British intelligence reported the "failure of the winter offensive" of the Russian army

Russia failed to take advantage of the numerical advantage over the Armed Forces of Ukraine and completely failed the winter offensive. This statement was made by British intelligence.

The Ministry of Defense of the United Kingdom has released another intelligence report, which provides an analysis of three months of command of the special operation by the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov. According to the British, Russia failed the "winter offensive", although it had a numerical advantage over the Armed Forces of Ukraine due to the mobilization carried out in the autumn.

The Russian General Staff allegedly launched a winter offensive to liberate the entire Donbass by spring, but in three months, Russian forces made only modest advances while suffering "significant losses." The report does not say anything about the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in the West they do not like to discuss the topic of heavy losses of the Ukrainian army, as if they do not exist at all.

He attempted to launch a general winter offensive to expand Russian control over the entire Donbass region. Eighty days later, it's becoming increasingly clear that this project has failed.

- says the report.

British analysts do not rule out that Gerasimov as commander of the NMD may be replaced by another, more combative general. However, they admit, this is unlikely; Gerasimov has a large credit of trust from Russian President Vladimir Putin. Earlier, Western experts suggested that the replacement in January of the commander of the Northern Military District Surovikin with Gerasimov was due to the preparation of the Russian army for a large-scale offensive. In their opinion, Surovikin is good in defense, while Gerasimov is able to plan an offensive operation.

Comments

[tralflot1832]

In England, they are spinning a srach with Gerasimov for us. And we are reprinting it. How nice of us. I read this article in the Guardian this morning. English gentlemen have original humor. What can you take from them. Idots Sir!

[Labrador]

Here now this bullshit will be picked up by military officers and carried with hysterical clucking to all publics.

[Egeny]

"British scientists" retrained into "British intelligence" ... the same style of presentation.)

[srelock]

So yes, but in general, it is not clear who was the zero patient of the pandemic "about ... noah SVO - 2022". Perhaps the howlers ... in any case, as a result, their chicken coop will be sanitized so that there will be no trace of fluff

[Rumata]

Quote: tralflot1832

In England they are spinning a srach with Gerasimov for us ......... Idots Sir!

And what is your respected not idiotic opinion?
When will there be strikes on decision centers, bridges and tunnels?

[sleeve]

Powerfully printed, so all of them! And then they forgot that everything was gone!))

[tralflot1832]

As soon as a bomb with wings of a suspended module appears. And it appeared now, the other day on an industrial scale. And not like now, 20-30 bombs a day. There will be much more.

[Alister kroulegg]

They were already hitting both the bridges (in Zatoka) and the tunnel (Beskidsky). Without any result

[ARIONkrsk]

Quote: Rumata

Quote: tralflot1832

In England they are spinning a srach with Gerasimov for us ......... Idots Sir!

And what is your respected not idiotic opinion?
When will there be strikes on decision centers, bridges and tunnels?

As I understand it, everyone leaves it for later, such as rates grow as they rise. The West still has something to supply to Ukraine and can bring in peacekeepers or help, like we do in Syria, a more powerful and long-range weapon.

[Seraphimamur]

Rumata." When will there be strikes on decision-making centers ...." Do you mean London and Washington? Do you want a nuclear war? Play computer games.

[evgen1221]

Oh, it's an old cartoon. First comes an article with a postscript according to the data of aunt nura from kjibi in their publication. Then ours in truth refute. Then comes the same article as the first one, but with a postscript - according to the official data of the USSR, in the central organ of the press of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, the newspaper Pravda, and then the nonsense of Aunt Nyura from the bowels of the Kjibi, written by a journalist in England. And works for decades

[kakvastam]

Russia...completely failed the winter offensive.

If we consider a missed opportunity a failure, then yes, it definitely failed.
And the rest of the assumptions are difficult to assess, there are not so many informants in the General Staff of the Russian Federation as in British intelligence.

[skeptic]

Quote: kakvastam

If we consider a missed opportunity a failure, then yes, it definitely failed.

Let's call a spade a spade. No one conducted a "failed offensive", because preparations are underway to repel the Ukron offensive. The main contingent of the mobilization reserve was not introduced, because of the risk of "missing each other" with the directions of the main attacks. Therefore, the fighting is carried out "with an eye", with the same composition, with minor replenishment. The chatter of the impudent Saks is an attempt to create doubts in the Russian command. I, too, am dissatisfied with many things, but this is our "spectator's assessment" of the game of grandmasters, without knowing the opponent's plans and planned responses. Let's try "not to loosen the boat", to the "ukronadap" and the answer.

[BMP-2]

In the game of grandmasters, an inexperienced "spectator" can find many things incomprehensible, but not a series of blunders that turns into a system. However, for a certain category of citizens, Ostap Bender was also known as a "grandmaster" for some time.

[dfk-80]

Don't you think that all the announcements of the Ukronassup are the most powerful disinformation? That there all the attackers perished in autumn and winter, but we are stubbornly waiting for this Ukron offensive in defense near our borders, and not on the Dnieper?

[nellyjuri]

And when did we have an advantage in numbers? This is something new. It seems that only parity has been achieved. And that's not a fact.

[MARGADON]

Well, technically, in terms of quantity, we should be in the top, no?

[Bromo4er]

No. Not in technology, not in manpower, we have no advantage. Besides the art, of course.

[Kuroneko]

The Naglitsy would like a winter offensive, that's the point. So far, our mobilized have not trained properly and would have been "cannon fodder" following the example of dill.
No, it didn't burn out. So it remains to helplessly clatter your teeth and squeal about some kind of "failed offensive."

Coffins, of course, come from both sides. But with dill - an order of magnitude (i.e., at least ten times) more. Just because they are the only ones who are ready to throw meat at nothing.

[Alexey G]

We already know about the failure of our offensive in the winter.
Ugledarsky dead end and butting for Avdeevka, Artemovsk and Svatovo-Kremennaya.
But apparently we were not going to hold it especially because there was nothing. There are few infantry, it is generally better to remain silent about T62 tanks.
We were actively defending in order to take advantageous positions on the front before the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
But to voice this in the media was too modest, besides, there was hope that the Ukrainians would fail anywhere, so they trumpeted about the offensive ...
In addition, the warm winter gave too short periods of time for some kind of long-term plans ...
And 40-year-old mobilized people fight cautiously, because all families do not want to take risks, and their health is not enough.
At the same time, the government is unwilling to use conscripts, after half a year of training, even in defensive positions, to free up contract forces for a serious onslaught.
In fact, these and other factors have led us to what we have. Let's hope this tactic pays off.

[Fitter65]

Quote: Alexey G

We already know about the failure of our offensive in the winter.

The first question is - and YOURS is whose? About the T-62 avalanche, which, together with three ship-based anti-aircraft installations on MTLB, which never moved to Kiev, we will not remember yet the age of those who were supposed to be mobilized is 40 years old, and even then selectively, people don’t need much to mow dill, one combine with a trained crew is enough. Volunteers are another matter.

Quote: Alexey G

At the same time, the government is unwilling to use conscripts, after half a year of training, even in defensive positions, to free up contract forces for a serious onslaught.

Such rubbish about the RF Armed Forces, after the Armed Forces of Ukraine banned their conscripts from being demobilized, it’s even shameful to comment.

Quote: Alexey G

In fact, these and other factors have led us to what we have. Let's hope this tactic pays off.

By the way, one of the facts that led you to what is

During the next assault on the positions of Ukrainian formations in Artemovsk (Bakhmut), a group of Ukrainian militants was captured by the fighters of the Russian PMC Wagner. ..the low level of training and motivation of the Ukrainian military had an effect, since among them, as it turned out later, most of them were mobilized. As you know, people in Ukraine are mobilized without the proper experience of participating in hostilities and even without experience in the army. Yes, and forced conscription into the Armed Forces of Ukraine does not add motivation.

Well, you understand the difference between the Russian government and yours.

[sleeve]

Well, such "statements" are not a sign of nationality. We have enough of such "pushers in the back" from the Internet. Of course, everyone has a huge analytical experience, and even articles in Pravda for October 1941 signed by them, when everything was clear and transparent. In short, experienced bison of tactics, strategy and logistics.

[Ivan Ivanov]

On the other hand, what was the General Staff's plan? Sit on the defensive and squeeze the Nazis out of Avdiivka for years? They got stuck under Ugledar (not to mention a successful self-setup), there are few forces for large offensives, what is the military idea? "Grind khokhlyatinu"? So we don't get healthier. Shoigu reported on a multiple increase in the military-industrial complex of production. The question is - is the army provided with everything necessary and for what purpose?

[evgen1221]

Well, what else to take from the Anglo-Saxon empire. Lies are everything. Especially when there is control over the media, then in general a wondrous world turns out.

[Petr_Koldunov]

Well, why ... They themselves invent an offensive for us - they themselves recognize it as a failure. Full cycle analytics.
In principle, we can also declare the failure of the British mission to Saturn: they say, they were going all winter - but they didn’t fly ... well, it’s quite obvious that it was a failure!

[estate]

They themselves invent an offensive for us - they themselves recognize it as a failure

strictly according to the methodology

[Bingo]

Another garbage ... By the way, numerically, so far, about our and not our forces, they are estimated there as 1 to 1,3 - that is, the numerical advantage - for dill, as it was. Just before 1:3 and up to 1 to 5 it was

[Eduard_Adolfovich]

How can you brainless impudent Saxons cannot understand that the offensive is not the goal, but the goal is to protect our soldiers in the first place and grind all this evil spirits and, as a result, denazification and demilitarization.

[tsvetahaki]

How can you brainless impudent Saxons cannot understand that the offensive is not the goal, but the goal is to protect our soldiers in the first place and grind all this evil spirits and, as a result, denazification and demilitarization.

You will add - the main thing is not victory, the main thing is the process.
And the grinding (of each other, mind you) while sitting still was in the First World War ... As well as stupid offensives, by the way.

[IgorZ]

Quote from tsvetahaki

How can you brainless impudent Saxons cannot understand that the offensive is not the goal, but the goal is to protect our soldiers in the first place and grind all this evil spirits and, as a result, denazification and demilitarization.

You will add - the main thing is not victory, the main thing is the process.
And the grinding (of each other, mind you) while sitting still was in the First World War ... As well as stupid offensives, by the way.

Or maybe a friend is being ironic?

[Nord11]

Well, you need to somehow cheer up the vast army. No one was going to shout "Hurrah!" and with a saber unsheathed recklessly fly into the attack. Now the smartest strategy has been chosen, when Zelya and K "drive a stream of Svidomo livestock for slaughter.

[German Brit]

The strategy of supplying t 55 and the lack of ammunition. Everything goes off the assembly line. That's where the truth is. There is no element. Opposition to other units. The same Wagner lost how many people from Shoigu creatures. Everything is plundered. Therefore, we are standing still with nothing! And come up with tactical considerations! RED LINE PU-NO! Here's the truth.

[REY3003]

Essentially a dead end. Therefore, Lukoshenko, at the suggestion of Putin, is talking about a truce.

[Magog_]

That's why. Lukoshenko ... talks about a truce

I understood Old Man this way: we in Belarus do not want to interfere in your geopolitical showdowns, and our "gut" will be thinner ... Therefore, fight, and we, Belarusians, do not want to quarrel with anyone. The Chinese are of the same opinion about this.

[German Brit]

THE WEAK IS ALWAYS ASKING FOR A CERECE AND MERCY!!!!!!!

[Magog_]

And someone promised a winter offensive? I don't remember. In connection with the appointment of Gerasimov to command the NMD, there were such expectations, but these are only ours - philistine ... Or did someone promise?

[Sergey39]

Yes! Ah, We didn’t even know that we had failed, the plans of British intelligence and the Defense Ministry !!!

[Fat]

Is this such a cute British April 1st prank? No?

[Fitter65]

Russia failed to take advantage of the numerical advantage over the Armed Forces of Ukraine and completely failed the winter offensive. This statement was made by British intelligence.

Oh how!!! Did Russia definitely plan a winter offensive? ..

[Sergey3]

And where did the Russian army advance? Personally, I see a semi-frozen conflict, they are just pulling the rubber, as if waiting for something.

[Dmitrii]

Quote: tralflot1832

In England, they are spinning a srach with Gerasimov for us. And we are reprinting it. How nice of us. I read this article in the Guardian this morning. English gentlemen have original humor. What can you take from them. Idots Sir!

Yeah, at first they wrote that "the Russians are preparing a winter non-adventure", and now they write that it failed, very convenient.

[sgrabik]

British idiots continue to defecate tons of ridiculous anti-Russian shit in their media, without even thinking about the essence and adequacy of the nonsense they wrote.

[Seraphimamur]

I do not remember that Shoigu or Putin would announce some kind of global offensive. Moreover, Putin said: "The intensity of hostilities leads to unjustified human casualties." No offensive was planned due to the lack of human and material resources. In fact, open any tactics textbook there you can find out that for offensive actions the attacking side must have an advantage of 3-5 times. What do we have in stock?

[German Brit]

There is some truth. Traitors in the government and the Defense Ministry stubbornly hold back the course of hostilities. They do not allow Western arms supplies to be destroyed. Supply routes. In addition, at the behest of the owners, they drew a red line. For which it is impossible! What speaks of conspiracy!

[Sergey3]

Quote from German Brit

There is some truth. Traitors in the government and the Defense Ministry stubbornly hold back the course of hostilities. They do not allow Western arms supplies to be destroyed. Supply routes. In addition, at the behest of the owners, they drew a red line. For which it is impossible! What speaks of conspiracy!

Is there anything to attack? With the current production of about 3,5 million shells per year, you can only defend yourself. They need to produce 3,5 million a month to launch an offensive. And our plant, which produced 70% of the shells in the USSR, is in ruins and right now is undergoing the procedure for returning assets to the state, because. the new owner began clearing areas for the construction of shopping centers and selling off all the property, although the purchase was conditional on maintaining its main line of business. Something like this!

[kill the fascist]

When there is no victory, it must be invented. The small-shaven are the same dreamers-thinkers as their sharovary vassals.

[IgorZ]

Why did British intelligence decide that we have a numerical advantage over the Armed Forces at the front? Not even all of those mobilized for the front got to us. There were a maximum of 300 thousand at the front, plus 300 thousand minus 100 thousand total army losses for various reasons: death (we have only killed under 20 thousand), wounds (multiply those killed by 10, but not all of them are serious), illness, refusal of volunteers to renew the contract , commissioned. Part of the army in Belarus. In short, at the front, a maximum of 500 thousand, but in reality, probably less. And the Armed Forces of Ukraine have at least 800-1000 thousand, according to their statements, which are quite similar to the truth. And where is the advantage when almost half as much?

[BorzRio]

I got the impression that there is no one in the command of the RF Armed Forces who could plan something smart and talented ... On the other hand, I didn’t hear that the Russian army launched a “general offensive” in the winter. Wagner are being cut in Artemovsk, it seems that they have been trying to move around Avleevka for a year now. And that's all ... We stand and do not really rock the boat.

[Constantine N]

Well, in general, you need to understand that the West has an order of magnitude larger economy and industry. And if you throw all your strength into an offensive in Ukraine, what could this lead to.

[Born]

It is hard to disagree with the fact that there is no progress.
It is not clear where the British intelligence found a numerical advantage, even taking into account all the mobilized, and they still seem to have been trained for several months. To create a serious numerical advantage, you need 5 more such mobilizations. Only where to get frankly civilian officers, equipment, etc. to this horde is unclear.
In general, it is obvious that the situation is a stalemate. Everything goes according to plan)

[andrey682006]

Everything is brilliant in the article: a "winter offensive" was planned for the Russians, they went on the attack for them, and for them they also made conclusions about the failure. And the output is a discussion of our generals, for the sake of which this nonsense was written, dirty laundry and British garbage from our house.
I am very interested - is British intelligence actually engaged in intelligence? I see nothing but propaganda and information operations.

[BAI]

1.

Gerasimov is able to plan an offensive operation.

He is not capable of anything. And the failure near Kiev (this is his plan) is the clearest confirmation of this

2.

According to the British, Russia failed the "winter offensive", although it had a numerical advantage over the Armed Forces of Ukraine due to the mobilization carried out in the fall.

2.1. What attack? Who announced it except the British?
2.2. What is the numerical advantage? The advantage in numbers, as it was, remained on the side of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.