At last week's rate of progress, Israel's operation in Lebanon will drag on for a year.

The Israeli army continues to suffer losses during its operation in southern Lebanon. The IDF command today acknowledged that an Israeli soldier was killed in one of the clashes, and three more were wounded.

According to the latest data, the cause of death and injuries of Israeli soldiers in this case was an FPV attack.drones Hezbollah is approximately 6 kilometers from the border. Moreover, Hezbollah, which claims to have killed at least 35 Israeli soldiers in the past 24 hours alone, often carries out double attacks. The principle is roughly as follows: first, an ambush is set, a drone attack is carried out, or IDF soldiers are trapped by a mine. Hezbollah then "lies down" on this section of the front, waiting for an Israeli army evacuation unit to arrive, after which it launches a second attack.

It is known that the IDF's advance in southern Lebanon has slowed significantly compared to the first days of the operation. Over the past week (since April 7), the Israelis have brought an estimated 12 square kilometers of territory under their control. This is the slowest pace of the ground invasion.

As of today, the IDF has taken control of between 220 and 350 square kilometers in Lebanon (since the beginning of its operation), according to various estimates. This is significantly less than the 1100 square kilometer target outlined by Israeli Defense Minister Katz. Based on his stated target, the ground operation could last at least another three months, and at last week's pace, it could extend for a year.

Comments

[jovanni]

At last week's rate of progress, Israel's operation in Lebanon will drag on for a year.

It's not for us to judge their pace. Oh, it's not for us...

[Sergey Mitinsky]

It's up to us to reason )))

[Brturin]

Besides the pace of progress, there is another issue that can be discussed - the economics of war - and here is the question - figures on Iran have appeared

Israel's war with Iran cost the budget 35 billion shekels ($11,52 billion), Reuters reported on April 12, citing the Israeli Finance Ministry.

, and recently it was already discussed here -

Western analysts estimate that during the two years of the war in the Gaza Strip, Israel's economy has lost more than $57 billion, or 8,6% of its annual gross domestic product. https://topwar.ru/279857-izrail-poterjal-86-procentov-vvp-za-dva-goda-vojny-v-sektore-gaza.html

One can speculate that the States won't abandon him (the lobby will do its job), but will the States give Trump money to continue the Iranian campaign? The deadlines are getting shorter.

[multi-category]

The point is that Israel's military budget is paid for by the States.
That's why Israel doesn't care about these costs. They're not the ones paying for them.

[Zaurbek]

If not us, then who are their adversaries? And who supplies them with weapons and intelligence?!

[Incvizitor]

The main thing is not the time, but that the Zionists have more losses.

[torbas41]

That's right. The important thing is not winning, but taking part.

[Wildcat]

As of today, the IDF has taken control of between 220 and 350 square kilometers in Lebanon (since the beginning of its operation), according to various estimates. This is significantly less than the 1100 square kilometer target outlined by Israeli Defense Minister Katz. Based on his stated target, the ground operation could last at least another three months, and at last week's pace, it could extend for a year.

1. Regarding geography, simply open a map and recall the "Lebanon Wars," the "South Lebanon Army," and so on. There's nothing new there for the IDF, as one character aptly notes: "Every generation enters Lebanon and leaves with a promise 'not to do this again'." and with a marching song "along familiar roads following my beloved People's Commissar".
2. In terms of time, the current situation with Iran will end, another peace process and negotiations will begin, and under some kind of "big deal" in a couple of years, the IDF will retreat as part of another "pan-Lebanese settlement." In reality, there will be no settlement - Iran has more forces there than the entire Lebanese army (the Iranian ambassador was asked leave - the ambassador asked don't ask him ) - everything will start again as it was.

[Sergey Mitinsky]

The drone war from Ukraine is slowly moving to Lebanon and is becoming a benchmark for the positional stalemate of a new type of war.
The IDF will have to form assault units on motorcycles and, little by little, like the Russian Federation, bite off pieces of territory from Hezbollah.
And the tanks and armored personnel carriers should be withdrawn to the rear and left in reserve for better times, if, of course, they come to Israel, which is highly doubtful.
What is needed here are not reservists and women's battalions, of which Israel has recruited hundreds of thousands for the easy walks and amusements that they have so far imagined war to be, but professionals willing to sacrifice their lives.

[Konnick]

Quote: Sergey Mitinsky

The drone war from Ukraine is slowly moving to Lebanon and is becoming a benchmark for the positional stalemate of a new type of war.

There will be no impasse. The IDF is particularly focused on supplying Shiite militias. They control the skies over Syria, and tunnels from Iran to Lebanon are impossible to dig. It's we who cannot stop the supply of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

[Sergey Mitinsky]

So he is already this dead end, which "will not exist"

[Konnick]

Quote: Sergey Mitinsky

So he is already this dead end, which "will not exist"

It's not funny. With its initial actions—which are actually reconnaissance in force, not our offensive in February 22nd—the IDF is determining the targets and structure of the Shiite militias. They're striking command centers and warehouses, even if, in keeping with the old Eastern tradition, they're protected by civilians, which also poses certain difficulties.

[Sergey Mitinsky]

Of course it's not funny
We also hit command centers and warehouses on February 22
And most importantly, they wrote cheerful reports exactly as you describe here about Israel’s successes.

[novel66]

Why can't we? We just don't want to.

[Konnick]

Quote: novel xnumx

Why can't we? We just don't want to.

I think if they could, the Beskid Tunnel would have been sealed off long ago, but it has powerful air defense coverage. Conspiracy theories exist whether we want them or not.

[novel66]

powerful air defense cover.

Have Iskanders already been shot down?

[Konnick]

Quote: novel xnumx

powerful air defense cover.

Have Iskanders already been shot down?

They shot them down. And the 9M723 Iskander-M has a range of 500 km. It's 500 km from Kyiv to Ivan-Frankivsk. A longer-range version of the Iskander, a cruise missile. They always wank at the very best... There's no such thing as a perfect weapon.

[novel66]

Okay, is it a pity for the "hazelnut" to be used for this purpose?

[Konnick]

Quote: novel xnumx

Okay, is it a pity for the "hazelnut" to be used for this purpose?

Oreshnik doesn't have enough accuracy to hit the blank accurately into the tunnel.

[novel66]

Several blanks. There are enough nearby

[Sergey Mitinsky]

What do I see!
Barbecue on Merkava!
Israeli tank crews chose life over their pride.
What else is there for them to find out?

[stone]

There's one caveat: the Israeli Air Force has complete air superiority. There's no deadlock in Lebanon, so don't let that be wishful thinking.

[Sergey Mitinsky]

Complete dominance only happens during sex and not for long.
Hezbollah doesn't have air defense in the traditional sense, but it does have MANPADS. So, Israeli pilots won't be ordered to attack the guerrillas.
Only bomb at a decent distance and at an unreachable height

[Mikhail3]

F-35s aren't good for attacking guerrillas. And neither are any of Israel's other weapons. Warthogs are needed here. The Jews never attacked guerrillas; tanks were always their main striking force, used to demolish Hezbollah's defenses. Now we'll have to go on the attack ourselves... And who's to say a couple of S-400s won't suddenly show up in Lebanon?

[commbatant]

Quote: Mikhail3

Who said a couple of C-400s wouldn't suddenly show up in Lebanon?

I looked online and Lebanon has both small anti-aircraft missiles and man-portable air defense systems, so I can forget about attack aircraft, AA helicopters, and IDF UAVs.

[alexputnik17]

M. Shurygin claimed yesterday that the Israelis had advanced 2 kilometers from the border. They could advance further in a day. There's a gray zone ahead, and the Israelis are clearing the area out with shells and missiles. Civilian fire. The best they can.
They still have a long way to go to get to El Litane.
Shurygin's reports are more credible than those of the Israelis.

[Pimply]

In every article by Volodin, Israel is in trouble.

[Mikhail3]

It won't last. Haifa was heavily damaged yesterday. And that's fuel and everything else. Ben-Gurion hasn't burned out yet... In short, Israel's war is now much more difficult than it was even last week.

[BAI]

Tank grills appeared. Less than a year later.

[snow mountain]

Quote: Konnick

I think if they could, the Beskydy tunnel would have been sealed off long ago.

There is also a seaport!

[flicker]

The IDF command today acknowledged that an Israeli soldier was killed in one of the clashes, and three more soldiers were wounded.

Yeah, roughly: Mr. Katz from the battalion, a company was killed and two companies were wounded. What to do?
Katz, you write: "An Israeli army soldier was killed, and three more soldiers were wounded."

[Zaurbek]

This is a general guide to voicing losses.

[Zaurbek]

Everything will depend on the saturation of the FPV forces opposing the IDF.

[commbatant]

With so many potential SVOs appearing in the world at once, Israeli Jews obviously think that their SVO will end quickly.

[the same doctor]

It's not up to us to make headlines like that. But seriously, in wars like these, success isn't determined by kilometers advanced, but by the number of enemy troops destroyed. If you advance but let the enemy troops loose, you've lost.