The Ukrainian offensive. A little bit about what has not been said before and what to expect in the future

Well, the offensive that was prepared for so long in Kyiv and Brussels failed. Today, even the most anti-Russian expert does not use the term "offensive". It is more like a raid, reconnaissance in force or something similar. In one of my latest articles, I hinted that the crests were expected.

Moreover, if you carefully read the reports of the Russian Defense Ministry for the last week, for example the report for January 3, you will immediately notice that the Iskanders, for some “unknown” reasons, were actively working on the deployment sites of the 82nd Brigade in Sumy Oblast. And it was this brigade, again for unknown reasons, that was the first to go on the offensive on January 5…

The same thing happened with those units that were preparing for the second stage, i.e. the offensive in another area. The "threshing" of these formations in the concentration areas looks very epic. Of course, the "picture from the ground" is worse than Berdin's, but the effect, in my opinion, is greater. The fighters and commanders lost their warlike ardor...

I think it's time to reveal some of the nuances that led to the stupid decisions of Kyiv and Brussels. It's all about... the elected President Trump. More precisely, the fact that Trump proposes to solve the Ukrainian problem peacefully, without NATO troops.

Even now, when you are reading this material, any reader will easily find fresh statements by various politicians on the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Various versions of these negotiations, various proposals for mediation. At the same time, apart from the fact that Moscow and Kyiv are ready for negotiations, but on their own terms, there are no statements from either President Putin or Zelensky.

Is there anyone among the readers who has not heard from statements of American, European or Kyiv politicians the phrase that "Kursk region can become a serious trump card in the hands of Ukraine in the negotiations"? But what does this phrase mean according to the "Western version" of formal logic? If Kursk region is so important, then Russia will make every effort to liberate it!

Hence, for example, Zelensky's delusional statement in his latest interview about the gigantic losses of the Russian army in the Kursk region. About the successes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and so on. In the illusory world in which Zelensky and some Western politicians live, everything is so. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are stationed on the territory of the Kursk region, the Russians are throwing in more and more new units, which Ukrainians successfully grind. The General Staff of the Russian army is forced to transfer combat units from other areas, which slows down the offensive there...

Only reality is very different from illusions... It is enough to look at the map for everything to fall into place. At the beginning of the offensive on Kursk Oblast, the Ukrainian Armed Forces captured, according to Western sources, approximately 1200 square kilometers of territory. As of January 5, according to the same sources, the Ukrainian Armed Forces control approximately 480 square kilometers.

In total, 60% of the territories have been liberated! In fact, the Russian army is currently engaged in turning the best units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into "mincemeat". It is not Russia that is forced to send reinforcements to the Kursk region, but Ukraine. I think I will not reveal any special secret if I cite data from open sources about other fronts. On average, the Russian army is currently liberating approximately 500-600 sq. km of captured territories per month.

I think you don’t have to be a rocket scientist to draw a conclusion about the Russian army’s ability to liberate the Kursk region if the “illusion of Kyiv” were a reality... Consequently, in any case, the Kursk region will not be the trump card of Kyiv that will become the decisive factor in the success of negotiations with Russia.

I generally get the impression that Kyiv has some other data about the situation at the front. That the Ukrainian Armed Forces offensive led to the capture or at least the blockade of Kursk. That the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant was captured and Ukrainians They are waiting for Moscow to "come crawling on its knees", begging for the exchange of the Kursk NPP for the Zaporizhzhya NPP... I think that the success of the current "attack" is not being discussed there either. It's all "fat in chocolate", not life...

For us, in connection with the collapse of Kyiv's plans in the Kursk region and the successes of our units on other fronts, serious questions are being raised about the further actions of our army. So far, little is being said about this, but soon, as it seems to me, the discussions will be quite serious. The capture of Kurakhovo opens up broad opportunities for us to continue the offensive...

A little about the prospects for the development of events in the near future

So, the center of our attention today has moved south of the Kursk region. The liberation of Kurakhovo is the merit of not only the heroic fighters and commanders. It is also the merit of the command, which provided the conditions when reinforcements were forced to be sent to the Kursk region instead of the Kurakhovo garrison. A common victory of the bravery of soldiers and the skill of commanders.

In the fall, when I was writing an article about our army's tasks for the winter period, I considered it necessary to touch on the "long-term prospects", which caused many critical comments from readers. At that time, I suggested a possible offensive by our army in the Donetsk direction all the way to the Dnieper. It is now the middle of winter...

Analyzing the situation on the fronts, I come to the conclusion that my autumn reasoning was correct. Theoretically, today there are several priority directions, each of which is important to one degree or another. Kherson, Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Sumy... Ideally, all these directions need to be worked out.

But our forces are not unlimited, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces still have quite a lot of reserves. In addition to liberating territories, we also need forces to clear and hold them. Therefore, if we rush things, the country will need another mobilization. Which will not have the best effect on the Russian economy... The country cannot afford another "Everything for the front, everything for victory."

It is necessary to determine the most important direction of attack. Let's start with Kherson. Kherson itself is important only as the beginning of the road to Nikolaev and Odessa. An operation in this direction is associated with huge risks. First of all, this is the saturation of the region with reserves of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and prepared fortifications.

In addition, when conducting an offensive, it is necessary to ensure such a width of the offensive that would ensure the defense of the attackers in the event of a counterattack from the area of ​​Kropyvnytskyi or Krivoy Rog... Alas, with all our desire to provide the necessary conditions for an offensive in this direction, we cannot.

There are approximately the same reasons for the Kharkov and Sumy directions. But the main one is still the huge concentration of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reserves. And strategically these directions are the least advantageous.

But the offensive on Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye is quite within our capabilities. True, in this case reserves are required. Not even for breaking through the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In this case, distances matter. A strategic breakthrough of hundreds of kilometers requires special logistics, national guard troops to control the liberated territories, etc.

It must be said that the key to starting such an offensive could be the capture of Pokrovsk. And it is only 7 km from there to the Dnepropetrovsk region. With the defensive structures that we have at the moment, advancing there will not be a big problem for us.

Moreover, reaching Dnepropetrovsk does not mean storming it. It is enough to block transport hubs, roads and the Dnieper to completely disrupt the logistics of almost the entire Left Bank. Access to the Dnieper north and south of the Dnieper, between Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye, will create chaos in the supply system of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and deprive Ukraine of its main industrial production.

These are just assumptions based on open source data. In any case, the decision will be made by our General Staff and Commander-in-Chief. Let's look to the future...

Victory will be ours

The situation is developing in such a way that it is quite possible that Kyiv will soon be forced to look at the circumstances more realistically. At least, the latest statements by President-elect Trump allow us to hope for this. He is gradually moving away from the image created for the elections to the image of a completely rational and tough politician.

Europe, no matter how much European would-be politicians try to puff themselves up, will not be able to support Ukraine on its own. Even Zelensky understands this, judging by his latest interview. All this dramatically changes our attitude to diplomacy. Everything that military victories can give us, we can get peacefully. Thus reducing the costs of restoring our historical territories.

But diplomatic victories must be based on military victories. Only the prospect of complete defeat will stop Kyiv and NATO. It is precisely these considerations that today place even more responsibility on our military leadership, on any of our fighters and commanders. Even a small victory, imperceptible from the point of view of tactics or strategy, brings peace closer. One fighter wins - we all win.

I will not prophesy about the end of the war. At least for the next six months, maybe even a year. Think about the good, but prepare for the bad, so that the joy from the good is many times greater... We all need to continue doing our job. Some in the trenches, some in the workshops of factories and plants, some in classrooms and auditoriums, some in design bureaus... And then victory will definitely come...

Comments

[FoBoss_VM]

The year sounds optimistic somehow. Very much so. Considering the pace of the SVO and what territories and cities are still under Nazi occupation. Five or six years in the best case scenario

[Rakitin]

During the victorious 2024, the Russian Armed Forces were able to liberate as many as 3 more or less significant objects: Avdiivka, Ugledar, Selidovo. And only Avdiivka can be considered a regional center, Ugledar is a few multi-story buildings in an open field in the middle of mines (in the spring of 2022, the Russian Armed Forces drove past this Ugledar without stopping, they did not leave a garrison because of "zero strategic value", in 2023 they regrouped back, losing their slippers, after which the abandoned Ugledar became "an awesome fortress, the capture of which opens up bombastic prospects"), Selidovo is a large village.
In Kursk, a real Verdun has been going on for six months now, where both sides are being ground down on a comparable scale (however, Ukrainians they still grind more, but clearly not 5:1, rather 2:1), this is if we judge by the obituaries that have increased many times over the past few months in regional Russian media. At the same time Ukrainians They occupied 500 sq. km in the first 3 days, and they are still holding on, and 1000 sq. km is the former gray zone, where they dropped in without finally dislodging the units of the RF Armed Forces. It took them 5 months to squeeze this gray zone back...
In general, the strategic impasse continues. Both sides have no reserves. And the Russian side gets the opportunity to move forward a little only where the enemy does not bring reinforcements. If the trends continue, Russia will be extremely happy to clear at least the Donetsk region in 2025, there can be no talk of anything more.

[Dedok]

If the trends continue, Russia will be extremely lucky to clear at least the Donetsk region in 2025; there can be no talk of anything more.

+100500

[anclevalico]

And at what cost. The bellies haven't gone anywhere. And the recent bright episode with the Yakut is proof of that.

[Wolfskin1993]

I believe that at a certain time there will be an avalanche-like collapse of the statehood and institutions of Ukraine. If the local "Ylyty" of large cities sense the weakness of the kuyyv, then they can send that very kuyyv...

[Rakitin]

As long as there is a financial flow from the West, there is no need to expect any "avalanche collapse". The suckers will run out, Latinos and blacks will be brought in to fight for wages - those who want to die in the world for a few thousand Baku per month in excess.

[ZloyCat]

"I believe that at a certain time there will be an avalanche-like collapse of the statehood and institutions of Ukraine"
Putin hoped for this 3 years ago and still hopes for it

[Ivan Kuzmich]

Hello, about two years ago an Afghan scientist, historian and mathematician came to Russia, who calculated that Ukraine would disappear at the end of 2025
he once predicted the time of the collapse of the USSR for mid-January 1992
Wrong by 2 weeks / 30,12,1991/XNUMX/XNUMX
so I'm waiting for the next New Year's address of our President and let's see what kind of scientist this is

[ZloyCat]

"Afghan scientist, historian and mathematician"
as it sounds, however

[Lech from Android.]

Zelya has another 10 days for loud PR at the front...provocations in the style of Bucha or a terrorist act are possible.
So let's not relax...we should expect any kind of nastiness from the Ukrainian Nazis and Anglo-Saxons.

[parma]

10 days, and then what?... Trump is already changing his shoes... one day has already turned into at least six months, if we talk about his vision of the conflict, which means no one will stop supporting the Armed Forces of Ukraine. If you believe Western publications, Trump does not want to start his rule with a repeat of the events of Afghanistan in 2021 (which, by the way, he himself provoked, leaving only 2000 people in Afghanistan when Biden comes), supposedly this will damage his image of a "strong hand". In general, I would hold on to my hats for now, the winter could be cold

[Hitriy Zhuk]

Quote: parma

changes shoes

He's already planning "Drang Nacht Norden" there. (Canada, Grindandia)
And a little "drang nacht suden" (Panama).
By the way, how many of these Drangs did the US have?
From Korea and Vietnam to Yugoslavia-Iraq-Afghanistan...

[Nikolay Malyugin]

The borders of our country must be a symbol of inviolability. And for this we must destroy the breeding ground of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Namely those bases on foreign territory that feed the Nazis with everything they need. Their location cannot be further than 100 kilometers from our border. We have everything necessary to destroy them.

[Alexander Odintsov]

As of January 5, according to the same sources, the Ukrainian Armed Forces control approximately 480 sq. km.
In total, 60% of the territories have been liberated! In fact, the Russian army is currently engaged in turning the best units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into "mincemeat". It is not Russia that is forced to send reinforcements to the Kursk region, but Ukraine

All this is true. How much time has passed since August? Why can't we throw the enemy out of our territory? Almost six months have passed? And we are being taught that this is supposedly the norm? The norm of what? The liberal collapse of the army and the consequences of Serdyukov's reforms? And how will we look when the conflict is frozen and at the negotiations, we are the second army in the world, which cannot smoke out the 20th army in the world from its land. It is clear that the task is not simple - but this is a war and the strongest wins, the one who can. And at the same time, the Kursk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is in a state of semi-encirclement. What are you talking about?

It seems that having repelled the attacks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, our forces are taking revenge on the shoulders of the enemy. Some Russian publics report that the Russian Armed Forces have already entered Sudzha and are fighting on the eastern and southeastern outskirts of the city. The battle unfolded in the suburb of Zamosc, which is being stormed by the 11th Airborne Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces.

God grant that our army will finally throw the enemy out of our land!

[Per se.]

Quote: Alexander Odintsov

God grant that our army will finally throw the enemy out of our land!

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are invading the Kursk region, they are not terrorists, they are a regular army. What kind of WHO could there be in this case? Let's look at the border, why aren't we invading from the territory of the Bryansk region, Belgorod, and finally, through Belarus? Why aren't the Ukrainian Armed Forces cut off along the Dnieper, aren't the enemy's logistics destroyed? Why, in three years of this strange military operation, are our army being forced to attack fortified areas head-on, without enveloping or bypassing them? There are too many such "whys", as well as where is the necessary number of the army, if we are threatened with war with NATO. Is this stupidity, incompetence, betrayal, a secret conspiracy with PR and raising ratings, or a new great "cunning plan"?

[Glagol1]

Because there aren't enough forces and resources, that's one. The dancers get intelligence from satellites and planes - that's two. They have countless weapons and ammo, they have everything, and target designation to boot. They have a sea of ​​people, and no one spares them. That's three. Well, and four more - our generals and politicians are not the most distant people in this world. Not all. But many. And therefore even obvious things, what to do and where to strike, are not on the agenda. I'll add, perhaps, five more: the dancers have learned to fight and now they are a difficult enemy.

[Per se.]

Most of the "dancers" from Soviet times had stripes, unlike many of ours from Russia. There was even a saying in the army about this. This is in the past, but this is the general mentality, which cannot be underestimated. Our strikes on targets in Ukraine embitter civilians more than they cause real harm to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Well, and most importantly, it is high time to understand that this is a war, not a special operation, and you can't fight like that, you have to fight seriously. We have all the fireworks and holidays, Moscow lives in its own world, and there is a war going on.

[Hitriy Zhuk]

Quote: Per se.

Our strikes on targets in Ukraine anger civilians more than they cause real harm to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Let them sit without electricity and think about their behavior.
Only the 750 kilovolt substation has not been removed yet... For how long?

[Fisher]

Until our soldier reaches these substations.

[Hitriy Zhuk]

Quote from Fisher

Until our soldier reaches these substations.

By the way, this is most likely how it will be.
After all, "WE ARE NOT LIKE THAT."
We don’t build bridges, hydroelectric power stations, or 750s.
And when we approach such people, the enemy destroys them.

[Grancer81]

Well, they had stripes, so what? They mostly occupied "warm" places near the kitchen, in the supply room or at headquarters, where they did services to political officers or warrant officers of the same origin.

[Per se.]

Quote: Grencer81

Well, they had stripes and so what? They mostly occupied the "warm" places near the kitchen

Don't say that, not everyone hung around the storerooms and kitchens. It was not for nothing that they said that ours first asked where the buffet-tea room was, and they, where the sergeant school was. In any case, the enemy should not be underestimated, and it must be understood that in essence there is a civil war, the most brutal of wars. Russians are killing Russians, to the delight of the Anglo-Saxon scum, whoever they consider themselves to be.
To forgive, we must understand who our common enemy is.

[Grancer81]

A Russian who started to consider the fascists from the OUN as heroes is no longer a Russian, he is a Vyrus. And I don't care that he is related to me by blood. He is an even greater enemy than a German or an Englishman.

[Igool]

Quote: Grencer81

A Russian who began to consider the fascists from the OUN as heroes is no longer a Russian, he is a Rus'

In this quote I completely agree with you and support it entirely.
However, if we look at who benefits from this confrontation, we can clearly see the ears of Washington and London.
It’s like during the Great Patriotic War: the USSR defeated Nazi Germany, and the winner from this victory was again Washington.
Therefore, it is impossible to discount this understanding from the current state of affairs.
This is precisely why information work with the same mankurts and their family members, with civilians in the territory of 404, is extremely necessary.

[Grancer81]

Some people can only be convinced by a bullet. People like my cousin's mother-in-law and his youngest son can only be "convinced" in this way.

[Igool]

Quote: Grencer81

Some people only need a bullet to change their minds

I agree, I have the same problem. But you still need to work with others.

[dimon642]

What nonsense. Ukrainians in the USSR were up to 16 percent of the population. I studied in Kharkov. There were five military schools, two MVD and the Strategic Missile Forces Academy. Guess in one try who was more Russian or Ukrainian.
Moreover, the Ukrainian Armed Forces learn quickly compared to our army.

[Grancer81]

Compared to our generals...
Who live by the principle: "I can growl, they'll give me a papakha..."

[Dedok]

Moscow lives in his own world, and there is a war going on.

almost the whole country... and not just Moscow...

[parma]

From which territory of Belarus, if the guarantor there has already apologized for February 2022 and for letting our people in and out?

[Per se.]

Quote: parma

From which territory of Belarus

Okay, forget about Belarus, although "it's not evening yet" and everything can change, there are Russian regions on a fairly long border.

[Alexey RA]

Quote: Alexander Odintsov

And they teach us that this is supposedly the norm? The norm of what? The liberal collapse of the army and the consequences of Serdyukov's reforms?

What a giant this Serdyukov is, a seasoned man. It's been 12 years since he stopped being the Minister of Defense - and they still blame him.
What we are now seeing is precisely the consequences of the collapse of the Serdyukov-Makarov reform, which began when he was still a minister.
A two-echelon army was planned. 1st echelon: permanent readiness cadre-contract brigades, staffed by 80-90%, trained and coordinated in full. 2nd echelon: a mobilized reserve of conscripts, trained in training centers and units and then undergoing training at the BHVT base. Minor conflicts and the initial stages of full-fledged wars were to be endured by the cadre. And if the cadre could not endure, then mobilized units and units were to pull up.
But thanks to the Ministry of Finance and the old cadres of the Ministry of Defense, we received cadre brigades, and later divisions, filled with conscripts. Who cannot fight as a full unit without declaring war and mobilization - the rear cannot be fully staffed, conscripts cannot be sent into battle. And the SVO does not provide for war, and full mobilization either...

[Grancer81]

The only thing scarier than Serdyukov is Girkin-Strelkov... Look at the fight going on because of him.

[IS-80_RVGK2]

Quote: Alexey RA

What a giant this Serdyukov is, a seasoned man. It's been 12 years since he stopped being the Minister of Defense - and they still blame him.

Well, who else? Not the people who have yachts worth a full army rearmament? Not the same geniuses who gave the West a ton of money and in eight years failed to prepare the army for what was essentially an inevitable war? Because, God forbid, the bonds will bend so much that they won't bend back.

[Reklastik]

And we are taught that this is supposedly normal?

- We don't have 290 million people, like in the USSR. Yes, now it's the norm. Minimum losses, as much as possible.

[Grancer81]

Even in Soviet times, the KGB border troops of the USSR were not designed to repel attacks of such a scale by an enemy army. And now, when there are no border troops, but there is a border service of a militia type of formation, then it is even more impossible to ensure the inviolability of the State Border by the FPS forces.

[turembo]

Believe! Hope! and wait! I've heard this more than once, and the number of times we've changed our shoes is too many to count, and every time after capturing something, we rack our brains, because new endless horizons open up... The enemy, as always, is without a spark, there are no reserves, although because of these reserves there's nowhere to move, the front is constantly crumbling, and it's also at a standstill. More imaginary blows to the enemy's logistics, without the banal destruction of these logistics, hints at another mobilization, and of course hope for Uncle Trump, the feeling that there was no plan either in 2022 or now. It seems Napoleon said: We need to get into a fight and then we'll see, we got involved, yesterday I read a huge article about how our billionaire's daughter was proposed to in Courchevel, and so many details and what they ate, and the diameter of the ring, and the manufacturer of the insoles, and information about the battle for our territory: hold on, maybe we'll win. While our Ivan and Ukrainian Taras are killing each other with fury and hatred, who in ordinary life would most likely not even quarrel, the world elite, including ours, the banks, are making good money and don’t even hide the attributes of the good life, they’ll fight for a couple more years, and then maybe a couple more billionaires’ daughters will have a dowry…

[Queen_Annes_Revenge]

It's as old as the world - for some it's war, but for others it's a mother...

The number of Russian billionaires in the Forbes world ranking has grown to 125 people. This is the highest result in the entire history of the list of the world's richest businessmen. The total wealth of Russian billionaires has increased by 14%, to $576,8 billion.

[Dimy4]

...and our elite as well

This is not the elite, this is the discharge of a sewage truck. The elite is when, for example, a prince or boyar used to wear a clean shirt under his chain mail and go to war with his people.

[Hitriy Zhuk]

Quote: Dimy4

putting on a clean shirt under the chain mail

If it's just a shirt and that's it - they're suicides.
Well, they even put something soft on there.
Otherwise the blows won't be absorbed.
But I got the gist.
This is not the elite as such (well, even a doctor with some awesome qualifications is most likely an elite) aristocracy.
Which is not degenerate late but normal.
That is, essentially a military class. (hm, Wagner?)

[RMT]

Aristocracy is a form of government, translated from Greek ἀριστοκρατία, meaning "the best". The basis of aristocracy is the idea that the state should be governed only by the best of all, the chosen ones.

[Hitriy Zhuk]

Quote: RMT

The basis of aristocracy is the idea that the state should be governed only by the best of all, the chosen ones.

Exactly.
And initially these were all sorts of labels with their squad and similar organized crime groups (because try telling them that they are not the best, they will kill you).

[Alexey RA]

Quote: Hitriy Zhuk

And initially these were all sorts of labels with their squad and similar organized crime groups (because try telling them that they are not the best, they will kill you).

These labels and princes are typical racketeers of the 90s: raids on manufacturers and traders (sometimes with a fatal outcome, like Prince Igor), imposition of a fee for protection (future tribute and taxes), showdowns with competitors. And then - smooth legalization in various private security companies.

[alexoff]

Well, once upon a time there were Novgorod princes, and more recently there were all sorts of Solntsevskys and Orekhovskys

[Hitriy Zhuk]

Quote: Alexey RA

These labels and princes are typical racketeers of the 90s

Well so.
There is a lot in common between the nobility and the "brothers".
This is truly an "ancient beautiful custom"...

[Doccor18]

Quote from turembo

yesterday I read a huge article about how our billionaire's daughter was proposed to in Courchevel, and there were so many details and what they ate, and the diameter of the ring

Got it? And then we need to unite and treat it with understanding... And under capitalism it can't be any other way, only unity will save everyone.

[kor1vet1974]

how our billionaire's daughter was proposed to in Courchevel, and so many details and what they ate, and the diameter of the ring, and the manufacturer of the insoles

In Russia, those who have never even held a shovel in their hands rake in the money with a shovel.

[Grancer81]

Well, reading their biographies, it is clear that they are all "workers" from among the instructors and secretaries of district and city committees of the Komsomol and the CPSU.
And they learned to combine black marketeering with “work” there.

[parusnik]

For now the fact remains that Donbass has not been completely liberated. And we must wait until January 20th to see what will happen after that. Today Trump says one thing, and after taking office he will say another.

[Per se.]

Quote: parusnik

And we have to wait until January 20th

So, we have to wait until 2030, maybe we will finally give birth to our "Trump"...

[Doccor18]

We only think we are civilized. In reality, the world is cruel and people are merciless. They may smile at you, but behind the smiles is the desire to kill you. Predators in the jungle kill for food - and only people kill for fun. Even friends are happy to stab you in the back: they want your job, your house, your money, your wife - and your dog, in the end. Enemies are even worse! You must be able to defend yourself. My motto is: "Hire the best - and don't trust them with anything."

If a person realizes that he made a mistake and apologizes, accept his apology and forgive him, but do not trust him anymore.

If these are really his words, then nothing good awaits the world. Sharks' teeth grow throughout their lives...

[kor1vet1974]

Sharks' teeth grow throughout their lives...

As with the sharks of capitalism, it seems to me that they are related

[Dedok]

Sharks' teeth grow throughout their lives...

In one movie the phrase was: "A shark is born with teeth!"

[AA17]

Moreover, in addition to the fact that Moscow and Kyiv are ready for negotiations, but on their own terms,

The phrase is intriguing.
The Russian leadership declared that Ukraine is a terrorist state

"Lavrov said that Ukraine has become an openly terrorist state"
"Medvedev called Ukraine a terrorist state"
"The State Duma stated that the UN Security Council may recognize Ukraine as a terrorist state"
"... Matviyenko spoke in favor of recognizing the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) as a terrorist structure..."
"Putin announced the transformation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into a terrorist organization"
"Ukraine has turned into a terrorist state, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky leads a criminal regime, and Russia's response will be very harsh, State Duma Chairman Vyacheslav Volodin said at a plenary session."

These are the news headlines. Everything is easy to find.

After such statements there are questions:
Who on the Russian side is negotiating with representatives of the terrorist state of Ukraine?
This "Who is on the Russian side" with which representatives of the terrorist state is Ukraine negotiating?

And we remember the President’s “steel” words:

Putin: Russia does not negotiate with terrorists, it destroys them. https://ria.ru/20040206/521959.html

"This is the kind of squiggle that happens, you see."

[Alex 1970]

"Russia does not negotiate with terrorists, it destroys them, V. Putin emphasized," but what if a deal with smiles and handshakes happens? Although forgetting what he himself said is "like two fingers on the pavement."

[AA17]

I think VVP is a man of his word. He gave it himself, he ... (further depending on the situation).

[Per se.]

It's like the sausage ad "Daddy can", but Mommy doesn't want to... In Russia, the bad guys, the oligarchs, have been appointed as the bosses, and they have everything with the West and in the West, they milk Russia, moving assets abroad. If the oligarchs are the main agents of foreign influence, what can we expect from such a plot? We have what we have.

[Essex62]

And no one appointed them, they appointed themselves when the Soviets, in favor of jeans and chewing gum, shouted down with Soviet power and the CPSU.

[FoBoss_VM]

That's what makes my soul feel disgusted

[John_Doe]

Unfortunately, there is a small but significant difference between the “headlines” and statements of individual officials, made privately, albeit publicly, and the OFFICIAL act of recognizing someone as a terrorist: the first is a fluctuation of the atmosphere, intended to agitate the respectable public and send “signals” to the right people, the second is a legally binding act, entailing consequences that are not always predictable and pleasant.
Feel the difference.))

[AA17]

statements by individual officials made privately, albeit publicly

Very interesting.

Respected.
Please tell me: by what criteria are statements made by individual officials PRIVATELY, even if publicly, determined from AN OFFICIAL statement?

[John_Doe]

It's all quite simple, in my humble opinion: in private, a statement is made on YOUR own behalf, and here the most great figure is no different from you, in principle, except for the degree of "propagation" of the statement and its evaluative "weight" for the target audience of the statement.
An official statement is made in an unambiguous, FORMAL manner ON BEHALF OF AND AT THE INSTRUCTION OF a certain body, organization, state, in order to convey to the target audience not YOUR private, although sometimes very weighty and influential, point of view, but the position of this very body, organization, state.
Feel the difference.))
And yes, the official point of view can be voiced by a person who does NOT share it. For example, an ambassador whose job it is to announce an ultimatum to the rulers of the host country.
Something like that, dear sir.))

[AA17]

Everything is quite simple, in my humble opinion: in private, the statement is made on YOUR own behalf, and here the most great figure is no different from you, in principle, except for the degree of “propagation” of the statement and its evaluative “weight” for the target audience of the statement...

Statements by one respected person in the Russian Federation:

"Therefore, I do not intend to change the Constitution under any circumstances."

"I am against increasing the retirement age. And as long as I am president, such a decision will not be made. And in general, I believe that we have no need to increase the retirement age..."

Are these statements made privately on YOUR behalf?
Did I understand you correctly?

[John_Doe]

What do you think, taking into account the events that followed these statements?))

[AA17]

A question to a question.
This is indecent.

[John_Doe]

Did someone tell you that this is indecent, or did you decide so yourself?))
This is just a way to show the interlocutor the blatant obviousness of the answer to his question.))

[Gomunkul]

"distant prospects"

The longer the war goes on, the more difficult it is for propagandists to explain its ultimate goals to ordinary people.

[Mishka78]

Quote: Gomunkul

The longer the war goes on, the more difficult it is for propagandists to explain its ultimate goals to ordinary people.

The final goal will be announced after the match has been fixed.
Mr. Trump's peace formula has already been announced and promised to his voters.
Stopping the war on the LBS, a neutral zone that will be patrolled by NATO, non-NATO status for Ukraine for 10-20 years, and other goodies.
In a week and a half, Mr. Trump becomes the President of the United States and this is what is officially announced as the position of the state.
Let's say Putin disagrees, Trump shakes his head sadly, reproachfully says "Tsk-tsk, I did everything I could, but evil Putin doesn't want peace." And he starts supplying weapons in commercial quantities, including all sorts of axes, long atacmas and other goodies. Thus, he fulfilled his election promises and closed the gestalt in front of voters, contributed to the arms lobby so beloved by Republicans, continued to weaken Russia and in general everything is great.
Let's say that evil Putin became even more embittered and started to bang the Ukrops with hazelnuts twice a day. So what? They are just Ukrops. Trump doesn't give a damn about them. Three years of war have clearly shown that Putin will not dare to strike at us, despite the periodic shouts from the Kremlin and Smolenskaya Square, and Medvedev's Twitter.
In the worst case scenario, if in response to the attack on the Kremlin (and Trump promised to destroy the Kremlin), Putin does hit the Poles and Romanians, where the missiles are launched and the carriers take off, then again, Trump doesn't give a damn about them. They are just Poles and Romanians.
I strongly suspect that Putin has no choice but to accept the concept of "peace from Mr. Trump."
Yes, they will still haggle over the duration of the NATO-free status, the width of the security line, the contingent of peacekeepers and other not very significant points, but I see the overall development of events as follows.
Well, then our Ministry of REAL TRUTH with all sorts of Simonyans-Solovys-Kiselys comes on board and explains to the suckers that all of this was in full accordance with the HPP, we epically defeated NATO in its lair and other nonsense that goes down well with the masses, everyone will throw down their caps and shout HOORAY to our brilliant leaders, re-electing them in 30, 36 and further down the list.

[Mikhail3]

When attacking in this direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have huge reserves. But in this direction, they don't! In the author's mind, reserves are something firmly sewn to the ground. Or he can't write smarter) The power of the author's mind is simply amazing...

[ZloyCat]

"The power of the author's mind is simply amazing..."
Well, it's a staver, it's a huge block, a monument, you could say

[Sergey_K]

Conclusion: keep on soaking and DO NOT relax!

[Dedok]

Conclusion: keep on wetting and DO NOT relax!

it would be something...

[ZloyCat]

"Conclusion: keep on soaking and DO NOT relax!"
maybe we should start killing, and not chattering, at all levels?

[AdAstra]

Why is all the hope for “they can’t” and not for “we can”?

[Gardamir]

It is not for nothing that modern Moses have been leading us to who knows where for almost forty years now. Now, for words about Russia's greatness, you can get at least a bunch of minuses. And everyone hopes not for themselves, but for China or Trump to help. That is how we exist.

[kor1vet1974]

It’s not for nothing that modern Moses have been leading us to who knows where for almost forty years now.

Why? They led us through the land that was turned into a desert, here they brought us to the promised land where the wicked Philistines live, all that remains is to cut the Philistines down to the roots, blow the trumpets of Jericho and occupy the free territory, and give the desert to the migrants. Everything according to the Bible

[John_Doe]

I strongly suspect that 40 years of wandering in the desert is not “God’s providence” at all, but a period of patience of the “chosen people” before they said to Moishe Amramovich:
- Moishe! You're already annoying!
It's just that the Bible is shyly silent about this.))

[Neo-9947]

Wonderful article.
We can liberate the Kursk region, but we don’t want to.
We cannot advance anywhere because we have no strength.
But, "only the prospect of complete defeat will stop Kyiv and NATO. Therefore, victory will be ours.
Everything that military victories can give us, we can get by peaceful means."
A set of propositions that exclude each other.
In short, call Abramovich. He's organizing everything in Istanbul. The opponents are already there, feet up on the table, smoking a joint.

[kor1vet1974]

As of January 5, according to the same sources, the Ukrainian Armed Forces control approximately 480 sq. km.
On average, the Russian army currently liberates approximately 500-600 square kilometers of captured territory per month.

What interesting arithmetic. The Ukrainian Armed Forces control approximately 480 sq. km, as I understand it, in the Kursk region. And if the army liberates approximately 500-600 sq. km of captured territories per month, then the territory of the Kursk region must already be liberated or will already be liberated. The question is, how many territories in the Kursk region were captured by the enemy if fighting has been going on there for 6 months already? 480 sq. km (controlled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces) multiplied by 6 gives 2880 sq. km were captured by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Another question. If we liberate approximately 500-600 sq. km per month, km, then in theory the Donbass and Kharkiv region at least should have been completely liberated. Or the author included in these kilometers the territories of the Kherson and Zaporizhzhya regions, which were surrendered without a fight. A small historical remark. The territories of the Kherson and Zaporizhzhya regions in ancient times, the so-called Wild Field, in other words, the steppe. During the civil and Great Patriotic War, the opposing sides did not stay in these steppes for long, they quickly occupied and quickly left. And there is another point, during the development of Operation Bagration, it was planned to liberate up to 250 sq. km, and during the operation they liberated twice as much, all of Belarus and part of Poland. This means that if we liberate 500-600 sq. km per month, then within 3 years, all of Ukraine should be liberated, up to the Carpathians, along with Lviv.

[AdAstra]

"What interesting arithmetic...."
The answer is one and a half diggers.

[kor1vet1974]

Or a surgeon and an anesthesiologist, buried a boa constrictor... but could not measure its height and began to measure it in parrots, in parrots the boa constrictor turned out to be longer

[AdAstra]

Well, well, well, these aren't two baby elephants...

[Nastia makarova]

the author simply meant 500-600 of all territories

[kor1vet1974]

On average, the Russian army currently liberates approximately 500-600 square kilometers of captured territory per month.

Think as you wish. What territories are considered captured? In the Kursk region? Or should the captured territory be the whole of Ukraine, which was captured by nationalists in 1991?

[alexoff]

You also have some strange arithmetic. 500 sq. km per month is the liberation of the Kharkiv region within 5 years.

[ZloyCat]

"500 sq km per month is the liberation of the Kharkiv region within 5 years"
and it won't work any earlier. We'll have to shift it to the right. A piece of Kursk region has been freed up for six months already.

[alexoff]

I wrote to my friend that his knowledge of mathematics does not reach the level of a third grader.
And what the Ministry of Defense says about kilometers - well, there's nothing else to brag about. It's a mystery what's stronger here - the politicians don't allow war with their red lines or the General Staff is simply incompetent and completely degraded. From the series why Hollywood makes bad movies - either the bosses are pushing through an agenda that pisses everyone off, or the scriptwriters and directors are completely incompetent. Or one doesn't exclude the other.

[powart]

This is of course a bad word. To unleash the SVO and ultimately hope for the blah-blah of the US President? Are you out of your minds?!

[Boris55]

Glory to the Russian soldier! Glory to Russian weapons!!

Quote: A. Staver

We all need to continue doing our job. Some in the trenches, some in the workshops of factories and plants, some in classrooms and auditoriums, some in design bureaus... And then victory will definitely come...

And some people use forums to resist Western ideology.

We had: princes, tsars, general secretaries, and now presidents. There were different social systems, but Rus' was, is, and will be!

Civilizations cannot be destroyed physically, they can only be destroyed from within.
The ideological front, the most important front.

[Per se.]

Quote: Boris55

The ideological front, the most important front.

Well, the West understood this long ago, after our oligarchs, with their fireworks and holidays, PR of victorious intentions.

[Glory1974]

In 2024, about 4 sq. km of territory were liberated. There are still about 000 sq. km left. That is, about 8 years of action at the same pace as now.
We hope for victory, but it is clear that this cannot continue for long.
Other examples are before our eyes. In Syria, pro-Turkish militants carried out their operation in 2 weeks and overthrew the Assad government. Israel, which has been fighting for over a year, has bombed everything it could, taken out the entire top brass of Hamas, and seized the Golan Heights. That is, the results are also quite obvious.
We still do not destroy the leadership of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the enemy's oil refineries continue to operate, etc. In general, we do everything the other way around. Where is the point?

[AdAstra]

"In 2024, about 4 square kilometers of territory were liberated. There are still about 000 square kilometers left. That is, about 8 years of action at the same pace as now."
And what about people? Will there be enough people for these 2 years?

[Glory1974]

Will there be enough people for these 2 years?

that's the question, what's going on?

[Nastia makarova]

There are still a lot of people in Russia

[AdAstra]

"What, migrants?""""

[Nastia makarova]

no Russians, ordinary residents

[Dedok]

And what about people? there are enough people for these 2 years?

And what do the women do?

[alexoff]

Will there be enough people, will there be enough Soviet tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, artillery and other things?

[Iris]

You forgot about hats. And bonnets.

[alexoff]

We have enough hats from just one site to fill everything up to Lvov! But when new units receive BTR-50s from storage or hang armor on a loaf of bread to storm strongholds on it, then people can quickly run out.

[Per se.]

Quote: glory1974

Where is the point?

If the goal is to bleed Russia dry, to empty the arsenals, then it makes sense, especially when they are also making money off the blood.

[Glory1974]

Is it really all betrayal?
Of course, it could be anything, but I want to believe in the best. We can't fight a technically advanced enemy, we can't conduct reconnaissance and quickly hit identified targets. In general, military and technical problems.

[Per se.]

Quote: glory1974

Is it really all betrayal?

This is not so much betrayal as the selfish interests of those in power. The West's main enemy is not the Russian Abramovichs and Potanins, but the residual Soviet potential, primarily its missile and nuclear potential. Therefore, capitalist Russia is enemy No. 1, and the henpecked bourgeois bad boys must somehow find a way out of the situation so as not to end up on the pitchforks and please their Western masters. If things get to the point of collapse and a final deal is reached, then we will resolve the issue through reconciliation, with the transfer of our strategic nuclear forces under external control. Naturally, in the name of peace and humanism. Why do our fat cats need Russia without their billions? Although, of course, one would like to believe in the best...

[Glory1974]

It is clear that there are selfish interests. This can explain why the gas pipeline worked until the very end, and the oil pipeline is still working.
But what is the benefit for a capitalist, the owner of an oil refinery, if his plant is bombed, but the Ukrainian one is not touched?
What is the benefit to the oligarch when, instead of a 20-30 km strike, a creeping offensive of 500 meters per day is carried out?

[Alex 1970]

But what is the benefit for a capitalist, the owner of an oil refinery, if his plant is bombed?
That it won't spend a penny on restoration, because it's a "system-forming production", the state will fork out cash for restoration. And it will make money on orders from the Ministry of Defense. They already wrote above about one man's war being another man's mother. So "There's nothing new under the sun"

[Glory1974]

In that it won't spend a penny on restoration, because it's a "system-forming production", the state will fork out cash for restoration. And it will make money on orders from the Ministry of Defense.

The factory burned down, it doesn't produce any products. It's losing money.
Gave money for restoration. Restored. Started trading again. What's the profit? Steal on restoration?
And pay money to the Ministry of Defense so that they advance more slowly? Where's the logic?
Why is our refinery's competitor worth a whole lot? Who's paying for it? Our oligarch?

[astra wild2]

"what's the Profit" I'll risk and guess: my colleague got fed up and said what he thought

[alexoff]

Our oligarchy is extremely cowardly in front of Western business sharks. After all, if their consumption is cut, that's it, the end of life. There is no showing off in Russia. Alekperov supplies Ukraine with fuel, wrote out multi-billion dividends for himself. Where did he put them? Bought himself a thousand loaves of bread? No, everything is abroad. The rest are the same.

[Essex62]

A terrible ending and it is very possible. Almost obvious. You can believe as much as you want, but you can't do anything. Society is formatted, the herd moos and is obediently milked. The bad guys will decide - go under the knife.

[Valery Mamai]

In 2022, "Lucy" Arestovich predicted the SVO until 2037. Maybe he is right?

[Sergej1972]

The Golan Heights were occupied by Israel back in 1967 and annexed in 1981. Now the Israelis have captured the piece of these heights that was still controlled by Syria.

[Come in large numbers]

Our side is making progress. But this is progress in the style of WWI. That is why the author's constant optimism is incomprehensible. Yes, apparently the enemy's reserves are being partially ground down, but a war in this style grinds down both sides. And no one believes in fairy tales about 1 to 8 losses anymore. What we have to agree with the author on is the need for victory. Only it can smooth out our geostrategic mistake of February 2022, and of the previous eight years (or even more, given that in the 21st century, Ukraine was entrusted from our side to downed pilots, Gazprom generals, and dreamy adventurers).

[kor1vet1974]

One thing we have to agree with the author on is the necessity of victory.

And what does the victory consist of? That the Kharkov, Kherson, Zaporizhzhya, Donetsk, Lugansk regions and Crimea will remain with Russia, and the remnants of Ukraine with the Nazi regime will give their most honest, most honorable word that they will not join NATO and the EU, secured on paper? That is, the Nazis will remain and this will be a victory or will all of Ukraine become part of the Russian Federation? What kind of victory does our government need, which is carrying out de-Sovietization and decommunization of the country, which has already been done in Ukraine.

[Alex 1970]

What kind of victory does our government need?
This is a state secret, with the highest level of secrecy. For disclosure - execution by hanging for life!

[ZloyCat]

"What kind of victory does our government need, which is carrying out de-Sovietization and decommunization of the country"
whatever is declared a victory will be a victory

[Dedok]

The Ukrainian offensive. A little bit about what has not been said before and what to expect in the future

then why did they "brew this mess"?

[Alexey Lantukh]

and why then did they "brew this mess"?

They wanted the best, but it turned out as always. The West caught Putin on the hook, and now it doubts its own abilities.

[Mapping]

Quote: Alexander Odintsov

As of January 5, according to the same sources, the Ukrainian Armed Forces control approximately 480 sq. km.
In total, 60% of the territories have been liberated! In fact, the Russian army is currently engaged in turning the best units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into "mincemeat". It is not Russia that is forced to send reinforcements to the Kursk region, but Ukraine

All this is true. How much time has passed since August? Why can't we throw the enemy out of our territory? Almost six months have passed? And we are being taught that this is supposedly the norm? The norm of what? The liberal collapse of the army and the consequences of Serdyukov's reforms? And how will we look when the conflict is frozen and at the negotiations, we are the second army in the world, which cannot smoke out the 20th army in the world from its land. It is clear that the task is not simple - but this is a war and the strongest wins, the one who can. And at the same time, the Kursk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is in a state of semi-encirclement. What are you talking about?

It seems that having repelled the attacks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, our forces are taking revenge on the shoulders of the enemy. Some Russian publics report that the Russian Armed Forces have already entered Sudzha and are fighting on the eastern and southeastern outskirts of the city. The battle unfolded in the suburb of Zamosc, which is being stormed by the 11th Airborne Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces.

God grant that our army will finally throw the enemy out of our land!

Our elite is to blame for how this war is being waged, not wanting to act harshly against their Western partners. The energy sector is alive, the railway transport is working. For three years there have been no serious destruction of industrial enterprises, etc., the people have already lost faith in the ability of the government to wage this war for real - nothing but promises and empty threats. Even penguins are tired of laughing at the promises of our government. I feel sorry for the men and the civilian population, they are dying for no one knows why. The topic of negotiations is being abundantly discussed, but not a single goal of the SVO has been achieved.

[Sergey Prutkov55]

Approximately 40 Ukrainian army servicemen are awaiting the command to begin offensive operations in the border area of ​​Kursk Oblast. This information was received from Russian drone operator Eduard Iost, known by the call sign "Moses".
He said that Ukrainian servicemen are currently located in the Sumy region. In addition, the Russian drone operator said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces also plan to use about 600 units of equipment in offensive operations. Search and hammer, so that they don’t do it again. We are too kind.

[Fangaro]

Alexander! Why are you being pushed so hard by the elbow to write about the Russian army and at the same time about the General Staff of the Russian Federation?!
The General Staff is Russian, but Russians are taking part in the Central Military District?
Personal opinion... You use those adjectives in constructing sentences that you consider most beneficial for you as an author.
Another personal opinion... Whether a person considers himself a Russian, a German, a Ukrainian or a Tatar does not determine whether he is a patriot or not. This applies to everyone who brings benefit to our country.

[Iris]

It is an axiom that Victory will be ours. The only question is at what cost. However, they will not stand for the price.

[Master 2030]

Moreover, others pay
Ceterum censeo Washingtago delendam esse

[Master 2030]

Theoretically, today there are several priority areas, each of which is important to one degree or another. Kherson, Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Sumy... Ideally, all of these areas need to be worked out.

It turns out that all directions are priorities. That means none of them are priorities. Does Staver himself understand what he is writing?

The country cannot afford another “Everything for the front, everything for victory.”

This means that the country cannot afford to fight.
Ceterum censeo Washingtago delendam esse

[Alexey Lantukh]

The country cannot afford another “Everything for the front, everything for victory.”

So are we going to fight for another 5-10 years until Russia's economy collapses? Or are we going to continue to hit Ukraine's important targets with TNW? Choose: 1) Everything for the front, everything for victory, including mobilization; 2) fight for another 5-10 years with small assault groups with the collapse of the economy; 3) we'll hit. So, what do you prefer?

[Batting]

It is very entertaining to analyze and try to guess the outcomes. But... "who knows in advance the difficult path of rifle companies..." Military affairs are abstract to the point of unpredictability because they require TALENT. A military leader and the entire General Staff are worthless if any mediocre expert can describe his plan. I like this in all the articles and posts of late: all you hear is: Trump! TRUMP!! TRUMP!!! Is this pseudo-democracy sliding into the developments of the Cult of Personality??! And what about the will of the people, the collective mind, civil society and values? Gentlemen and comrades, have you gone crazy? What the hell are Trumps, Scholzes and Macrons? On the other side of the front is the collective West, the moneybags of fifty-two countries. That is, fascist capitalism, which has gone into another drag nach Osten. And only the ruins of another Reichstag with soldiers' autographs on its remains, written in the languages ​​of the peoples of Russia, will be able to protect the Fatherland from enemies. And therefore it is time to change the country radically and harshly. And mobilization, and help from friends, and the maximum weight of warheads, and complete ruthlessness to the ENEMIES. And you won't be able to eat your cake and eat it, and get sexual pleasure, and preserve your virginity. If you call yourself an evil Siberian bear - tear the enemies to shreds! And those who, intentionally or through carelessness, ended up with the enemies, must also be torn to shreds. So that they learn a lesson. Winners are not judged, winners bear
Woe to the vanquished! And they gain FREEDOM. Therefore, don't give a damn about all the Trumps and liberate the former Ukrainian SSR up to the 1939 border. Let the Poles and other EU democrats divide up the Western region, they will have fun.

[Alexey Lantukh]

And only the ruins of another Reichstag with soldiers’ autographs on its remains, written in the languages ​​of the peoples of Russia, will be able to protect the Fatherland from enemies.

Maybe the Reichstag is too much, especially since Germany is a vassal of the USA and is still a country occupied by the Americans, it's a pity the USSR left there. But it would be productive to carry out a large series of tactical nuclear strikes on Western Ukraine, especially on border crossings with the West. Maybe the West would think about its life.

[John_Doe]

In the illusory world in which Zelensky and some Western politicians live, everything is so. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are stationed in the Kursk region, the Russians are throwing in more and more new units, which the Ukrainians are successfully grinding down. The General Staff of the Russian army is forced to transfer combat units from other areas, which slows down the offensive there…

And they haven't been standing for 6 months? And there are no losses (military, civilian, material)? And the General Staff wasn't forced to?
The authorship of this opus can be guessed with 100% reliability after the second paragraph, and the journalistic intensity and hurray-optimism of the texts can now be measured in “stavers”.))

[John_Doe]

If you can't afford to get into a potentially lethal fight,

another "Everything for the front, everything for victory"

, who are you anyway?))

[astra wild2]

"for unknown reasons"Colleagues, good afternoon.
The reason is simple: intelligence has calculated which units will go on the offensive.
Son, speaks positively about the changes in the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff

[Tank destroyerSU-100]

Only one thing is clear. The "compact contract, superbly equipped army" is completely unsuitable for a large-scale war. It might be able to defeat some tramps with AKMs and RPGs on pickups, but against a mass army it is useless.
And, IMHO, we still have years of positional meat grinders ahead of us.
I wouldn’t be surprised if, towards the end of my earthly existence, I learn that the military actions against the Ukrainian Reich cost our country a quarter of a million dead, or even more.
And in the reports of war correspondents, fatigue from the multi-day battles "for the forester's lodge" is already beginning to be clearly visible.

[Tank destroyerSU-100]

And I will repeat myself for the thousandth time. Until the flirting with the waiters who fervently stand guard over the communications of the Ukrainian Reich ceases, the blood of our guys will continue to flow without decreasing.
Agitprop is constantly blabbering about military aid packages for the Ukrainian Reich.
And why does this aid reach the front UNHELMED? Why hasn't an operation been planned to demolish the bridges across the Dnieper, across the rivers in Zapadnoye?
Or is it not the lives of our people that are at the forefront, but the profits of parasitic business groups that use the Ukrainian Reich to continue to drive raw materials to the West? The profits of business groups that swell like ticks with blood are more important than the lives of our people?
I will repeat for the thousandth time that if the Pin.dosy had conducted such an operation, all transport would have been paralyzed in the second week of military actions, all bridges and overpasses would have been completely demolished. But we have "We-Not-Takism". At first we even declared that we would not destroy "Ukrozheleznitsa" in the name of the constitutional right of the residents of the Ukro-Reich to freedom of movement. So that the whole world would be touched by how white and fluffy we are, would shed tears and kiss us.
Of course, now apologists will come out to say that it is impossible to destroy bridges in any way other than with ten tons of explosives. And that we ourselves will need the bridges.
Well, it turns out that the Pin.dos with their "Tomahawks" could demolish bridges in Yugoslavia and Iraq, but our "analoguesintheworld" are not capable of anything like that? Is that right or not?
And secondly. Do the apologists of "we will need the bridges ourselves" seriously think that the Ukrainian Wehrmacht won't blow them up? Will they blab like that with a straight face?