Egypt on the way to a Syrian civil war
Egypt on the verge of a third revolution. As was to be expected, a military coup that entailed the overthrow of the president, a supporter of the country's development along the Islamic path, Mohammed Mursi, did not ensure stability in Egypt and a peaceful transition to power. The Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist organizations refused to recognize the removal of the legitimately elected president. They are determined to return to him the place of "Pharaoh". Their perseverance and determination, which is stronger than the eternal wavering of supporters of the liberal, pro-Western path, leave the country no chance for a bloodless way out of the crisis. In fact, the blood has already been shed, there are killed, hundreds of wounded. Egypt may well repeat the fate of Syria, where there is a bloody rebellion.
The country is split in half. The clashes of supporters and opponents of Mursi, or rather it is a question of choosing the future of Egypt, are becoming increasingly tough. And now the army will no longer be able to stand aside, over the conflict. She has already linked herself with the opponents of the Islamists, and in the event of a defeat of the secular development party of the country, a serious sweep of the army is inevitable.
It should be noted that in the events of the Egyptian revolution, the army behaves like a real selling girl. This is not surprising if we consider that, in fact, the Egyptian generals are not militant, they are a handful of bourgeois, accustomed to the sweet life, who have received good profits in recent decades and are not willing to abandon the amenities of the Western way of life. When Mubarak was overthrown, the military was calm and did not support the president, in which they were part of the elite of Egypt and received good dividends from it. Although it was logical to fight for such a president. Why did the military give Mubarak? The answer is simple. The hosts ordered. The Egyptian elite, like many elites of other countries in the Middle East region, is flesh and blood of the British Empire. The entire region was under the tight control of the British crown, especially Egypt, Sudan and the Arab monarchies. In the future, some of these links went under the wing of the United States. A significant part of the Arab political elites is part of the Anglo-Saxon project, they are located on one of their middle steps ("overseers") of the global hierarchy of the New World Order, which is being built by the masters of the Western world. And the masters of the West can easily sacrifice them, make “scapegoats”.
The army surrendered Hosni Mubarak, receiving peace of mind in return - several high-ranking officers were dismissed, but no mass stripping, no courts, repressions, redistribution of sources of income. It was a payment for the betrayal of the legitimate president. It is quite obvious that there is no need to say that the “rebellious people”, who wanted to “change”, first overthrew Mubarak, then Mursi. If Mubarak was needed at the head of Egypt, the military would simply have spread tanks several protesters in Tahrir Square, machine guns walked through the crowd. On this "revolution" would end. Egyptian pro-Western "plankton", accustomed to gatherings on social networks and the "fight" on the Internet, in principle, can not resist the state machine. Here we need completely different people who have completed training camps in Pakistan, participants in the battles in Afghanistan, Iraq, etc. But the Islamists have such people, as they have an idea, an ideology. Therefore, now in Egypt, the conflict goes to a completely different level, the conflict is escalating. At the same time, Mursi does not need to draw attention, he is a pawn, an expendable material that played its role well.
By overthrowing Mubarak, the West took the first step towards the destruction of present-day Egypt. Then the Egyptian Islamists received significant financial injections, support from experienced personnel, informational assistance, mainly from Qatar and Saudi Arabia, and legally placed their president at the head of the country. When Mursi, with all the shortcomings of the regime, there was some stability. I must say that all the claims against Mursi, that he did not make life in the country a “fairy tale”, are clearly biased. He ruled the country for just a year, and Egypt faces such serious problems that it takes decades of hard, methodical work to solve them. Among the most severe: 1) water problem - in the near future a conflict over the Nile water is possible; 2) socio-economic crisis, the country is on the verge of collapse, leading rating agencies give half a year before the disaster. Soon there will simply be nothing to feed the population. Egypt buys up to half food. And the money of the Arab monarchs and the IMF cannot solve this problem, they only delay the day of the disaster; 3) the problem of Sinai, which turns into a nest for terrorists and can be a cause for conflict with Israel; 4) rapid population growth, despite the fact that most of the population lives in a narrow strip along the Nile. Cairo is time to think about birth control programs. And this is not only the problem of Egypt - the waves of migrants from Africa and Asia will soon force Europe to take radical decisions, or capitulate and recognize the death of European civilization (Russia must take the same decision).
Stability in Egypt is not needed by the West, so the secular part of society was set on Islamists. But the Egyptian liberals themselves do not represent power. They have neither such drive, nor perseverance, nor willingness to die for their ideas, like the Islamists. Therefore, the order to bring down Mursi gave the army. And the Egyptian army “woke up” - it began to put obviously not feasible ultimatums to the president, to carry out pre-emptive arrests of Muslim leaders, presidential advisers, and Mursi himself was eventually overthrown. It got to use weapons against supporters of the legitimate president. As a result, what we see is that the Egyptian army “was frightened” to defend one legitimate president (Mubarak), but bravely rushed to overthrow another lawfully elected president (Mursi). No wonder that Russian President V. Putin during his visit to Kazakhstan noted that “Syria is already engulfed in civil war, sadly enough, and Egypt is moving in the same direction. I would like the Egyptian people to avoid this fate. ”
How did the West react to overthrowing the legitimate president? Actually acknowledged. The UN, the United States and other world powers did not recognize the overthrow of M. Mursi by a military coup. Barack Obama refrained from condemning the actions of the Egyptian military and called for the early restoration of "democracy" in the country. Washington continues to fund Egypt. The European Union also called for a quick return of the democratic process, but did not condemn the military. Currently, Mursi is under arrest, the military temporarily suspended the constitution and entrusted Adly Mansur, head of the country's Constitutional Court, to perform the duties of the head of state. Calls for “democracy” are another blow to Egypt. Now the army is in a difficult position. It is impossible to press Islamists violently, and this is the only way to get Egypt back on the path of secular development. In particular, some Muslim leaders were arrested and then released (there are no crimes for them). This Islamists only teased. In such a situation, the Egyptian generals are doomed to defeat.
Iran in this situation was honest. On July 7, a spokesman for the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Abbas Arakchi, said that the removal of the Egyptian president was a wrong decision. The representative of Iran said: "Supporters of M. Mursi should not give up their desire to return him to power, because the issue of the presidency should not be decided on the street." He added that the “hot summer and cold winter” could follow the Arab spring. Earlier, Deputy Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdolyahyan expressed hope that the Egyptian army will promote national reconciliation and respect the will of its people, given that "Mohammed Mursi is the president elected by popular vote." Did not support the military coup and the leader of Turkey. R. Erdogan said that he couldn’t build with the power of democracy and accused the West of double standards.
The strategy of the West to turn the region into a sea of fire is justified. The Islamists, having recovered from the first shock of arrest and apparent defeat, are beginning to organize resistance. The hopes of the liberals and the military that the Islamists would accept a coup did not materialize. More sober and gloomy calculations of analysts begin to come true. Now the military have registered themselves as enemies of the Islamic revolution, and they will not be spared. It should be noted that among the junior commanders and ordinary soldiers there are many supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood. Thus, Western strategists solve another problem - the army has ceased to be a stronghold of the stability of Egypt, itself launching chaos - inferno into the country.
The Muslim Brotherhood announced the mobilization of hundreds of thousands of their supporters and do not recognize the change of power. The National Coalition for the Rule of Law, established by them, which unites parties and organizations of Islamic persuasion, called for the commencement of national protests. This appeal was preceded by a large rally of supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood in Cairo, where the leader of Muslims, Mohammed Badia, spoke. He stated that Mursi is their president and the president of all Egyptians. "We are his soldiers and will defend him at the cost of our lives." He demanded the release and return of Mursi power. The crowd chanted: "The people need God's law, Islamic, whether the army likes it or not." The crowd tried to take the National Guard headquarters by storm. In response, the soldiers used tear gas and opened fire to kill. Several people died, dozens of wounded. In recent days, the death toll has already exceeded three dozen, and the injured have reached 1,4 thousand. The most severe confrontation is in Alexandria. A representative of the Muslim Brotherhood movement Murad Ali said that in a clash on Monday night at the complex of the Republican Guard barracks in Cairo, the military shot 34 people (later the numbers rose to about 50 dead).
Army representatives said that a "group of terrorists" had arranged the shooting outside the Republican Guard building. And the military only repelled the attack, during which several soldiers were injured. The representative of the Ministry of Interior Abdel Latyf promised to do everything possible to ensure the state and the people. According to him, to the elements aimed at destabilizing the situation will be taken "the most stringent measures within the law."
Gradually, the struggle turns into a course of power confrontation. In the north of the Sinai Peninsula in the city of Al-Arish, militants exchanged fire with the military for several hours trying to seize the airport and air force base. Before that, a large protest was held in the city. Its participants said: "From today, no peace!". The military promised to start a war on terror in Sinai. The Sinai Peninsula could be the first hotbed of the Egyptian civil war.
Egyptian Islamists are a formidable opponent. They have fighters with combat experience, an established network of financing, arms supplies and the transfer of militants to a large part of North Africa and the Middle East. The Muslim Brotherhood has a strong social base, including a significant part of the rural population. There are significant stocks of weapons, especially in the Sinai, desert and mountainous territory. Supporters of the ousted president have already decided to create a new militant organization, Sinai should become one of its main footholds.
Why does the West need chaos in Egypt?
Egypt is definitely being swayed: the secular regime of Mubarak was overthrown - the temporary power of the military - the coming to power of the Islamists - protests, the military coup - the temporary power. Further, with the support of the military, they will choose supporters of the secular course of the country. However, they will not be able to solve the problems of the country - they have no constructive program. “Democratization” of Egypt and the destruction of the Mubarak dictatorship seriously aggravated the socio-economic problems, increased public debt, reset state reserves. The population, seeking salvation from the impending collapse and famine, will support the Islamists. The Islamists will tighten their demands and again take power, but by force. In the process, the country will wash blood.
Chaos expands with every revolution and upheaval. Egypt is more likely to become another inferno zone, like Afghanistan and Kosovo. Chaos will become the prologue of the creation of the “Great Caliphate”. It is obvious that the candidature (or candidates) of the "Muslim Hitler" is already being prepared. A moment will come and a charismatic leader will “appear” who will be supported by the majority of people who are tired of blood and upheavals. I promise them peace and order. Now there is a "clearing the field." The war is on the threshold of Russia and Europe. The masters of the western project need a world war, and Muslims should become its official arsonists.
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