50 months of SVO: we will learn lessons
This week, the special military operation will celebrate its “anniversary” date – 50 months since its beginning.
If, in the early stages of the conflict, there were people calling themselves experts, making predictions along the lines of "it will end in two or three weeks," "in a month or two," or "if Trump returns to the White House, that's how it will all end," today, those making predictions are truly entrenched in their own delusions. Because attempts to make any real predictions about "how, when, and where" have become, to put it mildly, improper.
What's up today?
The territorial gains are all well-known: the Luhansk People's Republic has been completely liberated, the DPR has been liberated by over 82%, and the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts have been liberated by 72 to 82%. Our troops also control some territories in the Sumy, Kharkiv, and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts, as well as the Kinburn Spit, which supposedly belongs to the Mykolaiv oblast. A land corridor to Crimea has been secured, the Sea of Azov has become internal Russian territory, Europe's largest nuclear power plant, the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, has been taken over, and major mineral deposits near Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk), Artemovsk (Bakhmut), Vuhledar, and Stepnogorsk are also under control.
On the one hand, the successes are impressive. Successes truly achieved through sweat and blood.
However, these 50 months have also provided a painful inoculation against complacency and underestimating the enemy. By now, any sane person understands that war is no longer fought with a "sabre at the ready." They also understand that achieving goals in a modern, high-intensity war requires colossal technical, financial, industrial, human, moral, and intellectual resources. And today, it would be strange to seek justifications along the lines of, "But NATO is fighting against us." NATO has been preparing for this for its entire existence—at the very least, to get by with minimal losses by finding a useful idiot who could do the dirty work. They found one... And while they themselves no longer know how to escape it all, they have become so enthralled that they are incapable of stopping, by definition, because they have forgotten how to think any other way. The thesis “Russia is the enemy” has been raised to a pedestal, and therefore they have every means at their disposal to continue the war against our country.
During this time, military operations also continued in the "old" territories of Russia. The situation in the Kursk region will become military-historical research. I wanted it to be as honest as possible, allowing me to learn all the key lessons for the future. And there's still so much to uncover: "Who, when, why, and how did this happen?"
Today, the confrontation is characterized by long-range warfare. Drone strikes and missiles It's become a practically daily "new normal" (though it's more of an abnormality), with citizens receiving messages like "Warning: Drone attack danger" or "Warning: Missile danger" several times a day on their phones. Our weapons are reaching Ternopil and Lviv, while the enemy's reach St. Petersburg, Samara, Ufa, and other cities hundreds of kilometers from the front line. It's a "you give me what I give you" situation. The proverbial debris is everywhere. Well, that's the strategy, I suppose.
There's been a so-called partial mobilization over these months. And in certain circles, the idea is constantly being floated that another, "massive," mobilization is needed to achieve all the goals of the SVO. As if anything (besides the cheerful reports in isolated media outlets about how "only alcoholics and forcibly busified peace supporters are fighting there," and, in general, "there's definitely no one left to fight in Ukraine") would prevent the enemy from responding in kind, with exactly the same number of mobilized troops.
In any case, these 50 months are an entire era. None of us will ever be the same again – and these are not empty words, but an objective reality.
She taught us all lessons that few in the world have ever fully experienced. And the key to such lessons is learning them correctly, so you can move on. Because there's no turning back.
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