The analytical program "However," with Mikhail Leontyev 25 December 2012
After a long break caused by certain circumstances between Georgia and Russia for the first time, an exchange of high-level courtesies took place. Moreover, it really was courtesy.
“We see positive signals - while very restrained, but still positive signals from the Georgian authorities,” said Vladimir Putin at a big press conference.
Russia, as Putin noted, responds in the same way. Nevertheless, the President talked about the impasse in which Saakashvili led the situation and from which it is not clear how to get out.
Vladimir Putin: “Russia cannot change its decision related to the recognition of independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. We cannot do this by definition. And Georgia cannot agree to recognize their independent status. I have no idea what can be done here ".
In turn, Georgian Prime Minister Ivanishvili called Putin’s statements "cautious and positive." “Even more interesting were the statements made from Moscow that it is possible to restore full trade relations with Russia,” the prime minister said. “We will certainly take part in the Sochi Olympiad. If there were no other reason for restoring relations with Russia, it should have been would come up. "
This is "necessarily" worth a lot. In Russian-Georgian relations, not only the tone has changed, which is obvious. A special representative was appointed from the Georgian side and negotiations began. Although the situation is formally really kind of dead-end.
"So, I have a clear impression and a feeling that Mr. Ivanishvili has his own road map for bringing Georgia closer to Russia. He should follow this map and wait for the results. The road goes through the road," says former Georgian State Security Minister Igor Georgadze.
Georgadze, whom the Georgian nationalists of 17 have frightened children for years, whose supporters in Georgia have been in prisons until recently, knows what he is saying.
“From what has been done, we can note the closure of the anti-Russian channel, the opening of the broadcasting of Russian channels, the rejection of Russophobic rhetoric and the release of political prisoners,” said Georgadze.
At the same time, Ivanishvili generally shows her absolute loyalty to America and her commitment to joining NATO in every possible way. The leaders of the “Georgian Dream” were in close contact with the American embassy long before the start of the election campaign itself. Nevertheless, the actions of the new government cause a real hysteria in some parts of the American establishment.
“As for Georgia, the West simply does not have the right to lose it, otherwise we will lose access to the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Central Asia as a whole,” wrote the classic of American geopolitics Zbigniew Brzezinski. Recently, speaking in the US Congress, he noted: "Georgia is becoming a possible candidate for an alliance with Russia, and this could cost her friendship with the United States."
"Everything is gone, the client is leaving, the cast is removed!" (from the movie "Diamond Hand")
Volga flows into the Caspian Sea, and not the Mississippi. Can America somehow survive the loss of access to the Caspian? .. In fact, the victory of the opposition in Georgia, which some rushed to declare victory for Georgian democracy and the personal merit of Saakashvili, is in fact the merit of the current American administration. They allowed the opposition to win. And they also allowed the famous pro-Russian drift. Naturally, while respecting the proper politeness. And Russia, note, reciprocates, emphatically without interfering with Mr. Ivanishvili, including her public support.
"I am not guilty! He came himself!" (from the movie "Diamond Hand")
In fact, Georgia, apparently, is the example of a frozen conflict, which we talked about as a likely prospect of new US-Russian relations. The dead end is a stalemate. A stalemate is a draw. Anyway, in this game.
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