As far as I know, and I have a direct connection with Syria, with the people who live there, the opposition is now defeated by government troops. They have the ability to control individual cities, hotel fragments. However, in general, she is defeated. And the fact that today France and the United Kingdom raise the issue of lifting the embargo on the supply of weapons to Syria, the Syrian opposition, shows that without additional infusions of weapons, military equipment, ammunition, the Syrian opposition will be crushed. Therefore, talk about the fact that the Syrian opposition has some sort of success in some cities is just a blatant lie.
Of course, in the case of the defeat of Bashar Assad, if he leaves power, the Islamists will be at the helm. And the most radical, as it happened in Egypt, as it happened in Tunisia. And how it is happening now smoothly in Syria. The Islamists also take power over Libya by armed means. Although the pro-Western government is still in Tripoli, let's say the months are numbered. Therefore, Israel is right. The fears of Israel are just. And, of course, it is beneficial for Israel to at least preserve Bashar Asad. Because to rely on the fact that in the event of the overthrow of Bashar Assad, Western liberals in Syria will come to power - this can only be an amateur or a dreamer.
The borders with Turkey are currently poorly controlled by the Syrian armed forces. Therefore, the possibility of supplying weapons and military equipment of the Syrian opposition through Turkey is quite possible. However, I believe that if France and the UK lift the embargo on the supply of weapons to the Syrian opposition, then Russia, China and other countries that support the legitimate government of Syria can take the necessary measures to ensure the necessary level of weapons to the Syrian government forces that are capable of In this case, the Syrian opposition will certainly be crushed.
Since the Syrian opposition does not have the ability to apply in an organized, coordinated way, in accordance with the achievements of military science, the entire spectrum of modern weapons. And the Syrian army can. And in these conditions, she will definitely crush the Syrian opposition. Although now the Syrian opposition is on the verge of collapse.
- Israeli intelligence said that Assad intends to use chemical weapons against the opposition. How realistic is this? Will Assad take such steps?
This is another nonsense. Another lie that has been discussed for the past year and a half. The fact that Asad is about to use chemical weapons we have been hearing for about a year and a half. As a military specialist, I declare with full responsibility that the use of chemical weapons against partisan detachments is simply ineffective, since this will be accompanied by monstrous civilian casualties. These militants are distributed among the civilian population, on the one hand, if they are located in cities. And if they are in open spaces, then the use of chemical weapons against them is also meaningless, since it is easier to destroy them with conventional weapons in the mountains or in some spaces. Therefore, Bashar Assad is unprofitable to use it. And from another point of view, the use of chemical weapons by Asad will give a start to military intervention by the West against Syria.
Bashar Asad is not a murderer, not a suicide. And he clearly understands the consequences of this step. Israel makes such statements in order to create the conditions for a possible invasion of Syria by NATO and Israel. The purpose of such an invasion will certainly be the demolition, the elimination of the regime of Bashar al-Assad and the elimination of Islamist militants. That is, if the NATO members invade there, they will fight with both sides of the conflict and pursue the goal of establishing a pro-Western puppet regime in Libya.
However, this mode, naturally, cannot survive for long. This will mean a long protracted war of the Syrian people against foreign invaders - Israelis and NATO. The consequences of such a war, we know. The example of Iraq, the example of Afghanistan is obvious.