Military Review

A military analyst from the United States admitted the prospect of losing Odessa after the final failure of the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

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A military analyst from the United States admitted the prospect of losing Odessa after the final failure of the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

When the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine finally fails, Ukraine may face quite a tangible prospect of losing control over Odessa. This was stated in an interview with Dialogue works by a US military analyst, former chief of staff of former Secretary of State Colin Powell, retired colonel Lawrence Wilkerson.


The expert believes that Russian troops, having inflicted a defeat on the Ukrainian forces in the Zaporozhye and then Kherson directions, will be able to launch an offensive towards Odessa and reach it. Then Ukraine will lose the last major port on the Black Sea.

Wilkerson believes that the decision of the Kyiv regime to launch a counter-offensive in the Zaporozhye direction led to a real nightmare for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Ukrainian army suffered heavy losses both in personnel and in equipment. This level of losses only brings the further defeat of the Ukrainian troops closer.

An American military analyst believes that initially Ukraine had no chance of holding out in a confrontation with Russia. Even large-scale assistance from NATO countries could not improve the situation, the expert is convinced.

It should be noted that such pessimistic statements are increasingly heard in the Western press, and they are uttered by an increasing number of American military observers and experts. For example, analyst Scott Ritter, a former US Marine Corps intelligence officer, recently predicted the imminent total defeat of the UAF.
69 comments
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  1. guest
    guest 3 August 2023 16: 46
    -5
    A military analyst from the United States admitted the prospect of losing Odessa after the final failure of the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

    And why are the most optimistic analysts from the US?
    1. carpenter
      carpenter 3 August 2023 16: 49
      +5
      Quote: guest
      And why are the most optimistic analysts from the US?

      Because the US is at war with Russia, so they are instructed to make optimistic analyzes.
  2. Got it
    Got it 3 August 2023 16: 48
    +14
    Be that as it may, Odessa and Nikolaev are necessary, otherwise the NWO is half implemented. More precisely, along the Sumy-Cherkasy-Odessa line, which means it will take time and the supreme one certainly understood this.
    1. Orange Bigg
      Orange Bigg 3 August 2023 17: 08
      +15
      The Supreme Commander tells Ukraine to recognize the new regions of Russia that became part of it in 2022, and Crimea and we will sign a peace treaty, but Thank God Ukraine rejects this, so who knows, as fate would have it, where Odessa will end up. .
    2. Vitaly161
      Vitaly161 3 August 2023 18: 20
      +5
      I agree, cut off the region from the Black Sea as it should, like the land corridor in Transnistria
      1. Alan81
        Alan81 4 August 2023 12: 01
        +2
        so they will dig another sea wassat ... here we all need to think hard
        1. isv000
          isv000 4 August 2023 14: 33
          +1
          Quote: Alan81
          so they will dig another sea wassat ... here we all need to think hard

          Here are the remains and dig in, as with ASF!
    3. dmi.pris1
      dmi.pris1 3 August 2023 18: 29
      +4
      What can you know that the supreme one certainly understood? No, it's good if he understands this. Simply, over and over again we see how he is ready to negotiate with those who should not be allowed on the threshold of the house.
  3. January
    January 3 August 2023 16: 50
    +5
    The Americans are more optimistic than we are... Among Russian "analysts" the opinion is heard more and more often that we are moving towards another "agreement". Although the need to cut off the independent from the sea is obvious ....
    1. astra wild2
      astra wild2 3 August 2023 20: 24
      0
      I don’t know about the Americans, but Ukrainian
    2. guest
      guest 4 August 2023 00: 32
      +1
      Quote: ian
      Americans are more optimistic than we are...

      I wrote the same thing, but I got downvoted.
  4. Vladimir Nizhegorodsky
    Vladimir Nizhegorodsky 3 August 2023 16: 51
    -1
    It’s long overdue.
    The time has come.
    The Supreme Commander-in-Chief promised to return the GDP to the borders of the parish in the USSR.
    Kyiv, Kyiv region,
    Chernihiv and Zhytomyr regions.
    That was Ukruina 404.
    Don't spank anymore.
    This is before the communization of the ruins.
    Wait, there is decommunization, deoccupation and denazification.
    The jokes are over.
    1. vladcub
      vladcub 3 August 2023 22: 08
      +2
      Sweet Dreams. The sweeter the less likely
    2. isv000
      isv000 4 August 2023 14: 35
      -1
      Quote: Vladimir Nizhny Novgorod
      It’s long overdue.
      The time has come.
      The Supreme Commander-in-Chief promised to return the GDP to the borders of the parish in the USSR.
      Kyiv, Kyiv region,
      Chernihiv and Zhytomyr regions.
      That was Ukruina 404.
      Don't spank anymore.
      This is before the communization of the ruins.
      Wait, there is decommunization, deoccupation and denazification.
      The jokes are over.

      The capital - in Zhytomyr, the president - Yanyka ...
  5. Zaurbek
    Zaurbek 3 August 2023 16: 52
    +10
    For such movements, we need another group of troops for 300-500 tons of fighters ... During the Second World War, Nikolaev and Odessa were taken after Kharkov and Kiev (not along the South, across the rivers).
    In general, even with the defeat of the current army (and the 2 has a mobile reserve for another 3-404 years and they will be given all the weapons), it is necessary to double the troops at the front. And if the Black Sea is not cut off from 404, then we will not have normal navigation.
    1. alystan
      alystan 3 August 2023 17: 06
      +3
      During the Second World War, Nikolaev and Odessa were taken after Kharkov and Kyiv (not along the South, across the rivers).

      And the decision was definitely the right one. Otherwise, if everything had been done exactly the opposite, then it would have become a serious and difficult task to defend and protect it from the northern direction. And to arrange the supply of troops (along the South and across the rivers) would be simply unrealistic.

      And if the Black Sea is not cut off from 404, then we will not have normal navigation.

      Well, there is still Georgia and Bulgaria with Romania, which will only be happy to annoy Russia.
      Yes, and the Turks should not be discounted, they are already trying with might and main to harm us in every possible way, while making another mine. Not forgetting to get all sorts of "buns" from "cooperation" with Russia.
    2. Rage66
      Rage66 3 August 2023 18: 05
      +3
      Are you ready to personally participate in the "doubling"?
      Or is it just your expert opinion? what
      1. Zaurbek
        Zaurbek 3 August 2023 19: 16
        +3
        If you read carefully, I reason. If there is no mobilization, then there will be no coastal territories. But, in that case, we will get the next war. Because 404 during the truce will be well armed and healed. And dragoning the Russian Federation is profitable and not so expensive. As for me, if the Motherland begins to persistently call, then my opinion is unlikely to be of interest to the military commissar.
    3. Xnumx vis
      Xnumx vis 3 August 2023 22: 17
      -1
      Quote: Zaurbek
      And if the Black Sea is not cut off from 404, then we will not have normal navigation.

      Quite right. Moreover, at the end, according to the peace treaty, the Black Sea straits will be opened. And the Black Sea will be flooded with warships of NATO countries, all kinds of transports with military equipment for Vsuk. The former Ukrainian SSR has no sea, Russia has no problems. In any case, there will be, but not in such volumes ... Odessa and the mouth of the Danube ... It seems to me that there is some kind of non-public agreement on these territories. I want to be wrong. hi
      1. guest
        guest 4 August 2023 00: 38
        +2
        Quote: 30 vis
        And the Black Sea will be flooded with warships of NATO countries

        And also NATO bases in Odessa and Ochakovo.
    4. vladcub
      vladcub 3 August 2023 22: 28
      +2
      300 500 is not enough. In the Second World War, the total number of the Red Army was 14 million, directly, the Kiev offensive operation: 6 million, reversed in manpower, artillery, tanks.
      And now, according to Western experts on tanks, parity: about 860-890,, units, they have the most in Europe, anti-tank weapons, in artillery, we have an advantage, but in MLRS they have better quality, they have competent control of counter-battery combat .
      Everyone admits: Staver, Sladkov, Baza, they have better internet connection. Someone wrote that the Chinese and I are trying to catch up, Starlink. This launched an analogue in Siberia. But we are 6-7 years behind, which is a lot
      They have perfect aerospace intelligence.
      With such forces, only Odessa and Kyiv can be stormed. It’s better to put the parts, but they won’t say thank you
      1. Zaurbek
        Zaurbek 4 August 2023 09: 20
        +2
        Assaults of cities are a separate issue. It is necessary to storm, it is not necessary .... You can isolate - you can’t ... How many cities can you keep surrounded like that?
      2. Zaurbek
        Zaurbek 4 August 2023 09: 52
        0
        But there were also many Wehrmacht forces there. And the cities were stormed.
    5. guest
      guest 4 August 2023 00: 36
      +2
      Quote: Zaurbek
      And if the Black Sea is not cut off from 404, then we will not have normal navigation.

      Yes, not only navigation, there will be no normal life in the Crimea and new regions, only constant Ukrainian terrorist attacks.
      1. Vladimir80
        Vladimir80 4 August 2023 07: 58
        0
        But taking into account the fact that the bridges across the Dnieper are standing, and the top of the Bandera movement calmly rides along the front ... Then the reasonable will understand everything and think of it for themselves ...
    6. isv000
      isv000 4 August 2023 14: 39
      0
      Quote: Zaurbek
      For such movements, we need another group of troops for 300-500 tons of fighters ... During the Second World War, Nikolaev and Odessa were taken after Kharkov and Kiev (not along the South, across the rivers).

      Called 300, volunteers for 7 months. 230 came, the army, in general, at the time of the beginning of the NMD was under fire ... According to minimal estimates, now in the army there are under 900 thousand fired soldiers and commanders. By my unprofessional reckoning... hi
  6. Uprun
    Uprun 3 August 2023 16: 56
    0
    At the same time, neither the striped nor the shaves speak out against Westerners. Everyone understands that we do not need it, and the sooner it goes to the psheks, the Hungarians, the sooner the clown regime will collapse. Therefore, psheks are still kept on a leash .....
    1. isv000
      isv000 4 August 2023 14: 43
      0
      Quote from uprun
      At the same time, neither the striped nor the shaves speak out against Westerners. Everyone understands that we do not need it, and the sooner it goes to the psheks, the Hungarians, the sooner the clown regime will collapse. Therefore, psheks are still kept on a leash .....

      It is not good to squander state-owned lands! This way they will have an appetite for Belarus, and for the Kuriles, etc., etc. ... This song will last forever, if now, all at once, in a yushka, you don’t fill up their slurp, so that the unuchki then chew bread for them !
  7. Wolfskin1993
    Wolfskin1993 3 August 2023 16: 56
    +2
    Under the protectorate of Russia SHOULD be all the territories on which nuclear power plants are located, the Black Sea coast, of course, this is not even discussed.
    1. Rage66
      Rage66 3 August 2023 18: 18
      +1
      Cool opinion...
      I'll add 5 cents too.
      Under the protectorate of Russia should be Poland, Romania, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and Finland soldier
      1. isv000
        isv000 4 August 2023 14: 45
        -1
        Quote: Rage66
        Cool opinion...
        I'll add 5 cents too.
        Under the protectorate of Russia should be Poland, Romania, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and Finland soldier

        Moreover, for sprats with Chukhons, gold was paid, according to garlic, for eternal possession! Or let the coins turn back!!!
      2. guest
        guest 4 August 2023 15: 51
        +1
        Quote: Rage66
        Poland, Romania, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and Finland should be under the protectorate of Russia soldier

        Great idea, but unfortunately it's not science fiction.
  8. Rumata
    Rumata 3 August 2023 17: 00
    +1
    No no no. Odessa is the key to Victory, but first Kharkov.
    Well, and then Manhattan and Berlin.
    1. Bledar
      Bledar 3 August 2023 23: 51
      -1
      No no no. Odessa is the key to Victory, but first Kharkov.
      Well, and then Manhattan and Berlin.

      Alaska and Brighton Beach
      1. Rumata
        Rumata 4 August 2023 00: 06
        0
        Quote: Bledar
        Alaska and Brighton Beach

        Fort Ross. Whose California?
    2. Andrew A.
      Andrew A. 8 August 2023 13: 39
      +1
      When you expect the heat to be raked by someone else's hands, then at least Taiwan and Sydney can be added to this list.
      And when your own life or the life with the health of your own children is at stake, then you should think about the final beneficiaries of Taiwan and Manhattan.

      The victory in Ukraine has no right to be Pyrrhic. Otherwise, they will devour them in 20 years and will not choke.
  9. fa2998
    fa2998 3 August 2023 17: 01
    +11
    You explain to me, not a strategist - HOW can you lose Odessa when Ukraine advances in the "new" Russian regions? For hundreds of kilometers!
    Russia has not liberated the Donbass for a year and a half, they are constantly "shooting" in Donetsk, what the hell is Odessa! fool hi
    1. Vovavvs
      Vovavvs 3 August 2023 17: 32
      +1
      The American judges by how the generals' heads flew, and the admiral's, apparently, will follow, who hope that they have been "forgotten" by the lost cruiser, the cancellation of the prepared landing operation in Odessa, the denial of real assistance to the landmen in the defense of the Serpent, etc. and so on.
      1. seamen2
        seamen2 3 August 2023 22: 20
        0
        *American judges by how the general's heads flew*
        Well, what is Surovikin's fault?
        1. guest
          guest 4 August 2023 00: 42
          -2
          Quote from seamen2
          Well, what is Surovikin's fault?

          Kherson who passed?
        2. isv000
          isv000 4 August 2023 14: 49
          -1
          Quote from seamen2
          *American judges by how the general's heads flew*
          Well, what is Surovikin's fault?

          ...and the captain sends us a familiar sign - it's not evening yet!...
          Sergey Vladimirovich will still have his weighty word to say. Thanks to the Kherson initiative and the Surovikin Line, we have preserved the army in its current form...
      2. vladcub
        vladcub 3 August 2023 22: 39
        +1
        On Topvar, Marzhiretsky says: an amphibious assault in Odessa is tantamount to the loss of the fleet: the approaches are mined, a lot of anti-ship missiles "Harpoon, Neptune," They also mined from land
        In the Second World War, there was a land bridgehead in the immediate vicinity, and in May 2022 we were far from Odessa. The fleet has been preserved and there is something to accompany civilian ships
    2. igorbrsv
      igorbrsv 3 August 2023 17: 39
      +3
      How did they lose the rest? Also
    3. Ghost1
      Ghost1 3 August 2023 20: 57
      +7
      I don’t understand at all who generates and voices such news, at least they monitor what is happening on the fields of the NWO. To implement such plans, a lot is needed in the military plan, while this is not visible in any way.
      1. vladcub
        vladcub 3 August 2023 22: 41
        +2
        "not visible" but the sofa generals are delighted
      2. Vladimir80
        Vladimir80 4 August 2023 08: 15
        -5
        As an option - preparing society for a new mobilization, such as "just a little bit more and we, uuuh!"
        1. isv000
          isv000 4 August 2023 14: 51
          0
          Quote: Vladimir80
          As an option - preparing society for a new mobilization, such as "just a little bit more and we, uuuh!"

          Shitty initiative to send childless children to slaughter...
  10. Ezekiel 25-17
    Ezekiel 25-17 3 August 2023 17: 01
    -2
    Such forecasts are made because it is obvious to an officer of any General Staff: even the Russian Federation, even NATO.
  11. oleg-nekrasov-19
    oleg-nekrasov-19 3 August 2023 17: 05
    -2
    According to OSINT, during the month of the counteroffensive, the army of the Kyiv regime lost 62 square kilometers of territory, which corresponds to the area of ​​a city with a population of 100 inhabitants. As for Odessa, in any case, she will return to her "native bosom"
    1. al3x
      al3x 3 August 2023 17: 27
      +2
      Quote: oleg-nekrasov-19
      62 square kilometers

      Thank you. Laughed. At this pace, by the end of the century, "liberation" can and will be completed.
      1. igorbrsv
        igorbrsv 3 August 2023 17: 42
        +1
        So it was she who lost 62 sq. Km in a month of her counteroffensive. winked
        The whole world has been waiting for their "counterattack" for half a year, if it also ends "suddenly", in six months, as it began, then the moment can be "missed". But while they stubbornly lose a thousand a day, only the dead are worth the wait
        1. oleg-nekrasov-19
          oleg-nekrasov-19 3 August 2023 17: 46
          -1
          well, British intelligence said that bushes and grass interfere ... well, it’s still dark there at night, it’s raining there, I don’t know .. smile
  12. Carlos Hall
    Carlos Hall 3 August 2023 17: 07
    +4
    Now the main thing is to continue to hold the southern front and prevent the enemy from breaking through. The circumstance of the Ukrainian offensive should also be used to inflict heavy losses on the enemy and at the same time recapture Kupyansk.
  13. Andrey Shpakov
    Andrey Shpakov 3 August 2023 17: 08
    +3
    That is, to force several large rivers .. it's time for us to spit. This is like stealing - suicide .. and we are like two fingers. What nonsense.
  14. fa2998
    fa2998 3 August 2023 17: 14
    +5
    Quote: Vladimir Nizhegorodsky
    Wait, there is decommunization, deoccupation and denazification.
    The jokes are over.

    Nothing is going on now. There are "steps in place." And victorious speeches on TV. No.
  15. opposite28
    opposite28 3 August 2023 17: 27
    +7
    Some unfortunate Kleshcheevka fought for many months, but they are aiming at Odessa. Donetsk is being shelled from MLRS, what kind of Odessa is there ?! request recourse
    1. Turbuta Dave
      Turbuta Dave 3 August 2023 17: 38
      +7
      The most dangerous thing is to lose the sense of reality...
  16. Turbuta Dave
    Turbuta Dave 3 August 2023 17: 37
    +4
    Hat-throwing 100%
    Hahol, strong. Motivated and experienced. You can’t take it with your bare hands ... Only a riot from the inside, Maidan # 3 and then the division of Ukra into 3 parts
  17. Roma 1977
    Roma 1977 3 August 2023 17: 40
    +6
    Forcing the Dnieper in the lower reaches is excluded. Everyone should firmly understand this. Odessa can pass under the control of the Russian Federation only after the destruction of the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the left bank of the Dnieper, and the subsequent surrender of Ukraine, under the terms of which it will be forced to transfer Odessa without a fight. Operations on the Right Bank are impossible without the capture of Kiev. And to Kyiv - as to the moon.
    1. Simple
      Simple 3 August 2023 23: 10
      +2
      Well, then it remains only to launch uninhabited expeditions to Kyiv from the cosmodrome. Once every fifty years.
      (Sarcasm)
  18. evgen1221
    evgen1221 3 August 2023 18: 19
    -1
    Odessa was and will be a Russian city on the sea!
  19. Metallurg_2
    Metallurg_2 3 August 2023 19: 41
    +2
    This is some kind of new Nostradamus, before that, apart from Ritter and McGregor, I had not heard of anyone.
  20. petrol cutter
    petrol cutter 3 August 2023 21: 32
    0
    Why so?
    Schaub has come a fiasco - the troops of the Russian Federation must go on the offensive.
    As far as I understand, such events are not foreseen in the foreseeable future.
    In the future, only my arthritis will develop. That's all that's clear to me. Of all these articles hi
  21. lisikat2
    lisikat2 3 August 2023 22: 04
    0
    What do they think in America? I don’t know, but I know what Ukrainian UAVs hope for in September, October, they will paralyze the army and city administration. Communists take power and reparations negotiations
    About Shariy, Budanov organizes explosions of gas stations, a supermarket, pensioners demand to hand over the Crimea.
    Our sociologists believe: the surrender of Crimea will cause nationwide indignation and the end of those who surrendered Crimea.
    Here's what I got
  22. Incvizitor
    Incvizitor 3 August 2023 23: 17
    +1
    The calculation was on the economic destruction and discontent of the people, but every time when the occupiers climb on our country, the people climb not to jump, but to give them lyuli, and it turned out with the Ukrainian occupiers.
  23. aszzz888
    aszzz888 4 August 2023 02: 38
    0
    An American military analyst believes that initially Ukraine had no chance of holding out in a confrontation with Russia. Even large-scale assistance from NATO countries could not improve the situation, the expert is convinced.
    Correctly "thinks". Yes, and Odessa will definitely be ours.
  24. Victor V.
    Victor V. 4 August 2023 08: 02
    0
    I don’t know about Odessa, but maybe someone will remind me which war was won last with the help of minefields. Are they really going to drive 55 year old mobs forward ...
  25. Vladimir80
    Vladimir80 4 August 2023 08: 26
    -2
    Judging by some of the comments, stupid propaganda turns on reserves and comes up with more and more fantastic (optimistic) forecasts for the development of events
  26. isv000
    isv000 4 August 2023 14: 31
    +1
    US military analyst admits the prospect of losing Odessa

    It is time for this analyst to predict the closure of the Ukraine project due to complete failure and the inability to breathe on his own. I am sure that the signing of any "agreement" to freeze the conflict will be perceived ambiguously by the people and the army, to put it mildly. The very case when the people and the army can become truly united! hi