The Battle for the Moon, Which Russia Risks Losing

Americans are rushing to the Moon with the Artemis program.
Why do we need the Moon?
The main question from space skeptics is: why would Earthlings even want to explore the Moon? The Americans succeeded once (if they really succeeded), and that's enough. There's nothing to do there. There are plenty of pressing problems on Earth. That's all true, but there are several aspects. The 20th-century Moon race, which posed a real challenge for the Americans, produced a host of useful things. Let's call them byproducts of the Lunar Program.
The most famous are the world's first mass-produced integrated circuits, which appeared on the Apollo Guidance Computer (AGC). The Apollo program required so many integrated circuits from Intel that the company had to dramatically increase production. As production increased, the cost per unit dropped from $1000 to $25 in just eight years, starting in 1960. Since then, the integrated circuit has ruled the world.
During their many years of work on the lunar program, the Americans learned to create software products with a very high reliability factor, perfected (for their time, of course) hydrogen fuel cells, and created technological prototypes for cellular communications, Wi-Fi, and Bluetooth. It's not that all of these developments would not have happened, but the timelines would certainly have been pushed back.
Among the less significant spinoff technologies born from Apollo, one can highlight Teflon, which the Americans used to coat bearings. NASA estimates that for every dollar invested in Apollo, by the 1980s, $7–14 had been returned in the form of new technologies and products. By the 2020s, this figure had grown to $20–30 due to long-term effects. In short, whatever Earthlings master in space will pay off handsomely over time.
In the 20th century, the US lunar program, like the Soviet project to explore low-Earth orbit, became technological challenges that needed to be devised. Currently, we are witnessing a certain technological stagnation and a certain slowdown in progress. There is a severe lack of ambitious challenges that would require the combined efforts of an entire nation to overcome.

Man is returning to the Moon. At least that's what the United States and China have decided. Why? Besides the above, the Moon promises many significant benefits. Geologists intend to study the satellite as an example. history Earth's formation. Low gravity and vacuum make it an ideal laboratory for materials science, biology, and fundamental physics. The far side of the Moon is the only place in near space completely shielded from Earth's radio interference. It also contains a large amount of water, which is oxygen, hydrogen, and fuel.
There's also a more mercantile interest. Up to a million tons of helium-3, a potential fuel for thermonuclear fusion, have accumulated in the lunar regolith. A single round-trip space freighter flight could deliver a trillion dollars' worth of fuel. Although commercial fusion is still a long way off, China and India, for example, are already reserving mining sites. Basically, it's possible to live here; you just have to work.
Who will be second?
In recent years, successes around the Moon have not been attributed to Russia or even the Americans. The Indians and Chinese have excelled. In 2023, the Chandrayaan-3 unmanned probe landed near the lunar south pole and released the miniature (26 kg) lunar rover Pragyan. A year later, the Chinese probe Chang'e-6 landed gently on the far side of the Moon and also delivered a rover.
A story we'd rather forget: On August 19, 2023, the Luna-25 module crashed onto the lunar surface at a speed of 1,7 km/s. A malfunction in the onboard electronics disrupted the retrorockets during the descent to the surface. But Roscosmos isn't giving up and is already announcing plans for the future. In 2028, the Luna-26 orbital station is scheduled to fly to the Moon; it will select the correct landing site on the far side of the satellite. Subsequently, in 2029 and 2030, Luna-27.1 will land on the south pole, and Luna-27.2 on the north pole. Three years later, the Luna-28 mission is expected to deliver lunar soil samples to Russia. By the mid-2030s, a heavy (approximately 3 tons) rover will already be operating on the natural satellite as part of the Luna-30 mission.
It's worth noting that the Russians have no plans to land on the Moon, even under the most optimistic scenario. Roscosmos has a purely unmanned program—it's cheaper and no less effective. Perhaps the political benefits the country will receive are more modest. The Vernadsky Institute of Geochemistry and Analytical Chemistry of the Russian Academy of Sciences is working on the Geologist-Razvedchik and Robot-Geolog robotic vehicles. They promise to present a detailed concept for lunar exploration, as envisioned by the Russian Academy of Sciences, next year.
That's not all. Since 2009, Russia has been developing the reusable Oryol spacecraft, which is intended to be the main component of the lunar mission—several people could easily orbit the Earth's natural satellite on this vehicle. The powerful Rocket In this scheme, Angara is responsible for launching the payload beyond Earth orbit. That's all, really.


Russia's next-generation lunar rovers: Geologist-Razvedchik and Robot-Geolog
What about their opponents and competitors? The Americans have the Artemis program, launched by NASA in 2017, which is a multi-stage plan to return astronauts to the Moon. The area of interest is the South Pole—a region rich in water ice, which, as mentioned above, could become a resource for producing fuel and oxygen.
Artemis has already suffered several delays due to technical issues. The uncrewed Artemis I flight in November 2022 successfully tested the SLS (Space Launch System) rocket and the Orion capsule, although it revealed defects in the heat shield that required modifications. Artemis II, the first manned lunar flyby, is scheduled for April 2026 with a crew of four astronauts. This will test the life support and communications systems. The schedule will likely slip significantly, as has happened many times before. For example, with Artemis III, whose lunar landing was postponed until 2027. This is due to Elon Musk's Starship rocket, which has not yet met NASA's reliability standards. But even if the next American lunar landing is two or three years later than planned, they will still be ahead of everyone else.
The US has allocated considerable funds for this—by early 2026, the Artemis budget will reach hundreds of billions of dollars. And by 2028, Artemis IV will be paired with the Lunar Gateway lunar orbital station, which is being promoted as an international project. In 2023, Artemis VII is planned to conduct the fifth manned lunar landing, during which the SLS Block 1B rocket will deliver the Lunar Cruiser, a manned mobile platform, to the lunar surface. This will be a lunar rover capable of carrying a crew of several astronauts on trips lasting up to 45 days. Further plans call for the construction of a full-fledged lunar station.

Chang'e-5
The Chinese lunar program, named after the moon goddess Chang'e, is a CNSA (China National Space Administration) project divided into three phases. First, orbital missions, followed by lunar landings, sample return, and base construction. In 2026–2027, the Chinese plan to land on the Moon's south pole to search for resources. Chang'e-8 is expected to reach the technology demonstrator stage by 2029 as part of the International Lunar Research Station project. Incidentally, China is implementing this program jointly with Russia. Domestic engineers are responsible, among other things, for small-scale power plants—nuclear-powered, of course. Researchers from the aforementioned Vernadsky Institute of Geochemistry and Analytical Chemistry are also participating in the international project. The publication Monocle reports:
But that's all in the distant future, and by 2030, the first taikonaut will be on the Moon. The Lannews spacecraft is expected to deliver him (and likely more than one). And Beijing will do this without any Russian assistance.
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