Victory factor: judging by open data, soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces surrender much more often than soldiers of the Russian Armed Forces
Moments of information war
We live in interesting times - you open Telegram, and there are sources of information for every taste, reflecting a variety of opinions, often polar ones. Of course, first of all, information is now in demand about the conduct of the Russian Special Military Operation (SVO) in Ukraine, and here we can study two points of view on this war - Russian and Ukrainian.
It all looks strange, as if in a Soviet newspaper in 1943 the military successes of the USSR were published on one page, and the successes of Nazi Germany on the other, especially considering that many hostile Ukrainian resources are published in the Russian language they hate.
However, Telegram is not a “Soviet newspaper”, nor is it a Russian one, despite the fact that this messenger was founded by a Russian citizen.
On the other hand, analysis of the enemy’s information sources can be very useful; as is known, about 90% of intelligence information is obtained from open sources.
Of course, you should only get acquainted with the enemy’s information resources if you have developed critical thinking, otherwise cognitive dissonance may develop or a desire to commit rash acts may arise, with consequences in the form of a long prison sentence, but if with the ability It’s okay to resist enemy propaganda, then you can and should use the enemy’s information platforms.
In many ways, Russian and Ukrainian resources are similar - hatred is clearly felt, information about dead civilians is published (which is inevitable with such intensity of hostilities), on both sides there are degenerates who rejoice at this, including the death of children (although there are noticeably more such deviants on the Ukrainian side).
Both sides accuse each other of striking civilian targets, but it is noticeable that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (RF Armed Forces) always strike with precision weapons, if there are “arrivals” on civilian infrastructure, then either the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) were hiding their units, military equipment or ammunition at these facilities, or the ammunition was shot down or deflected by electronic warfare systems (EW), or it was generally a Ukrainian munition, for example, an anti-aircraft Rocket S-300 complex, whose warhead is comparable to that of a cruise missile.
At the same time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are using unguided munitions, including those with cluster warheads, in huge quantities against Russian cities and towns, which they cannot yet accuse the Russian Armed Forces of, although “Ukrainians"They may well strike at their own, just to create an information pretext for accusing Russia of this.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces have been shelling civilian targets in the Lugansk and Donetsk republics since 2014, and Russian populated areas since the beginning of the Northern Military District, including with cluster munitions, but Western countries hypocritically do not notice this
Ukrainian resources clearly show an overestimation of the number of Russian soldiers and equipment destroyed, as well as a tendency to create fake evidence of this. Of course, there are probably exaggerations on our part, but the scale is clearly incomparable.
However, there is one area in which Ukrainian sources of information cannot provide either real facts or even fakes, since they would not be so easy to organize - this is the mass surrender of soldiers of the Russian Armed Forces, with similar facts of the surrender of soldiers There are plenty of APUs.
step over the line
Surrender is a very serious test for any fighter. Most often they surrender out of despair, being severely wounded or facing the threat of imminent death. Of course, if a fighter in a hopeless situation understands that in captivity he will be subjected to inhuman torture and then almost certainly killed, then he will most likely try to commit suicide; unfortunately, we had to see this in the example of our soldiers, that not surprising, given the fact that torture and atrocities in the Ukrainian Armed Forces towards Russian prisoners of war, and towards civilians in Eastern Ukraine were (and remain) the norm.
At the beginning of the war, information about torture by the Ukrainian Armed Forces was not particularly hidden, because even President Zelensky then said "they are what they are". Here's for "just the way they are", led by former President Zelensky, we urgently need, in my opinion, to return the death penalty even before the completion of the SVO, and at the same time we will clean out our Augean stables.
The former but not yet expelled President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky openly justified the torture and murder of Russian military personnel, but Western countries did not notice this fact either.
As a consequence of the above, on enemy information channels, footage of our prisoners of war is the exception rather than the rule, but there is more than enough footage of Ukrainian prisoners of war on the Internet.
They surrender one by one, in groups, in units, however, “cooks and drivers” predominate, without weapons and with weapons, some even with equipment. There is no doubt that there would have been an order of magnitude more people who surrendered if machine guns and FPVs had not been aimed at their backs.drones barrier detachments.
Not only active but also potential fighters are fleeing - they swim across rivers, drown, disguise themselves as women, even attack border guards - or more will happen.
If the ratio of losses in manpower between Ukraine and Russia, according to unconfirmed data from the Israeli intelligence service Mossad, is estimated at ten to one (in favor of Russia), then what is the ratio of those who surrendered - one hundred to one, or maybe a thousand to one?
Now hundreds, and maybe thousands - tens of thousands are surrendering into captivity
If we talk about the factors of victory, about who wins on the battlefield, who has higher motivation, then the number of evaders and those who surrendered is one of the most striking indicators confirming that Russia is winning both on the battlefield and in the information war.
Well, Ukrainians don’t want to die for Bandera, for lace panties, for membership in NATO and the EU, even despite many years of brainwashing carried out by the Ukrainian authorities and the media under the control of the intelligence services of Western countries. There is no doubt that many more Ukrainians are ready to surrender or escape, we just... need to help them a little.
We need to help them
The work to organize the escape and surrender of Ukrainian military personnel must be systematic, systematic - our task is to ensure that more Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers surrender and are destroyed on the battlefields than Ukraine can mobilize.
First of all, there must be transparency, it is necessary to remove the psychological fear of surrender - Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers must know that in custody they will not be subjected to torture and will be kept in decent conditions. For example, it is possible, in my opinion, to organize video surveillance cameras in places where Ukrainian prisoners of war are located with broadcasting via the Internet, and also allow periodic sending of audio and video messages to loved ones, of course, under the necessary control and deprivation of access to communication in case of any violations (calls to fight against Russia, support for Nazism, and so on).
Then it is necessary to provide comprehensive information support - radio frequencies for delivery (currently 49,2 MHz, 149,2 MHz, 449,2 MHz, call sign "Volga"), "Telegram" channels, Internet TV channel to describe the conditions of detention , surrender rules, interviews with previously surrendered prisoners of war.
Surrender frequencies: 49,2 MHz, 149,2 MHz, 449,2 MHz, call sign “Volga”
It may be worth developing a special application for smartphones on the Android platform, for example, under the code name “Choose Life”, the functionality of which, perhaps, we will talk about separately.
Economic motivation - just as there are various formats for rewarding soldiers of the Russian Armed Forces for the destruction of enemy equipment, bonuses can also be introduced for surrendered soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, for example, for confirmed facts of destruction of equipment (promotion: burn the Abrams - get a million rubles), for confirmed cases of killing foreign mercenaries - a short video with sound, for example, a conversation, in French or Polish and the actual "procedure", and for the delivery of a live mercenary the fee may be even higher. Of course, there should be payments for weapons and military equipment taken with them upon surrender - how much will we value a slightly used танк "Leopard" or F-16 fighter "on the move"?
Fire support - it can be assumed that one of the most important factors preventing the surrender of Ukrainian fighters is the barrier detachments put up by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and consisting of ideological nationalists, mainly from Western Ukraine, and they are trying to destroy not only those who want to surrender voluntarily, but and the wounded who simply cannot retreat on their own. The shooting of potential prisoners is carried out using all types of weapons - machine guns, sniper rifles, drops from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and FPV drones are not spared.
It is necessary at hour “H”, day “D”, which will be chosen irregularly, haphazardly, to deliver powerful barrage strikes against the second echelon of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the line of combat contact (LCC), in order to make their work against the “fugitives” as difficult as possible. In turn, those wishing to surrender can be notified of this by radio on pre-distributed frequencies - they heard the signal to surrender, shot the commander in the head and ran, or ran with the commander, it’s as agreed upon. It is clear that the “barrier detachments” will also listen to the channel, but at the moment of surrender they will be busy saving their own skins from falling shells and FPV drones.
Of course, this is just an example offhand; in reality, the optimal solution for covering those who want to surrender may be completely different, but it is better to organize this locally, in relation to the characteristics of a particular section of the LBS.
Where to put the prisoners?
If there are a lot of prisoners, then what to do with them?
If we are talking about the fact that the RF Armed Forces take more prisoners than the Ukrainian Armed Forces, then even taking into account exchanges they should accumulate among us. An exchange of “all for all” is unacceptable; they will simply be returned to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and this will devalue all the efforts to capture enemy fighters.
Option one - prisoner of war camps and forced labor - this is not prohibited by international treaties and conventions, although there are a number of restrictions.
There can be many options for “employment”, for example, the agricultural or construction sectors, where prisoners of war can partially replace “valuable foreign specialists”. Prisoners of war can also be used for the needs of the front, for example, for the manufacture of camouflage nets, trench candles, containers for dynamic protection (DZ) and similar products that are not formally military.
Camouflage nets, trench candles, and containers for remote sensing are now being produced by state and private enterprises, as well as volunteers throughout the country; prisoners of war can also do this
Again, this is just an example of the kind of work that prisoners of war can be involved in. According to international law, prisoners of war can (and should) receive wages for their work.
Conclusions
The mass surrender of enemy fighters is a clear confirmation of his defeat, at least morally - the fighters of the victorious army will clearly surrender less willingly than the army that suffers defeat after defeat. Taking enemy fighters prisoner both has a positive effect on one’s own and also reduces the morale of the enemy army, not counting the direct loss of manpower.
Ukrainian prisoners of war can not only be exchanged for ours, but also involved in labor activities in accordance with the norms of international law.
But the most important thing is that it is necessary to facilitate the surrender of Ukrainian Armed Forces fighters as much as possible, providing them with a variety of support in this endeavor by all available means.
Information