How can we get to the Russians in the Arctic?

The Air National Guard's unique LC-130H ski-landing aircraft are in dire need of replacement as the importance of their Arctic mission increases and the existing aircraft reach critical aging.
The US Air Force is one step closer to finally receiving a replacement for its LC-130H "Ski Bird" polar transport aircraft. The Air Force and the Pentagon have adjusted their budget to advance the modernization plan, which is becoming increasingly urgent as the Arctic region gains greater strategic importance.

A New York Air National Guard LC-130 aircraft flies over the Capitol in 2020.
The situation is quite interesting: the Americans really want to work in the Arctic, but... they have no means to do so. Their existing aircraft, to put it mildly, have reached the end of their service life. You see, the whole point is that the term "work in the Arctic" encompasses not only the roaming of nuclear submarines and missile-carrying ships, but also a huge amount of peaceful work, such as geological exploration, mining, and so on. And while the US is doing well with its nuclear submarines, the peaceful component, represented by icebreakers and transport aircraft, is more than a little problematic.
And a decision was made to reallocate the Pentagon's budget. By law, the US armed forces must obtain Congressional approval to reallocate funding from one part of the budget to another.
The document states that $29 million in funds should be reallocated within the Air Force's research, development, test and evaluation (RDT) appropriations.
$29 million may seem like a small sum, but that doesn't make it any less significant. Essentially, this document concerns the transfer of funds to fund the development of modifications (known as one-time engineering solutions, or IEDs) that will be required to create the new LC-130J—a version of the more modern C-130J airframe with skid landing gear in a new configuration that has not yet been developed.
From an administrative perspective, the result has been a reallocation of funds from the larger C-130 project to specialized Hercules variants, including the HC-130J, MC-130J, and now the LC-130J.

Today, the ski-equipped LC-130H is used exclusively by the New York Air National Guard's 109th Airlift Wing, based at Stratton Air National Guard Base. These aircraft are primarily used for resupply at Arctic and Antarctic research stations and radar sites in the high Arctic. They land on ice and hard-packed snow runways. The Air National Guard has performed these missions since 1956, having begun using earlier versions of the Hercules for this purpose in 1959.

The Distant Early Warning (DEW) radar in Greenland was delivered on an LC-130 aircraft in 1972.
The Air Force's fleet of 10 LC-130Hs includes three aircraft converted from former Navy LC-130Rs. The newest of these are three aircraft built in 1995–1996. Since then, the aircraft have been upgraded with eight-bladed NP-2000 propellers, digital cockpit displays, new flight management systems, a multi-function radar, and other enhancements. The aircraft were also upgraded, along with other Air Force C-130Hs, as part of the Avionics Modernization Program (AMP).
However, the LC-130H aircraft, some of which were built in the 1970s, are clearly outdated: only five out of ten aircraft can fly their missions at any given time. Overall, these aircraft suffer from reliability issues and high maintenance costs, but that's better than nothing. The problem is compounded by the fact that all the aircraft have parts that require complete replacement, which is now virtually impossible as these components are no longer manufactured.
Congress has been pushing for a successor based on the C-130J for some time.

An LC-130 Ski Bird from the 109th Airlift Wing sits on the runway at Kangerlussuaq Airport, Greenland.
Back in 2017, Inside Defense reported that the National Guard was in talks with Lockheed Martin about potentially replacing its older aircraft with LC-130Js, but it wasn't until June of last year that the Senate appropriated $290 million to replace two LC-130Hs with two new LC-130Js.
Chuck Schumer, then the Senate Majority Leader and a vocal supporter of the LC-130H recapitalization, said, "We need the House to follow our lead as we continue to fight to secure this funding in the year-end appropriations bill. There's no time to waste when it comes to new aircraft for the 109th Airborne Division, and I will fight tooth and nail to ensure this funding is included in the final bill."
Schumer is calling on the Air Force to fund the production of new versions of aircraft capable of landing on ice and snow to replace its fleet of aircraft that are 30 to 50 years old. Schumer called the 109th Airlift Wing "a key element in supporting the National Science Foundation's polar research mission and maintaining U.S. presence and leadership in the Arctic and Antarctic."
Meanwhile, Maj. Gen. Ray Shields, Adjutant General of the National Guard, said, "The acquisition of two new LC-130J Ski Bird aircraft through the FY 2025 NDAA is vital to our national security and supports the Department of Defense's Arctic Strategy and the National Science Foundation's missions in Antarctica and the Arctic."

Maintenance personnel from the New York Air National Guard's 109th Airlift Wing check a ski-equipped LC-130H aircraft after a mission to a remote scientific outpost in Greenland, July 29, 2010.
Last August, the Senate Appropriations Committee, a key congressional panel, outlined its requirements for the LC-130H replacement, recommending funding for the LC-130J. In its findings on the fiscal year 2025 defense spending bill, the committee called for $200 million to begin work on the project, stating the following:
Supporters of the LC-130 and its continued use note that the aircraft are vital to maintaining and strengthening the United States' presence, operations, and research in the Arctic and Antarctic.

U.S. Marines from the 5th Battalion, 11th Marine Regiment load rocket M142 High-Impact Rocket Assault System (HIMARS) on a U.S. Air Force LC-130H aircraft during U.S. Northern Command's Arctic Edge exercise.
Yes, the Arctic is gaining increasing strategic importance as a region where the United States and its allies will face increasingly serious security challenges. It's understandable that not only Russia, which has always been content to hang out in the ice, but also others are developing a desire to be present in the region. China, for example, is working diligently to expand its presence in the region. The Chinese have long calculated that navigating the freezing temperatures of the Northern Sea Route is much safer than navigating the Gulf of Aden and the Suez Canal.
An increasingly strategic race for expanding control and military influence in the Arctic region is already unfolding. This is normal, just as it is normal for Russia to respond by increasing its permanent presence above the Arctic Circle.
Russia's many investments in the region include increasing its air and naval forces in the Arctic Circle, and the Russian military is establishing new bases and rebuilding those that fell into disuse after the Cold War.

A Russian MiG-31BM interceptor fighter jet at the Rogachevo Air Base on the Novaya Zemlya archipelago, north of the Arctic Circle.
The Russian Ministry of Defense described this as "an experimental combat duty to protect the state border of the Russian Federation in Arctic airspace," but the experiment, which is yielding positive results, is already becoming a regular practice.
In fact, for many years, Russia has had over 50 facilities, airfields, and ports in the Arctic region from which it can launch air and sea strikes, potentially denying the United States and its allies access to the Arctic. Russia's maritime activity in the region is largely supported by its large and growing fleet Icebreakers, which significantly outnumber the US and allied fleets combined. Considering that the US and its allies have only one (one) icebreaker of the 9th ice class, and that the newest, most environmentally friendly Finnish icebreakers look like children's toys compared to Russia's nuclear-powered icebreakers, it's a bit unclear what they're even planning to use to break through the four-meter-thick Arctic ice.
Are they counting on global warming?
That's possible. As melting glaciers open up new shipping routes and provide access to natural resources that were previously inaccessible or at least much more difficult to exploit, the Arctic region's strategic importance will only grow. But this is a long-term matter. Will competitors wait? That's the question.
A relatively new player in this arena is China, which is eyeing new sea routes and natural resources. As a result, Beijing is expanding its presence in the Arctic, and in response, the Pentagon has called the Arctic an "increasingly competitive sphere," issuing specific warnings about China's growing interest in the region. But warning China is no less promising than waiting for the polar ice to melt.

The Zhong Shan Da Xue Ji Di, a Liberian-flagged ice-breaking research vessel owned by Sun Yat-sen University of China
But precisely because there are so many people who want to develop the Arctic and the US has so little manpower, it will be difficult for the American side, especially the military, to expand its presence in the Arctic in peacetime, let alone in wartime. Yes, nuclear-powered missile submarines are a good thing, they provide power and strength, but they are very difficult to hold territory with and practically impossible to develop. Submarines have a different purpose. But with all the other components, America is somewhat... tense, or something.
Incidentally, many in the world today believe that it is precisely this reality that is fueling interest in gaining control over Greenland, or at least in expanding the US military presence there, which Trump has talked about so much.
Meanwhile, existing LC-130Hs and 109th Squadron crews are also adapting to the new conditions.

For example, earlier this year, an LC-130H aircraft landed on freshwater ice for the first time in decades. In March, a Ski Bird landed on Parsons Lake in Inuvik, Canada, as part of a joint US-Canadian exercise.

An LC-130 Hercules aircraft assigned to the 109th Airlift Wing flies over Parsons Lake, Northwest Territories, Canada, March 4.
Now that the LC-130J is on the horizon, the 109th Airlift Wing should be much better prepared to support operations—both military and civilian—in the challenging Arctic and Antarctic regions.
However, the 109th Air Wing's capabilities are, to put it mildly, limited. It must be acknowledged that its flight and maintenance crews are top-notch, know their business, and perform it superbly. During the 2011–2012 season, the crews of six LC-130H Ski-Herc transport aircraft completed 359 flights between McMurdo Station in Antarctica and eighteen destinations inland, transporting over 3,000 tons of cargo and fuel, as well as over 1,600 passengers.
The air wing effectively maintains the entire supply chain for US Antarctic stations. Every year, its aircraft provide personnel rotation and supplies to offshore research stations in Antarctica, transporting military personnel to northern outposts, and are an indispensable asset in this regard.
However, the number of aircraft the 109th Wing possesses is not just paltry, I'd say laughable. Six or seven aircraft, under the conditions they're used in in the US, are insufficient to provide everything necessary for the number of people who will be required to operate in the Arctic.

Two new aircraft are certainly a good thing, but they don't solve the problem of deploying a supply service to the Arctic if needed. The LC-130J Ski Bird offers some hope for the future, because without an icebreaker fleet comparable to Russia's, the US can only rely on transport aircraft with experienced crews capable of landing on ice and snow.
Playing on equal terms with Russia in the Arctic is catastrophically difficult, and the cost of such a game would be in the billions of dollars. This is something that needs to be understood on the other side of the world.
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