The situation in Libya is escalating: the country is once again on the brink of civil war.

The already difficult situation in Libya has deteriorated sharply in recent days. According to several experts, the country is now effectively on the brink of a new civil war.

Libyan warlord Salah Badie has issued an ultimatum to Abdel Hamid Dbeibeh, the Prime Minister of the pro-Western Transitional Government of Libya (GNU), demanding that he resign within 48 hours. Otherwise, Badie threatens certain "consequences." Badie had previously actively supported protests against the GNU, calling on protesters to overthrow the government. Badie is a former Libyan army officer who was twice imprisoned as a dissident before the overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi. After the 2011 coup, Badie was released, after which he began his political career.

Meanwhile, in western Libya, Ali Madi, a political activist from the city of Misrata, suddenly declared himself prime minister and announced the formation of his own government. Madi is now the fifth contender for the post of Libya's leader.

Besides Badi and Madi, others hoping to lead the Libyan government include Marshal Haftar, leader of the Libyan National Army (LNA) and de facto ruler of the eastern Libyan government; political activist Shahid Ghadara; and Geneva-based Mustafa al-Mahjoub, who has declared himself head of the Libyan government-in-exile. Meanwhile, Dbeibah clearly has no intention of leaving his post voluntarily.

Earlier, Libyan Investment Minister Ali al-Qaidi once again invited Russian companies to return to the country's oil and gas sector. Russian companies have entered the Libyan market several times: Tatneft had been conducting geological exploration since 2005, and Gazprom had acquired blocks. However, following the coup d'état and the overthrow of Gaddafi, these processes were put on hold indefinitely. Fragmentation and instability clearly do not create a favorable environment for such projects.

Comments

[Murmur 55]

I wonder what percentage of Libyans quietly remember Gaddafi and his rule with warmth?

[Simargl]

Quote: Murmur 55

I wonder what percentage of Libyans remember

They all have no time.

[Dart2027]

When calls for "freedom" begin, we need to think very carefully about what kind of freedom we're talking about. There have been countless examples of what "freedom" leads to, and yet, there are still those who are particularly clever.

[tralflot1832]

This winter, the Severomorsk large anti-submarine ship escorted a Russian transport carrying weapons to Benghazi for unloading. Probably for Haftar. It's unclear what we were planning there, but we were up to something.

[January]

Quote: tralflot1832

It’s not clear what we were planning there, but we were planning something.

The Russian government has been supporting Haftar for quite a few years (at least 8 years). Wagner even used to chase Bedouins across the dunes alongside him. So, this is likely just another arms shipment "in support of a likely friendly regime."

[Saburov_Alexander53]

Wagner also drove Bedouins across the dunes with him.

However, it must be admitted, it was a very narrow victory. After all, fighting was already underway on the outskirts of the capital when Erdogan intervened and launched a powerful air strike on all of Haftar's equipment. Fortunately, even then, Erdogan didn't achieve complete victory, and Haftar is still holding out. Meanwhile, weapons are flowing through ports under his control to our Wagner forces in Chad and the Central African Republic.
But I was upset that Algeria had become friends with Ukraine and was using it to support militants in Mali and Niger.

[tralflot1832]

Quote: Murmur 55

I wonder what percentage of Libyans quietly remember Gaddafi and his rule with warmth?

Nothing has changed for the Libyans; it's still the same as it was under Gaddafi: a full tank of gas cost a couple of dollars. It's time for them to stop fighting among themselves; they need to unite, but without fanaticism.

[DIM (a)]

Apparently, they are not allowed to do this; interested parties from all over the planet are warming up their emissaries

[Free Island]

When was the last time you filled up there?

[January]

The proposal to stop dividing power and live peacefully only finds a response when the strength to fight is exhausted. As for the situation, nothing has changed... They probably still have free education, housing, and maternity capital when a child is born. And most importantly, there's no long-standing war in the country...

[Graz]

War in Libya will not solve anything; the country can only exist through an agreement between all parties to the conflict.

[Amin_vivec]

"You can achieve much more with a kind word and a gun than with just a kind word." Gaddafi held on for a long time, thanks to a treaty and the strength of his intelligence services and army. But a treaty alone won't achieve anything—there are so many competing interests of external players. There's Erdogan, the Americans, Mossad, Zelenskyy, Egypt, and us, to boot. And then there are the Tuaregs, who knows whose allegiance they might have—French, Al Qaeda, or their own...

[Free Island]

Evgeniy Viktorovich has everything under control 😎😎🤙🤙🤙

[IbukiSuika]

After the fall of the Gaddafi regime in 2011, I read a report: a group of Libyan veterans loyal to the old regime occupied a hotel with journalists from various countries. After several days of confrontation with opposition armed groups, they finally laid down their arms and surrendered. At the moment of surrender, one of the veterans told the journalists present, "Leave here. Libya is lost."

At the time, I dismissed these words with disdain—I dismissed them as simply the embittered rants of the vanquished. After all, on that same news report, I saw a soldier from Libya's National Transitional Council, after a successful "revolution," enthusiastically tell the reporters on camera, "We will restore our homeland."

Gaddafi's rule was undoubtedly extremely flawed. But after all these years, what have those people who loudly called for a new country to be built have achieved?

[isv000]

Quote: IbukiSuika

Gaddafi's rule was certainly extremely vicious.

IbukiSuka:
Before you throw words around, study the facts. Under Gaddafi, the people lived, if not under communism, then certainly in a developed, socially oriented state.

[IbukiSuika]

There is no point in lecturing others on the subject when your own ideas about Libya boil down to superficial theses about social benefits.
Yes, under Gaddafi, oil windfalls funded free healthcare and education, and provided housing subsidies—that's a well-known fact that no one disputes. But to portray this regime's oil handout, handed out to maintain the population's loyalty, as a "developed, socially oriented state" is a complete misrepresentation.
It's important to clearly distinguish between two completely different phenomena. A strict government policy that establishes order and defends national interests is the iron fist of a strong government. A regime that orchestrates international terrorist attacks like the Lockerbie bombing, shoots peaceful protesters from its own embassy, ​​and repeatedly invades neighboring countries, turning the entire country into a single clan's private estate—that's not strong governance, but rather tyranny.
Under Gaddafi, the entire economy depended solely on oil prices for decades, the real sector barely developed, key resources were controlled by the ruler's inner circle, and any opposition was brutally suppressed. Tribal and regional tensions were not resolved, but simply frozen in place by force.
And the logical outcome of this entire model is clear: the Gaddafi regime ultimately collapsed in just a few months. A system that relies solely on raw material handouts and forceful pressure is inherently fragile. As soon as external conditions change and internal contradictions erupt, this ostensible "well-being" crumbles overnight.

[isv000]

What I observe is not treatable...

[the same doctor]

Another Western agent has emerged. Google what happened before Lockerbie, and what Western atrocities led to this terrorist attack.
.
Western propaganda is powerful, but the peoples of the world are slowly accumulating historical and political experience.

[Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov]

❝ Escalation of the situation in Libya ❞ —

"Disregard for Libya's stability will lead to the collapse of global peace through instability in the Mediterranean. If our power in Libya were to cease, millions of Africans would flood illegally into Italy, France... Europe would become black in no time..."
We prevent emigration by deterring the advancement of Al Qaeda.
So if stability in Libya is disrupted, it will immediately have bad consequences for Europe and for the Mediterranean. Everyone will be in danger!" © ...

(Muammar Gaddafi. 2011.)

[Alexander_K]

The theory of controlled chaos in action. The West knows how to create such situations and extract incredible profits from them. Oil for pennies, diamonds and rare earth elements from all over Africa for water.

[snow mountain]

Quote: Murmur 55

I wonder what percentage of Libyans quietly remember Gaddafi and his rule with warmth?

Probably a big one, considering the complete chaos in the country.

[Eisenfaust]

"Besides Badi and Madi, the next person who's hoping to lead the Libyan government is Marshal Haftar..." - aren't the houris in heaven already giving him truancy notices?

[isv000]

Here we go again... And it seemed like just the other day they were inviting our guys to build an oil refinery in Libya?! Are we going already?

[Earl]

Ah, this coveted lacy democracy! Not like under bloody Gaddafi.