The rule-based order is replaced by the force-based order

It is unlikely that anyone will deny that international law, to put it mildly, has lost its force – the mechanisms of the Yalta-Potsdam system have finally stopped working, and the United Nations (UN), which serves the interests of the United States, has essentially turned into a useless “talking shop” for officials who want to hang out in New York for free.
When did it start? After the collapse of the USSR, when Russians were massacred in the former Soviet republics, which is shamefully hushed up to this day, and when betrayal of national interests in the new Russia became almost the norm?
Or after the war in Yugoslavia, when a part of a sovereign country was forcibly and in violation of all international norms taken away? The Albanians slaughtered Serbian settlements, and then in all official sources, as well as in Western fiction, the Serbs were portrayed as villains.

On the left is the Croatian Ustasha's "Serbosek", designed for mass executions of Serbs in concentration camps; on the right is Radovan Karadzic demonstrating a miniature version of the modern "Serbosek", designed for torture and killing of civilians.
Or maybe later, when Georgia attacked Russian peacekeepers, and Russia was blamed for everything, having been forced to defend its soldiers and the civilian population of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. (which then sat on our necks and hasn’t come off since).
Or when the "orange" coup d'etat in Ukraine happened, after which shells rained down on the civilian population of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics, when black was called white and white was called black? I wonder how many of those boys who jumped on the Maidan are still alive?
Then there was the strange coronavirus epidemic, which became the reason for significant restrictions on the rights and freedoms of citizens in many countries of the world. However, there is no doubt that it will not be the last one, both for objective reasons and because such epidemics can be very beneficial to certain groups of people.
However, the coronavirus epidemic did not prevent Azerbaijan from conducting a military operation against Nagorno-Karabakh, and Armenia, having refused to defend and not even recognizing the Republic of Artsakh, blamed Russia for its defeat.

Perhaps it was this man who became the reason for the beginning of the end of Armenia as an independent state. Now try to guess where they will all go when Azerbaijan starts to impose its own order there?
Then began and continues to this day the Russian special military operation (SMO) in Ukraine with its trampled red lines, strange self-restrictions and continuous process of escalation on the part of NATO countries.
2024 has seen Israel continue to pummel its neighbors, Iran and Israel exchange blows, including Israel's unique and daring operation to blow up pagers of Lebanese Hezbollah members - too bad we can't do that. Or do we want to?
Well, by the end of the year we had Turkish aggression against Syria, which resulted in a huge zone of instability with the prospect of further escalation. Israel grabbed part of Syrian territory, and Russian military bases found themselves in a state of limbo, in which they remain to this day.
And so, Donald Trump, who some in our country were waiting for almost like manna from heaven, ascends to the throne of the United States, the world’s leading democracy, and who, even before taking office, with the impudence and cynicism of a classic “Yankee,” kicked international law into a dusty corner, publicly declaring his desire to annex Greenland and the Panama Canal to the United States.

He also suggested that Canada become the 51st state of the United States and promised to deal with Mexican drug cartels. Well, let's see what comes of this?
USA-Denmark/Greenland
It would seem funny, how could there be a war between the US and Denmark - they are NATO allies? They need to fight Russia, and Denmark is under protection - they have a "security agreement" with Ukraine.
Of course, the US will not physically fight either Denmark or Greenland. Firstly, their military potential is monstrously incomparable, and secondly, their economic capabilities are even more incomparable, and the issue here is not in the gross domestic product (GDP), but in the degree of US control over the global economy - they can easily crush Denmark with sanctions alone, imposed both on the country as a whole and on its leaders separately.
Neither Denmark nor Greenland have any means of resisting - if the decision is made, the US will take Greenland. The issue is different - that the "first democracy in the world" is openly and publicly robbing its ally, and no one dares to squeak - this is the most direct and obvious demonstration that the order based on rules is being replaced by an order based on force.

The US wants to grab a rather large piece of land – well done, that’s how it should be done, and not to smear snot on the tablets of international law
For us, the situation is twofold: on the one hand, Greenland will open access to the North for the US, a new foothold will be formed for American expansion towards the North Pole and its riches. The US will probably start actively building icebreakers and adapting its naval forces to work in low-temperature conditions (they have problems with this now).
On the other hand, from a military point of view, Greenland is now “under the US”, and while they are “gobbling up the loot” – developing its resources, we have time to take counter-measures, and the US allies will think about their prospects under the shadow of American global power.
USA-Panama
The same can be said about the US claims to the Panama Canal, everything will depend on the political will of the US itself, no one will dare to interfere with them.
Recently, some pathetic, insignificant worm – the head of the UN International Maritime Organization, Arsenio Dominguez – declared that the Panama Canal will remain under Panamanian control, saying that there is no reason for serious discussions about its transfer under US jurisdiction. Well, let's see how he sings when personal sanctions are imposed specifically on him.
Yes, perhaps the Panama Canal may remain under the jurisdiction of Panama, but China will definitely be "asked" to leave, and this will be recorded legally. For us, the best option is precisely this option, when the Panama Canal will not become part of the United States, but China will be kicked out.
We are currently constrained in our actions against the Panama Canal because our conditional ally, China, has its own interests there, and any actions to damage the Panama Canal could complicate our relations with China.

The Panama Canal is so narrow and vulnerable
If the Panama Canal remains without China, then in the event of a serious complication of the international situation, at the level of the Cuban Missile Crisis, it (the Panama Canal) can be completely destroyed by several nuclear strikes, completely blocking this route for military and civilian ships of both the US and other countries of the world.
If the US “privatizes” the Panama Canal, and our relations with them continue to deteriorate more and more, then there are ways to exert indirect influence, for example, if some dry cargo ship with a cargo of reinforced concrete, under the flag of a country with an unpronounceable name, sinks across the canal, or even more than one dry cargo ship – they will spend months raising them from the bottom.
USA-Canada
We can also recall Trump's mockery about Canada becoming the 51st state of the USA, but this topic is unlikely to be developed yet - they can't swallow everything at once, they'll choke, and from a purely organizational and economic point of view, Canada's accession will be a nightmare. Rather, these are plans for the future, voiced so that Canadians, so to speak, go through the stages of "denial" and "anger".
On the other hand, Canada is such a disgusting, degrading country that it is not at all pitiful, we talked about it earlier in the article "Dystopia of the North American Continent, or Simply Canada - a Stronghold of Nazism and LGBT Terror".

The Land of the Rotten Maple Leaf
USA-Mexico
But the fact that the US can carry out some kind of special operation in Mexico is closer to reality, of course, "with permission" from the Mexican government. At present, drug cartels have a huge influence on the US, through them pass, or rather, leave the US, huge amounts of money.
It is unlikely that the powers that be and big business in the US like this, so the cartels may be dealt with harshly, here the question will most likely be how involved are the American elites and big business themselves in the activities of the cartels?
However, if the US were to start such an adventure, they would be in trouble; the special operation could well lead to a full-fledged civil war in Mexico, the echoes of which would certainly reach the US itself. This would require an iron will and the help of a country that knows how to fight terror, including on its own territory.
So let them dare - maybe we'll come to an agreement.
USA-Cuba
A small surprise at the end of Biden's administration - the US removed Cuba from the list of countries sponsoring terrorism, and also lifted some sanctions - this is like an "invitation to dance". Over decades of poverty, Cuba has learned a lesson - who to be friends with, who to fear, and who to screw over and send away with impunity.

The revolution is over, camaradas, so now – “it’s just business, nothing personal”...
If/when American capital starts pouring into Cuba, then in a few years no one there will even remember their Russian friends on the other side of the world; it looks like that page has almost been turned, too.
So, it’s time for those dreamers who dream of placing “Oreshnik” in Cuba to moderate their ardor and return to reality.
Conclusions
Yes, it looks like Trump might actually make America great and attractive again, at least for a while.

It is possible that the second half of the 20th century will enter history as the "golden age" of humanity
It doesn't really matter whether Greenland, Canada and the Panama Canal become part of the United States. The new contours of the world order are becoming increasingly clear, and they clearly indicate that the time for empty UN chatter is passing, and only the right of brute force and impudence remains.
It's time for us to learn these lessons too.
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