Iran has threatened to invade the UAE and Bahrain if the US launches a ground operation.

If the US launches a ground operation, Iranian forces will seize the coastlines of the UAE and Bahrain, according to state television IRIB.

But this is only part of the plan. Iran's Defense Council announced plans to completely mine the Persian Gulf in the event of any encroachment on the coast or islands. All types of mines will be used, including floating mines that can be deployed directly from the shore. The Strait of Hormuz, a major artery for global oil trade, will be blocked.

It's telling that Tehran is leaving a loophole: countries not hostile to Iran will be able to transit the strait with coordination. The term "not hostile" under current conditions automatically excludes the United States, Israel, and their allies.

The escalation is escalating amid talk of negotiations, which Washington is attempting to combine with military pressure. Media reports are circulating about the possibility of an American landing on Kharg Island. Trump has reportedly given Iran a 48-hour ultimatum demanding the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, threatening to strike energy infrastructure.

For the UAE and Bahrain, which until now felt protected by the American umbrella, news Not a pleasant one. The situation in the Persian Gulf has entered a phase where diplomacy has finally given way to a show of force.

Comments

[Hunter 2]

Hmm, the Iranians aren't afraid to turn the chessboard over... on their opponent's head!
"Our" compatriots are leaving the UAE in droves, heading back to their native birch trees. The question is, do we need them?

[Sky strike fighter]

In Bahrain, the overwhelming majority of the population is Shiite, although the government is Sunni, supported by Saudi Arabia. In Syria, it was the opposite under Bashar al-Assad: the Alawites were in power, and the Syrian population was overwhelmingly Sunni. So the contours of a war between Saudi Arabia and Iran are emerging. But they can only come into contact in Iraq, since they do not share a land border. Incidentally, Iraq is also split between pro-Iranian Shiites in southern Iraq, Sunnis in central and western Iraq, and Kurds in northern Iraq. On the other hand, the Saudi Arabian army has never been successful. In Yemen, they clearly failed. But Saudi Arabia is rich and can hire mercenaries or Sunnis from Syria, whose combat effectiveness is also questionable, since they were able to seize power in Syria when the Assad regime was thoroughly rotten, and before that, they were confined to the provinces. Idlib, where they were driven out of central Syria and couldn't do anything while the Russian contingent was in Syria. Where will Saudi Arabia get infantry, combat-ready infantry?

[saigon]

The question is different: the Saudis might start it, but where will they get plain water in the event of a war? And since Iran's leaders don't draw lines but smash them to pieces, they'll have to think not about infantry, but about what to eat, what to drink, and how to divert sewage from skyscrapers.

[YEHU]

And have you considered the possibility that they could destroy Iran's energy infrastructure in response, forgetting about the ceasefire? Iran is also vulnerable. And it remembers it. And the hot phase will end, but we'll have to live with our neighbors. It's not hard to create a humanitarian catastrophe.

[Azim77]

Shiites and Sunnis have no compelling reason to fight each other based on religious beliefs. For example, Turks and Azerbaijanis are very friendly, even though the former are Sunni and the latter are Shiites. The main reason for possible hostility or war could be economic and political goals between the countries. Recall the Iran-Iraq War.

[Sky strike fighter]

For example, Turks and Azerbaijanis are very friendly, although the former are Sunnis and the latter are Shiites.

They became friends after Azerbaijanis began converting en masse to Sunni Islam under Turkish influence. But the issue isn't Turkey or Azerbaijan, but rather that Sunni Saudi Arabia is making it clear that its conflict with Shiite Iran is imminent, with all the ensuing ethno-confessional consequences, purely for the purpose of identifying friend or foe. This has already happened in Iraq, when Iraqi Shiite militias fought Sunnis.

[your1970]

Quote: Hunter 2

Hmm, the Iranians aren't afraid to turn the chessboard over... on their opponent's head!
"Our" compatriots are leaving the UAE in droves, heading back to their native birch trees. The question is, do we need them?

Customs said that many Germans from Germany are clearing household items in connection with their move to the Russian Federation.
Not Soviet Germans, but real Germans are coming.
Reasons- massively! - only 2: "I'm fed up" and "You have it nice here."

[Kmet]

So Iran doesn't have much of a choice in this situation. It could easily end up like Vysotsky's "Shah hit over the head with a knight."

[newtc7]

What's the problem I can't understand? Are Russians living or temporarily residing in the UAE traitors, "scared patriots," and so on? Not at all. They're ordinary citizens there for work or other purposes, and that's their perfectly legal right.
Aren't you bothered, for example, by the management of Russian television and the programs it pushes on the population to convey ideas and beliefs? If you want to find real traitors, look for them within the country, among the elites and government officials. And keep your paws off ordinary people who, for whatever reason, temporarily live abroad or juggle life in two countries.

[Karl_Richter]

Work is primarily business, which is of little use to one's home country. And combining lives in two countries is prostitution.

[Gavrilo Princip]

And the bourgeoisie there also bought up luxury real estate with their "honestly" earned money. They're hardly thrilled with Iran's decisiveness.

[ARIONkrsk]

Quote: Hunter 2

Hmm, the Iranians aren't afraid to turn the chessboard over... on their opponent's head!
"Our" compatriots are leaving the UAE in droves, heading back to their native birch trees. The question is, do we need them?

Judging by the zeal with which our government took them out, they really need them.

[alexputnik17]

Iranian armed forces will seize the coastline of the UAE and Bahrain.

In the richest UAE, property prices have fallen by 25% since the start of the conflict a week ago. Now it might have fallen even further. And people are leaving the country in droves. And this "joy" (even if Iran stays out) will make them even better off.

[Nexcom]

The sheikhs won't be poorer from this - they have everything under control. If anything happens, a private jet and goodbye.

[Sky strike fighter]

Shiites constitute the overwhelming majority in Bahrain. And there are quite a few in Saudi Arabia as well. If Israel succeeds in pitting Sunnis and Shiites against each other, the resulting conflict will destroy many Middle Eastern countries along ethno-confessional lines, which is precisely what Israel is seeking. The map of the fragmentation of Middle Eastern countries appeared back in 2006 and was biding its time.

[commbatant]

Quote: Sky Strike fighter

If Israel succeeds in pitting Sunnis and Shiites against each other, the fire of this conflict will destroy many countries in the Middle East along ethno-confessional lines, which is precisely what Israel is seeking.

The Arab Spring 2.0 is the US and Israeli Jews' backup plan. If everything works out, the US could take over the Asia-Pacific region.

"...It will be a glorious hunt..." (c)

[the same doctor]

Actually, Bahrain is a former province of Iran, annexed by the British. It's like Finland or Poland for us, but populated by people of the same faith.

[Sky strike fighter]

If they destroy Iran, they'll then turn their attention to the rest of the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia and Turkey. But their hatred of Iran has blinded them, and they simply don't believe it, but they'll be next if they start this conflict.

A map of the New Middle East proposed by U.S. Army Colonel Ralph Peters in 2006 to establish boundaries consistent with ethnoreligious identity, replacing the arbitrary borders established after World War I.

https://m.vk.com/wall591408576_2220

[Andrey Malashchenkov]

As for what they could actually capture, there are practically no troops there, and those that are there are just riffraff. The Americans are already struggling to supply their bases, and some have even abandoned them and are living in hotels. As for the ground operation, I'll remind you again that it took the US a year to attack Iraq, and almost four months to concentrate half a million troops, and they had the full support of all the Gulf states. So, the shaggy Yankees are just wasting their breath...

[Nexcom]

...Persians! And where will "our" people who ran away from the Emirates go then??? What are you doing? Where will these rubber zines, blogger-shmogers and others go??? No, we don’t need them back.

[Victor Alien]

Yes, the Israelis and others should be shipped off to Australia—they have water and a more or less decent PI. And most importantly, it's basically a useless continent right now. The islanders live nearby without any problems, regardless of the population, and don't interfere.

[Nexcom]

..there are kungurus kicking there - it's dangerous. What if they kick you to death?

[Ivan№One]

Well, that's doubtful.
They won't be able to cross the bay, how and on what?

[TermNachTer]

And how far is that strait? It's an hour's journey by speedboat. And most importantly, who will oppose the landing?

[Adrey]

Quote: TermNachTER

And how far is that strait? It's an hour's ride by speedboat.

130 km minimum, "as fast as a crow flies." 2-3 hours at full speed.

Quote: TermNachTER

And most importantly, who will oppose the landing?

And most importantly, how will you concentrate at least ten boats with personnel in the port without attracting attention?

[TermNachTer]

1. The strait is 34 km wide at its narrowest point, or 50 km with some deviations. A boat with two outboard Johnson or Mercury engines, each with 200 horsepower, travels at 60-70 km/h.
2. And who's talking about military boats? Pleasure boats with a small cabin and an awning are as plentiful in the Gulf as dirt. We'll board a dozen lightly armed fighters, at most an ATGM or MANPADS, and off we go.

[Adrey]

Quote: TermNachTER

1. The width of the strait at its narrowest point is 34 km.

To the coast of Oman. Even from Qeshm Island to the UAE, it's 80. Well, maybe they can get there in an hour and a half, if they're lucky.

Quote: TermNachTER

We put in a dozen fighters with light weapons, at most an ATGM, a MANPADS, and off we go.

And what will they do there even if they get there? Play suicide bombers? Let me remind you of the introductory information.

Iran threatens to seize the UAE

[TermNachTer]

Well, it's purely theoretical that a landing is even possible. Because, realistically, the Persians have no business there—they'd have problems with reinforcements, evacuation, and so on. Therefore, it's better for the Persians to hold their own.

[Adrey]

Quote: TermNachTER

Because, frankly, the Persians have no business there—they'll have problems with reinforcements, evacuation, and so on. Therefore, it's better for the Persians to hold their own.

I agree. That's why such loud and baseless statements seem strange. "The East is a delicate matter" and "A clumsy show-off is worth more than money," apparently.

[Podvodnik]

. flies at 60 - 70 km/h.

After half an hour of such a flight across the open sea, the entire crew would be sick, and within an hour they would be unable to hold their weapons. That's if they didn't get thrown overboard on the way.

[TermNachTer]

Have you ever ridden a motorboat on calm water? True, I haven't ridden one with 400 hp, but my friend has a boat with a 90 hp Yamaha engine—no problems with motion sickness.

[Podvodnik]

Have you ever been on a motorboat in calm water? No problems with motion sickness.

I've done it at 32 km/h. But not for long. It doesn't make me seasick. But where do you get this calm water? On a big lake it's calm in the morning, and by lunchtime the wind is 3-4 meters. And that's it. You can't go faster than 8-10 km/h. The shaking is soul-destroying and everything in the cockpit starts flying. And here it's the open sea. Have you even been to sea? Have you ever felt a force 10 gale? (I was lying down, but survived, the Faroe Islands) Or force 4-5 in the Baltic? (I couldn't handle it), or is it just the "seas" and a sour smell in the compartment and you wait for the dive like manna from heaven?
We spent an hour on a civilian ferry in the Atlantic between islands in calm seas. The sea rocked gently. Then we felt nauseous for several hours. The "small" one couldn't cope, and we were back on land a couple of hours later. (Bus added)
And then there's the sea crossing on a flimsy little boat. Several hours. I don't envy you. It'll turn you inside out.

[TermNachTer]

I spent a couple of years sailing, and once even ended up in the Novorossiysk Bora. The Persian Gulf—spring, summer, and fall—is practically completely calm.

[Podvodnik]

. no problems with motion sickness.

I'll add: read Pokrovsky's "Boats" (from the book "Shoot!"). It describes everything exactly as it is. And how it's described! You'll be captivated. I highly recommend this book. You won't regret it. I witnessed some of it, and I knew and interacted with some of the characters personally.

[saigon]

Well, it's like how to control the universe without attracting the attention of the paramedics. I know someone who worked in those parts, and there's one problem there: WATER, and if desalination plants are installed, the war in Arabia will end in a flash.

[Sanguinius]

During this hour of walking, a lot can happen)

And most importantly, who will oppose the landing?

Aviation. Armed Forces of Bahrain and the UAE

[TermNachTer]

So far, they are somehow not noticeable)))

[Sanguinius]

Well... we're buried!)))

[TermNachTer]

I'm not afraid to say that they are perfectly preserved)))

[5.11]

There is an opinion that this is what Americans need.
Why do they need an “eastern fairy tale”, where a huge financial flow is flowing, when all this should be in the USA.
In essence, they are doing everything to ensure that the only "safe haven" is the territory of the United States.

[Incvizitor]

Not to capture, but to liberate from Western occupation.

[Nexcom]

..we urgently need to give the Persians some advice. They clearly have some "ideological" flaws. It's a shame they don't learn this - wording is everything to us (c).

[Adrey]

Iran has threatened to invade the UAE and Bahrain if the US launches a ground operation.

Oh, you're awesome! You literally made my evening! Did they buy us some markers?

[Nexcom]

...there, it seems, a couple of trains of felt-tip pens were exchanged for a dozen train cars of missiles...
and what - it's a great deal.

[hector]

Quote: Nexcom

...there, it seems, a couple of trains of felt-tip pens were exchanged for a dozen train cars of missiles...
and what - it's a great deal.

They give us markers, we give them rockets?

[alexputnik17]

Quote: Nexcom

The sheikhs won't be poorer from this - they have everything under control. If anything happens, a private jet and good-bye

That's true... But the whole business there has gone downhill. Some hotels are completely empty, some are giving crazy discounts on accommodation, food, spas and all that. But what kind of spa is that when all this crap is flying around? You'll get dirty faster. And the Americans might come in to warm up, and the Iranians will figure it out.
Dmitry, .

[Nexcom]

..so the sheikhs, of course, get their "grand piece of shawarma" (c) from all this. But if that's the case, the rich aren't all tied up in hotels. So the money there is different—and it's not circulating with the cotton candy sellers...

[Nexcom]

welcome Likewise. I'm on my phone. I have limited capabilities. Sorry.

[RuAbel]

And Trump reportedly gave Iran a 48-hour ultimatum.

The paratroopers will just be arriving. Was anyone fooled by Trump's "uncertainty" about the ground operation? This isn't the place for you.

[Ross xnumx]

Iran has threatened to invade the UAE and Bahrain if the US launches a ground operation.

This is how Iran showed the world how to greet American pigs who put their feet on the table...

[Nexcom]

...that is, when they definitely capture it, then yes. But for now, it was a bit of a rush to announce it. The Emiratis are clearly on edge.

[Junior Private]

The threat is more than real. Besides, who's going to fight in the Emirates? Only the war camels are left.

[Nexcom]

There are plenty of expats there. And there's no point in them fighting for the sheikhs. They'll run away right away, because life is more valuable than money. The Bedouins are corrupt; whoever pays them will bend, and there have been examples. The Emirati warriors themselves are so-so.

[Junior Private]

In my strongest opinion, if this happens, it will be faster than in Syria.

[Nexcom]

This scenario is quite possible, I agree with you.

[Nexcom]

White camels are especially valuable. They aren't sent to war. They get their backs massaged, fed, watered, and their hooves polished. That won't do.

[Fisher]

In my opinion, although it's unlikely, the Saudis and the Persians should get rid of the Jews, send the Americans and their henchmen home, and peace will come to the Middle East, and maybe not only there.

[Nexcom]

...dreams, dreams, dreams....

zy but in my heart I agree.

[alexputnik17]

Quote: Nexcom

Likewise. I'm on my phone. I'm limited in what I can do. Sorry.

So I'm almost always on my phone too.

[Nexcom]

Well, that's how it is... A lot of things don't show up on my phone - for example, forum members' names and private messages don't work. Sometimes they work, sometimes they don't. And the bell is glitching.

[Reptiloid]

glitches

When the network is bad and when there are attempts to hack the site. The moderator explained.

[Nexcom]

Thank you. Either I forgot or I missed it...

[alexputnik17]

Quote: Sky Strike fighter

If they destroy Iran, then they'll move on to the rest of the Middle East, like Saudi Arabia and Turkey. But their hatred of Iran has blinded them.

So, it's unclear what the Saudis don't understand about the Americans (pardon the tautology). The Americans have already appointed the Saudis as their main partner and ally in the Middle East. When OPEC existed, without Russia's "plus," the Americans asked the Saudis to increase production as much as possible. Oil was trading at -40 on the exchange, Karl. That's the price of speculation. In the end, Russia held firm. And many Saudis went bankrupt. The country almost defaulted. That's why Saudi kings and princes sometimes forget to answer calls from American presidents, while Putin is greeted with fireworks, F16s with the tricolor, red carpets, Aurus, and an honor guard with horses.

[alexputnik17]

Quote: Nexcom

Well, that's how it is... A lot of things don't show up on my phone - for example, forum members' names and private messages don't work.

Got it. Accepted. My phone only shows pluses and minuses.
Simply: total.
And what is the bell?

[Reptiloid]

Bell ---- Notifications about replies. How many and where to click. But it doesn't always work. .

[alexputnik17]

Quote: Sky Strike fighter

If Israel succeeds in pitting Sunnis and Shiites against each other, the fire of this conflict will destroy many countries in the Middle East region.

It seems to me that Muslims have more hatred towards Zionists than towards Muslims who understand their holy scriptures a little differently. Arabs are also not stupid people and are also cunning.
While yes, the Zionists and the British (in general) are great provocateurs. But everyone in the Middle East has had their fill of this unpleasant consistency, IMHO. And if anyone in the Middle East has gone quiet, it's simply because there's no army, the Americans promised an umbrella, a market, money, and other goodies. I believe the Iranians will hold out, and a movement to evict the Americans from the region will begin. And Trump will say how many lives and money he saved.

[Inevitably]

Quote: your1970

Quote: Hunter 2

Hmm, the Iranians aren't afraid to turn the chessboard over... on their opponent's head!
"Our" compatriots are leaving the UAE in droves, heading back to their native birch trees. The question is, do we need them?

Customs said that many Germans from Germany are clearing household items in connection with their move to the Russian Federation.
Not Soviet Germans, but real Germans are coming.
Reasons- massively! - only 2: "I'm fed up" and "You have it nice here."

Very spiritual, but also very far-fetched and implausible...

[snow mountain]

Quote: Azim77

For example, Turks and Azerbaijanis are very friendly, although the former are Sunnis, the latter are Shiites.

They are all related by ethnic closeness.

[Mint Gingerbread]

It seems to me that Iran needs to start mining already.