Military Review

Konstantin Sivkov: “Without additional infusions of weapons, the Syrian opposition will be crushed”

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Konstantin Sivkov: “Without additional infusions of weapons, the Syrian opposition will be crushed”Syrian opposition is waiting for supplies weapons from the European Union. France has already expressed its readiness to start arming opponents of Bashar Assad, even if its EU partners refuse to lift the embargo. Military expert Konstantin Sivkov told in an interview with our Company what the “French initiative” could lead to.


As far as I know, and I have a direct connection with Syria, with the people who live there, the opposition is now defeated by government troops. They have the ability to control individual cities, hotel fragments. However, in general, she is defeated. And the fact that today France and the United Kingdom raise the issue of lifting the embargo on the supply of weapons to Syria, the Syrian opposition, shows that without additional infusions of weapons, military equipment, ammunition, the Syrian opposition will be crushed. Therefore, talk about the fact that the Syrian opposition has some sort of success in some cities is just a blatant lie.

Of course, in the case of the defeat of Bashar Assad, if he leaves power, the Islamists will be at the helm. And the most radical, as it happened in Egypt, as it happened in Tunisia. And how it is happening now smoothly in Syria. The Islamists also take power over Libya by armed means. Although the pro-Western government is still in Tripoli, let's say the months are numbered. Therefore, Israel is right. The fears of Israel are just. And, of course, it is beneficial for Israel to at least preserve Bashar Asad. Because to rely on the fact that in the event of the overthrow of Bashar Assad, Western liberals in Syria will come to power - this can only be an amateur or a dreamer.

The borders with Turkey are currently poorly controlled by the Syrian armed forces. Therefore, the possibility of supplying weapons and military equipment of the Syrian opposition through Turkey is quite possible. However, I believe that if France and the UK lift the embargo on the supply of weapons to the Syrian opposition, then Russia, China and other countries that support the legitimate government of Syria can take the necessary measures to ensure the necessary level of weapons to the Syrian government forces that are capable of In this case, the Syrian opposition will certainly be crushed.

Since the Syrian opposition does not have the ability to apply in an organized, coordinated way, in accordance with the achievements of military science, the entire spectrum of modern weapons. And the Syrian army can. And in these conditions, she will definitely crush the Syrian opposition. Although now the Syrian opposition is on the verge of collapse.

- Israeli intelligence said that Assad intends to use chemical weapons against the opposition. How realistic is this? Will Assad take such steps?

This is another nonsense. Another lie that has been discussed for the past year and a half. The fact that Asad is about to use chemical weapons we have been hearing for about a year and a half. As a military specialist, I declare with full responsibility that the use of chemical weapons against partisan detachments is simply ineffective, since this will be accompanied by monstrous civilian casualties. These militants are distributed among the civilian population, on the one hand, if they are located in cities. And if they are in open spaces, then the use of chemical weapons against them is also meaningless, since it is easier to destroy them with conventional weapons in the mountains or in some spaces. Therefore, Bashar Assad is unprofitable to use it. And from another point of view, the use of chemical weapons by Asad will give a start to military intervention by the West against Syria.

Bashar Asad is not a murderer, not a suicide. And he clearly understands the consequences of this step. Israel makes such statements in order to create the conditions for a possible invasion of Syria by NATO and Israel. The purpose of such an invasion will certainly be the demolition, the elimination of the regime of Bashar al-Assad and the elimination of Islamist militants. That is, if the NATO members invade there, they will fight with both sides of the conflict and pursue the goal of establishing a pro-Western puppet regime in Libya.

However, this mode, naturally, cannot survive for long. This will mean a long protracted war of the Syrian people against foreign invaders - Israelis and NATO. The consequences of such a war, we know. The example of Iraq, the example of Afghanistan is obvious.
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  1. Rashid
    Rashid 18 March 2013 10: 34
    13
    "And the Volga flows into the Caspian Sea" - roughly the meaning of the article. As if it is not clear to anyone that all this "opposition" rests only on foreign aid.
    1. hommer
      hommer 18 March 2013 11: 15
      +3
      Quote: Rashid
      As if it is not clear to anyone that all this "opposition" rests only on foreign aid.

      Seimas begin to sort whom to deliver help.



      US intelligence agencies are preparing a military campaign to destroy the most radical militant groups that are fighting against the government army in Syria, France 24 television channel reports. The U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) is currently actively tracking the movements of terrorist groups and collecting information about their actions. These data are planned to be used in organizing the operation to destroy militants, including with the help of shock unmanned aerial vehicles.
      http://top.rbc.ru/politics/16/03/2013/849465.shtml

      Hypocrites. As if they didn’t know before who was fighting there.
      1. Aleks28
        Aleks28 18 March 2013 11: 35
        0
        Quote: hommer
        US intelligence agencies are preparing a military campaign to destroy the most radical groups of militants who are fighting against the government army in Syria, France 24 television channel reported.

        It’s just two allies, one bristles, the other picks up and with the help of the Mac, the media rings around the world. They will not destroy anyone, because if you destroy the radicals, then you need to destroy the whole opposition, especially since this is their brainchild. fool
        1. Aleks28
          Aleks28 18 March 2013 12: 03
          +4
          Author:- Israeli intelligence said that Assad intends to use chemical weapons against the opposition. How realistic is this? Will Assad take such steps?
          Israeli intelligence will not say that yes
      2. Sirocco
        Sirocco 18 March 2013 11: 58
        +1
        For what purpose did the USA muddle these revolutions in the north of Africa and in the east? The only goal is to destabilize the situation around Russia, to stir up a hive of radical Islamists who, in the event of successful revolutionary actions, will bring "peace" and "consent" to us in the Caucasus. By the way, Turkey will also suffer, but apparently they do not understand this. Or hope to be carried away by chance. Spinning the flywheel with radical Islamism, the West runs the risk of meeting its own students on its territory. By launching such a machine, it cannot be stopped by a wave of the hand. A big and bloody war is possible. Only the director of this war can not suffer, as he is overseas. Alas ((What in the end, in the end, the goal and prize of all these troubles of the East is Russia. Do we need this?
        1. aksakal
          aksakal 18 March 2013 12: 50
          +2
          Quote: Sirocco
          the West runs the risk of meeting its own students in its territory. Having launched such a machine, you won’t stop it by a wave of the hand. A big and bloody war is possible

          - An example of Mali shows that it is very possible to carefully, as with a terribly poisonous snake, direct it and crawl to where you need to crawl -)))), they sent it to Libya, bitten a bite, tried to bite Mali - and then a special tool, a noose, the snake is captured by the throat. Throw to Syria and further on the list.
          But all serpentologists are still bitten anyway, and not all of them survived ...
        2. Lapin
          Lapin 18 March 2013 12: 59
          0
          Yes, the main goal is Russia. But after all, the Russian Federation represented by Medvedev played up to the West strongly in this destabilization for the sake of reforming the world. Why did Medvedev surrender Libya with Gaddafi and all the positions of the Russian Federation there ?!
          Exactly 2 years have passed since the adoption of the UN Security Council Resolution No. 1973, after which the West launched an armed invasion of Libya. Medvedev could have vetoed it, and the Russian Federation would probably have been supported by China and India. But the LADY "asked" the US not to veto. But in Libya, the West was practicing state destruction technologies. Now Libya is essentially gone, and a new stage of the civil war between numerous tribes is now beginning there.
          It didn’t work out with Syria - Putin vetoed sanctions against her. And the supply of defensive weapons there continues. Yes, and the people's army of Syria is fighting perfectly.
          But for some reason, Medvedev again takes the side of the West - he threatens Assad with the "fate of Gaddafi." There have long been suspicions that Medvedev was from the "fifth column" of the West in the Russian Federation. And the film "The Giveaway Game" - about Medvedev's role in the surrender of Libya and Russia's interests - translates these suspicions into confidence, the authors accuse him of high treason.
          His support for Serdyukov in the destruction of the RF Armed Forces should also be investigated. Why did you buy unnecessary Mistrals?
          When the "fifth column" is represented in considerable numbers in the government of the Russian Federation, high treason threatens even on a larger scale.
          1. Perchik
            Perchik 18 March 2013 15: 01
            +1
            We found someone to appeal to .... Medvedev.
            This is Nobody and to call him No way.
    2. djon3volta
      djon3volta 18 March 2013 11: 27
      -1
      Quote: Rashid
      The Volga flows into the Caspian Sea "- approximately this is the meaning of the article

      where did you get that the point of the article is exactly this? Tell us your version of the conjecture.
  2. alexng
    alexng 18 March 2013 10: 35
    +4
    Let them begin to officially deliver and immediately untie their hands on arms supplies to Assad from Russia. And this is a completely different story.
    1. Aleksandr
      Aleksandr 18 March 2013 10: 47
      +1
      better Mistrals will be recalled without compensation and with indemnity)) wink
    2. PISTOL
      PISTOL 18 March 2013 11: 02
      +3
      As Angela Merkel said, Russia and China are just waiting for a reason to supply arms to Syria ... so you need to think carefully before lifting the embargo ...
      1. Tersky
        Tersky 18 March 2013 11: 24
        +9
        Quote: GUN
        As Angela Merkel said, Russia and China are just waiting for a reason to supply arms to Syria ...,

        ! +! Smart woman, so it will be ...
    3. KOMPLEKT
      KOMPLEKT 18 March 2013 12: 36
      0
      Yes, the hands are not connected
  3. BARKAS
    BARKAS 18 March 2013 10: 44
    +2
    I can only repeat it again. Russia does not need to participate in various embargoes and bans on the supply of weapons and spare parts to different countries, they themselves must decide which country should not be given weapons.
  4. Ruslan_F38
    Ruslan_F38 18 March 2013 10: 55
    +3
    Assad appealed to the BRICS countries with a request to send troops into Syria to save the country. Russia and China, in my opinion, should hurry, if not with the introduction of troops, then at least with the help of weapons, special forces and finally take a tougher position in Syria, and not mumble like Lavrov in London in front of ...... English. Or it may conduct targeted attacks on militant bases in countries neighboring Syria. As an option.
    1. Geisenberg
      Geisenberg 18 March 2013 11: 14
      0
      With such statements, reference is usually made to the source. From those words it is unfounded ...
      1. Tersky
        Tersky 18 March 2013 11: 22
        +4
        Quote: Geisenberg
        With such statements, reference is usually made to the source. From those words it is unfounded ...

        Google to the rescue-
        Syrian President Bashar al-Assad asked the BRICS countries to help end the conflict in his country; The head of state sent a corresponding message to the President of South Africa, Jacob Zuma, who will chair the group’s summit on March 26–27 in Durban.
        “Today I conveyed a message from President Bashar Assad to President Yakrob Zuma, who will chair the summit on March 26th. The letter is about the situation in Syria. In this message, President Assad asks for the intervention of the BRICS countries to stop the violence in the country and initiate the dialogue that President Assad has long been calling for to begin, ”said Presidential Advisor Butine Shaaban, quoted by MIGnews.
        http://vz.ru/news/2013/3/16/624684.html
        1. BARKAS
          BARKAS 18 March 2013 11: 57
          0
          US intelligence agencies are preparing a military campaign to destroy the most radical rebel groups that are fighting against the government army in Syria, France 24 reported.

          The United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) is currently actively monitoring the movements of terrorist groups and collecting information on their actions. These data are planned to be used in organizing the operation to destroy militants, including with the help of shock unmanned aerial vehicles.

          Sources in the leadership of American intelligence told the channel that US President Barack Obama has not yet given instructions for such operations. However, the CIA counterterrorism center team responsible for the use of drones was recently removed from the Afghan-Pakistani direction and began collecting data in Syria. This serves as an indirect sign of such a development of events.

          In Syria, as one of the channel's interlocutors said, on the side of the opposition, the same terrorist groups that American troops faced in Iraq are fighting. Some of them are the direct cells of Al-Qaeda.

          Here is some more information, but maybe another duck, or even more likely misinformation.
          1. Explore
            Explore 18 March 2013 15: 03
            0
            No, I think this is an information cover. Syrian militants are confident that B.A. support both Russia and China and the West. And only brothers Saudis, Jordanians and Turks help them. At least I hear this opinion from all their sources. Of course, this is sheer hypocrisy on the part of the field commanders. But for the uneducated "disposable" suicide bombers, this is almost a fact ...
            And here it is on you. From the State Department ...
      2. Focker
        Focker 18 March 2013 11: 23
        0
        http://www.lenta.ru/news/2013/03/16/brics/
    2. Che
      Che 19 March 2013 08: 10
      +1
      Ruslan, at least we’ll close the borders so that this one doesn’t climb over the hill. The experience of 20 years must be remembered.
  5. Geisenberg
    Geisenberg 18 March 2013 11: 18
    0
    An economic blockade is one way of waging war. In this case, the variant of the Cold War against Syria. A very convenient position like "we do nothing", like "no complaints" ...
  6. Cpa
    Cpa 18 March 2013 11: 22
    0
    even if Assad leaves or is re-elected, the situation will not improve. Syria has the leadership of Christian communities in the Middle East, these communities want to beheaded and deprived of influence. Syria was sentenced after the Lebanon war. Before it, Syria and Lebanon were negotiating unification. This could not be allowed. radicals and those who organized them, then their influence on the holy land would be reduced significantly. Putin called the actions of the West a crusade, words to the very point. But ours will not intervene, because Iran volunteered to defend Syria, and this a gift for the West and China that they didn’t expect. One thing I care about is that the fate of our ambassador to Syria awaits Baz because her evacuation is equal to painting in powerlessness. Eh, the story repeats itself.
    1. Explore
      Explore 18 March 2013 15: 06
      0
      If Assad leaves, the opposition will have a much better chance of winning. Plus the intervention of third countries. If they win, see the situation in Libya ...
      1. Sandov
        Sandov 18 March 2013 21: 27
        +1
        Israel's fears are fair. And, of course, it is beneficial for Israel to keep at least Bashar al-Assad. Because to rely on the fact that in the event of the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, Western liberals in Syria will come to power - this can only be an amateur or a visionary.

        Explore

        Only for some reason, Israel is not doing anything to prevent this scenario.
  7. Rrrrr
    Rrrrr 18 March 2013 13: 40
    +4
    I demand to return the nationality to registered users of the site !!! Where are the country flags? Is someone afraid of something, or is it easier for some foreigners to fool us and make trouble? Return the flags !!!
    1. Akhtuba73
      Akhtuba73 18 March 2013 17: 06
      +3
      Right! I am for...
      1. Mihaylo Tishayshiy
        Mihaylo Tishayshiy 18 March 2013 21: 56
        +3
        I fully support! Dear administrators, check back the boxes! Not only are everyone hidden behind avatars and pseudonyms, they are embarrassed to give their name, but their native flags are hidden too! We brand here on the website of the liberals, and we ourselves take an example from them!
  8. lechatormosis
    lechatormosis 18 March 2013 13: 42
    +1
    RECENT AIRCRAFT ON THE TERRITORY OF SYRIA - SHOWS ISRAEL will conduct its business in SYRIA.
    It is naive to believe that Israel will strive for peace.
    The establishment of dominance in Syria loyal or at least neutral about
    leadership in SYRIA to ISRAEL that's his goal I hope the PROFESSOR will confirm this.
  9. zao74
    zao74 18 March 2013 15: 02
    +2
    These homosexuals begin to annoy not only Russia ... The best response to the supply of weapons to the rebels, the introduction of the Russian peacekeeping contingent.
    1. amp
      amp 18 March 2013 15: 08
      +1
      I don’t know the start of a large contingent, but it would be nice to send a dozen MI 28 N helicopters there.
      1. Vladimirets
        Vladimirets 18 March 2013 16: 06
        +1
        Quote: amp
        I don’t know the start of a large contingent, but it would be nice to send a dozen MI 28 N helicopters there.

        And what, in your opinion, would a dozen cardinal helicopters do there?
  10. Explore
    Explore 18 March 2013 15: 09
    0
    Can the West start arms deliveries? So what?

    Like now Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, American NGOs are not doing this?

    At the very least, we will have more geopolitical trump cards in the game and we will be able to support Assad in the same open manner.
  11. Zhzhuk
    Zhzhuk 18 March 2013 17: 07
    0
    Already Leontiev in Syria here is a video
    [media = http: //anna-news.info/node/10349]
  12. pogis
    pogis 18 March 2013 17: 14
    0
    Quote: Aleksandr
    better Mistrals will be recalled without compensation and with indemnity)) wink

    Join us!
  13. BorisBM
    BorisBM 22 March 2013 13: 56
    0
    Russia should not stop halfway. Our naval voyage to the shores of Syria has brought undoubted benefits, and if it turns out that the West is supplying weapons to the opposition openly, then We must also arm Assad against NATO. We must become "STRONG." "and" titles ".