Expert on Pashinyan’s latest statements: Yerevan’s maneuvering in foreign policy does not work in Russia’s favor

The Armenian authorities have recently demonstrated a desire to somewhat distance themselves from Russia and establish cooperation with the US and the European Union. So, earlier, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan accused Russia of allegedly “leaving the South Caucasus” on its own.

The statements of the head of the government of the Republic of Armenia were commented specifically for the “Military Review” by a member of the Expert Council of the “Officers of Russia”, a retired Envoy Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Foreign Ministry Vasily Semenovich Korchmar.

As the expert notes, Armenia remains in a difficult position, despite its attempts to "diversify" security. However, one must also understand that Armenia is adjacent to Georgia, which is dependent on the United States in military-political terms and on Turkey in economic terms, with Azerbaijan, with which very difficult relations remain, with Turkey itself and Iran.

At the same time, the 102nd Russian military base continues to operate on the territory of Armenia, guaranteeing the security of the country from the threat of external invasion. In addition, Armenia remains a member of the CSTO. At the same time, foreign NGOs are actively working in the country. There are several thousand of them in Armenia.

It is not for nothing that the US Embassy in Yerevan has 2500 employees, and this is the largest number of American diplomatic missions in Europe. Finally, foreign Armenian diasporas, including those in the United States and France, also have a significant influence on the country's policy. Interestingly, the diaspora is also not going to invest in their native country.

Vasily Korchmar emphasizes that in the current situation, the leadership of Armenia, and this is quite natural, is trying to ensure the security and further prosperous existence of the state. Russia can assist Yerevan and Baku in negotiations on the fate of Nagorno-Karabakh, but this will require a certain intensification of efforts and consideration of Armenia as a stronghold of the Russian presence in the Caucasus.

There is only one conclusion - despite the difficulties of various kinds, it would be desirable to find opportunities to preserve and strengthen Russia's influence both in Armenia and in the entire Caucasus region. Yerevan's maneuvering in foreign policy affairs may not play in Russia's favor

- emphasized Vasily Korchmar.

It's hard to disagree with the expert's opinion. But, judging by the latest statements of the Prime Minister of Armenia, a lot still depends on whether the current government of the republic, and the Armenian society as a whole, are ready to be a friend and ally of Russia, and not just maneuvering between Moscow and Washington (Paris, London ) side.

Comments

[rocket757]

The expert commented on Pashinyan’s statements to Military Review: Yerevan’s maneuvering in foreign affairs may not play in Russia’s favor

And in favor of Amenia, are there options?

[Trapp1st]

And in favor of Amenia, are there options?

For small, poor countries, the only option is to maneuver in foreign affairs.

[IL-18]

They maneuver when they can. More precisely, until one of the adults wants to do them.

[Michael]

Quote: IL-18

They maneuver when they can. More precisely, until one of the adults wants to do them.

"They will cut" the Armenians completely. And they will run to Mother Russia for the umpteenth time. Taking out an Orthodox cross from his bosom.
It's disgusting. You try to move the Azerbaijanis from the Russian markets. "Uh, ara. Come here." And with your palm you do it here and there.

[Trapp1st]

You try to move the Azerbaijanis from the Russian markets.

They were brought up on Russophobia, they create all kinds of fierce game in Russia, worse than the Middle Ages, this contingent should be banned from general entry into the country, cancel the issued passports and deport indiscriminately for the next 500 years, at least.

[Stanislav_Shishkin]

Quote: Michael

You try to move the Azerbaijanis from the Russian markets. "Uh, macaw. Get over here."

“Uh, ara,” the Armenians say, a little something, but there are much fewer of them in the markets.

[Michael]

Quote: Stanislav_Shishkin

"Uh, ara" say the Armenians

And they do it with their palms here and there?
So they were Armenians, not Azerbaijanis.
Or maybe the Georgians.
I don’t hit by nationality, but by the face of the face)))).

[Kyrgyz]

Maneuvering is the surest option to become unreliable and unnecessary for all parties and be crushed, and if you are still small and weak and want to stay, then it’s better to swear, the difficulty is in choosing the right one

[Msi]

judging by the recent statements of the Prime Minister of Armenia, a lot still depends on whether the current government of the republic, and the Armenian society as a whole, is ready to be a friend and ally of Russia, and not just a side maneuvering between Moscow and Washington (Paris, London) .

Another state is taking long strides towards its own suicide. And the loss of statehood. This is their choice...

[41 REGION]

Quote from Msi

And the loss of statehood. This is their choice..

It has come a long time ago

It is not for nothing that the US Embassy in Yerevan has 2500 employees, and this is the largest number of American diplomatic missions in Europe.

[knn54]

- Interestingly, the diaspora is also not going to invest in their native country.
According to the Armenian KVNshchikov ("New Armenians"), Armenia is an office.
This is easy to believe if you compare the numbers in Armenia itself and beyond.
Who will invest in the office\?
Armenia is of interest to the Russian Federation for its position - through it, cargo flows are carried out from Turkey and, most importantly, from Iran.

[APASUS]

Quote: rocket757

The expert commented on Pashinyan’s statements to Military Review: Yerevan’s maneuvering in foreign affairs may not play in Russia’s favor

And in favor of Amenia, are there options?

Which Armenia. An attempt to please the West and quarrel with Russia in favor of Armenia? There are no interests of Armenians in his statements. Another attempt to become a bargaining chip for the West

[Idunavs]

Yes, they will give a small cookie.) And so the Pashinyans were brought to power to break away from Russia, and everyone knows this.

[carpenter]

Quote: rocket757

And in favor of Armenia, are there any options there?

What options ? The 1915 version, when the population of Armenia did not have a pro-Russian mood, as a result, out of 2,5 million Armenians at the end of WWII, 1,0 million remained. Only thanks to Soviet Russia, Armenia remained in existence. And what remains of Armenia can be seen on the map.
Armenia will not survive a second invasion.

[Azerbaijan2023]

Quote: carpenter

Only thanks to Soviet Russia, Armenia remained in existence.

What are you writing? What does it mean to remain in existence? She didn't exist. First, the Armenian Governorate was created on the territory of the Iravan Khanate, and then the same Governorate became Armenia. I don’t know what kind of story you read. Russia created Armenia! Russia. They owe Russia everything for this. Show me a map before 15, where was great Armenia? Can you show me? Please do not post misinformation.

[Azerbaijan2023]

Quote: rocket757

And in favor of Amenia, are there options?

Victor, they want the Russian Ivan to die for Armenian interests (but at the same time they talk about themselves as an ancient invincible army), but it is desirable that Ivan fight. Here they are.

[mavrus]

[/ quote] And in favor of Amenia, are there options there? [/ quote]
And what is the use of Armenia? If you are friends with the United States, you will get it, sign it ... Only this did not lead to good.
And Pashinyan was initially "sharpened" for the surrender of Karabakh and the rupture of relations with Russia.

[Doccor18]

The Armenian authorities have recently demonstrated a desire to somewhat distance themselves from Russia and establish cooperation with the United States and the European Union

Last time"?
The loose concept of "last" for some ...

[Arkadich]

This will continue to happen as long as Russia does diplomacy with white gloves, even in the area of ​​its interests.
The absence of an aggressive offensive policy will lead to pushing Russia out from everywhere.
As an example, the US policy in educating loyal politicians, or China, which buys through business, ties the elite of another country to the security.

[Smoked]

You write nonsense and absolutely do not know the specifics of Yerevan Armenians.

[carpenter]

Quote: Smoked

You write nonsense and absolutely do not know the specifics of Yerevan Armenians.

Yes, they don’t know who didn’t live there, but in Soviet times I liked Yerevan and people too, I have been there more than once with my classmates.

[Arkadich]

absolutely do not know the specifics of Yerevan Armenians

So share your deep knowledge of Yerevan Armenians and their difference from other Armenians.

[shtatsov]

To make an aggressive offensive policy, you first need to put things in order at least in domestic politics. And in our elites, unfortunately, there are still enough of their nits. And how can Armenia be motivated to pursue a pro-Russian policy when many of our elites are dragging Russia itself under the West?

[taiga2018]

Quote: Trapp1st

For small, poor countries, the only option is to maneuver in foreign affairs.

Maybe so, but one thing I can say for sure - trying to please everyone leads to the fact that you will not please anyone ...

[Uprun]

Soros is already there behind the clouds with one foot, but his work lives on.

[Ulan.1812]

The Armenian society is not ready.
For some reason, Pashinyan decided that Russia was obliged to fight with Azerbaijan in the conflict, on the grounds that Armenia is a member of the CSTO.
The majority of Armenians think the same way.
Although there is no reason for this.
So Pashinyan said that Russia allegedly cannot ensure the security of Armenia and began to wag.
It will all end like it always does. They are happy.

[sergey32]

Armenians believe that Russia constantly owes them something. For some reason, it does not occur to them to present similar demands to other CSTO members - Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Belarus - to fight Azerbaijan instead of them.

[Ulan.1812]

Quote: sergey32

Armenians believe that Russia constantly owes them something. For some reason, it does not occur to them to present similar demands to other CSTO members - Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Belarus - to fight Azerbaijan instead of them.

That's it. Short but to the point.

[Old_geologist]

Damn, they all smell like fried, so they run to Russia - save, help! As soon as he lets go a little, let's be friends with the West. That this Pashinyan, initially pro-Western, that Tokayev is pomaded. I forgot who saved him when the chair staggered under him. And now he sells weapons to Ukraine, and partially supports sanctions.

[IVZ]

The Armenian authorities have recently demonstrated a desire to somewhat distance themselves from Russia and establish cooperation with the US and the European Union.

So this is not a desire, but the task of the Sorosians who came to power. The policy of discrediting the Russian Federation, the formation of public opinion, waiting for the right moment - everything is as taught. Yes, and this government came to power in the Sorosyan way, it seems to be elective, but at a convenient moment. Now we won't get rid of it for a long time.

[Ulan.1812]

Quote: IVZ

The Armenian authorities have recently demonstrated a desire to somewhat distance themselves from Russia and establish cooperation with the US and the European Union.

So this is not a desire, but the task of the Sorosians who came to power. The policy of discrediting the Russian Federation, the formation of public opinion, waiting for the right moment - everything is as taught. Yes, and this government came to power in the Sorosyan way, it seems to be elective, but at a convenient moment. Now we won't get rid of it for a long time.

This is definitely Pashinyan’s protege of Soros and that explains everything.

[vladimirvn]

I don’t understand why we need such an “ally”?

[Knell wardenheart]

The question is, what does Pashinyan want in the end? What he sees as the goal of the activity, not an abstract goal, of course.
In absolutely any scenario with any ally in this period, they lose Karabakh. It will not work to save it or even legitimize it - no matter how good relations with the United States are, Turkey and Azerbaijan will have better ones, and the latter quite clearly indicated his desire and attitude to this issue.
Being in the CSTO and strengthening ties with the Russian Federation will not solve the issue of preserving Karabakh, although we are the guarantors of Armenia's security, in this case we adhere to the letter.

Pashinyan either does not want to understand the stalemate of this situation, or wants to keep power as much as possible in the hope "at random" and that the situation will reduce the intensity of passions over time.

Someone will object to me that the main motives here are not Karabakh. I partly agree, but in my opinion this is a solid part of the reason why Armenia is still in the CSTO. And the fact that she is there is a solid part of our leverage over her.

I got the feeling that Pashinyan is "rocking the boat" not out of a desire to achieve something real, but because this is the only strategy that allows him to stay in power. There is a historical periods when someone needs to make a whole shaft of worthless decisions, frankly drowning a political career, and even a decisive life. And it is difficult for a person who has climbed into politics on his belly for many years to step over himself and gobble up a big bitter pill (and more than one). By moving the arrows from big problems to small ones, he is playing for time and waiting for us to give a reason to switch the aggro of his society to us, at least partially.

Based on this, I would suggest that in this period we will not be able to "improve relations", because significant efforts are being invested on the other side to ensure that these relations do not deteriorate so much as remain in a consistently nasty state in the interests of domestic politics.

[Ulan.1812]

Armenia did not recognize the independence of Karabakh.
But she really wanted Russia to do it instead.
So, de jure, Armenia recognizes the belonging of Karabakh to Azerbaijan.
And Pashinyan plays on the nationalist sentiments of Armenians.
The goal is to really stay in power.

[opposite28]

There is only one conclusion - despite the difficulties of various kinds, it would be desirable to find opportunities to preserve and strengthen Russia's influence both in Armenia and in the entire Caucasus region. Yerevan's maneuvering in foreign policy affairs may not play in Russia's favor

- emphasized Vasily Korchmar.

It would be more accurate and correct to say the maneuvering of the US peninsula in Armenia with the help of Comrade Pashinyan

[Dva parovoza]

“Yerevan’s maneuvering in foreign policy matters may not work in Russia’s favor.”
Yerevan’s maneuvering in foreign policy affairs may not work in Armenia’s favor - this is the correct answer.

[Romanenko]

We must not forget that Pashinyan is a specially trained agent of influence, he does not hide this, and this has been known since his elections. Therefore, the other, passive perception of this character by our political structures is surprising. Let's not talk about the rest.

[Seal]

Is it under Pashinyan that the US Embassy in Armenia reached 2,5 personnel?
Was it Pashinyan who allowed the United States to equip American bacteriological laboratories in Armenia that collect DNA samples ??
Is it Pashiyan who was awarded a special medal in the USA: "Ellis Island Medal" (a public medal, but recognized by the US Congress and highly respected, there is practically not a single former US President who has not been awarded this medal), which is given "for a special contribution to the development of relations this or that state with the USA ".
But Sargsyan received such a medal back in 2011, during his visit to the United States. Apparently just for allowing the activities of US bacteriological laboratories on the territory of Armenia.
As soon as Sargsyan took over as President of Armenia (in 2008), he allowed it (in 2009).
By the time Sargsyan left, there were already 12 such US bacteriological laboratories in Armenia. Is it not for these merits that Sargsyan received his medal? By the way, he was the first and still remains the only foreign President to be awarded such a medal. The second, perhaps, will be Zelensky.
Sargsyan, like all previous presidents of Armenia, just like Pashinyan, focused exclusively on the United States. But they knew how to keep their mouths shut and did not forget to praise Russia loudly from time to time.
The only difference between Pashinyan and Sargsyan is that Pashinyan sometimes allows himself to say what he thinks.
Yes, the question arises, why was Sargsyan leaked? Well, apparently in the State Department, situations like ours also happen. In our country, it happens that our Kremlin towers have different opinions on the same issue. Exaggeratedly, one can say this: the GosDepovsky heavy cupboard supported Sargsyan, but the slippery GosDepovsky toilet bowl took and drained it.

[Cats]

Maneuvering Yerevan in foreign policy

Some also maneuvered like this - they maneuvered while they under-maneuvered...

[mavrus]

Quote: Ulan.1812

The Armenian society is not ready.
For some reason, Pashinyan decided that Russia was obliged to fight with Azerbaijan in the conflict, on the grounds that Armenia is a member of the CSTO.
The majority of Armenians think the same way.
Although there is no reason for this.
So Pashinyan said that Russia allegedly cannot ensure the security of Armenia and began to wag.
It will all end like it always does. They are happy.

Sorry, this is Armenia, a member of the CSTO, and not Nagorno-Karabakh. If Armenia had at least recognized Karabakh, then with great difficulty it would still be possible to talk about something. And so... Azerbaijan is sorting things out “at home”... and on what grounds will the CSTO get in there? What are we talking about? Why should anyone recognize Karabakh sovereignty when the Armenians themselves don’t care?