A German expert said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have only one supply route left for the group of troops in Avdeevka

Currently, Avdeevka, which is the largest fortified area of ​​the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Donetsk direction, is under a real threat of complete encirclement. This opinion was expressed by German military expert Julian Röpke in the publication BILD.

The analyst emphasizes that units of the Russian Armed Forces have now managed to reach the railway in the north of the city of Avdeevka. On the southern approaches to the city, the Russian army approached the village of Severnoye, which also worsened the situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

According to Repke, the width of the corridor through which the Ukrainian Armed Forces garrison in Avdievka is supplied with ammunition is weapons, food and medicine, is no longer 9 kilometers, but only 7 kilometers.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces have the only supply route left for the group of troops in Avdeevka, the German expert emphasizes, and it passes through the village of Orlovka. That is, sooner or later Avdeevka risks being completely surrounded by Russian troops, and then it will be impossible to supply the garrison.

According to the German analyst, if Russian troops occupy Avdeevka, this will be a severe blow to Kyiv. In fact, such events will mean the end of the counter-offensive of Ukrainian troops, since it will end in defeat.

The Ukrainian command, however, pretends that the situation in Avdeevka is supposedly under control, but in fact, the transfer of reserves pulled back from other directions to this area indicates that the Kiev regime understands the seriousness and deplorable situation of the Avdeevka group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Comments

[ZovSailor]

Röpke is wrong: it’s time for experts like Röpke to advise the stubborn
to the fascists and Nazis led by their clown everyone
be prepared for one route 200 with direction
to Bandera.

[Aerodrome]

If you believe the Podole, then in two years there are already 100500 of these boilers.

[Saburov_Alexander53]

I have long wondered where all these home-grown military experts get their information about the situation at the fronts. I doubt that any of the servicemen from the fronts are allowed to contact Podolyaka, Rozhin and others every day and give them reports on the entire front line. This means that for these talking heads on TV, there is some kind of special information resource where reports from the Russian Ministry of Defense available for disclosure in the media are posted. And these “information vultures” feed on thrown bones and are sources for TV news. Moreover, are they given the right to interpret events at their own discretion?
I can still accept when Yu. Podolyak contacts his friends behind the front line and gives information from the other side in the first person. But otherwise, you get freedom of invention and your own conclusions.
On the other hand, would I like that all the news came from Konashenkov alone, as it used to come from Levitan alone? Probably not, I would get bored in a week...

[alexmach]

I have long wondered where all these home-grown military experts get their information about the situation at the fronts.

Have you ever heard the phrase “demand creates supply”? Well, that's about it. With “Moo-moo-moo 100-500 killed nationalists” through the official channels of the Ministry of Defense, people want to understand what’s going on there.

I doubt that any of the servicemen from the fronts are allowed to contact Podolyaka, Rozhin and others every day and give them reports on the entire front line

Ok, what about without permission? Especially for proven journalists (don’t just think about Podolyak, he’s just a well-fed propagandist) There are information flows from those fighting on the fronts in any way, then it’s just a matter of processing and systematizing them.

This means that for these talking heads on TV, there is some kind of special information resource where reports from the Russian Ministry of Defense available for disclosure in the media are posted.

Yeah, but is it weak to just throw it directly at the media through the Ministry of Defense’s own press service? Why are there any bloggers in this scheme of yours?

Moreover, are they given the right to interpret events at their own discretion?

Well, how can this only happen if they collect it themselves.

On the other hand, would I like that all the news came from Konashenkov alone, as it used to come from Levitan alone? Probably not, I would get bored in a week... wink

Ah... well, that's it. Let's go back to the beginning of the comment.

[Saburov_Alexander53]

alexmach (Alexander), thank you for your participation, a plus from me.
I guess I haven’t yet gotten out of the past, when there was strict state censorship in the media and especially on TV, hence the questions. The fact that you can now write almost anything on the Internet, I have already “digested” and I myself look through a dozen telegram channels of all sorts of nonsense and the truth of life from SVO. Let Yu. Podolyak continue to remain a “well-fed propagandist”, I have nothing against it. I just wondered where he “feeds” from? I understand about war correspondents who work in the field, but where do all these “armchair experts” come from, who leaks, gives or sells them daily reports? I suppose that by giving them a couple of minutes on TV from the same Nikonov (“Big Game”), to present the news accumulated over the day, they are paid a decent fee from Channel 1. But the TV channel also takes responsibility for the authenticity that they convey from the screen and no one wants to run into trouble or make mistakes here. This means that the sources must be quite accurate and reliable. Although listening to them lately. I understand that they don’t say anything special and their reports have become banal, like weather reports. Even worse, they try to predict the weather for the future, but these only report the past and what happened - there is no risk of making a mistake.

[GGV]

In Orlovka and Semyonovka, along this road, there is at least one bridge. I live in the Rostov region, it rained for four days, most likely there too. If these bridges are destroyed and regularly (2-3 times a day) added FABs, then what you are not surrounded. But is this being done or not?

[credo]

Previously, Repke was presented at VO as a journalist, but as time passes, he is already called an expert and analyst.
By the end of this year, I believe that at VO his status will already be raised to BND intelligence officer and Bundeswehr brigadier general.
Although the Internet is full of references to the fact that Roepke is an ordinary fosterling of the CIA and is ready to write any game, under the dictation of the American office.

[Rumata]

How do they withdraw????
The jumper between the faces is only 6...7 km!

By the way, according to the interceptions, the Ukromov Westerners are being taken out of Avdeevka...and leaving the Dnepropetrovsk fools to guard the city...more precisely, to die for power...everything you need to know about the command of the army...

Avdeevka - evacuation of the headquarters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Yesterday an important event took place in Avdievka, which shows how seriously the enemy takes what is happening there.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces completed the evacuation of the headquarters of its units from the city. On the one hand, this decision worsens the controllability of troops (and therefore this is always a last resort), but in case of encirclement of the group, it reduces the harmful consequences.
It also simplifies the evacuation of the remnants of the garrison if such a decision is made.
--------------
There is no complete environment. Why not bring out the most valuable specialists?

[Huarabey]

It turns out that the most stubborn Ukrainian nationalists will run away from there first. I thought so. And it looks like they will leave the missile defense behind to be slaughtered.

[silverwolf88]

you don’t need to be German to understand how the situation will develop near Avdeevka and similar fortified areas... essentially a classic of warfare

[dmi.pris1]

And let's remember the classics. Bypassing the missile defenses, blocking them, and forward to the operational area. No? True, this requires several armies.

[Escariot]

Quote from: dmi.pris1

And let's remember the classics. Bypassing the missile defenses, blocking them, and forward to the operational area. No? True, this requires several armies.

Avdeevka is not just a fortification, but a real shaver point. The troops trying to surround him are themselves half-encircled and are being fired at from both sides. Moreover, they are not sitting in a concrete pillbox of a fortified area, but in a bare field under attack from both sides.

[dmi.pris1]

But let’s look at Artemovsk. There was only one road left, too. As a result, they were unable to encircle. The liberation of Artemovsk was the merit, first of all, of the “musicians,” yes, Prigozhin and his team. They are not there now.

[Msi]

The liberation of Artemovsk is the merit, first of all, of the “musicians”, yes, Prigozhin and his team. They are not there now.

The merit is shared by the entire Russian army... No Prigozhin, why not fight now??? There remains a team of experienced fighters from PMCs, this is the most important thing...

[Rumata]

To the point:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

[rotmistr60]

Röpke from BILD supported the Armed Forces of Ukraine with all his German soul from the beginning of the Northern Military District. And what hopes did he place on the “counter-offensive”, assuming that the Russian army would be finished and would flee? Now he suddenly predicts the encirclement of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and very much regrets that there is only one way left to supply the Ukrainian group. And he is not the only one in the Western media whose tone of articles has noticeably changed from enthusiastic and victorious to pessimistic.

[TermNachTer]

The expert is of course a super genius))) you just need to have a map and weather forecast before your eyes)))

[Petr_Koldunov]

He still gets paid for it...
How can I arrange myself so that I can sit, chatter common truths and obvious facts - and get paid for it?