6th Generation Fighter NGAD: It All Starts Again

The U.S. Air Force is rethinking the very core of its requirements for a new sixth-generation stealth combat aircraft as part of an ongoing rethink of the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) initiative. The Air Force also says the reassessment addresses broader questions about the full suite of capabilities it plans to use to achieve air superiority in the future.
Call it what you will: a complete failure, a reboot, a liquid... sorry, they couldn't fulfill the requirements in the declared volume - it doesn't matter. What matters is that the NGAD program itself is hanging by a thread, and if you consider that its "faithful wingmen" component is still flying with the help of a person in a hastily attached cabin - something clearly went wrong. Somewhere around five billion came to a standstill.
However, in such a situation, what should you do? That's right, put on a good face in the face of complete... well, yes, declare victory in the face of complete betrayal.
Air Force Vice Chief of Staff Gen. James Slife and Andrew Hunter, assistant secretary of the Air Force for acquisition, technology and logistics, discussed the NGAD combat jet and its challenges during a livestreamed Defense Department press conference Sept. 4.
In July, the Air Force confirmed that it had put its plans for a sixth-generation tactical jet on hold due to budget shortfalls and unresolved questions about key requirements. The service insists it still plans to eventually move forward with the effort in some form, though what the plane might ultimately look like, including whether it will eventually require a pilot, is already increasingly uncertain.
Here it is necessary to clarify: NGAD was planned as a human-piloted vehicle. At one time there were rumors that NGAD would become a highly autonomous vehicle controlled by artificial intelligence with the support of operators from ground control stations. But what is happening today with the so-called "Model 437" actually puts an end to the autonomous version, because "Model 437", which was supposed to be a highly autonomous vehicle of the "faithful wingman" series, so far flies only with the help of a person.

Rendering of sixth-generation stealth fighter jet with crew. Collins Aerospace
“So, in terms of requirements, I would say we go back and start from the beginning with what we are trying to do.”, - General Slife admitted his impotence. You can't envy the guy, because sooner or later, Congress will start asking everyone about the money spent in vain.
"How do we behave - how do we achieve air superiority in a conflict?"
That would be one way to formulate the question. Another way to formulate the question would be:
"How do we build a sixth-generation manned fighter platform?"
So we're kind of going back to what we're trying to do initially. And I don't know exactly how we're going to achieve air superiority in a combat environment. It could involve a manned platform for a sixth-generation fighter, but we're kind of going back and looking at, you know, from the beginning.
Because when we did the initial analysis of alternatives for NGAD... you know, frankly, our technology base has evolved much faster than we expected. So we see that the capabilities that we have that we would like to use going forward to accomplish this mission have not been addressed. And we started the rethink with the NGAD system."
I really feel sorry for the General. Yes, General Slife specifically highlighted questions about whether the current plans for the NGAD combat jet represent a path to an aircraft that is best optimized to operate with the planned future fleets of Joint Warfare unmanned aircraft. aviation (CCA) Air Force. That's something Air Force officials, including Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall, have repeatedly emphasized. But the big question of what the future holds for NGAD itself, the general, alas, did not offer answers.
Hunter, the assistant secretary, also spoke in broad terms about the potential desire to incorporate new technologies into aircraft in response to an evolving threat ecosystem. But the specifics were beyond the scope of a microscope.

The sixth-generation NGAD crewed combat aircraft has its roots in what was originally called the PCA platform, which was intended to replace the F-22 Raptor stealth fighter. That program, in turn, was the result of work done by the Air Force in collaboration with the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA). Frank Kendall, now secretary of the Air Force, was involved in that effort, which he says has produced at least one flying demonstrator aircraft.
Before questions about its future began to emerge earlier this year, the NGAD Advanced Combat Jet had already evolved into a much more capable, but also much more expensive, aircraft than the F-22. In July, Gen. Kenneth S. Wilsbach, head of Air Combat Command, said there was currently no timeline for retiring the F-22. There is no timeline, but we know all too well the battles raging in Congress over the Raptor’s retirement from the Air Force.
Assistant Secretary of the Air Force Hunter:

F-22s that were supposed to be replaced by NGAD combat aircraft
In their presentations, Slife and Hunter highlighted a broader shift in Air Force plans toward focusing on ways to achieve core mission requirements rather than on specific platforms to meet those needs.
Now that's interesting. That is, the gentlemen are no longer talking about aircraft, but about methods of carrying out combat missions. But here is a double-edged sword with a hundred nuances. However, here is a quote that sheds light on this misunderstanding.
But in many ways Mr. Slife is right: modern aircraft are increasingly striving for some kind of universality. And the same fighter-bomber can fight other fighters with air-to-air missiles and easily drop bombs, including guided ones, and a cruise missile is not at all news under the belly.

And indeed, the question is not what is used, in the sense of what kind of aircraft, the question is how and in what capacity.
Slife:
I think the priority is definitely on flexibility in our approach... not being overly specific to any particular set of problems or any particular approach to a set of problems."
You know, it reminded me of a famous movie: "Do I have a key? I have something much better: I have a drawing of a key." Of course, there is a hidden meaning in a system that can quickly and adequately respond to changing conditions. Especially if the system has effective tools.

Slife and Hunter highlighted the iterative approach to developing the CCA program as an example of this way of thinking. General Atomics and Anduril are currently developing Drones as part of the work on the initial part of the CCA, also known as "loyal wingmen", focused primarily on air-to-air combat missions, but the work cannot yet be called successful.

General Atomics CCA design visualization. General Atomics

Author's concept of the Fury CCA drone variant. Anduril
In general, everything that is happening looks like a rush to find a way out of the current situation, when the first stage of the project to create the NGAD fighter and its unmanned wingmen practically ended in nothing and now requires rethinking and rebooting.
The Air Force says that whatever CCA projects it selects for any phase of the program, it will need to attract additional companies to help produce aircraft and UAVs at scale. So the Air Force is now assembling a broader pool of suppliers to provide subsystems and other support for that effort.
However, a larger number of developers and manufacturers does not guarantee a quick solution to the problems that arise.
Hunter:
Of course, if someone of a higher rank had said this, it would have been even more significant, but even so there is an understanding of how sad everything is.
It is interesting to note here that US Air Force General David W. Allwin, the Air Force Chief of Staff, spoke about the importance of iterative development and a forward-looking aircraft acquisition vision focused on “building for adaptation” rather than “building for the long haul” at the Global Air Force Leadership Conference in London earlier this year.
Olwin's talk was supported by a presentation that included artificial intelligence-generated graphics demonstrating the concept of a notional lightweight stealth fighter.

While this was for illustrative purposes only, it was still a very interesting visual amid the ongoing debate about the future of the NGAD combat aircraft. If, that is, there is a future for this project.
Allvin:
Okay, so growth, especially when it’s incremental, is great. But there are concerns about the natural drag of the defense budget, which is unlikely to increase in the coming years, along with the rising costs of mission-critical programs, especially the new Sentinel ICBM and its associated infrastructure requirements. This is also putting pressure on the Air Force’s modernization plans across the board. And when you consider that past projections suggest that a single NGAD combat jet could cost about three times as much as an F-35, or about $250 million, the concerns take on an even more ominous tone.
"I wouldn't rule anything out, but I wouldn't rule anything out either."" said General Slife. Well said, because the future of the NGAD combat jet remains very uncertain, with signs emerging that the Air Force may amend its previous plans or scrap them altogether and begin developing new ones that would certainly kill the acquisition of the aircraft.
But just a year ago it seemed that the sixth generation was right here, very close...
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