Dr. Abbas Khalaf: "The United States will not bomb Iran, they use it as a frightening factor in advancing the missile defense system"

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Dr. Abbas Khalaf: "The United States will not bomb Iran, they use it as a frightening factor in advancing the missile defense system"Iran is in the queue of those countries where the “Arab spring” can occur, on the eve of the presidential elections in Iran there will be serious problems for the clergy and for the current leaders, said Dr. Abbas Khalaf, former Iraqi ambassador to the Russian Federation, current member of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems.

The sanctions regime, which is conducted against Iran by the United States and the "Westerners", began to give results. The first is the growth of the poor. The second is the rise in unemployment. And it is no secret to anyone that the national currency of Iran has lost half of its cost. That is, Iran is experiencing very acute economic and social problems also due to the fact that Iran has entered the arms race. There are serious rearmament programs, with the result that Iran suffers. Moreover, Iran's oil exports decreased by half compared to what it was before the introduction of economic sanctions against it. Plus, Iran wants to play the role of a regional power. He has serious competitors - this is Turkey and Saudi Arabia.

To this we can add that Iran has its own nuclear program, which caused a great disagreement on the world stage. As a result, Iran began to seriously suffer from a complex of these problems. And I think Iran is in the queue of those countries where the "Arab Spring" occurred. I do not exclude that on the eve of the next elections in Iran there will be serious problems for the Iranian clergy and for the current leaders, including Ahmadinejad.

- Ahmadinejad said in Egypt that Iran could negotiate directly with the United States over its nuclear program ...

- I said from the very beginning that the United States will never bomb Iran, because Iran and the United States always conduct backstage talks. Imagine what happens if Washington starts bombing Iran? The "motives" that the Americans put forward to create a missile defense system will disappear immediately. If they say that this missile defense is supposedly not against Russia, but in order to counter Iran’s ballistic missiles, what will happen if they destroy Iran? Who will this system be against? Therefore, Washington uses Iran as a frightening factor. Previously, they used Saddam Hussein to scare the Gulf countries - Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates - from the aggressive plans of Saddam Hussein. And now they are using the current rulers of Iran and their "aggressive" statements to sell weapon in order to counter Iran’s aggressive plans. I want to say that the US military complex has orders for 20 years ahead. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the Emirates, Qatar and others have bought and bought American and Western weapons worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Therefore, Iran and the statements of its leaders are playing into the hands of Washington, which is trying to strengthen its position in the strategically important, rich region of the Persian Gulf and in the region of the Middle East as a whole.

- The statement by Ahmadinejad that Iran can destroy Israel at any time - is this a real threat or election rhetoric?

- This is propaganda, meaningless rhetoric. It is used for local purposes - the election campaign. I want to say that Israelis and Americans do not take such statements seriously. And he already declares this not the first time. On the other hand, it pursues political goals in the Arab and Islamic world in order to raise Iran’s rating. Because now Iran in the Arab Islamic world is isolated due to aggressive Shiite plans. Because the majority of the world of Islam is Sunni Islam. And now Iran is in isolation in the Sunni world. Such a statement allegedly for the liberation of Jerusalem, for the destruction of Israel is done in order to raise the rating of Iran in the Islamic and Arab world. In the Arab world they say that Iran is an unloved brother for Muslims and for Arabs, despite the fact that he tries to impersonate a fighter for freedom, for the unity of the Arab and Islamic world, but he does not work. The recent statement by Iranian leaders that Bahrain is part of Iran has caused tremendous indignation. Moreover, Iran used Hezbollah units in Lebanon, as well as arming and financing Hamas.

Iran has another competitor in the face of Turkey, which also wants to return its place. After the European Union refused to accept Turkey into its membership, the Turkish leadership, in order to take revenge, went to strengthen relations with the Arab and Islamic world. And she has achieved great economic success in this matter. Now the entire Arab world and the Islamic world support Turkey. There are many Islamic and Arab investment projects in Turkey. ”
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  1. +3
    13 February 2013 07: 16
    The United States may not bomb, but Israel may well be shandarah and will not ask Washington.
    Turkey is supported by the whole Islamic world - what kind of world are we talking about? If Katatr and Saudis, but they have their own interests, and ultimately they are geopolitical opponents rather than allies. -Warring among themselves.
    And the fucking Israel in Iran, on whose side will the Islamic world be?
    1. +2
      13 February 2013 08: 12
      Quote: Alexander Romanov
      And the fucking Israel in Iran, on whose side will the Islamic world be?
      Alas, on the side of Turkey ... There really are Sunnis and Miites among themselves in the counter. And Israel ... Jews do not attack those who can embroil in response, such a nature
    2. +1
      13 February 2013 08: 52
      Quote: Alexander Romanov
      And the fucking Israel in Iran, on whose side will the Islamic world be?


      Good morning, Alexander! hi The fact of the matter is that Israel fears the consequences of an attack on Iran. The Israeli leadership is well aware that:
      1: Iran attacks in response, by all means.
      2. If not leaders, then the public of the Islamic world will side with Iran.
      3: Iran engages against Israel, all the groups supporting it.
      4: The threat of attack on Israeli embassies around the world.

      The Israeli leadership is well aware that the balance of power is clearly not in its favor. In my opinion, only this one fundamental factor keeps us from striking Iran.
      1. 0
        13 February 2013 09: 29
        Hi guys! From the very beginning I said that neither the United States nor Israel would fight Iran, since for them it will not even be a second Vietnam, but a real "STALIGRAD BOILER". But these shakals-oil pumps, even though they are flat. but not suicidal.
        If you remember, I wrote about this even before the start of the voyage of the USAkalov against Iran in the article "Will the USA start a big NICKER against Persia" And the fact that the oil pumps will not calm down until they themselves die is not necessary to go to the grandmother.
        I propose a drink for the complete failure of the jackals in a military company against Syria and Iran. drinks They will now look for other ways to solve their selfish issues, but this is a different story, and all the more so since it is too late now and nothing good is shining for them. Crap one's pants in full.
    3. Kaa
      +2
      13 February 2013 08: 59
      Quote: Alexander Romanov
      The United States may not bomb, but Israel may well be shandarah and will not ask Washington.

      Good morning, Alexander! Sorry, but as Stanislavsky said, I do not believe it!
      1) Problems with range and flight route for Israeli bombers.
      2) On the withdrawal area - we will assume that they have broken through the Iranian air defense, although at least 6 targets need to be attacked - they will receive "unacceptable losses" in pursuit - and the Israelis are sensitive to them.
      3) Iran's nuclear facilities are buried in rock almost to the earth's mantle laughing , they need "super bombs" that only B-52s carry.
      4) A nuclear strike on Iran will bring Israel into the cohort of "non-handshake countries - there will be" Muslims of all faiths - unite "- then they will be stupidly" crushed by the masses ", regardless of losses.
      5) I am already tired of posting that Iran ALREADY has a pair of tactical yadrenbatons, and they carried out tests, saying that it was an "earthquake", including referring to CIA data. Iran will send a couple of irrevocable martyrs (or Shahibs) to the Promised Land with them + chemical weapons - the OZK will not be enough. The latest statements by the Israeli press are 4 months before the creation of at least 6 plutonium bombs. They need it, such a "return" to receive? What about the strategic alliance Iran-Syria with chemical weapons -Hesbollah with the "frostbitten"? And what about Ahmadinijad's proposal to Egypt to organize a united front against Israel, using the Iranian experience in creating nuclear weapons? But in Egypt now the "Muslim brothers" are in power, and they are looking towards Israel not at all like a brother ... This will be a complete Armageddian. America has refused to send a second AUG to this area and to give strategists for bombing, this situation does not smile on them. And not to ask Fashington is bad manners, they asked before the (limited) raid on Damascus, and here it IS! No.
      1. DeerIvanovich
        -1
        13 February 2013 09: 37
        everything is correct, noted by both Kaa and the author of the article. Yes, and I have already written more than once that the United States will not fight Iran. Ayatollah Khomeni is a direct henchman of the Americans. Iran in its current form was created as a counterweight to the Sunnis. If the Sunnis are supported by the United States and thereby discredit themselves in every possible way, then a center is needed around which opponents of the United States will gather, and these are mostly Shiites. So the religious Iran is the most successful candidate for this place. The worldwide protests following the release of The Innocence of Muslims confirm this.
        Jews are afraid of losing control of the Islamic world, which is why they are making a martyr from Iran, allegedly fighting against the United States, so that those who are displeased with US politics are pulled under its flags. thereby retaining control over the entire Islamic world.
        I remember Iran was trying to take Iraq by force, where also many Shiites live, but no Iraqis broke them, led by Hussein. For this, Hussein was blamed for the amers, and meanwhile Iran was propagandizing among the Iraqis: they say Iran is good and also against amers. As a result, after the United States left, Iraq turned right towards Iran, and this is despite the fact that Iran fought with Iraq before. And why do amers look at it through their fingers?
        Mark my word, all this is done to provoke a third world.
        Turkey is out of work, the appearance of Kurdistan is a confirmation of this, so that no matter what illusions Turkey feels about the reconstruction of the Ottoman Empire, nothing will succeed. Well, maybe after the third world, if the card lies down.
  2. mnbv199
    -1
    13 February 2013 07: 43
    Hello!
    Forum participants suggest reading a conversation with Marat Musin
    http://maramus.livejournal.com/153987.html

    Be healthy!
  3. donchepano
    0
    13 February 2013 07: 50
    Ahmad the Unwanted Russia is not an enemy,
    but something prevents the above countries. Americans with their mongrels
    have long dreamed of destroying Persia ... However, Russia is like a bone to them .. no, like a nail in (the brain)
    1. +2
      13 February 2013 09: 28
      Quote: donchepano
      Ahmad the Unwanted Russia is not an enemy,

      And not an enemy and not a friend, but ...
  4. Guun
    +1
    13 February 2013 07: 52
    Good article. ABM is directed against Russia and China and will make the shields of these countries unnecessary. Yes, only cunning is tricky; Western opponents seem to have forgotten it. And Iran is just dust in the eyes. A hypocrite is such an entity that one of his faces tells you about his good intentions, and behind his back another person is preparing a plan to eliminate it.
  5. +2
    13 February 2013 08: 09
    Iran is now a real adversary for the Israelis. I agree with the author that it is more likely a scarecrow, which is intended to knock out the budget by the military of the United States and Israel ...
    Only now, there is no other country in the region, probably except a member of NATO Turkey, which could conduct a truly independent policy and not be afraid of an attack ... Whatever Abbas would say about the dislike of the Arabs, this state is strong and really dangerous for the West
    1. +1
      13 February 2013 09: 25
      Quote: older
      I agree with the author that it is rather a scarecrow, which is intended to knock out the budget by the military of the United States and Israel ...

      That's right, the states, having nurtured a scarecrow more than once, then they themselves were scared to hiccups.
      Iran, they alone would not leave them to take a breath, their breath is very torn now.
  6. 0
    13 February 2013 08: 18
    Undoubtedly, Iran was scared for the West to justify the deployment of missile defense systems. The same applies to the DPRK. But do not forget that Iran has oil and this automatically makes it the next in line for "democratization".
  7. fenix57
    0
    13 February 2013 08: 42
    " The sanctions regime, which the USA and the Westerners are imposing against Iran, began to give results. The first is the growth of the poor. The second is the increase in unemployment ..."- and these are very "promising" signs for a new "..... spring". They will try to blow up from the inside. You can't see the customer cheaper, but ... hi
    1. DeerIvanovich
      0
      13 February 2013 09: 40
      rather, it is an increase in authority in the Muslim world, mainly among Shiites and opponents of the United States.
  8. +1
    13 February 2013 09: 30
    Guys, in fact, neither the United States nor Israel needs a war with Iran.
    The United States, in particular, has long been ready for direct bilateral negotiations with Iran, and if it were not for the recent "directive" of the Iranian Supreme Ayatollah to ban such negotiations, they would have already taken place.
    It is also more profitable for Israel to have a stable Shiite state in the person of Iran as a counterbalance to the unstable terrorist Sunni neighbors. The only thing that Israel cannot allow is the creation of nuclear weapons by Iran against the background of the belligerent promises of the Iranian leadership to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth. Therefore, a chance for a peaceful resolution of the confrontation between Iran, on the one hand, and Israel and the United States, on the other, is still possible, and such a resolution is in the interests of everyone, including Russia. the consequences of a non-peaceful option are unpredictable. By the way, the preservation of the Assad regime in Shiite Syria is also beneficial to Israel, because allows us to hope that Assad's sickly arsenal will not fall into the "crazy" hands of the "fighters for the freedom of Syria", i.e. all kinds of scumbags. If Assad had not supplied Nasrallah with some of this arsenal, then relations between Israel and Syria could well have been peaceful and good-neighborly.
    1. +3
      13 February 2013 10: 41
      So the Iranian centrifuges are spinning, spinning, if in the next year or two Iran is not covered, then a full-fledged nuclear charge will be aimed at Israel.
  9. +4
    13 February 2013 10: 28
    The phrase in conclusion
    Now the whole Arab world and the Islamic world support Turkey.

    Some kind of nonsense that the Salafis support the Turks or the Syrians. The Arab world, except for Syria, is completely under the control of the Saudis, for whom the Turks are enemies. Friends of Turkey - Azerbaijan and all.
  10. 0
    13 February 2013 10: 59
    In Iran, part of the enriched uranium is converted to nuclear fuel for a research reactor. According to the statement of the official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the country, Ramin Mehmanparast, the IAEA was informed about the relevant work.

    Information on the manufacture of nuclear fuel came on the eve of the next round of talks between representatives of Tehran and the IAEA delegation on the Iranian nuclear program, ITAR-TASS

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