Japanese conservative newspaper named above сообщаетthat the Japanese government is reforming the armed forces, thereby preparing for a conflict with China.
The cause of the coming war is the disputed Senkaku Islands. At the same time, in order not to squander potential and fighting spirit in vain, the Japanese are going to crush North Korea, and then Russia.
According to the Japanese newspaper, the new government reorganizes the armed forces. What is it expressed in? This is said in Sankey Shimbun quite vaguely: integration is being carried out and coordination between all combat arms is improving. The primary goal of the military reforms is stated: to be ready through 10-20 for years to repel armed aggression from the PRC. The government admits that Beijing by then may try to establish control over Senkaku.
Military preparations began immediately after the coming to power of the “hawk” of Shinzo Abe. Already planned accommodation in the vicinity of the disputed islands of terrible power: 2200 Japanese marines.
As for the DPRK and the Russian Federation, Japan will use reconnaissance methods for them for the time being. According to Sankey Shimbun, the Japanese government has made it clear that, in addition to the PRC, Russia and the DPRK are considered a military threat. In their regard, it is planned to intensify reconnaissance work.
From this we can conclude: the current aged “hawks” (Mr. Abe recently spoke on the phone with Obama, thinking that he is speaking with George W. Bush) are more like not terrible politicians, but alarmists, and neither psychotherapy advice nor the most powerful antidepressants do not work.
In Sankey Shimbun, they report that the Abe administration considers the presence of a nuclear power plant in the country to be an additional reason for alarm: after all, these stations may be attacked by "armed saboteurs from other countries." Of course, the Chinese, in collusion with the Russians, wearing OZK, gas masks, and wearing hats with earflaps over them, and taking the good old PCA, would infiltrate the territory of defenseless Japan and arrange a nuclear warrant there. Comrade Kim Jong-un, who was lashed at the American Time magazine, because it was not he who got the cover of “people of the year”, but Obama, that he would support the Russians and the Chinese remotely. Rockets.
Forcing passions around the coming Sino-Japanese war may have as an unnamed source ... Washington. Any third-party confrontation with China is beneficial to the United States: the American defense strategy has the priority of the APR, where China is torn into hegemons. Who benefits America at the same time infringe upon this confrontation? That's right: their old enemies (against some of them even a fake “reset” does not help). The policy of forcing tensions in the region will be directed against the DPRK and Russia, which in 2013 could not be recognized by American friends even with a huge stretch. If everything is clear with the DPRK, then Moscow “fights” with Washington on the meat front (with the help of the famous comrade Onishchenko), cannot get along in the area of laws (the “Magnitsky Act” and “the law of Dima Yakovlev”), is fighting for leadership in the Middle East. Asia, categorically disagrees on the Syrian issue, objects to European missile defense and the Patriots in Turkey, officially condemns the quasi-democratic geopolitics of the United States, and actively cooperates with China. As for direct economic cooperation between Russia and the United States, it is so small in comparison with the Chinese-Russian one that there is nothing to say about it. Should H. Clinton say that her country threatens to prevent Eurasian “re-Sovietization”? .. All this is very little like the friendship of peoples.
Shinzo Abe, who will peek out from behind the American back — not Obama, not Bush, or maybe Bill Clinton — should think with all his might that Americans will use Japan to realize their own ) interests in the APR. Forcing the situation around the islands and war hysteria can only provoke a deterioration of relations between China and Japan and a decline in the Japanese economy. The latter is not a bad dream of the Prime Minister, it is a reality.
On January 5, the results of a survey conducted by the Japanese news agency Kyodo were made public. It turned out that two thirds of the PRC population is boycotting Japanese goods. The reason for the boycott is the same conflict between Beijing and Tokyo around the Senkaku Islands (in Chinese, Diaoyu).
More than 65% of residents in both Japan and China not going in the near future to visit the neighboring country because of a territorial dispute. It should also be noted that 60 percent of the Japanese surveyed and 71 percent of the respondents from China note: bilateral relations between Japan and the PRC need to be developed.
About a quarter of Chinese citizens among those surveyed stressed that they had participated in anti-Japanese protests in September last year after the government of Japan had nationalized some of the Senkaku islands. And the whole 75% noted that "they understand the feelings of discontent of their compatriots, but consider their behavior at mass protests to be overly aggressive."
If the peoples of both countries are in favor of developing relations and are against aggressiveness, then the governments of the two countries prefer rhetoric on the verge of military threats. Another clever Strindberg was amazed by the lips of his hero that governments always do what the people do not want. Today, these words are quite applicable to Sino-Japanese relations.
Since September last year, Chinese ships dozens of times came in into the zone of the disputed islands, ignoring the Japanese objections. December 13 patrol aircraft of the State Oceanographic Office of the PRC flew into the airspace above the islands. The Japanese Self-Defense Forces returned the F-15 fighter jets to the air. Where thin, there breaks; China “tries”, Japan responds.
The planes of the Chinese Ministry still approached five times about 100 km to the area around the disputed territories.
January 5, as reported by the newspaper "The Japan Times", Y-12, owned by the State Oceanographic Office of the People’s Republic of China, flew 120 km north of Senkaku, and then turned north. The Japanese alerted the F-15 fighter jets, although the Chinese aircraft did not invade Japanese airspace above the ridge. It was the sixth flight of the Chinese in the immediate vicinity of the islands controlled by Japan, as measured from December 13.
Russian IA "REX" interviewed experts about whether Japan is preparing for war with the PRC.
Political designer Yury Yuryev believes that Japan is building too long-term plans. By that distant time (recall, it was about ten or even twenty years), when Japan is going to take control of the disputed islands by the forces of the marines, underwater Robots these same islands will be able to pull apart or create new islands.
“... I believe that by that time China will learn to namyvat new islands in any quantities, especially in the areas of the oil-bearing shelf. And the use of marines is a very strange method, when in the same Japan they already created precision mini-rockets that can hang in the air and change trajectories, which means completely mask the point and side of their launch.
In addition, Japan is completely dependent on the United States, still in the occupied state and not having the right to drastically increase its military power. China can do almost everything, and Japan simply will not have time to react. Thus, the Japanese marines will become just hostages ... "
In addition, Japan is completely dependent on the United States, still in the occupied state and not having the right to drastically increase its military power. China can do almost everything, and Japan simply will not have time to react. Thus, the Japanese marines will become just hostages ... "
Grigory Trofimchuk, a political scientist and first vice president of the Center for the Modeling of Strategic Development, states that Tokyo is not a suicide to prepare for war with Beijing. But China can throw missiles on other people's heads, without hesitation.
Thus, statements about the possibility of a military conflict are being made by Japan with the goal of helping the information “pressure testing” of the PRC against the background of the unfolding strategic program for squeezing Beijing out of the APR. According to the expert, South Korea, Vietnam, Mongolia and other states will be connected to this program.
“... China is trying to get on their nerves, emotions, to upset its internal balance and force them to make inaccurate political steps, fraught with financial ruin as well.
Strange messages will be increasingly thrown against China, with varying degrees of certainty, will sway the information field around it. In this regard, it is not at all important for Washington and Tokyo who owns the disputed islands (Diaoyu and all the others), it is important to stick and stick the stick in the face of China. ”
Strange messages will be increasingly thrown against China, with varying degrees of certainty, will sway the information field around it. In this regard, it is not at all important for Washington and Tokyo who owns the disputed islands (Diaoyu and all the others), it is important to stick and stick the stick in the face of China. ”
Such a single stick is the new Japanese prime minister, the “hawk” Abe. In the latest issue of the newspaper "Mainiti" it is saidthat the Japanese government, for the first time in 11 years, could increase government spending on defense after the country's prime minister called for harsh action in a territorial dispute with China.
Further, the newspaper, referring, as is customary in the current postmodern world, to “unnamed sources”, continues to poke its geopolitical adversary with a stick.
Defense spending in the next fiscal year (will begin on April 1) is likely to be increased by 2% and reached around 4,7 trillion yen (53,4 billion dollars).
An article by another Japanese newspaper, Asahi, states that additional funding will be used to expand the number of personnel of the Japan Self-Defense Forces, as well as to acquire modern equipment for land, sea and air forces.
This newspaper also hides its sources.
Against the background of such rumors, which actually set the stage for the conversion of the Self-Defense Forces into the army (which, whatever one may say, the United States cannot approve), the Chinese and Japanese find reasons for private protests.
For example, 76-year-old Chinese Wen Zhong, who suffered during the Second World War from the Japanese bombings of Chengdu, sent Shinzo Abe letter. He demanded an apology from Japan for the massacres.
1938 to 1941 Japanese military aircraft more than 20 once bombed the Chinese city of Chengdu in Sichuan province. More than 3,4 thousand people were killed and wounded. The biggest bombing of Chengdu took place on July 27 1941 of the year: more than 300 bombs were dropped on the city per day.
The victims of the bombings in Chengdu and Chongqing for the first time demanded compensation from Japan in 2006. The new lawsuit signed 188 victims. Wen Zhong hopes to convey the position of the victims of the bombing to the Japanese Prime Minister through Japanese lawyers: their delegation of four people arrived in Chengdu on December 31.
Chinese argue with the Japanese even about which of the two countries the oldest earthling lives in. The Chinese set the tone here, demanding that citizen Liu Meisen be recognized as the oldest inhabitant of the earth.
Meanwhile, "officially", that is, with the filing of the world media, the oldest earthling is considered to be a resident of the Land of the Rising Sun (in the spring he should celebrate his 116 birthday). The Guinness Book of Records officially recognized the Japanese Dziroemona Kimura the oldest resident of the planet.
But in Beijing, this is disputed. Here are convinced that the palm of the championship should go to the Chinese woman Liu Meizen. By the way, its advantage is obvious: a resident of a village in the southwestern province of Guanxi ... 127 years.
From her passport, it is clear that she was born in 1885, 12 years before a Japanese competitor. But the Chinese woman cannot prove this date with the birth certificate: she does not have it.
And the editors of the Guinness Book of Records believe that a birth certificate is the main document in calculating the age of candidates. Hence the argument.
By the way, the county of Bama, in which Liu lives, has one of the highest rates of long-livers. Of the 238 thousands of county inhabitants, seventy-four people passed for a hundred years. And in general, comrades who have lived for at least a century, there are 47.773 in the Celestial Empire. 4 / 5 of them are women.
Along with the ongoing disputes - ranging from oil-bearing areas and ending with the age of long-livers, the Chinese and the Japanese, as it turns out, can quite peacefully cooperate. Even on the sea.
As January 4 newspaper reported "The Yomiuri Shimbun", the Japanese Fisheries Agency and colleagues from similar departments in China and Taiwan have agreed to work together to prevent overfishing of the Japanese eel.
The three governments decided to take joint countermeasures to protect the Nihon unagi, or Japanese eel, to the general benefit. Japan (the main consumer of eel) imports 60 percent fish from China and Taiwan.
In accordance with the new plan, agreed by the heads of the three fisheries agencies in December, they will share in May accurate data on fish production, the number of eels grown, production and trade volumes.
Agencies also plan to organize “tracking systems” over the next two years to track global eel supply routes in order to prevent possible overfishing.
Vladimir Portyakov, expert of the Institute of the Far East, does not excludethat, with a mutual desire, China and Japan would rather improve relations than spoil them further:
“... Both sides should more calmly approach this problem. They need to improve relationships, because a loud altercation has called into question much more serious things. For example, the creation of a close integration association of the two countries together with South Korea. Their free trade zone can generally change the geography of the entire world economy. In the balance, this is a much more serious weight than the problem with the islands. ”
However, not everything is so simple: if China quarrels with Japan over Senkaku, then there is a dispute between South Korea and Japan over Dokdo. In any case, the main political leader will be the economy. If the Chinese continue to boycott Japanese goods, primarily cars, the seat under Abe staggers much earlier than if he postpones the “solution” of the island problem for an indefinite period - which seems to be the most reasonable in this situation. True, politics and reason are rarely compatible with satisfaction ...
We must assume that Mr. Abe, being a figure not completely independent, but dependent on the will of America, will wait for the decision of Barack Obama. Earlier, Abe has already announced that his first international visit will be a meeting in Washington. This once again proves the vassal position of Japan, a US ally in the region. Therefore, it is naive to believe the Japanese press, which is setting up in the country alarmist and at the same time anti-Chinese sentiments — probably from the American submission — and it is necessary to wait for negotiations between Shinzo Abe and Barack Obama. The strategy of the latter, who only recently realized how the wars in Libya, Iraq and Afghanistan ended, and realized that he was waiting for him in Syria, is built more on “pulling the cat's tail” rather than on hasty emotional decisions. Especially since it will be under severe financial crisis, when the United States had to raise taxes, which the Democrats and Republicans barely agreed on 2 in January, when the budget was on the verge of fiscal cliff.
One thing is clear here: Washington will do everything to weaken Beijing, which is tearing itself into world leaders, including Tokyo. This problem is completely solved by mutual bleeding of the two countries: not “hot” military, but “cold”. This method is long, but as shown historical practice, effective and for the initiator is not particularly costly. First of all, he exhausts the budgets of both countries and hits the people's pocket of the Chinese and Japanese.
The fact that Japan will suffer in mutual quarrels is of little concern to the White House. Likewise, he does not care about the fact that Turkey may suffer in the growing conflict in the Middle East. In the US, used to rake the heat of someone else's hands. God forbid that the Japanese understand this, first of all Abe, the “hawk”.
Observed and translated by Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
- especially for topwar.ru