Military Review

NATO invasion of Syria: possible scenarios

85
The failure of the Anglo-Saxons anti-Syrian resolution in the UN for some time delayed the NATO invasion.


Possible scenarios:

1. Involving Syria in a regional conflict, primarily with Israel.
Reasons:
- Air strike on the Syrian military bases of 3 in May 2013, in order to deprive Syria of the ability to effectively counter the NATO aggression.
- Israel’s statement about its readiness to continue air strikes on Syria and the escalation of the conflict until a full-scale local war in the event of resistance to Syria.
After the start of the war, NATO can intervene on the side of Israel without any UN resolutions.

2. Maximum military (weapon, equipment, mercenaries) and financial support for terrorist gangs destroying Syria and exterminating civilians.
Reasons: the relevant joint statement by the British Prime Minister and the President of the United States.
Calculation - the depletion of the resources of the Syrian state.

3. Drawing Syria into the war with Turkey. Further - under the scenario of item 1.
Reasons: the terrorist act in the border Turkish city of Reyhanlı, in which the Anglo-Saxon agents of influence in Turkey immediately accused official Damascus.

Opposition

The geographical position of Syria (its remoteness from the territory of the leading Eurasian players - Russia, Iran, Pakistan, India, China) and the hot climate make it an exceptionally convenient springboard for a full-scale military confrontation with NATO. At the same time, the war in Syria is a destabilization of the Mediterranean basin, which will inevitably strike the West itself.

Maximum military, financial and political assistance to Syria. The NATO invasion of this country gives a unique chance to inflict a serious military and political defeat on the bloc and delay its advance to the East.

Ensuring an effective missile defense system for Syria - intercepting enemy missile-bombing strikes and violating the network-centric basis of the invasion operation through the EW system. The most important areas are the violation of the network-centric interaction between the air-land, air-sea and land-sea components of the invasion grouping. The enemy will try to destroy the Syria missile defense system with both air attacks and sabotage groups.

Serious military losses to the aggressor should be inflicted in the first hours after the attack. The main goals are the enemy air force and navy. Losses in aviation and ships will seriously complicate both the landing of the land contingent, and its combat and logistical support in the future.

Should take into account the intensification of terrorist groups on the eve and during the invasion and concerted action with the NATO contingent. Terrorist groups will act together with NATO special forces. Therefore, the Syrian army, along with the classic types of military operations - defense and offensive - will have to continue to make extensive use of the tactics of anti-terrorist operations.

It should be based on the probability of a simultaneous invasion of the aggressor both from the sea and from land (and immediately from the territory of Israel and Turkey). The enemy, taking advantage of its technological superiority, will try to crush the main core of the Syrian Armed Forces in open spaces. The main emphasis will be placed on the air component of the offensive, so that the Syrian army comes into contact with the NATO ground forces as weak as possible.

At the same time, the course of the air operation to destroy Syrian military and civilian infrastructure will play a key role in the adoption of further decisions by the NATO leadership.

The stake on technological superiority and, above all, on high-precision weapons is the most important component of the NATO military strategy. Effective missile defense and EW will reduce this advantage to nothing. At the same time, the flat terrain provides ample opportunities for the use of OTR and MLRS for effective fire on the invasion grouping, first of all, its armored forces.

The enemy will avoid protracted urban battles, fraught with serious losses in manpower and equipment. For its part, the Syrian army should make the most of the tactics of urban battles to grind enemy forces.

The basis of the defensive strategy of Syria should be a protracted war to exhaust the human and material resources of NATO. At the same time, the scale and bitterness of hostilities should be much higher than in Iraq or Afghanistan.

In the United States, discontent with its obstinate ally has long been ripening - Turkey, which has its own geopolitical interests and independent opinion. Getting Turkey into a war with Syria gives the United States a real chance to use the Turkish military and economic potential in the interests of the Anglo-Saxon peace and to the detriment of Turkey itself. After the depletion of the potential of the United States stimulate the separatist movement in Turkish Kurdistan to start disintegration processes in Turkey, its liquidation as a sovereign state and fragmentation into several pseudo-state entities. To speed up these processes, the United States will try to draw Turkey into a war with Iran.

The invasion of Israel and NATO into Syria finally excludes Iran’s neutrality in this conflict and confronts it with the need to launch a preemptive strike on Israel. After the inevitable defeat of NATO forces, Israel will lose its relevance for the United States and will remain alone with the Arab world and Iran, which means the end of its existence as a state. Given the anti-Iranian orientation of aggression against Syria, the likelihood of Iran being included in the fight against NATO invasion forces is high in the first hours after the attack.

The current serious financial instability of the West should be taken into account, which makes it extremely vulnerable to a protracted war.

Judging by open sources, NATO does not even have a rough idea of ​​the scope and consequences of the upcoming war. Moreover, in this trap they drove themselves. The most important consequence of the war in Syria will be the loss of all the geopolitical positions taken by the NATO bloc as a result of the aggression against Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq.

Syria, with the support of Russia, China, India, Pakistan, Iran, has every chance of defeating the aggressive Western military bloc. By its historical significance and consequences, the victory of Syria in the oncoming war with the West will be a factor in determining the course of this century.
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  1. svp67
    svp67 20 May 2013 07: 58 New
    23
    Everything is very, very sad. Syria is too far from our borders and its environment is very hostile, but we must not give up, we must try our best to help it, remembering that there is an advanced struggle for Russia
    1. afire
      afire 20 May 2013 13: 10 New
      16
      it is beautifully written of course, but for some reason there is a clear underestimation of the rivals, if, God forbid, they rush to Syria, then this will be a large crowd of equipment for various purposes, and it will be very difficult to fight off in one gulp. They certainly won’t go in small swoops, the Jews only show initiative in fomenting - with these it’s clear - they don’t have much time left. Theoretically, to repel an attack right now, it is necessary already! have the whole range of countermeasures, but is he? yachts and c300 will hold back the onslaught, but you cannot last long on some of them, you need to have ground means of destruction. In general, everything will come down to human confrontation and blows from under the silence by NATO members. Syria can be quickly helped only by salvos on sponsors. There is no source of problems - no problems. hello to the Qatari people with the Saudis. Syria wish you hold on!
      1. Black Colonel
        Black Colonel 20 May 2013 13: 35 New
        +9
        As the old man Erwin Eugen Johannes Rommel once said on the eve of the Allied invasion about the defense of the English Channel, everything will be decided in the first hours of the operation. In Syria, everything will be one to one. The most important role will be played by reconnaissance and an adequate response to threats, and when conducting an intervention in the very first hours, inflict as much damage as possible on manpower and equipment with the massive use of electronic warfare.
    2. vjhbc
      vjhbc 20 May 2013 18: 23 New
      13
      I’ve already heard all this at least 3 times, it’s Serbia and 2 times Iraq, and our people always said that they would all gnaw their teeth at the end of the Serbs and they would say that about Iraq they’ll wash themselves with blood because Saddam has one of the best and largest armies and where all sold for the green Tugriks and nothing is clear with Syria and Assad can bang like Gaddafi or surrender to the international court as Miloshivich
      Quote: svp67
      Everything is very, very sad. Syria is too far from our borders and its environment is very hostile, but we must not give up, we must try our best to help it, remembering that there is an advanced struggle for Russia
  2. Flying Dutchman
    Flying Dutchman 20 May 2013 08: 22 New
    22
    These maniacs just won’t calm down; they can be stopped by a serious mess like a second Vietnam.
    1. Hon
      Hon 20 May 2013 12: 01 New
      11
      But where to get the Vietnamese?
      1. Vodrak
        Vodrak 20 May 2013 19: 29 New
        +2
        Take out from Russia. There are many of them.
        1. gladiatorakz
          gladiatorakz 23 May 2013 11: 31 New
          0
          Quote: Vodrak
          Take out from Russia. There are many of them.

          Take out would be good. Only now they will not fight like that. After Russia they are spoiled. It is necessary to type directly from the rice fields. There are people stubbornly.
  3. vladsolo56
    vladsolo56 20 May 2013 08: 37 New
    33
    The West has invested a lot of money in the war in Syria, I will never believe that it’s so simple that they will abandon their goal to conquer Syria. For our stupid politicians, only brains soar about peace talks. Convene various conferences. In fact, direct intervention plans are being worked out. It is easy to recall South Ossetia. Then, too, all in unison claimed that there would be no war, that everyone was preparing for negotiations. What really happened? no need to remind. Well, I do not believe Western politicians when they call for peace initiatives and negotiations.
    1. CTEPX
      CTEPX 20 May 2013 10: 37 New
      19
      Quote: vladsolo56
      In fact, direct intervention plans are being worked out.

      Without direct intervention, they will lose everything.
      But ... "Just victory" in Syria they need, like a dog's fifth leg)).
      They need the victory of the "rebels", and not all of them, but the most obscurantists. Iran in this scenario is an unsuitable target, although it will get it too)). The real goal is to use weapons seized in Syria and bandit hordes of "rebels" to destabilize the states of Central Asia and North China as much as possible while infiltrating Russian territory to create "difficulties" in the supply of hydrocarbons to Europe and China.
      Against this background of "controlled chaos" for the Anglo-Saxons, the reincarnation of the Bretton Woods agreements is possible)).

      The time for implementing such a plan for pseudo-people is catastrophically short. The debt is growing catastrophically and in front of everyone).
      Putin cuts off a piece of opportunity from them with his every move.
      So think)).
      Who! Will head the "Great Caliphate"? Come from Turkey? Israel? Qatar? Afghanistan?
      They, as Hitler at one time, were offered OPPORTUNITIES for rebuilding the world. Will they decide?
      Or we will let their hopes for humus)).
      1. old man54
        old man54 20 May 2013 23: 56 New
        +3
        Quote: ctepx
        Or we will let their hopes for humus)).

        excellent comment, read, already Soul sang!
    2. vadson
      vadson 20 May 2013 11: 27 New
      11
      Quote: vladsolo56
      For our stupid politicians, only brains soar about peace talks

      Well, let's say that Putin, in terms of international relations, will give odds to any politician. and the fact that in Assad still Assad is largely his merit. so hell knows who and to whom else Mock endures. and negotiations are just an excuse that both Putin and the West use to save face, such as we are for a peaceful settlement. correctly in the article it is written about air defense and reb, it is necessary to beat Israel and NATO in the teeth. will be able to level the advantage in aviation, Syria will stand, no, I doubt it very much.
    3. piotr534
      piotr534 20 May 2013 15: 29 New
      +3
      For our stupid politicians, only brains soar about peace talks. Convene various conferences. In fact, direct intervention plans are being worked out.
      Our "stupid" politicians are well aware of the pathological deceit of the Western "partners" and, along with talk about negotiations, they also do not sit idly by.
    4. DAOSS
      DAOSS 20 May 2013 20: 13 New
      -1
      Absolutely right. And as Wanga once said, "Chaos will come when Syria falls." From these words, one can conclude that Putin on June 7 at the talks on Syria will merge Assad, either deliberately, or will again believe the Anglo-Saxon Zionists. In any case, the NATO members will enter Syria. ((
    5. Lgpack
      Lgpack 21 May 2013 11: 01 New
      0
      Probably just a regrouping of the enemy’s forces. Pulling time.
  4. King
    King 20 May 2013 08: 37 New
    10
    While Russia and China will firmly support Syria, there can be no talk of any attack, this will be a huge occasion for a strong rapprochement between Russia and China, which they do not really want and are afraid of in the West. let's not forget that in the event of aggression by the NATO defense, Russia can sell modern weapons to Iran. which they don’t really want in Israel, which in turn has a huge lobby in the US Senate. In my opinion, we will continue to observe the game of politicians. whoever first surrenders he loses.
    1. Black Colonel
      Black Colonel 20 May 2013 17: 58 New
      +3
      I'm curious, but how does China, besides its position at the UN, support Syria?
  5. domokl
    domokl 20 May 2013 08: 41 New
    +8
    Sensible! A definite plus to the author. But there are small additions.
    In this situation, Syria should dramatically increase the work of special units to destroy enemy guidance systems on its territory. An open confrontation will lead to the destruction of most of the army. This means pulling the NATO troops into the desert and killing them there. Such is the Syrian version of the Russian general frost.
    Further, it is necessary to strengthen the operation of jammers and systems to counter the enemy’s electronics. Russia or China can do this very well.
    And the last one at first glance, the interaction with Iran, as the main ally, should be increased several times. Even to the detriment to some interests of Syria.
    1. Hon
      Hon 20 May 2013 12: 35 New
      +3
      Quote: domokl
      to pull NATO into the desert and finish there already.

      Something like that during the "doomsday war" was not, Israel gouged them in 18 days.
      1. Sirocco
        Sirocco 20 May 2013 18: 17 New
        +2
        After the inevitable defeat of the NATO forces, Israel will lose its relevance to the United States and remain face to face with the Arab world and Iran,
        Then we’ll see who gouges whom. I have long believed that Israel is a bargaining chip in this region. His life as a state is a matter of time. My opinion.
    2. il grand casino
      il grand casino 20 May 2013 13: 06 New
      +9
      Quote: domokl
      So, to pull NATO into the desert and finish there already

      The desert is not an analogue of "General Frost". There will be no chance against NATO in the desert. In terms of range and accuracy, the Syrian weapon systems are much inferior to the NATO ones, not to mention intelligence, aviation, etc.
  6. Canep
    Canep 20 May 2013 08: 45 New
    +3
    Judging by open sources, NATO does not even have a rough idea of ​​the scope and consequences of the upcoming war. Moreover, in this trap they drove themselves. The most important consequence of the war in Syria will be the loss of all the geopolitical positions taken by the NATO bloc as a result of the aggression against Yugoslavia, Afghanistan and Iraq.
    God forbid if everything is so.
    1. vadson
      vadson 20 May 2013 11: 29 New
      -5
      do you want war to you -
    2. stroporez
      stroporez 20 May 2013 15: 29 New
      +9
      I really hope that all this mess will decently reduce the number of "common people" ...
      1. vadson
        vadson 20 May 2013 22: 44 New
        0
        such a mess can reduce the number of homo sapiens to 0, war is always bad
  7. Boot under the carpet
    Boot under the carpet 20 May 2013 08: 45 New
    +4
    The current serious financial instability of the West should be taken into account, which makes it extremely vulnerable to a protracted war.
    Nevertheless, they have enough financial resources to "cheat" the cannibals!
    1. Andrey57
      Andrey57 20 May 2013 11: 06 New
      +8
      Sponsoring the cannibals is one thing, but fighting yourself is another. They in Libya very quickly discovered that their arsenals were emptying much faster than any successes were achieved. But there was no help to Libya. In Syria, there will be a completely different scenario - there no one will let them fly as they please (in each division of C-300 there are ten of our specialists), in addition, no one will dare to forbid Russia to supply weapons and ammunition there, but this is troublesome. So an easy victory for NATO in Syria does not shine for sure.
      1. politruk419
        politruk419 21 May 2013 06: 55 New
        +1
        Recently I wrote about this, but I see no sin to repeat again. The survivability of the S-300, Armor and Yakhontov in the event of the onset of full-scale aggression by not even NATO but only Israel and Turkey will directly depend on two factors:
        1) Mobility. With a massive air raid and OTR, the question of their destruction or zeroing combat effectiveness is only a matter of time. Turkey and Israel have many times more forces than they can potentially destroy our air defense calculations. The faster and more stealthily the missile crew’s calculations will change the deployment within their areas or defense sectors, the longer they will remain operational. But high mobility also has a downside - supply is difficult at times. Well, the division will shoot all the missiles, what's next? Secrecy in a civil war and a huge number of separatists with cell phones and walkie-talkies is incredibly difficult to provide.
        2)Physical protection from the actions of bandit units and special forces of Israel and Turkey. I won’t say anything for the Turks, but Israel has complete order with intelligence training and sabotage forces. And the first thing they do (even at the stage of direct preparation) will begin the search and destruction of air defense systems of the military unit and radar stations, search and attack on the deployment routes of air defense of Syria. Measures are needed to protect the missile. It is desirable by forces of highly professional spetsnaz. Does Assad have it? And what is its combat readiness? Do they have enough people, equipment, machinery, equipment?
    2. stroporez
      stroporez 20 May 2013 11: 40 New
      0
      because they themselves belong to the same species ......... regardless of skin color, religion, culture ---- ghouls are angloid. belong to parasites ......
  8. JonnyT
    JonnyT 20 May 2013 09: 11 New
    +8
    NATO has not so stupid leaders to go into the open. The fact remains that they need chaos in the Middle East, and for this they will merge both Israel and Turkey. Turkey has a weak spot in Kurdistan, but Israel is doomed without support.
    The main goal of NATO is to embroil Russia and China through Syria. Most likely they will offer China cheap energy resources after the fall of Assad, and in the long run and after the fall of Ahmunidzhad, even cheaper than now, well, there are a lot of all nishtyaks to boot, plus the bribing of state funds. employees and officials. The cessation of support from China will greatly complicate the situation. But before, China was not seen in myopia ..... Now it’s more profitable for NATO to get into the former Soviet republics such as Kigrzii, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and wait until Iran and Syria fall well and then mother will trample Russia for Russia ....
    For this, you can sacrifice Israel (especially since all the cones and those who are especially well-disposed for a long time to get off to the states or near Odessa, ordinary laborers and soldiers will be left to be torn apart, then you can come up with another Holocaust, the technique is worked out!) And Turkey is just that for them just stupid meat, NATO will not be sorry at all
    1. vadson
      vadson 20 May 2013 11: 33 New
      +4
      China is not so stupid that to dig a grave for itself tomorrow, he will not buy this crap, he is no longer interested in being just a stupid slave by force, he wants to keep the United States by its balls (public debt)
  9. Atrix
    Atrix 20 May 2013 09: 33 New
    -18
    The article is not about anything. Just "Hurray" shouts without a real picture.
    Ensuring an effective Syrian missile defense - intercepting enemy missile and bomb strikes

    ABM who will supply Russia? So Russia itself has practically none, maybe all the same air defense?
    Serious military casualties to the aggressor should be inflicted already in the first hours after the attack. The main objectives are the enemy's air force and navy. Losses in aviation and ships will seriously complicate both the landing of the land contingent and its combat and logistics support in the future.

    What forces are you planning to strike at the ships of NATO countries? Syrian will be sunk in the port before the ships of the NATO countries enter the war zone. And Syria does not have RCC long-range missiles.
    Syria, with the support of Russia, China, India, Pakistan, Iran, has every chance of defeating the aggressive Western military bloc.

    How did you drag India and Pakistan here? These countries do not care about Syria, and Pakistan looks so much like a US puppet state that it is unlikely to go against the US. India is quietly developing as well as China, not where without interfering, so feel free to cross them off the list. In your opinion, should Russia participate directly in the military conflict? If so, then this is the question. You asked the citizens whether they want to send their children, husbands, fathers to die in a foreign country for the little "king" Assad? Or maybe you have a desire to die for a foreign country? Maybe it's enough to get into other people's conflicts for the so-called "brothers" history does not teach you anything, 1 forgot the world?
    1. neri73-r
      neri73-r 20 May 2013 10: 40 New
      15
      You asked the citizens whether they want to send their children, husbands, fathers to die in a foreign country for the little "king" Assad? Or maybe you have a desire to die for a foreign country? Maybe it's enough to get into other people's conflicts for the so-called "brothers" history does not teach you anything, 1 forgot the world?


      Everything is fine, but only the war is already underway and, thank God, is not yet on our territory, and it was unleashed without our consent !!! And we need to think carefully "to hand over the king or not"! Otherwise, we have already pushed and did not interfere, so much so that NATO is at our borders!
      1. Bashkaus
        Bashkaus 20 May 2013 20: 37 New
        +2
        You asked the citizens whether they want to send their children, husbands, fathers to die in a foreign country for the little "king" Assad? Or maybe you have a desire to die for a foreign country? Maybe it's enough to get into other people's conflicts for the so-called "brothers" history does not teach you anything, 1 forgot the world?
        I have already said many times, it is better to die in the sands of Syria myself, than after 10 years to do the same in my suburbs!
        And to the account Maybe already enough to climb into other people's conflicts for the so-called "brothers" I completely agree with you. NATO GO HOME! From Afghanistan, Libya, Syria ... will I continue to list countries or will I stop?
    2. vadson
      vadson 20 May 2013 11: 44 New
      +3
      Syria pcr has a yacht range of up to 300 kilometers, you just can’t get to the shore. Tomahawks will have to be naughty from afar, (more than 300 km), the bastion of your love will be covered at least with shells. from here we have a tomahawk which subsonic will fly half an hour to the coast. during this time, you can dump the entire complex into another place for 15–20 kilometers, and subsonic crap is not a very big problem. f4 was filled up with guns
      1. alean245
        alean245 20 May 2013 16: 07 New
        0
        And you would compare the effective range of the shell and HARM and ALARM missiles.
      2. Windbreak
        Windbreak 20 May 2013 16: 13 New
        0
        Quote: vadson
        Tomahawks will have to be naughty from afar, (more than 300 km)
        Is this a big problem? Tomahawk 1600 km range
        1. vadson
          vadson 20 May 2013 22: 47 New
          0
          will he fly these 1600 km for 2 hours, or is it not a problem?
          1. Atrix
            Atrix 20 May 2013 23: 53 New
            0
            Quote: vadson
            will he fly these 1600 km for 2 hours, or is it not a problem?

            What's the problem ? Syria has something to track these launches, so it will still fly at least 10 minutes at least 2 hours. On the tomahawk, you can then start changing the target.
            1. Don
              Don 21 May 2013 17: 34 New
              0
              Quote: Atrix
              Syria has something to track these launches,

              They do not have to be tracked. The question is what objects they will strike at. If they are covered by Buk-M2E and Pantsir-C1 air defense systems, then the radars of these air defense systems will be detected by Tomahawks in their radius and shot down. But Syria has not so many of them.
      3. Don
        Don 21 May 2013 17: 00 New
        0
        Quote: vadson
        Syria PKK has a yacht range of up to 300 kilometers

        And AUG does not need to come so close.
        Quote: vadson
        Tomahawks will have to be naughty from afar, (more than 300 km)

        So what? This does not change the essence. Tomahawk has a radius of up to 2000 km.
    3. Black Colonel
      Black Colonel 20 May 2013 13: 41 New
      +2
      Pakistan, it seems, will be Syria-2 or Syria-3, because shows amer’s teeth quite seriously (as far as he can)
    4. xan
      xan 20 May 2013 16: 14 New
      +6
      Quote: Atrix
      In your opinion, should Russia participate directly in the military conflict? If so, then this is the question. You asked the citizens whether they want to send their children, husbands, fathers to die in a foreign country for the little "king" Assad? Or maybe you have a desire to die for a foreign country? Maybe it's enough to get into other people's conflicts for the so-called "brothers" history does not teach you anything, 1 forgot the world?

      Stop smearing the snot on the monitor. They have already explained a hundred times why they need to stand for Assad. You are clearly one of those peoples who have huddled in the gap in world history.
    5. Bashkaus
      Bashkaus 20 May 2013 20: 35 New
      0
      The article is not about anything. Just "Hurray" shouts without a real picture.
      Well, yes, the capture of Al Quseir by Assad forces in a day is not a picture?
    6. tomket
      tomket 20 May 2013 21: 41 New
      +6
      In my opinion, Ustinov said: "It is better to fight near Kandahar than near Ashgabat," you know, to mine the prophetic words turned out to be. Although the author Kosygin or Gromov may be wrong.
    7. Don
      Don 21 May 2013 16: 53 New
      0
      Quote: Atrix
      ABM who will supply Russia? So Russia itself has practically no

      And the S-300 is not able to shoot down missiles? The S-300 is intended for the defense of large industrial and administrative facilities, military bases and command and control posts against attacks by enemy airborne attacks. Able to hit ballistic and aerodynamic targets.
      Quote: Atrix
      and Pakistan looks so much like a puppet state of the USA that it is unlikely to go against the USA

      It is clear that it will not go against the United States, but now (contrary to Musharaf’s rule), Pakistan, in spite of sanctions against Iran, is concluding a gas supply agreement with them. More and more cooperating with China.
      Quote: Atrix
      as well as China, where not intervening, so feel free to delete them from the list.

      China is actually an active geopolitical player. And Syria is one of the prime examples.
      The rest I agree with you.
  10. sys-1985
    sys-1985 20 May 2013 09: 42 New
    +1
    It’s not rosy somehow .. human losses will alas not be compensated .. Sorry.
  11. Phoenix-D
    Phoenix-D 20 May 2013 09: 44 New
    +4
    Any NATO aggression will begin with the destruction of air defense.
    1. Scoun
      Scoun 20 May 2013 10: 18 New
      +2
      Quote: Phoenix-D
      Any NATO aggression will begin with the destruction of air defense.

      Any aggression with what and against what would not begin would have ways of counteraction .. it is always a double-edged sword and there is nothing to be done about it.
      In terms of its historical significance and consequences, the victory of Syria in the impending war with the West will become a factor determining the course of this century.

      I agree. +
    2. screw cutter
      screw cutter 20 May 2013 10: 58 New
      +4
      They do not know how differently, they have such a military school, remember Kassel, Hamburg and Dresden.
      1. Scoun
        Scoun 20 May 2013 14: 56 New
        +1
        So this is their favorite method with shotguns against bows, on a tank against a karamultuk and planes against, and generally it’s advisable to drop napalm and rockets ... that’s how they always work. Take the same crusaders, conquistadors .. and the USA itself,
  12. kartalovkolya
    kartalovkolya 20 May 2013 10: 37 New
    +2
    It's sad to read your scripts, dear gospoda. The main thing, in my opinion, is to do something for the protection of the population, despite the "crocodile tears" shed by Western "peacekeepers" and "democratizers", this is where the S-300 would come in handy!
  13. kartalovkolya
    kartalovkolya 20 May 2013 10: 39 New
    0
    It's time to bill the perpetrators of these outrages, these vile puppeteers from across the ocean!
    1. illarion
      illarion 20 May 2013 12: 23 New
      +3
      Create a court of the SCO, or any other organization, alternative to the Hague Tribunal, and add the names of the arsonists to the war.
      Issue a set of dominoes or cards with the faces of future defendants so that they know that they are on the list.
      Conduct Russian Air Force exercises with a landing in Syria or a span. To master the theater of future military operations. Returning back by Qatar may be with an intermediate landing in Iran.
      1. kostyan77708
        kostyan77708 20 May 2013 13: 26 New
        +3
        It is better to print their faces on toilet paper))))
      2. Black Colonel
        Black Colonel 20 May 2013 13: 45 New
        +3
        At one time, only a few flights at the maximum speed of the then-unknown MiG-25 over Israel cooled the ardor of the David sons.
  14. aszzz888
    aszzz888 20 May 2013 10: 44 New
    +2
    The presence of our C-300 noticeably reduced the ardor of the mericatos and the British and others like them.
    The positive military action of the Syrians also cannot be discounted.
    But all this NATO-kennel kennel in Syria has gone too far, so they will strangle Assad by all means, right up to the war.
  15. Dimka off
    Dimka off 20 May 2013 11: 03 New
    +1
    they certainly hope to win. To the triumph of shit democracy. But I think that one of the goals, and perhaps the main one, is simply to start a bigger and more terrible slaughter. War is essential for the survival of America. They wage wars with the wrong hands all the time adding fuel to the fire.
    and as for the tactics of warfare in Syria - the author correctly noted - you need to 100% work out the tactics of urban battles, then they will suffer serious losses.
  16. Restor
    Restor 20 May 2013 11: 03 New
    15
    It is unlikely that NATO will invade Syria. Many of its members do not approve of the invasion and do not want exacerbations in relations with Russia.
    On the part of the United States, preparations for military intervention are also not observed.
    Turkey today is unlikely to decide on open hostilities for many reasons - a strong internal opposition to Erdogan, including and military; economic crisis; the presence in the country of a large number of separatists and terrorists. In general, the beginning of the war with Syria, even if victorious, could be the beginning of its own end for Turkey.
    Israel poses the most serious external threat to Syria today. But even that "problems will not turn out" in the event of an open confrontation (Hezbollah in this chaos will gain access to modern weapons, which will be immediately used against Israel).
    Everyone in the West has already realized that Russia, and China, will not give up Assad’s support and start a new military operation for the United States in such conditions is extremely unprofitable.


    Most likely, the current course of the West towards Syria will continue in the near future - the supply of weapons and cannon fodder to the militants, political and economic pressure on Syria, plus attempts to "shake" and bribe Assad's closest entourage, as the Americans did in Iraq.
    The actions of the United States and Israel to destabilize elections in Iran are also directly related to Syria.
    One of the main dangers for Syria today is the destruction of the state’s economy and infrastructure, plus food shortages. Here, Russia is simply obliged to help Syria, in spite of maybe not very favorable financial conditions. After all, the victory of Syria in the fight against international terrorism-imperialism will mean the actual end of a unipolar world and the dominance of the West in the global world.
    1. Fregate
      Fregate 20 May 2013 18: 52 New
      +3
      Restor, I agree with you. Turkey in case of invasion will lose more than gain. One of the main points of their budget is tourism. Someone will arrange a 3-4 terrorist attack and no one will go to them, plus relations with Russia are likely to be complicated. Israel will also get it.
      Quote: Restor
      Everyone in the West has already realized that Russia, and China, will not give up Assad’s support and start a new military operation for the United States in such conditions is extremely unprofitable.

      As for the United States, then, in my opinion, the moment of truth comes, or they continue what they started (their policy), or they "pout". In general, the entire West lived all his life at someone else's expense, at the expense of the colonies, etc. etc., sooner or later this must come to an end.
    2. Dimy4
      Dimy4 20 May 2013 21: 21 New
      +1
      The main task of NATO and the United States is not even an invasion, but an attempt to blab us, China and all who object to their policies. In the past, they did it and it gives them a reason to think what happens this time.
  17. Tourist Breakfast
    Tourist Breakfast 20 May 2013 11: 06 New
    -6
    If NATO really planned aggression against Syria, then we would have long witnessed the Libyan scenario. So far, the West rests with all four so as not to get into this swamp.
    1. Anton Karpenko
      Anton Karpenko 20 May 2013 21: 59 New
      +3
      NATO plans aggression against Syria, but wants to maintain the semblance of legality. The Libyan scenario became possible after the resolution adopted in Libya, in the case of Syria, this does not work. Or do you think the West is stubbornly financing bandits in vain?
      1. Tourist Breakfast
        Tourist Breakfast 21 May 2013 14: 32 New
        -1
        If they really wanted to, they could bypass the UN as a last resort. And even Turkey, which is not too hard to find a reason for aggression, is not trying to climb into Syria. The rebels are again financed mainly by Arab countries, not NATO countries. Well, they will dump Assad - and then what to do with all this mess?
  18. Ejik_026
    Ejik_026 20 May 2013 11: 11 New
    +5
    IMHO
    Bring your fleet to Syria.
    Place in the same air defense port S300
    Issue a presidential decree that any firing in the direction of Russian soldiers / equipment / ships is a declaration of war. As a result, the opening of fire on the attackers indiscriminately, who what and why.
    And hi will try to extinguish air defense without firing in the direction of our ships.

    And the president’s mandatory support for the commanders of units and crews that opened fire.
    They will shoot down a couple of planes, launch a couple of missiles from Iskander at the airfields from which they struck.
    And everyone will calm down right away.
    1. matross
      matross 20 May 2013 21: 25 New
      +1
      How simple it turns out! The entire Syrian crisis can be resolved by a presidential decree. And the Iskanders, where will they come from? This is still a ground-based OTRK, and not at all a shipborne one. All in one heap! Dilettantism. You are a minus.
      1. Ejik_026
        Ejik_026 21 May 2013 09: 36 New
        -2
        Yes, I lazhanul with Iskanders, I thought of reaching out from the territory of the Russian Federation, I did not look at the range of defeating the target.

        As an option, cruise missiles from ships.
        Does not find options, only those who are not looking.

        P.S. Yes, I’m a little categorical, but watching Syria help a little, the same is not a fanatic.
        1. matross
          matross 21 May 2013 11: 41 New
          0
          Gee. So you also suggested attacking the aggressor airfields from the territory of Russia ?! Directly right away, start the 3 world ?! You again - minus. For amateurism squared. fool
    2. Marconi41
      Marconi41 21 May 2013 04: 55 New
      0
      The war has been in Syria for 2 years and no one attacked Tartus nirazu. It will continue to be so, which means there will be no return fire either. And besides, our base in Syria is microscopic, which means that one accidental blow can kill a large pile of people. Our people!
  19. DimYang
    DimYang 20 May 2013 11: 39 New
    +4
    Dear, you certainly need to help Syria, but do not forget that the United States is a military political machine, NATO is its most important tool (some of the NATO members do not understand what they are doing, at least sober-minded people). The blow must be struck against puppeteers, financiers of this and other projects. Without publicizing these actions, secretly. Bring to these sub-people that we will tear them together with the root, the main thing is that the words do not diverge with the deed. Physically eliminate every single one. Well, as for the cries after that in their media, I think this will not happen. Fear is the strongest feeling for them. This inhuman always lived by the principle, in Russian to say - his own shirt is closer to the body. But there is a slightly different way. Let them attack Syria and let them break their teeth, and then still declare the puppeteers to hunt and cleanse the Earth of them as much as possible. Then we ourselves will have much less problems.
  20. Gamal
    Gamal 20 May 2013 12: 18 New
    21
    Following the visit of Natanyahu to Putin in Sochi laughing :
  21. pamero
    pamero 20 May 2013 12: 41 New
    0
    sober assessment. But the analysis of the outcome of the end of the conflict is inflated. Everyone will fight for exhaustion and the third force will come to the ruins! And the question remains under what banners will it come?
  22. dc120mm
    dc120mm 20 May 2013 12: 43 New
    +6
    There will be no intervention, all the more if Russia takes a tough and principled position.
  23. iulai
    iulai 20 May 2013 12: 45 New
    10
    Bashar al-Assad proved himself to be a real leader and politician, not like Gaddafi, with his Bedouin tents and a game on two fronts. Health and wisdom to Bashar al-Assad!
  24. slaventi
    slaventi 20 May 2013 12: 48 New
    +3
    Most likely America and the West will not go on direct aggression against Syria. Moreover, the air defense complexes have already been delivered, as Kisilev said in the news of the week. The complexes were most likely delivered in advance and were waiting for their "hour". Saudi, Arabia, Qatar, the Emirates will increase financial aid, as well as the recruitment of cannon fodder. All processes are intensified. They will try to bribe the military and political leadership of Syria. Israel will not take any obvious actions yet. It will wait for the right moment. They will try to drag in Turkey as soon as possible, the latest terrorist attacks, they say about it. For the invasion of Iraq and Afghanistan, America did not need any UN sanction. Now the situation has changed. The financial crisis, the changing geopolitical situation, the BRIGS countries and their plan to abandon the dollar are a great danger for a unipolar world, the Russian factor. It is very important for Russia to gain time to prepare to a war (and not only with the Salafis), which, after the possible fall of Syria, will sooner or later break out in the Caucasus. This is what is preparing an army of invasion in the Middle East. The death of a unipolar world led by America is inevitable, whether it will be relatively peaceful, the abandonment of the dollar, etc., or it will all end in a global conflict, we will see. will cease to exist as a state, Israel will face a sad fate.
  25. shtabs
    shtabs 20 May 2013 14: 06 New
    0
    it is strange that Wang has not yet been mentioned ..))
  26. Ruslan_F38
    Ruslan_F38 20 May 2013 14: 10 New
    0
    It seems that the United States and satellites are not so much pursuing some kind of geopolitical goals in the region, but how the snotts are trying to revenge Assad personally.
  27. misham
    misham 20 May 2013 14: 13 New
    +4
    There will be no such scenario. No one will wait for a ground war. No anti-aircraft defense can withstand the massive impact of the ALCM and SLCM. No S-300 will help (be at least an S-400 instead). Passive air defense only over its territory is knowingly doomed. The Syrians have neither Avaxs nor fighters (how many MIG-29s will play a role there) nor powerful ground-based radars. Everything will go according to the NATO scenario. The author writes about EW. so there are also no suckers.
    As soon as they destroy enough targets on the ground, the Syrian elites (for babosy of course) will overthrow the "damned" bloody regime ... (or some other Arabs in Iraq and Libya)
    1. xan
      xan 20 May 2013 16: 21 New
      +3
      Quote: misham
      No anti-aircraft defense can withstand the massive impact of the ALCM and SLCM. No S-300 will help (be at least an S-400 instead). Passive air defense only over its territory is knowingly doomed

      I agree.
      To passive air defense it is necessary to add means of attack on the territory of Israel and Turkey. Without this, hotheads cannot cool.
      1. CTEPX
        CTEPX 20 May 2013 17: 12 New
        +4
        Quote: xan
        need to add means of strike on the territory of Israel and Turkey

        Which, in fact, has been done. Missiles are aimed at Israel)). For some reason, I think that it’s not on cities, but on runways, warehouses and equipment parks. Turkey, apparently, was informed about this privately. And the more powerful and more likely a retaliatory strike will be, the greater the chances of preventing an attack.
        Therefore, today there is only one path of adversity. Increase and increase pressure on Syria by sponsoring, supplying and replenishing Wahhabi mercenaries, provoking everything and everyone in the hope of a mistake (for example, you can’t attack ground targets in Israel in the event of a point attack), eliminate Assad at all costs. In the near future, one should expect the appearance of thousands of Caucasian Caucasians on the side of the bandits. A bloody provocation in Israel is very likely. They need a war! For them it is a matter of life and death)).
    2. Don
      Don 21 May 2013 17: 41 New
      0
      Quote: misham
      No S-300 will help (be at least an S-400 instead).

      It would help if only in large numbers would be, and so, a small amount will not significantly change the situation.
      Quote: misham
      As soon as they destroy enough targets on the ground, the Syrian elites (for babosy of course) will overthrow the "damned" bloody regime

      The elite is 80% Alavite. they certainly will not overthrow anyone.
  28. yanus
    yanus 20 May 2013 15: 55 New
    +2
    Such analyzes have always amazed me. To begin with, you still need to determine the goals of NATO in Syria. Can anyone clearly articulate the goals of NATO members? Goals in the form of "shit on Russia / China", "patamushto they are bastards", "Zionist conspiracy" and so on do not roll.
    At best, something like "through Syria to get to Iran." Then the question arises - what do they plan to do with Iran? A ground operation is absurd. Drive into the Stone Age with airstrikes? So there is where to rake on aircraft carriers. Israel will again help (Iraq will pretend that there is no air defense, not well, it will be outraged, of course).
    Even if the ground operation. What does Syria have to do with it? Send troops from Syria through Iraq to Iran? Far away, however. And on the way to Syria and Iraq, NATO troops will not be very happy. Either a land mine, then an RPG, etc., etc. It’s easier then from Turkey.
    It remains only to "deprive Iran of its ally in the person of Syria." So it has already been done. Syria is now physically unable to help Iran in the event of a mess. And if the goal is fulfilled, then why discuss the NATO ground operation in Syria?
    NATO will bomb the maximum and that's it. More likely, there will be no massive bombing. Israel will do "raids" from time to time and that's it. There is simply no special need to finish off government troops. Everything is slowly and so on. Well, the Islamists die, so new ones take their place. The economy is destroyed. The army is slowly undermining, the equipment is slowly burning - there is no replacement.
    1. liteha
      liteha 20 May 2013 23: 51 New
      0
      So everything is clear with purpose - it seems like Assad does not allow the gas pipeline from Qatar to Europe to pull through the territory of his country. Gas from Qatar is much cheaper than Russian. The share of Europe in the consumption of Russian gas is available in open sources, everyone can draw conclusions himself.
  29. abstract
    abstract 20 May 2013 16: 53 New
    0
    if Russia wants to prevent an invasion, you need to send a couple of regiments of airborne forces to Syria and send a couple of ships to the Syrian coast, NATO is not yet ready for war with Russia, but only for now .... ((
  30. dizz
    dizz 20 May 2013 16: 53 New
    -16
    Well, if Hezbollah snoops around, then all of southern Lebanon will plunge into the ancient age, banging so that the second Lebanese war, Mahmoud will be a toy. No one will understand where they shot, whether there are civilians there, Hezbollah does not need the collapse of Lebanon.

    But Syria, let the Mahmuds wet each other, everyone has their hands in blood. If Assad will throw Iranian and Russian weapons to Hezbollah, he will still get on the head. If she wants to hit Israel, then I won’t even put a cent on Assad, neither the S-300 nor the Yakhonts will help, Israel will erase it on the map. He plays a point, he knows that Israel will tear Syria.


    Unfortunately, Russia does not learn from the history of the USSR, steps on the same rake, again ...

    You better think about yourself, and not about Syria, Syria has not returned our loot from the times of the USSR. I would have put these mahmuds on the counter for everything a long time ago, but Putin forgave them ..
    Russia wants the Caribbean Crisis again, it will receive it ...
    1. CTEPX
      CTEPX 20 May 2013 17: 22 New
      +4
      Quote: dizz
      Well if Hezbollah snoops around

      Dear, Israel is here, in this BEGINNING, like a sacrificial sheep. It is not Assad who will strike weapons of mass destruction, with a blow of the "dead hand", so are the victorious Wahhabis)). And do not entertain yourself with the illusion that if you have created them, then they are manageable. It didn't work with Hitler)).
      You have already been written off. Moreover - this is not Russia)).
    2. Anton Karpenko
      Anton Karpenko 20 May 2013 22: 07 New
      +6
      Assad has the right to give his weapons to any legitimate allies. But the legitimacy of YOUR actions raises a BIG doubt. Why did you strike not in Lebanon, but in Syria? I assert that Assad WAS NOT GOING to hand over anything to Hezbollah, his goal was to strengthen air defense on the border with Lebanon, where Israeli planes could strike (later it happened).
      And you, under the far-fetched and UNSECURED pretext "This was intended for Hezbollah", are openly fighting against Syria, grossly violating the ceasefire not only by placing heavy artillery in the demilitarized zone, but also by invading Syrian airspace and shelling military and civilian objects on its territory. In a word, you are limitless.
    3. mihasik
      mihasik 21 May 2013 02: 24 New
      0
      From whom will Russia receive? From your striped relatives or from you? And do not you overestimate your capabilities? S-300s are not homemade farts that send you. Want to check how they work?) Will you feel sorry for your people? What do not you live in peace with amers? !! ​​Oh, I don’t want to get involved in another slaughter. So force it!
  31. Severin
    Severin 20 May 2013 18: 41 New
    +3
    Quote: dizz
    Russia wants the Caribbean Crisis again, it will receive it ...

    In that crisis, nobody won, everyone made concessions if that ...
    Quote: dizz

    Well, Syria, let the Mahmuds wet each other, everyone has their hands in blood

    huh, right at all?
    Quote: dizz
    If she wants to hit Israel, then I won’t even put a cent on Assad, neither the S-300 nor the Yakhonts will help, Israel will erase it on the map. He plays a point, he knows that Israel will tear Syria.

    In my opinion, Israel is playing a point so far, so they go to Washington, and Moscow for support.
    1. dizz
      dizz 21 May 2013 00: 00 New
      -6
      Israel doesn’t play a point, your Russian army does not suit Israel, they know how to fight here if they don’t interfere, so you shouldn’t talk about what you don’t know. It’s just that if they start in one place, the whole Middle East will explode and Russia will not be unscrewed from this either. That is why consultations are underway.
      1. mihasik
        mihasik 21 May 2013 02: 30 New
        +2
        You know how to fight. Only if the Middle East of Israel explodes as a country will no longer be. I’m not scaring, but stating a fact ...
      2. CTEPX
        CTEPX 21 May 2013 05: 04 New
        0
        Quote: dizz
        It’s just that if they start in one place, the whole Middle East will explode and Russia will not be unscrewed from this either.

        Well, you, sitting on a barrel of gunpowder, waving matches?)) Well, how unreasonable children)).
  32. serpentine fist
    serpentine fist 20 May 2013 18: 57 New
    +4
    there are skadas, refuel them with OM. if the war in Syria begins, there is nothing to lose. There will be 3 main destinations in the Mediterranean. More Israel and Turkey. activation of deviationion units. to the north, one S-300 division will be enough for the Mediterranean Sea. The Russian Navy. To protect the southern borders, several S-300 divisions mixed with scads against Israel. but we must keep a trump card in the sleeve of some ship loaded with S-300 for Iran. And scare the West, if the war starts, then Russia will begin to supply air defense systems to Iran. and the horse’s move is to begin negotiations on the establishment of a naval base in Iran. It will be fun. I wonder what the West can counter
    1. dizz
      dizz 21 May 2013 00: 14 New
      -2
      How Soviet air defense was gouged in Syria in 1982

      Destruction of Syrian air defense systems in Bekaa, 9/06/82
      (according to Syrian sources - Mustafa Tlas, "Israeli invasion of Lebanon")

      Between 13:50 and 14:00, Syrian radars detected a large number of Israeli aircraft over land and over the sea from Tzur to Tripoli. At the same time, electronic warfare equipment was launched from Boeing-707 aircraft and ground stations (especially from the Hermon station). Also used were electronic warfare equipment from Skyhawk aircraft and UAVs - the latter were also used for communication and coordination, and for "enticing" the first missile salvo.
      At 14:00 20-24 "Phantom" fired from a distance of more than 35 km missiles "Maverick", "Standard ARM" and "Shrike" at air defense batteries. In parallel, a strike was struck by artillery and surface-to-surface missiles of the Zeev type (presumably, we are talking about Ivri - UL). These early strikes targeted radars and command centers. As a result of these strikes and the action of electronic warfare equipment, the air defense batteries were temporarily paralyzed. 15 minutes later (at 14:15), the main strike forces entered the area of ​​the air defense batteries: about 40 Phantom, Skyhawk and Kfir aircraft. These aircraft attacked missile launchers, headquarters and ground forces stationed in the area with high-explosive and cluster bombs and TV-guided bombs. The attack continued until 14:35.
      Syrian fighters were called into the attack area, as a result of their appearance, part of the Israeli aircraft returned to the base without completing the mission. After the first strike, overflights were carried out in order to determine the damage caused by the air defense and, if necessary, attack again. After making sure that many batteries were not operational, the Israelis launched a second strike at the missile launchers and ground forces stationed in the area at 15:45. This attack lasted 30 minutes, using high-explosive and cluster bombs. This attack was also accompanied by intensive use of electronic warfare. During both attacks, Israeli attack aircraft were covered by 15-20 F-15 and F-16 fighters.
      After this, the Israelis continued reconnaissance flights over Bekaa to make sure that the batteries were not returning. Bombing was also carried out on the shosse of Beirut-Damascus, in the Shtury region.


      It is now known that one of the central weapons systems was the Tadmit UAB, an analogue of the GBU-8 HOBOS, created by RAFAEL. It has a long gliding range, which allows it to be used without entering the affected area of ​​the air defense systems available to Syria, so most likely AGM-65, GBU-8 and AGM-62 were not used.

      Perhaps this bomb or its variant was declassified in 1987 under the name "Pyramid".

      I also add that the success of the operation surprised the senior officers of the Israeli Air Force themselves. A significant number of planned sorties within the framework of this operation was canceled as no longer needed.



      Can you imagine what high-tech weapons Israel now possesses.
      1. Marconi41
        Marconi41 21 May 2013 04: 41 New
        0
        Actually, why is it minus ?! This is just a historical fact! From it it is necessary to draw conclusions.
  33. Odysseus
    Odysseus 20 May 2013 19: 48 New
    +2
    A curious article. Obviously, the most likely second option from the ones proposed by the author.
    It is beneficial for NATO to destroy secular Syria at the hands of the Arabs themselves and at the expense of the monarchies of the Persian Gulf.
    As for Syria’s ability to repel aggression, the author is overly optimistic. In a civil war, there is no chance of repulsing a massive air attack. There will simply be no ground invasion by NATO.
    Under these conditions, the only constraints for NATO are
    a) The cost of the operation in the absence of the ability to quickly "recapture" your money (unlike Libya)
    b) The possibility of launching an OTR strike with chemical weapons against Israel. The truth is, it seems, it is already necessary to connect Iran.
    As for direct military intervention by the PRC, or even less so Russia, to help Assad, this seems extremely unlikely.
  34. MIKHAN
    MIKHAN 20 May 2013 20: 04 New
    0
    Syria will be overwhelmed. I feel Russia is weak so far to withstand this informational financial and military armada .. too many weapons have accumulated .. and debts in the west .. I hope that our Russian weapons will be tested in the best possible way as in Vietnam, Vietnam, Korea .. to have time .. so as not to it turned out like in hockey ... ((
  35. heavytank
    heavytank 20 May 2013 20: 19 New
    +5
    wait soon
  36. tomket
    tomket 20 May 2013 21: 35 New
    0
    rather delusional fabrications, where have you seen this recently of the full-scale ground operation ala-storm in the desert without US participation? Yes, and she doesn’t want to pursue 7 stability in this region, she obviously does not want to, and she will seek maximum stretching over the time of the conflict. Libya didn’t get stuck in it, they just corrected the development of the conflict with bombs. Turkey can certainly get in there, but I think it is not so stupid having an example of Iraq in front of it. So, they will shake the air and send mercenaries.
  37. Alexandr0id
    Alexandr0id 20 May 2013 21: 48 New
    +8
    "After the inevitable defeat of NATO forces", "Syria, with the support of Russia, China, India, Pakistan, Iran, has every chance of defeating the aggressive Western military bloc", etc.
    What is it? Why would you think that? How were India and Pakistan among the friends of Assad?
    The author, to put it mildly, is not in himself.
    Assad has no chance to stand against one Israel or one Turkey, and if the states join there, then everything will end in a week.
    Israel needs the West more than ever, in the context of perestroika of the Middle East, it would be absurd to refuse such a strong ally and guide of its policy.
    the collapse of Turkey into small formations is a series of tales about the revival of Byzantium and the return of Istanbul to Constantinople, empty dreams. Kurdish factor? You didn’t notice that Ankara itself has led the process of gaining independence by the Kurds (only at the expense of Iraq and Syria, whose northeastern piece is planned to go to Iraqi Kurdistan, which has already de facto become a Turkish vilayet and does not obey the pro-Iranian Baghdad).
    After all the desertions and losses, the Assad army is now approximately equal in strength to the rebels (or to terrorists as you like), real military intervention on their (rebel) NATO side is an instant and irresistible change in the balance of forces in their favor.
    Moreover, such an open intervention will be a signal for even more massive desertion from the government army, in fact, for flight.
  38. Daduda
    Daduda 20 May 2013 22: 26 New
    +2
    And whoever takes away nuclear weapons from Israel, I don’t think that Israel will just part with it so that then it ceases to exist.
  39. old man54
    old man54 21 May 2013 00: 07 New
    +2
    Article plus, respect to the author!
    But with all my love for Syria, I very little believe that in the event of real hostilities from the United States, it will be able to resist him for a long time. And parallels with Vietnam of 1965/72 are irrelevant! There was the USSR, and not this mockery - today's Russia, and there was China at hand! They will bomb them for a month and a half, if no one really intervenes, and then the advanced NATO units will enter the demoralized country. And I will not be very surprised that the Ukrainians will again send their own to participate, to be noted!: ((All this Jewish orgy, without relative state ownership, can only be stopped by really tough and decisive opposition to their plans from the still sober-minded countries of the world, where I hope we, Russia , we are still in. That is, up to a hint of a full-scale nuclear war, as "Mikita" did in 1956 with Egypt, and the Geyropans were blown away from there!
  40. vBR
    vBR 21 May 2013 01: 06 New
    +2
    I will add this. In just one week of the second war in Iraq, the Americans used about 1000 cruise missiles. This is one of the main, if not the main means of the first stage of the invasion. Syria itself will not be able to eliminate CD carriers at a great distance. As reported, there will be 300 missiles in the Syrian 144th "kit" in total - if the supply and deployment ends - this is nonsense against such a number, even if we assume that the nearby complexes will shoot down the same number. On good terms, it was necessary to arm it to the teeth since 10 and the S-300VMD, and Putin then stopped it (Benya's partner asked very much). So the pretentious exclamations of many are based on some amateurish fantasies and a childish desire not to see an unpleasant reality, and meanwhile, the Russian government has never even said that the Assad regime is a friend of Russia and we will help him. Some long-range air defense missiles need a thousand and a half or two, and a lot of other things. There is nowhere to take it quickly. Of course, I myself am glad of the turn in the Russian government, and although there is such support, there is no reason to let go of drooling emotion. As well as underestimating the military power of the West and the United States, which chronically suffers from part of the writing - "and we say, one S-300 battalion is there, the other is here." Would bother to at least assess the strike potential of the western group
  41. Marconi41
    Marconi41 21 May 2013 01: 11 New
    +4
    I suppose that option 2 will be used. In Syria, every rabble will fight from all directions of the world supported by Western countries. As for the analysis ... then everything is not unambiguous. The Syrians have already fought with Israel and got the full mustal. And the rebuff to NATO countries is from the world of fantasy. Everything is correct - everything will be decided in the first hours. They will crush them with electronic warfare, destroy air defense and stationary missile systems, provide complete air superiority - and EVERYTHING !!! The Syrian army will resist external threats and "partisans" behind its back - the result is deplorable.
    Well, at the expense of the statements of the Israeli forum users (such as the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, they will tear))) smiled. Look at the reputable maps - you even have nowhere to hide. And your government understands this better than you.
  42. Grigorich 1962
    Grigorich 1962 21 May 2013 01: 35 New
    +3
    Flight of fantasies, not stupid and possible. The US needs a war ... they themselves do not directly poke themselves ... there is Turkey and Israel ... there are already attempts, which means there is already a general plan. To be afraid of Russia .... they are doing the right thing. But here Russia alone is not enough. In the Mediterranean, it is necessary to additionally introduce a squadron of Chinese ships into the Syrian Iranian special forces border with Turkey. To organize constant patrolling by the Russian Air Force throughout the territory of Syria. NATO members are sick on the head but they will not unleash the slaughter. and the fighters themselves will run away without money and weapons. In this situation, Russia, together with China and Iran, is capable of bloodlessly eliminating the existing threat .... all that is needed is the political will of the leaders of these countries and the initiative should come from Russia. And the States shut up ..... for a long time feeling their weakness in solving problems by NATO forces
  43. Roman555
    Roman555 25 May 2013 20: 59 New
    0
    if Syria already has a s-300, a carapace of s, other air defense systems, why did they so badly miss the Israeli attack on their facilities?