by the "world community" of Russia's personal responsibility for the chemical disarmament of Syria gives us, as well as our enemies, a new field of maneuver. And in this field, we will have to take responsibility for the protection of chemical warehouses and transports that export it (after all, there are no corresponding capacities and conditions for liquidation on the territory of Syria). And all this will be done under the auspices of the UN! Otherwise we will be dragged into a whirlpool. Those. For a year or two, Syria will come under partial control of the UN (Russia), and the "rebels" may wipe themselves out. The hawks understand this well. It is written smoothly by Yastrzhemsky, but in Israel's "interest" he is far from the truth.
  36. dmb
    dmb 16 September 2013 12: 56 New
    +3
    It was smooth on paper. "Female Hawk" is an ambiguous figure to put it mildly. Suffice it to recall. how he quickly rushed from Yeltsin to Luzhkov, from Luzhkov to Putin. Well, God bless him. Well, the man dreams of once again gracefully offering himself to the authorities. Against the background of fanfare about foreign policy victories, thoughts sometimes slip that these victories are Pyrrhic. "Cornered" Obama nevertheless retained the right to strike at Syria, and Syria without chemical weapons is much safer than Syria with them. To organize another provocation as an excuse to deliver such a blow, the Americans spit. They are also not the first time to give a damn about the opinion of the world community. Well, where then will we be with our guarantees, while Assad is deprived of chemical weapons specifically for them. So you can forget about the country's international image for a long time. I fully admit that no matter how you call the Americans fools, they could well have come up with such a scenario.
  37. NOMAD
    NOMAD 16 September 2013 13: 09 New
    +1
    It is necessary for the author to recall the example of Yugoslavia! When the US didn’t listen to anyone! They bombed from the heart and got their way! they didn’t give a damn that someone farted violently, deployed planes over the ocean! The Arabs themselves want to pay for this war! Or rather, some rich Arab countries! but why ?!
  38. The comment was deleted.
  39. Ddhal
    Ddhal 16 September 2013 13: 54 New
    +1
    An unlikely scenario.
    We are not so stupid as to unite Muslim groups against ourselves.
    We have enough "partners" without this.
  40. Cpa
    Cpa 16 September 2013 14: 00 New
    +3
    A provocative article designed for a patriotic impulse. 50 battalions belay hitting his head? hints at mobilization? Peacekeepers have other tasks, if anything. Something the West will not take al Qaeda, neither in Africa, nor in Afghanistan, nor in Iraq and Pakistan. The Islamists must go to those who created them, for this all political forces should be sent. It is better to strengthen border guards in the Caucasus and tighten border control coming from Arab countries. The Syrians will come to fight for us, if that? Everyone knows that they will not go. Therefore, if you introduce peacekeepers then from all UN members.
  41. VadimSt
    VadimSt 16 September 2013 15: 02 New
    +1
    Quote: KPA
    The article is provocative ...

    In part, yes, although the author may have written with the best intentions. In other words, in this case the proverb: - ​​"You can't spoil porridge with butter" is not entirely appropriate.
    There are enough such analyzes and forecasts in the West without it. At the same time, there is only one goal - to "blur and distort" Russia's peacemaking aspirations in the Middle East, to direct public consciousness into the mainstream of Russia's economic and military interests.
  42. crest 1971
    crest 1971 16 September 2013 15: 15 New
    0
    The most unsightly option is the Yankees mnogoghodovka:
    1. Syria agrees to everything, BUT requires external warranties.
    2. The guarantor of all this holoymes is the Russian Federation, a hole as solitary as a priest.
    3. By the 16th year of the US Office, America, (troops were withdrawn from Afghanistan, muscle was pumped), delivered a massive remote strike.
    4.Our people start to shoot down missiles, but Tomahoki - not IVC-21 and 30-40% break through missile defense.
    5. For PDO, ours (at the request of the Syrian government) are landing.
    6. They are beaten in the back by the Alakhakbar people (possibly with the use of chemical weapons, which is "written off" during transfer for disposal).
    7. When this bloody porridge reaches apofigey, the Yankees mariners land and pacify everyone, not sparing ammunition.
    Summary: the Russian Federation - in shit, like a messed up guarantor, GDP - nonsense and fuu, the Yankees - on a white horse, instead of a chocolate hare comes such that keep straight
  43. Stalinets
    Stalinets 16 September 2013 15: 30 New
    +1
    50 battalions .... paratroopers .... And what will remain in Russia? In today's demographic situation ... Russia, this is not the USSR. Unfortunately . No.
    1. Lockbase170
      Lockbase170 16 September 2013 21: 02 New
      +1
      Giving birth! And our citizens are making a career ...
  44. Ross
    Ross 16 September 2013 16: 28 New
    0
    Quote: Lockbase170
    Competent alignment in the article ...


    Look who the author is! An article with subtext in favor of Israel.
  45. Sultan
    Sultan 16 September 2013 20: 41 New
    0
    Quote: Lockbase170
    Competent alignment in the article ...
    I support! I will be happy to implement such a scenario. Stable Middle East, stable and strong Russia, and Alkaidians peacefully resting in the land
  46. Lockbase170
    Lockbase170 16 September 2013 21: 01 New
    -1
    - the army is born only in practical use
    - only contract soldiers are involved in the operation
    - BDK "charged" in full with everything necessary for the operation
    - the removal of chemical weapons should be provided with combat cover
    - if there are Our 6 square meters, they need to be preserved, especially if these 6 meters are the base of the "jump"
    - in terms of costs: you don’t want to feed your army, you will feed someone else’s ..
  47. Bashkaus
    Bashkaus 16 September 2013 22: 31 New
    -1
    The article is competent, an interesting vision of the situation, I agree with it to the last point regarding the fact that everyone is profitable, everyone is happy, everyone is smiling. I intuitively understand that the moment will come when the Russian Federation needs to be awakening to send its troops into Syria and this will wake up the only right decision, despite the fact that we will wash ourselves with blood there. The United States will not doze off, it’s beneficial to them, but certainly beneficial, such a stream of all sorts of scumbags from all over the world will immediately pour in, the Americans will start sending them there with a conveyor, so that they would drink blood from Mother Russia, and they themselves wouldn’t be left behind. Remember how the Cherchel from 42 to 44 fed Stalin with the 2nd front, and he himself condemned, let us, dear ones, destroy each other, and we will finish it.