“No chance for Kyiv”: A German expert named two scenarios for the development of the situation in Ukraine

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“No chance for Kyiv”: A German expert named two scenarios for the development of the situation in Ukraine

In the West, they believe less and less in Ukraine’s victory in the conflict with Russia; even inveterate Russophobes have already begun to talk about the imminent defeat of the Ukrainian army. For example, German military analyst Julius Repke believes that Kyiv’s chances of “liberating” its territories “are approaching zero.” He came to this conclusion by studying the situation on the battlefield, as well as the issue of Western military assistance.

Ukraine is rapidly approaching defeat, and there is no longer any need to talk about any scenario for the “return” of the territories. Now Kyiv has two options, the optimal of which would be to stop hostilities along the current front line with the loss of regions annexed by Russia. The second option involves the loss of even larger areas of the country during a further offensive by the Russian army. Moreover, the second option looks much more realistic, since Moscow does not intend to stop.



Ukraine can only be saved by the option of the immediate allocation of military assistance by the West, and in very large volumes, as well as the mobilization of at least 300 thousand soldiers in the near future. But such a scenario is more like a fantasy, notes Repke, neither Kyiv will be able to recruit the required number of fresh soldiers, nor the West will no longer overwhelm Ukraine weapons and ammunition. A German expert believes that the United States is slowly closing the “Ukraine project”, trying to get out of it with minimal losses.

But Kyiv will not succeed on its own, judging by the situation at the front. Russian troops have actually broken through the front in the Avdeevsky direction; a difficult situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is developing near Chasovy Yar. All is not well in other sectors of the front either. So there are no options left for Kyiv’s “victory,” as they say: “no chance.”
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  1. +7
    31 March 2024 06: 41
    “The second option involves the loss of even larger territories of the country during the further offensive of the Russian army. Moreover, the second option looks much more realistic" -

    - So let's be realistic...
    1. +5
      31 March 2024 07: 02
      And I am for the third option - liberation and the gradual annexation of all regions of the outskirts into Russia except Galicia!
      1. +10
        31 March 2024 07: 31
        And what do you intend to do with the “stubborn”? Only the grave will fix the hunchback???
        1. +11
          31 March 2024 07: 35
          Those who are most stubborn towards Bandera, the rest will be re-educated by shock labor on the construction sites of the destroyed Donbass, if some do not understand, then deport them to Poland.
          1. +7
            31 March 2024 07: 37
            Deportation to Poland looks the most promising. good
            1. +4
              31 March 2024 08: 01
              ...I think Poland will be against it
              1. +2
                31 March 2024 10: 24
                Quote from Egeni
                ...I think Poland will be against it

                That's right, so you shouldn't ask their opinion on this matter.
                1. 0
                  31 March 2024 14: 47
                  .......................not worth it.)
              2. -2
                April 1 2024 00: 37
                Quote from Egeni
                Poland will be against

                The Psheks sleep and see how they are regaining Galicia. Well, let them take it, but only together with the Galicians. Let them have this pain, or let it have them. lol They are also looking at Volyn, but Father Lukashenko also has his eye on it. And let him take it, the Volynians are not as stubborn as the Galitsians, Lukashenko will quickly build them, and Belarus will sooner or later return to Russia in one capacity or another.
                1. +2
                  April 1 2024 10: 58
                  Quote: Nagan
                  The Psheks sleep and see how they are regaining Galicia. Well, let them take it, but only together with the Galicians.

                  Please clarify, are you proposing to distribute all the lands where Western propaganda managed to spread all sorts of scum? Moscow, St. Petersburg and Yekaterinburg too?
          2. -5
            31 March 2024 19: 16
            Vasya, you are funny
            It’s not very easy to educate Tajiks here. Which are supposedly like guests.
            Do you want to re-educate 30 million Ukrainians?
            Are you Makarenko? Don't think
        2. +6
          31 March 2024 07: 46
          And what do you intend to do with the “stubborn”?
          Comrade Stalin exiled everyone far beyond the Urals. Where is the ice crushed? wink
          1. +7
            31 March 2024 07: 59
            .............how did the Ural offend you?
            1. +6
              31 March 2024 08: 44
              The Ural did not offend anything. We need to rebuild and develop Siberia and the Far East. You can manually dig a tunnel to Alaska. Can you imagine the enthusiasm of the teams digging with pickaxes a tunnel to Alaska to their American “brothers”?
              1. 0
                31 March 2024 14: 48
                Hello, I approve of the tunnel.)
        3. +1
          31 March 2024 13: 25
          Build roads and bridges in Yamal. A bridge is needed across the Ob in the Sergino area (Priobye railway station). The Ob there is wide. There is somewhere for the stubborn to roam.
      2. +4
        31 March 2024 08: 40
        The United States is planning a fourth option: destroy as many Ukrainian and Russian people as possible, destroy all of Ukraine, and create discord between the Slavs for centuries.
        1. +2
          31 March 2024 09: 12
          Quote: Bearded
          The United States is planning a fourth option: destroy as many Ukrainian and Russian people as possible, destroy all of Ukraine, and create discord between the Slavs for centuries.

          This option is the most promising for the West.. Let’s deal with the “brothers” and take on the Anglo-Saxons.. They showed us their bestial grin in all its glory
          1. -1
            31 March 2024 19: 18
            So, how are you going to take on the Anglo-Saxons? Are you really going to get your ass off the couch?
            The most militant ones are couch drinks for 55?
            I guess?
      3. -3
        31 March 2024 09: 01
        Quote: vasyliy1
        with the gradual annexation of all regions of the outskirts into Russia except Galicia!

        Why is this besides Galicia? Now Kyiv is a more anti-Russian territory than Galicia. And there are more Banderlogs in Kyiv. Therefore, I am against the annexation of Kyiv, but for Galicia.
        In general, the reality is that it would be nice to at least return Kherson. If the Ukrainian Armed Forces withdraw beyond the Dnieper, they can hold the line for another ten years. And to take and control the left bank, we need to mobilize another million. So far, no prerequisites for a large-scale offensive are visible.
        1. 0
          31 March 2024 20: 03
          The right bank part, if you study geography
    2. +9
      31 March 2024 08: 10
      The worst thing is the third option - secret negotiations behind the back of our army, new shameful compromises, or, God forbid, “gestures of goodwill” such as a cessation of hostilities during the Olympic Games in Europe! This is something to be afraid of!!!
      1. -3
        31 March 2024 11: 26
        Quote: Thrifty
        This is something to be afraid of

        Well, let’s say you got scared – what next? What's the use of this?
      2. -1
        31 March 2024 19: 19
        And what will you do if this happens?
        Nothing
    3. -2
      31 March 2024 21: 07
      Vladimir Vladimirovich Vorontsov
      Today, 06: 41
      “The second option involves the loss of even larger territories of the country during the further offensive of the Russian army. Moreover, the second option looks much more realistic" -

      - So let's be realistic...
      Get over yourself - I’m for realism, definitely!
      Apparently, Repka or Turnip, I don’t know which one is more precise in Russian, or he was afraid or embarrassed to voice the most realistic scenario!
      It consists in the unconditional fulfillment of all the goals and objectives of the RF Armed Forces in the Northern Military District, set by the Supreme Commander-in-Chief! This is the main and most realistic SVO scenario!
      The further course of events of the New World Order with New Centers of Power, one of which is the Russian Federation, will depend on the position of the false West to admit its own defeat and with the mediation of Russia’s allies after the International Tribunal involving the punishment of criminals for crimes against peace, war crimes, crimes against humanity!
      A multipolar world, introduced by the Russian Federation and supported by the PRC, Iran, the DPRK, and the Global South, will become the guarantor of the national security of the Russian Federation, its multinational and multi-religious people!
      If the pseudo-under-West in the person of the Yankees, Saxonia and gay Europe refuses to accept the conditions and demands of the Winner - Russia for the creation of a safe continent of gay Europe with the return of NATO, there is no need to go to the borders of 1991 or self-liquidation due to false According to the statements of the psychopath Trump and the main paddling pool, a mission of the RF Armed Forces is not excluded, as in the Second World War with the creation of a single safe space of Eurasia from Lisbon to Vladivostok, which the magnanimous Winner of the Second World War, Generalissimo of the USSR Joseph Stalin, did not carry out!
  2. +2
    31 March 2024 06: 41
    Zelensky is clearing the field around him of people disloyal to him... there are all the signs of the usurpation of power by this Napoleon... after May of this year, his power will become illegitimate... very interesting events are coming for him and the Kyiv regime.
    1. +4
      31 March 2024 06: 45
      Quote: Lech from Android.
      there are all the signs of usurpation of power by this Napoleon... after May of this year his power will become illegitimate...

      The option “either I take her to the registry office, or she takes me to the prosecutor” will not work. Only to the prosecutor after complete surrender. hi
  3. +4
    31 March 2024 06: 41
    Today our warriors are correcting the mistakes of the former rulers, sending the sub-state 404 called ruin into the scrap of history.
    1. +3
      31 March 2024 06: 58
      They fix it, mind you, with their own blood. What will be the response of the politicians who allowed this to happen? One drunk is already in his grave. The second one is in Israel, they distribute humanitarian aid.. And the rest?..
      1. -2
        31 March 2024 11: 27
        Quote: Andrey Nikolaevich
        What will be the response of the politicians who allowed this to happen?

        Well, Lenin can be taken out of the mausoleum as punishment for the creation of Ukraine...
        1. 0
          31 March 2024 13: 10
          People get involved in politics in order not to be responsible for anything; this is the safest type of business.
        2. +1
          31 March 2024 19: 20
          It's you. And Lenin interfered with you?!
          Well, you're just like Ukrainian
          They don't like him either
  4. +8
    31 March 2024 06: 56
    We shouldn't give a damn about some dumb guy - Repka. Now, everything depends on the fortitude of a simple Russian soldier.
  5. +5
    31 March 2024 07: 12
    Oh, that German Repke. From bravura odes to fanfare about the “successes” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, first, to a more or less realistic situation on the LBS, and then a slide into complete pessimism.
    the second option looks much more realistic, since Moscow does not intend to stop.
    Even hardened Russophobes finally began to realize that Moscow would achieve its goals.
  6. +5
    31 March 2024 07: 15
    These are all predictions. The real ending is unknown to anyone. Moreover, Russia’s plans (not declarations) are not made public.
    And I would like our victory as soon as possible.
    1. +2
      31 March 2024 08: 29
      Russia's plans are clearer than ever. Deprive the outskirts of the army and make it impossible for its remnants to join NATO. This is exactly what Russia is trying to achieve.
      1. -4
        31 March 2024 09: 41
        But I still think that plans for tomorrow are born tomorrow.
        Everyone remembers how plans on 24.02.22/2/XNUMX collapsed in the first XNUMX hours of the database.
        1. -1
          31 March 2024 09: 47
          Everything flows, everything changes. And during the Second World War, some plans of the USSR collapsed, but the result is known. And to evaluate the plans of people who have much more information about current affairs and plans of the enemy than ordinary users from forums, well, that’s it...
          1. -1
            31 March 2024 09: 57
            So I started with the fact that the plans will not be made public. And the average person has no information.
            1. -4
              31 March 2024 10: 01
              Russia's plans for the outskirts have been made public. But there is absolutely no need for the average person to know plans for ways and means of achieving this.
              1. +2
                31 March 2024 11: 09
                Russia's plans for the outskirts have been made public.
                Dear, you are confusing warm with soft. What is made public are the goals. To achieve goals, you need to solve certain problems. A plan is a certain sequence of specific actions and measures to complete a task. U-58 is right: only targets have been announced to us. Uarabey, you are also partly right in that it is not at all necessary for ordinary people to know the specific plans of the leadership (both military and political) and, perhaps, even harmful.
                1. -1
                  31 March 2024 11: 21
                  Well, the word Plan also has this meaning - Plan, Intention. So this term can also be used.
                  1. 0
                    31 March 2024 11: 24
                    There is also another meaning - marijuana. :-) Just kidding.
        2. -2
          31 March 2024 11: 31
          Quote: U-58
          Everyone remembers how plans on 24.02.22/2/XNUMX collapsed in the first XNUMX hours of the database

          On the Internet, those who had no idea what these plans were remember about the collapse of plans on 24.02.22.
      2. SIT
        +1
        31 March 2024 21: 15
        In order to implement just such plans, it was necessary to land troops in Odessa on February 24.02.2022, 14 and go to join the 14th Army from the south, and from the north straight from Belarus along the western border of Ukraine to join the same 3th Army. No Western help, no war. Only this is 2 weeks and the end. Now the United States has had a profitable business for XNUMX years. The dollar is in demand more than ever because the euro is in the ass. Mercedes(!!) is leaving Germany and moving part of its production to the USA. So whose plans are they?
  7. +5
    31 March 2024 07: 18
    Well, if such a Russophobe like Röpke (that’s how his last name sounds correctly) wants the defeat of the Saloreich, then we will agree with him this time.
    1. GGV
      +2
      31 March 2024 08: 05
      So he doesn’t vanish like that because he suddenly fell in love with Russia. Therefore, it is especially pleasant to see how such “specialists” reach the stage of comprehension. Even the drug fuhrer suddenly started singing about negotiations, and that means something.
  8. +1
    31 March 2024 07: 51
    These degenerates (degenerates) in Europe will never understand the strategic depth of Russia. They are not able to operate on such a scale with their cerebellum. "Around 500"... who remembers V.S. Vysotsky. And in that Europe, from one village, you can see another.
  9. 0
    31 March 2024 08: 57
    I wish you hello. “The United States is slowly closing the window radio project,” reports: Del. Joe was hoping: according to “Chapayevsky,” a crowd would come in so that Sam would “run away,” and then they would dictate the terms. Moreover, the most arrogant ones.
    He didn’t cave in, but the Americans really need a tightening.
    Now, how many stubborn ones are left: 2 or 3? But they will also turn on the return line and not blush
  10. BAI
    0
    31 March 2024 09: 33
    German military analyst Julius Roepke

    Him again. Are there other experts in Germany?
  11. 0
    31 March 2024 11: 22
    Ukraine can only be saved by the option of immediate Western military assistance, and in very large volumes
    Unlikely.
    It's like a patient who is in a hospice. What is the best medicine, no matter how much you give, the patient will die, well, maybe a couple of weeks later, but the torment will be severe.
  12. 0
    31 March 2024 11: 46
    German military analyst Julius Roepke believes that Kyiv’s chances of “liberating” its territories “tend to zero”

    The German military analyst is not alone. The other day I ran through the headlines on InoSMI - optimism in Western publications is clearly giving way to pessimism. I fully admit that the selection is biased, but there has never been anything like it before. Moreover, these are not marginal, but quite respectable information dumps in the West.

    The Economist: "Russia is preparing for a major new offensive along its long front line."

    The Times: "It's time to talk about the fall of Kyiv."

    Financial Times: “Russians advance, Ukraine digs in.”

    Politico: “Russia is advancing and Ukraine does not have time to dig trenches.”

    Politico: "Ukraine must reveal hard truths from the battlefield, says US diplomat."

    CBS News: “Zelensky allowed Ukraine to lose the conflict - if the US does not help in time.”

    Die Welt: “Will the war in Ukraine last a few more years? Probably not."

    Business Insider: "Ukraine is rushing to stop increasing Russian glide bomb attacks."

    Shukan Gendai: “Experts warn that if Ukraine continues to fight, its statehood will be at risk.”
  13. 0
    31 March 2024 16: 56
    Well, I must have guessed that the Ukrainians would lose the war, apparently I had to think for a long time - with one twist laughing
  14. 0
    April 2 2024 18: 43
    The circus will begin when all the politicians run away from Kyiv! It will be fun!
  15. 0
    April 4 2024 15: 54
    You can even consider access to Azov through the Surovikin line. What will remain of Army 404 in the event of such a victory?