Military Review

A sharp turn of Georgian politics: Ivanishvili is going to leave

32
Sensational information the other day came from Georgia. More precisely, it came from Estonia, but directly concerns the state of affairs in the Georgian government. The fact is that in his interview to one of the Estonian publications, Georgian Prime Minister Bidzina Ivanishvili stated that he was going to leave his post in October of this year. He links his forthcoming resignation from the post of the actual (constitutional) head of Georgia Ivanishvili with the final completion of the term of office of the current President of the country, Mikhail Saakashvili. In fact, the term of Saakashvili’s presidency has already expired, but it is in October that the country is expected to have another presidential election, after which Saakashvili must retire.




Bidzina Ivanishvili said that after Saakashvili’s resignation from his post, he no longer intends to hold the office of prime minister for more than a few days. According to him, in October, “pure people, democrats” will take places in power, for which he (Ivanishvili) will do everything in his power. Continuing to develop his thoughts on the October withdrawal, the current head of the Georgian cabinet of ministers said that a completely different situation would appear in the country after the presidential election (and, apparently, a positive note from the author), and he (Ivanishvili) would no longer need Georgia’s help. After the resignation, the head of government himself plans to take up work that will be aimed at building a civil society in the country. What kind of post will give him the opportunity Ivanishvili does not specify yet.

Not a trivial decision Ivanishvili, is not it? What can it be connected with?

It is obvious that the acting head of the Georgian government is confident that in the presidential elections the Georgian people will support a candidate from the ruling party, which is the “Georgian Dream”, headed by Bidzina Ivanishvili. This candidate has so far designated George Margvelashvili. The premier’s confidence is due to the fact that opponents from the party chaired by Saakashvili have the lowest ratings for all history its existence. In particular, recent sociological polls in Georgia show that today Saakashvili is ready to vote for a candidate from the “United National Movement” about 9% of respondents.

But after all on candidates presidential elections from other political forces will be presented also. As one of the options - Nino Burjanadze, who has an impressive (double) experience of the acting president of the country. Now Burjanadze wants to perform such duties not for two months, as was the case in 2004-2005 and 2007-2008, but for a full time period.

Although, perhaps, Ivanishvili, speaking of the coming to power of “pure people, democrats”, had in mind a representative of any political party operating in the territory of the Georgian state, if only this force was not connected with the still active President Saakashvili ...

So, comes the new president - the current prime minister vacates his chair. What purpose can Ivanishvili pursue by his departure? At least two options emerge here. The first option is that Ivanishvili considers himself to have coped with the duties assigned to him. Well, here it’s like ... If these responsibilities were to move Saakashvili to the background, and an attempt to do everything so that he and his party lost the support of the majority (if this support could be at all), then Ivanishvili did it. But after all, by and large, the task of the Prime Minister, and even endowed with the constitution of Georgia with greater powers than the president, looks much more ambitious ...

In this regard, as a second option, related to the reasons for Ivanishvili’s possible withdrawal, there is an option in which the acting prime minister simply does not see the strength to solve the large-scale problems that Georgia currently has on its own. One of those problems that falls into the category, to put it mildly, intractable, is the problem of the territorial integrity of Georgia. To say that the Georgian authorities will do everything to return Abkhazia and South Ossetia back to Tbilisi’s womb, of course, is possible all the time - before lunch, during lunch and after it, but how to do it in reality? To venture a new conflict with Russia or come to terms with the current situation ... It seems that Ivanishvili understands that any decision on this most acute issue can aggravate an already not very calm situation in the country.

If you take a new power step (an attempt to join South Ossetia with Abkhazia), then this will result in a new bloody drama in the region. If you declare that Georgia refuses the idea of ​​reunification, then it will incur the wrath of the electorate, who clearly does not want the stupidity of the still incumbent president (the stupidity of the 08.08.08 sample) to finally turn Georgia into a territorial, sorry, stub in the Caucasus. You can certainly try to arrange an infinite talkative, continuing, say, to maneuver: to repeat that Abkhazia and South Ossetia will definitely be part of Georgia, but at the same time put all measures for another leadership, because there is another controversial issue at stake: getting into NATO.
In all likelihood, Ivanishvili, and decided that it would be better to prepare this new manual now, and to retire himself for the free-lance social activist himself. From this position it is much easier to assess the political processes in the country.

By the way, Mikhail Saakashvili was not slow in responding to Ivanishvili’s statements:

Politics is not a kindergarten. This is a very serious thing. Politics is connected with the fate of each person, with the long-term development of Georgia, its future.


Apparently, Saakashvili continues to sincerely consider himself a man who stood and stands in the way of the “long-term development” of Georgia. They say that I have been coping with Georgian problems for two terms in a row (only the number of problems from this only multiplies, - author's note), and Ivanishvili surrendered to political difficulties.

Such statements about the decision of Ivanishvili the Georgian president expressed against the background of the desire of a group of deputies from the ruling party to begin the impeachment procedure in his own respect. It is reported that the deputies will take the first steps to start the procedure already this week. Whether this procedure will end in real impeachment is unlikely. After all, until October there is not much time left for the deputies. And if the impeachment really takes place, and Mikhail Saakashvili is “gone” before the onset of October 2013, then really Ivanishvili so soon wants to replace himself with someone at his post. Why such a hurry? Or did Ivanishvili really understand that today's Georgian prime minister’s position is beginning to resemble a shooting party: where do you throw a wedge everywhere? Well, well - the road to the Russian market has opened for the Georgian wines, fruits and mineral waters - and that's enough ... The very thing for the person who puts business at the fore ...

But will the Georgian Dream itself not lose from the decision voiced by Ivanishvili? Or, Ivanishvili decided to create intrigue around the presidential election, capturing the sounds of reaction not only from Georgia itself, but also from outside its borders ...
Author:
Photos used:
http://www.ridus.ru
32 comments
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  1. Canep
    Canep 26 June 2013 07: 42 New
    +8
    He most likely leaves because the problem of Ossetia and Abkhazia cannot be solved. In the interests of Georgia, no one will be able to solve this problem. Saakashvili violated so that now do not taxi.
    1. Papakiko
      Papakiko 26 June 2013 08: 21 New
      +5
      Quote: Canep
      Saakashvili taxed so now not to taxi.

      3 options:
      1) To reconcile and live in a good neighborly way.
      2) Again and again, try to "fight back, reunite."
      3) Pump resources into the "neighbor" and after decades with peace, reunite peacefully.
      In October, “pure people, democrats” will take power.
      Saakashvili also came as "a pure man, a democrat."
      The Georgian swing continues.
    2. Andrey Yuryevich
      Andrey Yuryevich 26 June 2013 18: 32 New
      +2
      he’ll pinpoint the genatsvale ...
  2. Forward
    Forward 26 June 2013 07: 44 New
    0
    Best President for Georgia Igor Georgadze!
    1. KazaK Bo
      KazaK Bo 26 June 2013 08: 11 New
      +2
      Quote: Forward
      Best President for Georgia Igor Georgadze!

      For Russia, maybe ... but it is unlikely that it will "ride" in Georgia. A presidential candidate with a strong "kegbesh" past will not be accepted in the country, for in this they will see the return of the Russian dictate to a small but very proud country and "crystal clear" Georgian democracy.
      1. Forward
        Forward 26 June 2013 08: 17 New
        0
        I regret to agree with you! Although for them, Georgadze would be the best option, in terms of establishing good neighborly relations with Russia. However, they are already tied to us economically, so there’s no place to go!
        1. KazaK Bo
          KazaK Bo 26 June 2013 08: 51 New
          +1
          Quote: Forward
          However, they are already tied to us economically, so there’s no place to go!

          ... here, economically, GEORGIA has little to do with it ... wine ... fruits and vegetables ... minvoda ...-- these are not the most important and fundamental points of economic cooperation, and even more so of our dictatorship ... And in another, our balance is very limited ... how can it be added that CHUBAIS managed to buy a number of energy producing and distribution companies in the TBILISSI region at one time.
          Perhaps you were misled by the fact that a large number of owners of a number of serious companies bear Georgian surnames ... you should not give special attention to this ... These owners or Russian citizens or more are “portfolio investors” (as the owner of URALMASH) .. . than true leaders. They take out profits, but not the enterprises themselves. And if you don’t start rowing to the “shore” where you need to, then you’ll simply find yourself without these means of production. Remember the story. In the 30s. The twentieth century Germany, which was forbidden to have an aircraft industry and a number of other military production facilities, built a couple of aircraft manufacturing plants in Russia, an enterprise for the production of chemical weapons components, tanks ... training centers for training pilots, tankers ... etc .. As soon as the Germans began to show confrontation in matters with us, in an instant I. STALIN removed them from Russia and our very successful aircraft manufacturing ... and special chemical production ... and mass training of both mobile reserves and combatant specialists for the Red Army began with these productions ...
          1. Forward
            Forward 26 June 2013 09: 11 New
            +3
            I think that wine, fruits, vegetables and mineral water are just the main sources of income for Georgia. But their products, they, except in Russia, can not sell anywhere, due to their geopolitical location. The European Union at one time refused to put their goods on its shelves. Therefore, the Saakashvili administration is fueled by American tranches. And the Americans, as everyone is well aware, just do not give anything. So, a small but very proud country, still have to work out assistance.
            1. evfrat
              evfrat 26 June 2013 10: 05 New
              +2
              I agree with you. There is nothing more to trade with them. We can only add that as a transit country - on the route Russia-Armenia, they will be able to get some profit.
              1. smersh70
                smersh70 26 June 2013 11: 57 New
                +1
                Quote: evfrat
                We can only add that as a transit country - on the route Russia-Armenia, they will be able to get some profit.



                what transit from Armenia ... what are you fellow in Armenia, there is, to Yeshe and export)))))
                Georgia’s budget is growing every day .... mainly the transit of Azerbaijani gas, oil, freight transportation .. in 2014 the construction of the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway will be completed ... sale of cars (2billion dollars only from the Rustavian car market) .. .Agriculture....
                1. evfrat
                  evfrat 26 June 2013 19: 26 New
                  +1
                  Transit cargo will be just for Georgia. The word transit, look what it means. And the cargo will go Russian to Armenia. Or do you have the word Armenia diarrhea happens plentiful?
            2. djon77
              djon77 26 June 2013 15: 12 New
              +1
              and here you are mistaken. they found new markets. the wine is mainly in China, and the water went to Europe
              1. smersh70
                smersh70 26 June 2013 17: 16 New
                0
                Quote: djon77
                and the water went to europe



                and this water is from the occupied regions of Lachin and Kelbajar and plus gold from the mines of Kelbajar ......
    2. pensioner
      pensioner 26 June 2013 09: 11 New
      0
      Quote: Forward
      Best President for Georgia Igor Georgadze!

      But can he return to Georgia? Something I fell behind a lot ...
      1. Forward
        Forward 26 June 2013 09: 14 New
        +1
        While there the pro-American regime is unlikely.
  3. Belogor
    Belogor 26 June 2013 07: 53 New
    +2
    "The Moor has done his work; the Moor may leave."
  4. Dejavu
    Dejavu 26 June 2013 07: 53 New
    +6
    Sobakashvili needed to be euthanized the day after 08.08.08/XNUMX/XNUMX.
    1. KazaK Bo
      KazaK Bo 26 June 2013 08: 04 New
      +3
      Quote: dejavu
      Sobakashvili needed to be euthanized the day after 08.08.08/XNUMX/XNUMX.

      ... forgot to add the imperishable words of the postman PECHKIN from m \ f about PROSTOKVASHINO: "And give it to the clinic for experiments!" In another way, sorry for the mentoring tone, but it's hard to understand your humor ...
      1. Dejavu
        Dejavu 26 June 2013 15: 50 New
        0
        This is not humor, I'm completely serious.
  5. KazaK Bo
    KazaK Bo 26 June 2013 08: 00 New
    0
    Or maybe IVANISHVILLI decided to occupy the niche of the moral leader of Georgia. The honorable Khoymen plays such a role in IRAN, in Russia - ... well this is a trivial question, who ... To be on the top of a high hill and watch the tiger and lion fight, and when both will exhaust themselves, take the role of supreme judge, the role much more honorable than digging into problems every day, solving them with an unknown result. It is not only about the North. Ossetia and Abkhazia ... in the country itself there is a huge com of unresolved issues, where labor employment, incomes, and so on come first.
  6. fenix57
    fenix57 26 June 2013 08: 32 New
    0
    So far, Ivanishvili has “rolled” to Israel on his first official visit, where one of the topics of the media talks will be the resumption of purchases of Israeli weapons, including unmanned aerial vehicles, anti-tank and anti-aircraft missile systems.
    As for the resignation from the post of prime minister, will she lie? Will take place this October, at least according to Soso Tsiskarishvili 'From the day he appeared on the political scene, Ivanishvili repeatedly said that he was going to spend no more than 2 years in politics. Therefore, his latest statements cannot be regarded as a sensation. Only the concretization of the month of resignation and discussions about the selection of the candidate were unexpected. Although the next day, Ivanishvili, in the same way as he had repeatedly done before, commented on what was said and stated that he would not go anywhere if the country's democratic development would be in jeopardy. I do not think that in our country the situation is so optimal that Ivanishvili assesses it as successful. Therefore, at least another 1-1,5 years, he will have to look for ways to implement the changes that he conceived "

    ПDetails: http://regnum.ru/news/fd-abroad/1675854.html#ixzz2XIGHIepn
  7. ekebastus
    ekebastus 26 June 2013 09: 06 New
    +3
    Just a guy looked into the budget, and thought tries I need it?
    1. Simon
      Simon 26 June 2013 22: 35 New
      0
      Yeah ..! He probably has more money than in the Georgian budget. lol laughing
  8. pensioner
    pensioner 26 June 2013 09: 10 New
    +1
    Yes-ah ... It's complicated for them. Let them understand. If only they did not climb to us.
  9. Opera
    Opera 26 June 2013 09: 20 New
    +1
    Considering the realities of today and the historical component, I think about establishing good neighborly relations between Russia and Georgia, the Georgian authorities and the Georgian people should be hurt!
    Does not hurt?! Well and health!
  10. Standard Oil
    Standard Oil 26 June 2013 09: 23 New
    +1
    In my opinion, Georgia no longer needs Georgia, they tried, they didn’t succeed, they don’t need Georgia anymore, nobody needs it anymore. Georgia should now disband its gang of killers and rapists and become as friendly as possible or at least least invisible to Russia.
    1. evfrat
      evfrat 26 June 2013 10: 08 New
      0
      Better second. Enough, have made friends.
    2. Geokingxnumx
      Geokingxnumx 26 June 2013 11: 55 New
      +2
      Quote: Standard Oil
      In my opinion, Georgia no longer needs Georgia, they tried, they didn’t succeed, they don’t need Georgia anymore, nobody needs it anymore

      you would look at the world map! then a map of the Caucasus! in general, the Caucasus from a military point of view is a very good place! both Americans and Russians need Georgia (its territory). who rules the Caucasus two or three steps ahead of the enemy!
      1. Simon
        Simon 26 June 2013 22: 40 New
        -1
        Yeah ..! Ossetia showed how many steps Georgia was ahead of, only then the Georgians stopped counting these steps when they fled back. lol laughing soldier
  11. Dima190579
    Dima190579 26 June 2013 09: 42 New
    +3
    MINIMO in one word.
  12. The gentleman
    The gentleman 26 June 2013 10: 16 New
    +1
    I see the third option - stuffing yourself prices. now he says that he will leave. subsequently, after Misha leaves, everyone will ask him to return. after all, it was he who showed that Misha is not right on many issues, that he communicates with the people, that he is ready for anything for the sake of the people, etc. I still think that this is just a pun and it won’t go anywhere
  13. misham
    misham 26 June 2013 10: 20 New
    +4
    I don’t see any difference whether Ivanishvili or Saakashvili or Kukishvili will change anything in Georgia’s foreign and domestic policy. A little less anti-Russian rhetoric, so this is for the sake of Comrade Onishchenko (wine and mineral water) + the influx of tourists. The troops will be withdrawn from Afghanistan - and so the Americans dump out of there. Georgia for Russia is lost for the next 10-15 years. Until a generation of politicians in the Kremlin and Georgia changes.
    Sooner or later, Russia will get tired of sponsoring a sweet couple (South Ossetia and Abkhazia). You cannot last forever unrecognized. The Kosovo scenario is also likely, but this is an exception.
    What will happen next are options.
    For all its shortcomings, Saakashvili really created a new Georgia. Georgians well remember the regimes of Gamsakhurdia and Shevarnadze, there will be no rollback to yesterday.
    Conversations on the topic, we once rescued you from the Turkish genocide, but you .... do not remember useless. There is only here and now.
  14. Dmitry 2246
    Dmitry 2246 26 June 2013 10: 24 New
    0
    Georgia needs to choose a competently political status.
    A mistake will lead to the further collapse of the state and the loss of economic freedom.
  15. 128mgb
    128mgb 26 June 2013 10: 26 New
    0
    Ivanishvili is still a dark horse, but a lover of ties can go for a third term. If you do not go abroad, although who needs it there. His last name is not even Noriega.
  16. Geokingxnumx
    Geokingxnumx 26 June 2013 11: 43 New
    +1
    may he not leave
  17. Nu daaaa ...
    Nu daaaa ... 26 June 2013 11: 43 New
    0
    Quote: Forward
    But their products, they, except in Russia, can not sell anywhere, due to their geopolitical location. The European Union at one time refused to put their goods on its shelves.


    Ne pravda, i mineralnaja voda i vino svobodna prodaetsa v evrosojuze i segodnja, bez vsjakih pregrad.
  18. smersh70
    smersh70 26 June 2013 12: 04 New
    +2
    Dear Russians !!!!!! before you rate Misha .. come to Georgia .... hi if we discard the events of 08 .... any citizen of any country would subscribe to the reforms of Misha .... few of you and us. Gai shakes our brains. corruption ... and difficulties in the tax service .... and nationalism .... .... ALL THIS IS DISAPPOINTED IN GEORGIA !!!!!!!! who doesn’t believe you are welcome to Georgia!
    look who voted for and against Misha’s party ..... districts and national minorities voted FOR ... because in particular their problems of sleeping and living in peace were resolved
    those who voted against - cities - former officials, traffic cops, policemen .. ministry workers - those who lost their hands, those who took bribes ...... that's the whole set .... and Misha, look .. still coming back .... hi ....
    1. Geokingxnumx
      Geokingxnumx 26 June 2013 12: 23 New
      +3
      Quote: smersh70
      Dear Russians !!!!!! before giving an assessment to Misha .. coming to Georgia .... if you discard the events of 08 of the year .... any citizen of any country would subscribe to the reforms of Misha .... you and I have few brains shakes. and corruption ... and difficulties in the tax service .... and nationalism ........ ALL THIS IS ESTABLISHED IN GEORGIA !!!!!!!! who doesn’t believe you are welcome to Georgia!
      look who voted for and against Misha’s party ..... districts and national minorities voted FOR ... because in particular their problems of sleeping and living in peace were resolved
      those who voted against - cities - former officials, traffic cops, policemen .. ministry workers - those who lost their hands, those who took bribes ...... that's the whole set .... and Misha, look .. still coming back .... ....

      I am not former officials or a policeman policeman or t, d.! he did a lot of good but also bad! in truth, 20% of the people of Georgia will be for Misha! not more! believe me, I know!
    2. Ulysses
      Ulysses 26 June 2013 12: 30 New
      +2
      "Recent sociological polls in Georgia show that Saakashvili is now ready to vote for a candidate from the United National Movement." 9% of respondents."

      According to your logic, the remaining 91% are former officials, traffic cops, policemen .. ministry workers - those who have lost the crust, those who took bribes .... belay
      1. smersh70
        smersh70 26 June 2013 12: 39 New
        +1
        Quote: Ulysses
        9% of respondents. "



        what 9 percent))) wake up .. the same thing and Swamp speaks about Putin ..... and trust sociological polls less. hi and as for the rest - Georgian civil society is very strong in nature, they first support (Gamsakhurdia, Shchevarnadze, Sahak
  19. Furnace driver
    Furnace driver 26 June 2013 13: 57 New
    +1
    as an option: in view of the sharply negative attitude of the population towards Saakashvili and digging, the West, and they are monitoring society to draw such conclusions, could very well make a return move in the form of Bidzina in order to mislead the electorate: they say everything will be fine and in fact it will he did, and then when the people cleared that he was his own, a direct protege of the West would appear on the stage - the most democrats and Burjanadze were more suitable for this role than ever, remembering her constant graters with representatives of the West
  20. Black
    Black 26 June 2013 15: 06 New
    +4
    Apparently, Saakashvili continues to sincerely consider himself a person who has stood and is standing in the way of Georgia’s “long-term development”.
    I do not like Georgia, but we will be fair.
    This is the case. Something happened, something not.
    Everything is like people have.
    It turned out a lot
    - the fight against crime (they caught all the thieves in the so-called law, you either choose to blame them or lower them to the camera), changed the psychology of the police and changed the attitude of people towards the police
    - Corruption tore their heads off in the literal sense of the word. They don’t take them in educational institutions, in a hospital, in power. They don’t take it! - and nobody gives it!
    - I believe that the foundation has been created and the building of civil society is being built
    - a lot has been done in integration into Europe
    - very good in education, in medicine

    There are problems in the economy (and we don’t have them?).

    The war is shtatovskaya, we were checked for lice. (IMHO)

    Of course, it is possible to say that the Georgian authorities will do everything to return Abkhazia and South Ossetia to the bosom of Tbilisi - before lunch, during and after lunch, but only how can this be done in reality?

    As far as I can tell, the work of returning is in full swing. And the smart way. You look at what they turned Batumi into Nice !!!! And go - see the devastation in Abkhazia. Abkhazians in the border region see this perfectly.
    1. smersh70
      smersh70 26 June 2013 17: 22 New
      +2
      Quote: Chen
      As far as I can tell, the work of returning is in full swing. And the smart way. You look at what they turned Batumi into Nice !!!! And go - see the devastation in Abkhazia. Abkhazians in the border region see this perfectly.



      Thank you! Said all that I thought to write)))) hi drinks
  21. pa_nik
    pa_nik 26 June 2013 15: 32 New
    0
    Quote: xasharat
    Saakashvili would have had no price if he had not attacked the Russian peacekeepers. This is his biggest mistake. They don’t do that. He could have warned people to leave the conflict zone.


    "And you say the right words ..." (C) film head The meeting place cannot be changed.

    It’s a pity that not all the time, but in places. request

    One minus for the comment is mine. yes
  22. pa_nik
    pa_nik 26 June 2013 15: 37 New
    0
    Quote: xasharat
    No one respects his policies.


    facts? winked
  23. dmit-xnumx
    dmit-xnumx 26 June 2013 22: 05 New
    0
    [quote = misham] There is only here and now.
    Reply Quote - this is the credo of the bug, unworthy of Man.
  24. воронов
    воронов 27 June 2013 20: 34 New
    -2
    Until Georgia returns to Russia’s landfill
  25. George
    George 27 June 2013 22: 23 New
    0
    He was in Georgia before the parliamentary elections, and even managed to attend the rally of the Georgian Dream. I don’t know how it is now, but before the election everyone hated and feared Saakashvili. It was understandable for what they hated (No work, conflict with South Ossetia, scandals with prisoners), but the mother was afraid for her children who were serving in the army at that time, that they would lose their jobs, because in Georgia there is not a great choice of work, you either a builder or serving in the army, and these two works are under the control of the authorities. Because of this, many were afraid to go to rallies, speak out against the authorities ... it may seem funny and not believable to you, but I assure you that was so. I don’t know who Saakashvili was pleased with, as some people comment in the comments here. Everyone in Georgia believes this: Saakashvili adorned the country outwardly, but ruined it inside. Many cities of Georgia seemed to flourish, Georgia turned into a tourist country, instead of creating the PROMISED industry, jobs, everything went on to build beautiful Georgia, but this is good, but why is this beauty needed if you can not use it? Why do we need these restaurants, hotels, resorts, if no one can earn money on vacation? Because of this, the people of Georgia are dissatisfied with their government, and therefore they believe in the "Georgian Dream", Ivanishvili promised a lot, all that the Georgians lacked, you can only wait and hope that the next color revolutionary will not come to power ...
  26. Chukchi reader
    Chukchi reader 30 June 2013 18: 45 New
    0
    The article put a minus.
    How not to stop the running bison or the singing Kobzon, so do not stop the writing Volodin ...
    Volodin, you can’t write, don’t write.