A year and a half without Gaddafi, or what is the similarity of the new Libya and Russia of the 90 — s model of the beginning?
On May 20, Libya is preparing to celebrate the 1,5-year milestone of "gaining democracy." That’s how much time has passed since the raging crowd literally tore the head of Libya on the street of Colonel Gaddafi’s hometown (Sirte), and immediately after that, US Secretary of State Mrs. Clinton uttered her historical "Wow!", Learning about the death of Gaddafi from his assistants by phone. The bloodied corpse of the long-term leader of one of the most successful African states has long been “on display” in the refrigerator for storage of agricultural products of the Misurata shopping center for the purpose that the main followers of the “democratic” revolution in Libya take the opportunity to prove to their overseas sponsors how they they hated the living Muammar Gaddafi and how they continue to hate his dead. After such a "farewell" to the colonel, his body, as reported by the new Libyan authorities, along with the bodies of his son and one of the brigade generals, was buried somewhere in the vast expanses of the Libyan desert. Moreover, the word "buried", apparently, is not suitable here ...What has changed is unexpectedly for itself, embarked on the path of the Western version of the democracy of Libya in the time that has passed since the death of Muammar Gaddafi. The main result of "democratization" today is that a country like Libya, in fact, does not exist, just as there are no centralized authorities in this fragmented state. If Gaddafi did his best to ensure that individual Libyan clans and tribes abandoned mutual claims and set up on relatively peaceful coexistence within a single state while simultaneously recognizing centralized authorities, now nothing like this can be repeated. Chairman and Prime Minister of the General National Congress of Libya, al-Maqrif and Zendan can somehow control the 30 percentage of Libyan territory, and even then during daylight hours. As soon as night falls on Libya, these percentages of territory turn into an arena of the confrontation between separate Libyan tribes and paramilitary groups that continue in the last 1,5-2 year.
The situation is aggravated by the fact that more and more Libyans today realize that in the 2011 year, the tragedy occurred with their once successful state, which was brought here from outside. And most are aware of the fact who exactly turned Libya into scattered territorial pieces, whose leaders are in constant confrontation with each other. Against this background, there are increasingly appeals to follow Gaddafi Jr. (we are talking about Gaddafi’s son Saadi), who allegedly is about to gather the necessary forces to try to restore that order in Libya that was here before the beginning of the bloody revolution fueled by West.
It must be recalled that a month before the death of his father, Saadi Gaddafi, he managed to escape from Libya, seized by the fighting, along with several other members of the large colonel’s family. At the same time, Saadi Gaddafi, who had by that time managed to command certain parts of the Libyan government forces, was put on the international wanted list. In 2011, Saadi found refuge in Niger, from where he tried to spread information that in some time counter-revolution could begin in Libya. It is noteworthy that for many Libyan citizens such information caused a certain positive. This confirms the enthusiasm with which in various Libyan cities pasted and continue to paste leaflets with texts of Saadi's speech about the need to fight with the appointees of the West, who managed to seriously settle in Libya.
Discussing information about the upcoming military action, which Gaddafi Jr. allegedly should lead, intensified in Libya after news came from Niger that Saadi had left this state. If the threats that were sent to the new authorities, Saadi Gaddafi, will begin to materialize, then these new authorities, who can hardly be called the authorities of Libya, will have a hard time. Understanding this, the leaders of the WNC (General National Congress) - the authority positioning itself as the centralized authority of Libya - decided to urgently enlist the support of those soldiers who once fought on the side of Colonel Muammar Gaddafi. For this, the most prosaic move was taken, which can only be talked about in this situation. Former members of the Libyan army, who now serve in the new army of the country, simply raised the level of money allowances and even paid one-time bonuses for VNK support in the amount from 2 to 3 thousand dollars. All this, obviously, aims to ensure that the military ignored those appeals that Saadi has been advocating lately and did not side with him.
Only the new Libyan “authorities” need to take into account that not only the former soldiers of the Gaddafi army, but also large tribes, who are trying to push back from the ability to rule the country and make substantial profits, can bring substantial negative about them. They naturally take this into account, but they cannot afford to extend the preferences to all the major Libyan clans by definition. After all, the leaders of these very tribes are clearly not going to be content with 2 with thousands of American dollars, but they are interested in “steering” the country and its resources with their own hands. If Saadi Gaddafi uses exactly the "tribal" card in Libya and gives promise in the event of a victory of the counter-revolution, to give a place in power to the leaders of various tribes with all the consequences, then the current government in Libya is clearly shaky. But so far, apparently, all Saadi’s appeals for revolt remain appeals. Or is it a calm before the new Libyan storm? ..
At the time, while Saadi Gaddafi is trying to find the strength and means to overthrow the pro-Western henchmen in Libya, the second son of the colonel, Seif al-Islam, who was captured by troops supported by a foreign coalition, appeared in court 2011 a few days ago. city of Zintan (northwest of Libya). It is noteworthy that those people in whose hands 1,5 of the year is Seif al-Islam are not going to extradite him to the “central” authorities of the country, nor are they going to hand him over to the International Tribunal. This once again proves the level of authority that VNK has today ...
The central government of Gaddafi Jr. is accused of corruption and war crimes. If he somehow suddenly finds himself in The Hague, then there is another trial awaiting him on charges of crimes against humanity. However, the Libyan authorities are not going to extradite Seyf al-Islam to The Hague, and the leaders of the insurgent group in whose hands he is not handing over the son of Colonel Gaddafi to the authorities themselves (in Tripoli). It is obvious that Gaddafi Jr. in Zintan has become a hostage, for the right to condemn which the same rebel leaders expect substantial rewards from Tripoli, and Tripoli is waiting for rewards from their main sponsors - the EU. In general, the big democratic game "who will give more for the right of the next execution".
Against this background, further unrest swept the revolutionary capital of Libya, the city of Benghazi. Apparently, on that city and revolutionary, so that the revolution in it never stopped. This time, a number of government buildings were blocked by supporters of the 2011 revolution of the year, who are expressing their displeasure at the fact that a number of government officials of the times of Colonel Gaddafi were again in power. Two ministries are blocked, their work is paralyzed.
After this blockade, the Libyan ministries of power (at least, that is what they call themselves) were quickly forced to concoct a law that would put a barrier to the so-called Gaddafists who want to be in power. How is it, however, democratic: if you want to become a Libyan official, do not even think about what you supported, and even more so, support the course that the state followed under the colonel. Well, this is really the Russian sample of the beginning of 90: you want to go to the highest echelons of power, you want to get friendly pats on the shoulder from the West - say that you hate communists with all the fibers of your soul ...
The sharpest political crisis in Libya leads to the fact that this country has not yet adopted a new constitution. Moreover, even its final draft still remains elusive, despite parliamentary elections held in the country. Difficulties with the adoption of the draft constitution again lie in the fact that Libya as a single state, in fact, ceased to exist in the 2011 year. And how to create a single one that suits all the main body of laws, if a country is torn into pieces, each of which is controlled by its own authorities, often preferring the votes of automata to negotiations with each other? So far, the only authority that is respected by all parties in Libya is weapon. This is a fact from which modern Libya cannot escape ...
If we talk about the Libyan economy, then it is in no less deplorable condition than the Libyan political system. The only sector that is starting to recover is the oil production sector. Only here there is an important nuance. Oil production is carried out mainly by foreign companies, which, enriched by themselves, are unlikely to make the lives of ordinary Libyans better, as was the case with Gaddafi. Revenues to the Libyan budget from the sale of oil abroad fell by several times compared with what was, for example, in the 2009 year. This suggests that today the same European Union, which at one time so advocated the democratization of Libya, in all likelihood, with the help of "de-democratized" Libya (more precisely, its oil) is simply trying to rectify its position during the next manifestation of the economic recession. At the same time, Libya itself receives crumbs from the master's table, not being able to restore the infrastructure destroyed during the years of the civil war and establish full-fledged trade relations with its regular economic partners on favorable terms.
Yield for the agricultural sector in Libya fell by a third compared with 2010. The number of unemployed beats all historical records of recent times. According to the latest data, the unemployment rate in the country reaches 44%, while the unemployment benefit is reduced compared to the benefit of Gaddafi times by almost 9 times! Banking activity in Libya, according to the IMF, fell to the level of the mid-70-s, and to restore its values acceptable for economic development will require fundamental reforms and full-fledged privatization of various sectors of the economy. With the phrase “full-fledged privatization is necessary,” the program for “taking Russia out of the crisis” of the sample of the first half of 90’s is recalled. If Libya, in addition to everything, is also waiting for the privatization scenarios that have been worked out in our country, then its people can once again sympathize ...
Obviously, both for their European and American “partners”, Libya as a state has lost all interest, but clearly it has not lost as an object for total capital gaining. The games in artificial democracy, as shown by historical and geopolitical practice, lead to one result: to run hands in the depths, to get state property in hands, to abandon the usual system of values, and then a new split and new feuds with “games for survival” under the banner parade of sovereignties. So far, we are working with Libya according to this scenario, which we have already experienced for ourselves ...
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