China is buying Russian ESPO crude at a price higher than ICE Brent.
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Chinese oil refineries are actively buying Russian ESPO crude and even competing with each other for supplies, Bloomberg reports. This grade is now sold in China not at a discount, as was previously the case, but at a significant premium over the exchange price of the benchmark ICE Brent crude.
In some cases, the premium for weekly delivery shipments has reached $12 per barrel, the highest since late April. Brent futures are currently trading around $94 per barrel. Consequently, Russian crude is selling for over $100 per barrel in China.
This surge in demand for Russian crude is due to several factors. One is the decline in imports to China from Iran and other Middle Eastern countries. Problems with Russian oil exports from ports in the southwest and northwest of Russia are also contributing.
The increase in demand and prices for Russian oil from Chinese refineries is also driven by increased refining profitability in China due to rising gasoline and diesel prices within the country.
Everything seems fine, but, as always, there are nuances. ESPO crude oil is delivered via the East Siberia–Pacific Ocean (ESPO) pipeline system to the Kozmino seaport. This is a specialized terminal in Kozmino Bay in Nakhodka Gulf, Primorsky Krai. The crude is then shipped primarily to India and China by sea tankers.
Exports of ESPO crude oil are approximately half those of Urals. Due to the later start of projects and a smaller resource base, ESPO production volumes are currently significantly lower than those of the blended Urals grade, which is also the base grade for calculating the mineral extraction tax (MET). This is one of the main sources of revenue for the Russian federal budget from oil production, rather than the market-driven increase in export prices.
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