Ex-adviser to the office of the President of Ukraine warned about a threatening situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Avdiivka

The situation near Avdiivka is becoming more and more difficult for the Ukrainian formations. This was stated by former adviser to the office of the President of Ukraine Alexey Arestovich (included in the list of terrorists and extremists of Rosfinmonitoring).

As the ex-adviser of Zelensky’s office noted, the events in Ilovaisk, Debaltsevo, Severodonetsk, Lisichansk, Soledar, Bakhmut (Artemovsk) began in a similar way and ultimately Ukrainian troops lost control over these cities. Statements by the Ukrainian media about “large losses” of the Russian Armed Forces are misleading the public, the politician believes.

The threat of encirclement and loss of Avdeevka is completely real. She shouldn't be underestimated. Not only me, but also many serious experts talk about this

- emphasized the former adviser to the office of the President of Ukraine.

According to the politician, the most difficult situation is developing north of Avdeevka, where the Russian army has concentrated its efforts on establishing control over the railway. Although several highways lead to Avdiivka, events are developing according to the “Bakhmut scenario,” says a former adviser to Zelensky’s office.

The politician suggests understanding why Ukrainian troops are falling into “the same trap” for the seventh time now. Kyiv neglects to build powerful defense lines, but in this regard it should adopt Russian experience, a former adviser to Zelensky’s office is convinced. Those mobilized citizens who do not want to take up arms could be sent to build such fortifications. weapon and fight at the front.

Let us recall that the Russian Armed Forces are conducting an operation to storm Avdeevka, a strategically important city from which shelling of peaceful areas of Donetsk has been carried out for nine years.

Comments

[dmi.pris1]

Listening to Lyusya is the last thing. Everything depends on our warriors and the ability of the dry land to defend itself.

[Stirbjorn]

Quote from: dmi.pris1

Listening to Lucy is the last thing.

He has nothing to do with the Armed Forces of Ukraine, he has been an ex-adviser for a long time, he even seems to live abroad, but he publishes regularly on the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Here's "Lucy" for you

[Orange Bigg]

Avdiivka.

Ukrainian monitoring channels reported a successful attack by the Russian Armed Forces along the railway line to the northern outskirts of Avdeevka. In addition, to the west of Krasnogorovka, our fighters took forest belts and entrenched themselves in them.The maps indicate the formation of a wide flank in the Krasnogorovka area, which will allow Russian attack aircraft to move forward without much fear of receiving a painful blow to the side. Let us separately clarify that all military observers and bloggers reported about our occupation of the waste heap (height marked 230).

As for the southern front, our fighters are breaking through to the northern one from the side of the quarry. They recaptured the Sawmill fortified area. An entry appeared on the t/c of ​​the 105th Infantry Regiment of the NM DPR: “As my comrades in arms say, with a penny (well, who knows, he will understand) the gates of hell will soon close.”[/b]Ukrainian military expert Mikhail Zhirokhov, commenting on the battle for Avdiivka, told large communities on October 21: “The situation is very difficult and potentially dangerous, because the distances there are short, now there are eight kilometers between the left and right flanks. That is in order to close the ring, the Russians need to walk only eight kilometers.”

https://svpressa.ru/war21/article/391958/

The administrator of the 105th Infantry Regiment of the NM DPR spoke about how the Bandera positions are processed: “A wide line of Ukrainian fortifications in the region is hit by bombs with a caliber of 500 to 1500 kg approximately every 15 minutes. By the way, today we were on assignment in the Gorlovka direction. What amazed us was the constant carousel of “wings” and “propellers”: combat units of airplanes and helicopters changed each other like pictures in a kaleidoscope, delivering powerful blows to the enemy. The frequency of explosions on Nazi positions from the ground sometimes resembled the work of a giant machine gun.”

[Rumata]

Quote from Orange Bigg

“A wide line of Ukrainian fortifications in the region is hit by bombs with a caliber of 500 to 1500 kg approximately every 15 minutes.

They write that this line is filled with concrete.
The Israeli Air Force operates 3000 caliber in Gaza.

[Orange Bigg]

They have pounds, not kg. 3000 pounds equals approximately 1500 kg.
1 pound = 0,453592 kg.
If so, then these are analogues of FAB-1500.

[Rumata]

Hm. You are right, although their country uses the metric system. This is similar to how we have plumbing and displays in inches. Here are the details:
https://oleggranovsky.livejournal.com/208571.html

[guest]

Quote: Stirbjorn

however, it is regularly published on VO.

Or maybe he’s even personally present and downvotes.

[Real Pilot]

Lyusya - “Barometer of Health” and “Weather Vane of Victory”, it is very interesting as a source of information...
Mostly Des, of course, but he senses moods and adapts to them very precisely.

[knn54]

If the WEST needs opposition to Zelensky, then a better candidate cannot be found.

[fuel oil]

Arestovich will not just talk like that. For money, for his PR, he will tell the public something else.

[Clear]

. Those mobilized citizens who do not want to take up arms and fight at the front could be directed to the construction of such fortifications.

We know your lies. All the same, then you will force everyone, both those who want and those who do not want to take up arms, to the front line.

[Rage66]

There is too much hype around Avdeevka.
We should take her into the ring more quietly. But then you can hype it

[igorbrsv]

So the people demand good news, “bread and circuses”....

[Clear]

Quote: igorbrsv

So the people demand good news,

Don't you want good news?

[Crimean partisan 1974]

events are developing according to the “Bakhmut scenario,” says a former adviser to Zelensky’s office.

....well...revealed the plan of our wise command...we urgently need to change the landscape...otherwise we'll be screwed....so out of interest to the moderators, the question is...why are you posting this misunderstanding. and other exes and other Western experts...it’s not clear

[TermNachTer]

Lyusya decided to retrain from building manager to strategist?))) I wonder if he himself understands how funny he looks?

[Clear]

Quote: TermNachTER

Lyusya decided to retrain from building manager to strategist?))) I wonder if he himself understands how funny he looks?

Yes, let him continue to irritate Ukrainian citizens.

[Bulgarian_Chernomor]

Just as he got tired in the USA (he says it was because of persecution by the authorities) - he began to work in a completely different way. Maybe it makes sense for the Russian Federation to convert him? Will push matches in unison with Ritter and McGregor, allocate one salary for three

[rotmistr60]

Obviously, Arestovich felt which way the wind was starting to blow, since he often began to speak out about what others were categorically forbidden to do. And if, on top of that, it’s calling from abroad, does that mean someone needs it?

[Factor]

The offensive of the Russian army near Avdeevka has been going on for more than a week. Last week, on Thursday, a waste heap was taken, although its capture was discussed on Monday.

The original plan to cover the city through Berdychi in the north did not work, so ours went along the railway. In the southern sector, progress began only in the last 2-3 days.

Ukrainian resources claim to have destroyed more than 100 pieces of equipment of our army - both tanks and cars.
The main losses are from minefields, because even passages created in them are not a panacea and equipment is somehow undermined and lost without the possibility of evacuation.

A question arises for the General Staff and Gerasimov: - why was the attack by fresh forces of the RF Armed Forces specifically on Avdeevka, on a fortified area that the Ukrainian Armed Forces had been preparing for 9 years.
There are many other, more promising areas for attack.

[Nastia makarova]

100 destroyed????......................

[Clear]

Quote: Nastia Makarova

100 destroyed????......................

Tsipshniki knock off the zeroes like two fingers on the asphalt!

[Factor]

Pictures from American satellites.

[Rumata]

Quote: Factor

why the attack by fresh forces of the Russian Armed Forces was on Avdeevka, on a fortified area that had been prepared by the Ukrainian Armed Forces for 9 years.

Because this abscess from which Donetsk is being shelled must absolutely be eliminated.
The question is not about the goal, but about the ways to achieve it.
Looking from the sofa, concentrate all efforts on creating a boiler, i.e. cut off supplies and bomb, bomb, bomb......

[Factor]

They don’t go to such objects head-on.

[Clear]

Quote: Factor

A question arises for the General Staff and Gerasimov: - why was the attack by fresh forces of the RF Armed Forces specifically on Avdeevka, on a fortified area that the Ukrainian Armed Forces had been preparing for 9 years.

I wonder who has this question, based on what data and where it came from?

[Factor]

The losses are not commensurate. Ugledar taught our General Staff nothing

[Puzoter]

Are you a great strategist? Or just a taktag? Hide the saber, otherwise you will cut down the chandelier.

[Crimean partisan 1974]

Ukrainian resources are declared

...Ukrainian resources are already marching along Red Square in Moscow and the top of the Banderland is along the embankment of Yalta...You Tolik should have approached these resources a little more carefully...the Banderland is running out of strength...so just for fun, look at Googol Erch from space to the outskirts populated areas of Banderland, not to mention the suburbs...there are continuous cemeteries there....

[Factor]

Moisha. you go to the Hasid Solovyov’s channel for another portion of noodles on your ears.


Over the course of thirty post-Soviet years, Russia has constantly lost its mobilization potential.

The army reforms carried out by Serdyukov reflected the authorities’ ideas about what defense capability should look like. The concept of a new Russia—national, pro-Western, hedonistic—suggested that the Russians would keep the “thermonoid” for themselves as a guarantee that “no one would interfere.”

At the same time, the country was selling oil, gas, and other things to the West, and in exchange, it bought from the West what it had decided not to produce on its own. As a result, a significant part of economic sovereignty was lost. Gone are the safety belts.

[Ovsigovets]

You can find out your military rank and position.... Not idle curiosity.... It’s just interesting to know the level of military genius that can easily replace the entire General Staff.

[blackcat]

Mister obviousness of this year, but the dumb guy didn’t talk about it anymore, so Lucy put in his two cents