How will events develop at LBS? Will we end the CTO in Kursk Oblast
As I thought, the material about the attack on Krasnoarmeysk gave rise to many questions among readers. Even the "short-sighted", those who, due to the peculiarities of their "vision", can see "only here", as the mayor of Kyiv would say, thought about a simple question - why? And how long will this last?
Indeed, I understand the perfectly normal human desire to drive the enemy from one's land and give civilians the opportunity to live as they did before. After all, that is the main task armies: to protect civilians from the enemy. But let's face it.
Will expelling the enemy really protect the civilian population of the border areas?
Alas, no. Kyiv is killing people remotely. Long-range artillery, MLRS, drones... Direct attacks on populated areas are becoming less and less. Ours are cleaning up the territory quite effectively, judging by the fact that Zelensky is forced to remove combat brigades from the central Donetsk direction, despite the fact that a critical situation has developed there.
The comments often say that our fighters are also having a hard time. The enemy is strong, and it is impossible to defeat such an enemy by force. Ours fight heroically. We read about their exploits almost every day.
Why go far, just yesterday three videos were posted on Telegram about the rescue of a modern Maresyev, a fighter with the call sign Yeti, who spent a month making his way to his own people alone. Even before he announced his call sign, the fighters began calling him Ded. By his appearance... And Ded is only 49...
With burnt legs, no communication, no food or water, under enemy drones, he crawled to his own. The only thing he carried with him, despite everything, was a machine gun and documents. He collected rainwater, ate what he found in the fields, but crawled to his own! A soldier remained a soldier even in the face of death.
When our scouts found him in the field, he, realizing that the drones could already see them, spent a long time persuading the fighters to leave. But I give credit to the motorized riflemen - they did not abandon him. Under mortar fire, they brought the fighter to the evacuation point and sent him to the hospital! And there are many such examples. We have learned to fight. To fight in such a way that the Ukrainian fascists are afraid of us.
Strength of spirit, the desire to win became the main factor of victories. Our opponents talk a lot about the superiority of the Russian Army in the air, in artillery, etc. But remember the recent feat of our fighters defending the women's colony. The battalion commander gathered the fighters, organized the defense so that the armored fist of the enemy ran into the wall.
Strength of spirit overcomes iron!
I have already written that the Ukrainian offensive practically died in the first days. It turned into a kind of raid by a large sabotage and reconnaissance group. Break into a populated area, do some mischief, hold a selfie show and retreat to the nearest forest so as not to get drawn into direct confrontation with the main forces of the Russian Army. The first days when this was possible are over. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have lost momentum.
Today, I am convinced of this, even those convulsive attempts to advance in the direction of Sudzha and Korenev look more like attacks by dead men than conscious tactical actions. They are attacking without hope of success. They are attacking by inertia, if such a comparison is appropriate when describing military actions.
There are a lot of reports from LBS that the enemy is digging in. Trying to build defensive structures on our territory. On the one hand, this is quite logical. There is no possibility to attack, we must move on to holding the captured positions. But this is for those same "short-sighted".
For the rest, it is enough to look at the BD map, at the location of our army units and the enemy, to understand that such defensive tactics will give a completely opposite result. The successes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (I wonder why) for some reason took place in a fairly narrow area. Thus, we can see a rather thin, forgive the comparison, gut that is stuck into our defense.
Moreover, given the terrain, this gut is quite vulnerable, and all the roads along which reinforcements can be delivered and the attackers supplied with everything they need are shot through by our barrel artillery. Not to mention drones and other longer-range systems.
So what is the fate of the attackers when they go on the defensive? And the Ukrainian Armed Forces have no countermeasures against attacks on the flanks...
Future boiler!
It seems to me, purely my opinion, that we have organized another "meat grinder" for the most combat-ready units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Moreover, this was done quite skillfully, taking into account the very policy that I wrote about in the previous article.
Even understanding the hopelessness of further offensive, Zelensky will be forced to continue it, and General Syrsky, being close to the "emperor", will fulfill the whims of the expired. In this, again, in my opinion, lies the answer to the question about the timing of the end of the operation.
The main thing for Zelensky today is PR
All possible goals that many experts and journalists have spoken and written about have failed. However, as in many other areas. Starting with the much-hyped naval landing on the Kinburn Spit and ending with the formidable Palyanitsa MLRS system, Ukrainian missiles like our Kalibr and American Tomahawks.
All goals, except one. The presence of Ukrainian units on Russian territory can be seen by an uninformed person as a small victory, but a victory. For the West, this is a sufficient condition for continuing supplies to Kyiv. And this, in turn, is vital for the Zelensky regime.
I have already written that the fate of Ukraine and Ukrainians is absolutely unimportant for the regime. The line, the preservation of which guaranteed the preservation of Ukrainian statehood, has been crossed. And it was crossed a long time ago. And the events in Kursk and other border regions became only a catalyst for this process.
If earlier, before the offensive on the Kursk region, some experts, although not as often as the West would like, spoke about preserving Ukraine, albeit with the loss of some territories, today such voices are no longer heard. Everyone understands perfectly well that preserving Ukraine, even in a truncated state, is mortally dangerous for Russia. And this means that the SVO will continue until Kyiv completely capitulates.
This can also explain the numerous war crimes that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are committing on Russian territory. These include kidnappings, killings of civilians, and the use of chemical weapons. weapons, and strikes on civilian targets. There is probably no crime today that the "warriors of light" from Ukraine have not committed.
Any crime is still "not noticed" in the West. Any crime against Russians is considered legal there... But that's for now. Until the moment when the West "smells something fishy" and realizes that all their efforts to break up Russia have gone to waste.
That's when we will read about how someone "saw the light," someone "always knew it," someone "fought to the best of their modest abilities," and so on. Moreover, it is these "seen the light" who will become the most brutal "prosecutors" for the regime. In this regard, I think, nothing has changed since the Great Patriotic War... That's when many terrible testimonies of the crimes of the Ukrainian regime will emerge.
Zelensky's punishers, nationalists and outright fascists understand this. They already have a premonition that their fate is in no way connected with Ukraine. They will not have time to escape - they will be hanged by the Ukrainians themselves in the squares of Ukrainian cities. They will fight to the end. In this, their desires completely coincide with the desires of the Kyiv authorities.
That is why, again, in my opinion, it is premature to talk about the imminent end of the SVO. We will have to cleanse the whole of Ukraine. It is like an oncological operation, the affected area must be removed completely. Even with a reserve. Otherwise, the tumor will be reborn again and again, spread and threaten the patient's health.
Only a complete and high-quality cleansing of the whole of Ukraine. There is no other way...
The Ukrainian Armed Forces begin preparations for the defense of the Right Bank
Now I will again provoke a lot of negative comments. "Well, the author, well, what a dreamer"... Yes, perhaps he is a dreamer. But let's look ahead, and not just at the LBS. We have broken the defense in the center. No one doubts that even the appearance of new brigades, about the transfer of which from Western Europe is already being discussed in the intelligence communities of Western countries, will not change the situation.
Even those sections of the front where nothing had happened for a long time, for many months, have come to life today. We have been observing and understanding this for quite some time, by the standards of the speed of modern warfare. the warThe transfer of Ukrainian Armed Forces brigades that have been defending positions for many months and their replacement with new ones formed from mobilized troops gives our units a chance to advance in their areas.
And the Western press is already publishing numerous materials about the fact that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not ready to defend their existing positions. Many fighters and commanders are openly talking about withdrawing from the Left Bank of Ukraine beyond the Dnieper. Well, that is a completely reasonable opinion. Indeed, the Dnieper can become a great line of defense for some time.
I am truly confident that we will liberate a significant part of the Left Bank. I will not even write about Donbass. We will definitely liberate it. By the way, I advise you to take a closer look at the Luhansk region. More precisely, at what is happening there on the LBS. Perhaps we will see interesting events in the near future.
What they say in the West sounds pleasant to our ears, but... Scattering forces for the sake of PR is not in the traditions of our command. What our staff officers will come up with is still unknown. But in general, the existing trends will remain. We will advance. At least until the autumn thaw sets in.
And the exit to the Dnieper...
I don't think this is a strategic task for today. We must hurry slowly. Especially since slush does not protect the enemy from our Aerospace Forces' strikes.
Information