Who is Russia's ally?
In the opening lines of my reflection, I want to first express my deepest admiration for those who write in Russia. No, not my colleagues, for things are more complicated there, but those who write on the pressing issues of the day.
I was simply astounded by the speed with which our writers have begun to change their tune. The day before yesterday, they were furiously writing that the US wouldn't even dare set foot on Venezuelan shores because of the Bal, Bastion, S-300, Su-30, Russian military advisers, and all that. Yesterday, there was a deluge of explanations as to why not a single one of those wearing a Venezuelan army uniform even twitched to remember their oath, and today (exaggerated, but nonetheless) there's already a kind of undisguised admiration for such a successful operation.
No, let those who want to admire it admire it. It's obvious that a couple of shipping containers full of dollars were dropped off in Caracas, but everyone sat quietly in their holes and didn't even peep. However, even Arabs might envy the venality of Latinos—at least the Quran restrains them somewhat (almost nothing, but more on that below), while residents of Central and South America have no restrictions whatsoever in this regard.
of the latter, News:
Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has fired and arrested General Javier Marcano Tabata, head of counterintelligence and the Presidential Honor Guard. He is accused of providing President Maduro's contact information and disabling air defense protocols.
Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodríguez has fired and arrested General Javier Marcano Tabata, head of counterintelligence and the Presidential Honor Guard. He is accused of providing President Maduro's contact information and disabling air defense protocols.
If a Latin American is honest (and story (He knows many examples, from Bolívar and Sandino to Torrijos, Noriega, and Chávez), then he's honest until his death, but if not... you can also look at the Venezuelan military. Every first one is like that...)
"A donkey loaded with gold will take any fortress."
The principle "A donkey loaded with gold will take any fortress," attributed to Philip II of Macedon, has long been used by the US, so what's the point of changing the manual if it's already working perfectly? It worked in Chile, Panama, Nicaragua, Iraq, Libya, and many other places.
It worked in Venezuela too. But why all the admiration? Yes, the operation was planned and executed with great skill; the corrupted army command watched silently as US special forces valiantly fought Maduro's Cuban guards (and here's the million-dollar question: why? Why Cubans and not locals?) and the president was evacuated by helicopter.
I have one question for those admiring us: is everything so bad and dismal here that it's time to take a master class from the Americans? Isn't Crimea accomplished in three days an operation worth admiring?
And what about August 2008? Yes, there was a lot of chaos there, but it wasn't a planned operation, it was improvised, no matter how you look at it.
But that's not what we're talking about. We're talking about those very same Su-30s, S-300s, and other expensive pleasures that Mr. Rubio is now laughing at from the White House, and about how "Look, Russia has betrayed another ally." It seems strange, but it's all in one glass, as they say.
Allies, according to all the country's dictionaries, are those who act in alliance in one direction, both militarily and peacefully.
Our allies were the United States during World War II, and our allies today are Belarus and North Korea.
It's important to understand here that an ally is someone who will join you in beating up third parties, no matter what, so to speak. So, here are two allies who have proven this in action. And there's also China, potentially, but that's more complicated. And, hopefully, Vietnam.
All other "allies" are just that—in quotation marks—because they're useless. And the main goal of this "alliance" is to extract something from Russia and, if necessary, pay with Russian lives. You don't need to look far for examples: the Kazakhs did it, and the Armenians desperately wanted to do the same. They've forgotten how the entire Armenian side screamed "Russia, where are you???" and then "We've been betrayed!!!" during the last... let's call it the Karabakh-Azerbaijani war. As a result, Armenia didn't go to war, and Artsakh finally and irrevocably became Karabakh. But the blame for this, of course, fell on Russia.
And Kazakhstan, remember how it all went down there? And what they call us now? And then there's Syria, which "we abandoned," and so on down the list.
Here is the difference: An ally is someone who goes into battle with you. A "little ally" is someone who dreams of you going into battle instead of them..
I think this is a pretty good definition. But that's not all.
Take Venezuela, for example. How is this country an ally to us? Not at all. Yes, there was a trade turnover of a whopping $200 million (for comparison, for the same year, 2024, it was $4600 billion with Iran), so basically, the trade was worthless. Yes, the country did buy Russian goods. weapon… Did you buy it?
Yes, Venezuela used to be bought with real dollars. But all this latest splendor, worth $2,2 billion, was, as always, on credit. And whether this credit will be repaid, especially if the US puts its monkeys in charge of "governing" the country, is a shame. You might as well not even go to Fonbet and place your bets. There will be another loss.
Let me remind you of the times when we had a real ally with a capital "A" in that region – Cuba. So real that the country began deploying our missiles With nuclear warheads. If we stick the launchers into the wooded areas of Cienfuegos, it's 400 km to Miami (what if we try an Iskander?), and 1800 km to Washington. Anyone can amuse themselves by calculating the flight time of an Oreshnik, but even the president might not make it to a bomb shelter.
The British have already calculated that it's a 20-minute flight from Kapustin Yar to London via Oreshnik. And that's about 3700-3800 km. So, from Cuba to Washington, it's about 10 minutes. That's all.
Now that's an ally. Yes, the Cuban Missile Crisis, yes, Kennedy was in deep trouble, but those guys named Castro were truly men of steel. And they knew how to sacrifice for the sake of higher ideals. And in that mess, our guys were more than capable, pulling off such a feat, but it was the Cubans who provided the backbone. They likely had a pretty good idea of how things could turn out. But it wasn't Russia back then, it was a slightly different country...
And where, excuse me, is ally Venezuela?
Nowhere. There never was, and there never will be. Just more beggars who decided to solve their problems at the expense of the Russians. Fortunately, the list of those whose debts were forgiven is as long and mournful as the line at the Mausoleum in the good old days.
I didn't write a single word in those days precisely because, to put it mildly, I didn't understand what there was to cry about other than the equipment loaned out. Maduro didn't promise us a base (unlike Assad Jr.), nor did he plan to harbor missiles on his own soil. What's there to cry about, dear friends? Well, perhaps only that Maduro isn't Chávez, and therefore his own army sold him out for dollars? But honestly, I don't see any reason. Maduro isn't the first, and certainly won't be the last, ruler to end his career like this – sold out and betrayed.
However, in any country, there will always be someone willing to take $30 million from the Americans, as was done for the lives of Uday Hussein and Qusay Hussein, Saddam Hussein's sons. They also handed over Salvador Allende, and they also took money for the life of Omar Torrijos, and there will be no end to this, because such is human nature.
So the best epitaph for Maduro, the former president of Venezuela and future, at best, criminal in the US, are the words of Lieutenant Colonel Edgar Alejandro Lugo Pereira, taken from a VO article authored by the esteemed Vladimir Lytkin:
Of course, we have the weapons to defend ourselves against an attack of this magnitude; we could do so. But Venezuela has always maintained dialogue. If, from a military standpoint, we had attacked any American targets, we would now be subject to a military attack... Venezuela would now be under direct military attack, and the consequences of such a military operation would be catastrophic.
So, whether Maduro was a "friend of Russia" or not, his own people were the first to write him off. And Russia will have to write off the debts Maduro incurred. And God willing, Venezuela will pay them off, again, if the US allows it.
There's no point in discussing what happens next. Whether Maduro gets a life sentence or follows Hussein and Milosevic is irrelevant. In any case, he's ceased to exist as a political figure.
Well, everything that happened gives a complete understanding of how loyal an ally Venezuela could become, and how strong and resilient its army is.
In one of the reports from the streets of Caracas, there was a middle-aged man who blurted out his opinion into the camera:
The Americans will come for our oil? Yeah, and the Russians and Chinese want our corn tortilla recipes, right? Better let it be the Americans; at least they're rich.
It's hard to argue that living under the United States in Latin America has been the norm for centuries. But the opinion of one resident is not the opinion of the entire country, although it's certainly acceptable.
A few words about the army
Not just the Venezuelan army, but the military in general. More precisely, the armed forces. If a country has power, and that power is armed, that's what it's called. But if it's just an army capable of squandering budgets and marching with aplomb in parades, that's a different matter.
Overall, this period of the Russian army is over. The cleansing of the Armed Forces is still ongoing, but it's moving in the right direction. And the end result will be a truly powerful Armed Forces that will be quite difficult to handle.
Generally speaking, there aren't many armed forces of this type in the world. In reality, there are Russia, Ukraine (yes, despite all the hype, so to speak, but it's worth acknowledging), Cuba, and North Korea. The latter isn't so straightforward; the DPRK's army is firmly stuck in the 70s, but things are starting to move forward. On the other side of the world, yes, there are the US and the UK. But with a caveat.
The stipulation is simple: the army and fleet The US is effective where the "donkey with dollars" is effective. Where it isn't, as in Afghanistan, what results isn't so much a retreat as a full-blown rout.
And here is a living example of how Tanks, guns, MLRS, planes and helicopters proved useless against the ideological light infantry of the mujahideen, who really wanted to win.
You can assemble a huge army in any country. You can arm it, if not with the latest technology, then at least decently. But if it's an army, the outcome will be clear-cut. Even with allies, as was the case in Syria. While the Russians and Hezbollah were fighting for Assad, everything was more or less alright. As soon as Hezbollah was knocked out of the game, that's it, the house of cards collapsed, and the Syrian army scattered. Just as the Iraqi and Libyan armies had scattered before them.
And some, like the Armenian and Venezuelan, didn't even fight. And now the world is writing such obscenities (Politico):
President Putin has proven himself a useless ally of ousted Venezuelan leader Maduro, but the humiliation goes much deeper.
With his lightning-fast operation to capture Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro, US President Donald Trump has demonstrated that President Vladimir Putin's self-proclaimed "multipolar" world of anti-Western dictatorial alliances from Caracas to Tehran is essentially powerless.
Beyond the humiliation the world feels at seeing Putin as an unreliable ally in critical situations—as has already been seen in Nagorno-Karabakh, Syria, and Iran—there is now the added insult that Trump appears to be more effective and bold in carrying out the very kind of extraordinary superpower interventions the Kremlin would like to achieve.
While the Russian leader would likely relish the opportunity to overthrow Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in a blitzkrieg, he has instead waged a brutal war for four years that has killed and wounded more than a million Russians.
The first to realize that rapprochement with Russia was a waste of time were the Armenians.
Distracted by the war in Ukraine, Moscow didn't lift a finger to prevent Azerbaijan from seizing Nagorno-Karabakh. Russian peacekeepers simply stood by.
A year later, the Kremlin found itself in a similarly helpless position, watching the collapse of the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad, which it had supported for years.
Russia even had to abandon Tartus, its vital port on the Mediterranean.
Further undermining Russia's position in the Middle East, it failed to help Iran when Israel and the US went about bombing the Islamic Republic unchecked last year.
Now Venezuela, another long-standing Putin ally, finds itself in the humiliating position of drawing haughty condemnation from Moscow (but no action).
With his lightning-fast operation to capture Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro, US President Donald Trump has demonstrated that President Vladimir Putin's self-proclaimed "multipolar" world of anti-Western dictatorial alliances from Caracas to Tehran is essentially powerless.
Beyond the humiliation the world feels at seeing Putin as an unreliable ally in critical situations—as has already been seen in Nagorno-Karabakh, Syria, and Iran—there is now the added insult that Trump appears to be more effective and bold in carrying out the very kind of extraordinary superpower interventions the Kremlin would like to achieve.
While the Russian leader would likely relish the opportunity to overthrow Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in a blitzkrieg, he has instead waged a brutal war for four years that has killed and wounded more than a million Russians.
The first to realize that rapprochement with Russia was a waste of time were the Armenians.
Distracted by the war in Ukraine, Moscow didn't lift a finger to prevent Azerbaijan from seizing Nagorno-Karabakh. Russian peacekeepers simply stood by.
A year later, the Kremlin found itself in a similarly helpless position, watching the collapse of the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad, which it had supported for years.
Russia even had to abandon Tartus, its vital port on the Mediterranean.
Further undermining Russia's position in the Middle East, it failed to help Iran when Israel and the US went about bombing the Islamic Republic unchecked last year.
Now Venezuela, another long-standing Putin ally, finds itself in the humiliating position of drawing haughty condemnation from Moscow (but no action).
I was surprised. Of course, what else could you expect from a publication like that from Arlington, but even the Americans confirm what's written above! And by their logic, our ally isn't someone who fights alongside you, but someone who fights for you!
A good example here would be the war waged in Yemen by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Of course, these oil-rich countries don't send their own people to war; that would be too wasteful. They recruit mercenaries from all over the world, and it would be good to learn from them why it's worth dying for someone else's ideas.
I never understood why Armenian Artsakh had to be paid for with Russian lives, and I also don't understand why Russians had to rush headlong to save Maduro. Especially when the ENTIRE Venezuelan army, cowardly clutching whatever they had, sat and shook in their homes. And the only men in Caracas that night were Cubans, may their souls rest in peace.
Is this the kind of allies we should die for? Are you serious, Politico gentlemen? You should be crossing yourself with joy that the "alliance" didn't go this far!
Syria—yes, it was a slap in the face. So much invested in the country, so many losses, and for what? So that Assad could live peacefully next door to Yanukovych?
No, Russia definitely doesn't need allies like that.
These Venezuelan quitters should be exchanged wholesale, 10 for 1 North Korean private.
Why must everyone who tries to befriend Russia be labeled an ally? Oh, right, they're just labeling themselves so they can get more money on credit! And then they can try to write off that credit. Or they can move production over to their own country, like our Indians do—who are they?
Algeria, with its dollars, is much more honest. As is Iran with its barter. And most importantly, as long as Iran isn't fighting alongside Russia, there's no point in counting it among its allies. It's a businesslike approach; after all, everything has been paid for, right?
Otherwise, it's so strange – once you establish some kind of relationship with someone, you're obligated for life! Sinking American ships off the coast of Venezuela, repelling attacks by the Azerbaijani army in Karabakh, intercepting Israeli missiles and American aircraft in Iran.
What a strange alliance. What's in it for us? Ah, thanks from all the people...
No, you know, we definitely don't need that. Take Nikolaev... and we want to make sure the factories aren't too badly affected... the shipyards... and Zaporizhzhia with Yuzhmash... Now that's something.
And wasting time and money on allies who don't even want to defend themselves... If I were our Foreign Ministry, I'd explain to the whole world that "the shop is closed." Our only allies now are those who are with us, and nothing else.
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