Military Review

A Middle East expert analyzes Israel's ability to fight on three fronts simultaneously

13
A Middle East expert analyzes Israel's ability to fight on three fronts simultaneously

During the two weeks of the Palestinian-Israeli confrontation, Israel never launched the promised ground operation in the Gaza Strip, continuing its carpet bombing of the Palestinian enclave. Experts call one of the main factors limiting the IDF’s actions to clear Gaza the possible involvement in the conflict in this case on the Hamas side of the paramilitary Shiite formation Hezbollah and even the Iranian army.


Middle East expert and senior editor of the online magazine 19FortyFive Maya Karlin, in an article for this publication, analyzes the IDF's ability to fight a war on three fronts. She notes that after the attack by Hamas militants on the Jewish state in the United States, which sided with Israel in this conflict, they fear the direct participation of Hezbollah and the Islamic Republic of Iran, which actually controls and supports both of these groups.

The paramilitary Lebanese Shiite organization and political party Hezbollah was created in the early 80s of the last century “as a means of Iran exporting its Islamic revolution,” the expert recalls. Over the years, the group has gained prominence in all areas of Lebanese society and politics. Although the organization is considered a "resistance group" in Lebanon, it has been responsible for numerous terrorist attacks, including the 1992 bombing of the Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires and the 1983 barracks bombing that killed 241 American troops in Beirut.

Since 1992, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has trained Hamas militants and helped them develop their own missile systems to attack Israel. Over the past two years, according to the American press, representatives of Tehran have repeatedly held secret meetings with both the leadership of Hamas and Hezbollah. It is obvious that the topics discussed at these negotiations were by no means peaceful.

The expert believes that Iran's main goal is the destruction of the Jewish state. This week, Iranian officials warned of "the possibility of the war and conflict expanding to other fronts." At the same time, Tehran officially denies involvement in preparing a Hamas attack on Israel.

The Israeli army is preparing not only for a ground operation in Gaza, but also to repel attacks by Hezbollah militants from Lebanon in the north of the country. At the same time, the United States and Great Britain deployed aircraft carrier groups in the Eastern Mediterranean, without hiding the fact that this was being done to curb the active actions of Iran and Shiite militants on the side of Hamas.

The war is unlikely to spread to Iran itself, but if it spreads, the regime will undoubtedly support both of its puppet groups with funding, weapons and sending detachments of trained “volunteers” to their army. According to some reports, members of the elite IRGC unit are already in Lebanon. And the prospects for direct participation of the Islamic Republic in hostilities cannot be ruled out.

The big question remains whether the IDF will be able to deal with multiple adversaries alone, especially Iran, in this case, Carlin concludes. Even with the mobilization of more than 300 reservists, who, by the way, were recently temporarily sent home, which is quite strange given the need to restore their combat skills, the Israeli army is clearly losing to the coalition of Iran, Palestinian and Shiite militants. And this does not take into account the possible involvement of other Islamic paramilitary organizations and Middle Eastern states in the conflict on Hamas’s side.
Photos used:
IDF website
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  1. ZovSailor
    ZovSailor 21 October 2023 12: 00
    -1
    It’s time to listen to the opinion of political and military experts of the Russian Federation, China and the DPRK, who can predict more accurate forecasts even in the conditions of a rapidly changing multipolar world, and the stupid ones, as our fellow countryman Zadornov put it, have already predicted the victory of the Ukrainian Reich and the entire False West. The result is obvious to the studio audience!
  2. Generator Systems
    Generator Systems 21 October 2023 12: 06
    +3
    It seems to me that you don’t need to be an expert to understand that fighting on 3 fronts at once is such an idea
    1. Grits
      Grits 21 October 2023 12: 42
      +2
      Quote: Systems Generator
      It seems to me that you don’t need to be an expert to understand that fighting on 3 fronts at once is such an idea

      What are the three fronts? Not even one is visible there. All in one gate. The Jews are stupidly demolishing Gaza to the ground with bombs, and without obvious resistance or opposition. This is the first stage. The second will be when hundreds of bulldozers enter the northern part of Gaza and level the ruins. And the third stage is the construction of new kibbutzim and settlements on the site of northern Gaza. The southern one will be fenced off again. Until better times. Jews do not invent anything new, everything follows old patterns.
    2. Bulgarian_Chernomor
      Bulgarian_Chernomor 21 October 2023 13: 01
      -1
      Quote: Systems Generator
      fighting on 3 fronts at once is such an idea

      Even with 2-3 AUGs behind you?
      1. Nyrobsky
        Nyrobsky 21 October 2023 14: 59
        +1
        Quote: Bulgarian_Chernomor
        Quote: Systems Generator
        fighting on 3 fronts at once is such an idea

        Even with 2-3 AUGs behind you?

        Are you really sure that the mattresses are eager to directly join the war in the B.Vostok and all their vacillations with aircraft carriers are not of a demonstration nature?
        They had already walked with their rattles to the shores of the DPRK, but retreated after their companions saw that Eun was standing with a hammer at the red button. What did the US Marines do after Haftar marched on Tripoli? That's right, they boarded the ships and departed in an unknown direction, wishing the allies to call the rail if things got bad. Well, you yourself know everything about Afghanistan.
        1. Bulgarian_Chernomor
          Bulgarian_Chernomor 21 October 2023 15: 50
          -2
          Quote: Nyrobsky
          Are you really sure that mattresses are eager to directly join the war?

          Of course I'm not sure.
          But I think that Israel can handle Hamas and Hezbollah on its own, but if Syria, Lebanon or Iran decide to jump in with regular armies, they will iron it out.
          But I agree with you - this is a 100% demonstration. That is why, when it became known about the dispatch of 2 AUGs, Iran very sharply changed its rhetoric, if you remember, this was the day before 2-3 wars, and stated that it was not going to interfere.
          So yes, it's a demonstration, but an effective one.
          1. Persia
            Persia 22 October 2023 13: 04
            -1
            Quote: Bulgarian_Chernomor
            Quote: Nyrobsky
            Are you really sure that mattresses are eager to directly join the war?

            Of course I'm not sure.
            But I think that Israel can handle Hamas and Hezbollah on its own, but if Syria, Lebanon or Iran decide to jump in with regular armies, they will iron it out.
            But I agree with you - this is a 100% demonstration. That is why, when it became known about the dispatch of 2 AUGs, Iran very sharply changed its rhetoric, if you remember, this was the day before 2-3 wars, and stated that it was not going to interfere.
            So yes, it's a demonstration, but an effective one.

            That's a lie. Iran has never changed its position and continues to maintain that if the IDF launches a ground operation, it will be forced to intervene and destroy Israel.
  3. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 21 October 2023 12: 13
    +1
    On two fronts (the beginning of Hezbollah's actions), it will already be difficult for Israel, and if it really comes to the point that Iran gets involved, then it will be very bad. And there, up to 3 MV is just around the corner.
  4. Mavrikiy
    Mavrikiy 21 October 2023 12: 17
    -5
    The expert believes that the main Iran's goal is to destroy the Jewish state.
    fool What an expert, such an analysis that reminded me of an old joke. An old Armenian dies and calls his children for the last command:
    - My children, take care of the Jews!
    - Dad, what are you talking about, they always deceive us, offend us, mend us. You made a mistake?
    - No, take care of the Jews. When people are done with them, they will take on us... request
    Likewise, Shiite Persian Iran, surrounded by Sunni Arabs, prays for Israel (just very quietly). The Sunnis, after Israel, will take it on. And that Iran threatens to wipe him off the face of the earth, a convert is always holier than the Pope. request Everyone around is shouting “hit!” so Iran is the loudest. feel
  5. orionvitt
    orionvitt 21 October 2023 12: 27
    0
    Middle East Expert Analyzes Israel's Opportunity
    All these “analyses” are simply idle conclusions, and depending on the “expert”, they lean in one direction or another. But the reality is that any new war is not like the old one. You can analyze it before the “Jewish Passover,” but as practice has shown, it is not possible to calculate everything. SVO is a clear example of this. We were preparing for one thing, but everything turned into a completely new type of war. So Israel, this time, clearly should not count on another victorious “seven-day war”.
  6. KVU-NSVD
    KVU-NSVD 21 October 2023 12: 28
    0
    What about three fronts? There will be more people who want to tear Israel apart in a flock. The same Syria, Lebanon, Houthis, Zalivnyaks, etc., and there will be hundreds of thousands of people just willing throughout the Islamic world
  7. runway-1
    runway-1 21 October 2023 15: 39
    -1
    The big question remains whether the IDF will be able to deal with multiple adversaries alone, especially Iran, in this case, Carlin concludes.
    Yes, there is no question here, especially not a big one. Despite the losses, the IDF will cope, especially since its opponents will not act as a united front, and the United States will provide Israel with all the necessary support...
  8. ASM
    ASM 21 October 2023 19: 54
    -1
    It's just a matter of finances and arms supplies. Israel itself will not stand this - their lawyers are already fighting with entrepreneurs without combing their sidelocks to save jobs for workers who are already serving and not making a profit. But there is no finance, at least not planned. Yes, and with shells, the outskirts, etc. Not good. The United States now lives on a temporary budget. So much for a war on 3 fronts. What if this war lasts for a long time?