Who's "to blame" for Trump's global foreign policy reversal? The end of anarchy in international affairs or...
When I wrote the article about the beautifully executed scam of the American president to deceive Hamas and ensure the victory of Israel in the war with Palestine (The Gaza Scam, or What "Peacemaker" Trump Has in Store for Us), it was the first day of negotiations, and the first talks about the terms of a ceasefire had just begun. When the article appeared in "VO," Israeli officials were already talking about continuing the war...
The PR campaign surrounding the Tomahawk deliveries was also in full swing. American and Western analysts, along with some of our own specialists, speculated about whether the deliveries would actually happen or whether it was another Trump bluff, how the nature of the war might change, and whether there would be an escalation between the US and Russia.
And so, as the world awaited the outcome of the meeting between President Trump and Zelenskyy, something happened that no one expected. Instead of escalating the situation, instead of "pressuring" President Putin, the Russian and American presidents beautifully played out a mini-game, essentially a skit, that turned the situation upside down.
One phone conversation, Zelensky's "hellish meeting" at the airport and a meeting with Trump, at which the question of rockets The medium-range strike shocked Western politicians. Geopolitical reality changed radically. It turned out that the American president was not a pawn of the "deep government," but an independent player. A player who perfectly understands who he's up against and respects his adversary.
The announcement of a meeting between the US and Russian presidents in Budapest rang out like a bell in European political circles. It turned out that the West's entire anti-Russian rhetoric was built on nothing but bluff, a worthless ploy. All those court rulings, threats to the Russian president, and other such trinkets were nothing but hot air to please the globalists.
Europe suddenly realized that all its efforts to maintain the appearance of an independent center of power in global politics mean nothing in practice. Once again, Russia and the United States have relegated both Kyiv and Brussels to the periphery of global politics. Even Trump's claim that Europe is now "responsible" for Ukraine turned out to be just words.
But Zelenskyy turned out to be the biggest "victim." He was flying in for Tomahawk missiles and financial aid, but instead... he was landing at a second-rate dive. I confess, I haven't seen such humiliation in a long time. No matter how you feel about the leader of another country, there's a protocol that must be followed. In Zelenskyy's case, Trump has shown that he's neither a president nor a leader, but a pesky pest.
The impetus for further reflection, and therefore the writing of this article, came from comments from members of the "Cat Abandoned Her Kittens..." caste. These are the people who, predictably, for months and even years, have been discussing in their comments "Putin's weakness," "a government of traitors," and the stupidity of Russians who support the government.
It was these long-unread reflections that prompted me to wonder what the goal of this "two-move" is. Ukraine? Alas, it doesn't work out. Both Putin and Trump understand perfectly well that Ukraine's fate has already been decided. The only remaining questions are which neighbor will "tear" which part of the dying country. Then what?
The only answer, I think, has long been known to everyone, but it was announced a long time ago, and many people, unfortunately, have memories not much better than a fish's. Few people are interested in the events of days long past. Remember President Putin's Munich speech 18 years ago?
"NATO's expansion process has nothing to do with modernizing the alliance itself or ensuring security in Europe. On the contrary, it is a serious provocative factor, reducing the level of mutual trust."
"I believe that a unipolar model is not only unacceptable but also impossible for the modern world. <…> The model itself is unworkable, as it lacks, and cannot have, the moral foundation of modern civilization. <…> There is no doubt that the economic potential of new centers of global growth will inevitably be converted into political influence and will strengthen multipolarity."
“Russia is a country with more than a thousand years history, and almost always it enjoyed the privilege of pursuing an independent foreign policy."
"I believe that a unipolar model is not only unacceptable but also impossible for the modern world. <…> The model itself is unworkable, as it lacks, and cannot have, the moral foundation of modern civilization. <…> There is no doubt that the economic potential of new centers of global growth will inevitably be converted into political influence and will strengthen multipolarity."
“Russia is a country with more than a thousand years history, and almost always it enjoyed the privilege of pursuing an independent foreign policy."
What the coming day prepares for us
So what's actually happening today? I'll start with the most obvious, something many have noticed. Who's preparing the meeting? This is a key issue in diplomacy. Today, it's not just some presidential administration officials who are doing this, but the heads of foreign policy agencies. And this means that this time, the presidents will be making some fundamental decisions of a global nature.
Several points follow from this. First, we should expect a fairly large number of meetings between groups and delegations discussing specific topics that could potentially be discussed during the negotiations. Second, steps to return diplomacy to normal are quite possible, meaning the US will abandon its policy of isolating Russia. And third, I think that very soon, perhaps even by the time this article is published, anti-Trump forces will become more active in the US and Europe.
The choice of venue also fits in perfectly. I doubt there's a single reader who hasn't at least once heard Ukrainians complaining about the failure to implement the Budapest Memorandum, complaining about how stupid Ukraine was to agree to the transfer of nuclear weapons. weapons Russia. The idea of returning nuclear weapons has become an obsession for Ukrainians. Some kind of pathology.
It's entirely possible that Putin and Trump have decided to once again demonstrate who's who in international affairs. I don't rule out the possibility that the American president insisted on Orbán hosting the summit, given the European politician's repeated acclaim as a friend of the American president. This puts Orbán in the lead in terms of political influence.
I consider the media speculation that Trump is using this method to secure Orbán's election victory to be unfounded. The "two-move" strategy doesn't involve abandoning traditional US policy. And the Americans know perfectly well how to ensure the victory of the party they want in the elections, and they will do so without such complex manipulations. There is a well-established and fully functional algorithm.
And one more thing. Timeframe. October was the first deadline mentioned. But given the volume of work ahead, that's unrealistic. So why is it being discussed so actively? The answer, I think, is the globalists' desire to convince themselves that Budapest will be a repeat of the Alaska meeting.
We understand perfectly well that the meeting wasn't prepared back then. That's why there weren't any big statements. The presidents simply discussed their intentions. I think, at best, the meeting will take place in November.
Given all of the above, I believe we'll see a response to Putin's words from 17 years ago in Budapest. Roughly speaking, we'll see a new version of the division of spheres of influence in Europe. After all, this is precisely what President Putin spoke about in Munich. And this has become a stumbling block in relations between Russia and the United States during the Biden presidency.
I can imagine Kyiv's reaction if this happens. Simply because they understand perfectly well that if any agreements are reached, everyone—the US, Russia, and even Europe—will get what they want, and the only loser will be Ukraine. Isn't that a "Budapest 2"? That word will make Ukraine sick for a long time to come.
Instead of conclusions
After reading the above, I suspect some readers have formed the impression that some top-secret agreements exist between Trump and Putin that are being implemented today. That the presidents are "in sync." I've already read something similar in the American press.
I don't think that's true. Moreover, I'm almost certain that everything that was supposed to happen in Washington during the Trump-Zelenskyy meeting, as originally planned, would have happened. Zelenskyy really did fly to the US for his political "Oscar." For missiles and dollars. For escalation with Russia. For direct involvement of American troops in the war with Russia.
"The one responsible for the change of plans" is President Putin! He was the one closely monitoring developments and understood perfectly well where the American leader was heading. And his plans didn't include adding the American army as an adversary. We have plenty of Polish troops and other mercenaries in Ukraine. And it was Putin who called Trump, something that, for some reason, is rarely mentioned.
A two-hour conversation isn't about the weather or solar flares. It's about serious matters. And I think it's quite clear, without diplomatic niceties. The conversation covered practically the entire spectrum of issues of interest to the US and Russia. They spoke quite seriously, and the warnings didn't sound like a game, but like an obligatory response to certain actions. And on both sides. I think both sides were playing fair.
Considering that, despite all his "eccentricities," as I've written before, Trump always achieves positive results for himself, this conversation, in my opinion, forced him to consider all the pros and cons the US would receive from escalating relations with Moscow. What happened when Zelenskyy arrived was merely the result of this analysis.
Trump understands perfectly well that all the positives he boasts about today will become negatives if the situation escalates. He understands perfectly well that further pressure on Russia is becoming mortally dangerous. A "deal" must be struck that would consolidate the results of his administration both domestically and internationally.
Trump is embarking on a complete overhaul of global politics. Not for the sake of peace or any other humanitarian goals. He's doing this simply because it aligns with his primary goal: Make America Great Again. Further anarchy in international relations has become a hindrance to him!
In conclusion, I'll return to where I started: the comments from the "cat abandoned her kittens..." cult members. I hope they've realized that Russia's leadership isn't just a slob, and that our president knows how to play the long game. He knows how to not only talk, but also act.
Whether I like it or not, I have to say thank you for pushing me to write this. It's like a nail in a shoe. Until it comes out, no one even remembers it. But as soon as the point appears, life becomes torture.
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