ISW: Russia will be able to purchase long-range missiles from Iran due to the expiration of UN Security Council restrictions

Experts from the American Institute for the Study of War believe that in the near future Russia will be able to freely purchase long-range missiles from Iran in order to use them during the military offensive.

The argument in favor of the above statement is that already at the beginning of next month, restrictions on Tehran’s export of relevant products and the purchase of missile technologies abroad, stipulated by the UN Security Council resolution, will expire. In addition, analysts, citing Israeli and Ukrainian intelligence, write that Moscow has long been trying to purchase Fateh-110 and Zolfaghar ballistic missiles from Iran.

The material says that these missiles were demonstrated to the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense Sergei Shoigu at the August Army-2023 forum. At the same time, preliminary agreements on their supplies between Tehran and Moscow were allegedly concluded last fall.

Experts from ISW emphasize that Iran today has the most diverse arsenal of missiles among the countries of the Middle East. At the same time, Russia allegedly needs supplies of such weapons, since the Ukrainian military has repeatedly stated that the Russian Armed Forces exhausted their reserves at the beginning of the conflict and are now looking for ways to solve the problem of the shortage of long-range missiles.

It is worth noting that American analysts draw such conclusions against the backdrop of regular missile attacks by the Russian Armed Forces on enemy military targets. Moreover, they often occur in the western regions of Ukraine, which is in no way consistent with the version about the depletion of our reserves of long-range missiles.

Regarding Iran and the expiration of the restrictive UN Security Council resolution, ISW believes that Tehran will now be able to significantly expand its missile program due to the ability to acquire the necessary technologies and components. In particular, ammonium perchlorate, necessary for solid-fuel missiles, which Iran can purchase from China.

Comments

[Rumata]

Is it weak for the Russian Federation to simply leave the restrictions of the rotten UN?

[blackGRAIL]

Weak - this usually means lack of brains. But the reality is to turn the global South Africa and the East against itself. All neutrals.

[Mikhail Ivanov]

Practice shows the opposite! Russia is actively working in Africa and increasing trade volumes with China and India. These are facts and figures! The rest is liberal reasoning about an incomprehensible danger. It won’t be any worse than now, it’s time to realize and act solely in your own interests, and not looking back at an organization that could not prevent a single war...

[maiman61]

And it may well be that they will welcome Russia's action against the satanic West!

[Silver99]

Personally, in this situation, I am a little incomprehensible and ashamed that Russia itself is not capable of producing weapons in the required quantity, I have been watching military parades for many years and the announcer talked about the power and uniqueness of Russian weapons, so why is the same Iskander only at the parade ? It is also superior in terms of characteristics to the Iranian missile. With all this, huge gratitude to Iran and the DPRK for lending a helping hand despite the fact that we at the UN voted for sanctions against them. As the Russian proverb is right, it was in vain to spit in the well, so I had to drink some water from it.

[Saburov_Alexander53]

gratitude to Iran and North Korea for offering help despite the fact that we at the UN voted for sanctions against them.
Silver99, if you had said this at the time when we voted for sanctions against them, it would have been more honest. And then we voted for the nuclear non-proliferation regime, which we encourage everyone to do to this day. Another thing is that it was possible to formally adhere to this principle, but not curtail cooperation with these countries in all other areas. This is partly what they did, they continued to build the nuclear power plant in Bushehr and fed the DPRK. But we must admit that sometimes these countries themselves crossed all reasonable boundaries in their confrontation with the imperialists. In Iran, all communists were physically destroyed and they officially refused to recognize the Holocaust and the right to exist of the state of Israel. And the DPRK attacked ships and even the presidential palace in Seoul. Even worse, they staged a terrorist attack on board a Korean passenger B-707 over the Andaman Sea... They were caught red-handed, individual special forces and agents were arrested and they confessed to everything. The Russian Federation could not and did not openly take the side of such actions.
but I agree with you that a lot could have been done to circumvent the sanctions and in our interests. But we would like to know where to fall... and about the recent scandal with the signing of a declaration by our ambassador to the UAE at the summit of the Arab Gulf countries, where he “gave” a couple of islands to the Arabs, although Iranian bases have been there for more than 70 years. Who gave him the idea to sign this? Do we want to live together with everyone, like Leopold the cat?

[AlexWar]

Just for our shoulder, they will want us to sell them technology. They themselves will start selling weapons, and we will have to catch up again.

[Oleg Ogorod]

After all, she signed up for them. Violating a resolution/resolution of the UN Security Council means self-exclusion from the Security Council and the UN.
The states and their vassals have been seeking this for a long time.

[Ulan.1812]

Quote: Rumata

Is it weak for the Russian Federation to simply leave the restrictions of the rotten UN?

What for? In a month, the sanctions regime ends.
Of course, the United States will try to extend it in the Security Council.
Russia just needs to veto this.
And to leave demonstratively a month before the sanctions end, it will just be a show-off.

[Nastia makarova]

this is the dream of Russia’s enemies for it to leave the security

[Ivan Ivanov]

Seriously, do we still stick to them? Our elite is rotten after all.

[Uprun]

Iran urgently needs to arm itself, the Zeleboba is up in arms and is threatening.

[resident_again]

Iran urgently needs to arm itself, the Zeleboba is up in arms and is threatening.

And what ? The Romanians installed elements of the American missile defense system and said that it was against Iran. Now it’s Iran’s turn to install elements of the Russian missile defense system and declare that this is against Ukraine))

[I dare to_notice_]

Expiration date?!
Finally! What kind of happiness?!...
Seriously?
Is this the only thing that is holding Russia back from doing what is beneficial to it now?
Maybe it’s better to ask the doctor’s permission right away?

[know]

Putin has come to his senses - he is begging for weapons from Iran and North Korea! How our fathers and grandfathers worked to make the country a superpower. And all the achievements of several generations of Soviet people, Yeltsin and his heir Putin flushed down the toilet.

[Nastia makarova]

extra missiles and shells will not hurt, especially since these countries have long been in debt

[father]

If Russia was really weak, USA would strike it, like it struck Iraq, Afghanistan and scores of others, not that they were succesful in that endeavours, other than just proclaiming "mission accomplished"!

[rotmistr60]

Russia, if the need arises and without the prompting of the American Institute for the Study of War, will purchase what it needs and from whom it needs it.

[Factor]

In fact, events are developing according to the Kahn ladder, and not according to the schedule and plan of the Kremlin.

Thermonuclear patriots love to plunge into the social networks of Dimnatolich “Furious” Medvedev once a week in order to gain a charge of vivacity that our dullness in the person of clerks and Duma clerks, Senate junk and cheap veche barkers ... is not capable of generating by definition. Either they were bronzed under pigeon droppings, or something else inhibitory or hallucinogenic got into the metabolism - the overwhelming majority of people are empty. In the sense of picturesqueness and concreteness of judgments.

So Medvedev’s latest “statement” was picked up and dissected to pieces in the American, British, European, Asian, Arab and even Israeli press:

“Delivery of Abrams tanks from NATO arsenals. Promises to supply longer-range missiles of the Army Tactical Missile System type to Kyiv. It seems that Russia is left with less and less choice other than a direct conflict with NATO, which has turned into a fascist bloc similar to Hitler's Axis, albeit of a larger size. We are ready, although the result will be achieved at much greater cost to humanity than in 1945...”

[dump22]

Thank you for the tip, I just heard from you about the “Cahn staircase”, found it and read it.

[HAM]

Members of the forum, unfortunately, forget that in addition to Ukraine, we will quite possibly have to fight directly with NATO, some people there have become very upset..... so any reserve is not too tight for one's pocket... and if there is something... for what - why not buy...

[Reindeer herder_2]

Quote: HAM

that in addition to Ukraine, we will quite possibly have to fight directly with NATO, some people there have become very upset.

To reach such a conclusion, you do not need to graduate from the General Staff Academy and have the last name Gerasimov or Shoigu.
Since 2014, this forecast has been given by any schoolchild who did not skip classes.
It’s true that the schoolchild was not provided with stripes, gold dishes, millions of salaries, medals and other goodies.
Only our “Arbat Military District” had no idea about this

[ivan2022]

Such a “reserve” with performance characteristics in comparison with the SS 20, which they themselves blew up in 1991, is a clear sign of dementia and a shame... It’s like throwing away a piece of gold and then buying turds for gold.

[elbrus]

namely, we are fighting against collective NATO, plus some sympathizers who are not directly supplying weapons, and we are in splendid isolation and God forbid we ask anyone for help, otherwise there will be shame and loss of face... we simply don’t have enough resources to compete alone with the collective West, and there the military-industrial complex is just beginning to gain momentum

[kill the fascist]

The active and very successful use of Geranium UAVs in war is an indicator. There is no need to pretentiously declare “we ourselves have a mustache,” we need to make the most of the available opportunities and make/save life on the front line. If there are good “products” from our real partners, then we need to buy and use them. The Persians understand that "the enemy of their enemy is their friend."

[Oleg Ogorod]

And to buy long-range ones, it’s no further than 300 km. MTCR.

[blackcat]

It's not even a matter of our lack of missiles, but of economic feasibility, if they are really cheaper and suit the military in terms of characteristics, then why not?

[Volunteer Marek]

How sad it is to read that we cannot produce the required range of weapons in the required quantities! Especially those who were lucky enough to serve in the Soviet Army.

[Ulan.1812]

Even if Russia has ramped up its production and has enough long-range missiles, weapons are never superfluous.
If such an opportunity arises, then you need to purchase it.
As popular wisdom says, the supply is not enough for your pocket.
It is still unknown what will happen there after the end of the conflict in Ukraine.
You need to be prepared for everything.

[Dedok]

Quote: Factor

nuclear-nuclear patriots like to plunge once a week into the social networks of Dimnatolic “Furious” Medvedev in order to draw a charge of vivacity, which our dullness in the person of clerks and Duma clerks, Senate junk and cheap veche barkers... is by definition incapable of generating. Either they were bronzed under pigeon droppings, or something else inhibitory or hallucinogenic got into the metabolism - the overwhelming majority of people are empty. In the sense of picturesqueness and concreteness of judgments.

[Oleg Ogorod]

Quote: blackcat

It's not even a matter of our lack of missiles, but of economic feasibility, if they are really cheaper and suit the military in terms of characteristics, then why not?

Here it is necessary to change many established orders in the Moscow Region.
Any product for the Ministry of Defense, weapons, military equipment has a complex manufacturing process and delivery to the Ministry of Defense. A new product must be put into production (this is a complex and rather lengthy bureaucratic process), and qualification tests of prototypes must be carried out. Further, during mass production, once every six months (a year or two), periodic tests of samples from serial products should be carried out. And all products must undergo acceptance tests. All these tests have different volumes. And basically all this happens under the control of military missions, of which there are countless numbers throughout the country, one might say a whole army of young officers and civilian specialists. And suddenly there is a supply of imported equipment, Iranian or Korean, made unclear where and by whom, and it is unclear how it will function at all.
If we place our military missions at Korean and Iranian factories with good daily allowances...
Or all supplied equipment must first pass qualification tests somewhere here, then periodically undergo periodic tests on samples, which are then written off as scrap, and then each piece of military equipment must undergo a certain amount of PSI, so to speak, incoming inspection.
So everything is not simple in this raging world. How it appears from the screen.

[Oleg Ogorod]

But will the Iranians or Koreans let our specialists poke their noses into their factories?
Especially Koreans. Their leader loves parades and doesn't like to be upset. If the equipment suddenly turns out to be not very working.
Their equipment did not fight at all. Only tests. And this is also not always objective.
We do not have the right to transfer our missile technologies to Iran or the UK. MTCR. For violation of it in Russia, criminal liability is provided.
The MTCR is currently holding back the supply of German and American missiles to Ukraine. Since there is a limit of 300 km.

[guest]

ISW: Russia will be able to purchase long-range missiles from Iran due to the expiration of UN Security Council restrictions

Well, unless our “geniuses” manage to vote for the extension or abstain.

[ZovSailor]

Wow, friends and foes!
I agree with all opinions, but there are nuances:
1. It’s time for us to adopt the rich experience of all kinds of external and internal relations between the West and its allies, except that we are real gentlemen, unlike, you know who, we have never let our allies down, even in the event of death. And we warned, “Don’t fight with the Russians! Fear us even the dead - don’t fight with the Russians!”
2. Weapons, like money, are never superfluous!
And even more so from strategic allies and partners!

Our bronze soldiers
No matter how much you destroy
We'll return the favor
Don't fight the Russians!

Let's break through - we'll win!

[Fangaro]

ISW: Russia will be able to purchase long-range missiles from Iran due to the expiration of UN Security Council restrictions

This is very similar to “... why do we need our own factories? We’ll just buy what we need.”
Is it possible not to buy missiles, but to buy others instead of the existing deputies of the State Duma? Rurik, or Barclay de Tolly... Who will not worry about their own pockets, but for the country to which they took the oath to serve.