Why does China need so many submarines?

20 336 28
Why does China need so many submarines?


Recent satellite images of a shipyard in northeastern China offer new insights into the country's next-generation submarine development. The images, in particular, reveal a waterjet propulsion system and other features that are worth examining in what is commonly referred to as a new class of nuclear attack submarines, offering insight into the direction the PLA Navy is heading in its development.



Vantor released a new image of a submarine built at the Bohai Shipyard in Huludao, taken on September 18. Jane's reported on the submarine based on a separate Vantor image from September 1. The publication also referred to the submarine as a "Type 095"—a widely used, but unofficial, designation. The topic of Chinese nuclear submarines is a hot topic among American readers, so it's clear the submarine needed a name.


A general view of China's new submarine under construction at the Bohai Shipyard in Huludao, September 18, 2026.


As mentioned, the water jet propulsion system is immediately noticeable in both images. This propulsion system is also presumably a distinctive feature of the Type 093B nuclear-powered attack submarine, a significantly improved version of an earlier model first unveiled in the early 2020s. Compared to traditional open propellers and simpler shrouded propellers, water jet propulsion systems offer advantages in terms of quiet operation and efficiency, especially at high underwater speeds.

The latest images show that the submarine's stern is X-shaped. This design is not found on the Type 093B, which is considered a cross between this class and the next-generation design. Overall, the X-shaped configuration offers advantages in terms of increased maneuverability, which could be particularly useful in coastal areas. Furthermore, this configuration may be more effective in reducing acoustic signature over a significant portion of the submarine's operational range compared to a conventional cruciform stern.

Another Chinese submarine, designed in 2024 and currently known as the Type 041 or "Zhou," which is believed to be powered by a hybrid propulsion system with a nuclear reactor, also features an X-shaped stern. The first known Type 041 was discovered after an accident that caused it to sink at the shipyard.


Cranes surround a Type 041 submarine after it sank at China's Wuchang shipyard in 2024.

The X-shaped stern is also characteristic of another new class of submarines that arrived at the JN (Jiangnan) shipyard in Shanghai earlier this year.

Initial reports suggested the design lacked a traditional sail. However, it has been confirmed that it does have a sail, but it is very small compared to the boat's overall dimensions. Shorter sails can provide high performance and other benefits, but they have their drawbacks.


Some experts have concluded that such a boat could be unmanned, and the shorter retractable elements concealed by the sail are proof of this: the boat doesn't need optical periscopes or cameras, which must be raised as high as possible above the water to increase the viewing range. The antenna simply needs to be above the water's surface to receive the necessary information from the same satellites.


The image of the submarine obtained by Janes also clearly shows an open rectangular section at the stern. A September 18 image from Vantor shows a structure installed over this part of the submarine, concealing ongoing work.

The Type 095 is expected to be fitted with some sort of vertical launch system capable of accepting a variety of anti-ship and strike missiles. missiles, and possibly hypersonic ones as well. For this reason, the Type 095 is sometimes referred to as a guided missile submarine, or SSGN. The open platform visible in the September 1 image may be the mounting location for the vertical launch system. It may also provide access to the reactor compartment.

Interestingly, the September 18 image also shows at least two relatively large circular holes located next to each other on the submarine's bow, just ahead of the "sail." The purpose of these holes is not immediately clear. It's possible they could be used for vertical launch of munitions or other payloads, such as an unmanned vehicle.

By comparison, American Virginia-class nuclear attack submarines, starting with the Block III version, have two large-diameter launch tubes (VPTs), located one in front of the other in the bow, in front of the periscopes. Meanwhile, the openings on the Huludao submarine are located very close to the main sonar system, and they may also be related to this design feature.


A close-up of the bow of a submarine under construction in Huludao, photographed September 18, 2026.



The Virginia-class Block III submarine USS John Warner during its commissioning ceremony with one of its two vertical launch tubes open.


"I think it's too early to draw conclusions about the configuration of the vertical launch system based on the publicly available images. I understand that people are assuming that the large rectangular space behind the conning tower is the vertical launch system, but I'm not sure that's the case, and I urge caution against jumping to conclusions. This space could also be associated with work on the reactor compartment," said Alex Luck, a naval analyst who closely follows submarine and naval developments. fleet China. "On the Type 093B, the vertical launcher was first covered with a tarpaulin after launching, and then the installed launchers became clearly visible during fitting-out. The process may be different on these new boats, but the different appearance during launching and fitting-out must be taken into account."


That some kind of vertical launch system will be installed on the Type 095 is clear and understandable; the only question is its exact location and, possibly, the model. That the Chinese are actively experimenting with submarine variants is beyond doubt. The only question is what stage their program is at.

Hence, an equally important question is what type of submarine is currently being built at the Bohai shipyard. Additional images from the Planet Labs archive indicate that the submarine is approximately 120 meters long. When the first specimen, believed to be a Type 095, appeared in Huludao in February, it was approximately 110 meters long. The "small sail" submarine discovered in Shanghai earlier this year is also approximately 120 meters long, according to available images, but appears narrower than the submarine presumably classified as a Type 095 in February.

One of the key questions is what's the difference between the submarine launched by Bohai in February and the two new hulls launched in late May and early June by Bohai and Jiangnan in Shanghai. Specifically, it's still very difficult to determine whether these two submarines are designed for different combat missions or whether this is a two-stage development process for a single final configuration of the new submarine. Both options are entirely plausible.

The question then arises: which submarine are we seeing in the new images—the one from February or a more recent version? Without precise and reliable measurements, without a minimum amount of data, and based solely on satellite imagery, we can only speculate online and nothing more.

"This September 1 image confirms my impression that the boat launched in February may have been a single example, not possessing all the characteristics of the notional Project 095A launched by Bohai and Jiangnan in late May. We have already seen both versions side by side at Bohai," Luck wrote after the Janes report was published.


However, the emergence in recent years of a large number of new, more modern submarines, apparently belonging to several different classes, is of great significance.

It's no secret that the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) is working to significantly increase the size and capabilities of its submarine force, with the express goal of expanding its operational footprint, at least in the Pacific Ocean. In the past, US officials have publicly stated that the overall quality of China's new submarines is approaching the level of their American counterparts.

"The People's Liberation Army Navy is making a significant strategic transition from diesel-electric to all-nuclear powered ships, representing a fundamental departure from historical shipbuilding principles," U.S. Navy Rear Adm. Mike Brooks, head of the Office of Naval Intelligence, said in prepared remarks to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission in March.


Specifically, the Type 095, as well as the new Type 096 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, are next-generation platforms scheduled to enter service between the late 2020s and 2030s. These submarines will be equipped with significantly improved nuclear reactors, sensors, integrated weapons, and noise reduction technologies, which has generally not generated optimism in the United States.

Submarine modernization efforts are just one aspect of the PLA Navy's broader efforts to expand its capabilities at and below the water. In recent years, Chinese shipyards have also been producing increasingly sophisticated aircraft carriers, amphibious assault ships, destroyers, frigates, and other vessels.

The pace of construction of new surface ships and submarines in China is also accelerating, creating a particularly significant and growing lag behind the US Navy. So far, this is only in quantitative terms, but as global experience shows, quantity often translates into quality.

The work in Huludao, as well as at shipyards in other parts of China, certainly already offers a fresh perspective on China's efforts to develop next-generation submarines. In fact, China's breakthrough in this area is not surprising. It's entirely logical. A country that, just 20-30 years ago, was copying even the most advanced Soviet technology, is now developing and building warships, aircraft, and nuclear submarines entirely independently.


The only thing that would be really interesting to clarify is: are the boats in the pictures links in the same chain or are they parallel projects?

Today, the world's leading naval powers utilize a minimal number of submarine classes in their navies. One class is a general-purpose attack submarine (Los Angeles, Yasen, and Qin), and one is a strategic missile carrier (Borey, Ohio, and Triumphan). This is advantageous both economically and practically: it eliminates the confusion inherent in the Soviet submarine fleet, with its plethora of diverse boat models, which created problems with maintenance, operation, and personnel training.

It would be strange if China decided to operate multiple types of nuclear submarines simultaneously, but it's entirely possible that the images we saw depict experimental work on the development of new submarines. However, it would indeed be nice to have a little more information on which to draw some conclusions.
28 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. +3
    28 September 2026 05: 53
    The quality of satellite images is amazing, I'm still amazed.
    1. + 18
      28 September 2026 06: 36
      The quality of satellite images is amazing, I'm still amazed.

      What amazes me most is that we never see images from our reconnaissance satellites of the consequences of OUR strikes on the Northeast Asian Front. And when I ask this question on this forum, I get all sorts of nonsense about secrecy and a reluctance to disclose the technical capabilities of our satellites... And when these authors finally grasp the insanity they demonstrate with such answers, the second stage of idiocy begins: they claim it's not the Russian Ministry of Defense's responsibility to supply its media with such images. These authors clearly have no idea about proper propaganda during any war, which, for some reason, absolutely everyone engages in whenever possible.
      And for some reason, drone images are allowed, but satellite ones aren't... I wonder how these people's minds work. Or maybe they're allowed to show the aftermath of fires and floods on their own territory, but not the aftermath of OUR strikes on the Ukrainian Armed Forces...
      Well, consider this the command "attack!" Let's begin, once again, proving the unprovable, that no one needs this or that it's impossible. fellow lol
      1. KCA
        -9
        28 September 2026 08: 51
        Contact the Ministry of Defense and ask why they don't show images from Earth remote sensing satellites and from Kosmos satellites. They'll explain to you that it takes about 5 years of training in felling and processing trees.
      2. +3
        28 September 2026 09: 37
        Oh, come on. The internet is filled with images of burning Ukraine, Kyiv, sinking American ships, and so on. What else do you need?
        Judging by the pictures, everything there was destroyed, burned down, etc.
      3. -3
        28 September 2026 15: 56
        My dear, you're digging too hard. It could lead you down the wrong door.
      4. -2
        28 September 2026 22: 11
        The Ministry of Defense is not obligated to publish GOOD photographs from satellites...the Ministry of Defense is not obligated to publish any photographs at all, and yes...the Ministry of Defense does not owe anything to anyone (and especially not to the people of the Russian Federation). But you, citizens of the Russian Federation, are very much obligated to the Ministry of Defense...
        1. +1
          4 October 2026 06: 56
          The Ministry of Defense is not obliged to publish any photographs at all.

          It's precisely these kinds of answers to a simple question that I call "the second stage..." Don't be so quick to snap back. Instead, use your brain and try to think clearly: why aren't there any satellite images of us? Give me at least one reasonable reason.
      5. -2
        3 October 2026 10: 02
        Poor guy, they won't let him watch the show on the couch with a beer. The main thing is that those who need to see these photos are seeing them, and you'll somehow get through it.
    2. +1
      28 September 2026 11: 25
      -which can be especially useful in coastal areas.
      Blockade of Taiwan: Prevent attempts by ships to break through with help.
      And no one has cancelled the FULL-Fledged nuclear triad. Diesel-electric submarines are no longer suitable for dominance.
  2. + 13
    28 September 2026 06: 38
    This image is clearly generated by artificial intelligence: a satellite can't capture cables so clearly (and they don't lay cables that way on a submarine, either). Why would an unfinished submarine be parked at the water's edge? Apparently, the AI ​​has transformed the shadows in the satellite image into the surface of the water. Even if you don't notice, the truck-like object in the upper left corner is already almost a ship.
    1. +3
      28 September 2026 15: 57
      This is Roman Skomorokhov. What's wrong with you?
    2. +2
      28 September 2026 21: 20
      That's true, because the original photos are of a completely different quality and, of course, in dry dock.
      https://www.twz.com/sea/chinese-next-generation-submarine-developments-spotted-in-new-satellite-imagery
    3. +3
      29 September 2026 06: 50
      What about satellite images for Google Maps, meaning for the average person with free access to view them? Here's a screenshot of the US naval base in San Diego, with a nuclear submarine and the stern of some frigate zoomed to a maximum of 5 meters. That's exactly what I'm talking about: there's no need to reveal the full capabilities of a military reconnaissance satellite; for propaganda purposes, what any civilian satellite can show, from whose images such maps are compiled, is sufficient.
    4. 0
      1 October 2026 07: 35
      clearly generated by artificial intelligence
      You're probably right. The laws of optics guarantee it. Miracles don't happen.
      And herein lies a major potential danger and problem. I recently had a conversation with an AI about completely unrealistic videos on YouTube, like sailors, for example. pushing The AI ​​claims to be able to analyze what's happening in images, but there may be problems with the generation. I think it's flattering itself.
      These pictures confirm this.
      What is the danger?
      Imagine, for example, a truck in a photo is a maximum of ten pixels. And you need to create an image based on that. I don't think it's realistic to differentiate many types of vehicles. What will AI do during analysis? It will rely on recommendations about what exactly to look for. And it will end up drawing whatever it wants.
      Another danger: Analysis delegated to AI will quickly lead to the disqualification of analysts. Will the "elites" take this into account? Unlikely; they'll be overjoyed at such "high-quality" images. They've never even seen such production facilities from the inside. They don't understand them and don't intend to. And the experts themselves... "Laziness is the engine of progress."
      And the further we go, the more free interpretations the AI ​​will generate.
      And the likelihood of fatally erroneous interpretations will increase.
      And when AI is tasked with making decisions based on this "data"...
      Therefore, these kinds of photos should be more frightening than admirable in quality.
  3. +5
    28 September 2026 09: 13
    try to understand the direction in which the PLA Navy is moving in its development.

    There's no need to guess, you just need to look at the direction the United States is moving in. China is simply following their general direction as best it can, without trying to reinvent the wheel...
  4. +7
    28 September 2026 11: 04
    According to initial reports, the design the traditional sail was missing.

    Is this all a machine translation of an English article?
    We call this element "Chopping"...
    1. Eug
      0
      28 September 2026 19: 37
      What is called "retractable element fencing" then?
  5. +3
    28 September 2026 11: 27
    Well, what to say?
    Well done, Chinese. Soon we'll be buying their weapons too.
    Not because we are dumber, but because they are cheaper.
    1. +4
      28 September 2026 14: 51
      More likely because it's FASTER! We build frigates in 8 years, while they build the Type 52 in 1,5 years.
  6. +3
    28 September 2026 13: 16
    Why does China need so many submarines?

    Alliance AUDIO (USA, Australia and Great Britain) was created with the aim of countering China through the joint production of submarines.
    China counters in response...
  7. +1
    28 September 2026 14: 49
    I've always wondered why the Yasen doesn't have a waterjet propulsion system. It's quieter and creates less water disturbance after the propeller. The Borei has a waterjet!
    1. +3
      28 September 2026 15: 52
      A propeller is more efficient at quiet speeds of 3-5 knots and has better acceleration characteristics. A properly machined multi-blade sickle-shaped propeller is not significantly inferior to a waterjet in terms of its performance characteristics. A waterjet also has a disadvantage when working with a towed sonar antenna.
  8. +4
    28 September 2026 15: 20
    The sail on the submarine is a big plus for the author!!
  9. +2
    28 September 2026 15: 45
    There is almost no wheelhouse, but there is a water jet engine for stealthy travel at high speed.
  10. +1
    28 September 2026 15: 55
    Yes, the sail is, of course, the wheelhouse enclosure. Of course, vertical launch shafts aren't installed in the aft section, in front of the stabilizer...
  11. +4
    28 September 2026 17: 19
    Why does China need so many submarines?
    That's the article's title. And if anyone's hoping to learn how many submarines China has, they're in vain.
    lol
    The current approach adopted by leading naval powers is to have a minimal number of submarine classes in their navies. One class is a general-purpose attack submarine (Los Angeles, Yasen, and Qin) and one is a strategic missile carrier (Borey, Ohio, and Triumphan).
    No.
    There are SSBNs that are more or less similar to each other,
    And there are very small submarines, like Ruby, and there are very large ones, like Virginia (with several "subspecies" that are significantly different).
    And there are a certain number of special projects, from AUV carriers to former SSBNs with Tomahawks.
    request
  12. -1
    28 September 2026 21: 15
    This isn't an article, it's pure nonsense. Author, do you really think China won't make sure its enemies don't see what they're designing?
    In the second photo there is no submarine at all, it’s just shadows from the cranes!!!
    In the 1st and 3rd photos it looks like a submarine, but it’s being towed by God knows who!
    Do you think that such junks will be allowed to test experimental submarines?
  13. The comment was deleted.
  14. +1
    28 September 2026 23: 00
    They're harder to destroy than ground-based ones if you don't have anti-aircraft missiles. So, depending on Russia is just a concern for them.