Military Review

Advisor to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine gave a forecast on the timing of the end of the conflict, coinciding with the electoral cycle in the United States

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Advisor to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine gave a forecast on the timing of the end of the conflict, coinciding with the electoral cycle in the United States

Fighting in Ukraine could last another 17 months. This statement was made by Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, who gave an interview to the Ukrainian press. The Ukrainian politician believes that these months "will be of the same type."


The seventeen months that Podoliak claims will expire in January 2025. It is noteworthy that it is at this time that the inauguration of the new US president will also have to take place, since the presidential election in the United States will take place in November 2024.

Previously, many analysts linked the duration of the conflict in Ukraine with the results of the upcoming US presidential election. One of the most common predictions is that if Donald Trump is elected president of the United States in 2024, then Washington’s support for Ukraine may end. Trump himself has repeatedly stated that he is against this conflict, and promised to end it in 24 hours.

On the other hand, analysts also admit the likelihood of an end to the conflict at the initiative of the administration of the current US President Joe Biden. Before the election, Biden may become preoccupied with his support from voters, and the positive attitude towards military and financial assistance to Ukraine on the part of the Americans is steadily declining.

In addition, the Republican majority of the US Congress can put pressure on Biden in terms of supporting Ukraine if the Armed Forces of Ukraine fail to demonstrate normal results on the battlefield.

Thus, Podolyak's forecast completely coincides with the electoral cycle in the United States, which once again confirms the complete dependence of the Ukrainian state on American patrons and the very high level of Washington's influence on the events taking place in Ukraine.
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  1. Carlos Hall
    Carlos Hall 29 July 2023 11: 47
    -13
    Prolonging the war is beneficial for Russia, the West cannot endlessly spend its resources while China grows stronger
    1. Rumata
      Rumata 29 July 2023 11: 49
      +11
      Quote from Carlos Sala
      Extending the war is beneficial for Russia

      Extending the war is beneficial to China.
      1. Carlos Hall
        Carlos Hall 29 July 2023 12: 07
        -4
        And also for Russia, if it, despite wear and tear, at least partially achieves its goals. I repeat, the West cannot keep spending and spending as long as China continues to grow stronger at no cost.
        1. Shurik70
          Shurik70 29 July 2023 12: 33
          +1
          The destruction of economic ties with NATO and the building of these ties with independent states is beneficial for Russia and painful for NATO.
          The growth of Russia's economic ties with China is beneficial to both Russia and China, but care must be taken here so as not to become too dependent on China. And where such a dependence already exists (for example, in the supply of computers) - it is necessary to get rid of it. Because sooner or later in China, someone will not be able to resist cutting off these supplies for the sake of the current moment.
        2. Lptsk
          Lptsk 29 July 2023 12: 38
          0
          Russia took more than it intended. Initially, the task was the DPR LPR, Russian language, neutral status and Natsykov tries. And it turned out almost all south and TD and TP.
        3. bayard
          bayard 29 July 2023 16: 35
          0
          Quote from Carlos Sala
          And also for Russia, if it, despite wear and tear, at least partially achieves its goals.

          Stopping the NWO, especially on the terms of the West, is absolutely unacceptable for Russia. Excluded for the current government used even by law. And it is completely unacceptable for the current US administration, at least until the middle or end of next year.
          And yes - this conflict is very beneficial for China, on the condition that it does not develop into something larger and nuclear.
          Therefore, the war will continue.
          And another year and a half of the war for used ones will become simply fatal.
          Obviously, based on this general consensus on the need to continue the war \ NVO, the leadership of the Russian Federation does not force the pace of this event. Russia, too, during this time does not lose in vain, building up not a SMALL, but a completely combat-ready Big Army. Restarts the OPK and resolves issues of Autarky.
    2. Lev_Russia
      Lev_Russia 29 July 2023 11: 53
      +7
      I don’t know who benefits from this, but it’s definitely not for us ... Fighting, in fact, alone with the economy of the West and its military-industrial complex is not such a great pleasure ... Well, China is still sitting on the shore and waiting for the corpse of the enemy to sail ... Or two corpses ... Of course, there is help from him, but it’s very indirect ...
    3. private person
      private person 29 July 2023 12: 09
      +5
      Prolonging the war is beneficial for Russia, the West cannot endlessly spend its resources while China grows stronger

      However, you are a noble storyteller. The West is losing resources, China is getting stronger and Russia is benefiting? In what? Is it that he is losing his sons and spending billions from the country's budget on conducting NWO? Even after the SVO, a huge amount of funds will be needed to restore the new regions that became part of the Russian Federation, and these funds are again from the budget of the Russian Federation.
      1. bayard
        bayard 29 July 2023 17: 19
        +1
        Quote: private person
        The West is losing resources

        Not only . The West is losing Hegemony. Including through the financial control of all the economies of the world.
        Quote: private person
        China is getting stronger

        Not only economically, but also militarily and technologically. By the end of the decade, China will have a comparable number of strategic nuclear warheads on new carriers and a rebuilt mighty fleet. And the issue of dependence on a number of Western technologies will also be resolved.
        Quote: private person
        Russia benefits? In what?

        In gaining true (including financial) sovereignty.
        In albeit a forced, but modernization and restart of the Economy, mechanical engineering, aircraft building, machine tool building, a restart of the defense industry, the creation of a full-fledged Big and Mighty Army instead of a SMALL biathlon parade.
        In the creation of not a nominal, but quite tangible anti-Western and anti-colonial bloc.
        In isolation of the countries of the Global South from the dependence of the countries of the West, due to which the West simply begins to RAPIDLY fade ... like a "Garden of Eden" without watering.
        Quote: private person
        Is it that he is losing his sons and spending billions from the country's budget on conducting NWO?

        The death of young and mature men in such numbers is always a tragedy. But maybe seeing all this "Russian women" will still give birth? Many deceptions and consequences of Morok have been revealed, now the question is what CONCLUSIONS will be drawn.
        Yes, and spending on SVO, in principle, does not exceed the funds that were previously withdrawn from the BUDGET (!!) of the country by the notorious "Budget Rule" from the IMF and the World Bank. Now all the profits from the trade in domestic resources go to the budget, and from there - to the SVO and the revival of defense industry enterprises and direct budget financing of other projects. And thanks to this ... The economy of the Russian Federation has already begun to GROW. Let it be 2-2,5% for now, but this is in conditions of sanctions, confiscations of monstrous sums and assets of the Russian Federation and its citizens abroad, that no one has ever seen before.
        Quote: private person
        Even after the SVO, a huge amount of funds will be needed to restore the new regions that became part of the Russian Federation, and these funds are again from the budget of the Russian Federation.

        And you will consider these new regions not as a burden on the budget, but as a resource. smile Look at how many wonderful agricultural lands have become (and will become) part of Russia ... Look at the newly acquired PORTS, enterprises of ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy, mechanical engineering, scientific potential (and there is considerable one) ... yes, at the increased population of the Russian Federation thanks to already annexed territories ... This is about 8 million new citizens, and this is with our demographics.
        What are new citizens?
        These are new buyers, which means the expansion of domestic demand, the domestic market. And it’s also new working hands. And these are not the hands of Tajik guest workers, but of the same Russian people.
        The consequences of Bandera savagery in recent years in these territories?
        You get used to good things quickly. Bad things are forgotten even faster - features of the human psyche.
        Quote: private person
        restoration of new regions that became part of the Russian Federation, and these funds are again from the budget of the Russian Federation.

        Restoration of vast territories is not only a waste, and not only a budget. Restoration is a huge number of new jobs, this is a demand for building materials, construction machinery and equipment ... and mind you - mainly or EXCLUSIVELY (and it must be so) of domestic production.
        Do you understand what I mean?
        About the Explosive Economic Growth of the Economy immediately after the end of the database.
        And explosive economic growth is WHAT?
        This is a significant expansion of the taxable base of the domestic economy! That is - a sharp increase in budget revenues. Yes
        Do you understand what I mean?
        Spending on restoration at the expense of the Budget (and there will be both private and corporate investments) is not a sunk cost of funds, but an INVESTMENT in new regions that will pay off a hundredfold with new revenues for the budget in the near future.
        Simple arithmetic:
        - The Russian Federation ranks first in the world in grain exports ... and b\Ukraine - Third place. Just add these two potentials and you get a practical monopoly on the world market of grains and oilseeds.
        - Look at the potential of the Russian Federation in ferrous (and non-ferrous) metallurgy ... and at the potential in this used ... and add it up too.
        - Look at the port infrastructure of the Northern Black Sea region (the same one that is being bombed now, but it's all recoverable) ... and the lack of such in the Russian Federation.
        I hope you can see the rest and extrapolate yourself.
        Also take into account the synergy obtained in the case of the addition of these potentials - the amplification from the addition and the mutual growth of potentials due to such addition.
        Not for nothing back in 2007, Clinton said that "We will not allow Russia and Ukraine to unite again, because their combined potential will be practically equal to the potential of the former Soviet Union." That is why they not only tore Ukraine away from us, but also opposed it to us in a fratricidal war. That is why they are so happy now - "What could be better when Russians kill Russians."
        Therefore, I repeat - one should look at new territories and new people not as a burden and inconvenience, but as a Potential for Growth and Power.
        The past and everything bad will be forgotten, and the Potential will increase.
        Quote: private person
        These funds are again from the budget of the Russian Federation.

        And the budget will increase. And you will be surprised HOW.
    4. evgen1221
      evgen1221 29 July 2023 12: 24
      +1
      Don't worry, they will continue. They will simply switch to terror and partisanship with mine warfare, but in the morning, as one, they will sing the hymn behind Russian passepartouts in queues.
  2. dmi.pris1
    dmi.pris1 29 July 2023 11: 52
    -1
    Judging by the maniacal desire for negotiations of our elite, this can happen at any moment.
    1. Seamaster
      Seamaster 29 July 2023 12: 15
      -1
      Exactly.
      And the traitor Chuikov negotiated with the commandant of Berlin Weidling on May 1, 1945.
      Also a maniac?
      1. dmi.pris1
        dmi.pris1 29 July 2023 12: 43
        -1
        Out of your mind? A dull Weidling dragged himself to him with a plea .. It was not negotiations, but the expectation of the surrender of the Wehrmacht
        1. Seamaster
          Seamaster 29 July 2023 13: 05
          -1
          Sorry, but I didn’t write anything about YOUR mind.
          Apparently, in vain.
          Now essentially.
          It was not Weidling himself who came to the NEGOTIATIONS on the surrender of the Berlin garrison, but his representative.
          And these were NEGOTIATIONS, not INTERPRETER, as you seem to think.
    2. Nyrobsky
      Nyrobsky 29 July 2023 13: 07
      0
      Quote from: dmi.pris1
      Judging by the maniacal desire for negotiations of our elite, this can happen at any moment.

      So what do you think it expresses?
      That China, Brazil, Turkey, etc. etc. offer mediation in negotiations and peace plans? So this is not our initiative. That ours make statements that they are ready for negotiations? So we were ready for negotiations even before the start of the NWO and gave them a whole package of conditions, taking into account which the countries of the West and Ukraine, everything would be tip-top, but this "package" was ignored at that time. If now our people are talking about readiness for negotiations, then exactly on the SAME CONDITIONS that were put forward in November 2021 + additional conditions that provide that the status of new Russian territories will not be revised.
      So what is the manic desire, my dear? Can you substantiate?
  3. blackcat
    blackcat 29 July 2023 11: 56
    +2
    The guys are misinterpreting Trump's words, he said that he would offer Putin to end the conflict, and if he does not agree, then assistance to Ukraine will be increased to enormous proportions, so there is no need to hope that the president in the United States will change right now and everything will be top-notch, no matter how worse it gets, t .To. the influence of elections will disappear am
    1. alexoff
      alexoff 29 July 2023 14: 29
      0
      What kind of huge size will be interesting there? High precision is already being sent in huge quantities, the number of carriers is simply limited. It looks like taking on a show off that they say they will also start, with the purchase of precision-guided munitions of 500 pieces a year
  4. rotmistr60
    rotmistr60 29 July 2023 12: 02
    +1
    Podolyak's forecast completely coincides with the electoral cycle in the USA
    It is necessary to check other "cycles" that Kyiv diligently adjusts to American ones. Soon the Americans will write down their daily routine from wake up to lights out: toilet, ode to the US and the EU (instead of charging), eating, "feat", licking wounds after the "feat", time on the porch with an outstretched hand, etc.
  5. Thrifty
    Thrifty 29 July 2023 12: 02
    +4
    Drive into the dust in Kyiv three dozen buildings and locations of the APU, smash all the bridges and railway interchanges there, and the war will end this year!
    1. your1970
      your1970 29 July 2023 13: 14
      +1
      Quote: Thrifty
      Drive into the dust in Kyiv three dozen buildings and locations of the APU, smash all the bridges and railway interchanges there, and the war will end this year!

      Let me modestly remind you that after Hitler was dragged to the trash in a rug, the war went on for another 9 days.
      And in some places even longer.
      And you naively hope that with the death of Ze there will be no successors - the United States will immediately appoint a new Ze ..
      And everything will go in circles
      1. Thrifty
        Thrifty 29 July 2023 14: 16
        -1
        Its 1970 - the new one, remembering the fate of its predecessor, will think about its own skin, and become more a liberal than a "hawk"!
      2. bk0010
        bk0010 29 July 2023 14: 30
        0
        Quote: your1970
        And you naively hope that with the death of Ze there will be no successors - the United States will immediately appoint a new Ze ..
        And everything will go in circles
        On the 10th lap, they will begin to suspect something, then there will be problems with the new Ze. Deficiency, you know.
        1. your1970
          your1970 29 July 2023 22: 54
          -1
          Quote: bk0010
          Quote: your1970
          And you naively hope that with the death of Ze there will be no successors - the United States will immediately appoint a new Ze ..
          And everything will go in circles
          On the 10th lap, they will begin to suspect something, then there will be problems with the new Ze. Deficiency, you know.

          Quote: Thrifty
          Its 1970 - the new one, remembering the fate of its predecessor, will think about its own skin, and become more a liberal than a "hawk"!

          The ass in the Third Reich on 30.04.1945/XNUMX/XNUMX was absolute - nevertheless, the receiver right found ... although it could well be blamed on "did not get through, the subscriber is out of range"
          Ze is now about the middle of 1943 - therefore receivers on the loot there thousands run...
  6. rocket757
    rocket757 29 July 2023 12: 04
    0
    Guess, don't guess what will happen next ... obviously, our plans have been implemented to the maximum, right now, we will not care much about what will happen later, or even absolutely do not care.
  7. HAM
    HAM 29 July 2023 12: 04
    0
    There are "cycles" in America, and the whole world takes the rap for it .... how it looks like others .....
  8. Seamaster
    Seamaster 29 July 2023 12: 19
    0
    Why 17 months?
    Candidates for US presidency will have to decide on the Ukrainian theme of the month at least 3-4 BEFORE the elections.
    So, Svidomo, you will switch to a healthy snack in Lefortovo in about a year.
    Or start welding exterior handrails to your passenger planes already in advance.
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