American analyst: It's time for the US authorities to decide on a vision of how the armed conflict in Ukraine should end

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American analyst: It's time for the US authorities to decide on a vision of how the armed conflict in Ukraine should end

It is time for the American government to define its vision of how the armed conflict in Ukraine should end. This is stated in an article by Samuel Charap, a senior researcher at the American analytical center RAND.

In an article published in Foreign Affairs, Charap argues that, in his opinion, neither side of the conflict is able to win and establish its control over the desired territories. Thus, the Ukrainian crisis can continue for many years without leading to a final result.



Based on this, the American analyst calls on the US and Western authorities to choose: either start peace negotiations now, or do it a few years later. According to Charap, in the second case, the conflict will be in approximately the same state, but a significant amount of material and human resources will be lost.

Charap also admits the success of a large-scale offensive by the Ukrainian army, but this will not be the solution to the crisis. Even in the event of a complete seizure of territories by Ukraine as of 1991, according to an American analyst, the conflict will not end: additional mobilization will be carried out in Russia and the RF Armed Forces will intensify attacks on Ukrainian territory in the belief that time is working against Kiev.

Thus, in order to avoid additional economic losses for the West, Charap suggests that the US authorities now begin to take steps towards concluding a truce according to the "Korean scenario" of 1953, but without stopping hostilities and continuing to provide military support to the Ukrainian army.
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13 comments
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  1. +5
    5 June 2023 20: 07
    Don’t say that, but to shove the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the offensive even with a fourfold superiority in manpower, but losing a multiple in artillery, tanks, cruise missiles and NOT HAVING aviation is suicide. Don't NATO planners understand this? Any war without air support is obviously losing, well, if we move away from the front lines of echeloned defense, they won’t have time to gain a foothold either, especially since there is no longer a population there and you can equalize in 7/24 mode.
    1. +3
      5 June 2023 20: 23
      It's time for the US government to determine... how the armed conflict in Ukraine should end.

      They have long made up their minds and announced their plans, and Europe sings along and supplies.
      Besides, we do not need this abscess at our borders.
  2. +4
    5 June 2023 20: 19
    As always, foreign ex-representatives and analysts do not take into account the fact that Russia may not want any peace talks that are outside its interests, especially the "Korean scenario". Everything is going well in Russia and there is nowhere to rush. The economy is being rebuilt, ties are strengthening, there are enough resources. These negotiations, if needed, are not for Russia, and therefore on its terms.
  3. +3
    5 June 2023 20: 24
    And the authorities need a long conflict in order to break away from the West year after year, cut off all the threads and rebuild the country without at least any of its influence. Well, to build an image of the enemy against which the people must rally. So here they have common interests with mattress covers in dragging out the party - they need to trade in death and for as long as possible.
  4. +5
    5 June 2023 20: 24
    It is time for the American government to define its vision of how the armed conflict in Ukraine should end.
    They have already decided a long time ago ... The best option for them is a complete victory for Ukraine with the surrender of Russia ... or a war to the "last Ukrainian", to cause maximum harm to Russia
    1. 0
      5 June 2023 21: 27
      Este sí e un comentario acertado 100%. Breve, pero contiene la esencia del conflicto.
  5. -1
    5 June 2023 20: 30
    So what is not clear, at least they want the forelocks to reach the borders of 1991, and the maximum to reach the Urals
  6. +2
    5 June 2023 20: 44
    This chaper is a typical woodpecker! fool There wasn’t enough new mind to offer, the usual pathos that the Yankees are so "exceptional" fool fool
  7. +2
    5 June 2023 20: 48
    it's like the United States wants and not like the Russian Federation ???? The Russian Federation must decide for itself when something happens. If it can do it!
  8. -1
    5 June 2023 20: 59
    "Experd", IMHO, simply do not understand the purpose. Or stupid.
    And according to the steps of the USA, they clearly know how to use the gifts presented by the Kremlin.
  9. +1
    5 June 2023 21: 02
    Američani musí počkat na vizi Ruska, protože očištění Ukrajiny od fašistů a nepřátel Ruska ještě není u konce. Navíc, chce li Ukrajina rokovat o míru, nesmí být na Ukrajině žádní vojáci ani zbraně NATO! Také musí být zlikvidovány všechny Americké laboratoře na výrobu biologických zbraní. Ukrajina musí být očištěna od fašistů, aby mohla být přátelská ke všem sousedům, včetně Ruska. Podminky ukončení musí stanovit jedině Rusko, protože bylo podvedeno ve všech dohodách a smlouvách s Ukrajinou!
    1. +4
      5 June 2023 21: 03
      Americans must wait for the vision of Russia, because the purge of Ukraine from the Nazis and enemies of Russia is not yet over. Moreover, if Ukraine wants to negotiate peace, there should be no NATO soldiers or weapons in Ukraine! All US bioweapons laboratories must also be dismantled. Ukraine must be cleansed of fascists so that it can be friendly to all its neighbors, including Russia. Termination conditions should be established only by Russia, because it is deceived in all agreements and contracts with Ukraine!
  10. 0
    7 June 2023 15: 53
    Strange, but why does this analyst not allow Russia to win in this conflict? When Ukraine ceases to exist as a subject of international relations, and the loans issued to it are safely forgiven...

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