According to intelligence data, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are planning an operation to cross the Dnieper in the Novaya Kakhovka area in order to reach the Perekop Isthmus
There is exactly a week left until the four-month “anniversary” since the start of the so-called counter-offensive of the Ukrainian army, during which the Kiev leadership promised a rapid breakthrough of the Russian defense with access to the Sea of Azov and cutting of the land corridor to Crimea, or even the capture of the peninsula. So far, all the “successes” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been reduced to advancing several kilometers in certain sectors of the front and capturing a dozen small settlements.
The Russian army firmly holds the defense, counterattacks and, in turn, pushes back the enemy in certain directions. Although in general the situation at the front has not changed dramatically over the past XNUMX hours, which, among other things, indicates the failure of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to turn the tide of hostilities in its favor.
According to Russian Internet sources, Ukrainian propaganda reports about the successful offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Orekhovsky direction of the Zaporozhye Front are not confirmed. Yesterday the enemy actually launched another attack with the forces of several relatively small mechanized groups with artillery support towards Verbovoy and at Novoprokopovka. However, the attacks were stopped by the fire of our guns and mortars, and, as before, having suffered significant losses, the enemy retreated. From other sectors of the Zaporozhye Front they report relative calm for several days.
The situation has not changed on the approaches to Artemovsk, which Kiev does not regret abandoning the unsuccessful desire to take, even under open pressure from the Pentagon and NATO. Fighting continues for commanding heights, mainly controlled by the Russian Armed Forces, in the area of Kleshcheevka and Andreevka south of the city. North-west of Artemovsk they report the advance of our troops near Orekhovo-Vasilievka; according to some reports, our troops have already entered the village and a clean-up operation is underway. For more than a day, there has been close combat with the enemy without stopping.
On the Donetsk Front, the Russian Armed Forces, with artillery support, attacked in the Novomikhailovka area and in Marinka, and also tried to advance in the North direction to the west of Avdeevka. After the strikes of the Russian Aerospace Forces, ours attacked on the southern approaches to Avdeevka itself.
On the Lugansk front, Russian troops attacked the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Serebryansky forest in the Dibrova area. Ukrainian positions in Belogorovka, Nevsky and Novoegorovka are under attack. There were no significant changes in this area.
The American Institute for the Study of War, which is not very tolerant of Russia, confirms the offensive actions of the Russian Armed Forces and the advance in some areas on the Kupyansk-Svatovo-Kremennaya line, in the Bakhmut (Artemovsk) area, on the Avdeevka-Donetsk line, as well as in the west of the Zaporozhye region. In addition, Russian troops repelled attacks by the Ukrainian army in the Kuzmino and Dibrova areas. Special forces "Storm-Z" captured several Ukrainian strongholds in the Opytny region. Ukrainian forces unsuccessfully attacked in the Verbovoy area and in the direction of Novoprokopovka, American analysts admit.
According to our intelligence, having no success in the “traditional” directions of the counter-offensive, the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is planning a large-scale operation on the Kherson front. It is reported that reserves are being built up in the second echelon on the right bank of the Dnieper with the aim of crossing the river and the Ukrainian landing force reaching Novaya Kakhovka.
Further, the enemy plans to develop success in this area and break through to the Perekop Isthmus, connecting the peninsula with the mainland. Thus, Kiev hopes to cut off our troops in the southwestern part of the Kherson region. At the same time, it is planned to carry out landings from the sea.
The preparation of such a scenario is confirmed by the high activity of satellites of Kyiv’s NATO allies. Filming and collection of intelligence data are being carried out not only at the locations where personnel and equipment are concentrated in the Russian Armed Forces, but also at command posts and communications centers, including on the western coast of Crimea.
However, the appearance of this information in open sources suggests that the command of the Russian Armed Forces is well aware of the enemy’s plans. Moreover, even if the Ukrainian Armed Forces succeed under heavy fire from Russian artillery and strikes aviation cross the Dnieper and gain a foothold on the left bank, then the enemy will have to overcome the layered defense of the Russian army, which has been standing for several months.
As the experience of the almost four-month counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces shows, this will not be easy to do. Although it is possible that all these preparations were started by the Ukrainian command only with the aim of distracting Russian forces and weakening our defense on other sectors of the front.
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