Great Wall of China
This article, even the replica, is built exactly the opposite. The informational occasion, in our opinion, is somewhat dubious, will be presented to readers only at the finish line.
And only after a series of very lengthy discussions of a somewhat general nature. But the main thing is that the reasoning is strategic.
Wrong turn?
We have more than two years of SVO behind us, plus more than eight years of “dislike” for “Nezalezhnaya”. Yes, with a small letter, since this project, in our opinion, is purely fake. At the instigation of the Bandera bastard, official Kyiv has been smashing and spreading rot in Donbass all these years.
And the West, with some masochistic pleasure, sided with Kyiv. However, as you know, they took Moscow’s side only when it was impossible to do without its help. Moscow, in response, decided to turn to the East, remembering that it is essentially the capital of greater Eurasia, according to Gumilyov.
However, it would be nice today to remind more often that we have our own alternative to the Chinese alternative to the West - Indian. There are also plenty of problems with it, primarily due to the peculiarities of the economy and finances of such an old partner as New Delhi.
In fact, overcoming them is a necessary task, and, moreover, very profitable for many participants in foreign economic activity. And in terms of “overcoming” in the Indian direction, Russia has much more success than in the Chinese direction.
And only the lazy or those who have managed to be directly “interested” by our Chinese comrades do not notice this. It is no secret that Beijing, with all its might, and primarily with its finances, encourages every attempt to somehow annoy its Indian neighbor.
At the same time, the Chinese, with enviable persistence, continue to take all possible and impossible steps towards New Delhi through integration structures such as BRICS and the SCO. But this is only to strengthen positions in the global confrontation with the States and the collective West.
Well, China also needs Russia as a kind of rear or even northern flank with a full set of strategic weapons. Beijing can still only dream about this, no matter what they tell us about the military power of the Celestial Empire.
Where are you, Russian factor?
For the United States, putting pressure on everyone, who is allowed and who is not, is a common thing. But China’s position is not easy to understand. Of course, Beijing doesn’t really want to quarrel with its global opponent, whose market supplies the lion’s share of Chinese goods. Note, much better quality than those brought to Russia.
But that’s not even the main thing. In any case, China would not stand behind Russia’s back in the current conditions if the Chinese had not been abandoned in Ukraine, and if the prospect had not shone that with the beginning of the Northern Military District they would be abandoned with all sorts of help from the “independence”. It was simply more profitable for the Chinese to take the side of the Russian Federation, even if not entirely openly.
Beijing also benefits from the fact that the United States got into a very serious mess with the Ukrainian project, receiving only headaches and uncontrollable expenses instead of heating up the economy with military orders. But with the “warm-up” and the military order for the future for the US super companies, things are not going well.
Now Beijing’s task, as noted by Alexander Losev, a member of the Presidium of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy, is not at all difficult: “To make sure that America gets bogged down in a conflict with Russia for as long as possible.” And Beijing’s peace initiatives boil down to ensuring that the regime of drug president Ze does not go away.
So everything can be dragged out almost indefinitely, to the point that Moscow will simply become “tame” for Beijing. And in this case, the United States will find itself in an almost stalemate situation - the remnants or “remains” of Ukraine must be supported, which means that even a hypothetical alliance with Russia against China is excluded for many years to come.
Beijing can repeat as much as it wants that it is interested in preserving an independent Ukraine within the 1991 borders, but it will not irritate Moscow endlessly. Let them, they say, come to an agreement themselves - in Beijing they will accept this as a profitable given, since even if the hot phase ends, the big problems of Russia and Ukraine will not go away.
Russia, we repeat, is not needed by China as an equal and dangerous partner - they are simply fed up with this with the Union. And now – rise up and that’s enough! Beijing’s northern neighbor, both in dreams and in reality, is nothing more than a junior partner. Only with an immeasurable nuclear potential, whether this is good or bad can be perceived in different ways.
Is this why a possible alliance between Moscow and New Delhi is so unsympathetic to official Beijing?
In the meantime, Russia is stuck in Ukraine, and more abruptly than the United States, there is no need to worry, what if Moscow decides to respond to the yuan difficulties by curtailing relations with China.
And this at a time when everything is bad with the West too? And it’s not for nothing that the “Russian factor”, like a trump card from a deck, is something Beijing pulls out over and over again in the course of dialogue with the United States and its allies. But even for the sake of the old “eternal friendship” with Moscow, Beijing will never completely break with the West.
China is neither our friend nor our enemy. How?
So the time has come to remind us why, in fact, we started talking so zealously about the difficulties on our “Chinese route”?
On the Internet and a little in the business press, where rushing is harmful to oneself, they began to remind more and more often that almost three-quarters of yuan payments from Russia to China have now begun to be returned back.
Hence the problems with supplies and difficulties with payment, which, however, do not frighten Chinese partners too much. In China, they are always ready to support exports with an interest-free loan, which is why financiers around the world hate the People's Bank of China.
Another thing is imports, that is, our Russian exports, you know what, first of all. Here, delaying payment turns out, alas, much worse. It is clear that various kinds of intermediaries are always ready to help in all directions.
However, their services are sometimes more expensive than returning to payments in dollars. Already up to a third of foreign trade transactions today go through trading houses and specialized export-import banks.
For both of them, commissions reach 10 percent or more, depending on which supply chains are involved. Goods, however, do not stagnate much, but money does stagnate a lot. And if they simply lay idle on correspondent accounts, then no.
Bankers immediately put them into circulation, inflating those same notorious bubbles that almost burst the world economy in 2008. Losses on commissions and exchange rate differences are increasing, and the profits of financiers are growing by leaps and bounds.
And it all started not so long ago - at the end of 2023, when Biden’s secondary sanctions began to take effect. The June restrictions only worsened the trend. So far this has not yet hit foreign trade turnover so hard, but isn’t it time for the BRICS bank to really start working?
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