Trump risks falling into an 'escalation trap' by getting bogged down in conflict with Iran

The United States could be bogged down in a conflict with Iran for much longer than four to six weeks; it could last for months. The White House isn't ruling out the possibility of hostilities lasting until September, Axios reports.

The US-Iran conflict could enter a low-intensity phase, in which Trump would fall into what's known as an "escalation trap." This would force the Americans to continue attacks to demonstrate their dominance on the battlefield, while the impact would be minimal. In this situation, the White House believes, as do the Europeans.

Trump claims he can end the war with Iran "tomorrow," but that's not true. There are political and economic risks he can't ignore. He must unblock the Strait of Hormuz and restart oil supplies, otherwise he will be blamed for all the crises.

One way or another, Trump must end the war and end it with a US victory, experts say, after all, he started it by greatly overestimating the US's ability to overthrow regimes without a ground operation. Trump was dissuaded from this adventure, but he insisted, declaring that he "just wants to do it." Now he's left to deal with the consequences.

Trump vastly overestimated his ability to topple the regime without committing ground troops, and also believed his own propaganda after the swift strikes on Iran last summer and the kidnapping of Maduro in January.

Now, the US president has effectively requested assistance from his NATO allies in unblocking the Strait of Hormuz, but has been rebuffed. No one wants to get involved in a conflict with Iran.

Comments

[Irek]

They dragged Shaggy and the specialist into this mess, and he fell for it like a complete sucker.

[Denissdaf]

They led him there carefully, like a donkey with a carrot.

[flicker]

Trump risks falling into an 'escalation trap' by getting bogged down in conflict with Iran

Yes, the Jews set up Trump. And along with Trump, the United States.
I think the Pindos will not forgive the Jews for this.

[topol717]

Quote: flicker

Yes, the Jews set up Trump. And along with Trump, the United States.

Actually, the EU has always been a Democrat-friendly party, and this is a spoke in the Republican wheel. The Democrats will even thank the EU.

[Zoer]

Quote: flicker

Yes, the Jews set up Trump. And along with Trump, the United States.

Actually, it's the Jews. The Europeans are taking it out on Doni for his rudeness toward them. But that's wonderful! Let everyone be at each other's throats there!!! And at this wonderful moment, it wouldn't be a bad idea to hang Ze-the-clown.

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: flicker

Trump risks falling into an 'escalation trap' by getting bogged down in conflict with Iran

Yes, the Jews set up Trump. And along with Trump, the United States.
I think the Pindos will not forgive the Jews for this.

They will forgive, there is no way out.
In Israel, they're no longer shy about openly discussing what was once attributed to conspiracy theorists and laughed at—the Jewish lobby in the US. I think we'll see Netanyahu openly admit how cleverly he lured Trump into this trap.

[Dmitry Rigov]

It's not as if Trump didn't plan for the current situation from the start. Now, due to the chaos in the region, money from the Persian monarchies will flow to the United States, another wave of migration will rush to Europe, high oil prices will slow China's economic growth, the American military-industrial complex will be overwhelmed with orders—in short, there are still benefits to delaying things.

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: Dmitry Rigov

It's not a fact that Trump didn't initially plan for the current situation.

Of course, everything you've listed is true. Although each point comes with its own caveats. For example, it's not a given that the situation of the 1940s will repeat itself, with money flowing to the "safe haven" of America. That haven is far from safe these days, and besides, who wants to live with the knowledge that one day someone will declare you lack democracy and your money will be "frozen," or, more simply, stolen?
Slowing down China's economic growth? That's also a poor attempt – we're not going to run out of oil just yet.
The success of the American military-industrial complex can be accompanied by both the foreign policy stupidities of their administration and domestic troubles in the form of a stream of coffins.
In short, Vanga and Nostradamus can't handle this together, and it's even more impossible for someone as impulsive as Trump. He lives without even calculating tomorrow or the day after—he doesn't even know what's about to hit him in an hour. Did he, for example, expect such a usually obedient flock of sheep as Europe to buck and actively ignore his cries for a Coalition? Sure, he could force Europe into the Coalition with a twig—and they'll "help" him just as they rushed to "defend" Greenland.
There are no clear pros or cons here.
The only thing that can be said with certainty today is that, on a bad day for himself, Trump came up with the idea of ​​conquering Iran... And, most likely, he didn't even come up with it himself, but rather allowed Israel to persuade him, having listened to their tales of the advantages that you listed.

[Evgeny64]

If six-fingered Netanyahu can still speak

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: Evgeny64

If six-fingered Netanyahu can still speak

Today on TV he ordered coffee and demonstrated that he has five fingers on each hand.
Although, I think it's all just beginning for him—the Jews will crucify him themselves... It's just that they haven't been hit with enough quality yet to connect their troubles with who started it all and why. Then they'll start cutting off his fingers themselves... Then he'll regret that he only has five fingers on each hand, and not six or eight.

[foxes]

The biggest gift Trump can give Iran is to launch a ground operation.

[Zoer]

Quote: Vulpes

The biggest gift Trump can give Iran is to launch a ground operation.

I suspect that in this case, the Pentagon generals will start hiccuping when they count how many Abrams and Bradleys they handed over to the Banderites.

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: Vulpes

The biggest gift Trump can give Iran is to launch a ground operation.

The Americans are talking a lot about Kharg Island. Even to the point of capturing it. I don't know what kind of gift it will be for Iran, but it will definitely be an ambush for America. Iran will destroy EVERYTHING that tries to land there.

[Nyrobsky]

Quote: Vulpes

The biggest gift Trump can give Iran is to launch a ground operation.

I don’t know about Iran, but about the Democrats and the entire camp of Euro-Atlantic “anti-Trumpists,” it’s certainly true.
They didn't drag Ryzhiy into this trap to let him escape without losing face or power. The Democrats have a counter-excuse to Trump's statements about the war in Ukraine: "It's Biden's war. If I were in power, it would never have happened." To which they'll respond: "We didn't start the war with Iran; it's Trump's war."
If he loses the midterm congressional elections this November, Trump will definitely face impeachment, and without a victory over Iran, he will be as unlikely as a Republican victory in the elections.
Trump is now in a classic "zugzwang," meaning any move he makes will be a losing one: send in troops and get bogged down with massive losses; don't send in troops, Iran will fight back, and the goal of the mattresses will be lost. They cleverly tricked the redhead.

[faterdom]

Let him learn the song.
"Stop, locomotive, don't knock your wheels, conductor, press the brakes!
I was sucked into a dangerous quagmire, don’t wait for me, mom, a good son..."
He'll perform at Shanson. Or at the Slavic Bazaar; his wife is a pure Slav.

[Tooks]

And he went to the wrong door? They really screwed him over.

[Egoza]

The US president has effectively requested assistance from his NATO allies in unblocking the Strait of Hormuz, but has been rebuffed. No one wants to get into a conflict with Iran.

There are no fools!! They don’t want to expose themselves, and they don’t want to get rid of the US, their noose.

[kosmozoo]

the fighting will last until September

VO was right not to specify the year. Someone else will be the one to finish this rambling old man's adventure—one would think it would be an old man, but no, maybe an old woman. Who knows who their next president will be?!
Iran will become an election slogan - "I will withdraw American troops in a week" or "I will stop the war with Iran in 3 days."

[fuel oil]

IT could ascend to the American throne. Something rainbow-colored, undecided about who it considers itself to be and which closet it should enter.

[Zoldat_A]

Quote: kosmozoo

Iran will become an election slogan - "I will withdraw American troops in a week" or "I will stop the war with Iran in 3 days."

What's interesting is not what exactly they will promise, but that there is someone in America who believes it.

[Revolver]

Quote: kosmozoo

Iran will become an election slogan: "I will withdraw American troops in a week."

It won't. At least, for now, Trump says he has no intention of sending ground troops into Iran. And if "boots on the ground" are required, perhaps this is precisely the role the Europeans have planned for in unblocking Hormuz. They'll scream loudly, but they won't go anywhere. Or, for a small fee, they'll hire meat from countries neighboring Iran—Arabs, Turkmens, and Afghans.

[tralflot1832]

Europe has a cast-iron argument: We are only interested in Biden's war, and only for that can NATO's article be applied. The world is, after all, multipolar.

[NICK111]

Greetings, dear.
Baba Kaya recently told CNN that "Commenting on the possibility of involving NATO forces to restore shipping in the strait, Kallas resolutely rejected this idea, saying that the region is "outside NATO's area of ​​​​operation."
“There are no NATO countries in the Strait of Hormuz,” she concluded.
Yeah, Donya's in deep trouble. He was counting on his lackeys getting involved, but look how it's gone. The Democrats will soon be drinking champagne.

[Vladimir Nizhegorodsky]

Trump played the game.
He says he has run out of trump cards; he has no trump cards.
But he won’t be able to continue the war and he won’t be able to end it either.
You have no trump cards, Donald!!
Let him learn to play chess.

[Alexander_K]

You're all underestimating Trump. He can end the war at any moment, with any outcome, and it will always be a US victory. He can blame the consequences on the Persian monarchies, and internal party squabbles could backfire. And he can steer foreign policy any way he wants. The world has become unipolar, whether anyone likes it or not. And Donya is the king of it. There are many reasons: the Kremlin's lackadaisical policies, the lackluster policies of China and India, the multi-vector vacillations of Iran and all other countries, and the power and determination of the US. You can downvote him as much as you like, downvoters, but reality will disappoint you.

[tralflot1832]

Quote: NICK111

Greetings, dear.
Baba Kaya recently told CNN that "Commenting on the possibility of involving NATO forces to restore shipping in the strait, Kallas resolutely rejected this idea, saying that the region is "outside NATO's area of ​​​​operation."
“There are no NATO countries in the Strait of Hormuz,” she concluded.
Yeah, Donya's in deep trouble. He was counting on his lackeys getting involved, but look how it's gone. The Democrats will soon be drinking champagne.

Greetings Nikolay. Kaiya does have an organ with which she can think, but it's not her head - she eats with it. Most likely, it's an organ with the crown of her head (ppp) and begins with Zh. Guess what, a word with four letters Zh and P are present. The only two vowels left are O and A. Kaiya is definitely aware of the letters, but not the word.

[Revolver]

It is not for nothing that in her native Estonia she is called by her initials - Kaka.

[snow mountain]

After controlling the Panama Canal, kidnapping Maduro and imposing tribute on Gayrop, he felt very dizzy.

[Revolver]

The EU can be all it wants, but it will join the operation to unblock the Strait of Hormuz, and sooner rather than later. It's there, not in America, where the price of gasoline has reached €2.00 per liter and is rapidly rising. Meanwhile, in America, it's currently hovering around $3.50 per gallon and is unlikely to rise significantly. And there's no other way to unblock the Strait except by force, because Israel won't stop fighting until its goals are achieved, much less pay the reparations demanded by Araghchi as a condition for opening the Strait.

[nordscout]

The trap seems to have sprung... Trump was probably talking to the Russian President on the phone, not about the weather...

[Vasyan1971]

Trump says he can end the war with Iran "tomorrow"

Usually, all alcoholics and drug addicts say this...

[Romanenko]

Trump says he can end the war with Iran "tomorrow"

Uh, my dear, there's no easy way out of this showdown; lies and chatter won't lead to victory. But the consequences for the US, the entire Western "commonwealth," and personally for the President of America could be most surprisingly unpredictable.