"High Seas Fleet" for closed Russia

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"High Seas Fleet" for closed Russia


Knocked on the ceiling


For those who are at least a little familiar with history naval battles of the First World War, it will not be difficult to recall the fate of the Kaiser "Fleet open sea". The shelling of Yarmouth and Scarborough on the British coast, several sorties by the battlecruisers of Vice Admiral Hipper, Dogger Bank, a victory on points in the battle of Jutland, almost two years in the blockade and finally - the tragic finale in Scapa Flow.



Such a prospect can hardly threaten the ships from which, in fact, the Russian oil fleet of the high seas was formed. And this is despite the fact that the European Union, within the framework of the 11th and subsequent packages of anti-Russian sanctions, is preparing to block the entry into its ports of ships that bypass sanctions and do not take into account the ceiling on oil prices from Russia.

However, the EU is by no means the whole world, in which no one will ever simply give up his own benefit. Now the beneficiaries of the “ceiling games” are China and India, but in which case there will be someone to replace them.

To eliminate loopholes in the mechanism, which is designed to drastically reduce Russia's income and the ability to finance the NWO, in the United States, and after them in Europe, they undertook somehow too late. After all, we are already seriously talking about how to get out of the impasse into which everyone has driven themselves all at once.

In the EU, they can rant as much as they like about the fact that the number of fraudulent activities and the environmental risks associated with them has increased dramatically. What does the environment have to do with it, when it comes to trying to withdraw one of the key players from the market, it is not entirely clear.

Brother Ze and his team


However, all these are the same PR tricks that the EU is so successfully learning from an experienced showman from Kyiv and his team. The fact that Russia's logical response to the introduction of a price ceiling would be the formation of a fleet of tankers was known even to schoolchildren, and how many times the sanctioners were warned about this is not worth mentioning.

At the end of the spring of 2023, they seemed to come to their senses, realizing that the blow to the Russian budget turned out to be somehow fictitious. As well as the ceiling price of $60 per barrel, which only leads to the fact that Russia, more actively than before the sanctions, is engaged in domestic oil refining, both primary and deep.

A serious decline in oil exports, especially those that go beyond the known agreements on the OPEC-plus deal, is not recorded by Russia at all. At the same time, large-scale closure of oil wells, even not the most profitable ones, due to a decrease in demand, is not recorded.

And this means that Russia manages, as before the sanctions, to almost completely choose its export quota. Who buys Russian Urals, which, according to industry sources, is sold at a discount of up to $20 per barrel compared to Brent, is no secret to anyone.

These are China, India, and also, paradoxically, Iran and a number of mediators in the Middle East. With all of them, you will agree, what is the demand from the US and the EU, in case of use or even resale. No one signed up for sanctions, but for circumventing sanctions, they are responsible.

Here the procedure is not simple, and all the fuss can be more expensive, although in which case the propaganda effect can be strong, even very strong. But no more.

Where do the legs grow from?


Again, it was no secret to anyone that on the eve of the introduction of the "price ceiling" Russia was buying up tankers almost in bulk. And not for himself, but obviously for some offshore company. Sailing under the Liberian flag at sea has always been the norm, both for the capitalists and for the Soviet socialist fleet.

Today, Western publications, followed by Russian, "business" and not so, reveal to us, like a real secret, a simple secret of the Open. It turns out that the sanctioned oil is transported from the Russian coast to the Indian or some other tankers of a little-known shipping company.

The name of this company is also difficult to call secret, although a couple of years ago there were only a couple of ships in its fleet. So, get acquainted - Gatik Ship Management, safely registered in India. As of April 2023, it already has 58 vessels with a total estimated value of $1,6 billion, according to shipping experts VesselsValue, a business consulting firm.

Industry experts, along with journalists, are now complaining about the lack of information about the company, clearly working on the order of the organizers of the sanctions, eager to somehow catch those who are so famously "serving the Russians." You see, we managed to bypass obstacles with insurance, agreed with logistics and ports, which, in fact, are also afraid of falling under Western sanctions.

The company, which recently had a capital of one hundred thousand dollars, is now unable to provide new data, since, sorry, they are "changing too quickly." In the direction of growth, of course. In search of sources that finance the replenishment of the Gatik Ship Management fleet, the media turned to Rosneft, although there is nothing to be surprised about - in terms of the scale of exports, and even tankers, no one can compare with it.


How to forbid?


After clarifying what was already clear, let's return for clarity to the very mechanism of new sanctions, which, with all their will, will not be able to affect the notorious Gatik. The point here is how the very “price ceiling” is implemented in practice.

So, everything was done by banning the provision of technical assistance, brokerage or financial services, including insurance, related to the sea transportation of Russian oil and oil products to third countries if they were purchased at a price above the ceiling. And that's it!

As a result, those who manage to distance themselves from Western insurers, brokers and bankers can buy Russian oil at the price they want. And although Russia has warned that it will not supply oil within the price ceiling, it sells it, and often even cheaper.

After all, the main thing is that the mechanism itself is not involved, so that no one sees the ceiling. It is not entirely clear how, in this case, our approach differs from the PR games of opponents. Also PR, but a little more carefully camouflaged?

And how to get around?


A kind of lifeline for us has been the active development, and since the summer of 2022, of the so-called oil supply ecosystem, independent of Western services. The system affected both insurance services and the shadow fleet of tankers.

Singapore brokers from Trafigura, who specialize in wholesale trade, estimated the "Russian" shadow fleet of tankers at 650 vessels. Gunvor, an energy trader from Cyprus, where Gennady Timchenko, a prominent Russian businessman, once appeared, considers it not so huge - 300-400 ships.

Most of them are used with a solid service life, which may serve as indirect evidence that both the “ceiling” and the measures against it are perceived by many, including exporters, as something temporary and certainly not entirely serious.
22 comments
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  1. +2
    26 May 2023 05: 20
    Here we only have problems to be solved, but with the supply of other products, automotive, machine-tool, machine-building, electronic, etc. We don't, which is good. smile We do not only trade in oil.
  2. +4
    26 May 2023 05: 37
    The notorious sanctions have already worn out the language. And as if they arose from nowhere. We ourselves paved the way to them. Participating in cooperation, we invested billions of dollars, if only there was no stagnation. who run around at night with flashlights on their heads. It is simply impossible to impose sanctions on what is done with their own mind.
  3. +8
    26 May 2023 06: 31
    How tired I am of this fake-meeting with the "shadow fleet" in the media. If, as they think, a fleet of 400 tankers, they also need 400 captains. The captain of the tanker must have an international certificate for the operation of the tanker. I'm not talking about other crew members. that their owners of the tanker fleet scored on their paper sanctions and did not remove the tanker from the lines to Russia. If 400 tankers left international transportation to Russia, then there is nothing to notice them. Accordingly, in the sanction-free oil transportation market, freight should reach cosmic values, but this is not observed .With Russian oil, the West was in a deep ass.Marintrafik to those who wish to help.
    1. +6
      26 May 2023 08: 27
      Quote: tralflot1832
      Accordingly, in the sanction-free market for oil transportation, freight should reach cosmic values, but this is not observed.

      Here on the freight, the West cannot impose sanctions. If you raise freight rates only for ships carrying Russian oil, then the rates will automatically rise for the entire world tanker fleet. And freight rates rarely drop after that.
      So if you shoot your neighbor in the leg, the bullet will ricochet into your leg as well.
      1. +2
        26 May 2023 09: 28
        So I'm tired of these articles on this subject, no one wants to dig deeper and wider. The source is the West and the know-it-all Bloomberg and that's it. hi
      2. 0
        26 May 2023 13: 37
        Quote: carpenter
        rates will automatically rise for the entire world tanker fleet. And freight rates rarely drop after that.

        The rates are rising from the shortage of fleet and cargo transportation. The latter is not observed.
    2. 0
      26 May 2023 12: 52
      Quote: tralflot1832
      .If 400 tankers left international traffic for Russia, then there is nothing to notice them.

      Why nothing? After all, not only the owners of tankers have changed, but also the routes of their transportation. These tankers carried oil from BV to India, China and Southeast Asia. So they mostly drag her there, and the former owners got rid of the age courts. At the same time, Russian oil has largely replaced Middle Eastern oil in India and China. Hence now the oil of the Middle East has gone to Europe. That's just not at the "ceiling price", but at the full-weight one, and mainly on the supplier's tankers.
      As a result ... everyone is happy . In addition to Europe, oil for it has become almost 1,5-2 times more expensive than Russian. Firstly, the Russians mostly went through pipes, and the tankers worked on a VERY short arm. As a result, the transport component was many times lower, and the pipeline component did not need insurance and complex logistics.
      For the Russian Federation, oil revenues, on the contrary, have grown significantly. Even despite ha price ceilings. After all, if the price of oil is 80 dollars. The ceiling was set at $60. , it's still 1,5 times more expensive than we received under the "Fiscal Rule" from the IMF (40 dollars). Moreover, we returned our frozen reserves to ourselves through the conversion procedure (we simply reset our accounts to zero ... arrested, through the conversion procedure - by a simple bank notice, which generally automatically passes).
      But new sanctions against the "shadow fleet" of blood can spoil. I wouldn't be surprised if their next step is open piracy - privateering - against these ships. And then the only solution will be the escort of such ships by warships of the Russian Navy ... But they have yet to be built. This will complicate and make the logistics more expensive.
      1. 0
        26 May 2023 18: 42
        Quote: bayard
        I wouldn't be surprised if their next step is open piracy - privateering - against these ships. And then the only solution will be the escort of such ships by warships of the Russian Navy ..

        With the advent of "Guided Weapons" (UO) security concept based on escort ships stopped working, today it is possible to protect the ship only due to the equipment located on the ship itself, everything else becomes unprofitable and / or ineffective when scaling up.
        1. +2
          26 May 2023 20: 27
          Quote: ProkletyiPirat
          With the advent of "Guided Weapons" (UO), the concept of security based on escort ships has ceased to work,

          Is it?
          Quote: ProkletyiPirat
          today it is possible to protect a ship only at the expense of the equipment located on the ship itself, everything else becomes unprofitable and / or ineffective when scaling up.

          Do you propose arming tankers, grain carriers, bulk carriers and container carriers? smile Seriously ? To the level of protection from interception by warships or well-organized pirate groups controlled by the CIA, MI6 and the like?
          Ensuring freedom of navigation for your Merchant / Commercial Fleet is a task for the Navy of every self-respecting state. Let exporters and sea carriers pay marine/naval insurance and get a roof from the Navy. To do this, it is not necessary to accompany ships along the entire route and collect them in large convoys, you can simply organize the duty of the Navy forces in key areas of our navigation, establish reliable communication channels and respond to any threat by advancing to the area of ​​the incident. But in wartime and the threatened period, most likely, one cannot do without convoys. Any property and business needs protection. If the Navy of our enemies takes up privateering, we will have to escort and repel attacks. For impunity provokes and encourages villains to commit atrocities, and the threat to get in the teeth and turn the incident / conflict into a war of nuclear powers ... cools.
          Proven by practice.
    3. 0
      26 May 2023 13: 34
      Quote: tralflot1832
      If 400 tankers left international traffic for Russia, then there is nothing to notice them.

      That's right, we are marimans, we know and understand this.
  4. +10
    26 May 2023 06: 36
    Russia, more actively than before the sanctions, has taken up domestic oil refining, both primary and deep. To do this, you need to build new refineries, and if suddenly this happened, why is the price of gasoline rushing up for a week already. And why, then, is the government considering a ban on the export of gasoline in order to prevent fuel shortages in the domestic market and rising prices? Do you live in another Russia? And by the way, in the summer, stop repairs begin at factories, so it is physically impossible to increase processing. Do not mislead people.
    1. +2
      26 May 2023 09: 30
      it is worth recognizing that recently more and more "critical" articles have appeared on VO that talk about difficulties in one area or another, which is an undoubted success, because just like everywhere and in everything there are victories, there are failures.
      This "cheers" article is apparently still an old formation.
  5. +2
    26 May 2023 07: 17
    Quote: parusnik
    Here we only have problems to be solved, but with the supply of other products, automotive, machine-tool, machine-building, electronic, etc. We don't, which is good. smile We do not only trade in oil.


    We will sell oil and buy everything we need.
    (((
  6. +4
    26 May 2023 07: 22
    Quote: Alex 1970
    Russia, more actively than before the sanctions, has taken up domestic oil refining, both primary and deep. To do this, you need to build new refineries, and if suddenly this happened, why is the price of gasoline rushing up for a week already. And why, then, is the government considering a ban on the export of gasoline in order to prevent fuel shortages in the domestic market and rising prices? Do you live in another Russia? And by the way, in the summer, stop repairs begin at factories, so it is physically impossible to increase processing. Do not mislead people.


    If you do not give people information, they can start looking for it themselves. And think. It is harmful. People should go to work, eat, rest, raise the birth rate... And those who are allowed to think for them will do so.
    1. +3
      26 May 2023 07: 56
      It’s harmful to think, this makes my head hurt, and as you know, “the subject is dark, not subject to research”, a vicious circlewink
    2. +4
      26 May 2023 08: 34
      And think. It is harmful. People should go to work, eat, rest, raise the birth rate...
      Yeah, almost like in the movie "Planet of the Apes"
  7. +4
    26 May 2023 08: 32
    notorious Gatik
    The notorious company, according to data from the Internet, arose a year and a half before the well-known events ..
  8. +5
    26 May 2023 12: 20
    Another urapatriotic copy-paste from the victims of the Unified State Examination, who cannot distinguish a ship from a ship. Siluanov will answer any question with his numbers, as it is now with income and budget. A 50% drop in the industry as a whole, the tanker is not a pipe, it crawls back in ballast and not for free, but at a double rate, because the lion's share is junk from the Greeks, and they want a risk bonus. Gradually they will catch the Greeks, German Jews, this is a matter of time, but the tanker needs to be technically supported, but with what? Will you order the superintendents to search in Alang for spare parts and spare parts? A modern tanker is not a cake or Liberty for you, now these are sophisticated technologies that, after 10 years of operation, are falling like leaves in October. And those same vile Europeans are sitting on the ZiP, and even in China. Recently I was there in the SRZ ...
    1. +2
      26 May 2023 23: 40
      400 tankers ... people in the subject cannot even imagine such numbers. I have a lot of questions. Sovcomflot under the old government 120 buckets for cheese VLSS and above. PMP 40 product carriers in the best years ...
      who works there? What are diplomas? What are the salaries? A raw tank wash with inertia ... this is not a first mate from the street ... until the first bottling ... are they insured at all?
      This is not 400 caps, but 800 ... 20 people on one tanker ... two crew rotation ... we don’t have stock sailors, let alone tankers ....
      I don't understand this news.
  9. +4
    26 May 2023 13: 26
    Russia, more actively than before the sanctions, has taken up domestic oil refining, both primary and deep.
    Did they tell you on TV? Or Manilov's dreams?
    "Shit all the polymers" - not for long. But to raise the petrochemical, not even from the knees, but lying down ... I'm just too lazy to list what needs to be done for this. Even in general terms. This is work - not for years, but for decades. And most importantly - people of "long will" © Gumilyov.
  10. +2
    26 May 2023 17: 34
    Here, in my opinion, there is one subtlety - if one of these "shadow tankers" explodes on an "uninstalled sea mine"? Naturally, with the oil spill and all the subsequent chatter? Green, blue, ecological, liberal and others will be excited. And they have an impressive weight in the Western world. How will things go then?
  11. +1
    27 May 2023 16: 34
    Very dubious information about 400 tankers controlled by Rosneft. Which agency recruits seafarers? What nationality is the crew? Indians, Filipinos, Chinese? 400 ships is a minimum of 8000 officers and enlisted men. Information is like a linden, this is my opinion.